cpereira@noblefcm.com, Author at Channelchek

Bit Digital (BTBT) – AI Showing its Impact

Posted on May 17, 2024May 17, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, May 17, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

AI Adding to Growth. Total revenue for the first quarter was $30.3 million compared to $8.3 million in the prior year. This surpassed our $23.5 million estimate, as a higher bitcoin price and the Company’s inclusion of AI revenue led to the increase. The AI revenue comes from the Company’s anchor AI contract with expected annualized revenue of $50 million. We believe the AI contract provides an alternative revenue stream non-correlated to the cryptocurrency market.

Potential for More Soon. Although the $50 million contract is in place, earlier in the year Bit Digital received a proposal for an expansion of its contract. With the expansion, the proposal calls for an additional 2,048 GPUs on top of the 2,048 GPUs already in the contract, effectively doubling revenue to $100 million. The Company is currently in talks with the client on the terms of the expansion and we expect an announcement in the coming weeks.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

Snail (SNAL) – Revenue Deferrals Causes Noisy Results

Posted on May 16, 2024May 16, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, May 16, 2024

Snail is a leading, global independent developer and publisher of interactive digital entertainment for consumers around the world, with a premier portfolio of premium games designed for use on a variety of platforms, including consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 results. The company reported Q1 revenue of $14.1 million, and adj. EBITDA loss of $1.9 million, both of which were lower than our estimates of $24.0 million and $2.8 million, respectively, as illustrated in Figure #1 Results. Importantly, the company deferred $5.5 million of revenue in the quarter, which contributed to the results falling short of expectations. We expect revenue deferrals to be the cause of some noise in operating results during 2024, as the company prepares for the launch of ARK 2.

Deferred revenue recognition. The deferred ASA revenue will be split evenly across five DLCS that are included in the sale of the game and recognized as the DLCs are released. Three of the DLCs included in ASA will be released in 2024 (Q2, Q3, Q4) with the remaining two expected in 2025. Importantly, a portion of the revenue from the sale of ASA are being deferred, but not all of the associated costs are being deferred.

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Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Strong results give us room to raise our target again

Posted on May 16, 2024May 16, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, May 16, 2024

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Favorable results reflect higher pricing and an expanding fleet. Higher TCE rates reflect increased steel and coal activity as well as increased demand for shipping days due to disruptions in the Red Sea. Management used the favorable environment to lock in pricing for additional operating days in 2024. Management also announced the purchase of its 19th ship.

Strong cash flow allowed the company to pay a special dividend and pay down debt. The company is committed to return proceeds to shareholders though dividends and share repurchases. It made a modest reduction of debt during the quarter, helping to lower financing costs. Interest costs will most likely rise with the next ship purchase.

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Codere Online (CDRO) – Q1 Beats: Delivering on Its Strategy

Posted on May 16, 2024May 16, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, May 16, 2024

Codere Online refers, collectively, to Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. and its subsidiaries. Codere Online launched in 2014 as part of the renowned casino operator Codere Group. Codere Online offers online sports betting and online casino through its state-of-the art website and mobile application. Codere currently operates in its core markets of Spain, Italy, Mexico, Colombia, Panama and the City of Buenos Aires (Argentina). Codere Online’s online business is complemented by Codere Group’s physical presence throughout Latin America, forming the foundation of the leading omnichannel gaming and casino presence in the region.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 results. The company reported Q1 revenue of €53.0 million, beating our estimate of €45.0 million by 17.8%. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was positive €1.7 million, which beat our estimate of a loss of €1.0 million, illustrated in Figure #1 Results. Notably, the company grew revenue by 34% from the prior year period.

Favorable outlook. The company benefitted from strong revenue growth in Mexico and Spain, which were up 51% and 21%, respectively. Additionally, the company grew its total active customer base by 25% in both markets, and obtained regulatory approval in the province of Mendoza, Argentina. In our view, the company is poised to carry strong momentum through 2024 as it swings toward positive cash flow on a full-year basis.

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Bit Digital (BTBT) – A Look into the First Quarter

Posted on May 16, 2024May 16, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, May 16, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Guided by AI. Total revenue for the Company grew 266% y-o-y, driven by higher realized bitcoin price and from the Company’s AI business. The Company recognized $8.1 million of revenue during the quarter and reported a gross margin of 61%. With the potential increase of the segment’s AI contract earlier in the year, we expect the performance of the segment to rival its mining revenue in the coming quarters.

Mining Side. Bit Digital’s bitcoin mining revenue was $21.9 million, a 168% increase from the previous year, as a higher hash rate coupled with the higher bitcoin price drove the revenue. As noted in our previous report, the active hash rate was 2.76 EH/s as of April 30, 2024. The Company has a total of 48,898 miners owned or operating for a total maximum hash rate of 4.2 EH/s. We believe the Company is well on its way towards its active hash goal of 6.0 EH/s.

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SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Q1 in Line, Reaffirming Outlook

Posted on May 15, 2024May 15, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q1 results. The company reported Q1 revenue of $19.0 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $4.5 million, both of which were in-line with our estimates of $20.0 million and a loss of $4.5 million, respectively. Notably, the company is poised to benefit from several strategic partnerships with large industry players and has entered into an agreement with a homebuilder that is building 1,000 homes.

Favorable strategic partnerships. We believe the company’s strategic partnerships with industry leaders should contribute to strong revenue growth and market penetration. Notable partnerships include a five-year licensing partnership with General Electric (GE), as well as partnerships with industry leading lighting companies, Kichler, Quoizel, and Golden lighting.

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Ocugen (OCGN) – 1Q24 Reported With Upcoming Clinical Milestones As Expected

Posted on May 15, 2024May 15, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Ocugen, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing novel gene therapies, biologicals, and vaccines. The lead product in its gene therapy program, OCU400, is in Phase 1/2 clinical trials for retinitis pigmentosa.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q24 Reported With Clinical Trial Updates. Ocugen reported 1Q24 loss of $11.9 million or $(0.05) per share, and gave updates on progress of its clinical trial during the quarter. Its three main ophthalmic disease programs continued their progress and completed stages of development. Data announcements and milestones are expected for the rest of FY2024. Cash on March 31, 2024 was $26.4 million.

OCU400 Phase 3 Trial Expected Shortly. The Phase 3 trial for OCU400, known as the liMeliGhT incorporating “Master Gene Therapy” into its name, has received FDA clearance and is expected to begin treating retinitis pigmentosa (RP) patients in 2Q24. The trial has a planned enrollment of 150 patients, divided into an arm with 75 RHO mutation patients and 75 patients with any RP associated mutation (gene agnostic). The primary endpoint is luminance dependent navigation assessment (LDNA. As results from the Phase 1/2 study in Leber congenital amaurosis (LCA) become available, the trial could be expanded enroll LCA patients later in 2024.

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Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Another Record Quarter

Posted on May 15, 2024May 15, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Continued Growth. The first quarter marked another quarter of net sales growth for Lifeway, the 18th consecutive quarter to do so. The quarter was also the 4th in a row of recording record net sales. The record quarter is coupled with an improved gross margin from the prior year, flowing through to an improved net income. We believe the continued growth is a testament to management’s strategy in marketing its products and investments made towards production efficiency.

Another Record. Net sales were $44.6 million, a new record for Lifeway, from $38.9 million in the previous year and above our estimate of $43 million. Gross margin was 25.8% from 21.7% last year. Net income totaled $2.4 million, or $0.16 per diluted share, compared to $0.8 million, or $0.06, in the prior year. We estimated net income of $3.6 million, or $0.24 per diluted share.

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GeoVax Labs (GOVX) – 1Q24 Reported With Clinical Milestones Later In FY2024

Posted on May 15, 2024May 15, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Clinical Trial Treatment Continues With Milestones Ahead. GeoVax reported a 1Q24 loss of $5.6 million or $(2.47) per share. The company gave updates for its three trials testing GM04S1 and its Phase 1/2 trial testing Gedeptin, including the expected announcement about future clinical development for Gedeptin. Cash on March 31, 2024 was $0.8 million.

Gedeptin Is Finishing Its Phase 1/2 Study. The Phase 1/2 trial testing Gedeptin in advanced head and neck cancer has completed enrollment, with the next steps of development in planning stages. The current plan is to continue development in head and neck cancer, with an announcement coming regarding future trials. This could include testing in combination with an immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI). Trial data and development announcements are expected in 3Q24.

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FAT Brands (FAT) – First Step To A Twin Peaks IPO

Posted on May 15, 2024May 15, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Filing. FAT Brands announced the operating unit for Twin Peaks (TP) and Smokey Bones (SB) confidentially submitted a registration statement to the SEC to become a standalone public reporting company. While timing and completion of an IPO of the units is subject to numerous conditions, this is a first step.

Confidential? The SEC permits issuers to submit draft registration statements relating to IPOs for review by the SEC staff on a confidential basis. The confidential submission process is intended to give issuers more flexibility to plan their offerings and reduce the potential for lengthy exposure to market fluctuations that can adversely affect an offering. It is our understanding that a confidential filing allows the issuer to defer the public disclosure of sensitive commercial and financial information.

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Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – On the Path Leading to a Production Decision

Posted on May 15, 2024May 15, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results of the Clayton Valley feasibility study. Century released the results of a feasibility study (FS) for its Clayton Valley lithium project in Nevada. A phased approach was adopted. Phase I and II mining rates of 7,500 tonnes per day and 15,000 tonnes per day, respectively, are maintained over five years each, while the Phase III mining rate of 22,500 tonnes per day is maintained for 30 years. The production plan reflects a life-of-mine average of 34,000 tonnes per year of battery grade lithium carbonate or 13,000 tonnes and 27,000 tonnes per year during Phase I and II, respectively, and 41,000 tonnes per year during Phase III.

Updating our financial model. We have assumed the mine begins commercial production in 2029. Our mining model is for the years 2029 through 2069. While our financial assumptions are detailed in the body of this report, our valuation is based on the present value of free cash flows, and we have used a discount rate of 8.0%. Our price target for the equity is C$3.25 per share or US$2.35 per share. In our view, the project’s low operating cost after sales of surplus sodium hydroxide is a key differentiator relative to other lithium projects.

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Bitcoin Depot (BTM) – Planting the Seeds For Attractive Revenue Growth

Posted on May 15, 2024May 15, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A transitional quarter. The company reported Q1 revenue of $138.5 million, down 15% year over year, but beating our estimate of $134.7 million. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $4.9 million, higher than our estimate of $4.0 million. The results reflected redeployment of kiosks and lowered results in California due to unfavorable legislation.

Favorable kiosk growth. We believe that the company is setting the stage for accelerated revenue and cash flow growth through the deployment of kiosks. In Q1, the company increased the number of deployed kiosks by roughly 700. Post Q1, the company announced the purchase of approximately 2,300 Bitcoin kiosks at a sizeable discount of roughly 50% per-kiosk. The purchase brings the number of kiosks owned by the company to over 10,000, of which 7,061 were deployed, as of the end of Q1.

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V2X (VVX) – A Leadership Transition

Posted on May 14, 2024May 14, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, May 14, 2024

For more than 70 years, Vectrus has provided critical mission support for our customers’ toughest operational challenges. As a high-performing organization with exceptional talent, deep domain knowledge, a history of long-term customer relationships, and groundbreaking technical expertise, we deliver innovative, mission-matched solutions for our military and government customers worldwide. Whether it’s base operations support, supply chain and logistics, IT mission support, engineering and digital integration, security, or maintenance, repair and overhaul, our customers count on us for on-target solutions that increase efficiency, reduce costs, improve readiness, and strengthen national security. Vectrus is headquartered in Colorado Springs, Colo., and includes about 8,100 employees spanning 205 locations in 28 countries. In 2021, Vectrus generated sales of $1.8 billion. For more information, visit the company’s website at www.vectrus.com or connect with Vectrus on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A New CEO. Yesterday, V2X announced Jeremy Wensinger has been appointed President, Chief Executive Officer, and a member of the Company’s Board of Directors, succeeding Chuck Prow effective June 17, 2024. According to the Company, this leadership change is the result of a thorough Board-led succession planning process designed to ensure a smooth transition and continue V2X’s positive business momentum.

Board Statement. V2X’s Board noted, “Following a thorough process to identify our next CEO, the Board is confident that Jeremy is a strong, experienced leader for V2X’s next chapter of growth. He has a proven track record of delivering best-in-class financial and operational performance within the broad defense services and aerospace industry, as well as a strategic approach to managing businesses, building strong stakeholder relationships, and creating value.”

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