Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

GeoVax Labs (GOVX) – Raising Price Target To $10 Based On Program Progress

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, August 19, 2024

GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

GeoVax Has Made Substantial Clinical and Manufacturing Process. We are raising our Price Target on GEOX to $10 based on the recent progress that has driven the stock through our previous $6 target. The company recently announced a DARPA grant for CM04S1 and its Phase 2 plans for Gedeptin in HNSCC. Last week, Mpox news highlighted recent advances in GeoVax’s manufacturing platform and its MVA-based vaccine for smallpox and Mpox.

Mpox News Draws Attention To GeoVax’s MVA Manufacturing Platform. On August 14, WHO declared Mpox to be a “public health emergency of international concern”, or PHEIC, due to a new type of Mpox (formerly monkeypox) spreading in West Africa. The new type is more infectious and more fatal than the type seen 2022. The previous virus spread through sexual contact (bodily fluids), while the current strain has also spread to health care workers through contact with patients’ clothing and bedding.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Near Term Moving Parts, But 2025 Revenue Trends Appear Favorable

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 16, 2024

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 Results. Total company revenues of $2.95 million was in line with our $3.0 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA, which was essentially flat at a loss of $40,000, was in line with our loss estimate of $44,000. Q2 reflected sequential quarterly improvement from the Q1 adj. EBITDA loss of $1.6 million. 

A Lot of moving parts. We anticipate some noise in Q3 from the absence of Lori Goldstein’s brand. But, we expect a lift in Q4 revenue from holiday spending, particularly in Jewelry. Furthermore, the company has a lot in the pipeline; a launch of a food and kitchen products brand in Q1, expansion of Christie Brinkley’s brand, TWRHLL, including a possible launch into two big box retailers, and contributions from Halston, slated for Spring of 2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Traws Pharma (TRAW) – Traws Reports 2Q24 and Gives Post-Acquisition Update

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 16, 2024

Onconova Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing novel products for patients with cancer. The Company has proprietary targeted anti-cancer agents designed to disrupt specific cellular pathways that are important for cancer cell proliferation. Onconova’s novel, proprietary multi-kinase inhibitor narazaciclib (formerly ON 123300) is being evaluated in a combination trial with estrogen blockade in advanced endometrial cancer. Based on preclinical and clinical studies of CDK 4/6 inhibitors, Onconova is also evaluating opportunities for combination studies with narazaciclib in additional indications. Onconova’s product candidate rigosertib is being studied in multiple investigator-sponsored studies. These studies include a dose-escalation and expansion Phase 1/2a study of oral rigosertib in combination with nivolumab in patients with KRAS+ non-small cell lung cancer, a Phase 2 program evaluating rigosertib monotherapy in advanced squamous cell carcinoma complicating recessive dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (RDEB-associated SCC), and a Phase 2 trial evaluating rigosertib in combination with pembrolizumab in patients with metastatic melanoma.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Operations Were Integrated During The Second Quarter. Traws Reported a 2Q24 loss of $123.1 million or $(4.87) per share, including a $117.5 million charge for in-process research and development related to the acquisition of Transfynydd. Excluding the charge, net loss would have been around $5.7 million or about $(0.22) per share. The company ended the quarter with $16.4 million in cash, which we expect to fund operations and clinical milestone announcements through the end of 2024.

Influenza Program Is In Phase 1.TRX100 (tivoxavir marboxil) is a cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor for influenza. Inhibition of this enzyme in the influenza virus inhibits viral replication of both influenza A and B strains. Early dosing studies have shown safety and tolerability, with data to support a single oral dose for therapeutic or prophylactic use. A Phase 1 dose single-dose escalation study is currently in progress.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

QuoteMedia Inc. (QMCI) – Revenue Remains Lackluster

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 16, 2024

QuoteMedia is a leading software developer and cloud-based syndicator of financial market information and streaming financial data solutions to media, corporations, online brokerages, and financial services companies. The Company licenses interactive stock research tools such as streaming real-time quotes, market research, news, charting, option chains, filings, corporate financials, insider reports, market indices, portfolio management systems, and data feeds. QuoteMedia provides industry leading market data solutions and financial services for companies such as the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, TMX Group (TSX Stock Exchange), Canadian Securities Exchange (CSE), London Stock Exchange Group, FIS, U.S. Bank, Broadridge Financial Systems, JPMorgan Chase, CI Financial, Canaccord Genuity Corp., Hilltop Securities, HD Vest, Stockhouse, Zacks Investment Research, General Electric, Boeing, Bombardier, Telus International, Business Wire, PR Newswire, FolioFN, Regal Securities, ChoiceTrade, Cetera Financial Group, Dynamic Trend, Inc., Qtrade Financial, CNW Group, IA Private Wealth, Ally Invest, Inc., Suncor, Virtual Brokers, Leede Jones Gable, Firstrade Securities, Charles Schwab, First Financial, Cirano, Equisolve, Stock-Trak, Mergent, Cision, Day Trade Dash and others. Quotestream®, QModTM and Quotestream ConnectTM are trademarks of QuoteMedia. For more information, please visit www.quotemedia.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Weak Q2 Results. The company reported revenue of $4.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $0.5 million, lighter than our estimates of $5.0 million and $0.9 million, respectively. Figure #1 Q2 Variance highlights the company’s results against our expectations. Revenues stayed flat from the first quarter and decreased by 1.0% from the year earlier Q2 2023. 

Lackluster revenue outlook. Management indicated the lackluster revenue trends appear to be continuing into the third quarter in spite of a building pipeline of business. We believe that the company is being buffeted by clients switching to cheaper data alternatives (although this is low margin business) and lower volumes. 


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InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – Updating Estimates to Reflect Revised Guidance

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 16, 2024

InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. InPlay Oil reported second quarter net income of C$5.4 million or C$0.06 per compared to C$4.3 million or C$0.05 per during the prior year period. We had forecast net income of C$3.6 million or C$0.04 per share. Average quarterly production increased 2.2% to 8,657 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) compared to 8,474 in the second quarter of 2023.

Corporate guidance. InPlay trimmed its 2024 production guidance to a range of 8,700 to 9,000 boe/d from 9,000 to 9,500, and lowered expectations for crude oil prices. Lower production reflects foregone production from a Glauconite well that was drilled but experienced casing failure, downtime, and a decision to bring wells on later in the year. Expense guidance is mostly unchanged on a dollar per barrel of oil equivalent basis. Adjusted funds flow is expected to be in the range of C$80 million to C$85 million compared to prior guidance of C$90 million to C$97 million.


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Conduent Inc. (CNDT) – Nearing the Trough, Looking Towards the Future

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 16, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 beat. The company delivered solid Q2 with revenue of $828 million, slightly better than our forecast of $812 million, and adj. EBITDA of $35 million, 84% better than our estimate of $19 million. Importantly, we believe the company is nearing the trough of its operating results as its divestiture activity appears to be winding down.

Favorable trends emerging. Importantly, the Commercial segment, the company’s largest by revenue, appears to be trending positively. Management highlighted that new business signings rebounded in Q2. Additionally, the Transportation segment is positioned for sequential revenue growth in the back half of the year, buoyed by a large contract in Australia.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Its Transformation Appears To Be Working

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 15, 2024

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

In line Q2. Total company revenues of $2.95 million was in line with our $3.0 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA, which was essentially flat at a loss of $40,000 was in line with our loss estimate of $44,000. See Figure #1 Q2 Results for highlights. Q2 reflected sequential quarterly improvement from the Q1 adj. EBITDA loss of $1.6 million. 

Behind the numbers. In our view, the recent results reflect the company’s progress toward its high margin licensing model. But, the quarter also reflected the revenue from Lori Goldstein, which was sold on June 30. As such, Q3 will reflect the absence of revenue from that brand. Notably, the company’s developing brands, Christie Brinkley and C. Wonder, appear to be performing well and may offset a large portion of the anticipate revenue impact. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Unicycive Therapeutics (UNCY) – 2Q24 Reported With Guidance For NDA Submission By End Of August

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 15, 2024

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

OLC Data and NDA Dominated 2Q24. Unicycive reported 2Q24 income of $3.0 million or $0.08 per share and a loss of $(0.15) on a fully diluted basis. Loss from operations for 2Q24 was $7.4 million, with a gain of $16.8 million from the change in fair value of warrant conversion. This offsets a charge of $11.8 million in 1Q24, bringing the six-month total for fair value of warrant conversion to $5.0 million. Cash on June 30 was $41.8 million, which we expect to fund operations into 2H25.

Pivotal Study Met Its Endpoints and Showed Patients Reaching Target Levels. As discussed in our Research Note on June 26, Unicycive reported results from its OLC pivotal study met its tolerability and safety endpoints with data that compares favorably with Fosrenol (lanthanum carbonate). Over 90% of the patients were able to lower their serum phosphate to target levels, with 70% reaching target at the lowest dose tested. We believe these results could make OLC highly competitive in the marketplace.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Setting the Table for Future Revenue Growth

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 15, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Execution on target. The company reported a solid quarter, in line with our revenue estimate and better than our adj. EBITDA loss estimate. Q2 revenue was $21.4 million, roughly in line with our estimate of $22.0 million, while an adj. EBITDA loss of $2.1 million was better than our forecast of a loss of $4.0 million. In our view, the sequential revenue growth, coupled with a diminishing cash burn should serve as a favorable indicator of the company’s ability to execute its growth strategy, while targeting a swing towards profitability in 2025.  

Expanding distribution channels. Recently, the company announced that its products would become available at Home Depot. Products are already live on Home Depot’s website and various products are expected to arrive in a select number of stores in the coming months. We view this as a significant expansion that furthers the company’s ability to reach both the retail and professional channels at scale. As such, we believe the inclusion of SKYX products at Home Depot could accelerate revenue growth in both customer verticals.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Snail (SNAL) – Looking Beyond The Noise

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 15, 2024

Snail is a leading, global independent developer and publisher of interactive digital entertainment for consumers around the world, with a premier portfolio of premium games designed for use on a variety of platforms, including consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $21.6 million, and adj. EBITDA of $3.1 million, both of which were lower than our forecasts of $27.8 million and $7.4 million, respectively. In our view, there were multiple factors contributing to the shortfall, such as deferred revenue in the quarter, as well as lower than expected revenue from ARK: Survival Ascended (ASA) on Microsoft Game Pass.

Deferred revenue. Notably, deferred revenue is largely related to the five DLC packages included in the sale of ASA, of which four have not been released yet. Furthermore, as DLC packages included in ASA are released, the company will defer less revenue from future ASA sales. In our view, reducing deferred revenue will provide investors with a clearer picture of company operating results.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Schwazze (SHWZ) – Post Call Notes and Updated Model

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 15, 2024

Schwazze (OTCQX:SHWZ, NEO:SHWZ) is building a premier vertically integrated regional cannabis company with assets in Colorado and New Mexico and will continue to take its operating system to other states where it can develop a differentiated regional leadership position. Schwazze is the parent company of a portfolio of leading cannabis businesses and brands spanning seed to sale. The Company is committed to unlocking the full potential of the cannabis plant to improve the human condition. Schwazze is anchored by a high-performance culture that combines customer-centric thinking and data science to test, measure, and drive decisions and outcomes. The Company’s leadership team has deep expertise in retailing, wholesaling, and building consumer brands at Fortune 500 companies as well as in the cannabis sector. Schwazze is passionate about making a difference in our communities, promoting diversity and inclusion, and doing our part to incorporate climate-conscious best practices.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Audit. Schwazze and its auditor are working diligently to complete the necessary re-audit of the 2023 financials. While management did not provide a timetable, we believe the process will be completed in the near-term. No material misstatements have been uncovered to date. Once audited financials are filed, we expect the Company to apply for re-listing of its shares.

Re-Scheduling. We continue to expect re-scheduling to occur in the near-term, which will have a positive impact on the entire industry. Schwazze continues to believe the elimination of 280e taxes will have a significant impact on cash flows for the Company. The Company also will seek to refile past tax returns to capture prior excess taxes paid under 280e.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

QuoteMedia Inc. (QMCI) – Revenue Remains Lackluster

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 15, 2024

QuoteMedia is a leading software developer and cloud-based syndicator of financial market information and streaming financial data solutions to media, corporations, online brokerages, and financial services companies. The Company licenses interactive stock research tools such as streaming real-time quotes, market research, news, charting, option chains, filings, corporate financials, insider reports, market indices, portfolio management systems, and data feeds. QuoteMedia provides industry leading market data solutions and financial services for companies such as the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, TMX Group (TSX Stock Exchange), Canadian Securities Exchange (CSE), London Stock Exchange Group, FIS, U.S. Bank, Broadridge Financial Systems, JPMorgan Chase, CI Financial, Canaccord Genuity Corp., Hilltop Securities, HD Vest, Stockhouse, Zacks Investment Research, General Electric, Boeing, Bombardier, Telus International, Business Wire, PR Newswire, FolioFN, Regal Securities, ChoiceTrade, Cetera Financial Group, Dynamic Trend, Inc., Qtrade Financial, CNW Group, IA Private Wealth, Ally Invest, Inc., Suncor, Virtual Brokers, Leede Jones Gable, Firstrade Securities, Charles Schwab, First Financial, Cirano, Equisolve, Stock-Trak, Mergent, Cision, Day Trade Dash and others. Quotestream®, QModTM and Quotestream ConnectTM are trademarks of QuoteMedia. For more information, please visit www.quotemedia.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Weak Q2 Results. The company reported revenue of $4.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $0.5 million, lighter than our estimates of $5.0 million and $0.9 million, respectively. Figure #1 Q2 Variance highlights the company’s results against our expectations. Revenues stayed flat from the first quarter and decreased by 6.0% from the year earlier Q2 2023.

Slow start to the year. Management indicated following its first quarter results that client churn at the tail end of 2023 contributed to the slow start in 2024. As of the first quarter, the company anticipated a strong finish to the year as its pipeline was expected to improve. We expect more details on the second half following its investor call at 2pm ET, call number is 800.274.8461.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Cocrystal Pharma (COCP) – 2Q24 Reported With Focus On Influenza

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 15, 2024

Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics that target the replication process of influenza viruses, coronaviruses (including SARS-CoV-2), hepatitis C viruses and noroviruses. Cocrystal employs unique structure-based technologies and Nobel Prize-winning expertise to create first- and best-in-class antiviral drugs. For further information about Cocrystal, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Clinical Programs Reported Strong Progress. Cocrystal reported a 2Q24 loss of $5.3 million or $(0.54) per share, with $18.1 million in cash on June 20, 2024. The Phase 2a human challenge study testing the influenza vaccine CC-42344 is on schedule to report results later in 2025. During the quarter, preclinical testing for CC-42344 showed efficacy against the avian influenza A (H5N1), a new strain that has infected dairy cattle and has jumped to humans. Separately, CDI-988 reached a Phase 1 clinical milestone and is expected to report full top-line results for coronavirus and norovirus in late 2024/early 2025.

CC-42344 Moves Forward. CC-42344 is a vaccine for influenza that works through inhibition of PB2, a viral enzyme needed for early steps in the reproduction cycle of the influenza virus. CC-42344 has completed enrollment in a Phase 2a study testing the vaccine in human volunteers in the UK. Data is expected later in 2024, to be followed by an IND for clinical studies in the US. An inhaled version is currently in toxicology studies, with Phase 1 studies for prophylactic and post-exposure therapeutic use planned for 2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.