Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) – A Switch to an ATM Raise

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 15, 2022

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Proposed Equity Offering. Monday morning, FAT Brands announced an ATM sales agreement to raise a maximum $21.4 million through the sale of Class A common stock and/or the 8.25% Series B Cumulative Preferred. At Friday’s close, a full raise in common would add just under three million shares to the public float.

A Switch. The proposed ATM is a switch from the Class A equity offering floated by the Company just 10 days ago. That offering was tabled after the shares sold off some 17% over the weekend. Under the ATM, FAT can decline to sell shares if the shares cannot be sold at or above a price designated by the Company, which we believe is above $7.00 per share.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – The tide has turned but Euroseas is well protected

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results rise on higher shipping rates and additional ships. Euroseas reported net revenues of $46 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 versus $23 million for the same period last year. Higher revenues reflect an increase in the TCE rate to $30,893 from $19,482 and the deployment of 18 vessels versus 14 last year. Results were a few million below our forecast as was adjusted net income of $20.9 million. The company continues to buck industry trends by holding the line on vessel costs per shipping day.

Euroseas is well protected from the recent sharp decline in shipping rates. Euroseas has locked in 99% of its shipping days for the rest of the year, 78% of 2023 shipping days, and 54% of 2024 shipping days. In fact it has even chartered three new builds to be delivered in 2023. Management indicated it is unlikely to lock in rates any time in the near future for the four ships to be delivered in 2024. While realized TCE rates will undoubtedly slip below $30,000 in upcoming quarters, the company will not face the sharp declines most other shippers will face.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Energy Fuels (UUUU) – Sale of Processing Mill Viewed as a Positive

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Energy Fuels is a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying U3O8 to major nuclear utilities. Energy Fuels also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and is ramping up commercial-scale production of REE carbonate. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado, near Denver, and all its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch in-situ recovery (“ISR”) Project in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Project in Texas. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the U.S. today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year, has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant, as well as REE carbonate from various uranium-bearing ores. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Alta Mesa ISR Project is also on standby and has a licensed capacity of 1.5 million pounds of U3O8 per year. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the U.S. and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Energy Fuel reached a definitive agreement to sell the Alta Mesa mill to enCore Energy for $120 million. Energy Fuels will receive $60 million in cash upon closing and $60 million in convertible debt bearing an 8% annual interest rate. The mill is one of 11 licensed uranium processing plants and has an operating capacity of 1.5 million pounds per year. UUUU acquired Alta Mesa in 2016 for $13.6 million.

Energy Fuel, which operates Alta Mesa on a standby basis, did not have plans to activate the plant in the near future. Energy Fuel retains three other processing mills including the White Mesa mill which is licensed to produce 8 million pounds of uranium per year. We believe the White Mesa mill is large enough to meet all of UUUU’s uranium production needs in addition to producing vanadium and rare earth elements.The Alta Mesa plant costs approximately $2 million annually to maintain.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Beasley Broadcast Group (BBGI) – Driving Digital Revenue Growth

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. owns and operates 61 stations (47 FM and 14 AM) in 15 large- and mid-size markets in the United States. Approximately 20 million consumers listen to the Company’s radio stations weekly over-the-air, online and on smartphones and tablets, and millions regularly engage with the Company’s brands and personalities through digital platforms such as Facebook, Twitter, text messaging, digital and web applications and email. The Overwatch League’s Houston Outlaws esports team is a wholly owned subsidiary. The Company also owns BeasleyXP, a national esports content hub, and AXLR-R8, a Rocket League Championship Series team, in its esports portfolio. For more information, please visit www.bbgi.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Favorable Q3 results. The company reported revenue of $63.8 million, slightly beating our estimate of $63.0 million and at the higher end of its previous guidance range. The revenues benefited from strong digital revenues, up 23%, offset by declines in national advertising. Adj. EBITDA of $7.2 million was slightly lower than our estimate of $7.8 million.



Digital traction.  Digital revenue grew by 23.2% year-over-year and accounted for 16% of total revenue in Q3, an increase from 13% earlier in the year. Notably, Digital accounts for more than National advertising at 15% of total revenues. Additionally, digital margins grew from 14.4% in Q2 to 19.6% in Q3. Management reiterated its goal of digital revenue to account for 20% of total revenue in Q4.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Voyager Digital (VYGVQ) – FTX’s Fall Impacts Voyager

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 14, 2022

Voyager Digital Ltd.’s (TSX: VOYG) (OTCQX: VYGVF) (FRA: UCD2) US subsidiary, Voyager Digital, LLC, is a fast-growing cryptocurrency platform in the United States founded in 2018 to bring choice, transparency, and cost-efficiency to the marketplace. Voyager offers a secure way to trade over 100 different crypto assets using its easy-to-use mobile application. Through its subsidiary Coinify ApS, Voyager provides crypto payment solutions for both consumers and merchants around the globe. To learn more about the company, please visit https://www.investvoyager.com.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

The Collapse of FTX.  As widely reported, on Friday cryptocurrency exchange FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Included in the filing is subsidiary FTX US, the entity that had won the auction process for Voyager.

The Old Deal. Recall, back in October, the Bankruptcy Court approved Voyager’s entry into an asset purchase agreement between FTX US and Voyager. FTX US’s bid was valued at approximately $1.422 billion. Voyager’s claims against Three Arrows Capital would have remained with the bankruptcy estate and any recovery on account of the 3AC claims would have been available for additional distribution to Voyager creditors.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

TAAL Distributed Information Technologies (TAALF) – Reports Third Quarter Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 14, 2022

TAAL Distributed Information Technologies Inc. delivers value-added blockchain services, providing professional-grade, highly scalable blockchain infrastructure and transactional platforms to support businesses building solutions and applications upon the BitcoinSV platform, and developing, operating, and managing distributed computing systems for enterprise users.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q 2022 Results. Revenue totaled CAD$4.4 million for the quarter (all figures in CAD), or a decrease from the prior year’s $12.3 million, and is down sequentially from $7.3 million the previous quarter. The decrease from the prior year and quarter is due to the continuation of the macro trend in cryptocurrency with decreasing prices. Net loss for TAAL was $4.9 million, or diluted EPS of ($0.14), compared to net income of $2.1 million last year, or $0.05. We would note TAAL still does not have an auditor so all statements were prepared solely by management.

Continued Challenging Environment. The Company noted the continued volatility of the cryptocurrency prices, including the Company’s main coins, Bitcoin Core (“BTC”), BitcoinSV (“BSV”) and Bitcoin Cash (“BCH”). For BSV, the price of the coin was approximately $67 on September 30, 2022, and is now $52 as of November 10, 2022. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Maple Gold Mines (MGMLF) – A Rising Star in the Abitibi Gold Belt

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 14, 2022

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Maple Gold site visit. The company recently hosted a site visit for sell-side analysts and institutional investors. Mr. Matthew Hornor, CEO, and Mr. Fred Speidel, V.P. of Exploration provided a corporate update, including the company’s strategic priorities and an overview of the drilling program. The visit provided an opportunity to tour the property and core shack where participants were able to examine core samples and view technologies employed, including handheld/portable X-ray fluorescent (XRF) equipment.

Up to five rigs operating into 2023. Maple Gold recently secured a third drill rig to begin a 5,000-meter Phase III drill program at its 100%-controlled Eagle Mine property to follow up on the first two phases and test additional targets. Two rigs are deployed for the deep drilling program beneath and adjacent to historic underground mine workings in the Telbel area at the Joutel project, which is held in the company’s joint venture with Agnico Eagle Mines Limited. A 10,000-meter deep drilling program at Douay will commence in November with the deployment of a fourth rig. Management indicated that a fifth rig could be deployed at Douay.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Making Progress in a Challenging Market

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 14, 2022

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q22. Revenue of $1.17 billion was down 2.3% year-over-year (up 0.3% in constant currency). Consensus was $1.22 billion and we were at $1.23 billion. Kelly took a $30.7 million asset impairment charge related to its RocketPower acquisition during the quarter. As a result, GAAP EPS loss was $0.43 compared to net income EPS of $0.88 in 3Q21. Adjusted EPS for the third quarter was $0.25 versus $0.26 last year. We had projected adjusted EPS of $0.24.

GP Rate Continues to Improve. Management continues to drive gross profit rate. GP rate for the quarter was 20.6%, up 140 basis points y-o-y, with all segments once again reporting increased gross profit rate. The improvement has come from a combination of steps to improve organic GP and the addition of higher margin specialty business through recent acquisitions. We believe GP rate can continue to increase.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – Lower results reflect declining shipping rates, Price Target lowered.

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 14, 2022

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry reported 2022-3Q revenues, EBITDA and net income below comparable periods and our estimates. Net revenues of $15.8 million were below that of the same period last year ($19.5 million), the 2022-2Q ($21.0 million) and our estimate ($19.5 million). Results reflect a decline in TCE rates to $20,637 and a reduction in voyage days due to 92 scheduled off days. Adjusted ebitda was $9.5 million as the $4-5 million revenue shortfall versus previous periods and our estimate carried down to the ebitda line. Adjusted net income was $5.7 million, or $1.93 per share, well below our $9.5 million or $3.27 per share estimate.

The company’s sensitivity to shipping rates is apparent as it locks in rates at lower prices. EuroDry has locked in 53% of 2022-4Q shipping days but virtually no days beyond 2022. Shipping contracts agreed in recent months have largely been below $15,000 reflecting a 35-50% drop in pricing since the second quarter. Management remains confident shipping rates will eventually improve as global economic conditions improve but near-term comps will be tough. As such, this quarter’s decision to schedule off days for repairs and ship improvements while rates are low seems logical.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bowlero (BOWL) – Fiscal Q1 2023 Preview

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 14, 2022

Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Previewing Fiscal Q1. We are adjusting our forecast for Bowlero ahead of the company’s Q1 earnings release next Wednesday, November 16. For Q1, we are lowering our adj. EBITDA estimate, as we anticipate lower gross profit margins compared with the prior year period. We believe staffing costs in centers will be up over the prior year period, which was affected by COVID related staffing issues. 

Building in more seasonality. In our updated model, we are giving more credence to the seasonality of the business. Notably, the reduction in our adj. EBITDA forecast for fiscal Q1 is offset by a higher adj. EBITDA forecast in fiscal Q2. Our Q1 adj. EBITDA forecast is lowered from $72.0 million to $63.9 million and our Q2 adj. EBITDA forecast is raised from $73.1 million to $81.2 million, illustrated in Figure #1 Forecast Revisions.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Permex Petroleum (OILCD) – Permex approved to list on the NYSE, files offering registration

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 11, 2022

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Permex announced it has received approval to uplist to the NYSE. Shares are expected to begin trading on November 15 under the symbol OILS (warrants will trade under OILSW). The uplisting follows a October 31st announcement that Permex would consolidate outstanding shares on the basis of a one for every sixty pre-consolidation shares. We indicated at the time that we believed management was doing a reverse stock split as a prerequisite to uplisting on the NYSE. We believe listing on the NYSE will greatly enhance the company’s ability to attract investor attention and unlock Permex’s hidden value.

Permex has filed an offering registration. On November 4th, Permex file a S-1 Registration Statement with the SEC to offer 2 million common shares (post reverse stock split currently trading under the symbol OIL on the Toronto exchange and on the OTC under the symbol OILCD.) On November 9th, the company filed an addendum increasing the share offering to 3.6 million shares which now include a warrant to purchase shares at a 125% premium to the offering price. The offering is being done in conjunction with the uplisting implying it will be completed by November 15th.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

One Stop Systems (OSS) – A Record Revenue Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 11, 2022

One Stop Systems, Inc. (OSS) designs and manufactures innovative AI Transportable edge computing modules and systems, including ruggedized servers, compute accelerators, expansion systems, flash storage arrays, and Ion Accelerator™ SAN, NAS, and data recording software for AI workflows. These products are used for AI data set capture, training, and large-scale inference in the defense, oil and gas, mining, autonomous vehicles, and rugged entertainment applications. OSS utilizes the power of PCI Express, the latest GPU accelerators and NVMe storage to build award-winning systems, including many industry firsts, for industrial OEMs and government customers. The company enables AI on the Fly® by bringing AI datacenter performance to ‘the edge,’ especially on mobile platforms, and by addressing the entire AI workflow, from high-speed data acquisition to deep learning, training, and inference. OSS products are available directly or through global distributors. For more information, go to www.onestopsystems.com.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q22 Results. Record quarterly revenue of $18.8 million, up 17.7% y-o-y. Consensus was $18.5 million and we also had forecast $18.5 million. OSS reported GAAP net income of $132,533, or $0.01 per share, compared to $980,696, or $0.05 per share last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.03 in 3Q22, compared to $0.08 per share in 3Q21. We were at $0.02 and $0.04, respectively. Consensus was at $0.04 per share.

AI Transportable Business a Contributor. The AI Transportable business posted solid growth in the quarter, with two AI Transportable clients now in the top 10 of OSS’s clients. The Company won six major programs during the quarter, five of which are in the AI Transportables space. At quarter’s end, OSS had 30 pending awards, 18 of which are in the AI Transportables space.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Genco Shipping (GNK) – Another solid quarter in the books

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 11, 2022

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Locking in shipping rates when prices were high is paying off. Genco reported revenues of $136 million for the 2022-3Q. While revenues were below 2021-3Q levels of $155 million, they were close to 2022-2Q levels and our expectations. TCE rates were $23,624 down slightly from the previous quarter due to lower spot rates, but reflective of management’s strategy of locking in rates for roughly 75% of shipping days. With spot rates now having fallen below $15,000, such a strategy is proving to have paid off.

Costs are rising but shipping rates are still well above Genco’s break-even point. Genco, like most of the industry, is facing higher costs as labor, steel, and fuel costs rise. That said, shipping rates (even lower spot rates) are well above Genco’s break-even point of roughly $9,000/shipping day. The company continues to generate large significant free cash flow which it has used to reduce debt ($261 million since 2021) and pay a dividend ($2.74 per share in the last four quarters). Free cash flow will most likely decline in future quarters, but should be ample enough to continue to reduce debt and pay a dividend. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.