AZZ (AZZ) – Revising Estimates; Growth Outlook Remains Favorable


Friday, September 26, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updating estimates. We are lowering our second-quarter revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS estimates to $428.3 million, $93.4 million, and $1.54, respectively, from $433.5 million, $101.1 million, and $1.59. While we have increased our revenue estimate for the Metal Coatings segment, we lowered expectations for Precoat Metals due to anticipated weakness in building construction. Our FY 2026 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS estimates are $1.660 billion, $374.9 million, and $6.00, respectively, compared to our prior estimates of $1.680 billion, $388.3 million, and $6.00. Our revised estimates reflect lower interest expense, along with modestly lower depreciation and amortization expense.

Organic and acquired growth. AZZ’s three-year goals include generating sales of two billion dollars or more in fiscal year 2028, compared to its trailing twelve-month sales of $1.6 billion. Organic growth is expected to exceed GDP growth, and AZZ is targeting acquisitions that strengthen both of its business segments. While we do not forecast sales of $2.0 billion until 2031, our model does not reflect acquisitions until they are announced.


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