Wednesday, April 22, 2026
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Model Tweaks. With 1Q26 results to be released next week, we reviewed our assumptions and resulting estimates for the quarter. Titan continues to face inflation and tariff pressure and, more recently, extra pricing pressure from OEMs facing their own end market challenges. In addition, after speaking with management, we were too low on our tax assumption. Given the above, we lowered our earnings expectations, although we are maintaining our revenue and adjusted EBITDA projections.
Details. Revenue for 1Q26 is estimated at $495 million, consistent with our prior expectation. Adjusted EBITDA is $21.5 million, also consistent with our prior projections. We did lower our gross profit assumption to 13.9% from 14.9% and increased our tax expense assumption from $2.5 million to $5 million. As a result of the changes, our projected EPS goes from $0.09/sh to a loss of $0.02 per share.
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