Tag: Softbank

SoftBank Commits $100 Billion to US Tech and Jobs Under Trump Administration

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– SoftBank commits to a $100 billion investment in the US over the next four years, focusing on artificial intelligence and related infrastructure.
– The pledge promises the creation of 100,000 jobs in sectors like AI, semiconductors, and energy.
– The announcement follows SoftBank’s earlier ties with President Trump, marking a continuation of high-profile investment commitments to the US.

At a high-profile event in Mar-a-Lago, President-elect Donald Trump announced that SoftBank Group Corp. would commit to a $100 billion investment in the United States over the next four years. This pledge, made in partnership with SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son, signals a strong belief in the country’s economic future, according to Trump.

During the event, Trump expressed his excitement, attributing the investment to the “confidence” that the election results instilled in Son and SoftBank. “He’s doing this because he feels very optimistic about our country since the election,” Trump said. Son echoed these sentiments, emphasizing his confidence in the US economy, stating, “I would really like to celebrate the great victory of President Trump.”

The investment plan focuses on creating 100,000 jobs, particularly in areas like artificial intelligence (AI), data centers, semiconductors, and energy infrastructure. These sectors are expected to thrive as AI technologies advance, offering substantial economic benefits while supporting the digital transformation of industries.

The announcement marks SoftBank’s most significant commitment to the US since its previous involvement during Trump’s first term. In 2016, Son pledged to create 50,000 jobs as part of a $50 billion investment, which saw SoftBank backing US companies through its Vision Fund. Despite the challenges SoftBank faced with some of its investments, such as the infamous WeWork debacle, the company is once again positioning itself as a key player in US economic growth.

Trump’s administration previously attracted major corporations to the US with promises of corporate tax cuts and deregulation. This time, he has reiterated the importance of boosting domestic investment by foreign companies, including proposals to expedite the permitting process for projects exceeding $1 billion. While it remains to be seen how these promises will unfold, they are seen as a key element in Trump’s efforts to revitalize US manufacturing and technology sectors.

However, questions linger regarding the authenticity and financial feasibility of the SoftBank pledge. While SoftBank has been raising capital for a $100 billion chip venture focused on AI, it remains unclear how much of the new investment is genuinely fresh. At the end of September, SoftBank’s cash and equivalents totaled $25 billion, leaving a gap between available resources and the pledged amount. Despite these concerns, SoftBank’s recent success with the IPO of its chip design company, Arm Holdings, valued at around $160 billion, provides a solid foundation for future investments.

Son, who recently invested $500 million in OpenAI, plans to further expand his ventures in AI, which he believes will revolutionize every industry. As for the ambitious pledge, Son jokingly responded to Trump’s challenge to increase the commitment to $200 billion, saying, “I will really try.”

In the wake of Trump’s victory, the announcement of this major investment underlines SoftBank’s continued influence in shaping the US tech landscape, as well as Son’s belief in the transformative power of AI to drive future economic growth.

SoftBank Bounces Back: $7.6B T-Mobile Win Boosts Assets After String of Investment Flops

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Japanese conglomerate SoftBank Group saw its shares soar 5% this week after announcing it will receive a windfall stake in T-Mobile US worth $7.59 billion. The deal highlights a reversal of fortunes for SoftBank and its founder Masayoshi Son, who has weathered missteps like the WeWork debacle but is now reaping rewards from past telecom investments.

The share acquisition comes through an agreement made during the merger of SoftBank’s US telecom unit Sprint and T-Mobile. With the merger complete and certain conditions met, SoftBank will receive 48.75 million T-Mobile shares, doubling its stake in the mobile carrier from 3.75% to 7.64%.

This is a big win for SoftBank as it substantially increases its portfolio of listed assets. SoftBank has worked to shift towards more conservative investments after facing heavy criticism for pouring money into overvalued late-stage startups like WeWork. The Japanese firm was forced to bail out WeWork after its failed IPO in 2019, leading to billions in losses.

However, the T-Mobile windfall, along with the recent blockbuster IPO of SoftBank-owned chip designer Arm, helps balance the books. It also bumps SoftBank’s internal rate of return on its original Sprint investment to 25.5%, a solid result.

SoftBank Trading at Steep Discount Despite Strong Assets

Even with missteps like WeWork, SoftBank still holds an impressive array of assets from its years of prolific venture investing. Yet the Japanese firm trades at a 45% discount to the value of its holdings, presenting an opportunity for investors.

The influx of liquid T-Mobile shares adds more tangible value compared to some of SoftBank’s private startup investments. Having more listed stocks helps improve SoftBank’s loan-to-value ratio, giving it more marginable equity relative to debt obligations.

This could help narrow the gap between SoftBank’s market capitalization and net asset value. The T-Mobile windfall and Arm IPO shore up SoftBank’s balance sheet with listed assets at a time when the gap between its market cap and value of holdings remains substantial.

Son’s Missteps Bring Scrutiny But Vision Still Intact

While the WeWork bet soured investor perception of SoftBank’s investment strategy, Son has shown he still has an eye for disruption. His early investments in Alibaba and Yahoo! set the stage for his later dominance in late-stage startup funding.

However, the WeWork debacle led Son to pledge increased financial discipline and a shift towards AI-focused companies. Recent wins like the Coupang IPO and rising value of holdings like DoorDash reassure investors that Son still knows how to pick winners early.

SoftBank also stands to benefit from Son’s long-term vision on the potential of AI, having acquired chipmakers like Arm to position itself as a leader in the so-called Information Revolution. As AI comes to dominate technology over the next decade, SoftBank’s early moves could pay off handsomely if Son’s predictions come true.

T-Mobile Deal Highlights Importance of Sprint Merger

While US regulators initially balked at the T-Mobile/Sprint merger over competition concerns, the deal is now paying off for SoftBank. The Japanese firm’s persistence in pursuing the merger exemplifies its long-term approach, as the benefits are now apparent.

The combined T-Mobile/Sprint is now a much stronger competitor versus Verizon and AT&T, going from the 4th largest US wireless carrier to 2nd largest. T-Mobile has aggressively expanded its 5G network and subscriber base since completion of the merger in 2020.

SoftBank also benefited by negotiating the share acquisition as part of the original merger agreement, allowing it to substantially increase its T-Mobile stake down the road at minimal additional cost.

Final Thoughts

The T-Mobile share acquisition highlights a reversal of fortunes for SoftBank after missteps like WeWork resulted in negative headlines and billions in losses. While the firm still trades at a discount to the value of its holdings, the T-Mobile windfall and Arm IPO help increase its listed assets versus debt.

Son’s long-term vision and willingness to make bold bets still drive SoftBank, even if investments like WeWork went sour. With the US telco mission accomplished by enabling the Sprint/T-Mobile merger, SoftBank now has both its legacy telecom investment and new T-Mobile shares paying off. Looking ahead, SoftBank is well-positioned in AI and next-gen chips to ride disruption waves far into the future if Son’s predictions on technology evolution prove prescient.

The Rise and Fall of WeWork: How the $47 Billion Startup Crumbled

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

WeWork, once the most valuable startup in the United States with a peak valuation of $47 billion, filed for bankruptcy protection this week – a stunning collapse for a company that was the posterchild of the shared workspace industry.

Founded in 2010 by Adam Neumann and Miguel McKelvey, WeWork grew at breakneck speed by offering flexible office spaces for freelancers, startups and enterprises. At its peak in 2019, WeWork had 528 locations in 111 cities across 29 countries with 527,000 members.

The company was initially successful at attracting both customers and investors with its vision of creating communal workspaces. SoftBank, its biggest backer, poured in billions having bought into Neumann’s grand ambitions to revolutionize commercial real estate. WeWork was the cornerstone of SoftBank’s $100 billion Vision Fund aimed at taking big bets on tech companies that could be mold-breakers.

However, WeWork’s model of taking long-term leases and renting out spaces short-term led to persistent losses. The company lost $219,000 an hour in the 12 months prior to June 2023. Occupancy rates are down to 67% from 90% in late 2020. Yet WeWork had $4.1 billion in future lease payment obligations as of June.

Problematic corporate governance and mismanagement under Neumann also came under fire. Eyebrow-raising revelations around Neumann such as infusing the company with a hard-partying culture and cashing out over $700 million ahead of the planned IPO while retaining majority control further eroded confidence.

The lack of a path to profitability finally derailed the company’s prospects when it failed to launch its Initial Public Offering in 2019. The IPO was expected to raise $3 billion at a $47 billion valuation but got postponed after investors balked at buying shares. Neumann was forced to step down as CEO.

Since the failed IPO, WeWork has tried multiple strategies to right the ship. It has attempted to renegotiate leases, cut thousands of jobs, sold off non-core businesses, and reduced operating expenses significantly. For example, it got $1.5 billion in financing in exchange for control of its China unit in 2022.

WeWork also tried changing leadership to infuse more financial discipline. It brought in real estate veteran Sandeep Mathrani as CEO in 2020. Mathrani helped cut costs but could not fix the underlying business model. He was replaced in 2022 by David Tolley, an investment banker and private equity executive.

Additionally, WeWork tried merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) in 2021 that valued the company at $9 billion. But the co-working space leader continued struggling with low demand and high costs.

Commercial real estate landlords also pose an existential threat by offering their own flexible workspaces. Large property owners like CBRE and JLL now provide custom office spaces. With recession looming, demand for flexible office space has waned further.

As part of the Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, WeWork aims to restructure its debt and shed expensive leases. However, it faces an uphill battle to rebuild its brand and regain customers’ trust. The flexible workspace model also faces an uncertain future given hybrid work arrangements are becoming permanent for many companies.

WeWork upended the commercial real estate industry and had a meteoric rise fueled by stellar growth and lofty ambitions. But poor management and lack of profitability finally brought down a quintessential startup unicorn valued at $47 billion at its peak. The dramatic saga serves as a cautionary tale for unproven, cash-burning companies and overzealous investors fueling their growth.