Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Tatasham Could Be A Double Play


Thursday, January 05, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

On the second hole at Tatasham. Drilling began at the Tatasham porphyry copper target in late November. Drilling is expected to continue through this month. Aurania is on the second hole at Tatasham and expects to drill three or four holes to test areas identified during the company’s Anaconda mapping program. Following Tatasham, the company anticipates drilling at the Awacha porphyry copper target.

Surprising outcome on the first hole. While no assays have been received from rock samples or drilling, the first hole intersected a zone of massive silicification framed by two fault zones which management believes may have acted as feeder systems. Interestingly, the alteration is more typical of a gold system rather than porphyry copper. Management thinks it is probable that an epithermal system may be on top of a porphyry and shallow drilling could expose the volcanic plumbing system in at least one location. The goal is to locate the zone where gold could no longer be transported in the geothermal waters and deposited in the veins somewhere below the siliceous sinter.


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Metals & Mining Fourth Quarter 2022 Review and Outlook

Monday, January 03, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the bottom of the report for important disclosures

Mining companies outperform the broader market. During the fourth quarter, mining companies (as measured by the XME) appreciated 17.2% compared to a gain of 7.1% for the S&P 500 index. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) and Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) ETFs were up 18.8% and 21.0%, respectively. Gold, silver, copper, and lead futures prices gained 9.2%, 26.3%, 12.3%, and 6.1%, respectively, while zinc declined 1.1%. For the full year 2022, all indices outperformed the S&P 500 which declined 19.4%. Despite aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and U.S. dollar strength, gold performed as a store of value with the price ending just under where it began the year.

Will precious metals break out to the upside? The U.S. Dollar Index declined 7.7% during the fourth quarter, while the yield on the 10-year treasury note increased from 3.80% to 3.88%. While the Federal Reserve has signaled higher rates, an inflection point may have been reached as investors sought to preserve value amid deteriorating economic conditions, geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility. In our view, interest rates could peak by mid-year with the potential for easing depending on economic conditions. We think precious metals prices around current levels are sufficient for mining companies to be profitable and attract new investment. Our outlook is for range-bound pricing around current levels with a modest upward bias in the first half of 2023.

Less certain near-term outlook for industrial metals. While the price of copper declined 13.2% in 2022, the price rebounded in the fourth quarter. On a full year basis, zinc and lead prices were down 6.1% and up 1.2%, respectively. While the long-term investment case for owning industrial metals mining companies remains favorable, it may be too early to offer a bullish call due to near-term concerns about economic growth in the U.S. and abroad.

Putting it all together. In our view, precious metals mining companies, notably exploration companies, continue to offer attractive return potential. Should gold and silver prices hold recent gains, investors may begin to invest more confidently and aggressively. While the near-term outlook for industrial metals could be negatively impacted by near-term macroeconomic factors, an eventual return to economic growth could result in strong prices due to potential supply and demand imbalances.


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ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

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transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc..

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Maple Gold Mines (MGMLF) – Looking Ahead to a Catalyst-Rich 2023


Wednesday, December 28, 2022

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A top pick for 2023. During our recent Wall Street Wish List virtual conference, we highlighted our top picks for 2023. Maple Gold Mines Ltd. earned its place based on several competitive advantages, including a large 400 square kilometer land package in a prime location within the highly ranked mining jurisdiction of Quebec, a growing gold resource with significant expansion potential, an experienced management team and industry-leading joint venture partner, and a strong balance sheet.

World class potential. We believe Maple Gold represents an emerging world class gold project in Quebec’s renowned Abitibi Gold Belt. The company is well capitalized and is focused on establishing a new gold district through resource expansion and new discoveries. Both the Douay and Joutel projects have multiple styles of mineralization, including deep controlling structures, which are favorable for exploration and discovery of mineralized systems. Mines in the Abitibi are known for vertical continuity with higher grades at depth. Consequently, there is significant potential to increase the average resource grade with higher grade discoveries at depth.


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Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) – A Ballast for Portfolios in an Uncertain Market Environment


Wednesday, December 28, 2022

ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A top pick for 2023. During our recent Wall Street Wish List virtual conference, we highlighted our top picks for 2023. Alliance Resource Partners earned its place based on a superb management team, favorable fundamental outlook, and positive cash flow growth outlook. While fossil fuels are out of favor in some quarters, they power our economy. In our view, the geopolitical weaponizing of global energy supplies, along with the recent cold snap across the U.S. underscore the importance of reliable and affordable domestic supplies of coal, oil, and natural gas. Demand for fossils fuels will likely increase, with renewable energy increasing its share of the market share over time.

Earnings visibility is very strong. During the third quarter, Alliance executed new coal sales commitments for delivery of 5.6 million tons through 2025 at prices supporting higher margins. Based on contracted coal sales volumes in 2023 and 2024, the outlook for cash flow growth appears favorable. Alliance recently added a fifth continuous mining unit at its Gibson South mine and is adding another unit at the Hamilton mine. Within the oil and gas royalty segment, volumes are expected to benefit from two recent acquisitions that added 1,200 producing wells, 101 wells to be completed and 98 permitted locations on the acquired acreage.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Private Placement Financing Closed; Drilling Continues at Tatasham


Friday, December 23, 2022

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Private placement closed. Aurania closed the second and final tranche of its private placement of 4,244,598 units of the company for gross proceeds of approximately C$1.9 million. A total of 2,417,166 and 1,827,432 units were sold in the first and final tranches, respectively. In each case, units were priced at C$0.45 per unit and were comprised of one common share and one common share purchase warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.75 per warrant share for up to 24 months following the date of issuance. Net proceeds will be used to fund drilling and exploration activities at the Lost Cities project, along with working capital needs.

Drilling continues at Tatasham. Drilling began at the Tatasham porphyry copper target in late November. Except for a brief holiday break, drilling is expected to continue through January 2023. The company expects to drill three or four holes at Tatasham to test areas identified during the company’s Anaconda mapping program. Following Tatasham, the company anticipates drilling at the Awacha porphyry copper target.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Energy Fuels (UUUU) – Energy Fuels Inc. awarded $18.5 million sales for strategic reserve


Tuesday, December 20, 2022

Energy Fuels is a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying U3O8 to major nuclear utilities. Energy Fuels also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and is ramping up commercial-scale production of REE carbonate. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado, near Denver, and all its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch in-situ recovery (“ISR”) Project in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Project in Texas. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the U.S. today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year, has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant, as well as REE carbonate from various uranium-bearing ores. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Alta Mesa ISR Project is also on standby and has a licensed capacity of 1.5 million pounds of U3O8 per year. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the U.S. and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

The sales, along with recently signed utility contracts, will generate cash flow as UUUU starts up operations. Congress allocated $75 million to establish a national uranium security reserve in its 2020 budget. The US Energy Secretary indicated earlier that it expects to make four individual awards of 100,000-500,000 pounds of U3O8 for a total of 1 million pounds. Energy Fuels, as the largest licensed producer of uranium, was in a good position to receive one of the rewards. The UUUU announcement did not indicate a volume level. Peninsula Energy announced that it received an award for 300,000 pounds but did not specify a sales amount. 

The sales can be done right away before mining operations are restarted. The conditions of the DOE award state that the uranium must be physically located at Honeywell’s conversion facilities in Metropolis, IL. Energy Fuels currently holds about 610,000 pounds of U3O8 at Metropolis worth more than $30 million at current uranium spot prices. A volume awards similar to that for Peninsula seems reasonable implying that the DOE is paying a price near $60/lb. or slightly above current spot prices, and be well within current inventory levels.


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Eskay Mining Corp. (ESKYF) – Highlights from the 2022 Drill Program


Friday, December 16, 2022

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2022 exploration and drilling program. The 2022 exploration program focused on identifying new precious metal-rich volcanogenic massive sulphide (VMS) deposits, often found in district scale clusters, across the Consolidated Eskay project. Much of the focus was on defining the extent of VMS systems along the eastern and western limbs of the Eskay Anticline. Eskay Mining completed 29,500 meters of diamond drilling along the TV-Jeff corridor and along the Scarlet Ridge-Tarn Lake trend.

Assay results released. Eskay Mining released assay results for 42 holes drilled along the TV-Jeff corridor, including north of the Jeff deposit. Assays returned from holes completed in areas close to the TV deposit yielded significant intercepts of gold and silver mineralization. Wide-spaced drilling approximately 800 meters north of Jeff encountered a new zone of mineralization that yielded high-grade gold and silver values, some within longer intervals of lower grade mineralization. The company is awaiting assay results from maiden drilling in the Scarlet Valley-Tarn Lake area where several new VMS targets were drill tested in 2022.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Allegiant Gold (AUXXF) – Excitement Builds


Friday, December 16, 2022

Allegiant owns 100% of 10 highly-prospective gold projects in the United States, seven of which are located in the mining-friendly jurisdiction of Nevada. Three of Allegiant’s projects are farmed-out, providing for cost reductions and cash-flow. Allegiant’s flagship, district-scale Eastside project hosts a large and expanding gold resource and is located in an area of excellent infrastructure. Preliminary metallurgical testing indicates that both oxide and sulphide gold mineralization at Eastside is amenable to heap leaching.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Drilling at the East Pediment prospect. In late November, Allegiant Gold commenced a follow-up reverse circulation drilling program at the company’s East Pediment prospect to follow up on this year’s discovery of mineralized rhyolite with assays from Hole ES-258 returning intercepts of up to 4.4 grams of gold per tonne. Permits allow for up to 27 reverse circulation drill holes. To allow time for analysis of assay results, the program will be conducted in phases with the first phase comprised of  5 to 6 holes representing 2,000 meters of drilling.

Discovery Hole ES-258. The new discovery led Allegiant to stake an additional 194 mining claims covering parts of the pediment near Hole ES-258. Importantly, mineralization is open at depth where the bottom of Hole ES-258 returned 4.5 meters averaging 0.26 grams of gold per tonne and 13.66 grams of silver per tonne.


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Endeavour Silver (EXK) – Pitarrilla Takes A Step Forward


Tuesday, December 13, 2022

Endeavour Silver is a mid-tier precious metals mining company that operates two high-grade, underground, silver-gold mines in Mexico. Endeavour is currently advancing the Terronera mine project towards a development decision, pending financing and final permits and exploring its portfolio of exploration and development projects in Mexico, Chile and the United States to facilitate its goal to become a premier senior silver producer. Our philosophy of corporate social integrity creates value for all stakeholders.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updated technical report. Endeavour’s Pitarrilla project is an undeveloped silver, lead, and zinc property in Durango State, Mexico and encompasses 4,950 hectares across five concessions with well-developed infrastructure and access to utilities. Endeavor recently published an updated technical report highlighting total open pit and underground indicated mineral resources of 491.6 million ounces of silver, 1.1 million pounds of lead, and 2.6 million pounds of zinc, representing 693.9 million silver equivalent ounces. Total inferred resources include 99.4 million ounces of silver, 281.0 million pounds of lead, and 661 million pounds of zinc, representing 151.2 million silver equivalent ounces.

Next steps. In January, Endeavour will provide more detail regarding 2023 exploration plans at Pitarrilla. We expect it will represent the largest exploration expenditure in 2023, with Terronera shifting to development. At Pitarrilla, Endeavour expects to finish up a 1-kilometer-long tunnel that the previous owners had started which will be used as a drill platform to verify high-grade core.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Garibaldi Resources Corp. (GGIFF) – First Tranche of Private Placement Financing Closed


Thursday, December 08, 2022

Garibaldi Resources Corp. is an active Canadian-based junior exploration company focused on creating shareholder value through discoveries and strategic development of its assets in some of the most prolific mining regions in British Columbia and Mexico.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First tranche of funding closed. Garibaldi closed the first tranche of a private placement financing announced in late November. Garibaldi sold a total of 8,836,666 flow-through units at C$0.30 per unit for aggregate gross proceeds of C$2,651,000. Each unit is comprised of one flow-through common share and one-half of one common share purchase warrant. Each whole warrant is exercisable at C$0.45 per common share for a period of three years. The first tranche included the sale of 800,000 non-flow-through units at C$0.25 per unit for total proceeds of C$200,000. Each unit is comprised of one non-flow-through common share and one-half of one common share purchase warrant. Each whole warrant is exercisable at C$0.40 per common share for a period of three years.

Looking back on the 2022 drilling program. The 2022 drill program at E&L tested targets from the 2021 Geotech deep penetrating Z-Axis Tipper Electromagnetic (ZTEM) survey. Drilling intersected sulphide nickel-copper mineralization coincident with newly identified ZTEM anomalies. These broad geophysical targets track the Nickel Mountain Gabbroic Complex base metal corridor along strike of the 15-kilometer long Nickel Mountain Gabbroic Complex.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Allegiant Gold (AUXXF) – Successful Diamond Drilling Program Affirms Eastside’s High-Grade Potential


Thursday, December 08, 2022

Allegiant owns 100% of 10 highly-prospective gold projects in the United States, seven of which are located in the mining-friendly jurisdiction of Nevada. Three of Allegiant’s projects are farmed-out, providing for cost reductions and cash-flow. Allegiant’s flagship, district-scale Eastside project hosts a large and expanding gold resource and is located in an area of excellent infrastructure. Preliminary metallurgical testing indicates that both oxide and sulphide gold mineralization at Eastside is amenable to heap leaching.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Diamond drilling program. Allegiant released results from its seven-hole, 3,457-meter diamond core drill program within the high-grade zone at Eastside. The drill program targeted deeper high-grade gold-silver mineralization within the core of the Eastside Rhyolite complex as well as deeper portions of the contact between the rhyolite complex and the surrounding volcanic host rocks. The program followed up on high-grade results identified in 2021 reverse circulation (RC) drilling, including Holes ES-239 and ES-243.

Results reaffirm presence of high-grade zones. The program confirmed high-grade gold-silver mineralization that was observed in earlier drill Holes ES-239 and ES-243 and the occurrence of high-grade zones within the Eastside Deposit’s rhyolite host rock. Hole ES-280 returned 9.9 grams of gold per tonne over 1.5 meters and 5.3 grams of gold per tonne over 1.5 meters within a broader intercept of 0.63 grams of gold per tonne over 99 meters. Holes ES-281 and ES-282 returned 1 gram of gold per tonne over 12 meters and 49 meters, respectively, while Hole ES-285 intersected 2 grams of gold over 9 meters within a broader intercept of 0.46 grams of gold per tonne over 105 meters.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Drilling Begins at the Tatasham Porphyry Copper Target


Friday, December 02, 2022

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Private placement financing. Aurania closed the first tranche of its private placement financing of up to 4,444,444 units of the company for gross proceeds of up to C$2,000,000. In aggregate, 2,417,166 units were sold at a price of C$0.45 per unit for gross proceeds of C$1,087,725. Each unit is comprised of one common share and one common share purchase warrant that entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.75 per warrant share at any time until November 29, 2024. Aurania received an extension by the TSX Venture Exchange to close the second tranche by January 9, 2023, although we believe it will likely close by mid-December.

Drilling begins at Tatasham. Aurania has commenced its drilling program at the Tatasham porphyry copper target. We expect the company to drill up to four holes for a total of 2,700 meters, or an average depth of 675 meters per hole. Because Tatasham is a blind geophysical target with no mineralization at surface, we expect drilling will be an iterative process subject to refinement. Following Tatasham, the company anticipates drilling at the Awacha porphyry copper target.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Garibaldi Resources Corp. (GGIFF) – Looking Ahead to 2023


Thursday, December 01, 2022

Garibaldi Resources Corp. is an active Canadian-based junior exploration company focused on creating shareholder value through discoveries and strategic development of its assets in some of the most prolific mining regions in British Columbia and Mexico.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Private placement. Garibaldi announced a private placement to raise gross proceeds of up to C$4 million to advance its flagship E&L nickel-copper-cobalt project and other British Columbia properties, along with funding working capital. The offering consists of the sale of up to 10 million flow-through units (FT) at a price of C$0.30 per FT Unit for gross proceeds of up to C$3 million, and 4 million non-flow-through-units (Unit) at a price of C$0.25 per unit for gross proceeds of up to C$1.0 million. Proceeds from the sale of FT Units will be used to fund exploration, while proceeds from the sale of Units will fund working capital needs. See the body of this note for offering details.

2022 drilling program. The 2022 drill program at E&L tested targets from the 2021 Geotech deep penetrating Z-Axis Tipper Electromagnetic (ZTEM) survey. Of four holes drilled, two were successful, including Hole EL-22-97b, a deep hole which intersected two intervals of E&L gabbro more than 200 meters down plunge from previous drilling and intersected nickel-bearing disseminated and semi-massive sulphide mineralization. The two successful drill holes are lined with polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and Garibaldi intends to conduct a geophysical borehole electromagnetic (BHEM) survey to better plan future drill holes.


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