Tag: Mining

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Primed for Progress

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, June 02, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Annual general meeting. Aurania Resources will host its Annual Meeting of Shareholders at 1:30 pm ET on Thursday, June 12. Shareholders will vote to elect directors, appoint McGovern Hurley LLP as auditor for the ensuing year, and approve Aurania’s incentive stock option plan. Dr. Keith Barron, Chairman, President, and CEO, is expected to provide a brief update on activities following the formal part of the meeting. Aurania will provide a link to a video and/or audio replay of Dr. Barron’s update.

First quarter financial results. As an exploration company, Aurania does not generate revenue and incurs costs to advance its projects. During the first quarter, the company reported a net loss of C$5,106,264 or C$(0.05) per share compared to a loss of C$4,736,264 or C$(0.07) per share during the prior year period. Weighted average shares outstanding increased to 104,168,397 compared to 67,471,7737 during the first quarter of 2024. Exploration expenditures increased to C$3,949,010 compared to C$3,536,819 during the prior year period to fund activities in both Ecuador and France.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Aura Minerals’ Strategic Bet: Acquiring Serra Grande Gold Mine to Boost Growth in Brazil

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Aura Minerals to buy Serra Grande gold mine from AngloGold for $76M plus royalties.
– The mine has produced 3M+ oz of gold, with Aura aiming to boost output and cut costs.
– Deal set to close by late 2025, pending regulatory and operational approvals.

Aura Minerals Inc. has announced a major step in its growth trajectory with the acquisition of the Mineração Serra Grande (MSG) gold mine from AngloGold Ashanti, in a deal that could significantly reshape the company’s position in Brazil’s mining sector. The transaction, valued at an upfront $76 million plus a 3% net smelter return on existing resources, reflects Aura’s confidence in the long-term potential of this historically productive asset.

Located near Crixás in the northwest of Goiás, Brazil, Serra Grande has been a cornerstone of AngloGold’s Brazilian portfolio, producing over 3 million ounces of gold since 1998. With three underground mines, an open-pit operation, and a metallurgical plant boasting a capacity of 1.5 million tonnes per year, the site is well-established. The acquisition marks Aura’s strategic return to a familiar asset – several team members have prior experience with Serra Grande, positioning them to optimize its future operations.

Rodrigo Barbosa, Aura’s President and CEO, emphasized the transformative potential of the deal. “Through our disciplined capital allocation, Aura 360 culture, and a targeted exploration program, we believe we can significantly enhance performance, boost production, reduce costs, and extend the Life of Mine at Serra Grande,” Barbosa said. He also hinted at ambitions to make Serra Grande a new cornerstone in Aura’s diversified portfolio, which already includes operations across Brazil, Mexico, and Central America.

However, the acquisition comes with conditions. It is contingent upon antitrust approval from Brazilian authorities (CADE), the completion of a legacy tailings dam decommissioning, and a corporate restructuring to spin off certain non-core subsidiaries of MSG. Barring unforeseen delays, Aura expects to finalize the deal by the third or fourth quarter of 2025.

From a technical standpoint, AngloGold’s last reported resource statement (Dec. 2024) estimated over 1 million ounces of Measured and Indicated gold resources, with an additional 1.4 million ounces classified as Inferred. While Aura considers these numbers as “historical estimates” and not compliant with Canadian NI 43-101 reporting standards, they highlight the untapped potential of the site. Aura plans to verify and potentially expand these resources through further exploration and technical work.

This acquisition reflects broader trends in the gold mining industry: mid-tier players like Aura are increasingly seizing opportunities to acquire under-optimized assets from global majors. The shift also demonstrates growing investor appetite for junior and mid-cap miners with clear value creation plans.

By reinvigorating a legacy operation with fresh capital, experienced leadership, and its unique Aura 360 philosophy—which balances profitability with environmental and social responsibility—Aura is making a bold statement. If successful, Serra Grande could represent not just an increase in output, but a model for revitalizing aging mining assets across Latin America.

As global gold demand remains resilient and macroeconomic uncertainty supports strong prices, Aura’s calculated risk may well pay off, cementing its role as a nimble and forward-looking player in the mining industry.

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Right Time, Right Place, Right Project

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Investor webinar. Century Lithium recently discussed the Angel Island Lithium project during an insightful investor webinar. Key highlights included: 1) Angel Island is an advanced project with one of the largest lithium deposits in the United States, 2) the project employs a proven patent-pending process for chloride leaching, along with direct lithium extraction to produce lithium carbonate, 3) Century has a secured a 1,770 acre-feet per year water rights permit, and 4) the company has demonstrated its ability to consistently produce battery grade lithium carbonate on-site at its pilot plant in Amargosa Valley, Nevada.

Nearing completion of a Plan of Operations. Management expects to submit a Plan of Operations to the Bureau of Land Management within the next few months, which would enable the company to initiate the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) permitting process. We anticipate the NEPA permitting process could take between 12 and 24 months, depending on whether an environmental assessment or environmental impact statement is required. An environmental impact statement generally takes longer.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF) – Merritt Mill Expected to Commence Operations in June

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, May 19, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Cash flow sources to support operations. Nicola Mining (TSX.V: NIM, OTCQB: HUSIF) is advancing its flagship New Craigmont Copper Project and owns 100% of the past-producing Treasure Mountain high-grade silver, lead, and zinc underground mine with significant exploration potential and an active mining permit. Nicola distinguishes itself by offering investors significant discovery and value creation potential through its exploration activities at New Craigmont and Treasure Mountain while generating cash flows from the Craigmont Mill, which processes ore from third parties, a sand and gravel pit, rock quarry, and ready-mix cement plant. 

A modern mill to serve British Columbia. The Craigmont Mill in Merritt, British Columbia is equipped to process 200 tonnes of ore per day and is authorized for custom milling. Notably, the Merritt Mill is the sole facility in British Columbia permitted to receive and process third-party gold and silver feed from across the province. Nicola has executed Milling and Profit Share Agreements with several key partners, and a sales contract that enables global distribution of gold and silver concentrate.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Reports First Quarter Financial and Operating Results; Declares Quarterly Cash Distribution of $0.70 Per Unit; and Updates 2025 Guidance

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Research News and Market Data on Alliance Resource Partners

April 28, 2025

2025 Quarter Highlights

  • Total revenue of $540.5 million, net income of $74.0 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $159.9 million
  • $57.7 million increase in net income and $36.0 million increase in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the Sequential Quarter
  • Added 17.7 million tons of contract commitments over the 2025 – 2028 time period
  • 2025 expected coal sales volumes over 96% committed and priced
  • Declares quarterly cash distribution of $0.70 per unit, or $2.80 per unit annualized

TULSA, Okla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) (“ARLP” or the “Partnership”) today reported financial and operating results for the quarter ended March 31, 2025 (the “2025 Quarter”). This release includes comparisons of results to the quarter ended March 31, 2024 (the “2024 Quarter”), and to the quarter ended December 31, 2024 (the “Sequential Quarter”). All references in the text of this release to “net income” refer to “net income attributable to ARLP.” For a definition of Adjusted EBITDA and related reconciliation to its comparable GAAP financial measure, please see the end of this release.

Total revenues in the 2025 Quarter decreased 17.1% to $540.5 million compared to $651.7 million for the 2024 Quarter primarily as a result of reduced coal sales volumes and prices as well as lower transportation revenues. Net income for the 2025 Quarter was $74.0 million, or $0.57 per basic and diluted limited partner unit, compared to $158.1 million, or $1.21 per basic and diluted limited partner unit, for the 2024 Quarter as a result of lower revenues and a decrease in the fair value of our digital assets, partially offset by lower operating expenses. Adjusted EBITDA for the 2025 Quarter was $159.9 million compared to $238.4 million in the 2024 Quarter.

Compared to the Sequential Quarter, net income in the 2025 Quarter increased by $57.7 million as a result of higher oil & gas royalty revenues, which increased 18.7%, improved per ton costs at our coal operations, lower depreciation, and an asset impairment charge in the Sequential Quarter. Partially offsetting these increases, coal sales volumes declined 7.7% and the fair value of our digital assets decreased compared to the Sequential Quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the 2025 Quarter increased 29.0% compared to the Sequential Quarter.

CEO Commentary

“Our overall operations performed as anticipated during the quarter, delivering sequential and year-over-year cost improvements in the Illinois Basin,” commented Joseph W. Craft III, Chairman, President and CEO. “In Appalachia, we expect meaningful improvement in mining conditions for the rest of the year, leading to increased production and lower costs to fall within our 2025 full year guidance range.”

Mr. Craft continued, “We were active on the contracting front, securing 17.7 million tons of additional contract commitments over the 2025-2028 time period. For 2025, we now have over 96% of our projected midpoint coal sales volumes contractually committed. The domestic market strengthened considerably in early 2025 due to the cold winter season, higher natural gas prices, diminishing coal inventories, and upward revisions in electricity demand forecasts from our customers, who continue to recognize ARLP as a trusted partner for their critical baseload fuel requirements.”

Mr. Craft concluded, “On April 8, 2025, President Trump signed four Executive Orders to expand domestic coal-fired generation, seeking affordable electricity for the American people and grid stability in anticipation of growing energy demand which is critical for our country’s national security interests. The Executive Order addressing grid reliability cited that rapid technological advancements, an expansion of AI data centers, and increased domestic manufacturing are driving an unprecedented surge in electricity demand and placing a significant strain on our nation’s electric grid. The White House now forecasts that U.S. electricity demand is expected to rise 16% over the next five years, three times the growth forecasted just a year ago.”

Alpayana’s All-Cash Offer for Sierra Metals

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Alpayana offers $1.15/share cash for Sierra Metals in a board-supported bid.
– Sierra Metals’ board recommends shareholders accept the premium offer.
– Experienced Alpayana extends bid deadline to May 12, 2025.

In a development that could significantly impact small and micro-cap mining investors, Sierra Metals Inc. (TSX: SMT) has announced an agreement in principle for an all-cash takeover bid from Alpayana S.A.C. and its Canadian subsidiary, Alpayana Canada Ltd. The offer, priced at CDN $1.15 per common share, represents a board-supported initiative that aims to bring Sierra Metals under the ownership of the experienced Peruvian mining firm.

This agreement marks a potential turning point for Sierra Metals, a Canadian company focused on copper production with additional base and precious metals by-products from its Yauricocha Mine in Peru and Bolivar Mine in Mexico. The all-cash offer provides a clear exit strategy for current shareholders at a defined premium, pending the finalization of a support agreement expected by April 30, 2025.

The CDN $1.15 per share bid has garnered the unanimous support of Sierra Metals’ Board of Directors and a special committee of independent directors. This endorsement is further strengthened by an oral fairness opinion from BMO Capital Markets, Sierra Metals’ financial advisor, which suggests the offer is fair from a financial perspective to the company’s shareholders, subject to certain conditions and limitations. Consequently, the Sierra Metals board will unanimously recommend that shareholders tender their shares to the Supported Bid.

Alpayana’s interest in Sierra Metals comes from a position of financial strength and extensive operational experience. Alpayana is a family-owned, private mining company with over 38 years of experience operating in Peru. Notably, the company boasts annual revenues exceeding US$500 million and is currently debt-free, indicating a robust financial foundation to support this acquisition. Alpayana emphasizes a commitment to sustainable and responsible mining practices, focusing on the well-being of employees, communities, and the environment. Their track record includes successful mergers and acquisitions and a long-term investment perspective.

To facilitate the transaction and provide Sierra Metals shareholders ample time to consider the offer, Alpayana Canada has extended the expiry time of its existing takeover bid to 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on May 12, 2025. This extension suggests a commitment from Alpayana to ensure a smooth and considered process for shareholders.

For investors in the small and micro-cap space, this acquisition presents a potential opportunity to realize immediate value on their Sierra Metals holdings. The all-cash nature of the offer removes future market risk associated with the company’s stock. However, for those who believe in Sierra Metals’ long-term growth potential, particularly given its recent discoveries and exploration opportunities in Peru and Mexico, the offer might represent a premature exit.

The coming weeks will be crucial as the support agreement is finalized and Sierra Metals issues an amended Directors’ Circular with further details and its formal recommendation. Investors should carefully review these documents and assess their investment objectives in light of this developing acquisition.

Take a moment to take a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Research Analyst Mark Reichman’s coverage list for more emerging growth industrials and basic industries companies.

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – First Tranche of Private Placement Financing Closed

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, April 21, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Private placement financing. Aurania Resources Ltd. closed the first tranche of its previously announced non-brokered private placement financing of up to 5,000,000 units at a price of C$0.30 per unit for gross proceeds of up to C$1,500,000. An aggregate of 3,182,899 units were sold under the first tranche for gross proceeds of C$954,869.70. Dr. Keith Barron, CEO and a director, acquired 1,000,000 units under the offering and owns or exercises control over 47,672,635 common shares, 1,752,992 options, and 12,399,135 warrants representing 44.41% and 50.88% of the company’s issued and outstanding common shares on a non-diluted and partially diluted basis, respectively.

Terms of the offering. Each unit is composed of one common share and one common share purchase warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.55 for a period of 24 months following the closing of the first tranche. To accommodate demand, Aurania may increase the size of the offering by up to 25% and expects to close the remaining tranche(s) on or around April 24.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Endeavour Silver Expands into Peru with Strategic Acquisition

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Endeavour Silver enters Peru with a new silver-gold project, expanding beyond Mexico.
– Diversifies operations in a top silver-producing country for long-term growth.
– Strong exploration potential with high-grade mineralization and existing infrastructure.

Endeavour Silver, a mid-tier silver producer with operations primarily in Mexico, has signed an agreement to acquire a high-potential project in Peru. The acquisition aligns with the company’s long-term goal of diversifying its portfolio beyond Mexico while increasing its production pipeline.

The newly acquired project is located in a historically prolific mining district known for its high-grade silver and gold deposits. With existing infrastructure and promising exploration potential, the site offers Endeavour an opportunity to accelerate development while leveraging its operational expertise in underground silver mining.

For Endeavour Silver, expanding into Peru is a natural progression. The company has successfully built and operated several silver mines in Mexico, including its flagship Guanaceví and Bolañitos operations. By entering Peru, one of the world’s top silver-producing nations, Endeavour is positioning itself for sustainable growth amid rising global demand for silver and gold.

The deal also reduces the company’s reliance on a single jurisdiction, a move that could mitigate geopolitical risks associated with operating exclusively in Mexico. With silver prices showing strength due to increasing industrial and investment demand, Endeavour Silver’s expansion comes at an opportune time.

The newly acquired project boasts a combination of historical high-grade production and strong exploration upside. Preliminary geological assessments indicate the presence of high-quality silver and gold mineralization, suggesting strong resource expansion potential.

Endeavour Silver plans to commence a detailed exploration program, including drilling and metallurgical testing, to assess the project’s full potential. Depending on results, the company aims to advance toward development and production in the coming years.

For investors, Endeavour Silver’s move into Peru signals a commitment to long-term growth and value creation. Expanding into a new mining-friendly jurisdiction with a high-potential project could enhance the company’s production profile and profitability.

The announcement also underscores the broader trend of small and mid-cap miners looking beyond their traditional operating regions to capitalize on attractive, underdeveloped assets. As silver demand remains strong due to its industrial applications (such as in solar panels and electronics) and investment appeal, Endeavour’s strategic expansion could position it as a key player in the evolving market.

Endeavour Silver’s acquisition in Peru is a bold step that could redefine its future. By entering a world-class mining jurisdiction with a high-grade project, the company is strengthening its asset base while de-risking its geographic exposure. With exploration efforts set to begin, investors will be watching closely to see how the company unlocks value from this newly acquired asset.

Maple Gold Mines (MGMLF) – Setting Up for an Eventful 2025

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, December 23, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Completion of the restructuring transaction. As expected, Maple Gold Mines recently completed its joint venture restructuring transaction with Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (NYSE, AEM). Maple has legal title to and a 100% ownership interest in the Douay Gold Project with gold mineral resources exceeding 3.0 million ounces and the past-producing, high-grade Joutel Gold Project. Both projects are located along the Casa Berardi-Douay Gold Trend in the renowned Abitibi Greenstone Gold Belt in Quebec, Canada.

Upcoming drilling program. Maple Gold’s fully funded drilling program is expected to commence shortly and run through March. The company is using a data-driven approach toward exploration that is focused on expanding the company’s gold mineral resource from approximately three million ounces to five million ounces across the combined Douay/Joutel projects, along with making new discoveries. An updated resource estimate and scoping study is expected to be completed within the next 12 to 18 months (Refer to our research note dated December 12 for more details).


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Agnico Eagle to Acquire O3 Mining in Strategic $204 Million Transaction

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Agnico Eagle is acquiring O3 Mining for $204 million at a 58% premium to its recent share price.
– The deal integrates O3’s Marban Alliance project with Agnico’s Canadian Malartic complex to boost production.
– The transaction has full board approval and support from 22% of O3 shareholders.

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited has announced a definitive agreement to acquire O3 Mining Inc., a gold exploration and development company based in Québec, Canada. This $204 million all-cash transaction marks a pivotal step for both companies, with Agnico Eagle enhancing its regional strategy and O3 Mining securing substantial value for its shareholders.

Under the terms of the agreement, O3 Mining shareholders will receive $1.67 per share, representing a 58% premium to the company’s closing price as of December 11, 2024. The transaction has been unanimously endorsed by O3 Mining’s Board of Directors and Special Committee, with support from shareholders owning approximately 22% of the company’s outstanding shares.

This acquisition focuses on O3 Mining’s flagship property, the Marban Alliance project, located near Agnico Eagle’s Canadian Malartic complex in Québec’s Abitibi region. The Marban Alliance includes the Marban deposit, which boasts 1.7 million ounces of gold in indicated mineral resources and an additional 32,000 ounces in inferred resources. This advanced exploration project has the potential to support a large-scale open-pit mining operation, making it an ideal fit for Agnico Eagle’s existing infrastructure and expertise.

Agnico Eagle President and CEO, Ammar Al-Joundi, described the acquisition as a continuation of the company’s regional strategy. “The Marban deposit complements our ‘Fill-the-Mill’ initiatives at the Canadian Malartic complex. With our operational expertise and established infrastructure, we aim to unlock the full potential of this asset while driving sustainable value for stakeholders.”

The integration of the Marban Alliance property into Agnico Eagle’s operations is expected to generate significant synergies by leveraging existing facilities, including the Canadian Malartic mill and equipment fleet. These efficiencies will enhance production capabilities, improve the overall production profile, and create long-term benefits for the region.

O3 Mining President and CEO, José Vizquerra, expressed enthusiasm about the transaction. “This offer provides exceptional value for our shareholders and validates the efforts of the O3 Mining team over the past five years. Agnico Eagle’s financial strength and commitment to stakeholder collaboration make it the ideal partner to advance the Marban Alliance project through permitting and construction.”

The transaction will formally commence with Agnico Eagle’s mailing of a takeover bid circular on December 19, 2024, and O3 Mining’s directors will respond with their recommendation. Shareholders have until January 23, 2025, to tender their shares. The agreement includes customary conditions, such as the approval of at least two-thirds of O3 Mining’s shareholders.

In addition to the Marban Alliance project, O3 Mining’s portfolio includes the Alpha and Kinebik properties, offering further exploration opportunities. The deal underscores Agnico Eagle’s position as a leader in the precious metals industry, with operations spanning Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico.

This acquisition signifies a major milestone in Agnico Eagle’s growth strategy and reinforces its commitment to sustainable mining practices, operational excellence, and community partnership. As the two companies move forward, the transaction is poised to unlock new opportunities and solidify Agnico Eagle’s leadership in the global gold mining sector.

Take a moment to take a look at more emerging growth metals & mining companies by taking a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Research Analyst Mark Reichman’s coverage list.

Gold Prices Dip as Fed Meeting Looms

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points
– Gold fell 0.6% to $2,636.89 per ounce as the dollar and Treasury yields strengthened.
– A widely expected 25 basis-point Fed rate cut this week has not buoyed gold, with attention shifting to 2025 projections.
– Other precious metals, including silver, platinum, and palladium, also saw declines.

Gold prices fell on Tuesday as market participants adjusted their expectations for Federal Reserve policy in 2025. Spot gold dropped by 0.6% to $2,636.89 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures declined 0.7% to $2,650.50. The precious metal faced downward pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields, signaling a cautious investor outlook ahead of the Federal Reserve’s final policy meeting of the year.

Key Drivers of Gold’s Retreat

Federal Reserve Expectations: Investors anticipate a 25 basis-point rate cut during this week’s meeting, with a staggering 97% probability according to the CME’s FedWatch tool. However, projections for 2025 suggest a more gradual pace of easing, tempering gold’s appeal. Analysts believe this cautious approach reflects lingering concerns over inflation and economic stability.The Federal Reserve’s updated economic projections and the dot plot are expected to shed light on how policymakers view the trajectory of interest rates in the years ahead. A more hawkish stance than currently anticipated could put additional pressure on gold prices, as higher rates reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.

Economic Data Signals: Strong U.S. retail sales in November and recent warmer inflation readings have introduced the possibility that the Fed could pause additional rate cuts in January, adding uncertainty to the outlook for gold. Robust consumer spending, which has been a key driver of economic growth, suggests that the U.S. economy remains resilient despite previous rate hikes. This resilience could push the Fed to adopt a more measured approach to future rate cuts, weighing on gold’s safe-haven demand.

Currency and Bond Market Impact: A modest 0.1% gain in the U.S. dollar index made gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Concurrently, 10-year Treasury yields climbed to a four-week high, further diminishing bullion’s allure. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, prompting some investors to shift toward income-generating assets.

    Market Insights

    Analysts remain cautious about gold’s near-term trajectory. “Heading into the Fed meeting, risks for gold are actually tilted to the downside,” noted Zain Vawda of MarketPulse. Similarly, Fawad Razaqzada of Forex.com highlighted the importance of the Fed’s stance on rate cuts in shaping market sentiment. If the Fed signals a more cautious approach to easing, gold could face continued headwinds.

    Beyond the immediate Fed meeting, traders are also eyeing key U.S. GDP and inflation data due later this week. These indicators will provide further clarity on the economic outlook and could influence gold’s performance heading into 2024. Historically, gold has thrived in low-interest-rate environments, but the prospect of a slower pace of rate cuts could limit its upside momentum.

    Broader Precious Metals Market

    The decline in gold was mirrored across other metals:

    • Silver: Fell 0.7% to $30.30 per ounce, as the industrial metal reacted to broader economic signals and a stronger dollar.
    • Platinum: Dropped 0.3% to $932.93 per ounce, weighed down by weak demand prospects in the automotive sector.
    • Palladium: Declined 1.5% to $932.75 per ounce, continuing its downward trend amid waning interest from industrial buyers.

    These moves underscore the interconnected nature of precious metals markets, where factors such as dollar strength and interest rate expectations play a pivotal role.

    Looking Ahead

    Traders are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. GDP and inflation data later this week for further insights. Gold’s performance in the near term will hinge on how the Fed’s messaging aligns with market expectations. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and potential shifts in global monetary policy could impact gold’s safe-haven appeal.

    For now, the metal’s trajectory remains uncertain, with market sentiment hinging on the Fed’s ability to balance inflation control with economic growth. As the central bank’s decisions unfold, gold traders will need to stay nimble to navigate the evolving landscape.

    Major Drilling Expands South American Presence with Acquisition of Explomin

    Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
    Key Points:
    – Acquisition strengthens Major Drilling’s presence in Peru and expands access to Colombia, the Dominican Republic, and Spain.
    – Adds 92 drills, increasing Major Drilling’s fleet to 701, reinforcing its industry leadership.
    – Initial $63M payment, plus $22M potential earn-out based on Explomin’s EBITDA growth targets.

    In a strategic move to bolster its drilling capabilities and expand its footprint in South America, Major Drilling Group International Inc. has announced the acquisition of Explomin Perforaciones, a leading drilling contractor based in Lima, Peru. The deal, valued up to $85 million USD, is expected to significantly enhance Major Drilling’s access to the copper market and increase its service offerings in specialty drilling.

    Explomin is one of the largest specialty drillers in South America, offering deep-hole, directional, high-altitude, and underground drilling services. The acquisition strengthens Major Drilling’s portfolio in copper and other essential minerals, which aligns with its growth strategy focused on geographical and service expansion.

    In the twelve months ending October 31, 2024, Explomin generated approximately $95 million USD in revenue, with an EBITDA of $16 million USD, underscoring its solid standing in the industry. Around 90% of Explomin’s revenue is derived from partnerships with senior mining companies, a client base that Major Drilling expects to build upon.

    Major Drilling’s CEO, Denis Larocque, highlighted the strategic value of this acquisition, noting that it aligns with the company’s long-term growth objectives, supports sustainable development goals, and builds on both companies’ shared cultural and operational values. Carlos Urrea, Chairman of Explomin, emphasized the potential for continued growth and praised the contributions of Explomin’s team, stating that the partnership would position both companies to thrive.

    Under the acquisition agreement, Major Drilling paid an upfront cash amount of $63 million USD with the potential for an additional $22 million USD contingent on Explomin meeting specific EBITDA milestones over the next three years. This structure incentivizes Explomin to achieve an average annual EBITDA of $21 million USD during the earn-out period. Funding for this acquisition is supported by Major Drilling’s current cash reserves and debt facilities, reflecting the company’s strong financial position.

    This acquisition positions Major Drilling to capitalize on increasing demand in the copper market and enhances its service portfolio in high-growth regions. The integration of Explomin is expected to be accretive, contributing positively to Major Drilling’s revenue streams and expanding its influence in the competitive mining sector.

    Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Setting Up for the 2025 Drilling Program

    Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


    Monday, November 04, 2024

    Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

    Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Kuri-Yawi geophysical survey. Aurania commenced an induced polarization (IP) geophysical survey over its Kuri-Yawi gold target where the discovery of numerous sinters in 2018 revealed the area to be highly prospective for epithermal gold mineralization. Kuri-Yawi is the most advanced epithermal target at the company’s Lost Cities-Cutucu project in southeastern Ecuador and may represent the quickest path for a successful outcome based on work that has already been completed, along with easy access. In 2020 and 2021, nine scout holes were drilled that indicated a vector to mineralization toward the northeast which is the focus of the IP survey.

    Preparing for the 2025 drilling program. The IP survey is designed to identify deep conductors that could correspond to gold mineralization, and to target drill holes for the planned program in 2025. The IP survey is expected to be completed by mid-December 2024, with results expected in early 2025 following a review and interpretation of the data.


    Get the Full Report

    Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

    This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

    *Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.