EuroDry (EDRY) – Updating Estimates; Rating Remains an Outperform


Monday, July 29, 2024

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Eurodry operates a competitive fleet. EuroDry Ltd. owns and operates dry bulk carriers that transport major bulks, including iron ore, coal, grains, and minor bulks such as bauxite, phosphate, and fertilizer. Eurodry’s fleet is comprised of 13 dry bulk carriers, including five Panamax, five Ultramax, two Kamsarmax, and one Supramax dry bulk carriers all of which are in operation. The total cargo carrying capacity of the company’s 13 dry bulk carriers is 918,502 deadweight tonnes (dwt). The average age of the fleet is 13.5 years. The orderbook in the sector is nearing a 20-year low and demand growth for drybulk vessels appears strong through at least the remainder of 2024. Some uncertainty exists beyond 2024, particularly with respect to bulk commodity demand in China.

Updating estimates. We have lowered our 2024 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $23.8 million and $1.54, respectively, from $28.1 million and $2.05. The revisions reflect fewer available days in the second and third quarters due to drydocking, along with modestly lower time charter equivalent rates.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Two Time Charters with Costamare Bulkers Inc.; Updating Estimates


Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

M/V Iconship. In mid-June, Seanergy announced the delivery of the M/V Iconship and the simultaneous commencement of its employment. The M/V Iconship is on a time-charter with Costamare Bulkers, Inc. for ~22 months. The daily hire is based at a premium over the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI). The company has the option to convert the daily hire from index-linked to fixed for a period of two to twelve months based on prevailing Capesize forward freight agreements (FFA).

M/V Lordship. The M/V Lordship, a scrubber-fitted Capesize dry bulk vessel built in 2010, has also been fixed on a time-charter with Costamare. The time-charter is expected to commence around the end of July, following the vessel’s scheduled drydocking, for a period of ~22 months.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Updated Model


Wednesday, July 10, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Model Updates. We updated our model to reflect the upcoming loss of the South Texas contract in mid-August. While a significant loss, we believe the ongoing increase in ICE detainees elsewhere could help soften the South Texas blow and we remain hopeful additional state and local contracts could be signed.

Details. As a reminder, South Texas generates approximately $40 million in quarterly revenue and generates approximately $0.10 per share in quarterly EPS. We assumed half of a quarter impact for 3Q24 and a full quarter impact in 4Q24. We kept the majority of the rest of the model consistent, although there may be some cost savings initiatives CoreCivic is able to put in place. We held our 2Q24 estimates the same.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

NN, Inc. (NNBR) – Strengthening the Balance Sheet


Wednesday, July 03, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Facility Sale. Last night after the market closed, NN disclosed the sale of its lone plastics products plant, known as Industrial Molding Corporation (IMC), to Davalor Mold Company, a wholly owned portfolio company of Blackford Capital. Total net cash proceeds will be approximately $16 million. The business was non-core to NN.

Use of Proceeds. NN will use the net proceeds from the sale to pay down debt. At the end of the first quarter, NN had $151.5 million of long-term debt outstanding. All else equal, we would anticipate the Company to pay down its term loan, which had an all in interest rate of 14.3% at the end of 1Q, compared to the ABL rate of 7.42%. A $16 million payment would result in over $2 million of interest cost savings.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Haynes International (HAYN) – Key U.S. Regulatory Approval; Updating Estimates


Monday, July 01, 2024

Haynes International, Inc. is a leading developer, manufacturer and marketer of technologically advanced, nickel and cobalt-based high-performance alloys, primarily for use in the aerospace, industrial gas turbine and chemical processing industries.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Key U.S. regulatory approval. Haynes International announced that clearance has been obtained from the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) related to the planned merger with North American Stainless, Inc. The merger remains subject to approvals from regulatory authorities in the United Kingdom and Austria. All other regulatory approvals and clearances have been obtained where the applicable authorities have asserted jurisdiction. The company continues to expect that the merger will close in the fourth calendar quarter of 2024.

Chief Operating Officer appointment. Mr. Marlin (Marty) Losch has been named Chief Operating Officer, a newly created role, and will have responsibility for all commercial and operational activities. Mr. Losch joined the company in 1988 and previously served as Vice President of Sales and Distribution. Mr. Losch has held various positions of increasing responsibility in marketing, quality engineering, and production. Mr. Losch’s expanded role should be helpful to Mr. Michael Shor, President and CEO, as Mr. Shor focuses more attention on closing the company’s merger with North American Stainless Inc, a division of Acerinox S.A. Additionally, we expect the appointment to enhance post transaction integration.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FreightCar America (RAIL) – Poised for Greater Scale and Margin Expansion


Friday, June 28, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating coverage with an Outperform rating. FreightCar America, Inc. is a diversified manufacturer of railroad cars and rail car components. The company designs and manufactures a broad variety of railroad car types for the transportation of bulk commodities and containerized freight products primarily in North America. These include open top hoppers, covered hoppers, gondolas, and intermodal and non-intermodal flat cars. FreightCar America and its predecessors have been manufacturing railroad cars since 1901.

Unique competitive advantages. FreightCar America is a pure play manufacturer that has unique manufacturing capabilities that allow it to respond to customer orders with short lead times due to its ability to set up a production line to batch produce orders and quickly change over to the next line for a different product type. Its engineering capabilities allow it to offer tailored solutions in areas unmet by competitors.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – A Resolution for Lawton


Thursday, June 27, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Resolution. In a quick turnaround, The GEO Group and the State of Oklahoma Department of Corrections (ODOC) reached an agreement on a one-year contract to continue operating the Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility (LCRF) through June 2025. The Board of Correction approval allows the contract to move forward in the process to be approved by the Attorney General’s office and executed by ODOC.

Changes. As part of the agreement, ODOC will reduce the number of inmates housed at LCRF to 2,388 from a current 2,616. With the population reduction, GEO has pledged to actively work to reduce violence, provide more access to programs, and grant more out-of-cell time for the inmates.


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NN, Inc. (NNBR) – A CFO Change


Tuesday, June 25, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A CFO Change. Yesterday, NN, Inc. announced the appointment of Chris Bohnert as Chief Financial Officer, effective June 25, 2024. Mr. Bohnert assumes the position from Mike Felcher, who will stay on as a consultant, most likely through the second quarter reporting season.

Why? In a word, experience. According to management, NN needed a “been there, done that” to of finance person and Mr. Bohnert’s background fit the bill. Mr. Bohnert had been working with NN on an advisory basis in the refinancing process and previously worked with CEO Harold Bevis at Commercial Vehicle Group (CVG). We believe his appointment will enable CEO Bevis to push for faster change, both operationally and financially.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Ahead of Artemis 2, V2X Awarded $265 Million Contract to Support NASA Astronauts Going to Space

Research News and Market Data on VVX

MCLEAN, Va., June 24, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — V2X, Inc. (NYSE: VVX) has been awarded a $265 million contract to maintain safe operations at NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston, specifically at the Sonny Carter Training Facility, where astronauts receive crucial training to prepare for human spaceflight missions. V2X will deliver technical support to ensure the reliability of the integrated hardware and software systems utilized at the Neutral Buoyancy Laboratory (NBL). The contract’s period of performance extends until 2033, including option periods.

The NBL will serve as a training ground for NASA’s upcoming Artemis 2 mission, scheduled to launch in September 2025. The Artemis 2 missions will include the historic journey of the first woman and person of color to visit the moon, marking humanity’s return to the lunar surface after more than fifty years. The crew will land near the moon’s south pole, a region characterized by immense craters, extreme temperatures, and areas of permanent darkness, thus requiring extensive and meticulous preparation.

“We are honored to continue our partnership with NASA and support their mission to explore the frontiers of space,” said Jeremy Wensinger, President and Chief Executive Officer of V2X. “The Neutral Buoyancy Laboratory is an unparalleled facility, and we are committed to ensuring its readiness for the next generation of space exploration, including the groundbreaking Artemis 2 mission.”

At the NBL astronauts rehearse recovery missions, which are vital for the final stage of spaceflight when the crew’s capsule returns to Earth and splashes down into the ocean. Additionally, the laboratory houses a replica of the International Space Station, where astronauts practice working in microgravity, simulating the reduced gravity experienced in space. Recently, NASA and V2X have upgraded the NBL by converting a section into a realistic model of the moon’s surface.

As a critical asset for NASA, the NBL operates continuously to support the dynamic demands of human spaceflight.  For over 30 years, it has been instrumental in training astronauts for space exploration, providing a realistic environment for practicing spacewalks and recovery missions.

About V2X

V2X delivers a comprehensive suite of integrated solutions across defense and commercial training, operations and logistics, aerospace, and technology markets to national security, defense, civilian and international clients. Our global team of approximately 16,000 employees brings innovation to every point in the mission lifecycle, from preparation to operations, to sustainment, as it tackles the most complex challenges with agility, grit, and dedication.

Media Contact
Angelica Spanos Deoudes 
Director, Corporate Communications  
Angelica.Deoudes@goV2X.com 
571-338-5195

Investor Contact
Mike Smith, CFA 
Vice President, Treasury, Corporate Development and Investor Relations 
IR@goV2X.com 
719-637-5773

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ahead-of-artemis-2-v2x-awarded-265-million-contract-to-support-nasa-astronauts-going-to-space-302179705.html

SOURCE V2X, Inc.

The GEO Group (GEO) – A Contract Termination


Monday, June 24, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lawton Termination. GEO announced the discontinuation of its contract with the Oklahoma Department of Corrections for the company-owned, 2,600-bed Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility, which is set to expire on June 30, 2024, unless extended for an additional three months under terms proposed by GEO.

Why? In our discussions with management, the facility is not performing up to GEO expectations due to inadequate current funding levels provided by the State and difficulty in attracting sufficient staffing, a problem across the State DOC. GEO noted a closure would not have a material impact on financial guidance for 2024. It is our view that by providing notice to the State, GEO is hopeful a realistic funding solution can be found with the State, either as currently operated or, potentially, with GEO entering into a lease of the facility with the State operating the facility.


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Graham Corp. (GHM) – Mission Critical Supplier With Solid Growth Prospects


Monday, June 24, 2024

Graham Corporation designs, manufactures and sells critical equipment for the energy, defense and chemical/petrochemical industries. The Company designs and manufactures custom-engineered ejectors, vacuum pumping systems, surface condensers and vacuum systems. It is a nuclear code accredited fabrication and specialty machining company. It supplies components used inside reactor vessels and outside containment vessels of nuclear power facilities. Its equipment is found in applications, such as metal refining, pulp and paper processing, water heating, refrigeration, desalination, food processing, pharmaceutical, heating, ventilating and air conditioning. For the defense industry, its equipment is used in nuclear propulsion power systems for the United States Navy. The Company’s products are used in a range of industrial process applications in energy markets, including petroleum refining, defense, chemical and petrochemical processing, power generation/alternative energy and other.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating Research Coverage. We are initiating research coverage of Graham Corporation with an Outperform rating and a $35 price target. GHM is a provider of  mission critical fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum technologies for the defense, space, energy, and process industries. The Company’s expanding business with the defense industry, specifically the U.S. Navy, has reduced cyclicality, while enabling the Company to target other, high growth end markets.

Improving Margins. With the completion of first order units for the U.S. Navy and the implementation of a strategic plan, Graham is well positioned to drive increased profitability. In fiscal 2024, gross margin expanded by 570 bp to 21.9%, which is expected to grow to 22%-23% in fiscal 2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – More Details on Motion Recruitment Partners


Thursday, June 20, 2024

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

MRP Call. On Tuesday, Kelly management held a conference call to discuss the completion of the Motion Recruitment Partners (MRP) deal. Management provided additional details regarding the financial profile of MRP and how it will integrate into Kelly, valuation details regarding the deal, and the Company’s goal of reducing debt as a result of the acquisition.

Improved Financial Profile. Kelly improves on both its gross and adjusted EBITDA margins with the deal. MRP had a 30% gross margin and 7% adj. EBITDA margin for fiscal year 2023 compared to Kelly’s 20% and 2.3%, respectively. Like the rest of the staffing industry, MRP’s fiscal 2023 was impacted by the macro environment as margins decreased from 33% gross and 9% adj. EBITDA for the 2022 fiscal year. We believe that MRP’s financial performance will be beneficial in the short-term for Kelly, but more so in the future when the environment starts to normalize.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Further Portfolio Optimization


Thursday, June 13, 2024

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Portfolio Optimization. Continuing its strategic actions to optimize its operating model and unlock capital, Kelly has sold the Ayers Group, a division of KellyOCG, to Keystone Partners, a Silver Oak Services Partners LLC portfolio company. While financial terms were not disclosed, the transaction further allows the Company to focus resources on specialties where KellyOCG is well positioned to compete and win over the long term, in our view.

Ayers Group. A provider of outplacement, executive coaching, and leadership development solutions to employers, Ayers was acquired by Kelly in 2006 for $4.6 million, with another $1.3 million of potential earnouts. Ayers was generating about $10 million of revenue at the time and while Kelly does not break out Ayers’ current revenue contribution, various sources estimate current revenue in the $20 million range.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.