Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – More Awards


Monday, October 02, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More Awards. In an 8-K release late last week, Orion Group Holdings reported that on September 22nd its Marine segment business entered into a design-build contract with an undisclosed customer valued at approximately $120 million. In addition, the Company noted that it was recently awarded new contracts in both its Concrete and Marine segments for a combined total of approximately $121 million. Unfortunately, the 8-K does not provide a date range for the $121 million of additional contracts so we do not know if the figure includes the $58 million of new awards announced in early August or if the $121 million is in addition to the $58 million.

Awaiting Additional Detail. While the Company has yet to issue a press release on the new business, we believe the Company likely will, at the same time providing additional detail regarding the nature of the work, timing, and customer details. In any case, the new awards continue a recent trend for Orion of adding substantial new business which should result in improved operating results in the future.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – More Business


Monday, October 02, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Awards. Great Lakes was awarded some additional work, according to the DOD daily new awards announcements. The work totals some $48 million and continues the recent trend of building backlog.

Award 1. On September 27th, Great Lakes was awarded a $14.4 million modification to contract W912HY-21-C-0015 for removal and disposal of pipelines. Work will be performed in Corpus Christie, Texas, with an estimated completion date of March 20, 2024. Fiscal 2021 and 2023 civil construction funds and fiscal 2023 non-federal, Port of Corpus Christie funds in the amount of $14.4 million were obligated at the time of the award.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – New Contracts; Rising Populations


Wednesday, September 27, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Contract. CoreCivic signed a new management contract with Hinds County, Mississippi for up to 250 adult male pre-trial detainees at the Company’s 2,672-bed Tallahatchie County Correctional Facility. The initial contract term is for two years. CoreCivic remains in discussions with additional federal, state, and local government agencies to utilize capacity in numerous CoreCivic facilities.

Other Business. CoreCivic recently accepted approximately 160 additional residents from the state of Idaho under an existing contract at the Saguaro Correctional Facility in Arizona. The Company also recently signed contract extensions with the state of Vermont at the Tallahatchie facility, with ICE at the Elizabeth Detention Center in New Jersey, with the Texas Department of Criminal Justice for five residential reentry centers in Texas, and with the state of Montana at the Crossroads Correctional Center in Montana.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Knowles Pushes Into High-Growth Markets With Strategic Cornell Dubilier Acquisition

Knowles Corporation is aggressively transforming into an industrial technology powerhouse. The components supplier announced it will acquire capacitor manufacturer Cornell Dubilier in a $263 million all-cash deal. This strategic purchase provides Knowles with expanded exposure to highly attractive end markets including medtech, defense, and industrial electrification.

Privately-held Cornell Dubilier, based in South Carolina, is a leader in film, electrolytic and mica capacitors used in demanding applications. Its capacitors are found in sectors like aerospace, automation, and critical care medical devices. The company generates over $135 million in revenue annually.

The acquisition brings new state-of-the-art capacitor technology into Knowles’ portfolio. This allows Knowles to offer more innovative solutions and cross-selling opportunities to customers. Cornell Dubilier’s offerings create a compelling combined value proposition for Knowles in the industrials space.

Knowles CEO Jeffrey Niew stated the purchase will help Knowles “grow with new and existing customers as we work to generate stronger earnings and cash flow and create shareholder value.” The deal is expected to contribute positively to Knowles’ earnings per share (EPS) beginning in 2024.

Specifically, the acquisition provides three key benefits:

Expands Knowles’ addressable market – Cornell Dubilier significantly expands Knowles’ serviceable available market through its broad capacitor capabilities and presence in diverse sectors including medtech, defense, aerospace, and industrial automation.

Take a moment to take a look at Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc., a company specializing in unmanned systems, satellite communications, missile defense, and hypersonic systems.

Diversifies product portfolio – Combined with Knowles’ existing precision devices like RF filters and ceramic capacitors, the deal delivers a wider range of capacitor products and solutions including film, electrolytic, and mica capacitors.

Boosts profitability – Knowles expects the acquisition to be accretive to earnings per share starting in 2024. The purchase is forecast to contribute to the bottom line while Knowles maintains balance sheet flexibility through its capital deployment strategy.

For investors, the strategic deal offers exposure to higher growth markets as Knowles pivots towards attractive areas with strong tailwinds. The companies noted defense spending increases, healthcare application growth, and industrial automation advances are driving demand.

The announced $263 million price consists of $140 million upfront and $123 million in seller notes due over the next two years. Knowles expects to finance the deal through cash, existing credit, and the deferred paper. The total fair value transferred is estimated at 9.6x Cornell Dubilier’s trailing EBITDA including synergies.

The acquisition caps off a transformative year for Knowles as it shifts towards high value industrial technology. Knowles recently restructured divisions to optimize its focus areas. It is also reviewing strategic options for its consumer microphones segment.

Together, these moves aim to reshape Knowles into a higher growth, higher margin technology supplier. The company is working to leverage megatrends like IoT, EVs, and 5G adoption. Knowles is strengthening its industrial roots to drive value for shareholders.

The Cornell Dubilier deal provides Knowles with an expanded presence in crucial growth industries. It also refocuses the company towards participating in rising opportunities like defense, medtech, and automation. For investors, the transformative purchase plants Knowles firmly in key sectors, unlocking value over the long-term.

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Another $34.8 Million of Awards


Monday, September 18, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Additional Work. Over the past week, the Department of Defense announced two additional awards to Great Lakes with a total value of $34.8 million. Recall, the DOD only discloses awards in excess of $7.5 million in its press releases, so the published number likely under-estimates the actual amount of work Great Lakes has been awarded over time.

Award 1. On September 8th, Great Lakes was awarded a $16.2 million firm-fixed-price contract for beach nourishment. Work will be performed in Cape May, New Jersey, with an estimated completion date of March 20, 2024. Fiscal 2023 civil construction funds in the amount of $16.2 million were obligated at the time of the award.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – EuroDry doubles down on shipping recovery


Wednesday, September 13, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry announced the acquisition of three ships for $65 million. The three Ultramax ships are smaller than the fleet average but newer having been built in 2014-15. The ships are expected to be delivered in Oct-Nov and are yet to be commissioned. We have assumed the ships will be commissioned at a TCE rate of $12,000/day beginning in the 2024-1Q. This assumes an improvement in drybulk shipping rates in the next three months. Our models estimate that the three ships will add $4 million to EBITDA in 2024 implying a cost of 16 times EBITDA.

Of course this is not just about 2024 results. Chairman and CEO Aristides Pittas used the opportunity of the acquisition to reiterate his belief that market fundamentals will improve in the next two to three years due to a low orderbook. We agree with Mr. Pittas’s assessment but note that the prolonged war in Ukraine (lower grain trade) and a slower-than-expected economic rebound in China (steel and ore trade) could mean improvements are not seen in 2024.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Another LNG Award


Thursday, August 24, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Port Arthur Award. Yesterday, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock announced the award for the Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 project Marine Dredging and Disposal contract. This is the second LNG related award received by the Company this summer, following on the heels of the Next Decade contract. The Port Arthur LNG project is a natural gas liquefaction and export terminal in Southeast Texas with direct access to the Gulf of Mexico.

Work Details. The scope of work on this project is to dredge the Port Arthur LNG Berthing Pocket on the Port Arthur Ship Canal. The berthing pocket and turning basin will connect to the Port Arthur Ship Canal and allow LNG vessels to berth, load and depart safely. A significant portion of the dredged materials will be placed by Great Lakes within designated Beneficial Use of Dredged Material (BUDM) areas to restore and enhance marshlands within a local wildlife refuge. Great Lakes is expected to start this project later this year and finish within two years.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Initiating Coverage With an Outperform Rating and $60 Price Target


Monday, August 21, 2023

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

AZZ Inc. is North America’s largest independent hot-dip galvanizing and coil coating solution company. AZZ has two operating divisions – Metal Coatings and Precoat Metals. Metal Coatings provides a wide range of high-quality metal finishing and coating services that protect from the destruction of metallic corrosion including galvanizing and other forms of coating and plating. Precoat Metals is engaged in the growing use of coil coated metal, often referred to as prepainted metal because the metal is painted prior to, rather than after, fabrication. 

The shares of AZZ trade at a sharp discount to other coating companies. We believe the discount also reflects a more leveraged balance sheet following recent acquisitions. Positive free cash flow will allow the company to pay down debt. As the company deleverages, we believe it will see valuation multiples rise to levels approaching peer companies.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – More Work


Tuesday, August 15, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Awards. Friday and then on Monday, Great Lakes was awarded two new contracts worth a combined $49.2 million, according to the Department of Defense daily contract award notification. Combined with two end of July awards worth $36.7 million, Great Lakes has received some $86 million of new business in the last couple of weeks. We remain optimistic the awards pace will speed up, at least through the Federal government’s fiscal 2023 year-end.

Award 1. Great Lakes was awarded a $22.1 million firm-fixed-price contract for dredging in the Mississippi River. Work will be performed in Plaquemines, Louisiana, with an estimated completion date of December 17, 2023. Fiscal 2023 civil operation and maintenance funds in the amount of $22.1 million were obligated at the time of the award. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, New Orleans, Louisiana, is the contracting activity.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Lower Demand Environment but Still Underway with Transformation


Monday, August 14, 2023

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q Results. Kelly reported revenues of $1.22 billion, a 3.9% decrease, or down 4.5% in constant currency, from the prior year. Organic revenue was down 2.2% in constant currency. We estimated revenue at $1.24 billion.  GP rate was down 90 basis points to 19.8% primarily due to lower permanent placements fees. Net income was $7.5 million, or EPS of $0.20, compared to $2.2 million, or EPS of $0.06 last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.36 versus $0.45. We were at $0.44.

Transformation Plan. Kelly is moving quickly, already seeing benefits from its cost optimization and efficiencies programs. Next up will be a focus on growth, both organic, especially capturing a higher wallet share from existing clients, as well as a renewed inorganic focus.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Favorable charter book protecting company against shipping rate declines


Thursday, August 10, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter results were above expectations. Euroseas took possession of a newbuild vessel during the quarter and was able to put it in charter at favorable rates. The vessel addition, combined with the lack of ships in drydock, meant an increase in available operating days. This helped offset a decrease in average TCE rates relative to the same quarter last year and meant that revenues, net were similar to last year.

Operating costs running in line with expectations. Like most shipping companies, operating costs are rising with inflation. The same is true for Euroseas, which reported expenses modestly higher. Issues associated with the housing and transportation of crews following the conflict in Ukraine are now behind the company. Drydocking epenses were down as none of Euroseas’s vessels were drydocked during the quarter. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Second Quarter Results Released


Thursday, August 10, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $593.9 million, up from $588.2 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $129.0 million, EPS was $0.20, and adjusted EPS $0.24. In the year ago period, GEO reported $132.3 million, $0.37, and $0.42, respectively. We had forecast $587 million, $124.1 million, $0.20, and $0.20, respectively.

ISAP? A key factor in 2H23 performance will be the number of participants under the ISAP program. Numbers have fallen for longer than management had originally expected but recent policy initiatives should result in participant stabilization, if not increases in 2H23. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

V2X, Inc. (VVX) – A Solid 2Q23 Beat


Wednesday, August 09, 2023

For more than 70 years, Vectrus has provided critical mission support for our customers’ toughest operational challenges. As a high-performing organization with exceptional talent, deep domain knowledge, a history of long-term customer relationships, and groundbreaking technical expertise, we deliver innovative, mission-matched solutions for our military and government customers worldwide. Whether it’s base operations support, supply chain and logistics, IT mission support, engineering and digital integration, security, or maintenance, repair and overhaul, our customers count on us for on-target solutions that increase efficiency, reduce costs, improve readiness, and strengthen national security. Vectrus is headquartered in Colorado Springs, Colo., and includes about 8,100 employees spanning 205 locations in 28 countries. In 2021, Vectrus generated sales of $1.8 billion. For more information, visit the company’s website at www.vectrus.com or connect with Vectrus on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Another Excellent Quarter. Driven by expansion of existing programs, new awards, and recompete wins, V2X reported excellent results for 2Q23. Revenue of $977.9 million was up 10.2% on a pro forma basis, and well above our $905 million forecast. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $76.4 million, versus our $64.5 million estimate. Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.01 compared to our $0.74 estimate.

Opportunity Remains Robust. V2X was awarded approximately $2.1 billion of awards in the quarter, with a book-to-bill of 2.2x. Backlog grew 10% to $13 billion. The Company has $5 billion of bids awaiting award and we believe V2X is well positioned to win its fair share. The overall market opportunity exceeds $160 billion.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.