Tag: Industrial

Release – CVG Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Results

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on CVGI

March 4, 2024

Fourth quarter sales of $223 million, record annual sales of $995 million 
Full year adjusted EBITDA margins increased by 140 bps to 6.8% 
Provides outlook and guidance for full year 2024

NEW ALBANY, Ohio, March 04, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — CVG (NASDAQ: CVGI), a diversified industrial products and services company, today announced financial results for its fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2023.

Fourth Quarter 2023 Highlights (Compared with prior-year period, where comparisons are noted)

  • Revenue of $223.1 million, down 5.0% due primarily to the impacts of a strike-related labor stoppage at a customer facility and reduced demand across Vehicle Solutions, Industrial Automation and Aftermarket segments; however, Electrical Systems segment continues to show strong growth with 19.4% increased revenue.
  • Operating income of $5.0 million, up $9.0 million; adjusted operating income of $6.6 million, down $1.8 million. Lower adjusted operating income was driven primarily by lower volumes and increased SG&A.
  • Net income of $23.3 million, or $0.70 per diluted share, compared to net loss of $32.0, or $(0.98) per diluted share; adjusted net income of $2.9 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, versus $1.4 million, or $0.04 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $10.3 million, down $2.9 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 4.6%, down from 5.7%.

Full Year 2023 Highlights (Compared with prior-year period, where comparisons are noted)

  • Revenue of $994.7 million, driven by pricing and the contribution of new business wins in Electrical Systems, offset by lower sales volume in Industrial Automation, Vehicle Solutions, and Aftermarket segments.
  • New business wins in excess of $150 million when fully ramped; these wins were concentrated in our Electrical Systems segment.
  • Operating income of $48.1 million, up $27.9 million, and adjusted operating income of $51.1 million, up $14.5 million. The increase in operating income was due to improved pricing and business mix.
  • Full-year 2023 debt paydown was $10.9 million, and net debt declined to $103.7 million; leverage ratio declined to 1.5x from 2.2x.

James Ray, President and Chief Executive Officer, said, “We are pleased with our 2023 results as CVG continued winning new business, particularly in Electrical Systems, and made progress on the Company’s transformation plan, driving record annual sales and improved profitability for the year. As we look to fiscal 2024, we are focused on enhancing operational efficiency and quality standards, growing our Electrical Systems segment to be our largest business, as well as facilitating cross-functional collaboration among our various business segments to strengthen our core Vehicle Solutions business and cultivating stronger customer relationships.”

Mr. Ray concluded, “As the new CEO, I am grateful for the hard work of our talented global teams that help drive improvements in our business every day, and I am looking forward to a strong fiscal 2024.”

Andy Cheung, Chief Financial Officer, added, “We delivered another year of record revenue driven by continued price realization and new business wins, despite softer fourth quarter revenues which were impacted by, among other things, a UAW labor strike at one customer facility. Our strong performance resulted in free cash flow of $19 million in 2023, which has helped us further pay down debt and reduce our net leverage to 1.5x. During the quarter, we initiated several restructuring actions to better align our resources with investments in growth product lines, which we expect will further enhance profitability across our underlying core businesses. Despite industry forecasts for a lower Class 8 truck build in 2024, we expect our financial performance in 2024 to be more resilient as we continue our diversification strategy reflecting primarily the success in growing our Electrical Systems business.”

Financial Results
(amounts in millions except per share data and percentages)

 Fourth Quarter  
  2023   2022  Change
Revenues$223.1  $234.9  (5.0)%
Gross profit$26.2  $12.4  111.3%
Gross margin 11.7%  5.3%  
Adjusted gross profit1$26.0  $23.9  8.8%
Adjusted gross margin1 11.7%  10.2%  
Operating income (loss)$5.0  $(4.0) NM2
Operating margin 2.2% (1.7)%  
Adjusted operating income1$6.6  $8.4  (21.4)%
Adjusted operating margin1 2.9%  3.6%  
Net income (loss)$23.3  $(32.0) NM2
Adjusted net income (loss)1$2.9  $1.4  107.1%
Earnings (loss) per share, diluted$0.70  $(0.98) NM2
Adjusted earnings (loss) per share, diluted1$0.09  $0.04  125.0%
Adjusted EBITDA1$10.3  $13.3  (22.6)%
Adjusted EBITDA margin1 4.6%  5.7%  
1See Appendix A for GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation  
2Not meaningful  

Consolidated Results

Fourth Quarter 2023 Results

  • Fourth quarter 2023 revenues were $223.1 million compared to $234.9 million in the prior year period, a decline of 5.0%. The decrease in revenues is due primarily to the impact of a strike at a customer facility, previous year benefit from a post-COVID backlog in Asia-Pacific, and reduced demand in Vehicle Solutions, Aftermarket, and Industrial Automation segments, which more than offset an increase in Electrical Systems revenue. Foreign currency translation favorably impacted fourth quarter 2023 revenues by $1.8 million, or by 0.7%.
  • Operating income for the fourth quarter 2023 was $5.0 million compared to operating loss of $4.0 million in the prior year period. Foreign currency translation also favorably impacted fourth quarter 2023 operating income by $0.7 million. Excluding special costs, the fourth quarter of 2023 adjusted operating income was $6.6 million, down 21.4%. The decline in adjusted operating income was driven primarily by lower volumes, strike impact, and higher SG&A.
  • Interest expense was $2.4 million and $2.9 million for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. The decrease in interest expense was due to lower average debt balances, partially offset by higher interest rates on variable debt.
  • Net income was $23.3 million, or $0.70 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter 2023 compared to net loss of $32.0 million, or $(0.98) per diluted share, in the prior year period.

At December 31, 2023, the Company had no outstanding borrowings on its revolving credit facility, $37.8 million of cash and $160.1 million availability from revolving credit facilities, resulting in total liquidity of $197.9 million.

Segment Results

Fourth Quarter 2023 Results (Compared with prior-year period, where comparisons are noted)

Vehicle Solutions Segment

  • Revenues were $128.4 million, a decrease of 10.1% primarily resulting from lower volumes and the impact of a strike at a customer facility during the quarter.
  • Operating income for the fourth quarter 2023 was $3.6 million, a decrease of 1.8%. Excluding special costs, the fourth quarter of 2023 adjusted operating income was $4.0 million, a decrease of 3.9%, as compared to the fourth quarter 2022, primarily due to the impact of lower sales volumes partially offset by pricing improvement and cost controls.

Electrical Systems Segment

  • Revenues were $56.2 million, an increase of 19.4%, primarily resulting from increased pricing and sales volume.
  • Operating income was $6.7 million, an increase of 25.0% primarily attributable to pricing and volume leverage.

Aftermarket and Accessories Segment

  • Revenues were $31.4 million, a decrease of 8.1%, primarily resulting from decreased sales volume.
  • Operating income was $3.4 million, an increase of 7.3%. Excluding special costs, the fourth quarter of 2023 adjusted operating income decreased 6.4%, as compared to the fourth quarter 2022, primarily due to the lower sales volume, partially offset by increased pricing.   

Industrial Automation Segment

  • Revenues were $7.1 million, a decrease of 35.0%, due to lower sales volume from decreased customer demand.
  • Operating income was $0.9 million, compared to operating loss of $11.9 million in the prior year. Fourth quarter of 2023 adjusted operating income increased to $0.3 million, compared to an adjusted operating loss of $0.5 million in the fourth quarter 2022, primarily due to cost controls.

Outlook

CVG is providing the following outlook for the full year 2024:

Metric2024 Outlook ($ millions)
Net Sales$915 – $1,015
Adjusted EBITDA$60 – $73

This outlook reflects, among others, current industry forecasts for North American Class 8 truck builds. According to ACT Research, 2024 North American Class 8 truck production levels are expected to be at 285,000 units. The 2023 actual Class 8 truck builds according to the ACT Research was 340,140 units.

We expect to benefit from growth in Electrical Systems, partially offsetting the projected 16% decline in Class 8 truck builds.

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation

A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures referenced in this release is included as Appendix A to this release.

Conference Call

A conference call to discuss this press release is scheduled for Tuesday, March 5, 2024, at 10:00 a.m. ET. Management intends to reference the Q4 2023 Earnings Call Presentation posted on our website during the conference call. To participate, dial (888) 259-6580 using conference code 88986985. International participants dial (416) 764-8624 using conference code 88986985.

This call is being webcast and can be accessed through the “Investors” section of CVG’s website at www.cvgrp.com, where it will be archived for one year.

A telephonic replay of the conference call will be available for a period of two weeks following the call. To access the replay, dial (877) 674-7070 using access code 986985 and international callers can dial (416) 764-8692 using access code 986985.

Company Contact

Andy Cheung
Chief Financial Officer
CVG
IR@cvgrp.com 

Investor Relations Contact

Ross Collins or Stephen Poe
Alpha IR Group
CVGI@alpha-ir.com 

About CVG

At CVG we deliver real solutions to complex design, engineering and manufacturing problems while creating positive change for our customers, industries, and communities we serve. Information about the Company and its products is available on the internet at www.cvgrp.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These statements often include words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “plan”, “expect”, “intend”, “will”, “should”, “could”, “would”, “project”, “continue”, “likely”, and similar expressions. In particular, this press release may contain forward-looking statements about the Company’s expectations for future periods with respect to its plans to improve financial results, the future of the Company’s end markets, global supply chain constraints, changes in the Class 8 and Class 5-7 North America truck build rates, performance of the global construction equipment business, the Company’s prospects in the wire harness, industrial automation and electric vehicle markets, the Company’s initiatives to address customer needs, organic growth, the Company’s strategic plans and plans to focus on certain segments, competition faced by the Company, volatility in and disruption to the global economic environment, including inflation and labor shortages and the Company’s financial position or other financial information. These statements are based on certain assumptions that the Company has made in light of its experience as well as its perspective on historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors it believes are appropriate under the circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from the anticipated results because of certain risks and uncertainties, including those included in the Company’s filings with the SEC. There can be no assurance that statements made in this press release relating to future events will be achieved. The Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect changed assumptions, the occurrence of unanticipated events or changes to future operating results over time. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the Company or persons acting on behalf of the Company are expressly qualified in their entirety by such cautionary statements.

Source: Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

View full release here.

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Momentum Building – First Look 4Q23 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, February 29, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q Results. Contract revenues were $201.6 million, up 2.8% y-o-y. We estimated revenue at $190 million. Adjusted net income for the quarter was at $2.6 million, or $0.08 per share, compared to an adjusted net loss of $3.7 million, or a loss of $0.12 per share, last year. Adjusted EBITDA was at $14.8 million from $3.2 million the prior year. We had estimated adjusted net income of $1.27 million, or $0.04 per share, and adjusted EBITDA of $11.6 million.

Margin Improvement. Gross margin improved to 11.4% in 4Q23, up from 5.2% in 4Q22. Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 7.3% from 1.6% y-o-y. We believe management’s strategic plan to deliver profitable growth to be the key difference. Higher quality projects and improved execution are sustainable, in our view.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Euroseas signs new vessel charter, we initiate 2025 estimates

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, February 29, 2024

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Euroseas signed a two-year charter contract for the M/V Leonidas Z at a rate of $20,000/day. The rate will commence upon delivery which is expected at the end of April or beginning of May. The rate is above the rate we had assumed in our model although the increased impact on revenues and earnings is minimal given the size of the Euroseas’ fleet.

We are initiating 2025 quarterly and annual estimate. Revenues and earnings will be challenged by the roll off of several attractive charters and rising interest expenses. However, results will be boosted by the addition of six ships in 2024 including four in the 2024-2Q and two in 2024-4Q. We believe the net result will mean 2025 revenues will be similar to 2024 and earnings will be modestly below 2024. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – A CMOP Update

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, February 29, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

8-K Filing. In an 8-K filing, DLH disclosed the potential loss of one of its VA Consolidated Mail Outpatient Pharmacy (“CMOP”) locations, which accounted for less than 3% of fiscal 2023 consolidated revenue, or about $11 million. According to the filing, on February 22, 2024, DLH was advised that the VA had made an award decision for the Chelmsford CMOP Staffing Services location to a service-disabled veteran owned small business (SDVOSB) unrelated to DLH. Should the VA complete its acquisition process with a final award to an unrelated entity, DLH would no longer perform services at this CMOP location.

Background. To refresh investor memories, DLH was first awarded the CMOP contracts for healthcare logistics and pharmacy services in 2011. At the time, there were nine pharmacy services contracts and seven logistics contracts for the seven geographic locations. The VA has since combined the logistics and pharmacy services in each area, resulting in eight current contracts on which to bid.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – A Capital Raise

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Capital Raise. After the market close on Thursday, Kratos announced the pricing of an underwritten offering of 16,666,667 shares of its common stock at a public offering price of $18.00 per share. The net proceeds to Kratos from the offering, after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions, are expected to be approximately $288 million. Kratos also granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 2,500,000 shares of common stock. All of the shares in the offering are to be sold by Kratos. The offering is expected to close on February 27, 2024, subject to customary closing conditions. We would note Noble Capital was part of the underwriting group.

Uses. Kratos expects to use the net proceeds to facilitate its long-term strategy, including potential investment in facilities, expanding manufacturing capacity, and anticipated capital expenditures for expansion of current sole-source/single award programs and high probability pipeline opportunities. Other uses are to further strengthen the Company’s balance sheet in anticipation of upcoming customer and partner decisions and source selection on additional large, new program and contract opportunities and for general corporate purposes, including paydown of debt.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – December-quarter Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, February 22, 2024

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Euroseas reported a 14% year-over-year increase in revenues, net during the quarter ended December 31, 2023 due mainly to the addition of a vessel and increased fleet utilization rates. Shipping rates were largely unchanged from last year and generally predictable given a high charter coverage.

Costs were generally in line with expectations. Drydocking expenses were higher than expected due to the retrofitting of the MV Synergy Busan. Interest and financing costs continue to rise with a $23 million year-over-year increase in debt as the company makes payments on six newbuilds. In total, the company is spending $220 million on the newbuilds with $65 million already paid and an additional $130 million to be financed. Bottom-line results were near expectations.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – December-quarter preview

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, February 21, 2024

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Shipping rates improved at the end of the quarter. At the end of the third quarter, management indicated that it had locked in 60% of estimated operating days at $21,640/day and that at current spot prices, the average TCE rate for the quarter would be $19,480/day. With spot prices rising, the average TCE rate will most likely be closer to $23,000/day. The addition of a new vessel and limited drydocking will mean increased operating days. Raising the TCE rate in our models increase revenues by approximately $4 million.

Shipping rates have fallen in the 2024-1Q due to seasonal factors such as the Chinese New Year and the rain season in Brazil but remain above historical 1Q levels. We have lowered our revenue projection to reflect lower rates and decreased fees from related parties (Seanergy receives revenues for third party ship management which included abnormal gains in 2023-3Q). 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – A Contract for East West Jones?

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, February 21, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A New Contract. Yesterday, after the market close, Orion filed an 8-K disclosing the entry into a sales contract for its 340 acre East West Jones land parcels previously used by the Company as dredge placement areas. The purchase price is approximately $34 million and closing is anticipated on or before June 14, 2024.

A Modest Reduction. This is not the first time Orion has entered into a transaction for the property. Back in April 2023, Orion entered into a contract to sell the parcels for approximately $36 million. While the $2 million reduction in the sales price is not optimal, we view the monetization of another non-core asset to be a positive.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – A Multitude of Opportunity

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Review. We reviewed the Company’s 10-K filing as well as went through the conference call transcript again. Both highlight the tremendous amount of opportunity available to the Company. Opportunity that we believe will begin to be realized this year and lead to improved operating performance.

A Key Change. While Kratos always has been open to partnering with prime contractors, the 10-K highlights, in our view, a mindset change in such partnerships. Kratos now will be more willing to enter such partnerships in all areas of the Company’s business when management’s assessment of the opportunities indicates such a partnership is the most favorable opportunity.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Transformation Continued in the Fourth Quarter; Raising PT to $27

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q23 Results. Kelly reported revenue of $1,232.2 million, essentially flat y-o-y and down just 1.3% on a constant currency basis. We had estimated $1,220 million. Adjusted net income was $34.1 million or EPS of $0.93, compared to $7 million, or $0.18/sh last year. We had estimated EPS of $0.56. Adjusted EBITDA was $32.5 million, or a 2.6% margin, up from $24.1 million and 2%, respectively, last year. We had forecast $33.8 million.

International Sale. As previously announced, Kelly completed the sale of its International staffing business in early January. This business generated some $810 million of revenue and $120 million of gross profit in 2023.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – Strong results on the heels of fleet expansion and shipping rate improvement

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, February 20, 2024

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Revenues improve with the addition of vessels and higher shipping rates. EuroDry took possession of three ships during the quarter and put them into service, resulting in additional operating days. The average shipping rate of $14.570 rose 20% quarter over quarter. EuroDry continues to be the most sensitive to rate changes of all the shipping companies we follow. 

Expenses went up with more ships, but costs per operating day were flat. Vessel operating and depreciation costs rose with an increase in voyage days. Vessel operating costs per voyage day were $5,421 in the most recent quarter versus $5,343 in the previous quarter and $5,366 in the same period last year. Financing costs rose with the issuance of $32.5 million to finance the acquisition of vessels. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Ending the 2023 Fiscal Year on a Good Note

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, February 16, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

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4Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $608.3 million, compared to $620.7 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $129 million, EPS was $0.21, and adjusted EPS $0.29. In the year ago period, GEO reported $145.5 million, $0.28, and $0.34, respectively. We had forecast $600 million, $119.5 million, $0.19, and $0.19, respectively.

Debt Reduction. For the full year, GEO reduced net debt by some $197 million, ending the year with approximately $1.8 billion of net debt. We expect the Company to continue to reduce net debt by $175-$200 million annually.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – A Solid Fourth Quarter; Backlog Continues to Rise

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, February 16, 2024

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q23 Results. Fourth quarter revenue came in at $181.7 million, slightly below our $190 million estimate, due to a delay in some work which has since commenced, but above the $146.7 million in 4Q22. Reported gross margin jumped to 21.3% from a negative last year. Net income came in at $21.6 million, or $0.32/sh, from a loss of $31.2 million, or a loss of $0.47/sh in 4Q22, which was impacted by the write-down of the Terrapin Island. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $40.8 million, up from a $24.2 million loss last year.

Solid Operating Environment. The dredging bid environment remains strong, with proposed increased funding and a number of key capital projects coming to bid in 2024. While the wind and LNG segments are more challenged, we believe both markets will prove fruitful for Great Lakes in the long-term.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.