AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – AZZ raises guidance. We raised our numbers two weeks ago.


Tuesday, April 09, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

AZZ raised its FY 2025 guidance. Management increased its estimated sales, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted diluted EPS by 15-20%. The increase incorporates a $4.5-$5.0 million reduction in financing costs due to the repricing of AZZ’s Term Loan B. It also reflects an expected improvement in results from AZZ’s partially spun off AIS division (40% owned and treated as other income). Management expects $15-$18 million of other income in FY 2025, up from the $13 million we have assumed for FY 2024 (reporting 4/22).

AIS growth reflects increased activity in the Electrical Infrastructure business units. Increased use of data centers, electric grid improvements, and general growth in manufacturing is leading to increased sales. We view higher results as sustainable and have raised our other income estimate for the years beyond FY 2025..


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The GEO Group (GEO) – New Debt Priced; Raising PT to $17


Monday, April 08, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Upsized and Pricing. The GEO Group announced a private offering of $1.275 billion of senior notes, comprised of $650 million 8.625% notes due 2029 and $650 million 10.25% notes due 2031. GEO had originally sought to raise $1.2 billion. The Company also announced a new $450 million Term Loan B bearing interest at SOFR plus 5.25%. Net proceeds are anticipated to be $1.67 billion.

6.50% Convertible Notes. The Company also announced it is exchanging $177 million principal amount of its 6.50% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2026, representing about 77% of the outstanding principal amount. GEO will pay cash and common stock for the estimated $305 million market value of the Notes, with the cash portion expected to be $177 million. At the current stock price, the remaining $128 million of principal amount would be exchanged for approximately 9.1 million GEO shares.


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The GEO Group (GEO) – Proposed Refinancing


Thursday, April 04, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Proposed Refinancing. The GEO Group is proposing to issue $1.2 billion of senior notes, comprised of $700 million of senior secured notes due 2029 and $500 million of senior unsecured notes due 2031 in a private offering. The Company also is seeking a new $400 million Term Loan B under a new senior secured credit facility.

Use of Proceeds. The proceeds will be used to refinance approximately  $1.5 billion of existing indebtedness, including to fund the repurchase, redemption or other discharge of the Company’s existing Tranche 1 Term Loan and Tranche 2 Term Loan under its existing senior credit facility, the 9.50% senior second lien secured notes, the 10.50% senior second lien secured notes, and the 6.00% senior notes due 2026. Other uses are to pay debt related transaction fees and expenses and for general corporate purposes.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Another CMOP Update


Tuesday, March 26, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More Changes? The Veterans Administration appears to be making more changes to the Consolidated Mail Outpatient Pharmacy contract process. The procurements were set-aside for a service-disabled veteran owned small business as the prime contractor with each of the eight procurements being evaluated separately for 5-year contracts. On March 14th, the VA issued a notice for services for durations of up to three months.

Background. In an extended process, the VA is again seeking to complete a re-bid and award of the CMOP contracts. In January 2023 DLH and other parties submitted bids for the eight separately competed procurements pertaining to the program. Recall, DLH has operated under a series of “bridge” contracts since 2016. Most recently, the VA extended these contracts through April 30, 2024.


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AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Stock due for a pause after recent strength, rating lowered


Friday, March 22, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We are lowering our rating on the shares of AZZ to Market Perform with the stock solidly above our price target. The shares of AZZ have risen sharply in recent months and now trade above our $75 price target. At current prices, the shares trade at 16 times our recently raised fiscal 2025 earnings estimate, a multiple similar to its peers. Our investment premise for the shares of AZZ had been that its multiples would expand as the company’s balance sheet improved. This has largely come true.

A Market Perform rating does not mean we think the stock wont continue to rise. The company continues to report favorable results and lay the foundation for future growth. Construction of a new factory is nearing completion and financing costs are decreasing. A recent debt refinancing is expected to reduce financing costs by $5 million allowing us to raise our fiscal 2025 earnings estimate. With sales growing at a 3-5% rate and margins rising with a shift towards AZZ’s Metal Coating business, we expect solid earnings growth over the next few years.


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Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Strong results allow us to raise our estimates and price target


Monday, March 18, 2024

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Shipping rates were even higher than our recently-raised rates. Shipping rates spiked in December. We raised our estimates in February to reflect favorable conditions, but rates surpassed our raised projections. Seanergy was able to extend/reprice six vessels at favorable terms due to higher rates.

Seanergy has fixed 93% of 2024-1Q and 58% of 2024-2Q operating days at attractive prices. We believe cash flow and earnings will be fairly stable due to fixed prices. Seanergy’s exposure to shipping rates increases as the year progresses as charters expire and the company adds vessels to its fleet.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – An Expanded Contract


Wednesday, March 13, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Air Support. GEO’s wholly-owned subsidiary, GEO Transport, Inc. (“GTI”) has been awarded a five-year contract, inclusive of option periods, to provide air operations support services on behalf of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement. GTI will act as a subcontractor to CSI Aviation, Inc., which has been selected by ICE as the prime contractor.

Details. The new five-year contract is expected to generate approximately $25 million in annualized revenues for GEO. GTI first began providing air operations support services to ICE as a subcontractor to CSI Aviation under a nine-month emergency contract starting in July of 2023. The original July emergency contract to provide air operations support for ICE was expected to generate up to approximately $16 million in revenues over a 9-month period.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – CVG Unveils STACC(TM) at MODEX 2024: Revolutionizing Micro Fulfillment

Research News and Market Data on CVGI

March 12, 2024

NEW ALBANY, OH / ACCESSWIRE / March 12, 2024 / Commercial Vehicle Group (CVG) (NASDAQ:CVGI)a global leader in the design and manufacturing of electrical systems, vehicle components and accessories, plastic products and robotic assemblies, today introduced a new prototype automation system called STACC, a modular and expandable goods-to-person solution that is expected to be available in multiple configurations for connection to upstream and downstream automation systems. We believe STACC, which stands for Stacked, Tote, Automated, Conveyance Cube, could disrupt traditional micro-fulfillment markets. This new innovative solution is designed for rapid deployment to address the challenges posed by the surge in e-commerce demand, warehousing expenses, rising labor costs, and escalating real estate expenses. CVG is featuring in-person live demonstrations of STACC in booth C4489 at MODEX 2024 this week (March 10-14).

STACC by CVG
Industrial automation STACC system by CVG – Revolutionizing hyper-density micro fulfillment.

STACC’s hyper-dense storage and picking solution is designed for optimal space utilization, while the modular concept allows expansion in X, Y, and Z directions. STACC boasts a user-friendly interface, complemented by an ergonomic and durable design, all geared toward minimizing operating costs while maximizing productivity. We believe STACC delivers a one- to two-year ROI in most applications.

STACC will be offered in two distinct designs, STACC Lite™ and STACC Pro™ (patents pending), providing tailored solutions to meet the diverse needs of customers.

Minja Zahirovic, President of Industrial Automation for CVG, said: “STACC is the next step in our commitment to innovation and excellence in addressing the evolving needs of our customers. With its modular design, seamless scalability, and unmatched automation density, STACC is expected to revolutionize micro fulfillment, empowering businesses to optimize operations and stay ahead in today’s dynamic market. At CVG, we’re proud to introduce a solution that not only simplifies processes but also sets a new standard for efficiency and sustainability in the industry.”

Visit CVG at MODEX 2024, March 10-14, in booth C4489 to experience STACC™. Witness the future of micro fulfillment and join the pre-order list.

About CVG
At CVG, we deliver real solutions to complex design, engineering and manufacturing problems while creating positive change for our customers, industries, and communities we serve. Information about CVG and its products is available at www.cvgrp.com.

Contact Information:

Patrick Woolford
Employee Communications Director
patrick.woolford@cvgrp.com

SOURCE: Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

View the original press release on newswire.com.

Release – NN Announces First Steps In Balance Sheet Optimization Plan

Research News and Market Data on NNBR

Will reduce term loan balance, reduce cash interest, and strengthen balance sheet

CHARLOTTE, N.C., March 08, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — NN, Inc. (NASDAQ: NNBR), a global diversified industrial company that engineers and manufactures high-precision components and assemblies, today announced that on March 5, 2024, it entered into a Purchase and Sale and Escrow Agreement to sell and lease back three facilities, for an aggregate purchase price of a $16.8 million that is expected to close on or around March 15, 2024 with no impact to EBITDA. The net proceeds from the transaction will be used to repay a portion of the outstanding balance under the company’s term loan, lowering ongoing cash interest expenses. In addition, the company has reduced its corporate headquarters footprint by approximately two-thirds through a separate sublease transaction, lowering ongoing operating costs.

“These actions mark another strong step forward in the execution of our transformation plan and helps us further strengthen and strategically de-risk our balance sheet,” said Mike Felcher, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of NN, Inc. “We are taking actions in line with a multi-step 2024 plan to reduce our cost of capital, and to position ourselves for future refinancing when market conditions are favorable. Combined with our continued efforts to drive consistent free cash flow generation through our operations, this is as an important strategic pillar as we align our capital resources for a stronger, more focused long-term growth program.”

NN will continue to operate at these facilities. There will be no impact to NN employees or customers.

About NN, Inc.
NN, Inc., a global diversified industrial company, combines advanced engineering and production capabilities with in-depth materials science expertise to design and manufacture high-precision components and assemblies for a variety of markets on a global basis. Headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, NN has facilities in North America, Europe, South America, and Asia. For more information about the company and its products, please visit www.nninc.com.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Except for specific historical information, many of the matters discussed in this press release may express or imply projections of revenues or expenditures, statements of plans and objectives or future operations or statements of future economic performance. These statements may discuss goals, intentions and expectations as to future trends, plans, events, results of operations or financial condition, or state other information relating to NN, Inc. (the “Company”) based on current beliefs of management as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. Forward-looking statements generally will be accompanied by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “intend,” “may,” “possible,” “potential,” “predict,” “project” or other similar words, phrases or expressions. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that are outside of management’s control and that may cause actual results to be materially different from such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, among others, general economic conditions and economic conditions in the industrial sector; the impacts of pandemics, epidemics, disease outbreaks and other public health crises, on our financial condition, business operations and liquidity; competitive influences; risks that current customers will commence or increase captive production; risks of capacity underutilization; quality issues; material changes in the costs and availability of raw materials; economic, social, political and geopolitical instability, military conflict, currency fluctuation, and other risks of doing business outside of the United States; inflationary pressures and changes in the cost or availability of materials, supply chain shortages and disruptions, the availability of labor and labor disruptions along the supply chain; our dependence on certain major customers, some of whom are not parties to long-term agreements (and/or are terminable on short notice); the impact of acquisitions and divestitures, as well as expansion of end markets and product offerings; our ability to hire or retain key personnel; the level of our indebtedness; the restrictions contained in our debt agreements; our ability to obtain financing at favorable rates, if at all, and to refinance existing debt as it matures; new laws and governmental regulations; the impact of climate change on our operations; and cyber liability or potential liability for breaches of our or our service providers’ information technology systems or business operations disruptions. The foregoing factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the sections entitled “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” included in the Company’s filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law. New risks and uncertainties may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company to predict their occurrence or how they will affect the Company. The Company qualifies all forward-looking statements by these cautionary statements.

Investor & Media Contacts:
Joseph Caminiti, CFA, or Stephen Poe, Investors
Tim Peters or Emma Brandeis, Media
NNBR@alpha-ir.com
+1 312 445 2870

Source: NN, Inc.

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – NCI Award


Friday, March 08, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NCI Award. DLH Holdings has been awarded a contract to continue and expand its user-experience, technology refresh, and IT services for the National Institutes of Health’s (“NIH”) National Cancer Institute (“NCI”), the largest institute under NIH. This new award extends DLH’s longstanding partnership with NCI’s Center for Biomedical Informatics and Information Technology (“CBIIT”) by providing scientific computing and informatics to support NCI’s research mission.

CBIIT Blanket. The contract was competitively awarded through the multiple-award blanket purchase agreement with CBIIT that the Company announced in February 2023. Including the base period and all option periods, the contract has a value of approximately $52 million over a performance period of five and a half years. Furthermore, the award includes provisions for an additional $86 million in optional IT services. If fully exercised, the potential maximum contract value would be $138 million.


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Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Some Insider Buying


Thursday, March 07, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Insider Buying. Two Orion executives-CEO Travis Boone and General Counsel Chip Earle-added to their Orion holdings following the February 28th release of full year results. We would note Orion shares fell on the earnings news, dropping as low as $5.81 after closing the prior day at $6.92. While the purchases were modest, the acquisition of shares on the heels of the price drop is informative, in our view.

Travis Boone. On March 4th, CEO Travis Boone reported the purchase of 12,000 ORN shares at an average cost of $7.01 per share. The shares were acquired at prices ranging from $6.91-$7.08. The recent purchase increased Mr. Boone’s overall Orion stake to 402,557 shares. Notably, this appears to be the first open market purchases made by Mr. Boone.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

V2X (VVX) – A Solid End to 2023


Wednesday, March 06, 2024

For more than 70 years, Vectrus has provided critical mission support for our customers’ toughest operational challenges. As a high-performing organization with exceptional talent, deep domain knowledge, a history of long-term customer relationships, and groundbreaking technical expertise, we deliver innovative, mission-matched solutions for our military and government customers worldwide. Whether it’s base operations support, supply chain and logistics, IT mission support, engineering and digital integration, security, or maintenance, repair and overhaul, our customers count on us for on-target solutions that increase efficiency, reduce costs, improve readiness, and strengthen national security. Vectrus is headquartered in Colorado Springs, Colo., and includes about 8,100 employees spanning 205 locations in 28 countries. In 2021, Vectrus generated sales of $1.8 billion. For more information, visit the company’s website at www.vectrus.com or connect with Vectrus on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Solid 2023. The transformation of V2X continued in 2023. The Company has emerged as a leader in the operational segment of the broader federal services marketplace. V2X is advancing how missions are operated by leveraging converged and engineered solutions, at the intersection of technology and operations. This includes modernization and sustainment support that elongates platform life cycles while enhancing capabilities.

4Q23 Results. Record revenue of $1.04 billion was up 6.4% y-o-y, and above our $1.01 billion forecast. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $82.1 million versus $82.3 million in 4Q22 and our $75 million estimate. Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.22 compared to $0.97 last year and our $0.97 estimate.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Terming Out Some Debt


Wednesday, March 06, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Debt Offering. Last night after market close, CoreCivic announced an offering of $500 million aggregate principal amount of 8.25% senior notes due 2029. The aggregate principal amount of the Notes to be issued in the offering was increased to $500 million from the previously announced $450 million. The aggregate net proceeds from the sale of the Notes are expected to be approximately $490.3 million.

Uses. CoreCivic intends to use the net proceeds, together with borrowings under the Company’s revolving credit facility and cash on hand, to fund the concurrent cash tender offer for any and all of the $593.1 million outstanding aggregate principal amount of 2026 Notes. Any remaining funds will be used to redeem 2026 Notes that remain outstanding thereafter. With excess cash on hand, the Company could pay most of the remaining principal with cash, modestly tapping into the revolver.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.