Unicycive Therapeutics (UNCY) – Patient Survey Data From Pivotal Trial Shows Patients Prefer OLC


Thursday, July 11, 2024

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pivotal Trial Included A Patient Satisfaction Survey. In late June, Unicycive released safety, efficacy, and dosing data from its Pivotal trial for OCL. As discussed on our Research Note on June 26, over 90% of the patients were able to reach target serum phosphate levels. The trial included a pre-specified patient survey asking about ease of use, satisfaction, and overall preference that shows patients prefer OLC over their current phosphate binders. We see this as an important point that could make it the best treatment in a $1 billion drug category.

We Consider Patient Preference To Be A Strong Point. OLC was developed as an improved formulation of Fosrenol (lanthanum citrate) that would require fewer and smaller pills. This was intended to improve compliance and maintain phosphate levels in the proper range. The Pivotal study for the NDA application showed sufficient safety, tolerability, and effective dose levels, with a pre-specified patient survey to collect post-treatment opinions.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

GeoVax Labs (GOVX) – Looking Forward To Continued Progress In 2H24


Wednesday, July 10, 2024

GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

GeoVax Reached Important Milestones For Both Platforms During 1H2024. The first half of 2024 has been a transformational period for GeoVax. A Phase 2 trial testing CM04S1 as a booster vaccine for COVID-19 reported initial data in February, then received a BARDA grant to conduct a large Phase 2b in June. The Gedeptin gene therapy program in head and neck cancer reported interim Phase 1/2 data showing successful proof-of-concept. Both programs are moving forward with additional milestones in 2H24.

BARDA Grant Allocates $367 Million For A Phase 2b Trial. In June, GeoVax announced that it has received a grant from BARDA to conduct a Phase 2b trial testing CM04S1 as a booster vaccine to protect healthy patients from COVID-19. As discussed in our Research Note on June 28, the grant terms include payments to GeoVax for clinical supplies and regulatory costs of $24.3 million (which could be increased to $45 million). The balance will be payable to Allucent, the CRO that will conduct the trial.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lilly Expands Immunology Footprint with $3.2 Billion Morphic Acquisition

Pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) announced on July 8, 2024, its plans to acquire Morphic Holding, Inc. (NASDAQ: MORF) for $3.2 billion, marking a significant expansion of its presence in the immunology space. This strategic move aims to enhance Lilly’s pipeline in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) treatments and broaden its portfolio of oral integrin therapies.

Under the agreement, Lilly will pay $57 per share in cash for all outstanding Morphic shares, representing a substantial 79% premium over Morphic’s closing stock price on July 5, 2024. The transaction, approved by both companies’ boards of directors, is expected to close in the third quarter of 2024, pending customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals.

At the heart of this acquisition is Morphic’s lead program, MORF-057, a selective oral small molecule inhibitor of α4β7 integrin. This promising compound is currently undergoing multiple Phase 2 studies for the treatment of ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease, two prevalent forms of IBD. The oral nature of MORF-057 could offer significant advantages over existing injectable therapies, potentially improving patient compliance and quality of life.

Dr. Daniel Skovronsky, Chief Scientific Officer of Lilly and President of Lilly Research Laboratories, highlighted the potential impact of oral therapies in IBD treatment. “Oral therapies could open up new possibilities for earlier intervention in diseases like ulcerative colitis, and also provide the potential for combination therapy to help patients with more severe disease,” he stated. This acquisition underscores Lilly’s commitment to developing first-in-class molecules in gastroenterology, an area where the company has been making substantial investments.

The deal also brings Morphic’s preclinical pipeline into Lilly’s fold, including molecules targeting autoimmune diseases, pulmonary hypertensive diseases, fibrotic diseases, and cancer. This addition further diversifies Lilly’s research and development efforts, potentially opening new avenues for therapeutic breakthroughs.

For Morphic, this deal represents a validation of its Integrin Technology platform and years of research. Dr. Praveen Tipirneni, CEO of Morphic Therapeutic, expressed confidence in Lilly’s ability to maximize MORF-057’s potential. “Lilly brings unparalleled resources and commitment to the inflammation and immunology field,” he noted, adding that the acquisition could “unlock new possibilities in IBD treatment.”

The transaction comes amid rapid growth in the global IBD therapeutics market. With the increasing prevalence of IBD worldwide and the limitations of current treatments, there is a significant unmet need for novel, more effective therapies. Lilly’s acquisition of Morphic positions the company to potentially capture a larger share of this expanding market and address critical patient needs.

From a financial perspective, the $3.2 billion deal represents a significant investment for Lilly. The company will determine the accounting treatment of the transaction as either a business combination or an asset acquisition upon closing, which will impact how it’s reflected in Lilly’s financial results and guidance.

The acquisition has ignited interest across the pharmaceutical industry, with analysts speculating that it could trigger a wave of similar deals in the integrin therapy space. As large pharmaceutical companies seek to bolster their pipelines and secure promising assets in high-growth therapeutic areas, smaller biotechnology firms with innovative platforms may become increasingly attractive targets.

However, Lilly faces the challenge of successfully integrating Morphic’s team and technologies into its existing operations. The company’s ability to manage this integration smoothly will be crucial in realizing the full potential of this deal and translating it into tangible benefits for patients and shareholders alike.

Lilly’s acquisition of Morphic represents a strategic move to strengthen its position in the immunology market, particularly in IBD treatments. With the potential to bring novel oral therapies to patients and expand its research capabilities, this deal could have far-reaching implications for both Lilly and the broader landscape of IBD treatment. As the transaction progresses towards closing, industry observers and patients alike will be watching closely to see how Lilly leverages this significant investment to drive innovation and improve patient outcomes in the years to come.

Ligand Pharmaceuticals Expands Oncology Portfolio with $100 Million APEIRON Biologics Acquisition

In a strategic move to bolster its commercial-stage portfolio, Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (Nasdaq: LGND) announced on July 8, 2024, its agreement to acquire APEIRON Biologics AG for $100 million in cash. This acquisition marks a significant expansion of Ligand’s oncology footprint, particularly in the realm of rare pediatric cancers.

The crown jewel of this acquisition is QARZIBA® (dinutuximab beta), a highly differentiated oncology drug used in the treatment of high-risk neuroblastoma in patients aged 12 months and above. QARZIBA, which received European Medicines Agency approval in 2017, is currently marketed in over 35 countries by global pharmaceutical company Recordati S.p.A.

Todd Davis, CEO of Ligand, emphasized the strategic importance of this acquisition, stating, “The addition of QARZIBA to our commercial royalty portfolio further supports our growth strategy to invest in high-value medicines that deliver significant clinical value and generate predictable and long-term revenue streams for our investors.”

The deal structure includes the initial $100 million cash payment, with the potential for up to an additional $28 million based on future commercial and regulatory milestones. Specifically, these additional payments are tied to QARZIBA royalties exceeding certain predetermined thresholds by either 2030 or 2034.

From a financial perspective, this acquisition is expected to make an immediate positive impact on Ligand’s bottom line. The company projects that the deal will be accretive to its earnings per share (EPS) by approximately $1.00 on an annualized basis, with a $0.50 impact expected for 2024 alone. In light of this, Ligand has increased its 2024 adjusted EPS guidance by 17% to a range of $5.00-$5.50.

The acquisition of APEIRON represents the sixth key asset added to Ligand’s commercial stage portfolio since the beginning of 2023, underscoring the company’s aggressive growth strategy. This diversification is expected to provide Ligand with a more stable and predictable revenue stream, a key consideration for investors in the volatile biotech sector.

QARZIBA’s unique position as the only immunotherapy for high-risk neuroblastoma marketed across Europe and other parts of the world makes it a particularly valuable addition to Ligand’s portfolio. Neuroblastoma, a rare cancer that primarily affects children, has limited treatment options, highlighting the potential impact of QARZIBA on patient outcomes.

In a parallel move, Ligand has also committed to investing up to $4 million in invIOs Holding AG, a privately held spin-off of APEIRON. This investment is aimed at financing the research and development of three innovative early-stage immuno-oncology assets, further expanding Ligand’s development stage portfolio.

Peter Llewellyn-Davies, CEO of APEIRON, expressed satisfaction with the deal, noting, “This transaction is an important milestone for our company and shareholders. We have spent more than 20 years translating academic research into therapeutic products for diseases with high unmet needs.”

The acquisition is expected to close in July 2024, subject to a 30-day shareholder objection period and other customary closing conditions. Upon completion, it will significantly reshape Ligand’s commercial portfolio and financial outlook.

As the biopharmaceutical industry continues to consolidate and seek ways to mitigate risk while maximizing potential returns, Ligand’s acquisition of APEIRON represents a strategic move to strengthen its position in the oncology market. By focusing on high-value, commercially available assets like QARZIBA, Ligand is positioning itself for sustained growth in the competitive and rapidly evolving pharmaceutical landscape.

Take a moment to take a look at emerging biotech companies by taking a look at Noble Capital Markets Research Analyst Robert LeBoyer’s coverage list.

Schwazze (SHWZ) – Noble Consumer Virtual Conference


Monday, July 01, 2024

Schwazze (OTCQX:SHWZ, NEO:SHWZ) is building a premier vertically integrated regional cannabis company with assets in Colorado and New Mexico and will continue to take its operating system to other states where it can develop a differentiated regional leadership position. Schwazze is the parent company of a portfolio of leading cannabis businesses and brands spanning seed to sale. The Company is committed to unlocking the full potential of the cannabis plant to improve the human condition. Schwazze is anchored by a high-performance culture that combines customer-centric thinking and data science to test, measure, and drive decisions and outcomes. The Company’s leadership team has deep expertise in retailing, wholesaling, and building consumer brands at Fortune 500 companies as well as in the cannabis sector. Schwazze is passionate about making a difference in our communities, promoting diversity and inclusion, and doing our part to incorporate climate-conscious best practices.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Conference. We hosted Schwazze Chairman Justin Dye at the Noble Capital Emerging Growth Conference on June 27th. The entire presentation with Q&A can be found at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/schwazze-shwz-noble-capital-markets-virtual-consumer-tmt-conference-replay. The following are key highlights of the presentation.

Improving Outlook. Schwazze is seeing improvement in both Colorado and New Mexico from a competitive standpoint. In Colorado, pricing continues to stabilize, which will prove positive to both the top line and gross margin dollars. In New Mexico, enhanced enforcement of illegal operators and the illicit market is beginning to produce results, which will benefit Schwazze over the longer-term, in our view.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

GeoVax Labs (GOVX) – CRO Partnership For Clinical Trial Allows Sponsored Phase 2b Trial To Move Forward


Friday, June 28, 2024

GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Partnership For BARDA-Funded Trial Announced. GeoVax announced a partnership with Allucent, a global clinical management organization (CRO), to conduct the Phase 2 clinical trial for CM04S1. The trial has been awarded approximately $357 million in funding through Project NextGen, with about $24.3 million going to GeoVax and the balance to fund the clinical trial costs. We see the partnership as an important step toward the start of the clinical trial, as well as another scientific validation for CM04S1 and the GeoVax manufacturing technologies.

The Partnership Allows The Trial To Begin As Expected. Under the grant, GeoVax is the trial sponsor with responsibility for manufacturing and providing vaccine supplies. The grant also requires a CRO to conduct the trial and manage its clinical operations. The announcement of the partnership with Allucent, a global CRO that can provide these services, allows the trial to move forward with a possible starting date during summer 2024.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Unicycive Therapeutics (UNCY) – The Moment We’ve Been Waiting For: OLC Pivotal Trial Meets Endpoints For Phosphate Control


Wednesday, June 26, 2024

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Side Effect Rates Were Low. Unicycive announced top-line results from its pivotal study to determine OLC (oxylanthanum carbonate) tolerability, safety, and dosing. The trial met its tolerability and safety endpoints with data that compares favorably with Fosrenol (lanthanum carbonate). Over 90% of the patients were able to lower their serum phosphate to target levels, with 70% reaching target at the lowest dose tested. An NDA filing is expected in 3Q24.

Low Discontinuation Rate Met The Primary Endpoint. Tolerability, the rate of discontinuations due to treatment related adverse events (TRAEs), was the primary endpoint. The Evaluable Population of 71 patients had only 1 TRAE discontinuation, a rate of 1.4%.  In the Safety Population, a total of 3 patients out of 86 discontinued due to TRAEs, a rate of 3.5%. In total, 5 patients discontinued due to AEs in the Safety Population, 3 were related to OLC and 2 were deemed unrelated to OLC.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Novo Nordisk’s $4.1 Billion Bet on Weight Loss

In a bold move that underscores the burgeoning demand for weight loss and diabetes treatments, Danish pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk has announced a monumental $4.1 billion investment to construct a state-of-the-art manufacturing facility in Clayton, North Carolina. This strategic decision marks a significant escalation in the company’s commitment to increasing the supply of its blockbuster drugs, Wegovy and Ozempic, which have taken the medical world by storm.

The new 1.4 million-square-foot plant, slated for completion between 2027 and 2029, will be dedicated to the crucial tasks of filling and packaging syringes and injection pens for these game-changing medications. This expansion is not just about bricks and mortar; it represents a transformative step in Novo Nordisk’s production capabilities and its position in the competitive pharmaceutical landscape.

The timing of this investment is critical. Wegovy and Ozempic, both part of a class of drugs known as GLP-1s, have seen demand skyrocket, outpacing the company’s current production capacity. The resulting shortages have left many patients struggling to access these treatments, which have shown remarkable efficacy in managing weight and diabetes. The new facility aims to bridge this gap, potentially revolutionizing access to these sought-after therapies.

The scale of Novo Nordisk’s commitment is evident in the numbers. The company plans to invest a staggering $6.8 billion in production this year alone, a significant increase from the $4 billion invested last year. This ramping up of investment reflects not just the current demand but also the company’s bullish outlook on the future of these treatments.

The impact of this expansion extends beyond the realm of healthcare. The new facility is set to create 1,000 new jobs, adding to the 2,500 employees already working at Novo Nordisk’s existing North Carolina plants. This influx of high-quality jobs represents a significant economic boon for the region, further cementing North Carolina’s status as a hub for pharmaceutical manufacturing.

The demand for Wegovy, in particular, underscores the potential market for effective weight loss treatments. With an average of 35,000 U.S. patients starting Wegovy each week – up from 27,000 in May – the drug has clearly struck a chord in a nation grappling with an obesity epidemic. However, the current shortage of lower doses has hampered the drug’s rollout, a problem this new facility aims to address.

Novo Nordisk’s expansion is not happening in isolation. The weight loss and diabetes treatment market has become a battleground for pharmaceutical giants, with companies like Eli Lilly also investing heavily in manufacturing capacity for similar drugs. This competition is likely to drive further innovation and potentially lead to more accessible treatments for patients in the future.

The Clayton facility will join Novo Nordisk’s existing manufacturing network, which includes plants in Denmark, France, China, Japan, and several other countries. However, this significant investment in U.S. manufacturing capacity signals the company’s recognition of the importance of the American market and its commitment to serving patients in the region.

As construction begins on this new facility, the pharmaceutical industry watches with keen interest. The success of this venture could set a new standard for production capacity in the industry and potentially reshape how companies approach the manufacturing of high-demand drugs.

In the grand scheme of things, Novo Nordisk’s $4.1 billion investment is more than just an expansion of manufacturing capacity. It represents a vote of confidence in the future of weight loss and diabetes treatments, a commitment to addressing critical healthcare needs, and a strategic move to solidify the company’s position as a leader in this rapidly evolving field. As the facility takes shape over the coming years, it may well become a symbol of the transformative power of targeted pharmaceutical investment in addressing global health challenges.

$381M Alimera Acquisition Propels ANI Pharmaceuticals into New Markets

In a strategic move to bolster its position in the rare disease and ophthalmology markets, ANI Pharmaceuticals has announced its acquisition of Alimera Sciences for approximately $381 million. This transformative deal, expected to close in the third quarter of 2024, marks a significant step in ANI’s growth strategy and expansion into the global pharmaceutical landscape.

The acquisition terms include an upfront payment of $5.50 per share in cash, representing a substantial 75% premium over Alimera’s recent closing price. Additionally, Alimera shareholders will receive a contingent value right (CVR) of up to $0.50 per share, tied to the achievement of specific revenue targets in 2026 and 2027. This structure aligns the interests of both companies and incentivizes future growth.

At the heart of this acquisition are Alimera’s two key commercial products, ILUVIEN® and YUTIQ®, both targeting eye conditions such as diabetic macular edema and chronic non-infectious uveitis. These assets are expected to contribute significantly to ANI’s revenue stream, adding approximately $105 million in highly durable branded revenue. The integration of these products aligns with ANI’s recent strategic focus on ophthalmology, complementing its existing rare disease portfolio.

The deal is projected to have a substantial positive impact on ANI’s financial performance. The company anticipates high single-digit to low double-digit accretion in adjusted non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) in 2025, with even more substantial accretion expected in subsequent years. Furthermore, ANI projects an additional $35-$38 million in adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA for 2025, including approximately $10 million in identified cost synergies.

Beyond the immediate financial benefits, this acquisition significantly expands ANI’s geographic footprint. Alimera’s established presence in European markets, including direct operations in Germany, the United Kingdom, Portugal, and Ireland, provides ANI with a springboard for international growth. The deal also brings valuable partnerships in Asia and the Middle East, further diversifying ANI’s global reach.

Strategically, this move strengthens ANI’s position in the rare disease sector, which is expected to become the company’s primary growth driver. Post-acquisition, the rare disease segment is projected to account for approximately 45% of ANI’s pro forma 2024 revenues, with robust growth potential. The transaction also leverages ANI’s existing rare disease infrastructure, creating operational efficiencies and expanding its reach to over 3,600 physicians in the ophthalmology field.

To finance the acquisition, ANI will utilize a combination of cash on hand and $280 million in committed debt financing from J.P. Morgan and Blackstone Credit & Insurance. The company anticipates a pro-forma leverage of 3.2x upon closing, with significant organic de-levering expected in 2025.

The boards of directors of both companies have approved the transaction, which now awaits customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals and Alimera shareholder approval. Both companies have enlisted top-tier financial and legal advisors to navigate the complexities of the deal, underscoring its strategic importance.

This acquisition represents a pivotal moment for ANI Pharmaceuticals, positioning it as a stronger player in the rare disease and ophthalmology markets. By integrating Alimera’s products and expertise, ANI is set to enhance its market presence, diversify its revenue streams, and potentially accelerate the growth of its existing products, including Purified Cortrophin® Gel, in the ophthalmology sector.

As the pharmaceutical industry continues to evolve, with an increasing focus on specialized treatments for rare diseases, this strategic move by ANI Pharmaceuticals demonstrates its commitment to growth and innovation. The successful integration of Alimera Sciences could serve as a catalyst for ANI’s long-term success, benefiting patients, physicians, and shareholders alike in the rapidly advancing field of ophthalmology and rare disease treatment.

Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP) – Tonix Announces Positive Pre-NDA Meeting – NDA Submission On Schedule


Friday, June 21, 2024

Tonix is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, licensing, acquiring and developing therapeutics and diagnostics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix’s portfolio is composed of immunology, rare disease, infectious disease, and central nervous system (CNS) product candidates. Tonix’s immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-15001 which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand being developed for the prevention of allograft and xenograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-1500 is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2022. Tonix’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-29002 for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. TNX-2900 has been granted Orphan-Drug Designation by the FDA. Tonix’s infectious disease pipeline includes a vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and monkeypox called TNX-8013, next-generation vaccines to prevent COVID-19, and an antiviral to treat COVID-19. Tonix’s lead vaccine candidates for COVID-19 are TNX-1840 and TNX-18504, which are live virus vaccines based on Tonix’s recombinant pox vaccine (RPV) platform. TNX-35005 (sangivamycin, i.v. solution) is a small molecule antiviral drug to treat acute COVID-19 and is in the pre-IND stage of development. TNX-102 SL6, (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablets), is a small molecule drug being developed to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Tonix expects to initiate a Phase 2 study in Long COVID in the second quarter of 2022. The Company’s CNS portfolio includes both small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric and addiction conditions. Tonix’s lead CNS candidate, TNX-102 SL, is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia with a new Phase 3 study launched in the second quarter of 2022. Finally, TNX-13007 is a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication that is expected to start a Phase 2 trial in the second quarter of 2022. TNX-1300 has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NDA For Tonmya Expected In 2H24. Tonix announced that it has received written feedback from the FDA from its pre-NDA meetings. The meetings covered the CMC (chemistry, manufacturing, and controls) section of the Tonmya new drug application (NDA). Based on the written feedback, Tonix believes it is in alignment with the FDA on important issues. This keeps the NDA filing on schedule for submission in 2H24.

Tonix Reaches CMC Agreement and Alignment. Topics of the meetings included the proposed drug substance and commercial specifications, shelf-life assignment, manufacturing, and commercial drug packaging. We see this as a significant milestone toward the NDA submission and approval, as many NDA applications have been delayed or received Complete Response Letters (CRLs) due to issues with manufacturing and the CMC section.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Cocrystal Pharma (COCP) – Cocrystal Updates Studies On Influenza and Bird Flu


Friday, June 21, 2024

Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics that target the replication process of influenza viruses, coronaviruses (including SARS-CoV-2), hepatitis C viruses and noroviruses. Cocrystal employs unique structure-based technologies and Nobel Prize-winning expertise to create first- and best-in-class antiviral drugs. For further information about Cocrystal, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Potential Efficacy Against A New Strain Of Avian Influenza. Cocrystal has announced that studies of its influenza drug, CC-42344, have shown efficacy against the new avian influenza strain H5N1. Cocrystal has used its proprietary technology to determine the strain’s mutations and structure, then conduct preliminary tests. The binding site for CC-42344 was not changed and can block reproduction of the new strain, making it an effective vaccine against the virus. 

Avian Influenza Strain Has Begun To Infect Humans. Avian influenza H5N1 has caused significant illness in commercial bird flocks since 2003. Its impact was limited until recent outbreaks in dairy cattle and infections in diary workers. This ability to mutate and infect other species is a significant step toward causing widespread outbreaks in humans, elevating it to a public health concern.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

GeoVax Labs (GOVX) – GeoVax Receives BARDA Award For COVID Vaccine Trial


Tuesday, June 18, 2024

GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Grant Provides Up To $367 Million Funding For The Phase 2b Trial. GeoVax announced that it has been selected to receive a Project NexGen grant to test CM04S1 in a Phase 2b study for prevention of COVID-19. The study will test CM04S1 against an approved vaccine in a randomized trial enrolling 10,000 volunteers. GeoVax will receive about $24.3 million for manufacturing, materials, and trial preparations, which can be increased to $45 million. About $343 million will be awarded to a CRO to conduct the trial.

Phase 2b Trial Will Have A Large Enrollment. The trial is designed as a Phase 2b double-blind study comparing GeoVax CM-04S1 to an approved mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. Enrollment will have an estimated 10,000 healthy volunteers to determine efficacy, safety, and immunogenicity of the vaccines. Previous trials with CM04S1 have shown both humoral and cellular immunity to multiple strains of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, with rapid and durable protection.


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Healthcare AI Trailblazer Tempus Goes Public in $410 Million Offering

The artificial intelligence revolution is rapidly expanding into new industries and sectors. While AI has already transformed fields like consumer technology and autonomous vehicles, one area holding immense potential for disruption is healthcare. A new public company, Tempus AI, is looking to capitalize on this opportunity at the intersection of artificial intelligence and precision medicine.

Tempus, based in Chicago, priced its initial public offering on Thursday, raising $410.7 million by selling 11.1 million shares at $37 each. With this successful IPO, the AI healthcare company now carries a fully diluted market valuation around $8 billion as a newly minted public enterprise. Tempus also granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase an additional 1.665 million shares.

The sizeable offering highlights immense investor demand for companies leveraging artificial intelligence to solve major challenges across different domains. AI and machine learning firms have seen warm receptions on the public markets over the last couple of years as the powerful capabilities of these technologies have become more apparent and applicable.

However, Tempus represents one of the first opportunities for public investors to gain exposure to the rapidly evolving field of AI-driven precision medicine and healthcare applications. The company aims to use artificial intelligence models to provide decision support tools that enable doctors to offer more personalized care tailored specifically to each patient’s condition and circumstances.

Underpinning Tempus’ AI healthcare platform is its multimodal database containing a massive repository of data aggregated from healthcare providers across the country. This includes molecular data, medical images, electronic records, and treatment information across millions of patient lives for major disease areas like cancer, diabetes, neurological disorders and more.

Tempus deploys proprietary artificial intelligence models that ingest and learn patterns from this immense, constantly updating dataset. These AI models can then provide personalized analysis and therapeutic recommendations to physicians treating patients. On the life sciences side, pharmaceutical companies pay to access Tempus’ data and AI capabilities to aid in drug discovery and development of new therapies.

The core premise is that Tempus’ operating system for precision medicine becomes smarter and more powerful with every new data point added. This sets up a virtuous learning cycle where the AI models help enable better patient outcomes, leading to more data to further enhance the predictive prowess of the AI over time.

While still a relatively small company generating around $100 million in revenue for 2023, Tempus has grand ambitions to help usher in an era of AI-augmented healthcare. The company envisions its technology empowering doctors to defeat deadly diseases through intelligent, data-driven treatment strategies precisely tailored to each individual patient’s unique molecular profile.

Tempus’ successful public offering provides a major cash influx to fund investments and growth initiatives as it aims to cement itself as a pioneer in the burgeoning field of AI healthcare applications. For investors seeking exposure to AI’s transformative potential across sectors, the newly public Tempus may offer an intriguing option to capitalize on precision medicine powered by artificial intelligence.

Only time will tell if Tempus can fully deliver on its bold vision. But the company’s lucrative public debut underscores big expectations that AI could play a pivotal role in ushering healthcare into a new technologically-advanced frontier of personalized patient care and therapeutic development in the years ahead.

Take a moment to take a look at more emerging growth healthcare investment ideas on display at the Noble Capital Markets Emerging Growth Virtual Healthcare Equity Conference.