The GEO Group (GEO) – 2Q24 – Delivering Steady Operational and Financial Performance


Thursday, August 08, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q24 Results. Revenue of $607.2 million compared to $593.9 million last year, with all business segments except BI showing y-o-y growth. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $124.1 million versus $119.3 million. Reported net loss was $0.25/sh, versus EPS of $0.20/sh las year. Excluding one-time refi costs, adjusted EPS of $0.23 versus $0.24 last year. We were at a loss of $0.22 and EPS of $0.26, respectively.

Stable, At Higher Levels. GEO ICE populations were stable at approximately 13,000 in the quarter, but up 30% from the year ago. U.S. Marshals populations remained in the 9,000 neighborhood, up some 8% over last year. With current ICE bed utilization some 4,500 beds below the 41,500 authorized level, there is room for additional growth if funding materializes.


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Release – The GEO Group Reports Second Quarter 2024 Results

Research News and Market Data on GEO

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Aug. 7, 2024– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO”), a leading provider of support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry centers, as well as enhanced in-custody rehabilitation, post-release support, and electronic monitoring programs, reported today its financial results for the second quarter and first six months of 2024.

Second Quarter 2024 Highlights

  • Total revenues of $607.2 million
  • Net Loss Attributable to GEO of $0.25 per diluted share, reflects costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $82.3 million, pre-tax, in connection with the April 2024 debt refinancing
  • Adjusted Net Income of $0.23 per diluted share
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $119.3 million

For the second quarter 2024, we reported a net loss attributable to GEO of $32.5 million, or $0.25 per diluted share, compared to net income attributable to GEO of $29.6 million, or $0.20 per diluted share, for the second quarter 2023. Second quarter 2024 results reflect costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $82.3 million, pre-tax, in connection with the April 2024 refinancing of our debt. Excluding the costs associated with the extinguishment of debt and other unusual and/or nonrecurring items, we reported adjusted net income for the second quarter 2024 of $30.1 million, or $0.23 per diluted share, compared to $29.2 million, or $0.24 per diluted share, for the second quarter 2023.

We reported total revenues for the second quarter 2024 of $607.2 million compared to $593.9 million for the second quarter 2023. We reported second quarter 2024 Adjusted EBITDA of $119.3 million, compared to $129.0 million for the second quarter 2023.

George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of GEO, said, “Our diversified business units have continued to deliver steady financial and operational performance. We are pleased to have completed the comprehensive refinancing of our debt, including the exchange and retirement of substantially all of our convertible notes, during the second quarter of 2024. We believe that these important transactions significantly enhanced our balance sheet, lowered our average cost of debt, and have given us greater flexibility to evaluate options for capital returns in the future. We remain focused on the disciplined allocation of capital to enhance long-term value for shareholders as we execute our company’s strategic priorities and pursue quality growth opportunities.”

First Six Months 2024 Highlights

  • Total revenues of $1.21 billion
  • Net Loss Attributable to GEO of $0.08 per diluted share, reflects costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $82.4 million, pre-tax
  • Adjusted Net Income of $0.43 per diluted share
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $236.9 million

For the first six months of 2024, we reported a net loss attributable to GEO of $9.9 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, compared to net income attributable to GEO of $57.6 million, or $0.39 per diluted share, for the first six months of 2023. Results for the first six months of 2024 reflect costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $82.4 million, pre-tax. Excluding the costs associated with the extinguishment of debt and other unusual and/or nonrecurring items, we reported adjusted net income for the first six months of 2024 of $53.8 million, or $0.43 per diluted share, compared to $57.3 million, or $0.46 per diluted share, for the first six months of 2023.

We reported total revenues for the first six months of 2024 of $1.21 billion compared to $1.20 billion for the first six months of 2023. We reported Adjusted EBITDA for the first six months of 2024 of $236.9 million, compared to $259.9 million for the first six months of 2023.

Financial Guidance

Today, we updated our financial guidance for 2024. For the full year 2024, we expect net income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.40 to $0.51 per diluted share, on annual revenues of approximately $2.44 billion and reflecting an effective tax rate of approximately 24 percent, inclusive of known discrete items. Our full-year 2024 guidance reflects the costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $82.4 million, pre-tax, in connection with the refinancing of our debt.

Excluding the costs associated with the extinguishment of debt and other unusual and/or nonrecurring items, we expect full year 2024 Adjusted Net Income to be in a range of $0.82 to $0.93 per diluted share. We expect full year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA to be between $485 million and $505 million.

For the third quarter 2024, we expect net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.21 to $0.25 per diluted share. We expect third quarter 2024 revenues to be in a range of $606 million to $616 million. We expect third quarter 2024 Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $123 million to $130 million.

For the fourth quarter 2024, we expect net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.22 to $0.29 per diluted share. We expect fourth quarter 2024 revenues to be in a range of $611 million to $621 million. We expect fourth quarter 2024 Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $125 million to $138 million.

Recent Developments

During the second quarter 2024, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) issued a task order for the GEO-owned 1,940-bed Adelanto ICE Processing Center in California (the “Adelanto Center”), which provides for continued funding through October 19, 2024, allowing additional time for ICE to obtain relief from previously disclosed COVID-related litigation that currently prevents full use of the Adelanto Center. ICE and GEO entered into a 15-year contract on December 19, 2019, for the provision of secure residential housing and care at the Adelanto Center, consisting of a 5-year base period, ending on December 19, 2024, followed by two 5-year option periods.

On June 20, 2024, we announced that GEO had given the Oklahoma Department of Corrections (“ODOC”) notice of our intent to discontinue our management contract for the company-owned, 2,388-bed Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility (the “Lawton Facility”), which was set to expire on June 30, 2024. Subsequently, on June 26, 2024, GEO and the ODOC agreed to enter into a new one-year contract, continuing GEO’s operation of the Lawton Facility through June 30, 2025, under revised terms.

Balance Sheet

During the second quarter 2024, we completed the comprehensive refinancing of our debt, including the exchange and retirement of $229.4 million of the $230 million in aggregate principal amount of our senior unsecured exchangeable notes due 2026 using a combination of $229.4 million in cash and approximately 12.4 million shares of GEO common stock.

As of June 30, 2024, our senior debt was comprised of $650.0 million aggregate principal amount of 8.625% senior secured notes due 2029; $625.0 million aggregate principal amount of 10.25% senior unsecured notes due 2031; $444.4 million in borrowings under a Term Loan B due 2029, bearing interest at SOFR plus 5.25%; $40.0 million in borrowings outstanding under a $310 million Revolving Credit Facility bearing interest at SOFR plus 3.00%; and $40.7 million in other secured and unsecured debt. Net of cash-on-hand of $46.3 million, our total net debt was approximately $1.754 billion at the end of the second quarter 2024.

Conference Call Information

We have scheduled a conference call and webcast for today at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) to discuss our second quarter 2024 financial results as well as our outlook. The call-in number for the U.S. is 1-877-250-1553 and the international call-in number is 1-412-542-4145. In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Webcasts section under the News, Events and Reports tab of GEO’s investor relations webpage at investors.geogroup.com. A replay of the webcast will be available on the website for one year. A telephonic replay of the conference call will be available through August 14, 2024, at 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The participant passcode for the telephonic replay is 4116450.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Information

GEO has made available Supplemental Information which contains reconciliation tables of Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income, and Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA, along with supplemental financial and operational information on GEO’s business and other important operating metrics. The reconciliation tables are also presented herein. Please see the section below titled “Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure – Important Information on GEO’s Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for information on how GEO defines these supplemental Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciles them to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. GEO’s Reconciliation Tables can be found herein and in GEO’s Supplemental Information available on GEO’s investor webpage at investors.geogroup.com.

Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure –
Important Information on GEO’s Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted Net Income, EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures that are presented as supplemental disclosures. GEO has presented herein certain forward-looking statements about GEO’s future financial performance that include non-GAAP financial measures, including Net Debt, Net Leverage, and Adjusted EBITDA. The determination of the amounts that are included or excluded from these non-GAAP financial measures is a matter of management judgment and depends upon, among other factors, the nature of the underlying expense or income amounts recognized in a given period.

While we have provided a high level reconciliation for the guidance ranges for full year 2024, we are unable to present a more detailed quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because management cannot reliably predict all of the necessary components of such GAAP measures. The quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures will be provided for completed annual and quarterly periods, as applicable, calculated in a consistent manner with the quantitative reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures previously reported for completed annual and quarterly periods.

Net Debt is defined as gross principal debt less cash from restricted subsidiaries. Net Leverage is defined as Net Debt divided by Adjusted EBITDA.

EBITDA is defined as net income adjusted by adding provisions for income tax, interest expense, net of interest income, and depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA adjusted for gain/(loss) on asset divestitures/impairment, pre-tax, net loss attributable to non-controlling interests, stock-based compensation expenses, pre-tax, start-up expenses, pre-tax, ATM equity program expenses, pre-tax, transaction fees, pre-tax, close-out expenses, pre-tax, other non-cash items, pre-tax, and certain other adjustments as defined from time to time.

Given the nature of our business as a real estate owner and operator, we believe that EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are helpful to investors as measures of our operational performance because they provide an indication of our ability to incur and service debt, to satisfy general operating expenses, to make capital expenditures, and to fund other cash needs or reinvest cash into our business.

We believe that by removing the impact of our asset base (primarily depreciation and amortization) and excluding certain non-cash charges, amounts spent on interest and taxes, and certain other charges that are highly variable from year to year, EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide our investors with performance measures that reflect the impact to operations from trends in occupancy rates, per diem rates and operating costs, providing a perspective not immediately apparent from net income.

The adjustments we make to derive the non-GAAP measures of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA exclude items which may cause short-term fluctuations in income from continuing operations and which we do not consider to be the fundamental attributes or primary drivers of our business plan and they do not affect our overall long-term operating performance.

EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide disclosure on the same basis as that used by our management and provide consistency in our financial reporting, facilitate internal and external comparisons of our historical operating performance and our business units and provide continuity to investors for comparability purposes.

Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income/(loss) attributable to GEO adjusted for certain items which by their nature are not comparable from period to period or that tend to obscure GEO’s actual operating performance, including for the periods presented loss on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, start-up expenses, pre-tax, transaction fees, pre-tax, ATM equity program expenses, pre-tax, close-out expenses, pre-tax, discrete tax benefit, and tax effect of adjustments to net income attributable to GEO.

Safe-Harbor Statement

This press release contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future performance of GEO that involve risks and uncertainties that could materially and adversely affect actual results, including statements regarding GEO’s financial guidance for the full year, third quarter, and fourth quarter of 2024, statements regarding GEO’s focus on reducing net debt, deleveraging its balance sheet, positioning itself to explore options to return capital to shareholders in the future, and pursuing a disciplined allocation of capital to enhance long-term value for shareholders, executing on GEO’s strategic priorities, and pursuing quality growth opportunities. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “seek,” “estimate,” or “continue” or the negative of such words and similar expressions. Risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to: (1) GEO’s ability to meet its financial guidance for 2024 given the various risks to which its business is exposed; (2) GEO’s ability to deleverage and repay, refinance or otherwise address its debt maturities in an amount and on terms commercially acceptable to GEO, and on the timeline it expects or at all; (3) GEO’s ability to identify and successfully complete any potential sales of company-owned assets and businesses or potential acquisitions of assets or businesses on commercially advantageous terms on a timely basis, or at all; (4) changes in federal and state government policy, orders, directives, legislation and regulations that affect public-private partnerships with respect to secure, correctional and detention facilities, processing centers and reentry centers, including the timing and scope of implementation of President Biden’s Executive Order directing the U.S. Attorney General not to renew the U.S. Department of Justice contracts with privately operated criminal detention facilities; (5) changes in federal immigration policy; (6) public and political opposition to the use of public-private partnerships with respect to secure correctional and detention facilities, processing centers and reentry centers; (7) any continuing impact of the COVID-19 global pandemic on GEO and GEO’s ability to mitigate the risks associated with COVID-19; (8) GEO’s ability to sustain or improve company-wide occupancy rates at its facilities; (9) fluctuations in GEO’s operating results, including as a result of contract terminations, contract renegotiations, changes in occupancy levels and increases in GEO’s operating costs; (10) general economic and market conditions, including changes to governmental budgets and its impact on new contract terms, contract renewals, renegotiations, per diem rates, fixed payment provisions, and occupancy levels; (11) GEO’s ability to address inflationary pressures related to labor related expenses and other operating costs; (12) GEO’s ability to timely open facilities as planned, profitably manage such facilities and successfully integrate such facilities into GEO’s operations without substantial costs; (13) GEO’s ability to win management contracts for which it has submitted proposals and to retain existing management contracts; (14) risks associated with GEO’s ability to control operating costs associated with contract start-ups; (15) GEO’s ability to successfully pursue growth opportunities and continue to create shareholder value; (16) GEO’s ability to obtain financing or access the capital markets in the future on acceptable terms or at all; and (17) other factors contained in GEO’s Securities and Exchange Commission periodic filings, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports, many of which are difficult to predict and outside of GEO’s control.

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Release – The GEO Group Announces Extension of Exchange Offer

Research News and Market Data on GEO

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Jul. 17, 2024– The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO” or the “Company”) announced today that it has extended its offers to exchange (the “Exchange Offer”) (i) up to $650.0 million aggregate principal amount of registered 8.625% Senior Secured Notes due 2029 (the “Secured Exchange Notes”) for any and all of its $650.0 million aggregate principal amount of unregistered 8.625% Senior Secured Notes due 2029 that were issued in a private placement on April 18, 2024 (the “Secured Original Notes”), and (ii) up to $625.0 million aggregate principal amount of registered 10.250% Senior Notes due 2031 (the “Unsecured Exchange Notes” and, together with the Secured Exchange Notes, the “Exchange Notes”) for any and all of its $625.0 million aggregate principal amount of unregistered 10.250% Senior Notes due 2031 that were issued in a private placement on April 18, 2024 (the “Unsecured Original Notes” and, together with the Secured Original Notes, the “Original Notes”).

The Exchange Offer, which was previously scheduled to expire at 5:00 p.m., New York City time, on July 16, 2024, will now expire at 5:00 p.m., New York City time, on July 23, 2024, unless earlier terminated or extended by the Company (such date and time, including any extension, the “Expiration Date”). Any Original Notes tendered may be withdrawn at any time prior to the Expiration Date, but not thereafter (the “Withdrawal Deadline”). Except for the extension of the Expiration Date and Withdrawal Deadline, all other terms of the Exchange Offer remain in full force and effect.

As of 5:00 p.m., New York City time, on July 16, 2024, which was the previous expiration date for the Exchange Offer, the aggregate principal amount of the Original Notes validly tendered and not validly withdrawn, as advised by D.F. King & Co., Inc., the Exchange Agent for the Exchange Offer, was as set forth in the table below:

The terms and conditions of the Exchange Offer are described in the Prospectus, dated June 14, 2024 and the Prospectus Supplement, dated June 27, 2024, which forms a part of the Registration Statement on Form S-4 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 31, 2024 and declared effective on June 13, 2024 (the “Registration Statement”). The Expiration Date for the Exchange Offer is being extended to provide time for remaining outstanding Original Notes to be tendered for exchange. The Exchange Offer is not conditioned upon any minimum amount of Original Notes being tendered. Subject to applicable law, the Company may waive certain other conditions applicable to the Exchange Offer or extend, terminate or otherwise amend the Exchange Offer in its sole discretion.

This news release is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to participate in the Exchange Offer, nor shall there be any sale of the Exchange Notes or exchange of the Original Notes in any state or jurisdiction in which such an offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful. The Exchange Offer is being made solely pursuant to the Registration Statement. Copies of the Registration Statement and related prospectus can be obtained without charge by visiting the SEC website at www.sec.gov; by contacting D.F. King & Co., Inc., 48 Wall Street, 22nd Floor, New York, NY 10005; by calling toll-free at (800) 848-3405; or by e-mail at geo@dfking.com.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Use of Forward-Looking Statements

This news release may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and any such forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the following cautionary statements. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news release and are based on current expectations and involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. Risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to, risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports. GEO disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

Pablo E. Paez (866) 301 4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

Release – The GEO Group Announces Date for Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Release and Conference Call

July 9, 2024

  • Earnings Release Scheduled for Wednesday, August 7, 2024 Before the Market Opens
  • Conference Call Scheduled for Wednesday, August 7, 2024 at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time)

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Jul. 9, 2024– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) (“GEO”) will release its second quarter 2024 financial results on Wednesday, August 7, 2024 before the market opens. GEO has scheduled a conference call and simultaneous webcast for 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024.

Hosting the call for GEO will be George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of the Board, Brian R. Evans, Chief Executive Officer, Mark Suchinski, Chief Financial Officer, Wayne Calabrese, President and Chief Operating Officer, and James Black, President, GEO Secure Services.

To participate in the teleconference, please contact one of the following numbers 5 minutes prior to the scheduled start time:

1-877-250-1553 (U.S.)
1-412-542-4145 (International)

In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Webcasts section of GEO’s investor relations home page at investors.geogroup.com. A webcast replay will remain available on the website for one year.

A telephonic replay will also be available through August 14, 2024. The replay numbers are 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The passcode for the telephonic replay is 4116450. If you have any questions, please contact GEO at 1-866-301-4436.

Pablo E. Paez 1-866-301-4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group (GEO) – A Resolution for Lawton


Thursday, June 27, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Resolution. In a quick turnaround, The GEO Group and the State of Oklahoma Department of Corrections (ODOC) reached an agreement on a one-year contract to continue operating the Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility (LCRF) through June 2025. The Board of Correction approval allows the contract to move forward in the process to be approved by the Attorney General’s office and executed by ODOC.

Changes. As part of the agreement, ODOC will reduce the number of inmates housed at LCRF to 2,388 from a current 2,616. With the population reduction, GEO has pledged to actively work to reduce violence, provide more access to programs, and grant more out-of-cell time for the inmates.


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The GEO Group (GEO) – A Contract Termination


Monday, June 24, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lawton Termination. GEO announced the discontinuation of its contract with the Oklahoma Department of Corrections for the company-owned, 2,600-bed Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility, which is set to expire on June 30, 2024, unless extended for an additional three months under terms proposed by GEO.

Why? In our discussions with management, the facility is not performing up to GEO expectations due to inadequate current funding levels provided by the State and difficulty in attracting sufficient staffing, a problem across the State DOC. GEO noted a closure would not have a material impact on financial guidance for 2024. It is our view that by providing notice to the State, GEO is hopeful a realistic funding solution can be found with the State, either as currently operated or, potentially, with GEO entering into a lease of the facility with the State operating the facility.


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Release – The GEO Group Announces Discontinuation of Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility Contract in Oklahoma

Research News and Market Data on GEO

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Jun. 20, 2024– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO” or the “Company”) announced today the discontinuation of its contract with the Oklahoma Department of Corrections for the company-owned, 2,600-bed Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility, which is set to expire on June 30, 2024, unless extended for an additional three months under terms proposed by GEO.

We are proud of our long-standing public-private partnership with the Oklahoma Department of Corrections, which dates to 1998. Over the last 26 years, we have made significant capital investments to provide needed correctional bedspace to help reduce Oklahoma prison overcrowding. We have implemented a world class rehabilitation program through our GEO Continuum of Care to help lower recidivism in the State of Oklahoma. Throughout this time, the health and safety of all those in our care and of our employees has always been our number one priority. All funding increases we have received from the State of Oklahoma in prior years have been directly allocated to increase wages for staff at the Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility.

In recent years, wage inflation and staffing shortages, following the COVID pandemic, have negatively impacted staff recruitment and retention at all state correctional facilities. Unfortunately, the recent veto of funding that was approved by the Oklahoma State Legislature will only exacerbate our significant challenges. Upon extensive consideration of the current funding levels and resources relative to the present service requirements, we have determined that we are no longer willing to manage the 2,600-bed Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility without changes to financial and operational terms. We have proposed a new three-month transition agreement starting July 1, 2024, allowing for an orderly relocation of inmates if new funding and contract terms cannot be mutually agreed upon.

The discontinuation of the Lawton Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility contract will not have a material impact on GEO’s financial guidance.

Additionally, as has been reported in the media, as a result of recent significant damage caused to the physical plant and equipment at our company-owned, 1,940-bed Great Plains Correctional Facility, we have issued a default notice to the State of Oklahoma under our lease agreement for the Great Plains Correctional Facility, which is currently operated and maintained by the Oklahoma Department of Corrections. The default notice provides for a cure period of 30 days for the State of Oklahoma to carry out all necessary physical plant and equipment repairs at an estimated cost of $3 million.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Use of forward-looking statements

This news release may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and any such forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the following cautionary statements. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news release and are based on current expectations and involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. Risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to, risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports. GEO disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

Pablo E. Paez (866) 301 4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group (GEO) – An Incremental Net Positive


Wednesday, June 12, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More Available Funding. ICE’s termination of competitor CoreCivic’s South Texas contract (see our report on CoreCivic) will provide funding for additional beds. According to ICE, “Closing this facility will enable ICE to reallocate funding to increase the overall detention bed capacity across the system by an estimated 1,600 beds to better support operational needs. This additional bedspace is being pursued across the country and is expected to be available immediately.”

The Opportunity. First, we expect some portion of the nearly 1,600 detainees at South Texas may need to be re-homed. Second, as noted, the freed up funding will increase overall detention bed capacity by 1,600 beds. The Agency stated, “Today’s announcement will provide an overall increase in bedspace and operate at or above the FY24 appropriated 41,500 minimum bed requirement…” With the current detainee population just over 37,300, ICE could now access nearly 6,000 more beds. GEO has ample capacity, both at existing and idled facilities, to assist ICE.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – The GEO Group Announces Appointment of Chief Financial Officer

Research News and Market Data on GEO

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Jun. 5, 2024– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO” or the “Company”) announced today the appointment of Mark J. Suchinski as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective July 8, 2024.

Mr. Suchinski has served as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Spirit AeroSystems since 2020. In this role, Mr. Suchinski has been responsible for the overall financial management of Spirit AeroSystems, its financial reporting and transparency, and multiple corporate functions including Treasury, Investor Relations, Strategy, and Mergers and Acquisitions. Mr. Suchinski joined Spirit AeroSystems in 2006 as the Controller for the Aerostructures Segment. He subsequently served in increasingly senior positions, including as Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis and Corporate Contracts, Vice President of Finance and Treasurer, and Vice President of Quality. Prior to joining Spirit AeroSystems, Mr. Suchinski held the position of Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer for Home Products International from 2000 to 2006. Mr. Suchinski attended DePaul University where he earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting.

George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of GEO, said, “Mark Suchinski has extensive experience in corporate finance, capital markets, financial reporting, and business management, having held multiple leadership positions throughout his career. He also brings unique skills and knowledge in manufacturing and supply chain management to our company. We are pleased to welcome him to GEO’s Senior Management Team.”

Brian R. Evans, GEO’s Chief Executive Officer, said, “We are pleased to have Mark Suchinski join our Senior Management Team. We believe that his unique skill set, knowledge and experience, across a broad range of key areas of corporate finance and business management, will be an asset to our company.”

Mr. Suchinski, stated, “I am excited to join this worldclass organization and have been impressed with George Zoley, Brian Evans, and the entire GEO leadership team. I look forward to partnering with them to drive value creation for our employees and shareholders.”

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Use of forward-looking statements

This news release may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and any such forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the following cautionary statements. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news release and are based on current expectations and involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. Risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to, risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports. GEO disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

Pablo E. Paez, (866) 301 4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

Release – The GEO Group Announces Funding Extension for Adelanto ICE Processing Center Contract

Research News and Market Data on GEO

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–May 20, 2024– The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO”) announced today that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) announced that it plans to issue a task order for the GEO-owned 1,940-bed Adelanto ICE Processing Center in California (the “Adelanto Center”), which provides for continued funding through September 30, 2024.

GEO previously filed motions, on January 4, 2024, with the U.S. District Court, Central District of California, in the case of Roman v. Wolf, to Intervene and to Vacate several injunction orders (collectively the “Orders”) including an intake prohibition order issued more than three years ago, limiting the use of the Adelanto Center based on then-prevailing COVID-19 conditions. GEO was joined in its filings by three unions (collectively the “Unions”) representing over 350 employees at the Adelanto Center. Subsequently, on April 22, 2024, GEO and the Unions filed a renewed motion with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit to intervene in the case of Roman v. Wolf, with a proposed motion to stay the Orders. GEO and the Unions will continue to pursue legal action to protect GEO’s and the Unions’ interests, which include the Adelanto Center contract’s annualized revenues and the potential loss of jobs by 350-plus employees.

ICE and GEO entered into a 15-year contract on December 19, 2019, for the provision of secure residential housing and care at the Adelanto Center, consisting of a 5-year base period, ending on December 19, 2024, followed by two 5-year option periods. The Adelanto Center contract generates approximately $85 million in annualized revenues for GEO.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Use of forward-looking statements

This news release may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and any such forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the following cautionary statements. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news release and are based on current expectations and involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements, including statements regarding GEO’s filings in the case of Roman v. Wolf,statements regarding the Orders, and statements regarding the Adelanto Center contract. Risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to, risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports. GEO disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

Pablo E. Paez (866) 301 4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group (GEO) – First Quarter In-Line but Potential Upside for the Year


Wednesday, May 08, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q Results. Total revenues decreased to $605.7 million from $608.2 million last year. We estimated revenue of $604 million. Net income for the quarter was $22.7 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, compared to $28.0 million, or $0.22, in the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $117.6 million compared to $130.9 million last year. We estimated net income of $23.6 million, or $0.19 per share, and adjusted EBITDA of $120 million.

ICE Populations. For 1Q24, GEO experienced average ICE pops in the 13,000 range, with that number carrying over into the second quarter. After a dip beginning in late March, overall ICE pops have rebounded back to the 37,000 level, according to GEO management. With the typical seasonal increase in crossings, it is possible numbers could trend up to the 41,500 bed authorized level.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – The GEO Group Announces Date for First Quarter 2024 Earnings Release and Conference Call

Research News and Market Data on GEO

April 22, 2024

PDF Version

  • Earnings Release Scheduled for Tuesday, May 7, 2024 Before the Market Opens
  • Conference Call Scheduled for Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time)

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Apr. 22, 2024– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) (“GEO”) will release its first quarter 2024 financial results on Tuesday, May 7, 2024 before the market opens. GEO has scheduled a conference call and simultaneous webcast for 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) on Tuesday, May 7, 2024.

Hosting the call for GEO will be George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of the Board, Brian R. Evans, Chief Executive Officer, Shayn March, Acting Chief Financial Officer, Wayne Calabrese, President and Chief Operating Officer, and James Black, President, GEO Secure Services.

To participate in the teleconference, please contact one of the following numbers 5 minutes prior to the scheduled start time:

1-877-250-1553 (U.S.)
1-412-542-4145 (International)

In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Webcasts section of GEO’s investor relations home page at investors.geogroup.com. A webcast replay will remain available on the website for one year.

A telephonic replay will also be available through May 14, 2024. The replay numbers are 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The passcode for the telephonic replay is 2879740. If you have any questions, please contact GEO at 1-866-301-4436.

View source version on businesswire.comhttps://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240422631871/en/

Pablo E. Paez 1-866-301-4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

Release – The GEO Group Closes Senior Notes Offering and New Term Loan

Research News and Market Data on GEO

April 18, 2024

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Apr. 18, 2024– The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO” or the “Company”) announced today that it has closed a private offering of $1.275 billion aggregate principal amount of senior notes, comprised of $650.0 million aggregate principal amount of 8.625% senior secured notes due 2029 (the “Secured Notes”) and $625.0 million aggregate principal amount of 10.25% senior unsecured notes due 2031 (the “Unsecured Notes” and, together with the Secured Notes, the “Notes”), exempt from the registration requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). The Notes are guaranteed by GEO’s domestic subsidiaries that are guarantors under a new senior secured credit facility and outstanding senior notes. GEO also announced today that it has closed a new five-year $450.0 million Term Loan B (the “Term Loan”), bearing interest at SOFR plus 5.25%, under a new $760.0 million senior secured credit facility. The new senior secured credit facility also includes a five-year revolving line of credit for $310.0 million.

The offering of the Notes and the new Term Loan resulted in net proceeds of approximately $1.67 billion, after deducting the initial purchasers’ discount and estimated expenses payable by GEO. GEO intends to use the net proceeds of the offering of the Notes, borrowings under the new Term Loan, and cash on hand to refinance approximately $1.5 billion of existing indebtedness, including to fund the repurchase, redemption or other discharge of the Company’s existing Tranche 1 Term Loan and Tranche 2 Term Loan under its prior senior credit facility, the 9.50% senior second lien secured notes, the 10.50% senior second lien secured notes, and the 6.00% senior notes due 2026, to pay related premiums, transaction fees and expenses, and for general corporate purposes of the Company. GEO also intends to retire or settle a portion of the 6.50% exchangeable senior notes due 2026 issued by GEO Corrections Holdings, Inc., using shares of GEO common stock and cash. GEO expects to fund the cash portion of the retirement or settlement, which is expected to total up to $177.1 million, using a combination of the net proceeds from the offering of the Notes and cash on hand. Nothing in this press release should be construed as an offer to purchase, notice of redemption or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any of the existing term loans or notes.

The Notes were offered and sold in the United States only to persons reasonably believed to be “qualified institutional buyers” pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act, and outside the United States only to non-U.S. persons pursuant to Regulation S under the Securities Act. The Notes have not been registered under the Securities Act or any state securities laws and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements under the Securities Act and applicable state laws. This news release does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any sale of the Notes in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Use of forward-looking statements

This press release includes forward-looking statements regarding GEO’s intended use of the net proceeds. These forward-looking statements may be affected by risks and uncertainties in GEO’s business and market conditions. This information is qualified in its entirety by cautionary statements and risk factor disclosure contained in GEO’s Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including GEO’s report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, and GEO’s reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K filed with the Commission. GEO wishes to caution readers that certain important factors may have affected and could in the future affect GEO’s actual results and could cause GEO’s actual results for subsequent periods to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement made by or on behalf of GEO, including the risks that the repurchase, redemption or other discharge of its Tranche 1 Term Loan and Tranche 2 Term Loan under its existing senior credit facility, the 9.50% senior second lien secured notes, the 10.50% senior second lien secured notes, and the 6.00% senior notes due 2026 cannot be successfully completed, and that the retirement or settlement of a portion of the 6.50% exchangeable senior notes due 2026 issued by GEO Corrections Holdings, Inc. cannot be successfully completed. GEO undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof, except as required by law.

View source version on businesswire.comhttps://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240418215262/en/

Pablo E. Paez (866) 301 4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.