GDEV Inc. (GDEV) – Raising Adj. EBITDA Estimates


Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q3 results. Total company revenue was $110.7 million, which beat our $103.0 million estimate by 7.4%, and adj. EBITDA of $16.9 million, substantially exceeded our estimate of $4.9 million. The adj. EBITDA beat was largely attributed to the revenue upside and modestly lower game operating and marketing expenses. The strong operating results also beat Street estimates, with consensus adj. EBITDA of $8.5 million.

Attractive outlook. While revenue outperformed our expectations, bookings were lower than expected. Management highlighted its focus on player retention and quality of play rather than short term monetization of its user base. Given that active users were down roughly 16% from the prior year period, we view the company’s focus on player retention and improving gameplay favorably.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – GDEV Announces Unaudited Results for the Third quarter and the First Nine Months of 2024

Research News and Market Data on GDEV

November 14, 2024 08:00 ET

LIMASSOL, Cyprus, Nov. 14, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ: GDEV), an international gaming and entertainment company (“GDEV” or the “Company”) released its unaudited financial and operational results for the third quarter and first nine months ended September 30, 2024.

GDEV CEO, Andrey Fadeev noted: ”In Q3, despite industry pressure, we delivered sequential revenue growth.

We also kept executing our strategy and moved forward with the transformation of our core products. The updates are rolling across our main franchises to elevate the game experience, adding new modern features to what players already love. We are not after quick wins – it’s about innovating in a way that sets us up for lasting impact.

We are pleased to have established an at-the-market offering (“the ATM”) in September as an important step towards increasing the free float and liquidity of our stock. Under the ATM, the Company may sell up to 1,757,026 ordinary shares of the Company, held in treasury.1. We expect the ATM to be effective until we sell all the treasury shares or for 3 years from the effective date of the Registration Statement whichever is earlier.

I’m also thrilled to share that our former independent director Olga Loskutova has recently joined the management team as our new Chief Operating Officer. However, the board remains within best practices in terms of INED majority directors and one third women. As COO, Olga will be well positioned to enable us to reach our ambitious strategic goals. By staying focused, we’re building momentum for sustainable growth that will shape our future.”

Third quarter 2024 financial highlights:

  • Revenue of $111 million, growing 5% quarter-over-quarter, while decreased by 9% year-over-year.
  • Selling and marketing expenses of $52 million, grew by 22% year-over-year and by 10% quarter-on-quarter due to the execution of our strategy to scale the business.
  • We continue to adhere to our disciplined approach towards costs: game operation cost declined by 6% year-over-year while general and administrative expenses declined by 9% year-over-year.
  • Profit for the period, net of tax of $15 million in Q3 2024 decreased vs. $24 million in Q3 2023 due to scaling of selling and marketing expenses, among other factors.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $16 million in line with the previous quarter.2
  • European share of bookings increased by 4 p.p. to 30%, driven by effective and more targeted user acquisition campaigns in the region.
  • Cash position of $153 million, compared to $140 million at the end of Q2 2024, providing broad opportunities for further expansion3.

Third quarter and first nine months 2024 financial performance in comparison  

US$ million
Q3
2024
Q34
2023
Change
(%)
9M
2024
9M
2023
Change
(%)
Revenue111121(9%)323355(9%)
Platform commissions(24)(28)(13%)(70)(84)(16%)
Game operation cost(13)(13)(6%)(38)(42)(10%)
Selling and marketing expenses(52)(43)22%(163)(172)(5%)
General and administrative expenses(7)(8)(9%)(23)(24)(1%)
Profit for the period, net of tax1524(38%)2835(20%)
Adjusted EBITDA1629(44%)3033(9%)
Cash flows generated from/(used in) operating activities12845%248197%
       

Third quarter 2024 financial performance

In the third quarter of 2024, our revenue decreased by $11 million (or 9%) year-over-year and amounted to $111 million. While bookings for the third quarter of 2024 decreased by $9 million, the decrease in revenue compared to Q3 2023 was amplified by a decrease in the recognition of deferred revenues associated with bookings recorded in periods prior to Q3 2024: in Q3 2024, $57 million of revenues resulted from the bookings recorded prior to Q3 2024 compared to $65 million of revenues booked in Q3 2023 which resulted from bookings recorded prior to Q3 2023. Revenues reported in Q3 2023, in turn, were impacted by the recognition of record high bookings generated in 2021. The decrease in revenues also reflects the increasing portion of our bookings in Q3 2024 that are required to be recognized as deferred revenue in later periods, as a greater proportion was generated from our PC platform, where players’ lifespan tends to be higher compared with other platforms.

Platform commissions decreased by $4 million (or 13%) in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, driven by a 9% decrease in revenues generated from in-game purchases, and amplified by growth of revenues derived from PC platforms which are associated with lower commissions.

Game operation cost remained relatively stable at the level of $13 million both in the third quarter of 2024 and 2023.

Selling and marketing expenses in the third quarter of 2024 increased by $9 million, amounting to $52 million. The increase is due to our strategy of scaling our business together with our experiments across various channels, aimed at optimizing future marketing investments.

General and administrative expenses remained relatively stable at $7 million in Q3 2024 compared with $8 million in Q3 2023.

As a result of the factors above together with, among others, a loss resulting from a change in fair value of share warrant obligation of nil in Q3 2024 vs. $0.8 million in Q3 2023 and decrease of finance expenses in Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023 by $3.7 million, we recorded a profit for the period, net of tax, of $15 million compared with $24 million in the same period of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 amounted to $16 million, a decrease of $13 million compared with the same period in 2023.

Cash flows generated from operating activities were $12 million in the third quarter of 2024 compared with $8 million in the same period of 2023.

Third quarter 2024 operational performance

 Q3 2024
Q3 2023
Change
(%)
9M 2024
9M 2023
Change
(%)
Bookings ($ million)93102(8%)310316(2%)
Bookings from in-app purchases8794(8%)288292(1%)
Bookings from advertising78(13%)2223(8%)
Share of advertising7.1%7.4%(0.3 p.p)7.0%7.4%(0.4 p.p.)
MPU (thousand)314375(16%)359383(6%)
ABPPU ($)928410%89855%
       

Bookings declined to reach $93 million in the third quarter 2024 compared with $102 million in the same period of 2023. The decline is primarily due to a decline in monthly paying users by 16% in Q3 2024 vs. the same quarter last year partially offset by an increase in ABPPU.

The share of advertisement sales as a percentage of total bookings decreased in the third quarter of 2024 to reach 7.1% compared to 7.4% in the respective period of 2023. This decline was primarily driven by a global trend of declining CPM rates for advertising in 2024.

Split of bookings by platformQ3 2024Q3 20239M 20249M 2023
Mobile62%63%60%63%
PC38%37%40%37%
     

In the third quarter of 2024, the share of PC versions of our games increased by 1 p.p. compared with the same period of 2023.

Split of bookings by geographyQ3 2024Q3 20239M 20249M 2023
US34%35%34%36%
Asia22%23%22%24%
Europe30%26%30%25%
Other14%16%14%15%
     

Our split of bookings by geography in the third quarter of 2024 vs. the respective period of 2023 remained broadly similar, with a certain increase in the share of Europe bookings.

Note:

Due to rounding, the numbers presented throughout this release may not precisely add up to the totals. The period-over-period percentage changes are based on the actual numbers and may therefore differ from the percentage changes if those were to be calculated based on the rounded numbers.

The figures in this release are unaudited.

Webcast details

To listen to the audio webcast with supplementary slides please follow the link. Prepared remarks are available on gdev.inc.

About GDEV

GDEV is a gaming and entertainment holding company, focused on development and growth of its franchise portfolio across various genres and platforms. With a diverse range of subsidiaries including Nexters and Cubic Games, among others, GDEV strives to create games that will inspire and engage millions of players for years to come. Its franchises, such as Hero Wars, Island Hoppers, Pixel Gun 3D and others have accumulated over 550 million installs and $2.5 bln of bookings worldwide. For more information, please visit www.gdev.inc

Contacts:

Investor Relations
Roman Safiyulin | Chief Corporate Development Officer
investor@gdev.inc

Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements

Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” for purposes of the federal securities laws. Such statements are based on current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. In addition, any statements that refer to projections, forecasts or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including any underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based on the Company’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those that the Company has anticipated. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties (some of which are beyond the Company’s control) or other assumptions. You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed by the Company on April 29, 2024, and other documents filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.

Presentation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

In addition to the results provided in accordance with IFRS throughout this press release, the Company has provided the non-IFRS financial measure “Adjusted EBITDA” (the “Non-IFRS Financial Measure”). The Company defines Adjusted EBITDA as the profit/loss for the period, net of tax as presented in the Company’s financial statements in accordance with IFRS, adjusted to exclude (i) goodwill and investments in equity accounted associates’ impairment, (ii) loss on disposal of subsidiaries, (iii) income tax expense, (iv) other financial income, finance income and expenses other than foreign exchange gains and losses and bank charges, (v) change in fair value of share warrant obligations and other financial instruments, (vi) share of loss of equity-accounted associates, (vii) depreciation and amortization, (viii) share-based payments expense and (ix) certain non-cash or other special items that we do not consider indicative of our ongoing operating performance. The Company uses this Non-IFRS Financial Measure for business planning purposes and in measuring its performance relative to that of its competitors. The Company believes that this Non-IFRS Financial Measure is a useful financial metric to assess its operating performance from period-to-period by excluding certain items that the Company believes are not representative of its core business. This Non-IFRS Financial Measure is not intended to replace, and should not be considered superior to, the presentation of the Company’s financial results in accordance with IFRS. The use of the Non-IFRS Financial Measure terms may differ from similar measures reported by other companies and may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures.

Reconciliation of the profit for the period, net of tax to the Adjusted EBITDA

US$ millionQ3 2024Q3 20239M 20249M 2023
Profit for the period, net of tax15242835
Adjust for:    
Income tax expense1233
Adjusted finance (income)/expenses5(2)0.9(6)(2)
Change in fair value of share warrant obligations and other financial instruments0.8(0.3)(10)
Share of loss of equity-accounted associates0.5
Depreciation and amortization2255
Share-based payments0.70.712
Adjusted EBITDA16293033

_______________________________
1 Pursuant to the Company’s registration statement filed with the SEC on Form F-3 (Registration No. 333-282062) and related prospectus, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on September 12, 2024.
2 For more information, see section titled “Presentation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures” in the last two pages of this report, including the reconciliation of the profit for the period, net of tax to the Adjusted EBITDA.
3 The amounts include investments in liquid high quality securities.
4 The amounts presented for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 may be different to those previously reported for these periods earlier as starting from Q1 2024 the Company reports depreciation and amortization expenses by function as a part of game operation cost, selling and marketing expenses, and general and administrative expenses in accordance with IAS 1.
5 Adjusted finance income/expenses consist of other financial income, finance income and expenses other than foreign exchange gains and losses and bank charges, net.

Release – GDEV to Announce Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results on November 14, 2024

Research News and Market Data on GDEV

November 7, 2024 – Limassol, Cyprus

November 7, 2024 – Limassol, Cyprus – GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ: GDEV), an international gaming and entertainment company (“GDEV” or the “Company”), announces that it plans to release its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024 at 8:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Thursday, November 14, 2024.
 
GDEV plans to host a conference call and webcast to discuss its results at 09:00 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time the same day. The press release, as well as supplementary slides will be available at gdev.inc.
 
To participate in the conference call, please use this link.
To listen to the audio webcast please follow this link.


ABOUT GDEV 
GDEV is a gaming and entertainment holding company, focused on development and growth of its franchise portfolio across various genres and platforms. With a diverse range of subsidiaries including Nexters and Cubic Games, among others, GDEV strives to create games that will inspire and engage millions of players for years to come. Its franchises, such as Hero Wars, Island Hoppers, Pixel Gun 3D and others have accumulated over 550 million installs and $2.5 bln of bookings worldwide. For more information, please visit www.gdev.inc
 
CONTACTS:
Investor Relations
Roman Safiyulin | Chief Corporate Development Officer
investor@gdev.inc
 
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” for
purposes of the federal securities laws. Such statements are based on current expectations
that are subject to risks and uncertainties. In addition, any statements that refer to
projections, forecasts or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including
any underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements.
 
The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based on the Company’s
current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects
on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the
Company will be those that the Company has anticipated. Forward-looking statements
involve a number of risks, uncertainties (some of which are beyond the Company’s control)
or other assumptions. You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described in
the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed by the
Company on April 29, 2024, and other documents filed by the Company from time to time
with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Should one or more of these risks or
uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect,
actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in these forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Readers
are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and the Company
undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required under
applicable securities laws.

Release – GDEV Announces Leadership Transition

Research News and Market Data on GDEV

October 30, 2024 – Limassol, Cyprus

October 30, 2024 – Limassol, Cyprus – GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ: GDEV), an international gaming and entertainment company (“GDEV” or the “Company”), announces changes to its Board of Directors and executive leadership team as part of its ongoing strategy to enhance operational efficiency and support its global growth ambitions. 

Olga Loskutova, who has served as an Independent Director on GDEV’s Board since 2022, will be stepping down from her position on the Board of Directors to assume the role of Chief Operating Officer (COO) of GDEV. Olga brings with her a wealth of experience in global business and general management, positioning her to provide management, leadership, and vision to guide GDEV Inc. towards meeting both its short-term and long-term strategic goals.

Following Olga’s transition, GDEV’s Board will consist of six members, with four remaining independent directors. In addition, Olga’s seat on the Nomination and Compensation Committee, on which she previously served, has been assumed by current independent director Tal Shoham.

Anton Reinhold, the former COO of GDEV, will now fully focus on his current role as CEO of Nexters Global Ltd., GDEV’s flagship game studio. This decision will enable him to dedicate his efforts to further expanding the Hero Wars franchise and driving the development of new products within the studio.

“During 2 years as an independent board member, I’ve had the opportunity to gain invaluable insight into the company and the gaming industry as a whole,” said Olga Loskutova. “In my time on the board, I’ve come to admire what makes GDEV truly special – its values, exceptional people, and bold ambitions. I am excited to step into this role and partner with the CEO and the team to help GDEV achieve its strategic goals.”

ABOUT GDEV

GDEV is a gaming and entertainment holding company, focused on development and growth of its franchise portfolio across various genres and platforms. With a diverse range of subsidiaries including Nexters and Cubic Games, among others, GDEV strives to create games that will inspire and engage millions of players for years to come. Its franchises, such as Hero Wars, Island Hoppers, Pixel Gun 3D and others have accumulated over 550 million installs and $2.5 bln of bookings worldwide. For more information, please visit www.gdev.inc

CONTACTS:

Investor Relations

Roman Safiyulin | Chief Corporate Development Officer

investor@gdev.inc

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” for purposes of the federal securities laws. Such statements are based on current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. In addition, any statements that refer to projections, forecasts or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including any underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based on the Company’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those that the Company has anticipated. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties (some of which are beyond the Company’s control) or other assumptions. You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed by the Company on April 29, 2024, and other documents filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required under applicable securities laws. 

GDEV Inc. (GDEV) – Q3 Preview: Upside Surprise Potential


Wednesday, October 30, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 preview. We estimate the company’s upcoming Q3 revenue and adj. EBITDA to be $103.0 million and $4.9 million, respectively. There is the prospect for an upside surprise, however, particularly for adj. EBITDA. We believe that the company’s ongoing strategy for improving operational efficiency could be reflected in this quarter. The company is expected to report Q3 results in the second week in November. 

Enhancing efficiency. During the company’s Q2 earnings call, management highlighted its focus on efficiency in its user acquisition strategy. We believe the company’s efficient use of marketing spend, particularly in areas that provide sufficient returns, could indicate upside surprise potential for adj. EBITDA, not only from our estimate, but also the Street consensus which is $8.5 million. 


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

GDEV Inc. (GDEV) – Revising Estimates Upward; Raising Price Target


Monday, September 16, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $105.8 million, which was in line with our $105.0 million estimate. Due to lower than expected Selling & Marketing Expenses and efficiency initiatives, adj. EBITDA was $16.2 million, far better than our $0.9 million estimate. Selling & Marketing expenses were roughly $11 million lower than expected, accounting for the largest portion of the sizable “beat”.

PC picking up Steam. Notably, management highlighted the launch of Pixel Gun 3D PC Edition to the Steam platform, the largest digital distribution platform for PC gaming. The launch of Pixel Gun 3D on Steam and a solid quarter for Hero Wars: Dominion Era led to PC revenue accounting for 42% of total revenue, up from 38% in the prior year period. The addition of Steam is viewed favorably given that PC players tend to spend more money and time playing than mobile users.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

GDEV Inc. (GDEV) – Picking Up Steam


Thursday, September 05, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overachieves expectations. Second quarter revenues of $105.8 million was in line with our $105.0 million estimate. Due to lower than expected Selling & Marketing Expenses and efficiency initiatives, adj. EBITDA was $16.2 million, far better than our $0.9 million estimate, illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. Selling & Marketing expenses were roughly $11 million lower than expected, accounting for the largest portion of the sizable “beat”. 

PC picking up Steam. Notably, management highlighted the launch of Pixel Gun 3D PC Edition to the Steam platform, the largest digital distribution platform for PC gaming. The launch of Pixel Gun 3D on Steam and a solid quarter for Hero Wars: Dominion Era led to PC revenue accounting for 42% of total revenue, up from 38% in the prior year period. The addition of Steam is viewed favorably given that PC players tend to spend more money and time playing than mobile users.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – GDEV announces unaudited results for the second quarter and first half of 2024

Research News and Market Data on GDEV

September 04, 2024 08:00 ET

LIMASSOL, Cyprus, Sept. 04, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ: GDEV), an international gaming and entertainment company (“GDEV” or the “Company”) released its unaudited financial and operational results for the second quarter and first half-year ended June 30, 2024.

GDEV CEO, Andrey Fadeev stated:

“Over the past months, we’ve been refining our strategic vision, and now we’re prepared to push forward with renewed confidence. Despite the temporary decline in some of our key operational and financial metrics, our ability to maintain a robust revenue mix between PC and mobile platforms — where PC has grown to 42% of our total bookings — underscores our adaptive strategy and resilience. Additionally, our strong cash flow trends, the significant reduction in platform commissions and the reduction of the game operation costs reflect the operational efficiencies we’ve been able to achieve, reflected in our recording a net profit in Q2 2024 versus a net loss in Q1 2024 and an improvement in Adjusted EBITDA year over year. Each of our studios is laser-focused on delivering the top game for their audience. We are bringing in top talent from the gaming industry, which is helping us turn our long-held ambitions into reality. This journey is driven by strategic growth and a commitment to excellence in everything we do. This isn’t just about quick wins; it’s about building a strong, sustainable future. We’re here for the long haul, dedicated to creating experiences that will impress our players and solidify our position in the market.”

Second quarter 2024 financial highlights:

  • Revenue of $106 million decreased by 8% year-over-year.
  • Bookings of $108 million decreased by 3% year-over-year primarily due to decrease of advertising bookings while the bookings from in-app purchases remained relatively stable, demonstrating continued user engagement.
  • Selling and marketing expenses of $47 million decreased by 7% year-over-year driven by our successful shift in user acquisition strategy, focusing on enhancing efficiency and long-term value generation.
  • Platform commissions decreased by 16% year-over-year, driven by strong performance of our PC platforms, which carry lower commissions.
  • Profit for the period, net of tax of $15 million in Q2 2024 vs. $20 million in Q2 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $16 million in the second quarter of 2024 staying at the same level compared to the second quarter of 20231, highlighting our operational resilience amidst market fluctuations
  • Cash flows generated from operating activities were $11 million, demonstrating strong cash management and operational efficiency.
  • European share of bookings increased to 29%, reflecting our growing presence and successful marketing activities in the region.

Product updates:

  • Hero Wars, our flagship global mid-core franchise, recently celebrated a major milestone with its first-ever in-game collaboration featuring the legendary gaming icon, Lara Croft. This partnership garnered overwhelmingly positive feedback from our player community and was bolstered by extensive brand marketing campaigns. These efforts propelled the Hero Wars brand to an all-time high in Google Trends search interest.
  • Pixel Gun 3D, our pixel shooter franchise, successfully expanded to the PC platform with its launch on Steam. The game made an impressive debut, ranking among the Top 20 best-selling and Top 50 most-played games and peaking at 25,000 concurrent players. Remarkably, these achievements were secured with minimal marketing spend, enabling us to recover development costs on the very first day of release.

Second quarter and first half 2024 financial performance in comparison  

US$ millionQ2 2024Q2 2023Change (%)H1 2024H1 2023Change (%)
Revenue106115(8%)213234(9%)
Platform commissions(23)(27)(16%)(46)(56)(18%)
Game operation cost(12)(14)(13%)(25)(29)(12%)
Selling and marketing expenses(47)(51)(7%)(111)(129)(14%)
General and administrative expenses(9)(8)14%(16)(16)2%
Profit for the period, net of tax1520(25%)131117%
Adjusted EBITDA16164%144N/M
Cash flows generated from/(used in) operating activities1112(5%)12(0.1)N/M

N/M: not meaningful

Second quarter 2024 financial performance

In the second quarter of 2024, our revenue decreased by $9 million (or 8%) year-over-year and amounted to $106 million. While bookings for the second quarter of 2024 remained relatively stable, decreasing by $3 million, the decrease in revenue compared to Q2 2023 was primarily driven by a decrease in the recognition of deferred revenues associated with bookings recorded in periods prior to Q2 2024: in Q2 2024, $63 million of revenues resulted from the bookings recorded prior to Q2 2024 compared to $70 million of revenues booked in Q2 2023 which resulted from bookings recorded prior to Q2 2023. Revenues reported in Q2 2023, in turn, were impacted by the recognition of record high bookings generated in 2021. The decrease in revenues also reflects the increasing portion of our bookings in Q2 2024 that are required to be recognized as deferred revenue in later periods, as a greater proportion was generated from our PC platform, where players’ lifespan tends to be higher compared with other platforms.

Platform commissions decreased by $4 million (or 16%) in the second quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, driven by a 7% decrease in revenues generated from in-game purchases, and amplified by growth of revenues derived from PC platforms which are associated with lower commissions.

Game operation costs decreased by $2 million, reaching $12 million in the second quarter of 2024, driven mostly by a decrease in employee headcount in our office in Armenia compared with the same period in 2023.

Selling and marketing expenses in the second quarter of 2024 decreased by $3 million, amounting to $47 million. The decrease is attributed to a shift in user acquisition strategy focused on enhancing efficiency in Q2 2024 vs. the same period in 2023.

General and administrative expenses were $9 million in Q2 2024 compared with $8 million in Q2 2023. The increase was primarily due to the consulting fees related to investor relations activities.

As a result of the factors above, together with other diverse factors (including, principally, a change in fair value of share warrant obligation of $0.4 million in Q2 2024 vs. $5 million in Q2 2023), we recorded a profit for the period, net of tax, of $15 million compared with $20 million in the same period in 2023. Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2024 amounted to $16 million, an increase of $0.6 million compared with the same period in 2023.

Cash flows generated from operating activities were $11 million in the second quarter of 2024 compared with $12 million in the same period in 2023.

First half 2024 financial performance

In the first half of 2024, our revenue decreased by $21 million (or 9%) year-over-year and amounted to $213 million. While bookings for the first half of 2024 remained relatively stable, increasing by $2 million, the decrease in revenue compared to the first half of 2023 was primarily driven by a decrease in the recognition of deferred revenues associated with bookings recorded in periods prior to H1 2024: in the first half of 2024, $138 million of revenues resulted from the bookings recorded prior to 2024 compared to $155 million of revenues booked in the first half of 2023 which resulted from bookings recorded prior to 2023. Revenues reported in the first half of 2023, in turn, were impacted by the recognition of record high bookings generated in 2021. The decrease in revenues also reflects the increasing portion of our bookings in Q2 2024 that are required to be recognized as deferred revenue in later periods, as a greater proportion was generated from our PC platform, where players’ lifespan tends to be higher compared with other platforms.

Platform commissions decreased by $10 million (or 18%) in the first half of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, driven by a 9% decrease in revenues generated from in-game purchases, and amplified by growth of revenues derived from PC platforms which are associated with lower commissions.

Game operation costs decreased by $3 million, reaching $25 million in the first half of 2024, driven mostly by a decrease in employee headcount in our office in Armenia compared with the same period in 2023.

Selling and marketing expenses in the first half of 2024 decreased by $19 million, amounting to $111 million. The decrease is attributed to a shift in user acquisition strategy focused on enhancing efficiency in the first half of 2024 vs. the same period in 2023.

General and administrative expenses remained relatively stable at $16 million for the first half of 2024 and 2023.

As a result of the factors above, together with other factors (including, principally, (i) a change in fair value of share warrant obligation of $0.3 million in the first half of 2024 vs. $11 million in the first half of 2023, and (ii) other financial income related to the write-off of put option liability of $4 million in the first half of 2024 vs. nil in 2023), we recorded a profit for the period, net of tax, of $13 million compared with $11 million in the same period of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA in the first half of 2024 amounted to $14 million, an increase of $10 million compared with the same period in 2023.

Cash flows generated from operating activities amounted to $12 million in the first half of 2024, an increase from negative $0.1 million in the same period of 2023.

Second quarter and first half 2024 operational performance comparison

 Q2 2024Q2 2023Change (%)H1 2024H1 20232Change (%)
Bookings ($ million)108111(3%)2162141%
Bookings from in-app purchases101102(1%)2011982%
Bookings from advertising79(23%)1516(5%)
Share of advertising6.2%7.7%(1.5 p.p.)6.9%7.4%(0.5 p.p)
MPU (thousand)381392(3%)381387(2%)
ABPPU ($)88872%88853%


Bookings stayed relatively stable at $108 million and $216 in the second quarter and first half of 2024, respectively, compared with the same periods of 2023.

The share of advertisement sales as a percentage of total bookings decreased in the second quarter and the first half of 2024 to reach 6.2% and 6.9%, respectively, compared to 7.7% and 7.4% in the respective periods of 2023. This decline was primarily driven by a global trend of declining CPM rates for advertising in 2024.

Split of bookings by platformQ2 2024Q2 2023H1 2024H1 2023
Mobile58%62%60%63%
PC42%38%40%37%


In the second quarter and first half of 2024, the share of PC versions of our games increased by 4 p.p. and 3 p.p. respectively, compared with the same periods of 2023.

Split of bookings by geographyQ2 2024Q2 2023H1 2024H1 2023
US34%36%34%36%
Asia22%24%22%25%
Europe29%24%29%24%
Other15%16%15%15%


Our split of bookings by geography both in the second quarter of 2024 and first half of 2024 vs. the respective periods of 2023 remained broadly similar, with a certain increase in the share of Europe bookings.

Note:

Due to rounding, the numbers presented throughout this document may not precisely add up to the totals. The period-over-period percentage changes are based on the actual numbers and may therefore differ from the percentage changes if those were to be calculated based on the rounded numbers.

The figures in this release are unaudited.

Webcast details

To listen to the audio webcast please follow this link. To participate in the conference call, please use the following details:

US toll-free dial: +1 844-543-0451
US local: +1 864-991-4103
United Kingdom toll-free: +44 808 175 1536
United Kingdom local: +44 1400 220156

Conference ID: 886570

For additional dial-in options, please use this link.

About GDEV

GDEV is a hub of gaming studios, focused on development and growth of its franchise portfolio across various genres and platforms. With a diverse range of subsidiaries including Nexters and Cubic Games, among others, GDEV strives to create games that will inspire and engage millions of players for years to come. Its franchises, such as Hero Wars, Island Hoppers, Pixel Gun 3D and others have accumulated hundreds of millions of installs worldwide. For more information, please visit gdev.inc.

Contacts:

Investor Relations
Roman Safiyulin | Chief Corporate Development Officer
investor@gdev.inc

Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements

Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” for purposes of the federal securities laws. Such statements are based on current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. In addition, any statements that refer to projections, forecasts or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including any underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based on the Company’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those that the Company has anticipated. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties (some of which are beyond the Company’s control) or other assumptions. You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed by the Company on April 29, 2024, and other documents filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.

Presentation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

In addition to the results provided in accordance with IFRS throughout this press release, the Company has provided the non-IFRS financial measure “Adjusted EBITDA” (the “Non-IFRS Financial Measure”). The Company defines Adjusted EBITDA as the profit/loss for the period, net of tax as presented in the Company’s financial statements in accordance with IFRS, adjusted to exclude (i) goodwill and investments in equity accounted associates’ impairment, (ii) loss on disposal of subsidiaries, (iii) income tax expense, (iv) other financial income, finance income and expenses other than foreign exchange gains and losses and bank charges, (v) change in fair value of share warrant obligations and other financial instruments, (vi) share of loss of equity-accounted associates, (vii) depreciation and amortization, (viii) share-based payments expense and (ix) certain non-cash or other special items that we do not consider indicative of our ongoing operating performance. The Company uses this Non-IFRS Financial Measure for business planning purposes and in measuring its performance relative to that of its competitors. The Company believes that this Non-IFRS Financial Measure is a useful financial metric to assess its operating performance from period-to-period by excluding certain items that the Company believes are not representative of its core business. This Non-IFRS Financial Measure is not intended to replace, and should not be considered superior to, the presentation of the Company’s financial results in accordance with IFRS. The use of the Non-IFRS Financial Measure terms may differ from similar measures reported by other companies and may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures.

Reconciliation of the profit for the period, net of tax to the Adjusted EBITDA

US$ millionQ2 2024Q2 2023H1 2024H1 2023
Profit for the period, net of tax15201311
Adjust for:    
Income tax expense10.321
Adjusted finance (income)/expenses3(0.4)(0.7)(5)(3)
Change in fair value of share warrant obligations and other financial instruments(0.4)(5)(0.3)(11)
Share of loss of equity-accounted associates0.5
Depreciation and amortization41133
Share-based payments0.20.50.41
Adjusted EBITDA1616144


______________________________

1 For more information, see section titled “Presentation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures” in the last two pages of this report, including the reconciliation of the profit for the period, net of tax to the Adjusted EBITDA.

2 The previously released preliminary bookings for Q1 2023 as a part of our Q1 2024 press release have been adjusted to reflect the final amounts.

3 Adjusted finance income/expenses consist of other financial income, finance income and expenses other than foreign exchange gains and losses and bank charges, net.

4 Starting from 2024, the Company reports D&A expenses by function as a part of game operation cost, selling and marketing expenses and general and administrative expenses in accordance with IAS 1.

Release – GDEV Inc. to Announce Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results on September 4, 2024

Research News and Market Data on GDEV

August 28, 2024 16:00 ET

    LIMASSOL, Cyprus, Aug. 28, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ: GDEV), an international gaming and entertainment company (“GDEV” or the “Company”), announces that its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024 will be released at 8:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024.

    GDEV will host a conference call and webcast to discuss its results at 09:00 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time the same day.

    The press release, as well as supplementary slides will be available at gdev.inc. To listen to the audio webcast please follow this link. To participate in the conference call, please use the following details:

    US toll-free dial: +1 844-543-0451
    US local: +1 864-991-4103
    United Kingdom toll-free: +44 808 175 1536
    United Kingdom local: +44 1400 220156
    Conference ID: 886570

    For additional dial-in options, please use this link.

    ABOUT GDEV
    GDEV is a hub of gaming studios, focused on development and growth of its franchise portfolio across various genres and platforms. With a diverse range of subsidiaries including Nexters and Cubic Games among others, GDEV strives to create games that will inspire and engage millions of players for years to come. Its franchises, such as Hero Wars, Island Hoppers, Pixel Gun 3D and others have accumulated hundreds of millions of installs worldwide. For more information, please visit gdev.inc

    CONTACTS:
    Investor Relations
    Roman Safiyulin | Chief Corporate Development Officer
    investor@gdev.inc

    CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
    Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” for purposes of the federal securities laws. Such statements are based on current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. In addition, any statements that refer to projections, forecasts or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including any underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements.

    The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based on the Company’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those that the Company has anticipated. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties (some of which are beyond the Company’s control) or other assumptions. You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed by the Company on April 29, 2024, and other documents filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.

    GDEV Inc. (GDEV) – Shedding Its SPAC Image


    Wednesday, August 28, 2024

    Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

    Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

    Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Reverse split. On August 21, the company announced a one for ten reverse stock split on its ordinary shares. Notably, the reverse split will be effective following the market close on August 28, and will be adjusted for the split when trading opens on August 29. We view the move favorably as the company sheds its SPAC image.

    Positive implications. Management highlighted that the reverse split could improve the marketability and attractiveness of its shares, as an investment grade company that it is. We believe the higher share price could improve investor perception, liquidity and marketability of the GDEV shares and open the company to more institutional interest, with the shares trading above single digit price points. 


    Get the Full Report

    Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

    This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

    *Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

    GDEV Inc. (GDEV) – Why An Upswing In Bookings Matters


    Monday, August 12, 2024

    Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

    Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

    Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Initiating coverage with an Outperform rating. We are initiating coverage of GDEV, a global gaming company, with an Outperform rating and a $6 price target. Our favorable rating is based on an improved fundamental outlook and compelling stock valuation. After a post pandemic revenue slump as gaming activity returned to more normalized levels, the company now appears to be turning a corner towards revenue growth again. In our view, the story of GDEV’s improving fundamentals is under the radar, representing an opportunity for investors. 

    A leading player in the attractive gaming industry. GDEV is the largest independent, publicly traded gaming company that is profitable, generates cash flow, and has a solid balance sheet. The company’s revenues are diverse geographically, by platform, and by titles. 


    Get the Full Report

    Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

    This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

    *Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.