Oil prices climbed over 1% Friday after Russia banned diesel and gasoil exports. The move aims to increase Russia’s domestic supply but reduces the global oil market.
West Texas Intermediate crude climbed back above $90 per barrel following the news. Brent futures also gained, topping $94. Energy analysts say the Russian ban will likely sustain upward pressure on oil prices near-term.
Russia is a leading diesel producer globally. How much the export halt affects US fuel prices depends on how long it remains in place, says Angie Gildea, KPMG’s head of energy. But any drop in total global oil supply without lower demand will lift prices.
The ban comes as US gas prices retreat from 2022 highs, now averaging $3.86 nationally. Diesel is around $4.58 per gallon. Diesel powers key transport like trucks and ships. The loss of Russian exports could spur further diesel spikes.
However, gas prices may keep easing for most of the US, says Tom Kloza of OPIS. Western states could see increases.
Kloza believes crude may rise $2 to $3 per barrel in the near-term. But gasoline margins are poised to shrink even if oil nears $100 again. The US transition to cheaper winter fuel could also limit price hikes.
Goldman Sachs sees Brent potentially hitting $100 per barrel in the next 12 months. Sharper inventory declines are likely as OPEC supply falls but demand rises, says Goldman’s head of oil research.
The White House has criticized OPEC+ for the production cuts. US gasoline demand recently hit a seasonal record high over 9.5 million barrels per day. Jet fuel use is also rebounding towards pre-pandemic levels.
Strong demand, paired with reduced Russian oil exports, leaves the market more exposed to supply disruptions. Hurricane Ian showed how quickly price spikes can occur.
The Biden Administration plans to keep tapping the Strategic Petroleum Reserve into 2023 to restrain cost increases. But further export bans or output reductions could overwhelm these efforts.
While tighter global fuel supplies might not directly translate to the US, Russia’s latest move signals volatility will persist. Energy prices remain sensitive to supply and demand shifts.
More export cuts could accelerate oil’s return to triple-digits. But for US drivers, the road ahead on gas costs seems mixed. Falling margins and seasonal shifts could limit prices, but risks linger.
Oil markets and energy stocks often get painted with a broad brush. But within the sector, offshore drilling stocks offer upside that many investors are overlooking. Despite cries of peak oil demand, fundamentals for rig owners point to gains ahead.
The oil services sector has rocketed over 50% higher in the last year, soundly beating the S&P 500. Yet offshore drilling stocks remain unloved. This creates an opportunity for investors willing to take a contrarian bet.
The bull case lies in constrained supply and rapidly rising prices. ESG considerations have limited capital investment in new oil production. But robust demand has returned as pandemic impacts recede. This supply/demand imbalance has sent oil above $80 per barrel.
Day rates for offshore rigs are soaring as utilization rates stick near 90%. However, shipyards are focused on liquefied natural gas, not building fresh drilling ships. That means supply can’t catch up to growing demand in a hurry.
This grants pricing power to rig owners. Valaris, Noble, and Weatherford have emerged from bankruptcy with pristine balance sheets. Meanwhile Transocean boasts the most high-specification rigs, positioning it to profit from climbing day rates.
Yet valuations look disconnected from fundamentals. Offshore drillers trade at up to an 80% discount to replacement value, signaling the market doubts their potential. But conditions point to further gains.
Why Energy Could Shine for Investors
Beyond compelling fundamentals, two key reasons make energy stocks stand out right now:
Inflation hedge – Energy equities have historically held up well during inflationary periods. With prices still running hot, oil stocks may offer protection if high inflation persists.
Contrarian bet – Energy is the most hated sector this year, with heavy net outflows from funds. That sets up a chance to buy low while others are selling.
To be clear, the long-term peak oil argument holds merits. The global energy transition will likely constrain fossil fuel demand over time. But that shift will take decades to play out.
In the meantime, diminished investment and stiff demand creates room for shares like offshore drillers to run higher. For investors willing to make a contrarian bet, the neglected energy space offers rare value.
ESG Sours Sentiment But Oil Remains Key
What about the ESG push away from fossil fuels? Shift is clearly underway. But hydrocarbons still supply 80% of global energy needs. Realistically, oil and gas will remain vital to powering the world for years to come.
Market sentiment has soured on all things oil. But investors should remember that supply/demand, not narrative, ultimately drives commodity prices. Offshore drillers look primed to benefit from that dynamic.
While oil markets face uncertainty beyond the next decade, conditions now point to upside in left-behind niches like offshore drilling stocks. For investors who see value where others only see headwinds, forgotten energy corners may hold diamonds in the rough.
CALGARY, AB, Sept. 14, 2023 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces that our Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.14 per common share, payable in cash on October 13, 2023, to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 29, 2023. This dividend is designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian income tax purposes.
Dividend payments to non-residents of Canada will be subject to withholding taxes at the Canadian statutory rate of 25%. Shareholders may be entitled to a reduced withholding tax rate under a tax treaty between their country of residence and Canada. For further information, see Alvopetro’s website at https://alvopetro.com/Dividends-Non-resident-Shareholders.
Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’svision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé and Murucututu natural gas fields and our strategic midstream infrastructure.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.
All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.
Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language.This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning the Company’s dividends, plans for dividends in the future, the timing and amount of such dividends and the expected tax treatment thereof. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of global pandemics and other significant worldwide events, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest in properties and the outcome of any redeterminations, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. In addition, the declaration, timing, amount and payment of future dividends remain at the discretion of the Board of Directors. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR+ profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
DevvStream Holdings, a leading developer of carbon offset projects and associated credit streams, has signed a definitive agreement to go public through a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Focus Impact Acquisition Corp.
The combined company will be named DevvStream Corp. and is expected to list on the Nasdaq under ticker “DEVS”. The deal values DevvStream at an implied $212.8 million enterprise value.
Founded in 2021, Vancouver-based DevvStream partners with corporations and governments on sustainability initiatives. It brings projects generating carbon credits to market by co-investing or providing technical services in exchange for a share of long-term credit streams.
This capital-light model requires little upfront investment for participation in the fast-growing carbon markets. DevvStream estimates its current portfolio will generate $13 million in net revenue in 2024 and $55 million in 2025 as projects are expanded.
DevvStream participates in both regulated compliance markets and the rapidly expanding voluntary carbon credit market. The voluntary market hit $2 billion in 2022 but could reach up to $250 billion by 2030 according to estimates.
The merger will provide further expansion capital to DevvStream as it scales its portfolio of emissions-reducing projects. Focus Impact raised $172.5 million in its May 2021 IPO into a trust that will go to the combined company after redemptions.
According to DevvStream CEO Sunny Trinh, “Entering into a definitive agreement to merge with Focus Impact is a significant step towards accelerating the growth of our differentiated technology-based approach to carbon markets.”
He added that enhancing transparency and reliability in voluntary markets in particular can help drive participation and meaningful emissions reductions.
Focus Impact CEO Carl Stanton said the proposed merger “presents a significant opportunity to create substantial value for our shareholders.” He cited DevvStream’s systematic approach to carbon project development and blockchain-enabled tracking.
The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2023, subject to shareholder approvals and other customary closing conditions. Upon completion, DevvStream will be listed on the Nasdaq under ticker “DEVS”.
With global momentum building around carbon markets and climate action, the merger comes at an opportune time. DevvStream is now poised to capitalize on surging demand as both corporations and governments seek to curb emissions.
Uranium prices have entered a new bull market in 2023, surging 20% so far this year. The nuclear fuel recently hit $60 per pound for the first time in over a decade. This milestone comes on the back of rosier demand forecasts from the World Nuclear Association (WNA) and vastly outperforms other metals markets.
The WNA recently released its biennial report at the World Nuclear Symposium in London. The report provides insights into future uranium demand, underscoring the role nuclear power will play in the global energy transition. It predicts world reactor requirements for uranium will reach almost 130,000 tonnes by 2040, up from 65,650 tonnes in 2023.
Even the WNA’s most conservative projection of 87,000 tonnes in 2040 represents robust demand growth. This is driven by an expected expansion of nuclear capacity from 391 gigawatts currently to 686 gigawatts by 2040 under its base case scenario. The bulk of new reactors will be located in China, which is aggressively decarbonizing by replacing coal plants with nuclear.
China has 23 reactors under construction, 23 more planned, and 168 proposed to add to its existing fleet of 53 reactors. The WNA report increased its overall uranium demand growth projections to 4.1% annually through 2040, up from 3.1% in its 2021 forecast.
This surging demand presents a huge opportunity for growth in the uranium mining sector. As the market transitions from oversupply to undersupply, uranium companies are poised to benefit tremendously. Their revenues, earnings, and valuations could rapidly improve as prices rise. Many junior miners could become acquisition targets for larger producers looking to add resources.
A key driver of demand is the accelerated adoption of small modular reactors (SMRs). These compact, modular designs allow nuclear plants to be constructed faster and cheaper. The WNA sees SMRs reaching 31 gigawatts of installed capacity by 2040, significantly boosting uranium demand. However, forecasts remain relatively conservative given SMRs’ potential applications in shipping, data centers, and other sectors.
According to BMO Capital Markets, SMRs could play a pivotal role in powering remote mines looking to replace diesel generators with cleaner energy solutions. With ample space and ideal climates, mines are adding solar and wind power. But in colder regions like Canada, SMRs may be the only viable zero-carbon option.
In much the same way platinum miners are testing hydrogen trucks onsite, uranium producers could pioneer SMR installations at operations. This would create new demand from uranium miners themselves. BMO estimates SMR capacity could reach 58 gigawatts by 2030, or around 10% of total nuclear generation.
While secondary supplies like reprocessed fuel and stockpiles have bridged the supply-demand gap for decades, the WNA report acknowledges these inventories are diminishing. With roughly 3.7 years of reactor requirements in current stockpiles, the WNA projects secondary supplies will fall from 11-14% of demand now to just 4-11% by 2050.
This decline underscores the need for new mine supply to meet growing reactor demand in the long run. With secondary sources drying up, uranium prices must rise to incentivize investment in expansion and new projects. The uranium bull run still appears to be in its early innings, as rosier demand forecasts confront constrained mine supply. Nuclear energy’s role in global decarbonization efforts continues to expand, brightening the outlook for uranium markets and uranium mining companies.
Auxico Resources, a Canadian mining company, recently signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to acquire an 85% equity interest in the past-producing El Benton niobium and tantalum mine located in Bolivia. This strategic acquisition provides Auxico with a rich source of critical minerals essential for emerging technologies.
Under the MOU, Auxico will make initial payments totaling $140,000 to the current owner of El Benton. Auxico will then hold majority 85% control of the mine as part of a joint venture arrangement.
The El Benton mine and adjacent Monte Verde concessions cover over 700 hectares in a proven mineral-rich region of Bolivia. Historic samples show valuable concentrations of niobium, tantalum, lithium, and rare earth elements.
By securing rights to El Benton, Auxico aims to restart production of niobium and tantalum concentrates. The company also plans to define the lithium potential and recover other critical minerals using advanced ultrasound extraction methods.
Gaining access to El Benton’s strategic mineral deposits boosts Auxico’s role as a major supplier of scarce metals needed for electric vehicle batteries, renewable energy infrastructure, electronics, and defense applications.
Owning the majority interest allows Auxico to implement efficient, sustainable extraction techniques at El Benton. This includes removing radioactive elements from concentrates using the Company’s proprietary ultrasound technology.
In summary, the deal gives Auxico substantial equity control of a mine rich in critical and rare earth minerals. Restarting efficient production can provide crucial supply to high-tech industries while generating profits.
Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Indo extended its Kruh Block contract five years with an increased after-tax split. Indo’s contract with Pertamina, the state-owned oil and gas company, now extends to September 2035. The amended contract increases Indo’s after-tax split to 35% from 15%. The extension, while not unexpected, comes after Indo had suspended drilling in the Kruh Block to complete a well workover. The favorable extension helps justify Indo taking its time in the Kruh Block as it completes a 3D seismic program to optimize drilling locations. We believe the government was willing to agree to the settlement as a way to spur Indo to increase drilling activity.
An operational update provides little new information. The company also updated investors regarding drilling plans in the Kruh Block and the Citarum Block. Management reiterated plans to drill 14 additional wells in the Kruh Block by the end of 2026 with the next well starting in 2024. Management did indicate that it expects to receive an environmental permit for seismic activity in the Citarum Block in 2023-4Q with work to begin in 2024-1Q. Our models assume one well drilled in the Citarum Block and two wells drilled in the Kruh Block in 2024.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
An enormous lithium deposit estimated to hold up to 40 million metric tons has recently been discovered in the United States underneath an ancient supervolcano straddling the Nevada-Oregon border. This lithium trove, the largest known supply in the world, could provide major opportunities for lithium companies and boost renewable energy efforts as demand for lithium batteries is projected to skyrocket.
Lithium, an extremely light metallic element, is an essential component of rechargeable lithium-ion batteries used in electric vehicles, grid storage, smartphones, laptops and other key technologies. With electric vehicle adoption accelerating globally and increasing need for batteries to store solar and wind energy, lithium is becoming integral to a clean energy future.
For lithium companies, this huge deposit represents a potentially massive new source of supply to power growth. Lithium exploration and mining companies will likely ramp up operations in the region to benefit from burgeoning demand. Those able to cost-effectively extract lithium from the volcanic crater could be poised to reap sizable revenues.
Access to substantial lithium resources located within the US rather than relying heavily on imports could also help enhance energy security as the country moves away from fossil fuels. Domestic supply could additionally stabilize lithium prices and support US-based jobs.
The lithium deposit was uncovered within Oregon’s McDermitt Caldera, the remnants of an ancient supervolcano that exploded around 16 million years ago. With lithium demand expected to expand fivefold or more by 2030, this huge supply could be a game-changer, diversifying and elevating global lithium sources to meet increasing battery requirements.
For lithium companies and renewable energy companies alike, this deposit represents a monumental opportunity. Responsible extraction will be key to unlocking the full potential of this transformative mineral discovery.
Take moment to look at companies Lithium Bank and Century Lithium who are focused on exploration, development, and production of lithium.
CALGARY, AB, Sept. 7, 2023 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces August 2023 sales volumes and an operational update.
August 2023 Sales Volumes
August sales volumes averaged 1,852 boepd, including natural gas sales of 10.6 MMcfpd, associated natural gas liquids sales (“NGLs”) from condensate of 84 bopd, and oil sales of 8 bopd, based on field estimates. Of the total natural gas sales of 10.6 MMcfpd, 9.9 MMcfpd was from our Caburé field, with 0.7 MMcfpd from our Murucututu field. Natural gas production from our Murucututu field declined from 0.9 MMcfpd in July to 0.7 MMcfpd in August and we are evaluating alternatives to improve the productive capability of the field.
Natural gas, NGLs and crude oil sales:
August 2023
July 2023
Q2 2023
Natural gas (Mcfpd), by field:
Caburé
9,891
10,697
10,759
Murucututu
665
872
510
Total Company natural gas (Mcfpd)
10,556
11,568
11,269
NGLs (bopd)
84
90
92
Oil (bopd)
8
–
5
Total Company (boepd)
1,852
2,018
1,975
In connection with a temporary reduction in end user consumption, our offtaker, Bahiagás, has provided notice to reduce natural gas nominations for the remainder of September to approximately 8.5 MMcfpd, and as such, we are expecting a reduction in September natural gas sales.
Operational Update
In July we spud our 183-A3 well on our Murucututu natural gas field. Alvopetro initially drilled to a total measured depth of 1,614 metres but encountered hole stability problems drilling the intermediate section within the Pojuca Formation in the intermediate 12 1/4″ hole section. We were able to successfully recover the directional drilling assembly and return it to surface and we then initiated a sidetrack from 800 metres. We completed drilling this sidetracked intermediate section to 1,707 metres and we are in the process of cementing this section in place. Our plan is to drill the well to 3,600 metres and we now expect to complete drilling operations in October.
On our Bom Lugar field, following an extended maintenance program on our contracted completions rig, we have now initiated completion operations of our BL-06 well. We expect to have the well on production later this month.
Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’svision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.
All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.
Abbreviations:
bbls
= barrels
boepd
= barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) per day
bopd
= barrels of oil and/or natural gas liquids (condensate) per day
BRL
= Brazilian real
m3
= cubic metre
MMBtu
= million British thermal units
Mcf
= thousand cubic feet
Mcfpd
= thousand cubic feet per day
MMcf
= million cubic feet
MMcfpd
= million cubic feet per day
Q2 2023
= three months ended June 30, 2023
BOE Disclosure. The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.
Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning the expected timing of certain of Alvopetro’s testing and operational activities including the expected timing of drilling the 183-A3 well and testing the BL-06 well, expected timing of production commencement from the BL-06 well, exploration and development prospects of Alvopetro, and expected natural gas sales and gas deliveries under the Company’s long-term gas sales agreement. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to expectations and assumptions concerning testing results of the BL-06 well, equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of global pandemics and other significant worldwide events, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest and the outcome of any redeterminations, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Enbridge Inc.’s agreement to acquire three natural gas utilities from Dominion Energy for $14 billion presents opportunities for smaller companies in the sector.
The Canadian pipeline giant will dramatically expand its regulated gas distribution business in the U.S. through the purchase of Questar Gas, East Ohio Gas and Public Service Company of North Carolina.
But the deal also creates an opening for nimble smaller utilities to grow amidst consolidation. Regulators may require certain assets to be divested as conditions for merger approval.
Smaller players could potentially gain customers, infrastructure and new geographies by acquiring these divested assets. Companies in the energy sector may be well positioned.
The agreement comes as Dominion reviews its business mix. Other major utilities are also rationalizing assets, setting the stage for smaller competitors.
Small operators boast strong community ties and localized expertise. They have advantages in customer service and responsiveness.
While lacking scale, these firms can thrive by focusing resources on targeted markets and infrastructure modernization. Many also offer renewable natural gas and other next-gen offerings.
Pennsylvania instrumentation company AMETEK (NYSE: AME) is expanding its testing and measurement capabilities with the acquisition of United Electronic Industries.
Massachusetts-based UEI is a leader in data acquisition and control solutions for aerospace, defense, energy and semiconductor sectors. Its products enable customers to build robust systems for simulation, monitoring and automated testing.
AMETEK CEO David Zapico expressed excitement about bringing UEI’s innovative solutions into the company’s Power Systems and Instruments division. He said the $35 million deal broadens AMETEK’s presence in attractive markets that complement existing strengths.
UEI will join AMETEK’s Electronic Instruments Group, known for analytical, calibration and display instruments. The acquisition aligns with AMETEK’s growth strategy of targeting niche segments and making strategic buys.
Headquartered near Philadelphia, AMETEK has annual sales over $6 billion globally. The 90-year-old firm focuses on cash flow and capital deployment to drive double-digit earnings growth.
Take a moment to learn about Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, a company that specializes in satellite communications, missile defense, and hypersonic systems.
Oil prices are near flat on the month but have recently been rising. Meanwhile, the energy sector itself, relative to the overall market, is outperforming in a way that is getting attention as we move to September. Are the drivers of performance solidly in place to keep crude oil prices strong? Will the energy sector continue to benefit from factors impacting oil? We lay out factors impacting future price movements below.
Credit for the recent strength in oil has been given in part to the Saudi Arabian production cuts that began in July when the Saudi’s voluntarily lowered production by one million barrels a day starting in July. This quickly strengthened prices, which then fell off as concerns over China’s weakening economy, and global economies in general, grew. China is the world’s second-largest consumer of crude oil.
The U.S. has seen strong economic reports recently. The market is still reacting poorly to “good” news. This reaction also played into the direction of stocks and commodity prices. U.S. economic activity readings raised expectations for further monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve. The idea of heightened activity lifted U.S. Treasury yields and, along with them, the U.S. dollar. During the last week in August, weaker U.S. labor data served to ease some of the rise in yields.
Adding to the strength, this week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday reported that U.S. commercial crude inventories fell by 10.6 million barrels for the week ending Aug. 25. That was the third straight weekly decline reported by the agency and the largest since the week ended July 28. U.S. commercial crude inventories have fallen by almost 34 million barrels over the past five weeks.
Inventories are now only 1.1% higher than the same week last year, even with over 100 million barrels having been released from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve during the 12 months.
A reversal to the upside after crude fell last week below support at $78 a barrel also coincided with the formation of what technicians refer to as a golden cross, this is when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average from below. This got the attention of commodity traders.
Source: EIA
Overall, the price paid per barrel of oil has been range-bound through 2023. The extended production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia were largely offset by fears about China’s economy flailing; it had been expected it would rebound strongly after pandemic lockdowns were lifted. Oil consumption did not rise as expected.
Source: EIA
There is also increasing indications the United States is relaxing sanctions on crude exports from Iran and Venezuela to keep prices from rising too much and in exchange for diplomatic objectives. The U.S. is the number one oil consumer.
Given still low inventories and a need to replenish the U.S. Strategic Oil Reserves there are market participants that remain bullish on oil prices and the energy sector. There are others that are more cautious, despite Saudi production cuts, as the chart above indicates, consumption recently fell below the level of production.
Take Away
Oil prices have been in a tight range all year. Better stock market performance from energy producers has in part been because of easing of rules concerning fossil fuels, and headway made on green energy projects. Consumption will increase and fall based on economic activity. Where the U.S. economy and global economy are headed is faced with more cross-currents than usual. Added supply to the U.S. may come from countries we don’t currently trade with. Those spigots can not be turned on quickly. This leaves oil and energy with a current trend upward but challenges down the road.
Largo has a long and successful history as one of the world’s preferred vanadium companies through the supply of its VPURE™ and VPURE+™ products, which are sourced from one of the world’s highest-grade vanadium deposits at the Company’s Maracás Menchen Mine in Brazil. Aiming to enhance value creation at Largo, the Company is in the process of implementing a titanium dioxide pigment plant using feedstock sourced from its existing operations in addition to advancing its U.S.-based clean energy division with its VCHARGE vanadium batteries. Largo’s VCHARGE vanadium batteries contain a variety of innovations, enabling an efficient, safe and ESG-aligned long duration solution that is fully recyclable at the end of its 25+ year lifespan. Producing some of the world’s highest quality vanadium, Largo’s strategic business plan is based on two pillars: 1.) leading vanadium supplier with an outlined growth plan and 2.) U.S.-based energy storage business support a low carbon future.
Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Largo announced that its Board has initiated a review and evaluation of strategic alternatives for Largo Clean Energy. LCE represents Largo’s interest in energy storage investments including the Vanadium Redox Flow Battery (VRFB). VRFBs have the potential to store energy at the utility grid level for longer periods that lithium batteries. LCE was formed in 2020 with the acquisition of assets and patents owned by VionX Energy for $3.862 million. The division has completed a 3 MWH test project in Massachusetts and is near completion of a 6.1 MWH battery for Enel Green Power in Spain. Strategic alternatives for LCE could include the sale, merger, or other financial arrangements with other parties interested in vanadium batteries.
Would Largo consider selling LCE outright? Largo has a unique corporate structure that includes mining (Largo Production), LCE, and its investment in publicly-traded vanadium units (Large Physical Vanadium). Through its involvement in all three units, it hopes to promote the development of VRFBs. Increased adoption of VRFBs would greatly enhance the demand for vanadium. We believe Largo remains committed to promoting VRFBs but would be willing to sell LCE, or a partial interest in LCE, if it were to find a partner sharing an equal commitment.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
