Tag: Energy

Energy Industry Report – Oil prices on a tear – the case for why prices will stay high

Posted on by cpatches

Monday, October 2, 2023

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the bottom of the report for important disclosures

Oil price rose 30% in the third quarter helping propel the XLE Energy Index up 11.4%. Natural gas prices also rose after twelve months of decline. Higher oil prices reflect declining inventories due to rising demand that is not being met by rising supply.

Domestic oil demand is rising. Oil demand largely tracks the economy. And, while monetary tightening has slowed growth, demand is still growing. Recently, domestic demand has increased due to warm summer weather and increased propane exports to Europe.

Oil supply is not keeping pace. OPEC+ extended its production cuts. In previous decades, domestic producers would respond to production cuts by accelerating drilling. In recent years, producers have not increased drilling as noted by a sharp decline in domestic oil rig activity. Oil drilling rigs even declined this quarter despite the rise in oil prices. Limited drilling, combined with sharper well decline curves, has meant supply is not keeping up with demand. 

Small cap producers are uniquely positioned to take advantage of higher prices. The production gains that came from horizontal drilling and fracking in the Permian Basin appear to be waning. That means well profitability has declined as producers move on to secondary and tertiary targets. This is especially an issue for larger production companies that need a large number of wells drilled to provide growth. In addition, large companies face regulatory and investor pressures regarding fossil fuel production that the smaller companies may avoid.

Energy Stocks

Energy stocks, as measured by the XLE Energy Index, rose 11.4% in the 2023 third quarter as compared to a 3.6% decline in the S&P 500 Index.  The outperformance was largely due to rising oil prices. The November 2023 futures contract rose 30% during the quarter. Natural gas prices rose 4.9% during the quarter largely reflecting normal seasonal trends.

Oil Prices

The rise in oil prices corresponds to a drop in inventories. After a covid-induced spike in  early 2020, domestic inventories have fallen steadily. During this period of monetary tightening, demand growth has slowed but remained positive. Supply, on the other hand, has stagnated. OPEC+ has extended cutbacks and domestic drilling activity has declined.

Figure #1

Source: EIA

The decline in drilling activity can best be seen by looking at domestic oil rig activity. Where once there were more than 1600 active wells, now there are one-third that number. What’s more, oil drilling activity has continued to decline in the third quarter even as oil prices have risen.

Figure #2

Source: Baker Hughes

Weather has also played a part as warm temperatures have meant increased use of oil for electric generations. Although oil represents a small portion of the generation load, it is an important component in the summer months when generation demand is greatest. Temperatures in the United States have been warmer than average each month this summer and 17 of the 24 months over the last four years.

Figure #3


Finally, it is worth noting that petroleum exports have been growing. Exports jumped after the Ukraine invasion as the United States rushed to ship petroleum to Europe to offset Russian supply disruptions. Note the large jump in propane exports since 2021 in the chart below. Propane, a component of the crude oil barrel, is one of the easier fuels to export until additional liquified natural gas export terminals are completed.

Figure #4

The combination of limited drilling, growing demand for electric generation and exports, and OPEC production cuts bodes well for oil prices.

Natural Gas Prices

The story for natural gas is less positive but improving. Sharp declines last winter bottomed out in April and have slowly begun to creep back upward. Natural gas production profitability is not great at prices near $3.00 per thousand cubic feet (mcf) but still profitable.  

Figure #5

Source: Nymex, EIA

Outlook

We believe the outlook for energy companies remains favorable. Oil prices are high and do not show signs of falling due to OPEC cuts, reduced domestic drilling and rising demand for power generation and exports. We believe the case for smaller cap energy stocks is especially strong because they are less liquid and slower to react to rising energy prices. Smaller energy companies also face less political and investor pressure to shift away from carbon-based production.

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ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

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transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc..

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Hemisphere Energy Corporation (HMENF) – Production jump coming. A special dividend!

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, September 29, 2023

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2023 summer drilling program completed. Hemisphere drilled eight wells (6 for production) during the summer, as planned. Four had been completed by August 24th, as reported during second quarter results, so the completions were expected and in line with our model’s assumptions. Management indicated that capital expenditures for the rest of the year should be minimal and we do not expect additional wells to be drilled. 

Production is rising. Management reports that production has reached 3,200 boe/d, up from August production of 3,000 boe/d. Recall that production for the second quarter was slightly below our expectations, but we expected rates to rise as wells came on line.  With production finishing the quarter strong, we believe third quarter production should meet our projections for 3,050 boe/d and fourth quarter production of 3,200 boe/d which assumes some improvement from well optimization.


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Chesapeake Utilities to Acquire Florida City Gas in $923 Million Deal

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation announced Monday that it has entered into an agreement to acquire Florida City Gas (FCG) from NextEra Energy for $923 million in cash. The acquisition will significantly expand Chesapeake’s presence in the growing Florida energy market.

FCG is the eighth largest natural gas local distribution company in Florida, serving around 120,000 residential and commercial customers across eight counties. Its infrastructure includes approximately 3,800 miles of distribution pipelines and 80 miles of transmission pipelines.

According to Jeff Householder, President and CEO of Chesapeake Utilities, natural gas demand in Florida continues to rise as consumers and businesses seek reliable, domestic, and affordable energy. With this acquisition, Chesapeake aims to capitalize on the robust growth opportunities across the state.

“This acquisition will more than double our natural gas business in Florida, one of the fastest growing states in the nation,” said Householder. “We see significant potential to continue pursuing long-term earnings growth.”

The deal is expected to close by the end of the fourth quarter of 2023, subject to regulatory approvals. Once completed, FCG will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Chesapeake Utilities.

Chesapeake has a strong track record of successfully integrating acquisitions to drive growth, as seen in its purchase of Florida Public Utilities in 2009. The company believes it can optimize FCG’s operations and execute on additional investments in gas distribution, transmission, and other energy platforms.

To finance the deal, Chesapeake plans to utilize a mix of equity and long-term debt to maintain balance sheet strength. The company has also obtained committed financing from Barclays.

Chesapeake has extended its earnings guidance through 2028 based on the increased scale and opportunities from FCG. It expects earnings per share growth of approximately 8% through 2028. The company also increased its 5-year capital expenditure guidance to $1.5-$1.8 billion.

The FCG acquisition demonstrates Chesapeake’s strategy of consolidating natural gas assets and positioning itself for growth in key geographies. As energy markets evolve, strategic deals allow companies like Chesapeake to enhance their competitive position.

Uranium Prices Hit 12-Year High on Rising Demand

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Uranium prices have hit their highest level in 12 years, reaching around $70 per pound in recent trading. This marks a major rally for the nuclear fuel, as prices were languishing below $30 per pound just a couple years ago. The uranium market has seen renewed interest from investors and utilities lately, driving the huge spike in prices.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

Uranium is a key material used in nuclear power generation. It is the fuel inside nuclear reactors that undergoes fission to release massive amounts of energy. Uranium is mined from the ground, then processed and enriched before being fabricated into fuel rods for insertion into reactors. Nuclear power plants require a steady supply of uranium fuel to continue operating.

There are several factors behind the big jump in uranium prices recently. A major one is increased demand, as more nuclear reactors are being built around the world. China in particular has been rapidly expanding its nuclear energy capabilities. More reactors coming online globally means more demand for uranium fuel. Supply has also been constrained lately, with pandemic-related disruptions slowing some uranium mining operations. This demand/supply imbalance has helped drive uranium prices markedly higher.

The surge in uranium prices is great news for uranium mining companies and producers. Major players in the global uranium market like Cameco, Kazatomprom, and Energy Fuels stand to benefit greatly from elevated prices. Their profitability increases significantly when uranium prices rise. These companies have seen their stock prices jump this year in tandem with the uranium price rally. Many uranium stocks are up 50% or more year-to-date.

According to Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst Michael Heim, “There has been an imbalance between domestic uranium supply and demand over the last 15 years as consumers (electric utilities) purchased cheap uranium from foreign nations such as Kazakhstan under short-term contracts. Domestic producers curtailed production with spot prices below production costs. With prices now near $70 per pound and electric utilities increasingly willing to sign longer-term contracts, domestic uranium companies like Energy Fuels are able to restart operations.”

Take a moment to take a look at Energy Fuels Inc., a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying major nuclear utilites.

The hot uranium market also has implications for the broader stock market. The S&P 500 energy sector has been one of the top performing segments this year. Rising uranium prices provide an added catalyst, as nuclear energy becomes relatively more cost competitive. Utility companies running nuclear power plants also benefit from lower relative fuel costs. This can enhance their profitability and lead to upside in the utilities sector.

Overall, the big rebound in uranium prices reflects growing global demand for nuclear power. New reactor projects and increased focus on energy security are driving uranium back to multi-year highs. This should provide a boost to uranium producers and related stocks going forward. Nuclear power appears poised for increased utilization in the years ahead, which points to a strong fundamental outlook for uranium prices. As long as demand keeps rising faster than supply, uranium seems likely to maintain its bull run.

Russian Export Ban May Push Crude Oil Higher

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Oil prices climbed over 1% Friday after Russia banned diesel and gasoil exports. The move aims to increase Russia’s domestic supply but reduces the global oil market.

West Texas Intermediate crude climbed back above $90 per barrel following the news. Brent futures also gained, topping $94. Energy analysts say the Russian ban will likely sustain upward pressure on oil prices near-term.

Russia is a leading diesel producer globally. How much the export halt affects US fuel prices depends on how long it remains in place, says Angie Gildea, KPMG’s head of energy. But any drop in total global oil supply without lower demand will lift prices.

The ban comes as US gas prices retreat from 2022 highs, now averaging $3.86 nationally. Diesel is around $4.58 per gallon. Diesel powers key transport like trucks and ships. The loss of Russian exports could spur further diesel spikes.

However, gas prices may keep easing for most of the US, says Tom Kloza of OPIS. Western states could see increases.

Kloza believes crude may rise $2 to $3 per barrel in the near-term. But gasoline margins are poised to shrink even if oil nears $100 again. The US transition to cheaper winter fuel could also limit price hikes.

Oil has increased steadily since summer as OPEC+ cuts output. Saudi Arabia and Russia also reduced production. More Wall Street analysts now predict $100 oil in 2023.

Goldman Sachs sees Brent potentially hitting $100 per barrel in the next 12 months. Sharper inventory declines are likely as OPEC supply falls but demand rises, says Goldman’s head of oil research.

The White House has criticized OPEC+ for the production cuts. US gasoline demand recently hit a seasonal record high over 9.5 million barrels per day. Jet fuel use is also rebounding towards pre-pandemic levels.

Strong demand, paired with reduced Russian oil exports, leaves the market more exposed to supply disruptions. Hurricane Ian showed how quickly price spikes can occur.

Take a moment to take a look at other energy companies covered by Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst Michael Heim.

The Biden Administration plans to keep tapping the Strategic Petroleum Reserve into 2023 to restrain cost increases. But further export bans or output reductions could overwhelm these efforts.

While tighter global fuel supplies might not directly translate to the US, Russia’s latest move signals volatility will persist. Energy prices remain sensitive to supply and demand shifts.

More export cuts could accelerate oil’s return to triple-digits. But for US drivers, the road ahead on gas costs seems mixed. Falling margins and seasonal shifts could limit prices, but risks linger.

The Hidden Value in Offshore Drilling Stocks

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Oil markets and energy stocks often get painted with a broad brush. But within the sector, offshore drilling stocks offer upside that many investors are overlooking. Despite cries of peak oil demand, fundamentals for rig owners point to gains ahead.

The oil services sector has rocketed over 50% higher in the last year, soundly beating the S&P 500. Yet offshore drilling stocks remain unloved. This creates an opportunity for investors willing to take a contrarian bet.

The bull case lies in constrained supply and rapidly rising prices. ESG considerations have limited capital investment in new oil production. But robust demand has returned as pandemic impacts recede. This supply/demand imbalance has sent oil above $80 per barrel.

Day rates for offshore rigs are soaring as utilization rates stick near 90%. However, shipyards are focused on liquefied natural gas, not building fresh drilling ships. That means supply can’t catch up to growing demand in a hurry.

This grants pricing power to rig owners. Valaris, Noble, and Weatherford have emerged from bankruptcy with pristine balance sheets. Meanwhile Transocean boasts the most high-specification rigs, positioning it to profit from climbing day rates.

Yet valuations look disconnected from fundamentals. Offshore drillers trade at up to an 80% discount to replacement value, signaling the market doubts their potential. But conditions point to further gains.

Why Energy Could Shine for Investors

Beyond compelling fundamentals, two key reasons make energy stocks stand out right now:

  1. Inflation hedge – Energy equities have historically held up well during inflationary periods. With prices still running hot, oil stocks may offer protection if high inflation persists.
  2. Contrarian bet – Energy is the most hated sector this year, with heavy net outflows from funds. That sets up a chance to buy low while others are selling.

To be clear, the long-term peak oil argument holds merits. The global energy transition will likely constrain fossil fuel demand over time. But that shift will take decades to play out.

In the meantime, diminished investment and stiff demand creates room for shares like offshore drillers to run higher. For investors willing to make a contrarian bet, the neglected energy space offers rare value.

ESG Sours Sentiment But Oil Remains Key

What about the ESG push away from fossil fuels? Shift is clearly underway. But hydrocarbons still supply 80% of global energy needs. Realistically, oil and gas will remain vital to powering the world for years to come.

Market sentiment has soured on all things oil. But investors should remember that supply/demand, not narrative, ultimately drives commodity prices. Offshore drillers look primed to benefit from that dynamic.

While oil markets face uncertainty beyond the next decade, conditions now point to upside in left-behind niches like offshore drilling stocks. For investors who see value where others only see headwinds, forgotten energy corners may hold diamonds in the rough.

Take a moment to look at Noble Capital Market’s Energy Industry Report by Senior Research Analyst Michael Heim.

Release – Alvopetro Announces Q3 2023 Dividend of US$0.14 Per Share

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ALOVF

Sep 14, 2023

CALGARY, AB, Sept. 14, 2023 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces that our Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.14 per common share, payable in cash on October 13, 2023, to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 29, 2023. This dividend is designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian income tax purposes. 

Dividend payments to non-residents of Canada will be subject to withholding taxes at the Canadian statutory rate of 25%.  Shareholders may be entitled to a reduced withholding tax rate under a tax treaty between their country of residence and Canada.  For further information, see Alvopetro’s website at  https://alvopetro.com/Dividends-Non-resident-Shareholders.

Corporate Presentation

Alvopetro’s updated corporate presentation is available on our website at:http://www.alvopetro.com/corporate-presentation. 

Social Media

Follow Alvopetro on our social media channels at the following links:

Twitter – https://twitter.com/AlvopetroEnergyInstagram – https://www.instagram.com/alvopetro/LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/company/alvopetro-energy-ltd

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé and Murucututu natural gas fields and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.

Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning the Company’s dividends, plans for dividends in the future, the timing and amount of such dividends and the expected tax treatment thereof. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of global pandemics and other significant worldwide events, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest in properties and the outcome of any redeterminations, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. In addition, the declaration, timing, amount and payment of future dividends remain at the discretion of the Board of Directors. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR+ profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.

SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.

Carbon Credit Firm DevvStream To Go Public In $212M SPAC Merger

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

DevvStream Holdings, a leading developer of carbon offset projects and associated credit streams, has signed a definitive agreement to go public through a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Focus Impact Acquisition Corp.

The combined company will be named DevvStream Corp. and is expected to list on the Nasdaq under ticker “DEVS”. The deal values DevvStream at an implied $212.8 million enterprise value.

Founded in 2021, Vancouver-based DevvStream partners with corporations and governments on sustainability initiatives. It brings projects generating carbon credits to market by co-investing or providing technical services in exchange for a share of long-term credit streams.

This capital-light model requires little upfront investment for participation in the fast-growing carbon markets. DevvStream estimates its current portfolio will generate $13 million in net revenue in 2024 and $55 million in 2025 as projects are expanded.

DevvStream participates in both regulated compliance markets and the rapidly expanding voluntary carbon credit market. The voluntary market hit $2 billion in 2022 but could reach up to $250 billion by 2030 according to estimates.

The merger will provide further expansion capital to DevvStream as it scales its portfolio of emissions-reducing projects. Focus Impact raised $172.5 million in its May 2021 IPO into a trust that will go to the combined company after redemptions.

According to DevvStream CEO Sunny Trinh, “Entering into a definitive agreement to merge with Focus Impact is a significant step towards accelerating the growth of our differentiated technology-based approach to carbon markets.”

He added that enhancing transparency and reliability in voluntary markets in particular can help drive participation and meaningful emissions reductions.

Focus Impact CEO Carl Stanton said the proposed merger “presents a significant opportunity to create substantial value for our shareholders.” He cited DevvStream’s systematic approach to carbon project development and blockchain-enabled tracking.

The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2023, subject to shareholder approvals and other customary closing conditions. Upon completion, DevvStream will be listed on the Nasdaq under ticker “DEVS”.

With global momentum building around carbon markets and climate action, the merger comes at an opportune time. DevvStream is now poised to capitalize on surging demand as both corporations and governments seek to curb emissions.

Uranium Bull Run Continues with Prices Hitting New Highs

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Uranium prices have entered a new bull market in 2023, surging 20% so far this year. The nuclear fuel recently hit $60 per pound for the first time in over a decade. This milestone comes on the back of rosier demand forecasts from the World Nuclear Association (WNA) and vastly outperforms other metals markets.

The WNA recently released its biennial report at the World Nuclear Symposium in London. The report provides insights into future uranium demand, underscoring the role nuclear power will play in the global energy transition. It predicts world reactor requirements for uranium will reach almost 130,000 tonnes by 2040, up from 65,650 tonnes in 2023.

Even the WNA’s most conservative projection of 87,000 tonnes in 2040 represents robust demand growth. This is driven by an expected expansion of nuclear capacity from 391 gigawatts currently to 686 gigawatts by 2040 under its base case scenario. The bulk of new reactors will be located in China, which is aggressively decarbonizing by replacing coal plants with nuclear.

China has 23 reactors under construction, 23 more planned, and 168 proposed to add to its existing fleet of 53 reactors. The WNA report increased its overall uranium demand growth projections to 4.1% annually through 2040, up from 3.1% in its 2021 forecast.

This surging demand presents a huge opportunity for growth in the uranium mining sector. As the market transitions from oversupply to undersupply, uranium companies are poised to benefit tremendously. Their revenues, earnings, and valuations could rapidly improve as prices rise. Many junior miners could become acquisition targets for larger producers looking to add resources.

Take a moment to take a look at more uranium and vanadium and mining companies by viewing Michael Heim’s coverage list.

A key driver of demand is the accelerated adoption of small modular reactors (SMRs). These compact, modular designs allow nuclear plants to be constructed faster and cheaper. The WNA sees SMRs reaching 31 gigawatts of installed capacity by 2040, significantly boosting uranium demand. However, forecasts remain relatively conservative given SMRs’ potential applications in shipping, data centers, and other sectors.

According to BMO Capital Markets, SMRs could play a pivotal role in powering remote mines looking to replace diesel generators with cleaner energy solutions. With ample space and ideal climates, mines are adding solar and wind power. But in colder regions like Canada, SMRs may be the only viable zero-carbon option.

In much the same way platinum miners are testing hydrogen trucks onsite, uranium producers could pioneer SMR installations at operations. This would create new demand from uranium miners themselves. BMO estimates SMR capacity could reach 58 gigawatts by 2030, or around 10% of total nuclear generation.

While secondary supplies like reprocessed fuel and stockpiles have bridged the supply-demand gap for decades, the WNA report acknowledges these inventories are diminishing. With roughly 3.7 years of reactor requirements in current stockpiles, the WNA projects secondary supplies will fall from 11-14% of demand now to just 4-11% by 2050.

This decline underscores the need for new mine supply to meet growing reactor demand in the long run. With secondary sources drying up, uranium prices must rise to incentivize investment in expansion and new projects. The uranium bull run still appears to be in its early innings, as rosier demand forecasts confront constrained mine supply. Nuclear energy’s role in global decarbonization efforts continues to expand, brightening the outlook for uranium markets and uranium mining companies.

Mining Company Auxico Acquires Majority Stake in Bolivian Mine Rich in Key Minerals

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Auxico Resources, a Canadian mining company, recently signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to acquire an 85% equity interest in the past-producing El Benton niobium and tantalum mine located in Bolivia. This strategic acquisition provides Auxico with a rich source of critical minerals essential for emerging technologies.

Under the MOU, Auxico will make initial payments totaling $140,000 to the current owner of El Benton. Auxico will then hold majority 85% control of the mine as part of a joint venture arrangement.

The El Benton mine and adjacent Monte Verde concessions cover over 700 hectares in a proven mineral-rich region of Bolivia. Historic samples show valuable concentrations of niobium, tantalum, lithium, and rare earth elements.

By securing rights to El Benton, Auxico aims to restart production of niobium and tantalum concentrates. The company also plans to define the lithium potential and recover other critical minerals using advanced ultrasound extraction methods.

Gaining access to El Benton’s strategic mineral deposits boosts Auxico’s role as a major supplier of scarce metals needed for electric vehicle batteries, renewable energy infrastructure, electronics, and defense applications.

Owning the majority interest allows Auxico to implement efficient, sustainable extraction techniques at El Benton. This includes removing radioactive elements from concentrates using the Company’s proprietary ultrasound technology.

In summary, the deal gives Auxico substantial equity control of a mine rich in critical and rare earth minerals. Restarting efficient production can provide crucial supply to high-tech industries while generating profits.

Take a moment to look at more natural resources and mining companies by viewing Mark Reichman’s coverage list.

Indonesia Energy Corp. (INDO) – Government contract extension adds value

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Indo extended its Kruh Block contract five years with an increased after-tax split. Indo’s contract with Pertamina, the state-owned oil and gas company, now extends to September 2035. The amended contract increases Indo’s after-tax split to 35% from 15%. The extension, while not unexpected, comes after Indo had suspended drilling in the Kruh Block to complete a well workover. The favorable extension helps justify Indo taking its time in the Kruh Block as it completes a 3D seismic program to optimize drilling locations. We believe the government was willing to agree to the settlement as a way to spur Indo to increase drilling activity.

An operational update provides little new information. The company also updated investors regarding drilling plans in the Kruh Block and the Citarum Block. Management reiterated plans to drill 14 additional wells in the Kruh Block by the end of 2026 with the next well starting in 2024. Management did indicate that it expects to receive an environmental permit for seismic activity in the Citarum Block in 2023-4Q with work to begin in 2024-1Q. Our models assume one well drilled in the Citarum Block and two wells drilled in the Kruh Block in 2024.


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Huge Lithium Deposit Found in US Could Be Game-Changer for Renewable Energy

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

An enormous lithium deposit estimated to hold up to 40 million metric tons has recently been discovered in the United States underneath an ancient supervolcano straddling the Nevada-Oregon border. This lithium trove, the largest known supply in the world, could provide major opportunities for lithium companies and boost renewable energy efforts as demand for lithium batteries is projected to skyrocket.

Lithium, an extremely light metallic element, is an essential component of rechargeable lithium-ion batteries used in electric vehicles, grid storage, smartphones, laptops and other key technologies. With electric vehicle adoption accelerating globally and increasing need for batteries to store solar and wind energy, lithium is becoming integral to a clean energy future.

For lithium companies, this huge deposit represents a potentially massive new source of supply to power growth. Lithium exploration and mining companies will likely ramp up operations in the region to benefit from burgeoning demand. Those able to cost-effectively extract lithium from the volcanic crater could be poised to reap sizable revenues.

Access to substantial lithium resources located within the US rather than relying heavily on imports could also help enhance energy security as the country moves away from fossil fuels. Domestic supply could additionally stabilize lithium prices and support US-based jobs.

The lithium deposit was uncovered within Oregon’s McDermitt Caldera, the remnants of an ancient supervolcano that exploded around 16 million years ago. With lithium demand expected to expand fivefold or more by 2030, this huge supply could be a game-changer, diversifying and elevating global lithium sources to meet increasing battery requirements.

For lithium companies and renewable energy companies alike, this deposit represents a monumental opportunity. Responsible extraction will be key to unlocking the full potential of this transformative mineral discovery.

Take moment to look at companies Lithium Bank and Century Lithium who are focused on exploration, development, and production of lithium.

Release – Alvopetro Announces August 2023 Sales Volumes and an Operational Update

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ALVOF

Sep 07, 2023

CALGARY, AB, Sept. 7, 2023 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces August 2023 sales volumes and an operational update.

August 2023 Sales Volumes

August sales volumes averaged 1,852 boepd, including natural gas sales of 10.6 MMcfpd, associated natural gas liquids sales (“NGLs”) from condensate of 84 bopd, and oil sales of 8 bopd, based on field estimates. Of the total natural gas sales of 10.6 MMcfpd, 9.9 MMcfpd was from our Caburé field, with 0.7 MMcfpd from our Murucututu field. Natural gas production from our Murucututu field declined from 0.9 MMcfpd in July to 0.7 MMcfpd in August and we are evaluating alternatives to improve the productive capability of the field.

 Natural gas, NGLs and crude oil sales: August 2023July 2023Q2 2023
Natural gas (Mcfpd), by field:
      Caburé9,89110,69710,759
      Murucututu665872510
      Total Company natural gas (Mcfpd)10,55611,56811,269
      NGLs (bopd)849092
      Oil (bopd)8–5
Total Company (boepd)1,8522,0181,975

In connection with a temporary reduction in end user consumption, our offtaker, Bahiagás, has provided notice to reduce natural gas nominations for the remainder of September to approximately 8.5 MMcfpd, and as such, we are expecting a reduction in September natural gas sales. 

Operational Update

In July we spud our 183-A3 well on our Murucututu natural gas field. Alvopetro initially drilled to a total measured depth of 1,614 metres but encountered hole stability problems drilling the intermediate section within the Pojuca Formation in the intermediate 12 1/4″ hole section. We were able to successfully recover the directional drilling assembly and return it to surface and we then initiated a sidetrack from 800 metres. We completed drilling this sidetracked intermediate section to 1,707 metres and we are in the process of cementing this section in place. Our plan is to drill the well to 3,600 metres and we now expect to complete drilling operations in October.

On our Bom Lugar field, following an extended maintenance program on our contracted completions rig, we have now initiated completion operations of our BL-06 well. We expect to have the well on production later this month.

Corporate Presentation

Alvopetro’s updated corporate presentation is available on our website at:http://www.alvopetro.com/corporate-presentation. 

Social Media

Follow Alvopetro on our social media channels at the following links:          Twitter – https://twitter.com/AlvopetroEnergy          Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/alvopetro/          LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/company/alvopetro-energy-ltd          YouTube –https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgDn_igrQgdlj-maR6fWB0w

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.

Abbreviations:

bbls=        barrels
boepd=        barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) per day
bopd =        barrels of oil and/or natural gas liquids (condensate) per day
BRL=        Brazilian real
m3 =        cubic metre
MMBtu =        million British thermal units
Mcf =        thousand cubic feet
Mcfpd =        thousand cubic feet per day
MMcf =        million cubic feet
MMcfpd=        million cubic feet per day
Q2 2023=        three months ended June 30, 2023

BOE Disclosure. The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.

Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning the expected timing of certain of Alvopetro’s testing and operational activities including the expected timing of drilling the 183-A3 well and testing the BL-06 well, expected timing of production commencement from the BL-06 well, exploration and development prospects of Alvopetro, and expected natural gas sales and gas deliveries under the Company’s long-term gas sales agreement. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to expectations and assumptions concerning testing results of the BL-06 well, equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of global pandemics and other significant worldwide events, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest and the outcome of any redeterminations, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.

SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.