Tag: Antimony

Alkane and Mandalay Merge to Build a Gold and Antimony Powerhouse

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Creating a gold-antimony producer with three cash-generating mines in Australia and Sweden.
– Targeting ~160,000 gold-equivalent ounces in 2025, rising to ~180,000 ounces in 2026.
– Strong balance sheet, index inclusion potential, and major growth projects underway.

Alkane Resources and Mandalay Resources have announced a transformative “merger of equals,” creating a new mid-tier gold and antimony producer with global ambitions. Under the agreement, Alkane will acquire all Mandalay shares through a court-approved plan of arrangement, offering 7.875 Alkane shares for each Mandalay share. The new combined company, retaining the Alkane Resources name, will boast a market capitalization near A$1 billion (C$898 million), with listings planned on both the ASX and TSX.

This merger creates an impressive platform of three operating, cash-generating mines: Tomingley in Australia (Alkane’s flagship), Costerfield in Australia (Mandalay’s high-margin gold-antimony asset), and Björkdal in Sweden (Mandalay’s established gold producer). Together, they are projected to deliver approximately 160,000 gold-equivalent ounces in 2025, growing to over 180,000 ounces in 2026.

The financial strength of the new entity is also notable, with a combined proforma cash balance of A$188 million as of March 31, 2025. This strong liquidity profile positions the combined company to aggressively pursue exploration, development, and potential future acquisitions, including advancing Alkane’s significant Boda-Kaiser copper-gold project.

Management continuity and expertise are at the forefront of the merger strategy. Alkane’s Managing Director, Nic Earner, will lead the combined company, alongside Mandalay executives such as COO Ryan Austerberry and VP of Exploration Chris Davis. This integration promises operational stability and continued success across all assets.

From a shareholder perspective, the merger is positioned as highly accretive. Mandalay shareholders will gain exposure to Alkane’s promising growth projects, particularly Tomingley’s ramp-up and Boda-Kaiser’s copper-gold potential. Alkane shareholders, meanwhile, benefit from immediate diversification into antimony — a critical mineral — and established production from Sweden.

Critically, the companies expect the transaction to unlock a valuation re-rate. The merged entity will target inclusion in major indices such as the ASX 300 and the GDXJ ETF, with the goal of attracting greater institutional investment and improving trading liquidity.

Both boards unanimously recommend the deal, and major shareholders, representing about 45% of Mandalay and 19% of Alkane’s shares, have already committed their support. Subject to shareholder votes, court approvals, and regulatory consents, the transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2025.

Industry observers see this merger as part of a broader consolidation trend among mid-tier mining companies, seeking greater scale, asset diversification, and global relevance. Alkane and Mandalay’s combination clearly fits this mold, building a stronger, growth-focused mining company with a robust balance sheet and production base.

As both companies move forward toward completing the transaction, the new Alkane Resources stands to emerge as a serious competitor in the mid-tier gold and critical minerals space — offering investors a compelling blend of production, growth, and financial strength.

Take a moment to take a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Research Analyst Mark Reichman’s coverage list.

China’s Antimony Export Ban Sends Global Prices Soaring: Critical Mineral Markets Face New Reality

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Antimony prices surge 250% in 2024, reaching $40,000 per metric ton
– China’s export ban disrupts global supply chains, controlling 50% of production
– US scrambles to diversify sources amid critical minerals trade

The global antimony market faces unprecedented pressure as China’s recent export ban threatens to push prices to record highs. The critical mineral, essential for semiconductors and military applications, has already seen a dramatic 250% price increase in 2024, with traders anticipating further surges beyond $40,000 per metric ton.

China’s December announcement banning antimony exports to the United States marks a significant shift in the critical minerals landscape. As the world’s dominant producer, accounting for nearly 50% of global supplies estimated at 83,000 tons annually, China’s move has created immediate market disruption and supply uncertainty.

European traders report transactions reaching $40,000 per metric ton in Rotterdam, with non-Chinese sellers positioned to capitalize on the supply squeeze. This price surge reflects both immediate market reactions and deeper concerns about long-term supply chain resilience.

The impact of China’s export restrictions extends beyond immediate price effects, signaling a broader strategic shift in global mineral markets. Industry experts suggest this move aligns with China’s long-term strategy to consolidate control over critical mineral production and processing. This development has significant implications for global technology and defense sectors, where antimony plays a crucial role in semiconductor manufacturing and military applications.

The U.S. faces particular challenges in responding to the ban. While efforts to diversify supply chains away from China were already underway, with increased sourcing from Southeast Asia, filling the immediate supply gap presents significant challenges. Industry experts, including Ellie Saklatvala from Argus, question the feasibility of finding adequate alternative sources in the near term.

The situation has sparked urgent discussions about supply chain resilience and national security implications. U.S. policymakers and industry leaders are accelerating efforts to develop domestic production capabilities and secure alternative supply sources. However, establishing new supply chains and processing facilities requires significant time and investment, leaving the market vulnerable to short-term price volatility.

China’s export restrictions, which also include gallium and germanium, though these have less immediate impact due to previously reduced U.S. purchasing, signal a potentially broader strategy of using critical minerals as leverage in international trade relations. Market analysts are closely monitoring other critical minerals, with some suggesting bismuth and manganese could be targets for future export controls.

The broader strategy suggests China’s intent to consolidate mineral production internally, raising concerns about potential future restrictions on other critical minerals. As Theo D. Ruas of Indium Corporation notes, “Being self-sufficient must be a short term goal for the U.S. government.” This emphasis on self-sufficiency reflects growing recognition of the vulnerabilities inherent in concentrated supply chains for critical minerals.

Looking ahead, market participants expect continued price volatility as supply chains adjust to the new reality. The combination of actual supply constraints and market psychology suggests sustained upward pressure on prices throughout 2025, with potential ripple effects across technology and defense supply chains globally.