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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, October 1, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Bit Digital (BTBT)/OUTPERFORM – A Convertible Note Offering
The GEO Group (GEO)/OUTPERFORM – Retains ISAP Contract

Bit Digital (BTBT/$3 | Price Target: $5.5)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
A Convertible Note Offering
Rating: OUTPERFORM

An Offering. Bit Digital is offering $135 million of convertible notes. The deal is upsized from an original $100 million. Net proceeds from the offering will be used primarily to purchase Ethereum, and may be used for general corporate purposes, including potential investments, acquisitions, and other business opportunities. The capital raise continues management’s goal of becoming a major Ethereum treasury company, in our view.

Details. The Notes will be senior, unsecured obligations of the Company and will accrue interest at a rate of 4.00% per year, payable semiannually in arrears. The Notes will mature on October 1, 2030. The initial conversion rate will be 240.3846 shares per $1,000 principal amount of Notes (equivalent to an initial conversion price of $4.16 per ordinary share and represents a conversion premium of 30% above the last reported sale price of the ordinary shares on September 29, 2025, which was $3.20).

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The GEO Group (GEO/$20.49 | Price Target: $35)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Retains ISAP Contract
Rating: OUTPERFORM

ISAP Award. As we had expected, The GEO Group has retained the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program (“ISAP”) contract. U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) awarded the contract to GEO’s BI subsidiary for the continued provision of electronic monitoring, case management, and supervision services. It is a two-year contract, which will have an initial term of one year, effective  October 1, 2025, with an additional one-year option period.

Long-time Services Provider. BI has provided technology solutions, holistic case management, supervision, monitoring, and compliance services under the ISAP contract for over 21 years and has achieved high levels of compliance using a wide range of technologies and case management services over that time.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP)/OUTPERFORM – U.S. Coal as a Strategic and Competitive Advantage
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – Letter Contracts to Contract Awards
ONE Group Hospitality (STKS)/OUTPERFORM – Activist Investor Sees $10+ Stock in 12-18 Months

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP/$25.02 | Price Target: $32)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
U.S. Coal as a Strategic and Competitive Advantage
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Investments to reinvigorate the U.S. coal industry.  The U.S. Department of Energy announced a $625 million program to expand and reinvigorate the U.S. coal industry. This includes $350 million to recommission or modernize coal power units, $175 million for coal power projects directly benefiting rural communities, $50 million to support advanced wastewater management systems to enable coal plants to extend their service life and reduce operational costs, $25 million for dual-firing retrofits, and $25 million for development and testing of natural gas cofiring systems.

Expanded coal leasing on federal lands. Moreover, the U.S. Department of the Interior announced it is making up to 13.1 million acres of federal land available for coal leasing and streamlining approvals for projects. The Department is accelerating efforts to fast-track projects that can recover strategic minerals from mine waste and abandoned sites. The One Big Beautiful Bill, passed on July 4, established lower coal leasing royalty rates of not more than 7% for both surface and underground mines for the period July 4, 2025, to September 30, 2034.

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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$21.54 | Price Target: $28)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Letter Contracts to Contract Awards
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Contract Awards. As anticipated, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) awarded CoreCivic two new contracts, which, once fully activated, would generate total annual revenue of approximately $200 million. The two facilities, California City and Midwest Regional, had been operating under Letter Contracts with ICE, which enable CoreCivic to begin operations at a facility while negotiating a longer-term contract. Both facilities were idle at the beginning of the year.

California City. CoreCivic has been preparing to accept detainees at the 2,560-bed California City facility since April 1, 2025. The Company began receiving detainees at the facility on August 27, 2025. Management currently expects the activation to be complete in 1Q26, achieving a normalized run-rate in 2Q26. Total annual revenue, once the activation is complete, is expected to be approximately $130 million. The new contract expires in August 2027.

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ONE Group Hospitality (STKS/$3.12 | Price Target: $5)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Activist Investor Sees $10+ Stock in 12-18 Months
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Activist Investor. Randian Capital, part of the “retail activist” group behind the sharp rise in Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) stock from less than a $1 mid-summer to around $8.20 today, released on social media platform X a turnaround proposal for The ONE Group. In a nutshell, the plan consists of Refocus the Portfolio, Revitalize the Brand, Strengthen Operations, and Capital Discipline & Growth. Radian sees a path to a $10+ stock over the next 12-18 months. STKS shares rose over 26% yesterday on the news.

Refocus & Revitalize. Randian calls for ONE Group to refocus solely on its Benihana concept, selling off all other concepts. The activist investor believes the STK concept alone could be worth more than the current market cap. Randian suggests rebranding as Benihana Group and changing the stock symbol. Revitalization by elevating the dining experience and engaging with cultural icons, among other changes.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, September 26, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Aurania Resources (AUIAF)/OUTPERFORM – Heightened Risk in Ecuador
AZZ (AZZ)/OUTPERFORM – Revising Estimates; Growth Outlook Remains Favorable
Steelcase (SCS)/MARKET PERFORM – A Better Than Expected 2Q26

Aurania Resources (AUIAF/$0.1 | Price Target: $0.35)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Heightened Risk in Ecuador
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second quarter financial results. As an exploration company, Aurania does not generate revenue and has expenses to advance its projects. During the second quarter of 2025, the company generated a net loss of C$1,610,843 or C$0.01 per share. We had projected a loss of C$1,432,419 or C$0.01 per share. The variance to our estimate was mostly due to higher exploration expenditures, along with higher stock-based compensation. We project a full-year 2025 net loss of C$11.1 million, or C$(0.10) per share, compared to our prior loss estimate of C$10.5 million, or C$(0.09) per share.

Mining service fee. Ecuador recently implemented a new mining service fee on the resource sector (refer to our note dated July 29, 2025). The Ecuadorian Control and Regulation Agency (ARCOM) requested payment from Aurania of US$2,012,618 by July 31, 2025, representing one month of the total annual fee of US$24,151,420. While the penalty for non-payment is unclear, we think Aurania is withholding payment until it becomes clear whether TASA will stand in its current form due to multiple constitutional challenges.

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AZZ (AZZ/$110.64 | Price Target: $125)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Revising Estimates; Growth Outlook Remains Favorable
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Updating estimates. We are lowering our second-quarter revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS estimates to $428.3 million, $93.4 million, and $1.54, respectively, from $433.5 million, $101.1 million, and $1.59. While we have increased our revenue estimate for the Metal Coatings segment, we lowered expectations for Precoat Metals due to anticipated weakness in building construction. Our FY 2026 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS estimates are $1.660 billion, $374.9 million, and $6.00, respectively, compared to our prior estimates of $1.680 billion, $388.3 million, and $6.00. Our revised estimates reflect lower interest expense, along with modestly lower depreciation and amortization expense.

Organic and acquired growth. AZZ’s three-year goals include generating sales of two billion dollars or more in fiscal year 2028, compared to its trailing twelve-month sales of $1.6 billion. Organic growth is expected to exceed GDP growth, and AZZ is targeting acquisitions that strengthen both of its business segments. While we do not forecast sales of $2.0 billion until 2031, our model does not reflect acquisitions until they are announced.

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Steelcase (SCS/$16.7)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
A Better Than Expected 2Q26
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

2Q26. In what is likely the Company’s final quarterly report as a public company, Steelcase reported better than expected results. Results benefitted from continued strengthening of demand from large corporate customers and International growth driven by India, China, and the United Kingdom. Improved International volume drove a $5 million reduction in y-o-y adjusted operating loss in the International segment. These were Steelcase’s highest quarterly results over the past five years.

Financials. Revenue of $897.1 million rose 4.8% y-o-y and exceeded the $890 million high end of management’s guidance. We were at $875 million. Gross margin of 34.4% was flat y-o-y and exceeded the 33.5% high end of guidance. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $99.6 million, or 11.1% of revenue, up from $89.5 million and 10.5% in 2Q25. Adjusted EPS was $0.45, versus $0.39 last year and above management’s $0.40 high end guide. We were at $0.36.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

SelectQuote (SLQT)/OUTPERFORM – Reaches Milestone in Helping Medicare-Eligible Seniors

SelectQuote (SLQT/$2.08 | Price Target: $7)
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Reaches Milestone in Helping Medicare-Eligible Seniors
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Milestone in Findhelp partnership. SelectQuote  announced that it has referred more than 200,000 low-income seniors to Findhelp, with nearly 50,000 of those individuals accessing free or reduced-cost services. The milestone demonstrates SelectQuote’s role in addressing the needs of Medicare-eligible consumers.

Partnership connects consumers to critical support. Findhelp is a closed-loop referral management software platform that connects individuals with community resources such as food, housing, transportation, and financial aid. SelectQuote has partnered with Findhelp for several years, directing seniors to assistance programs. The initiative does not generate revenue, but it extends SelectQuote’s Medicare distribution model by providing tangible value to consumers.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 23, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

The ODP Corporation (ODP)/MARKET PERFORM – To Be Acquired for $28/sh

The ODP Corporation (ODP/$27.68)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
To Be Acquired for $28/sh
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

An Acquisition. Yesterday morning, The ODP Corporation announced it entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by an affiliate of Atlas Holdings for $28/sh. The purchase price represents a premium of 34% to Friday’s closing price. ODP’s Board is supporting the transaction, which is expected to close by the end of 2025.

Who Is Atlas Holdings? Founded in 2002 by Andrew Bursky and Tim Fazio, Greenwich, CT-based Atlas Holdings owns and operates a global family of manufacturing and distribution businesses that together generate more than $20 billion in annual revenue. Atlas has experience in the office supplies sector through its LSC Communications unit, a leader in organizational solutions through brands such as Pendaflex.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, September 22, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Information Services Group (III)/OUTPERFORM – Raising Price Target

Information Services Group (III/$5.38 | Price Target: $6.5)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Raising Price Target
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Raising Price Target. We are raising our price target on III shares to $6.50 from a prior $5, as III shares have exceeded our price target. The recent and expected future interest rate cuts, ongoing cost optimization efforts from clients, and the increasing pace of AI adoption will continue to drive ISG’s operating performance, in our view.

Valuation. At our $6.50 price target, III shares would trade at 1.4x our 2026 revenue estimate on an EV/sales basis, 10.7x on an EV/projected 2026 adjusted EBITDA basis, and 19.1x adjusted 2026 earnings. This compares to a peer group that trades at 1.3x, 10x, and 15.8x, respectively, consensus 2026 estimates.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, September 19, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Ocugen (OCGN)/OUTPERFORM – OCU400 Licensing Agreement For Korea Completed

Ocugen (OCGN/$1.4 | Price Target: $8)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
OCU400 Licensing Agreement For Korea Completed
Rating: OUTPERFORM

OCU400 Licensing Completed. Ocugen has announced the completion of a licensing agreement for Korea with Kwangdong Pharmaceutical, Co., Ltd., a diversified pharmaceutical company in the Republic of South Korea. This finalizes the term sheet announced in August with the 2Q25 business update. We have based our revenue expectations on US and Europe, with the Korea agreement adding additional cash upon the signing and downstream royalties.

Agreement Provides Cash, Milestones, and Royalties. The terms provide Ocugen with signing and near-term milestones of $7.5 million. Under the agreement, Ocugen will manufacture and supply OCU400 in exchange for a royalty of 25% of Net Sales plus sales milestones of $1 million for every $15 million in Net Sales, or roughly 32% per $15 million in sales. There are an estimated 7,000 retinitis pigmentosa (RP) patients in Korea, with an estimated market of about $180 million over the first 10 years of sales. We estimate these potential payments at about $65 million to Ocugen.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, September 18, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

FreightCar America (RAIL)/OUTPERFORM – RAIL Adopts Stockholder Rights Plan
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD)/OUTPERFORM – A Month of Awards
Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF)/OUTPERFORM – Updating Our Sum-of-the-Parts Valuation; Increasing PT to US$1.05 or C$1.45

FreightCar America (RAIL/$8.71 | Price Target: $17)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
RAIL Adopts Stockholder Rights Plan
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Protecting the interests of all shareholders. Following a review of the company’s current ownership structure, FreightCar America announced that its Board of Directors adopted a limited-duration stockholder rights plan.The rights plan will expire on August 5, 2026, unless terminated earlier by the Board. The Rights Plan is intended to reduce the likelihood that any person or group gains control of the company through open-market accumulation or other tactics without paying an appropriate control premium. The plan also ensures the Board has sufficient time to make informed decisions that protect the interests of the company and all RAIL shareholders.

Increasing 2026 estimates. We have increased our 2026 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $53.6 million and $0.65, respectively, from $53.2 million and $0.64. Our estimate update reflects stronger deliveries in the second half of the year, with a full-year estimate of 4,850 compared with our previous estimate of 4,800. We now expect quarterly deliveries of: 1Q: 982, 2Q: 1,200, 3Q: 1,284, and 4Q: 1,384. Previously we had assumed: 1Q: 1,346, 2Q: 1,275, 3Q: 1,058, and 4Q: 1,121.

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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD/$11.97 | Price Target: $14)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
A Month of Awards
Rating: OUTPERFORM

More Business. Over the past month, Great Lakes continued to be awarded additional business, according to the Department of War’s daily contract awards release. In total, the announced awards (and recall not all awards are included in the daily notice), totaled approximately $80 million, demonstrating Great Lakes’ operating capabilities as well as the ongoing demand from the government.

September. Most recently, Great Lakes was awarded a $27.9 million firm-fixed-price contract for the removal and disposal of hopper dredge material. Work will be performed in Venice, Louisiana, with an estimated completion date of April 7, 2026. Fiscal 2025 civil operation and maintenance funds in the amount of $27.9 million were obligated at the time of the award.

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Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF/$0.78 | Price Target: $1.05)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Updating Our Sum-of-the-Parts Valuation; Increasing PT to US$1.05 or C$1.45
Rating: OUTPERFORM

New Craigmont mining lease extensions. Nicola Mining Inc. (OTCQB: HUSIF, TSX.V: NIM) secured a five-year extension for six mining leases at its New Craigmont Property from the Ministry of Mining and Critical Minerals. The New Craigmont property encompasses over 10,800 hectares and is adjacent to Teck Resources Limited’s (NYSE: TECK, TSX: TECK.A and TECK.B) Highland Valley Copper Mine, the largest copper mine in Canada. On June 1, Nicola commenced a 4,000-to-5,000-meter diamond drill program at the New Craigmont project. The mining lease extension ensures continuity through the project’s lifecycle.

Shipments of gold concentrate. Earlier this month, Nicola announced that it had commenced shipping gold concentrate via a partnership with Talisker Resources Ltd. (TSX: TSK, OTCQX: TSKFF). Under a Mining, Milling, and Smelting Agreement, the parties sold 707 ounces of gold in August, generating gross proceeds of approximately US$2.3 million. Production benefited from upgrades to the Merritt Mill, including the installation of a large concentrator that optimized free gold recovery.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI)/OUTPERFORM – Activist Shareholder Calls for Strategic Review
The GEO Group (GEO)/OUTPERFORM – A Renewal and Two New Contracts
V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – Continuing to Lighten
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE)/OUTPERFORM – A Closer Look Supports Our Favorable Outlook

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI/$1.94 | Price Target: $4)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Activist Shareholder Calls for Strategic Review
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Call For A Review. In an amended Schedule 13D filing, investor Lakeview Opportunity Fund has communicated its views on the Company to the CVG management and Board on opportunities for value creation, including through a review process that explores strategic alternatives, including a sale of the Company.

Who Is Lakeview? With Managing Partner Ari Levy, Lakeview is a concentrated and opportunistic multi-strategy fund. The Fund focuses on underfollowed or ignored market areas, such as small and mid-cap value equities, niche Wall Street vehicles, options, and selective shareholder activism, where Lakeview helps companies, generally trading at significant discounts to private market value, unlock shareholder value.

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The GEO Group (GEO/$22.04 | Price Target: $35)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
A Renewal and Two New Contracts
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Contracts. The  Florida Department of Corrections has issued Notices of Intent to Award three managed-only contracts to GEO for the assumption of management and support services at the 985-bed Bay Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility and the 1,884-bed Graceville Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility and for the continuation of management and support services at the 985-bed Moore Haven Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility.

Details. The three contracts are expected to have an initial term of three years, effective  July 1, 2026, with unlimited two-year renewal option periods. On a combined basis, the three contracts are expected to generate approximately  $130 million in annualized revenues, including approximately  $100 million in new incremental annualized revenues for GEO. While the new contracts will not begin until next year, the new awards reflect GEO’s ability to provide the services demanded by its government partners, in our view.

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V2X (VVX/$56.62 | Price Target: $72)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Continuing to Lighten
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Another Sale. Private-equity firm American Industrial Partners (AIP), through its Vertex Aerospace subsidiary, sold another 1.7 million VVX shares on September 11th. According to the amended 13D filing, the shares were sold at a price of $52.203 per share through a Rule 144 sale. As we have stated in the past, we continue to expect AIP to sell off its V2X holding over time.

Ownership. Following the most recent share sale, AIP’s ownership is now 8,467,286 VVX shares, representing 26.9% of the outstanding common of V2X. This is down from the 18,591,866 VVX shares, or 61.1% of the then outstanding common, held by AIP just after the Vectrus/Vertex merger in July 2022.

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Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE/$2.63 | Price Target: $4.5)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
A Closer Look Supports Our Favorable Outlook
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Solid Q2 Results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $73.2 million, modestly beating our estimate of $72.0 million, and adj. EBITDA of $6.7 million, which strongly outperformed our estimate of $0.85 million by 685%. The strong adj. EBITDA was largely driven by management’s ability to execute on its tariff mitigation strategies, resulting in an improved gross profit margin.

Mitigating tariff impacts. Importantly, the company’s gross profit margin increased 300 basis points over the prior year period. The improvement was driven by lower product costing and higher pricing, contributing a 340 basis point improvement, as well as less discounting, which resulted in a 210 basis point improvement. However, the positive margin contributions were softened by tariff and freight impacts of 170 basis points and 100 basis points, respectively.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)/OUTPERFORM – Acquisition Builds The Pipeline With Anticoagulants In Development

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD/$13.37 | Price Target: $45)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Acquisition Builds The Pipeline With Anticoagulants In Development
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Cadrenal Acquires Complimentary Cardiovascular Products. Cadrenal announced that it has acquired the anti-coagulant assets of eXlthera Pharmaceuticals. The products include frunexian, a Pre-Phase-2 anti-coagulant drug that inhibits a different step in the coagulation cascade from tecarfarin. Frunexian is in development for different indications and could extend Cadrenal’s product line to additional indications that are not served by current drugs. The acquisition also includes an oral formulation and other research-stage molecules.

Frunexian Has Several Distinguishing Features. The lead product from eXlthera is frunexian, a Factor XIa inhibitor. Most of the DOAC (direct-acting oral anticoagulant) class target Factor Xa and have been developed for long-term use on an outpatient basis. In contrast, frunexian targets Factor XIa, a different component of the coagulation cascade.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, September 15, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Euroseas (ESEA)/OUTPERFORM – Favorable Time Charter Contract for the M/V Jonathan P
Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI)/OUTPERFORM – Fast Track Designation Gives Benefits Now And In The Future
Metals & Mining (Metals & Mining) – Insights from the Precious Metals Summit

Euroseas (ESEA/$63.97 | Price Target: $71)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Favorable Time Charter Contract for the M/V Jonathan P
Rating: OUTPERFORM

New time charter contract. Euroseas Ltd. announced a new time charter for the M/V Jonathan P at a gross daily rate of $25,000 for a minimum of 11 months, with an option to extend to a maximum of 12 months at the charterer’s option. The charter will commence on November 17th.

Attractive rate and improved charter coverage. The new contract is in direct continuation of the current charter and represents a $5,000 per day increase. It is expected to contribute approximately $5.7 million in EBITDA over the minimum contract period and raise Euroseas’ charter coverage to 100% for the remainder of 2025 and 70% for 2026.

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Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI/$11.23 | Price Target: $45)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Fast Track Designation Gives Benefits Now And In The Future
Rating: OUTPERFORM

GLSI-100 Received Fast Track Designation. Greenwich LifeSciences announced that GLSI-100 has received Fast Track designation from the FDA. In the near term, this designation allows GLSI increased communications and more FDA meetings regarding regulatory requirements for its clinical trial data and use of biomarkers. Once the FLAMINGO-01 trial is completed, GLSI will be eligible to apply for Accelerated Approval and Priority Review, potentially shortening the time to market.

The Designation Mirrors The Trial Entry Criteria. GLSI-100 has received Fast Track Designation from the FDA for the treatment of “patients with HLA-A*02 genotype and HER2-positive breast cancer who have completed treatment with standard of care HER2/neu targeted therapy to improve invasive breast cancer free survival…” This includes the clinical trial entry criteria and endpoints for the current double-blind arms of the trial.

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Metals & Mining
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Insights from the Precious Metals Summit

Precious Metals Summit. Noble Capital Markets was well represented at The Precious Metals Summit on September 9-12at the Beaver Creek Resort in Colorado. The conference attracted 1,700 registrants compared to approximately 1,200 in 2024 and included a broad spectrum of mining companies and institutional investors. Collectively, Noble had private meetings with over 70 company management teams during the invitation-only event.

Relative performance. Year-to-date through September 12,mining companies (as measured by the XME) appreciated 51.2% compared to a gain of 11.9% for the S&P 500 index. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) and Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) ETFs were up 105.7% and 110.6%, respectively. Platinum, silver, and gold futures prices have gained 55.0%, 46.5%, and 39.6%, respectively, while copper, lead, and nickel increased 15.5%, 3.4% and 0.4%. Zinc declined 1.0%. Precious metals have led the charge as Central Banks around the world have added to global gold reserves, along with greater portfolio allocations among investors to precious metals as a hedge against rising inflation, a depreciating U.S. dollar, concerns about government debt, and increased geopolitical uncertainty. Moreover, there has been a desire among some nations to diversify away from the U.S. dollar as the benchmark reserve currency. Gold has become the global asset of choice to preserve value amid declining confidence in fiat currencies and an era of global monetary, geopolitical, and fiscal uncertainty.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, September 12, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Nutriband (NTRB)/OUTPERFORM – Nutriband Reports 2Q26 With Product Progress
SEGG Media Corporation (SEGG)/OUTPERFORM – Leveraging Strong Brands As A Foundation For Growth

Nutriband (NTRB/$6.93 | Price Target: $15)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Nutriband Reports 2Q26 With Product Progress
Rating: OUTPERFORM

AVERSA Fentanyl Is Moving Forward. Nutriband reported results from 2Q26, ended July 31, 2025, with a loss of $2.12 per share. Revenues for 2Q26 were $0.6 million compared with $0.4 million in 2Q25. The increase was attributed to the expansion of contract manufacturing services in the Pocono Pharma division that produces kinesiology tape. Net loss was $2.0 million before Preferred Dividends of $21.8 million, bringing Net Loss Available To Shareholders to $23.8 million. Cash at the end of the quarter was $6.9 million.

Meeting With The FDA Later In September. The company has scheduled a meeting with the FDA on September 18, 2025, to discuss the upcoming Phase 1 clinical trial for AVERSA Fentanyl. This is a Type C Meeting, requested by the company to discuss product development. The meeting agenda includes the CMC (Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls) and other aspects of the Investigational New Drug Application (IND) using the 505(b)(2) route of regulatory approval.

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SEGG Media Corporation (SEGG/$5.63 | Price Target: $20)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Leveraging Strong Brands As A Foundation For Growth
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Initiation of coverage with Outperform rating and $20 price target. We are initiating coverage on SEGG Media (NASDAQ: SEGG) with an Outperform rating and $20 target. The company is a development-stage operator of international sports and gaming businesses, anchored by valuable brand assets including Sports.com, Lottery.com, TicketStub.com, and Concerts.com.

Developmental stage. Formed out of Lottery.com’s collapse, SEGG has been reconstituted under new leadership with a defined focus on leveraging globally recognized brands. Management is pursuing an asset-light model combining digital platforms, sports media rights, and consumer venues. We believe this strategy positions SEGG to re-establish credibility and execute a compelling growth plan.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, September 11, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)/OUTPERFORM – Initiated Debt Refinancing
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE)/OUTPERFORM – Delivered A Strong Quarter

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK/$9.6 | Price Target: $17.5)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Initiated Debt Refinancing
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Strategic update. On September 10, the company announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary Kingpin Intermediate Holdings LLC initiated a private offering of  $700 million in new senior secured notes, due in 2032. Concurrently, the company launched a refinancing of its corporate term loan and revolving credit facility. The company expects the initial amount of the refinanced term loan and revolving credit facility to be $1 billion and $400 million, respectively. 

Use of capital. Importantly, the net proceeds from the new debt offering and the refinanced credit facilities are earmarked for retiring the company’s existing term loan, revolving credit facility, and bridge loan, which was used to acquire 58 real estate assets in July. Furthermore, the remaining proceeds will be used to fund the company’s strategic initiatives.

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Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE/$1.66 | Price Target: $4.5)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Delivered A Strong Quarter
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Solid Q2 Results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $73.2 million, modestly beating our estimate of $72.0 million, and adj. EBITDA of $6.7 million, which strongly outperformed our estimate of $0.85 million by 685%, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. The strong adj. EBITDA was largely driven by management’s ability to execute on its tariff mitigation strategies, resulting in an improved gross profit margin.

Mitigating tariff impacts. Importantly, the company’s gross profit margin increased 300 basis points over the prior year period. The improvement was driven by lower product costing and higher pricing, contributing a 340 basis point improvement, as well as less discounting, which resulted in a 210 basis point improvement. However, the positive margin contributions were softened by tariff and freight impacts of 170 basis points and 100 basis points, respectively.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Gyre Therapeutics, Inc (GYRE)/OUTPERFORM – Positioned To End YE2025 With Strong Products and Pipeline Development

Gyre Therapeutics, Inc (GYRE/$7.89 | Price Target: $20)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Positioned To End YE2025 With Strong Products and Pipeline Development
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Gyre Has Made Strong YTD Progress. Gyre has made significant progress during the first three quarters of FY2025 that we believe positions the company for a strong year-end. These developments include continued sales growth from two products introduced in 1H25, an application for Hydronidone approval in China, and the start of a Phase 2 clinical trial for Hydronidone in the US. The company also announced the appointment of Dr. Han Ying as the new CEO, a member of the Board of Directors since January 2025.

Hydronidone Data Showed Efficacy and Proof of Concept. The pivotal Phase 3 trial testing Hydronidone in Chronic Hepatitis B-associated fibrosis has met its primary endpoint of fibrosis regression. The study was conducted in China, and an application for approval by the NMPA (the Chinese regulatory authority) is planned for 3Q2025. Hydronidone has received Breakthrough Therapy Designation, allowing for accelerated review. We expect approval in 2H2026, followed by launch in FY2027.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, September 8, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Bit Digital (BTBT)/OUTPERFORM – Monthly Ethereum Treasury and Staking Metrics
FAT Brands (FAT)/OUTPERFORM – Return of the CEO

Bit Digital (BTBT/$2.51 | Price Target: $5.5)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Monthly Ethereum Treasury and Staking Metrics
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Data. Bit Digital reported its monthly Ethereum (“ETH”) treasury and staking metrics for the month of August 2025. As of August 31, 2025, the Company held approximately 121,252 ETH, including approximately 15,084 ETH and ETH-equivalents held in an externally managed fund, and approximately 5,094 ETH presented on an as-converted basis from LsETH using the Coinbase conversion rate as of 8/31/25. The Company’s total staked ETH was approximately 105,031 as of August 31st.

Yield and Value. Staking operations generated approximately 249 ETH in rewards during August, representing an annualized yield of approximately 2.94%. Based on a closing ETH price of $4,391.91, as of August 31, 2025, the market value of the Company’s ETH holdings was approximately $532.5 million.

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FAT Brands (FAT/$1.88 | Price Target: $15)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Return of the CEO
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Return. FAT Brands announced the return of Andrew Wiederhorn as Chief Executive Officer. Recall, Mr. Wiederhorn had stepped down from his CEO role in May 2023 when the U.S. Department of Justice filed fraud and tax evasion charges against Mr. Wiederhorn. With the criminal charges now dropped, Mr. Wiederhorn will resume leading the Company he founded. Current co-CEOs Ken Kuick and Taylor Wiederhorn will return to their original roles as CFO and Chief Development Officer, respectively.

Our View. We view the re-appointment of Mr. Wiederhorn as CEO as a positive, although in his role as Chairman of the Board and consultant over the past two years, we believe Mr. Wiederhorn was still a guiding force for the Company. We believe the Company will continue to focus on its strategic priorities: organic expansion, targeted acquisitions, increasing the manufacturing facility’s capacity, and focusing on the balance sheet.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, September 5, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS)/MARKET PERFORM – A Refocused Growth Strategy

1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS/$5.18)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
A Refocused Growth Strategy
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

Weak Q4 results. Fiscal Q4 revenues declined 6.7% to $336.6 million, roughly in line with our $338.0 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA loss of $24.2 million was larger than our loss estimate of $20.5 million. The quarter benefited by the Easter shift from Q3 a year earlier into Q4 this year. Gross margins declined 290 basis points from the year earlier quarter, in part, due to a highly promotional sales environment. 

Reimagining its business. Management indicated that it is seeking an omnichannel approach to target customers, including opening storefronts, and broadening its reach beyond its own e-commerce sites. The company plans to lower its operating costs beyond the earlier announced $40 million in annualized costs, of which $17 million of annualized costs reductions were achieved in Q4. 

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, September 3, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF)/OUTPERFORM – Recent Financing Provides Financial Flexibility to Advance Angel Island
GDEV (GDEV)/OUTPERFORM – Operating Metrics Gain Positive Momentum

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF/$0.19 | Price Target: $2.35)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Recent Financing Provides Financial Flexibility to Advance Angel Island
Rating: OUTPERFORM

LIFE offering closed. Century Lithium closed the second and final tranche of its financing under the Listed Issuer Financing Exemption (LIFE). Together with the initial closing, the company issued a total of 15,785,833 units for aggregate gross proceeds of C$4,735,749.90. Each unit consists of one common share and one common share purchase warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.45 for a period of 60 months following the issuance of the units.

Use of net proceeds. Net proceeds from the financing will be used to complete an updated feasibility study for the company’s Angel Island Lithium Project, complete the project’s Plan of Operations, work towards National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) compliance, and fund general working capital.

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GDEV (GDEV/$15.53 | Price Target: $70)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Operating Metrics Gain Positive Momentum
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Strong Q2 Results. The company reported strong Q2 results. Revenue of $119.9 million, and adj. EBITDA of $20.7 million, both easily surpassed our estimates of $97.0 million and $7.0 million, respectively, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. Notably, management attributed the strong quarter to an increase in consumable in-app purchases, which are recognized during the quarter rather than being deferred over the average player life cycle of 28 months.

Key operating metrics. Bookings and monthly paying users (MPU) decreased by 14% and 18%, respectively, compared to the prior year period, but the decrease was expected as the company is focused on the quality of gameplay and not over-monetizing its user base. However, the company is showing signs of returning to growth as both average bookings per paying user (ABPPU) and MPUs increased sequentially from Q1. ABPPU increased from $90 in Q1’25 to $93 in Q2’25, and MPUs increased from 284,000 to 312,000 over the same period.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 2, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF)/MARKET PERFORM – Reports 2Q25 Results; Sold Out of TerraSante
Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF)/OUTPERFORM – Early Innings of a Compelling Growth Story

MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF/$0.55)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Reports 2Q25 Results; Sold Out of TerraSante
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

2Q25 Results. MustGrow reported record second quarter revenue of $2.8 million in 2Q25, compared to no revenue in the same period last year. Revenue was driven by the NexusBioAg segment, although TerraSante sales amounted to $318,832. Gross margin improved to 20.9%, up from 14.3% in the first quarter of 2025. MustGrow recorded a net loss of $1.1 million, or a loss of $0.02/sh in 2Q25, compared to a net loss of $0.96 million, or a loss of $0.02/sh, in 2Q24.

TerraSante. Initial sales ramp up of TerraSante has begun, with $318,832 of sales in the quarter, or triple its full year 2024 sales. MustGrow sold out of its TerraSante inventory in the U.S during the quarter. The improved TerraSante sales were a key driver in gross margin improvement. MustGrow is working on producing more TerraSante to meet demand.

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Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF/$0.55 | Price Target: $0.75)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Early Innings of a Compelling Growth Story
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second quarter financial results. Nicola Mining Inc. (OTCQB: HUSIF, TSX.V: NIM) reported net income of C$1,181,286, or C$0.01 per share, compared to a net loss of C$2,519,885, or C$(0.02) per share, during the second quarter of 2024. We had projected a net loss of C$1,077,068, or C$(0.01) per share. The variance to our estimate was mostly due to a revaluation gain on marketable securities. We increased our 2025 net income and EPS estimates to C$11,004,631 and C$0.06 per share, respectively, from C$7,582,855 and C$0.04. We updated our commodity grade assumptions based on actual April and May pricing and CME futures settlements for the remainder of 2025 and 2026.

Merritt Mill is ramping up production. With 200 tonnes per day of capacity, Nicola’s Merritt Mill is transitioning to full commercial production and cash flow generation. Nicola expects to utilize 100% of the mill’s capacity by the end of the third quarter. In early July, the Merritt Mill began processing ore received from Talisker Resources’ (OTCQX: TSKFF, TSX: TSK) Bralorne project. In addition to processing ore for Talisker, ore is expected to be received during the third quarter from Blue Lagoon’s (OTCQB: BLAGF, CSE: BLLG) Dome Mountain gold mine, and from the Dominion Creek Gold Project, of which Nicola owns a 75% economic interest.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, August 29, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)/OUTPERFORM – Throws A Curve Ball, But Delivers A Strike!

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK/$10.46 | Price Target: $17.5)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Throws A Curve Ball, But Delivers A Strike!
Rating: OUTPERFORM

A solid finish to the year. The company beat our fiscal Q4 revenue and adj. EBITDA estimates, culminating in a transitional fiscal full year 2025 with improving revenue trends. Total Q4 revenues of $318.0 million, beat our $292.0 million estimate, and adj. EBITDA of $88.7 million was better than our $83.0 million estimate.  

Improving revenue trends. Same store revenues, while down 4.1%, reflecting sequential monthly improvement from the down   6% in April, negative 3% in May and flat in June. Management indicated that same store revenue trends were up over 1% in July.  

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – More Potential Opportunity

V2X (VVX/$58 | Price Target: $72)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
More Potential Opportunity
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Another Seat. V2X, through its Vertex Aerospace unit, was awarded a seat on the Cooperative Threat Reduction (CTR) program. CTR is a combined $3.5 billion ID/IQ multiple award vehicle, according to the Department of Defense daily awards notice. This award adds to V2X’s strong opportunity potential, in our view.

CTR. CTR is a ten-year cost-plus-fixed-fee, cost, cost-plus-award-fee, cost-plus-incentive-fee, firm-fixed-price, firm-fixed-price-level of effort, and time-and-materials contract. This contract will deliver a broad range of services and products to provide sustainable chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear threat reduction capabilities to partner nations. The CTR Program partners with willing countries to reduce the threat from weapons of mass destruction and related materials, technologies, facilities, and expertise.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, August 26, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Euroseas (ESEA)/OUTPERFORM – Two New Vessels to be Delivered in 2028
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD)/OUTPERFORM – Some Additional Work & Delivery of the Amelia Island
The GEO Group (GEO)/OUTPERFORM – Some Estate Planning Moves

Euroseas (ESEA/$62.04 | Price Target: $71)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Two New Vessels to be Delivered in 2028
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Two new orders. Euroseas Ltd. executed a contract for the construction of two modern fuel-efficient 4,300 twenty-foot-equivalent unit container vessels that are expected to be delivered in March and May of 2028. The vessels will cost approximately $59.25 million each and will be financed with a combination of debt and equity. Currently, Euroseas has a fleet of 22 vessels, including 15 feeder containerships and seven intermediate containerships, with a cargo capacity of 67,494 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU). After the sale of the M/V Marcos V and the delivery of four intermediate containerships in 2027 and 2028, Euroseas’ fleet will consist of 25 vessels with a total carrying capacity of 78,344 TEU.

Commitment to growth and modernization. The most recent orders demonstrate Euroseas’ commitment to growing and modernizing its fleet. Management believes that investing in eco intermediate-sized containerships, a segment with a low orderbook and an aging existing fleet, will enhance the company’s competitive position, enable it to capitalize on future market opportunities, and create value for shareholders. 

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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD/$11.77 | Price Target: $14)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Some Additional Work & Delivery of the Amelia Island
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Some Additional Work. According to the daily Department of Defense contract awards notice, Great Lakes continues to receive additional work, adding to an already full scorecard. The recent contract wins highlight the strength of the Company, as well as the overall bid environment, in our view.

Amelia Island. Last week, Great Lakes announced the delivery of its newest Jones Act-compliant hopper dredge, the Amelia Island. This completes the Company’s dredge newbuild program. The Amelia Island is specially designed for efficient and safe operations along shallow and narrow waters throughout all U.S. coastlines. With a full schedule for 2025 and 2026, the dredge will be going immediately to work.

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The GEO Group (GEO/$21.03 | Price Target: $35)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Some Estate Planning Moves
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Stock Sales. After the market closed yesterday, The GEO Group Executive Chairman George Zoley filed a Form 4 with the Securities and Exchange Commission reporting the sale of GEO shares. We would note the sales were in connection with pre-arranged estate planning that ultimately will result in the sale of 230,918 GEO shares held by Mr. Zoley or trusts held for the benefit of his children.

Details. According to the filing, a total of 72,038 GEO shares were sold on 8/21 and 8/25 at prices ranging from $21.16-$21.72 per share. An additional 75,000 shares were reported sold for estate planning purposes on a Form 4 filed August 20th, with these shares sold at prices ranging from $20.93-$21.72 per share.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, August 22, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Aurania Resources (AUIAF)/OUTPERFORM – Private Placement Financing Enhances Financial Flexibility
Government Solutions (Government Solutions) – An ISAP RFP
Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF)/OUTPERFORM – Pivoting to Revenue and Cash Flow Growth
SelectQuote (SLQT)/OUTPERFORM – Pharmacy Strength Highlights Revenue Stability

Aurania Resources (AUIAF/$0.09 | Price Target: $0.4)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Private Placement Financing Enhances Financial Flexibility
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Oversubscribed private placement. Aurania raised gross proceeds of C$1,906,355.76 with the issuance of 15,886,298 units at C$0.12 per unit. Each unit is composed of one common share and one common share purchase warrant that entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.25 for 24 months following the date of issuance. Dr. Keith Barron, CEO and director, acquired 5,741,666 units during the offering.

Use of proceeds. Aurania intends to use the net proceeds primarily for exploration programs and general working capital purposes. In our view, the oversubscribed private placement significantly enhances the company’s financial flexibility.

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Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF/$0.17 | Price Target: $0.75)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Pivoting to Revenue and Cash Flow Growth
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Accelerated warrant exercise. Nicola Mining Inc. (TSX.V: NIM, OTCQB: HUSIF, FSE: HLIA) reported the accelerated exercise of 2,019,477 share purchase warrants at C$0.40 each, generating C$807,791 in gross proceeds. On July 21, Nicola Mining announced that it was electing to accelerate the expiry of all the outstanding common share purchase warrants originally issued under a financing that closed in March 2025.  

Merritt Mill is ramping up production. With 200 tonnes per day of capacity, Nicola’s Merritt Mill is transitioning to full commercial production and cash flow generation. Nicola expects to utilize 100% of the mill’s capacity by the end of the third quarter. In early July, the Merritt Mill began processing ore received from Talisker Resources’ Bralorne project. In addition to processing ore for Talisker, ore is expected to be received during the third quarter from Blue Lagoon’s Dome Mountain gold mine, and from the Dominion Creek Gold Project, of which Nicola owns a 75% economic interest. Cash milling margins of 15% to 18% are expected at full capacity.

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SelectQuote (SLQT/$2.59 | Price Target: $7)
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Pharmacy Strength Highlights Revenue Stability
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Fiscal Q4 beat. SelectQuote posted Q4 revenue of $345.1 million and adj. EBITDA of $2.7 million, beating expectations. Agent productivity improved with AI integration and workflow streamlining. The company navigated Medicare enrollment headwinds by reallocating resources efficiently, demonstrating continued operating discipline across its core platform.

SelectRx paying off. Healthcare Services revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $210.6 million with membership hitting 108,000, up from 82,000 the year prior. Notably segment adj. EBITDA margins of 5.5% are expected to improve throughout fiscal 2026 based on efficiency gains from the Kansas facility and customer maturity.

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Government Solutions
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
An ISAP RFP

ISAP RFP. In a somewhat surprising development, Immigration and Customs Enforcement has issued a request for proposals for the fifth iteration of its Intensive Supervision Appearance Program (ISAP), with a plan to award a potential $2 billion indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract. Consensus expectations were that an RFP would be released more towards the end of 2025.

Details. The contract will have a maximum performance period of two years, divided into two one-year ordering periods, a significant change from the prior 5-year performance periods. Responses are due by September 1st, a much shorter period than the 6 weeks from the 2019 contract. The contract is scheduled to begin on October 1, 2025.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, August 21, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Newsmax (NMAX)/OUTPERFORM – Riding The Red Wave

Newsmax (NMAX/$12.98 | Price Target: $23)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Riding The Red Wave
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Initiating coverage with an Outperform rating and $23 price target. Newsmax (NYSE: NMAX) is a conservative media company with growing reach across cable and digital platforms. Its national cable channel has evolved into the fourth most-watched cable news network in the U.S, with a loyal core audience and full distribution across major MVPDs and streaming platforms. We believe the company is positioned to unlock a multi-year monetization opportunity across both advertising and affiliate fee revenue streams.

Loyal audience and diversified revenue model. Newsmax serves a highly engaged, politically right-of-center audience that has historically been underserved by mainstream outlets. This loyal viewership has enabled the company to scale both advertising and distribution revenues while maintaining low customer acquisition costs. Since 2019, revenue has grown more than 300%, fueled by steady digital expansion and greater platform reach. 

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI)/OUTPERFORM – Initiating Coverage With An Outperform Rating and $45 Price Target
Snail (SNAL)/OUTPERFORM – Building The Foundation For StableCoin

Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI/$11.47 | Price Target: $45)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Initiating Coverage With An Outperform Rating and $45 Price Target
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Greenwich LifeSciences Is Developing An Immunotherapy For Prevention Of Breast Cancer Recurrence. Greenwich LifeSciences is a biotechnology company developing GSLI-100, an immunotherapy based on HER2/neu. GLSI-100 completed four clinical trials that lead to the design of the current Phase 3 Flamingo-01 trial. The trial is currently enrolling patients in the US and Europe.

GLSI-100 Is Directed At A Validated Target. GLSI-100 contains GP2, a segment of the HER2/neu (HER2, or human epidermal growth factor receptor 2) receptor found on the surface of breast cancer cells. HER2 is overexpressed in several common cancers, with an estimated 75% of all breast cancers expressing HER2 at some level. Monoclonal antibodies targeting HER2 are the current standard of care for treating certain types of breast cancer.

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Snail (SNAL/$0.98 | Price Target: $3.5)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Building The Foundation For StableCoin
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Disappointing Q2. Total company revenues of $22.2 million increased nearly 3% over the prior year earlier period, but was lighter than our $26.0 million estimate. The variance was largely attributable to quality issues of its Aquatica DLC and subsequent disappointing sales. Adj. EBITDA loss of $2.2 million was higher than our slightly positive adj. EBITDA expectation. 

Stronger finish to the year expected. While we believe that the company’s product roadmap should significantly improve revenue performance, particularly in Q4, we are lowering our second half and full year 2025 revenue and adj. EBITDA expectations. Based on a 2025 lower revenue base, we are tweaking our 2026 estimates lower, as well. 

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – A CEO Transition
Hemisphere Energy (HMENF)/OUTPERFORM – Solid Second Quarter Performance Versus Our Estimates
InPlay Oil (IPOOF)/OUTPERFORM – Outsized Production, Debt Reduction, and Strategic Alignment Drive Outlook
Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)/OUTPERFORM – Webcast Details Product Attributes and Potential Market

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$20.67 | Price Target: $28)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
A CEO Transition
Rating: OUTPERFORM

A Transition. CoreCivic announced President and COO Patrick Swindle will succeed current CEO Damon Hininger effective January 1, 2026. As part of the transition, Mr. Hininger and the Company have entered into a transition agreement with an effective date of January 1, 2026. Under the transition agreement, Mr. Hininger will work closely with both Mr. Swindle and Mr. Emkes, as a Special Advisor to the CEO and Chairman, to ensure a smooth transition. Mr. Hininger will resign from CoreCivic’s Board effective January 1, 2026, with Mr. Swindle appointed to fill the vacancy.

Patrick Swindle. Mr. Swindle joined CoreCivic in 2007 as Managing Director, Treasury, and has held numerous positions, including Vice President, Strategic Development; Senior Vice President, Operations; Executive Vice President and Chief Corrections Officer; and Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, before being promoted to President and Chief Operating Officer in January 2025. Prior to joining CoreCivic, Mr. Swindle spent ten years in equity research in the equity capital markets divisions of SunTrust Equitable Securities, Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., and Avondale Partners, LLC.

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Hemisphere Energy (HMENF/$1.4 | Price Target: $2.5)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Solid Second Quarter Performance Versus Our Estimates
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second quarter financial results. Hemisphere reported oil and gas revenue of C$24.4 million in the second quarter, down 15.7% from the prior year period but ahead of our estimate of C$20.9 million. Net income was C$7.1 million, or C$0.07 per share, compared to C$10.4 million, or C$0.10 per share, last year, and above our forecast of C$5.8 million, or C$0.06 per share. Average daily production rose to 3,826 boe/d, up from 3,628 in Q2 2024 and modestly ahead of our estimate of 3,800 boe/d. The company realized an average sales price of C$70.06/boe, compared to C$87.65/boe in the prior year quarter. Adjusted funds flow totaled C$10.3 million, or C$0.10 per diluted share, versus C$13.6 million, or C$0.14 per diluted share, a year ago. This result exceeded our estimate of C$8.9 million, or C$0.09 per diluted share.

Updating estimates. Given the stronger-than-expected second quarter, we are raising our 2025 revenue forecast to C$97.7 million from C$95.0 million. Our operating expense assumption has been modestly increased to C$38.8 million from C$38.4 million. We now project net income of C$29.6 million, or C$0.30 per share, up from our prior forecast of C$28.7 million, or C$0.28 per share. Adjusted funds flow is expected to reach C$43.3 million, compared to our earlier estimate of C$42.2 million. For 2026, we forecast revenue of C$93.7 million, net income of C$27.5 million, or C$0.28 per share, and AFF of C$39.6 million, reflecting our expectation of a softer commodity price environment relative to 2025.

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InPlay Oil (IPOOF/$8.11 | Price Target: $15)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Outsized Production, Debt Reduction, and Strategic Alignment Drive Outlook
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second quarter financial results. InPlay Oil reported Q2 2025 revenue of C$91.6 million, above our estimate of C$87.9 million, driven by stronger-than-expected production of 20,401 boe/d compared to our forecast of 19,000 boe/d. The company recorded a net loss of C$3.2 million, versus net income of C$5.4 million in the prior-year period. On an adjusted basis, which excludes C$10.1 million in transaction and integration costs and reflects C$4.9 million in hedging gains, net income was C$2.0 million. Adjusted funds flow totaled C$40.1 million, or C$1.49 per share, ahead of our forecast of C$38.6 million, or C$1.38 per share.

2025 Guidance. Despite strong second-quarter production and AFF growth, management maintained full-year 2025 guidance across all metrics, noting that output is now expected to reach the upper end of the range. With oil prices still subdued, the company remains focused on maximizing free cash flow, materially reducing debt, and returning capital to shareholders, while benefiting from robust post-acquisition production levels.

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Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP/$40.07 | Price Target: $70)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Webcast Details Product Attributes and Potential Market
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Management Discussed Plans For Marketing and Launch. Following the FDA approval of Tonmya (or TNXP-102 SL) on August 15, Tonix held a webcast to discuss plans for marketing and sales in advance of its 4Q25 launch. The presentations included a discussion of fibromyalgia, the market, and the Tonmya product label. We believe the clinical data shows meaningful improvements for several important symptoms.

Fibromyalgia Market Is Large and Underestimated. The fibromyalgia population is estimated at about 10 million diagnosed patients. Patients live with symptoms for an average of 7 years before diagnosis, including bodily pain (the most common). Other symptoms include fatigue, insomnia, anxiety, “brain fog”. and depression. Many patients are on multiple drugs, taking an average of 2.7 drugs at any given time. As a non-opioid, non-habit forming drug, we believe Tonmya can meet the need for an effective therapy.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, August 18, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

AZZ (AZZ)/OUTPERFORM – Analyst Day Highlights
Bit Digital (BTBT)/OUTPERFORM – Second Quarter Results
Comstock (LODE)/MARKET PERFORM – De-Risking the Company by Raising Funds to Reduce Debt and Fund Growth
Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)/OUTPERFORM – TNX-102 SL Receives FDA Approvals As Expected
QuoteMedica Inc. (QMCI)/OUTPERFORM – Improved Revenue Trends

AZZ (AZZ/$112.63 | Price Target: $125)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (561)999-2272
Analyst Day Highlights
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Analyst Day. AZZ hosted an analyst day that included a tour of the company’s new Precoat Metals facility in Washington, Missouri. Mr. Tom Ferguson, CEO, provided opening remarks followed by presentations by Mr. Kurt Russell, Chief Strategy Officer, Mr. Todd Bella, Senior Vice President, Metal Coatings, Mr. Jeff Vellines, President and Chief Operating Officer, Precoat Metals, and Mr. Jason Crawford, Chief Financial Officer.

Organic and acquired growth. The company’s three-year goals include generating over two billion dollars in sales in fiscal year 2028 compared to its trailing twelve-month sales of $1.6 billion. Organic growth is expected to exceed GDP growth by a factor of two, and AZZ is targeting acquisitions that strengthen both of its business segments. Management has identified over 68 potential acquisition opportunities, with 13 under evaluation. The company recently acquired Canton Galvanizing, LLC in July, which expanded AZZ’s metal coating capabilities in the U.S. Midwest.

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Bit Digital (BTBT/$3.01 | Price Target: $5.50)
Joe Gomes jgomes@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (561)999-2262
Second Quarter Results
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Transformation. Since the end of 1Q25, Bit Digital has transformed the business: first moving to an Ethereum treasury and staking platform, and then the WhiteFiber IPO. The focus going forward at Bit Digital is to build one of the largest institutional balance sheets in the public markets and generate scalable staking yield. We expect the WhiteFiber holding to be liquidated over time to fund this goal.

2Q25 Results. Revenue of $25.7 million fell from $29.0 million in 2Q24, was flat sequentially, and in-line with our $25.4 million estimate. The key difference was Mining revenue, which fell to $6.6 million from $16.1 million last year. Cloud Services revenue rose to $16.6 million from $12.5 million in 2Q24. Higher one-time G&A costs and lower gross margins across most business lines, offset by a $27.1 million gain on Digital Assets, resulted in operating income of $13.9 million, compared to an operating loss of $11.5 million in 2Q24, which was impacted by a $11.5 million loss on Digital Assets. The Company reported net income of $14.9 million, or $0.07/sh, versus a net loss of $12 million, or $0.09/sh last year. 

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Comstock (LODE/$2.33)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (561)999-2272
De-Risking the Company by Raising Funds to Reduce Debt and Fund Growth
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

Second quarter financial results. Comstock reported a net loss of $7.8 million or $(0.27) per share, compared to a net loss of $8.6 million or $(0.60) per share during the prior year period. Revenue decreased to $339.5 thousand compared to $434.8 thousand during the prior year period. The loss from operations widened to $7.7 million compared to $5.6 million during the second quarter of 2024 due to higher selling, general, and administrative expenses that increased to $4.6 million from $2.8 million. Relative to our net loss estimate of $5.0 million, or $(0.16) per share, revenues were below our estimates, while operating expenses were higher. 

Recent financing. Comstock raised gross proceeds of ~$30.0 million with a public offering of 13.3 million shares priced at $2.25 per share. The net proceeds will be used to fund capital expenditures associated with commercializing its first industry-scale facility for Comstock Metals, development expenses, and general corporate purposes, including the repayment of existing debt. As of August 14, LODE shares outstanding were 49.3 million compared to 32.4 million as of June 30. The underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 2.0 million shares to cover over-allotments, which we assume will be exercised.

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Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP\$51.35 | Price Target: $70)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (212) 896-4625
TNX-102 SL Receives FDA Approval As Expected
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Tonix Announced The Approval of TNX-102 SL. As we had anticipated, TNX-102 SL (Tonmya) has received approval for the treatment of fibromyalgia. A conference call is planned for 8:30 am on August 17. Further details on the marketing program and plans for product launch are expect to be discussed. First sales are expected by 4Q25.

TNX-102 SL Addresses Numerous Symptoms of Fibromyalgia. The NDA (New Drug Application) was based on two Phase 3 studies. The primary endpoint was a reduction in pain scores at 14 days compared with placebo. After three months about 30% of the patients had a clinically meaningful reduction in pain compared with placebo. The studies also met all six of the secondary endpoints with high levels of statistically significance.

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QuoteMedia Inc. (QMCI\$0.17 | Price Target: $0.23)
Michael Kupinski mkupinksi@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (561) 994-5734
Improved Revenue Trends
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Mixed Q2 Results. The company reported improved Q2 revenue trend, with revenue growing 5% over the prior year period to $4.9 million, marking the highest quarterly revenue in the company’s history and sequential improvement from 3% in Q1. Adj. EBITDA of $0.1 million in Q2 was lower than our estimate of $0.4 million, largely due to increased development costs, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. In our view, the company’s business pipeline appears to be improving and revenue should gain momentum throughout the year and into 2026. 

Capitalizing less development costs. Notably, the company capitalized less development costs in Q2 than in the prior year, leading to more development costs expensed in Q2. While this impacted Q2, we believe that margins should improve as the company begins to recognize the revenue from the new business “wins” in future quarters. Furthermore, the company will be expensing development costs at a similar rate to Q2 moving forward.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, August 15, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Cocrystal Pharma (COCP)/OUTPERFORM – 2Q25 Reported With Norovirus and Influenza Product Updates
Conduent (CNDT)/OUTPERFORM – New Business Momentum Picking Up
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – Another New Contract
DLH Holdings (DLHC)/OUTPERFORM – Ongoing Work with NIH
Euroseas (ESEA)/OUTPERFORM – Second Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations; Increasing Estimates
Unicycive Therapeutics (UNCY)/OUTPERFORM – Actions Taken To Address Issues That Caused The CRL
Xcel Brands (XELB)/OUTPERFORM – Influencer Brands Set To Launch

Cocrystal Pharma (COCP/$1.68 | Price Target: $10)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
2Q25 Reported With Norovirus and Influenza Product Updates
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Antivirals Continue To Move Forward. Cocrystal reported 2Q25 loss of $2.1 million or $(0.20) per share. During 2Q, the company presented data from its CDI-988 Phase 1 study in norovirus. Separately, CDI-988 has demonstrated inhibition of multiple strains, including GII.17 and GII.4 that have caused norovirus outbreaks over the past 2 years. The Phase 2a human challenge study testing CC-42344 in influenza has been extended. CC-42344 has shown inhibition of several strains of avian influenza that have caused public health concerns. Cash on June 30, 2025 was $4.8 million.

Phase 1b Is Planned For CDI-988  In Norovirus. Data from a Phase 1 trial showing safety and efficacy of CDI-988 was presented in August. The data show that CDI-988 was safe and effective through a range of doses in a single-ascending (SAD) and multiple-ascending (MAD) dose cohorts. A Phase 1b study testing CDI-988 as both treatment and prophylaxis for norovirus is planned for later in FY2025.

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Conduent (CNDT/$2.49 | Price Target: $7)
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
New Business Momentum Picking Up
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Solid Q2 results. Q2 revenue of $754 million aligned with our estimate, while adj. EBITDA of $37 million exceeded our forecast of $33 million. All three segments delivered sequential, new business, Annual Contract Value (ACV ) growth, a key forward indicator. This sales momentum supports our view that Conduent is on track to return to top-line growth in 2026.

Big Beautiful Bill may present upside. We view the recently passed “Big Beautiful Bill” as a potential tailwind for Conduent’s Government segment. The legislation tightens eligibility enforcement for public benefits, which may drive increased demand for outsourced eligibility verification and fraud detection, which are core capabilities for the company.

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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$20.46 | Price Target: $28)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Another New Contract
Rating: OUTPERFORM

West Tennessee. As anticipated, CoreCivic announced another new contract with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Through an intergovernmental services agreement (IGSA) between the City of Mason, Tennessee, and ICE, CoreCivic will resume operations at the Company’s 600-bed West Tennessee Detention Facility, a facility that has been idle since September 2021.

Details. The IGSA expires in August 2030 and may be further extended through bilateral modification. The agreement provides for a fixed monthly payment plus an incremental per diem payment based on detainee populations. Total annual revenue once the facility is fully activated is expected to be approximately $30 million to $35 million, with margins consistent with the CoreCivic Safety segment.

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DLH Holdings (DLHC/$5.88 | Price Target: $10)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Ongoing Work with NIH
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Task Order. DLH has been awarded a task order valued at up to $46.9 million to continue providing information technology services, including enterprise IT systems management, cyber security, software development, cloud computing, and more, to the National Institutes of Health’s Office of Information Technology (“OIT”).

Details. The task order includes a base period and multiple options aggregating to a three-year period of performance. Through this award, DLH will leverage a comprehensive suite of digital transformation and cyber security solutions to support approximately 7,000 end-customers. As part of this new effort, DLH will design and implement a cloud migration strategy built on partnerships with leading commercial CSP vendors, including Azure, AWS, and Google.

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Euroseas (ESEA/$56.03 | Price Target: $71)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Second Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations; Increasing Estimates
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second quarter financial results. Total net revenues for the second quartertotaled $57.2 million, a 2.5% decrease year-over-year, but slightly higher than our estimate of $56.7 million. Adjusted EBITDA and EPS were $39.3 million and $4.20, respectively, above our estimates of $38.5 million and $3.87. The better-than-expected results were due to higher time charter equivalent (TCE) rates of $29,420 per day compared to our estimate of $28,502 per day, along with modestly lower-than-expected operating expenses of $23.9 million compared to our estimate of $24.7 million.

Market outlook. TCE rates for feeder vessels increased 8% in the second quarter due to limited vessel availability and robust demand. While the global containership orderbook remains high, the feeder and intermediate segments have a much smaller pipeline of just 4 to 8%, offering some insulation from the potential negative impact of an oversupplied market. Ongoing Red Sea conflicts have further supported rates by prompting Suez Canal re-routings and increasing distance. Although U.S. trade policies cloud visibility, we expect TCE rates to remain strong through year-end 2025 and into 2026.

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Unicycive Therapeutics (UNCY/$4.63 | Price Target: $6)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Actions Taken To Address Issues That Caused The CRL
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Actions Taken To Correct Manufacturing Findings. Unicycive reported a 2Q25 loss of $6.4 million or $(0.52) per share, with cash on June 30, 2025 of $22.3 million. Based on our current estimates, we believe this is sufficient to fund operations through 2H25. On June 30, the company received a CRL (Complete Response Letter) following an FDA inspection that found deficiencies at a contract manufacturer’s facility. The findings stopped the labeling discussions required for completion of the NDA review. The company has shifted to one of its other manufacturers, and filed a request for a meeting with the FDA. 

A Request For A Type A Meeting Was Filed. Following the receipt of the CRL, Unicycive filed a request for a Type A meeting with the FDA. This type of meeting is held to discuss the issues that led to the CRL and how to correct them. These meetings are usually scheduled within 30 days of the request. After meeting is held the company will receive the meeting minutes with requirements for resubmission of the NDA application. Unicycive expects to announce an updated plan for OCL development during 3Q25.

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Xcel Brands (XELB/$1.06 | Price Target: $9)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Influencer Brands Set To Launch
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Q2 Results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $1.3 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $0.3 million, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 results. Importantly, while revenue was 22.3% lower than our estimate of $1.7 million, the adj. EBITDA loss of $0.3 million was largely in line with our expectations of a loss of $0.35 million. Furthermore, the on target adj. EBITDA figure was driven by the company’s strategic cost reduction and business transformation efforts, as well as the Lori Goldstein divestiture.

Favorable outlook. While the company is approaching the back half of the year with caution, largely driven by potential tariff impacts, we believe it stands to benefit from a number of favorable developments. Notably, the company is launching its Longaberger brand in Q3 on QVC and announced an accelerated timeline for its new influencer brands. Additionally, the company stands to benefit from its Halston brand as royalties kick in.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, August 14, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

SKYX Platforms (SKYX)/OUTPERFORM – Revised Forecasts Reflect Phased Rollout, Long-Term Outlook Intact
The Oncology Institute, Inc. (TOI)/OUTPERFORM – Patient Additions And Pharmacy Division Drive 2Q25 Revenues Above Expectations

SKYX Platforms (SKYX/$1.28 | Price Target: $5)
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Revised Forecasts Reflect Phased Rollout, Long-Term Outlook Intact
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Q2 results. SKYX reported Q2 revenue of $23.1 million, up 7.5% year over year and 14.7% sequentially. Gross margin expanded 190bps to 30.3%, supported by a favorable mix shift toward proprietary tech-embedded products. The adj. EBITDA loss of $2.6 million was slightly wider than our forecast of a $2.3 million loss but reflects underlying operating leverage as revenue scales.

Smart City partnership reinforces revenue growth trajectory. The company’s partnership with the $3 billion Smart City development in Miami’s Little River District positions it for sustained long-term growth. We expect the rollout to drive meaningful topline and branding impact over time, with strategic visibility among large-scale developers likely to reinforce future adoption of SKYX’s technology in both residential and commercial verticals.

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The Oncology Institute, Inc. (TOI/$4.1 | Price Target: $8)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Patient Additions And Pharmacy Division Drive 2Q25 Revenues Above Expectations
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Revenues Were Driven By New Patients Under Contract. The Oncology Institute reported a loss for 2Q25 of $17.0 million or $(0.15) per share. Revenues of $119.8 million exceeded our estimate of $110.4 million. The company discussed newly active or pending contracts that will add covered lives during 2H25. It reiterated its guidance for Revenues, Gross Profit, Adjusted EBITDA, and Free Cash Flow. Cash on June 30, 2025 was $30.3 million.

Patient Services Were Close To Our Expectations. The Patient Services division reached $55.9 million. New payor contracts added patients during 1H25 that began generating revenues, although they have a period of higher cost during the transition to TOI management. We expect the patient mix to include more continuing patients during 2H25, improving margins while new contracts continue to drive growth.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Bit Digital (BTBT)/OUTPERFORM – WhiteFiber IPO
Bitcoin Depot (BTM)/OUTPERFORM – Q2 Upside Drives Full-Year Upward Revisions
EuroDry (EDRY)/MARKET PERFORM – Weak Second Quarter, Better Results Expected Ahead
Sky Harbour Group (SKYH)/OUTPERFORM – Pre-Leasing Momentum Reinforces Competitive Moat
Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)/OUTPERFORM – 2Q25 Reported As We Await The TNX-102 SL PDUFA Date Of August 15

Bit Digital (BTBT/$3.03 | Price Target: $5.5)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
WhiteFiber IPO
Rating: OUTPERFORM

IPO. WhiteFiber has been brought public through the sale of 9.375 million shares at $17/sh. Upon completion of the offering, Bit Digital retained ownership of 74.3% of the 36.4 million outstanding shares (71.5% if the underwriters exercised the full option). WhiteFiber shares are trading on the NASDAQ under the symbol WYFI.

Funding. Net proceeds from the IPO were expected to be approximately $145.1 million, or approximately $167.4 million if the underwriters exercised their option in full. Management anticipates using the funds for the build out and expansion of the business.

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Bitcoin Depot (BTM/$4.22 | Price Target: $9)
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Q2 Upside Drives Full-Year Upward Revisions
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Strong Q2 results. Bitcoin Depot reported Q2 revenue of $172.1 million (5.5% growth YoY), better than our estimate of $167.5 million. Adj. EBITDA of $18.5 million (46.2% growth YoY) beat our estimate of $15.5 million. The impressive results were driven by stronger revenue per kiosk, particularly among mature locations.

Kiosk expansion. The company added roughly 600 kiosks during Q2, ending with 9,000 units in operation. About 3,300 kiosks are still in early ramp, suggesting room for productivity gains. Bitcoin Depot also holds 1,700 units in inventory, enabling growth without near-term capex. In Australia, 200 kiosks have been deployed, and management is evaluating two more international markets.

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EuroDry (EDRY/$10.67)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Weak Second Quarter, Better Results Expected Ahead
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

Second quarter financial results. EuroDry generated Q2 net revenues of $11.3 million, in line with our $11.4 million estimate but down about $6 million year-over-year due to a decline in average time charter equivalent (TCE) rates. Adjusted EBITDA of $1.9 million and a loss per share of $1.10 per share were better than our forecasts of $1.6 million and a loss of $1.23 per share, aided by lower voyage expenses, but trailed last year’s $5.0 million and $0.17 loss.

Market Outlook. The dry-bulk market saw a brief improvement in the second quarter as rates recovered from early-year lows, though momentum slowed later in the period amid trade policy developments and softer Chinese import activity. However, since the start of the third quarter, rates have improved, and the IMF slightly raised its 2025 global GDP guidance. Red Sea disruptions have continued to extend voyage distances, and demand has picked up slightly based on improved sentiment toward growth in China. The orderbook remains near historical lows, so while rates hover below 2024 levels, we expect the recent improvement to hold for the remainder of the year.

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Sky Harbour Group (SKYH/$10.95 | Price Target: $23)
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Pre-Leasing Momentum Reinforces Competitive Moat
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Q2 slightly below forecast. Sky Harbour reported Q2 revenue of $6.6 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $3.0 million, both below expectations. Despite the shortfall, development milestones were notable with new long-term ground leases signed at Hillsboro (HIO) and Stewart (SWF), reinforcing execution on its expansion strategy.

Expansion on track. The company began pre-leasing at IAD and BDL (both pre-construction) at strong average rates of $47.06 per square foot, underscoring brand strength and tenant confidence. With DVT and ADS operational and leasing underway, management reiterated its goal of securing five additional long-term leases by year-end, which would bring the total to 23.

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Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP/$59.76 | Price Target: $70)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
2Q25 Reported As We Await The TNX-102 SL PDUFA Date Of August 15
Rating: OUTPERFORM

We Are On The Edge Of Our Seats Waiting For TNX-102 SL. Tonix reported a 2Q25 loss of $28.3 million or $(3.86) per share. Importantly, the PDUFA date for TNX-102 SL is August 15. This is the date when the FDA is required to answer the application for approval. We continue to expect TNX-102 SL to be approved this week. Cash on hand at the end of the quarter was $125.3 million.

TNX-102 SL Launch Is Planned For 4Q25. The company expects to have TNX-102 SL available during 4Q25, as we expected. It will be the first drug developed and approved for fibromyalgia, compared with the current therapies that were approved for other conditions then expanded into fibromyalgia. Importantly, TNX-102 SL met its primary endpoint of pain relief and all six secondary endpoints for relief of symptoms.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)/OUTPERFORM – 2Q25 Included Clinical Strategy Change and Manufacturing Progress
Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT)/MARKET PERFORM – A Significant, Positive Development
MariMed Inc (MRMD)/OUTPERFORM – Expand the Brand
Nutriband (NTRB)/OUTPERFORM – CEO Gareth Sheridan To Run For President Of Ireland
V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – Expanding Capabilities

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD/$10.94 | Price Target: $45)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
2Q25 Included Clinical Strategy Change and Manufacturing Progress
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Cadrenal Reports 2Q With Product News. Cadrenal reported a 2Q25 loss of $3.7 million or $(1.87) per share. During the quarter, the company announced a design modification for the upcoming tecarfarin clinical trial. The company also transferred its manufacturing technology to a CDMO and completed production scale-up in preparation for clinical trials. Cash on June 30, 2025 was $5.6 million.

New Trial Focuses On First Months Of Dialysis. As described in our Research Note on August 7 , the new trial design reflects recent research showing the first four to six months after the start of renal dialysis are an ultra-high-risk period for cardiac events including myocardial infarction, stroke, embolism, and death. The design change will be testing tecarfarin as an anticoagulant to reduce these events. The clinical site activation and trial enrollment are expected to begin around year-end.

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Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT/$0.42)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
A Significant, Positive Development
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

Converts the majority of its debt. The company announced that it has converted $25.0 million of its roughly $34.4 million in debt into a perpetual Series A Preferred Convertible Stock. The Preferred Stock will carry a cumulative annual 10% dividend, based on board of approval, and will be convertible at $2.50 per Class A common share. Following the transaction, the company will have roughly $9.4 million debt remaining under its Term Loan Facility. The move is viewed favorably. 

Significant, but manageable restrictions. The company will be required to maintain total leverage below 3.5 to1 declining to 3.25 to 1. In addition, the company will need to maintain a fixed charge coverage of 1.25 to 1 rising to 1.5 to 1. In addition, the company must maintain $1.5 million in unrestricted cash. Finally, the company must maintain a minimum of consolidated EBITDA of $1.0 million for fiscal quarters end Sept. 2025 and then $500,000 thereafter. 

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MariMed Inc (MRMD/$0.13 | Price Target: $0.25)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Expand the Brand
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Expand the Brand. With the recent Pennsylvania and Maine announcements, MariMed continues to implement its Expand the Brand strategy, which is focused on making the Company’s products accessible to as many consumers as possible. We expect the Company to look at additional new markets, such as New York and New Jersey, for additional expansion.

Market Remains Mixed. There remains a lot of near-term uncertainty in the cannabis industry. Pricing pressures, market saturation, and the lack of federal reform still pose a challenge that MariMed will need to navigate. Entering into established cannabis markets that are expanding into the adult recreational use market enables the Company to quickly capture share in proven markets.

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Nutriband (NTRB/$6.85 | Price Target: $15)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
CEO Gareth Sheridan To Run For President Of Ireland
Rating: OUTPERFORM

CFO Will Transition To CEO. Nutriband CEO and Co-Founder Gareth Sheridan has announced plans to take a three-month leave from the company to run for President of the Republic of Ireland. The current CFO and Co-Founder, Serguei Melnik, will become Acting CEO as Mr. Sheridan campaigns. The election is expected to be held in late September or early October. If elected, Sergeui will become CEO. If Mr. Sheridan is not elected, he may return to the company.

We Wish Gareth Sheridan Well In The Election. As a Co-founder and CEO of the company, Gareth Sheridan has guided the company from an idea to becoming a NASDAQ-listed company with three divisions. Nutriband’s financial planning has allowed  it to develop the AVERSA technology with low operating losses, keeping the share base low.

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V2X (VVX/$52.93 | Price Target: $72)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Expanding Capabilities
Rating: OUTPERFORM

A Tuck-in. Last night, after the market closed, V2X announced it had entered into an agreement to acquire a specialized data engineering, intel mission support, and cyber solutions business serving the Intelligence Community (IC). The transaction is valued at approximately $24 million, net of estimated tax benefits. We expect additional details to follow.

IC Expansion. The acquisition advances V2X’s strategic growth objectives and further extends its reach beyond traditional defense markets, enabling the Company to pursue a greater share of the National Intelligence Program budget and related opportunities. The acquisition adds some 70 people to V2X.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, August 11, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – Post call Commentary
DLH Holdings (DLHC)/OUTPERFORM – Post Call Commentary
E.W. Scripps (SSP)/OUTPERFORM – Fed Rate Action Could Ignite Auto Advertising
Information Services Group (III)/OUTPERFORM – Post 2Q25 Call Commentary
Kelly Services (KELYA)/OUTPERFORM – New CEO; Reports 2Q25 Results
Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS)/OUTPERFORM – Strong 2Q25, Raises Guidance, Increasing PT
NN (NNBR)/OUTPERFORM – Post Call Update
V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – AIP Sells Some More

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$20.5 | Price Target: $28)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Post call Commentary
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Availability. Increased use of CoreCivic’s remaining beds will help drive operating results going forward. If all of the idle 13,419 beds were activated, this would imply around $500 million in annual revenue, and around $200 million to $225 million in incremental EBITDA.

Activations. During the quarter, CoreCivic made substantial progress in reactivating three previously idled facilities, and the Company’s activation teams are preparing for additional contracting activity. Management noted that CoreCivic is in advanced negotiations to activate a fourth idle facility and has just begun negotiations for a fifth facility.

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DLH Holdings (DLHC/$5.5 | Price Target: $10)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Post Call Commentary
Rating: OUTPERFORM

When, Not If. We continue to believe it is a matter of when, not if, DLH begins to capitalize on the large opportunity set for its mission critical skill set. Current disruptions in Federal government contracting will pass, and DLH’s capabilities, in areas such as digital transformation, cybersecurity, and addressing critical public health issues, align well with the government’s goals.

Still Accumulating. Mink Brook Asset Management continues to accumulate DLHC shares, including 5,900 shares at the end of last week. Mink Brook now owns 2,389,350 DLHC shares, representing 16.6% of the outstanding common, up from 2,164,058 shares at the end of May.

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E.W. Scripps (SSP/$2.52 | Price Target: $10)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Fed Rate Action Could Ignite Auto Advertising
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Q2 results largely in line. Total company revenue of $540.0 million was a tad shy of our $546.6 million estimate, but was close enough. The biggest downside variance was Political, which is very unpredictable especially in an off election year. Importantly, the company overachieved our adj. EBITDA estimate, $88.8 million versus $84.8 million. 

Tweaking estimates. Management indicated that Q3 Core advertising was pacing flat in Q3, a sequential improvement from down 1.9% in q2, but a little lighter than we had hoped given the year earlier Political displacement. We tweaked our Q3 revenue estimate down 2.1% to $528.5 million and adj. EBITDA estimate down 2.8% to $71.5 million. 

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Information Services Group (III/$4.44 | Price Target: $5)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Post 2Q25 Call Commentary
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Riding the Waves. ISG is riding two key waves, one is AI adoption, with clients investing aggressively in modernizing their technology operations and infrastructure to support it. The other is cost optimization, as one of the means of funding the AI adoption is through optimization of cloud, infrastructure, and software costs.

AI & Recurring Revenue. AI-related revenue was 2.5x higher than it was a year ago. And in both the second quarter and first half, nearly 20% of total revenue was AI related. Recurring revenues in the second quarter reached $28 million, up 7% sequentially and represented 45% of overall revenue.

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Kelly Services (KELYA/$14.15 | Price Target: $27)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
New CEO; Reports 2Q25 Results
Rating: OUTPERFORM

New CEO. Chris Layden has been selected to serve as President and Chief Executive Officer, effective September 2, 2025, replacing the retiring Peter Quigley. Having spent nearly two decades at Manpower Group and as COO of Prolink, Mr. Layden has extensive experience leading organizations through transformations to advance go-to-market initiatives and accelerate profitable growth.

2Q25 Results. Kelly reported revenue of $1.1 billion, up 4.2% y-o-y but down 3.3% on an organic basis. Second quarter adjusted EBITDA of $37.0 million was down 8.7% versus the prior year, with adjusted EBITDA margin down 40 bp to 3.4%. EPS was $0.52 compared to EPS of $0.12 in the second quarter of 2024. On an adjusted basis, EPS was $0.54 in 2Q25 compared to $0.71/sh in 2Q24. We had forecast $1.17 billion of revenue, $42.5 million adjusted EBITDA, EPS of $0.73, and adjusted EPS of $0.71.

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Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS/$63.88 | Price Target: $75)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Strong 2Q25, Raises Guidance, Increasing PT
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Opportunity Knocks! Virtually every Kratos business unit is forecasting significant future organic growth, including the hypersonic system franchise, small jet engines for drones, missiles, and loitering munitions, the Israeli based microwave electronics business, and the military grade hardware business supporting missile, radar, hypersonic, counter UAS and strategic weapon systems.

2Q25 Results. Kratos reported revenue of $351.5 million, reflecting 17.1% y-o-y growth and 15.2% organic growth. We had projected revenue of $308 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $28.3 million versus $29.9 million a year ago and our $27.5 million estimate. Adjusted net income was $17.1 million, or $0.11/sh, versus $20.8 million, or $0.14/sh, last year and our $18.8 million, or $0.12/sh, estimate.

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NN (NNBR/$2.12 | Price Target: $6)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Post Call Update
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second Quarter Developments. NN leveraged the soft market environment to upsize its business development activities and investments. The soft top-line centers around certain automotive customers, which NN was able to partially offset through the contribution of new business launches and precious metals pass-through pricing.

Changing for the Better. Management continues to work on its transformation plan to position the Company for significant upside when end markets improve. For example, YTD, the 18.2% adjusted gross margin is an expansion of 190 basis points over the past two years and well on the way to the 20% gm goal. 

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V2X (VVX/$50.78 | Price Target: $72)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
AIP Sells Some More
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Another Sale. AIP, through its Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC sub, is selling another 2 million shares of VVX stock through an offering that is expected to close on August 11th. This will be the fourth such sale as the private equity firm continues to lighten its V2X holdings.

V2X to Buy. Subject to the closing of the offering, V2X has agreed to purchase 200,000 shares of V2X’s common stock that are subject to the offering at a price per share of common stock equal to the price to be paid to Vertex Aerospace by the underwriter. V2X intends to fund the repurchase of its common stock with cash on hand. This will cost approximately $10 million.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, August 8, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Cumulus Media (CMLS)/MARKET PERFORM – Can It Pull A Rabbit Out Of The Hat?
GoHealth (GOCO)/OUTPERFORM – Forecast Trimmed, Flexibility Restored
Saga Communications (SGA)/OUTPERFORM – Outlook Offers Glimmer Of Revenue Improvement

Cumulus Media (CMLS/$0.17)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Can It Pull A Rabbit Out Of The Hat?
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

Exceeds Q2 expectations. Q2 revenue of $186.0 million was a tad better than our $183.9 million estimate, with the largest upside variance being Digital revenue and a little lift from Political advertising. Its Digital Marketing Services business was up an impressive 38% in revenue. Adj. EBITDA exceeded expectations at $22.4 million versus our $15.6 million estimate.

Ad trends still negative. Core spot advertising appears to be moderating and its Digital Marketing Services business appears to be a bright spot, pacing up 35% in Q3. Total company revenue is pacing down low double digits in Q3, however, worse than expected. Network advertising continues to be the culprit given the challenged macro economic environment and the company’s decision to decrease content/inventory.

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GoHealth (GOCO/$5.73 | Price Target: $20)
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Forecast Trimmed, Flexibility Restored
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Hits headwinds in Q2. GoHealth reported Q2 revenue of $94.0 million, below our $110.0 million forecast, as Medicare Advantage softness and CMS policy shifts weighed on volumes. Revenue declined 11% year-over-year. Despite the top-line miss, adj. EBITDA loss of $11.3 million beat our expected loss of $13.2 million, reflecting ongoing cost discipline and benefits from automation initiatives underway in agent workflows.

Recapitalization improves liquidity, alleviates covenant concerns. The company secured $80 million in new term loans and amended its credit agreement to eliminate principal payments through 2026. Liquidity covenants were reduced to a single minimum cash test. While the 4.77 million Class A shares issued represent roughly 20% dilution, we believe the transaction aligns lender and shareholder incentives and resolves the going concern issue.

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Saga Communications (SGA/$12.75 | Price Target: $18)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Outlook Offers Glimmer Of Revenue Improvement
Rating: OUTPERFORM

An in line quarter. Even though the second quarter results were lackluster, total company revenues were down 5% from the comparable year earlier quarter, it was refreshing to have a company report an in line quarter. Total company Q2 revenues were $23.4 million, roughly in line with our $24.1 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA of $3.5 million was in line with our $3.5 million estimate. 

Digital revenue gains traction. While Digital revenue grew a respectable 5.8% in the latest quarter, it faced difficult year earlier comparisons from a non recurring business (up 30.3% in the prior year quarter). Notably, management indicated that Digital revenue is pacing up 30% to 40% in Q3. 

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, August 7, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)/OUTPERFORM – Tecarfarin Clinical Trial To Begin With Modified Design
Conduent (CNDT)/OUTPERFORM – Improved Margins and Steady Execution
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – First Look – 2Q25; Increased Guidance
Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT)/MARKET PERFORM – A More Muted Near Term Revenue Recovery Expected
DLH Holdings (DLHC)/OUTPERFORM – First Look – 3Q25 Results
Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN)/OUTPERFORM – Phase 1b Data Continues To Show Improved Outcomes
Information Services Group (III)/OUTPERFORM – First Look – 2Q25 Results and an Acquisition
MariMed Inc (MRMD)/OUTPERFORM – First Look 2Q25 Results
NN (NNBR)/OUTPERFORM – First Look – 2Q25
ONE Group Hospitality (STKS)/OUTPERFORM – Some Good, Some Challenges; Reports 2Q25 Results
Seanergy Maritime (SHIP)/OUTPERFORM – Second Quarter Rebound, Raising Estimates
The GEO Group (GEO)/OUTPERFORM – Reports Second Quarter Results
The ODP Corporation (ODP)/OUTPERFORM – Making Progress in the Second Quarter
Townsquare Media (TSQ)/OUTPERFORM – Delivers On Expectations

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD/$10.95 | Price Target: $45)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Tecarfarin Clinical Trial To Begin With Modified Design
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Cadrenal Announces New Trial Design. Cadrenal announced that it plans to begin a trial testing tecarfarin in patients who are starting renal dialysis, both with and without atrial fibrillation (ESKD-Afib). This design reflects recent studies showing that the first several months after starting dialysis are an ultra-high risk period for mortality and cardiac events. The trial will test tecarfarin efficacy in reducing these events and could begin in late 2025 to early 2026.

Modified Study Design Focuses On Highest Risk Period. The initiation of renal dialysis impacts several important cardiovascular and renal functions. New studies show that the first six months after starting dialysis have a 20-fold increase in cardiovascular events and mortality. This has not previously been recognized due to pathologies of the underlying conditions that lead to CKD and dialysis. 

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Conduent (CNDT/$2.45 | Price Target: $7)
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Improved Margins and Steady Execution
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Solid Q2 results. Conduent reported second-quarter revenue of $754 million, in line with our estimate. Adj. EBITDA of $37 million exceeded our $33 million forecast. Importantly, all three business segments posted sequential growth in new business annual contract value, signaling building commercial momentum and suggesting that execution is improving across the platform.

Portfolio rationalization in the works. The company collected the remaining $50 million from its Curbside Management divestiture, completing phase one of its portfolio rationalization strategy. Management indicated additional transactions are in progress, aimed at boosting profitability. We believe updates are likely by year-end, as the team continues to reshape the business with a focus on higher-margin opportunities.

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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$19.6 | Price Target: $28)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
First Look – 2Q25; Increased Guidance
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Increasing Demand. Increasing demand for the solutions provided, particularly from ICE, contributed to a strong second quarter, as nationwide detention populations under ICE custody reached an all-time high. ICE revenue rose 17.2% y-o-y, but we also note revenue from state partners increased 5.2% y-o-y and U.S. Marshals revenue increased 2.7% y-o-y.

2Q25 Results. Revenue was $538.2 million in 2Q25, up from $490.1 million last year. We were at $500.6 million. Safety and Community average occupancy increased to 76.8% from 74.3%, even with an overhang from the recently activated California City facility. Adjusted EBITDA was $103.3 million, up 23.2% y-o-y. NFFO per share was $0.59, up 40.5%. CoreCivic reported adjusted EPS of $0.36, up 80%.

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Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT/$0.48)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266
A More Muted Near Term Revenue Recovery Expected
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

Mixed Q2 results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $10.1 million, below our forecast of $12.5 million, driven by continued underperformance in the Sell-side business, which generated $2.5 million vs. our forecast of $4.5 million. Despite the shortfall, adj. EBITDA loss of $1.5 million was better than expected, aided by cost reductions and lower headcount from increased automation.

Implications for second half performance. The Q2 revenue miss was largely attributable to slower-than-expected progress with the company’s “direct connections” initiative, in which its SSP integrates directly with DSPs to bypass intermediaries. While the strategy remains a critical long-term growth lever, the implementation delays have weighed on near-term Sell-side revenue performance, as well as the outlook for the second half 2025.

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DLH Holdings (DLHC/$5.56 | Price Target: $10)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
First Look – 3Q25 Results
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Making Progress. In the third quarter, DLH effectively navigated changes in the competitive landscape and transition in the industry overall, preserving margin delivery and strong operating cash flow. Headwinds such as the transition of CMOP locations, unbundling of DOD contracts, and scope reductions as a result of government efficiency efforts all impacted the quarter.

3Q25 Results. Revenue was $83.3 million, compared to $100.7 million in the year ago quarter. We had forecasted $83 million. DLH reported adjusted EBITDA of $8.1 million, down from $10 million in 3Q24 and our $8.5 million estimate. Net income was $0.3 million, or $0.02/sh, versus $1.1 million, or $0.08/sh last year. We had projected $0.35 million, or $0.02/sh.

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Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN/$3.44 | Price Target: $10)
Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625
Phase 1b Data Continues To Show Improved Outcomes
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Phase 1b Kidney Transplant Data Presented. Eledon presented data from its Phase 1b trial using tegoprubart as part of an immunosuppressive regimen at The World Transplant Congress. The data from the first 32 patients at two dosage cohorts continues to show meaningful improvement over the standard of care. We believe this supports our expectations for strong data for the Phase 2 BESTOW trial in November.

Study Design. The presentation included data from 32 patients receiving kidney transplants followed by an immunosuppressive regimen tegoprubart instead of tacrolimus, the standard of care. The primary endpoints are safety and pharmacokinetics. Secondary endpoints include patient survival, graft survival, biopsy proven acute rejection, with kidney function measured by eGFR and iBOX score.

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Information Services Group (III/$4.23 | Price Target: $5)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
First Look – 2Q25 Results and an Acquisition
Rating: OUTPERFORM

2Q25 Results. Revenue of $61.6 million was up 7% versus last year, excluding results for the divested automation unit. On the same basis, revenues were $39.5 million in the Americas, up 16% versus the prior year, revenues in Europe were $16.6 million, down 7%, and Asia Pacific revenues were $5.4 million, down 1%. Adjusted EBITDA of $8.3 million rose 17% y-o-y. ISG reported adjusted net income of $4.1 million, or $0.08/sh, compared with adjusted net income of $3.8 million, or $0.08/sh last year. We were at $60 million, $7.25 million, and $0.07/sh, respectively.

An Acquisition. ISG has signed a definitive agreement to acquire Martino & Partners, a highly respected strategic advisory firm serving public and private sector clients in Italy. The transaction is expected to close in early September. The acquisition is expected to expand ISG’s client base, geographic footprint, and capabilities in Italy, including AI, in a market with emerging growth potential.

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MariMed Inc (MRMD/$0.11 | Price Target: $0.25)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
First Look 2Q25 Results
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Overview. MariMed delivered sequential growth in both wholesale and retail revenues for the second quarter, a substantial increase in adjusted EBITDA, and was cash flow positive, reflecting strong execution in Massachusetts, full-quarter contributions from Delaware, and a solid retail strategy.

2Q25 Results. Total revenue was $39.6 million, down modestly from $40.4 million in the year ago period and our $40.5 million estimate. Wholesale sales rose to $17.1 million from $15.9 million, while retail sales declined to $22.4 million from $23.6 million. The Company reported adjusted EBITDA of $4.9 million versus $4.4 million and adjusted net income of $0.4 million versus an adjusted net loss of $0.2 million last year.

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NN (NNBR/$2.14 | Price Target: $6)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
First Look – 2Q25
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Overview. NN delivered a solid quarter for gross margins, operating income, adjusted operating income, and adjusted EBITDA. The soft top-line centered around certain automotive customers, which is being partially offset through the contribution of new business launches and precious metals pass-through pricing.

2Q25. On a reported basis, Net sales were $107.9  million, a decrease of 12.3% compared to the second quarter of 2024. We were at $109 million. On an adjusted basis, net sales were off 2.4%. Adjusted income from operations for 2Q25 was $4.9  million compared to adjusted income from operations of $2.1  million for the same period in 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was  $13.2 million, or 12.2% of sales, compared to $13.4  million, or 10.9% of sales, for the same period in 2024.

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ONE Group Hospitality (STKS/$2.87 | Price Target: $5)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Some Good, Some Challenges; Reports 2Q25 Results
Rating: OUTPERFORM

A Mixed Bag.  In the second quarter, Benihana delivered positive same store sales, and STK achieved positive traffic for the second and third consecutive quarters, respectively. However, Grill concept SSS were off 14.6% and the Company closed five locations in the quarter. Expenses were also higher than anticipated.

2Q25 Results. Overall revenue increased 20.2% y-o-y to $207.2 million, mostly due to a full quarter of Benihana. We had estimated $206.7 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $23.4 million, up 7.3% y-o-y, but below our $24.9 million estimate. ONE Group reported a GAAP net loss of $10.1 million, versus a net loss of $7.3 million a year ago. Including the preferred dividend, net loss per share was $0.59 versus a net loss per share of $0.38 last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.05 compared to $0.19 last year.  

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Seanergy Maritime (SHIP/$7.46 | Price Target: $12)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Second Quarter Rebound, Raising Estimates
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second quarter results. Seanergy reported second quarter net revenue of $37.5 million, ahead of our estimate of $36.5 million, driven by modestly higher time charter equivalent (TCE) rates. Operating expenses were in line with expectations, resulting in adjusted EBITDA of $18.3 million and EPS of $0.18, both ahead of our prior estimates of $16.7 million and $0.11.

Market outlook. The Capesize market returned to profitability in the second quarter, with improving demand fundamentals due to projects in both the Atlantic basin and West Africa. We expect elevated iron ore and bauxite volumes to support demand through the remainder of 2025 and into 2026, resulting in increased ton-miles. Additionally, limited fleet growth is expected to support profitable rates.

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The GEO Group (GEO/$22.88 | Price Target: $35)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Reports Second Quarter Results
Rating: OUTPERFORM

2Q25 Results. Revenue increased to $636.2 million from $607.2 million. We were at $615 million. Adjusted EBITDA was relatively flat at $118.6 million, or 18.6% of revenue, compared with $119.3 million, or 19.6% of revenue, last year, which was impacted by growth investments. GEO recorded adjusted EPS of $0.22 in 2Q25, flat with last year.

Growth. Management outlined additional growth opportunities over and above those already announced this year. For example, activation of the 5,900 idle beds could add $310 million to revenue, while temporary expanded capacity at facilities by another 5,000 beds could add another $250 million. Management noted ISAP growth is likely a 2026 plan.

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The ODP Corporation (ODP/$19.21 | Price Target: $35)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Making Progress in the Second Quarter
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Q2 Overview. During the quarter, ODP saw improved revenue trends and delivered solid operating results, highlighted by stronger adjusted free cash flow generation. The results reflect ongoing improvements across both the consumer and B2B businesses. Retail meaningfully improved same-store sales trends versus last year, while the B2B business achieved approximately a 200-basis point improvement in year-over-year revenue trends.

Q2 Results. The ODP Corporation reported revenue of $1.59 billion in 2Q25, down from $1.72 billion in 2Q24. We had estimated $1.58 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $47 million, down from $57 million a year ago and in-line with our $44 million estimate. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.51 compared to $0.56 in 2Q24 and our $0.23 estimate.

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Townsquare Media (TSQ/$6.78 | Price Target: $21)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Delivers On Expectations
Rating: OUTPERFORM

In line Q2 results. Total revenue of $115.4 million, down 2.3% from the comparable year quarter, was in line with our $114.9 million estimate, a reflection of economic headwinds and slower digital revenue growth. Adj. EBITDA of $26.4 million was better than our $25.2 million estimate, reflecting better margins. 

Digital revenue slows, but margins improve. Digital advertising revenues were adversely impacted by industry wide declines in search referrals. And, its Interactive business revenue growth was interrupted by sales restructuring. Notably, margins rose in Q2 and are expected to be elevated above normalized levels for the balance of the year due to lower sales staffing.  

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, August 6, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF)/OUTPERFORM – First Tranche of Financing Closed; Angel Island Added to the Federal Permitting Dashboard
Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI)/OUTPERFORM – Post Call Commentary
FreightCar America (RAIL)/OUTPERFORM – Better Than Expected Second Quarter Financial Results
Graham (GHM)/OUTPERFORM – Another Good Quarter
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD)/OUTPERFORM – Another Strong Quarter
Superior Group of Companies (SGC)/OUTPERFORM – Operating Momentum Improves

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF/$0.21 | Price Target: $2.35)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
First Tranche of Financing Closed; Angel Island Added to the Federal Permitting Dashboard
Rating: OUTPERFORM

First tranche of LIFE offering closed. Century Lithium recently closed the first tranche of its previously announced the Listed Issuer Financing Exemption (LIFE) offering of up to 16,666,667 units at a price of C$0.30 per unit for gross proceeds of up to C$5,000,000. Each unit consists of one common share and one common share purchase warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.45 for a period of 60 months following the issuance of the units. In the first tranche, Century issued a total of 9,559,833 units for aggregate gross proceeds of C$2,867,950. Certain directors and officers of the company purchased a total of 168,333 units in the initial closing.

Use of net proceeds. Net proceeds from the financing will be used to complete an updated feasibility study for the company’s Angel Island Lithium Project, complete the project’s Plan of Operations, work towards National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) compliance, and general working capital.

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Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI/$1.8 | Price Target: $4)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Post Call Commentary
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Positives. There were a number of positives in the quarter, such as the 120 bp sequential improvement in gross margin, strong FCF generation, improved top line performance in Electrical Systems, and higher adjusted operating income in both Seating and Electrical Systems, reflecting benefits from prior restructuring actions.

But End Markets. In spite of the operating successes, CVG’s end markets remain challenged. It appears the much hoped for rebound in the Class 8 truck market will not occur in 2026, with only modest improvement in 2027. Still early days for these types of forecasts, but the Class 8 truck market is still 40% of revenue. And no real change in the Ag and Construction markets, which remain soft.

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FreightCar America (RAIL/$10.4 | Price Target: $17)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Better Than Expected Second Quarter Financial Results
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second quarter financial results. FreightCar America generated adjusted net income of $3.8 million or $0.11 per share, compared to our estimate of $2.0 million or $0.06 per share. Second quarter revenue of $118.6 million exceeded our estimate of $100.6 million. Rail car deliveries were 939 units compared to 1,159 units during the prior year period and our estimate of 850. The year-over-year decline was attributed to a strategic shift in the product mix toward higher-margin rail cars. As a percentage of revenue, second quarter gross margin increased to 15.0% compared to 12.5% during the prior year period and our 12.7% estimate. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $10.0 million compared to our $8.8 million estimate and represented an EBITDA margin of 8.4%.

Updating estimates. We are increasing our 2025 adjusted EBITDA and EPS estimates to $47.3 million and $0.54, respectively, from $45.9 million and $0.47. Our 2026 EBITDA and EPS estimates have increased to $53.2 million and $0.64, respectively, from $48.6 million and $0.53. While our estimates reflect higher gross margin as a percentage of revenue, they also reflect increased sales, general, and administrative expenses.

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Graham (GHM/$46.97 | Price Target: $52)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Another Good Quarter
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Strong Quarter. Driven by continued strength across the diversified product portfolio, Graham delivered another solid quarter to start fiscal 2026. A highlight was the Energy and Process markets with strong growth driven by execution on major commercial projects and robust aftermarket demand, along with increasing momentum in emerging energy segments.

1Q26 Results. Revenue increased 11% to $55.5 million, slightly above our $54 million estimate. Gross margin improved 170 bp to 26.5%. Adjusted EBITDA rose 33% y-o-y to $6.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin up 200 bp to 12.3%. We were at $5.1 million. EPS increased 56% to $0.42 with adjusted EPS up 36% to $0.45. We were at $0.22 and $0.25, respectively.

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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD/$11.45 | Price Target: $14)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Another Strong Quarter
Rating: OUTPERFORM

2Q25 Results. Revenue was $193.8 million, compared to $170 million a year ago. We had forecast revenue of $175.5 million. Gross margin improved to 18.9% from 17.5% in the year ago quarter. Great Lakes reported adjusted EBITDA of $28 million in the quarter and EPS of $0.14. In 2Q24, the Company had adjusted EBITDA of $25.8 million and EPS of $0.11.

Drivers. Great Lakes delivered another solid quarter, supported by strong project execution, continued strength in capital dredging, and favorable equipment utilization, even with the headwinds of four dredges undergoing their regulatory drydocking at various points during the quarter.

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Superior Group of Companies (SGC/$9.58 | Price Target: $16)
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734
Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com |
Operating Momentum Improves
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Solid Q2 results. The company reported solid revenue and adj. EBITDA of $144.0 million and $7.4 million, respectively, both of which were better than our estimates of $131.8 million and $6.1 million, respectively. Notably, the strong operating results were largely driven by a 14% increase in Branded Products sales over the prior year period.

Mitigating tariff impact. Notably, management highlighted that its Branded Products segment is well-positioned to navigate the current tariff environment. Importantly, the company started diversifying manufacturing away from China during the first Trump administration and now sources the majority of its Branded Products outside of China. Furthermore, the company’s Healthcare Apparel segment produces all of its finished products outside of China.

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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Companies contained in today’s report:

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI)/OUTPERFORM – First Look: 2Q25 Shows Some Improvement but End Markets Remain Challenging
FreightCar America (RAIL)/OUTPERFORM – Second Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations
InPlay Oil (IPOOF)/OUTPERFORM – Delek Group Ltd. to Acquire Major Stake in InPlay Oil
Steelcase (SCS)/MARKET PERFORM – To Be Acquired for $18.30/sh
V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – Solid 2Q25 Results

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI/$1.85 | Price Target: $4)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
First Look: 2Q25 Shows Some Improvement but End Markets Remain Challenging
Rating: OUTPERFORM

2Q25 Results. Revenue came in at $172 million, down from $193.7 million a year ago, but above our $158 million estimate. Adjusted EBITDA was $5.2 million, down from $8.2 million a year ago, and in-line with our $5 million estimate. Net loss from continuing operations was $4.1 million, or a loss of $0.12/sh, versus $1.3 million, or a loss of $0.04/sh in 2Q24. Adjusted net loss was $0.09/sh in 2Q25 versus adjusted EPS of $0.05 last year. We had forecasted a net loss of $2 million, or a loss of $0.06/sh.

Highlights. Gross margin improved 80 bp sequentially to 11.3% due to operational efficiency improvements. Free cash flow was $17.3 million, up $16.5 million, due to better working capital management. Net debt decreased $31.8 million compared to the year end 2024 level.

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FreightCar America (RAIL/$9.92 | Price Target: $16)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Second Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Second quarter financial results. FreightCar America generated adjusted net income of $3.8 million or $0.11 per share, compared to our estimate of $2.0 million or $0.06 per share. Second quarter revenue of $118.6 million exceeded our estimate of $100.6 million. Rail car deliveries were 939 units compared to 1,159 units during the prior year period and our estimate of 850. The year-over-year decline was attributed to a strategic shift in the product mix toward higher-margin rail cars. As a percentage of revenue, second quarter gross margin increased to 15.0% compared to 12.5% during the prior year period and our 12.7% estimate. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $10.0 million compared to our $8.8 million estimate and represented an EBITDA margin of 8.4%. RAIL generated adjusted free cash flow of $7.9 million and ended the quarter with $61.4 million in cash and cash equivalents.

Favorable outlook. During the second quarter, RAIL received 1,226 new rail car orders valued at $106.9 million. With a backlog of 3,624 units valued at $316.9 million, we expect deliveries to accelerate throughout the year. During the quarter, RAIL increased utilization across its four production lines, enhanced productivity, and benefited from a higher-margin product mix. The company is advancing its growth strategy by investing in its tank car capabilities, which it expects to strengthen its cost position and support long-term accretive growth.

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InPlay Oil (IPOOF/$7.47 | Price Target: $15)
Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272
Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com |
Delek Group Ltd. to Acquire Major Stake in InPlay Oil
Rating: OUTPERFORM

Delek Group to acquire major stake in InPlay.  Delek Group Ltd. (TASE: DLEKG) executed a definitive agreement to acquire Obsidian Energy’s (TSX: OBE, NYSE American: OBE) common share position in InPlay Oil, consisting of 9,139,784 common shares representing approximately 32.7% of InPlay’s issued and outstanding shares. Subject to certain adjustments, the purchase price is C$10.00 per InPlay share, representing an aggregate transaction value of C$91,397,840. Recall that Obsidian received the shares as partial consideration for its April sale of Pembina Cardium assets to InPlay Oil. The transaction with Delek is expected to close in the first half of August 2025 and remains subject to satisfaction or waiver of certain closing conditions.

Rationale. Delek is an independent exploration and production company based in Israel that has embarked on an international expansion with a focus on high-potential opportunities in the North Sea and North America. Delek views Canada as a strong and stable jurisdiction for oil and gas investment and identified InPlay as an attractive partner in the Canadian energy sector due to its strong record of operational performance and successful acquisitions. Delek holds a 52% equity interest in Ithaca Energy plc and has played a key role in supporting Ithaca’s production growth since the time of its initial investment.

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Steelcase (SCS/$16.58)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
To Be Acquired for $18.30/sh
Rating: MARKET PERFORM

To Be Acquired. Steelcase has entered into an agreement to be acquired by HNI Corporation in a cash and stock transaction with total consideration of approximately $2.2 billion to Steelcase common shareholders, or about $18.30/sh, an 80% premium to Friday’s close.

Details. Under the terms of the agreement, Steelcase shareholders will receive $7.20 in cash and 0.2192 shares of HNI common stock for each share of Steelcase. The implied per share purchase price of $18.30 is based on HNI’s closing share price of $50.62 on Friday, August 1, 2025, reflecting a valuation multiple at transaction close for Steelcase of approximately 5.8x TTM adjusted EBITDA, inclusive of run-rate cost synergies of $120 million. Upon closing, HNI shareholders will own approximately 64%, and Steelcase shareholders will own approximately 36% of the combined company. The deal is expected to close by year-end.

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V2X (VVX/$48.5 | Price Target: $72)
Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262
Solid 2Q25 Results
Rating: OUTPERFORM

2Q25 Results. Revenue came in at $1.078 billion, essentially flat with last year’s $1.072 billion and was in-line with our $1.08 billion estimate. Helped by the pull forward of the conclusion of a non-recurring contractual commitment, adjusted EBITDA was $82.4 million, or a 7.6% margin, compared to $72.3 million, or a 6.7% margin, last year. V2X reported adjusted EPS of $1.33 for 2Q25, up from $0.83 in 2Q24.

Moving Up to Franchise Programs. Highlighted by last week’s T-6 services award, V2X’s pipeline is reflecting larger, franchise type programs. These programs typically leverage all of V2X’s mission critical capabilities. Management noted the 3-year qualified pipeline is now approximately $50 billion in size.

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Tamboran Resources Corporation (NYSE: TBN, ASX: TBN) has agreed to buy Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd. (TSXV: FO, AIM: FOG) in a transaction that will combine roughly 2.9 million net prospective acres across the Beetaloo Basin and create a pro-forma company with a market capitalization above US$500 million. The deal, structured as a Plan of Arrangement, will see Tamboran issue about 6.54 million Tamboran shares and pay US$23.7 million in cash for Falcon’s subsidiaries. Falcon shareholders are expected to own about 26.8% of the enlarged business upon closing, which is targeted for the first quarter of 2026 subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals.

Strategically, the acquisition strengthens Tamboran’s working interest in the Phase 2 Development Area to roughly 80.6% ahead of an ongoing farmout process. The transaction also aligns Tamboran more closely with Daly Waters Energy across key EPs and brings a larger contiguous footprint across the Beetaloo depocenter. On a per-acre basis, the deal values Falcon’s assets at roughly US$169 per acre — slightly below Tamboran’s implied acreage valuation — making the transaction accretive on a headline basis.

What makes the tie-up significant for the wider industry is scale. Unconventional gas projects are capital intensive and require sizeable, contiguous acreage to attract majors and strategic farm-in partners. By consolidating acreage and increasing operator control over Phase 2, Tamboran is positioning itself to negotiate more favorable farmout terms, accelerate pilot development, and de-risk timelines for potential midstream and liquefaction projects, including the company’s proposed NTLNG concept at Middle Arm.

The move reflects broader sector trends in Australia and global upstream markets. As investors and partners demand clearer development pathways and lower execution risk, consolidation has become a common strategy: fewer operators with larger positions can pool technical expertise, reduce unit costs, and present more bankable project packages to capital providers. That dynamic is especially relevant in basins like Beetaloo where regulatory scrutiny, infrastructure needs and environmental permitting add layers of complexity that favor scale and experienced operators.

The acquisition also has ripple effects for service providers, regional supply chains and local communities. Larger, multi-phase development programs typically generate sustained demand for drilling services, completions crews, pipelines and processing contractors — supporting jobs and local procurement over longer horizons than single-well campaigns. Conversely, the sector remains sensitive to commodity price swings and permitting timelines; successful farmouts and access to capital remain critical near-term catalysts.

From a capital markets perspective, the consolidation could enhance Tamboran’s visibility with institutional investors and potential partners by simplifying ownership of the basin’s core acreage. That said, the deal requires customary approvals — including court and shareholder votes and Australian regulatory consents — and outcomes of the farmout process will be key to demonstrating commercial viability and securing further investment.

In short, the Tamboran-Falcon combination is more than a portfolio tweak: it is a strategic consolidation aimed at creating the scale and operating leverage needed to move the Beetaloo from pilot stage toward commercial development. For market watchers, the next milestones to monitor are the farmout announcements, regulatory clearances, and any near-term pilot results that will determine whether the enlarged Tamboran can translate acreage control into funded development.

Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Activist Investor. Randian Capital, part of the “retail activist” group behind the sharp rise in Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) stock from less than a $1 mid-summer to around $8.20 today, released on social media platform X a turnaround proposal for The ONE Group. In a nutshell, the plan consists of Refocus the Portfolio, Revitalize the Brand, Strengthen Operations, and Capital Discipline & Growth. Radian sees a path to a $10+ stock over the next 12-18 months. STKS shares rose over 26% yesterday on the news.

Refocus & Revitalize. Randian calls for ONE Group to refocus solely on its Benihana concept, selling off all other concepts. The activist investor believes the STK concept alone could be worth more than the current market cap. Randian suggests rebranding as Benihana Group and changing the stock symbol. Revitalization by elevating the dining experience and engaging with cultural icons, among other changes.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.