ONE Group Hospitality (STKS) – Releases Preliminary 4Q and FY25 Sales Results


Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q25. Preliminary total GAAP revenues for 4Q25 are expected to be approximately $207 million, a 6.8% decrease from $222 million in 4Q24 and below the $223 million consensus estimate. This decline was primarily driven by RA Sushi and Kona Grill closures as part of the portfolio optimization and the change in the Company’s fiscal year. The Grill closures are expected to reduce total GAAP revenues by approximately 2.4%, representing 35% of the expected total GAAP revenue decline.

Calendar Impacts. The fiscal calendar change to 4 equal quarters in 2025 created timing differences that impacted quarterly comparisons: 4Q25 had 91 days versus 92 days in 4Q24. Additionally, the New Year’s Eve holiday shifted from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2026. The exclusion of New Year’s Eve in the current year impacted total GAAP revenues by approximately 2.5%, representing 37% of the expected total GAAP revenue decline. Fourth quarter comparable sales are expected to decrease by approximately 1.8%.


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Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – A Management Change


Friday, January 02, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Leadership Transition. Twin Hospitality announced Andy Wiederhorn has been named Chief Executive Officer of the Company and Roger Gondek has been named President of Twin Peaks, replacing former CEO and President Kim Boerema. While somewhat surprising, as Mr. Boerema was appointed CEO just this past May, the new leadership simplifies the leadership structure and optimizes resources while minimizing overhead, without any significant change in ability, in our view.

Roger Gondek. We believe the elevation of Mr. Gondek to President of Twin Peaks Restaurant to be the headline. Already serving as Chief Operating Officer of Twin Peaks since 2017, Mr. Gondek brings approximately 15 years of experience with the brand, including previous operations leadership roles with Twin Peaks’ largest franchisee. Mr. Gondek was the Executive Vice President of Operations of La Cima Restaurants, LLC, a franchiser of 43 Twin Peaks restaurants in Florida, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Tennessee, from June 2011 to July 2017. Prior to La Cima Restaurants, Mr. Gondek was a Divisional Vice President at Hooters of America from October 2001 to February 2011. Mr. Gondek has a deep understanding of Twin Peaks markets, in our opinion.


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ONE Group Hospitality (STKS) – Development Update


Friday, January 02, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Milestones. ONE Group announced a number of development milestones achieved during 4Q25. These include: entering into ten restaurant asset-light development agreements; an expanded footprint in large-market, professional sports & entertainment stadiums; opening two new STK locations; launching Benihana-branded retail product; and planning capital-efficient growth for 2026.

Largest Agreement. The ONE Group has entered into its largest asset-light development agreement in the Company’s history, securing development rights for a total of ten restaurants, either Benihana or Benihana Express locations, throughout the Greater San Francisco Bay Area. The two Benihana joint venture locations are expected to open in 2026, with the remaining franchised and licensed locations to open over the next seven years.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FAT Brands (FAT) – A Debt Acceleration; Moving to Market Perform


Monday, December 01, 2025

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Debt Acceleration. In an 8-K filing, FAT Brands disclosed on November 17, 2025, that the Company received notices of acceleration from UMB with respect to Securitization Notes issued by FAT Brands GFG Royalty I, LLC, FAT Brands Royalty I, LLC, FAT Brands Fazoli’s Native I, LLC, and Twin Hospitality I, LLC. The Acceleration Notices basically state that all amounts outstanding under the Notes are immediately due and payable. FAT Brands does not have the capital to repay all amounts due under the Notes.

Past Negotiations. In a November 14th 8-K filing, FAT Brands reported “cleansing material” related to the negotiations to modify the outstanding debt. In our view, there appears to be significant agreement on many issues, with key differences being the timing of certain items, certain payments to management and/or outside parties, and parties to receive certain reports.


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Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – A Debt Acceleration; Moving to Market Perform


Monday, December 01, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Debt Acceleration. In separate 8-K filings, parent company FAT Brands and Twin Hospitality disclosed on November 17, 2025, the firms received notices of acceleration from UMB with respect to Securitization Notes issued by four of the Securitization Issuers, with Twin Hospitality I, LLC specific to the Company. The Acceleration Notice basically states that all amounts outstanding under the Notes are immediately due and payable. Neither FAT Brands nor Twin Hospitality has the capital to repay the Twin Note.

Balance Sheet. We view the issue to be capital structure related, not operating performance. Twin is showing improvement in operating metrics, especially when factoring in the negative impact of closing Smokey Bones locations for conversion. In 3Q25, the Company expanded Twin Peaks’ profit margins by 72 basis points to 17%. While comparable sales declined, Twin was able to maintain steady system-wide weekly sales averaging $11.3 million over the past 12 weeks.


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Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – Acquiring 8 Top Performing Franchised Twin Peaks Locations


Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Acquisition. Twin Hospitality has entered into a letter of intent to acquire eight Twin Peaks franchised restaurants in Florida from DMD Ventures, LLC for approximately $47 million in cash. We view this strategic transaction as an opportunistic investment in a key growth market, even as the Company’s long-term focus remains on franchise driven expansion.

Details. The acquisition will bring the following Florida locations to Company ownership: Davie, Fort Myers, West Palm Beach, Pembroke Pines, Hollywood, Cypress Creek, Doral and Naples. Upon completion, the transaction is expected to contribute approximately $76-$77 million in annual revenue and $9-$10 million in additional annual EBITDA, representing an EV/Sales multiple of 0.6x and an EV/EBITDA multiple of approximately 5x, a discount to TWNP’s current trading multiples.


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Release – Twin Hospitality Group to Acquire Eight Twin Peaks Franchise Locations in Florida 

November 17, 2025

Strategic Acquisition Expected to Strengthen Balance Sheet Through Enhanced EBITDA Generation

DALLAS, Texas, Nov. 17, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (“Twin Hospitality”) (Nasdaq: TWNP), the parent company of Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones, today announced it has entered into a letter of intent to acquire eight Twin Peaks franchised restaurants in Florida from DMD Ventures, LLC for approximately $47 million in cash. The strategic transaction represents an opportunistic investment in a key growth market even as the Company’s long-term focus remains on franchise driven expansion.

The acquisition will bring the following Florida locations to company ownership: Davie, Fort Myers, West Palm Beach, Pembroke Pines, Hollywood, Cypress Creek, Doral and Naples. Upon completion, the transaction is expected to contribute approximately $76-$77 million in annual revenue and $9-$10 million in additional annual EBITDA. The incremental EBITDA contribution is expected to help reduce leverage, further strengthening the Company’s balance sheet and financial flexibility.

“We are delighted to bring proven, high-performing franchise locations into our corporate portfolio,” said Kim Boerema, CEO of Twin Hospitality Group. “These are some of our top performing restaurants, and Florida has consistently demonstrated strong performance as a key market for Twin Peaks.”

“The enhanced cash flow and increased EBITDA from these locations is expected to strengthen our balance sheet through deleveraging while enabling us to capitalize on incremental revenue and margin growth,” added Andy Wiederhorn, Chairman of Twin Hospitality Group.

The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, and is subject to completion of a definitive purchase agreement, financing and customary closing conditions.

For more information on Twin Hospitality Group, visit https://ir.twinpeaksrestaurant.com/.

About Twin Hospitality Group Inc.

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (NASDAQ: TWNP) is a restaurant company that strategically develops and operates and franchises specialty casual dining restaurant concepts with a goal to redefine the casual dining category with its experiential driven brands, Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones. Twin Peaks, known as the ultimate sports lodge, is an award-winning restaurant and sports bar brand with 114 locations across 26 states and Mexico and is known for its made-from-scratch food, 29-degree draft beer, innovative cocktail program and sports on wall-to-wall televisions. Smokey Bones is a full-service, meat-centric restaurant brand and concept with 45 locations, across 15 states specializing in ribs and a variety of other slow-smoked, fire-grilled and seared meats, along with a full bar. For more information, please visit www.twinpeaksrestaurant.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the timing of and expected revenue and EBITDA contribution from the proposed acquisition of restaurants Forward-looking statements generally use words such as “expect,” “foresee,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “project,” “should,” “estimate,” “will,” “plans,” “forecast,” and similar expressions, and reflect our expectations concerning the future. Forward-looking statements are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are difficult to predict and beyond our control, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our current expectations and from the forward-looking statements contained in this press release. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

Media Relations:
Erin Mandzik
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

TreeHouse Foods to Be Acquired by Investindustrial in $2.9 Billion Deal

TreeHouse Foods, a leading U.S. private-label snacking and beverage manufacturer, has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Investindustrial, a European investment group, in a transaction valued at $2.9 billion. The all-cash deal marks a significant milestone for TreeHouse Foods as it transitions from a publicly traded company on the New York Stock Exchange to a privately held entity under Investindustrial’s ownership.

Under the terms of the agreement announced November 10, 2025, TreeHouse shareholders will receive $22.50 per share in cash and one non-transferable Contingent Value Right (CVR) per share. The CVR provides shareholders the opportunity to receive a portion of any net proceeds from ongoing litigation related to TreeHouse’s former coffee business. The cash portion values TreeHouse’s equity at approximately $1.2 billion, representing a 38 percent premium over the company’s closing price on September 26, 2025, and a 29 percent premium over its 30-day volume-weighted average.

The acquisition underscores TreeHouse’s strategic evolution over the past several years toward becoming a focused snacking and beverage private brand leader. The company has streamlined its portfolio to concentrate on high-growth, high-margin categories such as nuts, cookies, pretzels, and beverages. The sale to Investindustrial is expected to provide immediate value to shareholders while positioning the company for continued growth under private ownership.

Investindustrial, known for its strong track record in food and beverage investments, views TreeHouse as an important addition to its expanding North American portfolio. Following the transaction, Investindustrial portfolio companies will collectively operate more than 85 manufacturing plants and employ over 16,000 people across the region. The firm has emphasized that TreeHouse Foods will continue to operate independently, retaining its leadership team and brand identity.

The deal has been unanimously approved by the TreeHouse Foods Board of Directors and is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, pending shareholder and regulatory approval. Notably, activist investor JANA Partners LLC, which holds a 10 percent stake in TreeHouse, has already agreed to vote in favor of the acquisition. The transaction is not contingent on financing, signaling strong confidence from both parties in the deal’s completion.

As part of the agreement, TreeHouse shareholders will also receive a Contingent Value Right tied to the company’s ongoing lawsuit against Keurig Green Mountain, a subsidiary of Keurig Dr Pepper. The case, filed in 2014, alleges antitrust and unfair competition practices related to single-serve coffee pods and brewers. Depending on the court’s decision, potential damages could range from hundreds of millions to over a billion dollars, with CVR holders entitled to 85 percent of any recovered proceeds.

Following the completion of the acquisition, TreeHouse Foods will delist from the NYSE and become a privately held company. The move is expected to give management greater flexibility to pursue long-term strategies without the pressures of quarterly reporting.

With Investindustrial’s backing and industry expertise, TreeHouse Foods is poised to strengthen its position in the competitive private-label market, expand its manufacturing footprint, and capitalize on the growing demand for affordable, high-quality snack and beverage products.

Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – Strategy Being Implemented


Monday, November 10, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. In the third quarter, Twin Peaks delivered a solid performance, expanding restaurant-level contribution margin to 17.0%. Sales within core markets also grew year-over-year despite regional headwinds. The conversions of certain Smokey Bones locations continues, with converted locations performing well.

3Q25 Results. Revenue decreased 1.6% y-o-y to $82.3 million, reflecting the loss of revenue from closed Smokey Bones locations as well as a decline in SSS. Twin Peaks System-wide sales declined 1.4%, with SSS off 4.1%. Adjusted EBITDA of $3 million in 3Q25 improved modestly from $2.3 million in 3Q24. Twin Hospitality reported a loss of $24.5 million compared to a net loss of $16.2 million last year.


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ONE Group Hospitality (STKS) – Third Quarter Results


Monday, November 10, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. Third quarter results were below expectations as operations were impacted by factors that temporarily reduced traffic in certain markets. Rising commodity costs outpaced pricing adjustments, impacting margins. The Benihana integration continues to exceed management expectations, and the new Benihana prototype is delivering strong results.

3Q25 Results. Revenue was $180.2 million, down from $194 million in 3Q24 and our $193.5 million estimate. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $10.6 million, down from $14.9 million in 3Q24 and below our $17.6 million estimate. ONE Group reported a GAAP loss of $85.3 million, or a loss of $2.75/sh, versus a loss of $16.4 million, or $0.53/sh last year.


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FAT Brands (FAT) – Third Quarter Results


Monday, November 10, 2025

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. While the restaurant industry continues to face headwinds, FAT Brands did see some positives from the operating side. Most encouraging is the momentum in same-store sales performance. The Company narrowed the SSS decline to just 3.5%, down from 4.2% in the second quarter, representing the strongest quarterly performance so far this year.

3Q25 Financials. Quarterly revenue totaled $140 million, a 2.3% decrease from $143.4 million in last year’s quarter. The decline was driven primarily by the closure of 11 underperforming Smokey Bones locations as planned. Adjusted EBITDA was $13.1 million, compared to $14.1 million a year ago. The Company reported a GAAP net loss of $58.2 million versus a net loss of $44.8 million a year ago. Adjusted net loss was $45.4 million, or $2.67/sh, compared to adjusted net loss of $38.0 million, or $2.34/sh, in 3Q24.


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Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – A High-Growth, Asset Light Restaurant Franchisor


Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiation. We are initiating equity research coverage on Twin Hospitality Group with an Outperform rating and $10 price target. Twin Hospitality is a franchisor and operator of two specialty casual dining restaurant concepts: Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones. The Company is a high-growth, asset light restaurant franchisor with a compelling franchisee value proposition, in our view. On January 29, 2025, parent company FAT Brands distributed approximately 5% of Twin Hospitality Class A shares to FAT Brands shareholders, bringing Twin Hospitality public.

A Premium Sports Bar Leader. Twin Hospitality currently operates approximately 115 Twin Peaks locations, consisting of 35 Company-owned and 80 franchised units. Twin Peaks offers a differentiated sports bar experience, from the lodge experience, to its signature 28-degree draft beer, a made-from-scratch menu, always-on wall-to-wall TVs, to the Twin Peaks Ambassadors, every customer receives an experience differentiated from the competition.


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Release – FAT Brands Inc. – Fatburger Returns to Japan with New Development Deal in Okinawa

Primary Logo

09/25/2025

Iconic All-American Burger Chain to Open Four Locations in Okinawa Over The Next Five Years

LOS ANGELES, Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc., parent company of Fatburger and 17 other restaurant concepts, announces a new partnership with Green Micro Factory Inc. to bring the beloved burger brand back to Japan. Four locations will open in Okinawa over the next five years, with the first unit slated to open before the end of the year.

“Okinawa presents a strategic opportunity for our return to Japan with its robust tourism and steady foot traffic generated by its military base presence,” said Taylor Wiederhorn, Chief Development Officer of FAT Brands. “We see our debut in Okinawa as the first step in our broader growth across the country as we look to win locals over with our custom-built burgers, Fat and Skinny Fries, hand-scooped milkshakes, and more.”

Ever since the first Fatburger opened in Los Angeles over 70 years ago, the chain has been known for its delicious, grilled-to-perfection and cooked-to-order burgers. Founder Lovie Yancey believed that a big burger with everything on it is a meal in itself; at Fatburger “everything” is not just the usual roster of toppings. Burgers can be customized with everything from bacon and eggs to chili and onion rings. In addition to its famous burgers, the Fatburger menu also includes Fat and Skinny Fries, sweet potato fries, scratch-made onion rings, Impossible Burgers, turkeyburgers, hand-breaded crispy chicken sandwiches, and hand-scooped milkshakes made from 100 percent real ice cream.

For more information on Fatburger, visit www.fatburger.com.

###

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual and polished casual dining restaurant concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 18 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Smokey Bones, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

About Fatburger

An all-American, Hollywood favorite, Fatburger is a fast-casual restaurant serving big, juicy, tasty burgers, crafted specifically to each customer’s liking. With a legacy spanning over 70 years, Fatburger’s extraordinary quality and taste inspire fierce loyalty amongst its fan base, which includes a number of A-list celebrities and athletes. Featuring a contemporary design and ambiance, Fatburger offers an unparalleled dining experience, demonstrating the same dedication to serving gourmet, homemade, custom-built burgers as it has since 1952 – The Last Great Hamburger Stand.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the timing and performance of new store openings and area development agreements. Forward-looking statements reflect expectations of FAT Brands Inc. (“we” or “our”) concerning the future and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies. These factors are difficult to predict and beyond our control, and could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other factors. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

MEDIA CONTACT:
Erin Mandzik, FAT Brands
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Source: FAT Brands Inc.