Release – The GEO Group Announces Date for Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Release and Conference Call

Research News and Market Data on GEO

January 25, 2024

  • Earnings Release Scheduled for Thursday, February 15, 2024 Before the Market Opens
  • Conference Call Scheduled for Thursday, February 15, 2024 at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time)

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Jan. 25, 2024– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) (“GEO”) will release its fourth quarter 2023 financial results on Thursday, February 15, 2024 before the market opens. GEO has scheduled a conference call and simultaneous webcast for 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) on Thursday, February 15, 2024.

Hosting the call for GEO will be George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of the Board, Brian R. Evans, Chief Executive Officer, Shayn March, Acting Chief Financial Officer, Wayne Calabrese, President and Chief Operating Officer, and James Black, President, GEO Secure Services.

To participate in the teleconference, please contact one of the following numbers 5 minutes prior to the scheduled start time:

1-877-250-1553 (U.S.)
1-412-542-4145 (International)

In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Webcasts section of GEO’s investor relations home page at investors.geogroup.com. A webcast replay will remain available on the website for one year.

A telephonic replay will also be available through February 22, 2024. The replay numbers are 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The passcode for the telephonic replay is 5397718. If you have any questions, please contact GEO at 1-866-301-4436.

Pablo E. Paez 1-866-301-4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

JP Morgan Reigns Supreme with $50B Record Banking Profit in Tumultuous 2023

JPMorgan Chase, the nation’s largest bank, reported a 15% decline in fourth quarter 2023 earnings on Friday, weighed down by a massive $2.9 billion fee related to the government takeover of failed regional banks last year.

The bank posted profits of $9.31 billion, or $3.04 per share, for the final three months of 2023. This compared to earnings of $10.9 billion, or $3.33 per share, in the same period a year earlier. Excluding the regional banking crisis fee and other one-time items, JPMorgan said it earned $3.97 per share in the fourth quarter.

Total revenue for the quarter rose 12% to $39.94 billion, slightly above analyst forecasts. The jump was driven by the bank’s acquisition of First Republic Bank in late 2023, higher net interest income, and increased investment banking fees.

“The U.S. economy continues to be resilient, with consumers still spending, and markets currently expect a soft landing,” said JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon in a statement. “These significant and somewhat unprecedented forces cause us to remain cautious.”

Dimon cited high inflation, rising interest rates, out-of-control government spending, supply chain disruptions, the war in Ukraine, and tensions in the Middle East as potential threats to the economic outlook.

For the full year 2023, JPMorgan posted record profits of nearly $50 billion, including $4.1 billion from its acquisition of First Republic. The deal instantly gave JPMorgan a leading position in serving wealthy clients in California and other coastal markets.

Smaller Competitors Squeezed

While JPMorgan has deftly navigated the rising rate environment, smaller regional banks have struggled as the Federal Reserve hiked rates aggressively to combat inflation. Many were caught holding lower-yielding assets funded by higher-cost deposits. This squeezed net interest margins.

The regional banking crisis came to a head in early 2023 as a wave of defaults and bank seizures overwhelmed the FDIC insurance fund. JPMorgan and other large banks were handed the bill, with the FDIC levying $18 billion in special fees on the industry to recapitalize the fund.

Specifically, JPMorgan paid a $2.9 billion fee in the fourth quarter related to the FDIC assessments. This was a major factor in the bank’s profit decline compared to a year ago.

JPMorgan Cautious Despite Solid Year

Despite posting record full-year earnings, Dimon and JPMorgan management struck a cautious tone in their earnings release. While U.S. consumers remain resilient for now, risks are mounting.

Inflation could prove stickier than anticipated, forcing the Fed to keep rates higher for longer. The war in Ukraine shows no signs of resolution. Middle East conflicts continue to elevate oil prices. And the U.S. government is racking up huge deficits, with no political will to cut spending.

For banks, this backdrop could pressure lending activity, loan performance, and capital levels. Mortgage rates are already above 7%, denting the housing market. Credit card delinquencies are edging higher. Corporate debt looks vulnerable as businesses face slower growth and input cost pressures.

All of this warrants a cautious stance until more clarity emerges later this year.

With JPMorgan having reported solid results for 2023, investors are now focused on the bank’s outlook for 2024 amid an expected shift in the interest rate environment.

On Friday’s earnings call, analysts will be listening closely to hear JPMorgan’s projections and commentary around key items that could impact performance this year:

  • Net interest income guidance for 2024. As the Fed cuts rates, net interest margins may compress. But higher loan volumes could offset this.
  • Expectations for credit costs and loan losses. While credit metrics are healthy now, a weaker economy could strain consumers and corporate borrowers.
  • Thoughts on impending hikes to capital requirements. Banks are hoping to reduce the impact of new rules on capital buffers.
  • M&A landscape. Does JPMorgan see opportunities for deals amid lower valuations?
  • Plans for excess capital deployment. Investors want to hear about potential increases in buybacks, dividends, and other uses.

JPMorgan entered 2024 with strong capital levels, putting it in position to boost shareholder returns even with new regulations. Investors will be listening to hear how management plans to leverage JPMorgan’s financial strength in the year ahead.

The bank’s 2024 outlook will be critical in determining whether its stock can build on last year’s big gains. JPMorgan was the top performing Dow stock in 2023, and investors are betting it can continue to drive profits in a more subdued rate environment.

BlackRock Goes Big on Infrastructure in Transformational $12.5B GIP Deal

In a move that could shape its future, BlackRock is making a huge bet on infrastructure investing with its $12.5 billion acquisition of specialist firm Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP).

The deal, announced Friday, includes $3 billion in cash and 12 million BlackRock shares to bring GIP’s $100+ billion infrastructure portfolio under its umbrella. With infrastructure booming globally, it plants BlackRock’s flag in an alternative asset class that offers stability and strong cash flows.

For Larry Fink, BlackRock’s founder and CEO, the deal provides a growth engine and caps a storied career. At 71 years old, Fink has not yet named his successor. This acquisition generates buzz around President Rob Kapito and COO Rob Goldstein as potential heirs apparent.

It also brings infrastructure investing veterans from GIP into BlackRock’s senior ranks. GIP Chairman Bayo Ogunlesi will join BlackRock’s board, while co-founders like ex-World Bank President Jim Yong Kim provide invaluable experience.

Why Infrastructure, Why Now?

Infrastructure has become increasingly attractive to institutional investors, particularly those with long-term liabilities to fund. The assets provide inflation protection, and the regulated nature of many infrastructure projects leads to predictable cash flows even during economic downturns.

Swelling demand for infrastructure also powers opportunity and growth. E-commerce and supply chain modernization require massive investment in logistics and transportation assets like airports, seaports, rail, and warehouses. The global energy transition is expected to necessitate trillions in spending on renewable power, battery storage, transmission lines, and more. And booming data usage makes digital infrastructure such as cell towers and data centers a near-certainty for major funding.

BlackRock saw the writing on the wall. With interest rates still relatively low by historical standards, it pulled the trigger on a transformative infrastructure deal rather than waiting for valuations to potentially rise further. GIP’s assets also provide diversification and inflation mitigation to complement BlackRock’s vast holdings of stocks and bonds.

For forward-thinking infrastructure investors, BlackRock’s whopper of a deal validates the long-term potential of the sector. And it positions the asset management titan to capitalize on infrastructure demand in both developed and emerging markets for decades to come.

Rejuvenating Revenues

The move into infrastructure also helps reinvigorate BlackRock’s revenues. With rock-bottom interest rates in recent years limiting fee income, BlackRock has searched for ways to accelerate growth. The company manages over $10 trillion in assets but has seen minimal increase in revenue since 2018.

Alternative investments like infrastructure represent a potential answer. They generally command higher management fees while also offering incentive fees based on investment performance. That combination bodes well for BlackRock’s results.

BlackRock has dipped its toe into alternatives over the past decade via real estate, hedge funds, private equity, and other strategies. But the GIP deal vaults infrastructure to the forefront of BlackRock’s alternatives platform. Expect heightened focus and more resources dedicated to infrastructure deals in the future.

With the Fed lifting rates this year, BlackRock also has a short-term revenue boost at its back. Higher interest rates allow BlackRock to charge more for managing cash and fixed income, its largest assets. BlackRock’s 8% increase in fourth quarter earnings served as an appetizer. The GIP acquisition is the main course in its long-term growth agenda.

Fink Caps Career with Legacy Deal

Larry Fink has run BlackRock since its inception in 1988, guiding it to become the world’s preeminent money manager. But the end of his tenure looms. While no retirement plans have been announced, Fink is 71 years old.

The GIP deal thus shapes up as a culminating move to put his stamp on BlackRock’s future. Shortly after the acquisition was announced, Fink said, “This is one of the most exciting transactions we’ve ever completed.”

What excites Fink and BlackRock is GIP’s expertise, global reach, and the long runway for infrastructure investing. Fink pulled the trigger on a legacy deal that can steer BlackRock’s course beyond when he ultimately steps down.

The acquisition also stirs up increased speculation on who could succeed the respected CEO. As BlackRock makes infrastructure integral to its future, the deal elevates infrastructure veterans like GIP Chairman Bayo Ogunlesi. COO Rob Kapito and President Rob Goldstein also see their standing boosted.

While the stock dipped slightly on Friday’s news, the deal primes BlackRock for sustainable growth. Shareholders will be monitoring the integration, but early reviews applaud Fink and BlackRock for their foresight and ability to execute.

Release – ISG Launches Suite of Applied AI Advisory Services

Research News and Market Data on III

1/4/2024

Firm plans to leverage its longstanding expertise in technology sourcing and governance to help enterprise clients adopt AI at scale

STAMFORD, Conn.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Information Services Group (ISG) (Nasdaq: III), a leading global technology research and advisory firm, has launched a new suite of advisory services to help clients navigate the complexities and implications of adopting artificial intelligence at scale.

“Artificial Intelligence, specifically Generative AI, is the next big thing in technology,” said Michael P. Connors, chairman and CEO of ISG. “Gen AI has risen to the top of the agenda for the world’s largest corporations. Business leaders are already seeking our advice and guidance on the practical applications of this technology, as well as longer-term strategies for scaling AI as the technology grows and matures.”

ISG Research forecasts the global market for AI-related managed services should reach $175 billion by 2030, Connors said.

Organizations already working with ISG on AI engagements include a global hospitality and entertainment company, a major U.S. manufacturer, two major global insurance companies, and a U.S. state government, with many others in discussions with the firm about advancing their AI agenda.

“ISG has always been at the forefront of guiding our clients through the complexities of adopting technology at scale,” said Steve Hall, ISG president and newly appointed as the firm’s first chief AI officer. “Our expansion into applied AI strategy and advisory is our next great leap forward, ensuring businesses can harness AI to drive unprecedented value into every aspect of their operations.”

Hall noted clients trust ISG for its independent advice and long-held expertise in technology sourcing and governance. “Typical of the feedback we’re getting from our clients is this statement: ‘We wanted to get ISG in right at the start of our journey so we can cut through the hype and do this right the first time. This is moving so fast we need to avoid any missteps.’”

ISG’s Applied AI Advisory services help clients assess their AI readiness, identify practical use cases, experiment with proofs of concept, create an AI strategy, and establish a business case for investment. ISG also helps clients select the right business partners and build a cognitive infrastructure to support AI at scale. Finally, ISG provides training and organizational change management, a strategy realization office, and governance through a proprietary AI control plane to help clients mitigate risk and maximize ROI from their AI investments.

ISG was the first sourcing advisory firm to establish a reference architecture for applied Generative AI when it published a September 2023 global study of enterprise use cases. An analysis of the use cases shows AI can lower the cost of IT operations by 30 to 58 percent.

The use cases range from personalizing customer experiences at scale and optimizing supply chain operations to enhancing decision-making through predictive analytics and pioneering the development of new products and services.

The ISG study found that 85 percent of enterprises believe investment in generative AI over the next two years is important, but only a small percentage are achieving tangible results today.

Hall said ISG is looking to help clients move beyond the hype and identify practical applications of AI that can lead to enterprise-wide adoption.

“Our goal is to empower businesses to define their AI-driven future, find the perfect partners to make it a reality, lead change in their organizations, and realize tangible value at a scale,” he said.

Hall noted that successful adoption of AI at scale will require the use of an “AI control plane” to oversee and manage the deployment of artificial intelligence systems.

“An AI control plane encompasses robust security measures to safeguard against data breaches and unauthorized access, ensuring the integrity and confidentiality of sensitive information,” said Hall.

“It also ensures AI operations adhere to legal and ethical standards and avoid biases, protecting users’ rights and promoting fairness, while providing oversight of AI-related expenditures and resource allocation, enabling efficient budget management and cost optimization.”

For more information about ISG’s Applied AI Advisory services, visit this webpage.

About ISG

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 900 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,600 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For more information, visit www.isg-one.com.

Source: Information Services Group, Inc.

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Release – Kelly Completes Sale of European Staffing Business to Gi Group Holdings S.P.A.

Research News and Market Data on KELYA

January 3, 2024

  • Sharpens its focus on higher margin, higher growth global managed service provider (MSP) and recruitment process outsourcing (RPO), and North American specialty outcome-based and staffing services
  • Accelerates transformation to deliver significantly improved net margin
  • Cash proceeds to be redeployed in pursuit of growth through organic and inorganic investments

TROY, Mich., Jan. 03, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) —  Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB), a leading global specialty talent solutions provider, today announced it has completed the sale of its European staffing business to Gi Group Holdings S.P.A. (“Gi”). Kelly previously announced on November 2, 2023, that it had entered into a definitive agreement to sell the business to Gi.

“Today is a significant milestone in Kelly’s journey to become a more focused enterprise positioned to accelerate profitable growth,” said Peter Quigley, president and chief executive officer. “By further streamlining the company’s operating model to focus on higher margin, higher growth business and unlocking significant capital, we have greater flexibility and capacity to invest where we can compete and win over the long term.”

Kelly received cash proceeds of €100 million upon closing the transaction. Additional proceeds from an earnout provision based on a multiple of an adjusted 2023 EBITDA measure would be payable in the second quarter of 2024 if achieved.

With the sale of Kelly’s European staffing business, the company’s operating model comprises four reportable segments focused on global MSP and RPO solutions, and North American specialty outcome-based and staffing services. The segments include Professional & Industrial; Science, Engineering & Technology; Education; and Outsourcing & Consulting Group. The company retains its MSP, RPO, and functional service provider business, maintaining a global capability in these businesses in the North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe, Middle East, and Africa regions.

The sale also accelerates the company’s efforts to significantly improve its EBITDA margin through its ongoing business transformation initiative, contributing approximately 30 basis points of favorable impact on a pro forma, full year 2023 basis. By combining this impact with the benefit of a full year of expected transformation-related savings and current top-line expectations, the company would expect to achieve a normalized, adjusted EBITDA margin in the range of 3.3% to 3.5%.

DLA Piper served as legal counsel to Kelly.

About Kelly®

Kelly Services, Inc. (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) helps companies recruit and manage skilled workers and helps job seekers find great work. Since inventing the staffing industry in 1946, we have become experts in the many industries and local and global markets we serve. With a network of suppliers and partners around the world, we connect more than 450,000 people with work every year. Our suite of outsourcing and consulting services ensures companies have the people they need, when and where they are needed most. Headquartered in Troy, Michigan, we empower businesses and individuals to access limitless opportunities in industries such as science, engineering, technology, education, manufacturing, retail, finance, and energy. Revenue in 2022 was $5.0 billion. Learn more at kellyservices.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This release contains statements that are forward looking in nature and, accordingly, are subject to risks and uncertainties. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about Kelly’s financial expectations, are forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in this release include, but are not limited to, (i) changing market and economic conditions, (ii) disruption in the labor market and weakened demand for human capital resulting from technological advances, loss of large corporate customers and government contractor requirements, (iii) the impact of laws and regulations (including federal, state and international tax laws), (iv) unexpected changes in claim trends on workers’ compensation, unemployment, disability and medical benefit plans, (v) litigation and other legal liabilities (including tax liabilities) in excess of our estimates, (vi) our ability to achieve our business’s anticipated growth strategies, (vi) our future business development, results of operations and financial condition, (vii) damage to our brands, (viii) dependency on third parties for the execution of critical functions, (ix) conducting business in foreign countries, including foreign currency fluctuations, (x) availability of temporary workers with appropriate skills required by customers, (xi) cyberattacks or other breaches of network or information technology security, and (xii) other risks, uncertainties and factors discussed in this release and in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by words or phrases such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “target,” “aim,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “potential,” “continue,” “is/are likely to” or other similar expressions. All information provided in this press release is as of the date of this press release and we undertake no duty to update any forward-looking statement to conform the statement to actual results or changes in the Company’s expectations.

KLYA-FIN

ANALYST CONTACT:  MEDIA CONTACT:
Scott Thomas  Jane Stehney
(248) 251-7264  (248) 765-6864
scott.thomas@kellyservices.com   stehnja@kellyservices.com 

SoftBank Bounces Back: $7.6B T-Mobile Win Boosts Assets After String of Investment Flops

Japanese conglomerate SoftBank Group saw its shares soar 5% this week after announcing it will receive a windfall stake in T-Mobile US worth $7.59 billion. The deal highlights a reversal of fortunes for SoftBank and its founder Masayoshi Son, who has weathered missteps like the WeWork debacle but is now reaping rewards from past telecom investments.

The share acquisition comes through an agreement made during the merger of SoftBank’s US telecom unit Sprint and T-Mobile. With the merger complete and certain conditions met, SoftBank will receive 48.75 million T-Mobile shares, doubling its stake in the mobile carrier from 3.75% to 7.64%.

This is a big win for SoftBank as it substantially increases its portfolio of listed assets. SoftBank has worked to shift towards more conservative investments after facing heavy criticism for pouring money into overvalued late-stage startups like WeWork. The Japanese firm was forced to bail out WeWork after its failed IPO in 2019, leading to billions in losses.

However, the T-Mobile windfall, along with the recent blockbuster IPO of SoftBank-owned chip designer Arm, helps balance the books. It also bumps SoftBank’s internal rate of return on its original Sprint investment to 25.5%, a solid result.

SoftBank Trading at Steep Discount Despite Strong Assets

Even with missteps like WeWork, SoftBank still holds an impressive array of assets from its years of prolific venture investing. Yet the Japanese firm trades at a 45% discount to the value of its holdings, presenting an opportunity for investors.

The influx of liquid T-Mobile shares adds more tangible value compared to some of SoftBank’s private startup investments. Having more listed stocks helps improve SoftBank’s loan-to-value ratio, giving it more marginable equity relative to debt obligations.

This could help narrow the gap between SoftBank’s market capitalization and net asset value. The T-Mobile windfall and Arm IPO shore up SoftBank’s balance sheet with listed assets at a time when the gap between its market cap and value of holdings remains substantial.

Son’s Missteps Bring Scrutiny But Vision Still Intact

While the WeWork bet soured investor perception of SoftBank’s investment strategy, Son has shown he still has an eye for disruption. His early investments in Alibaba and Yahoo! set the stage for his later dominance in late-stage startup funding.

However, the WeWork debacle led Son to pledge increased financial discipline and a shift towards AI-focused companies. Recent wins like the Coupang IPO and rising value of holdings like DoorDash reassure investors that Son still knows how to pick winners early.

SoftBank also stands to benefit from Son’s long-term vision on the potential of AI, having acquired chipmakers like Arm to position itself as a leader in the so-called Information Revolution. As AI comes to dominate technology over the next decade, SoftBank’s early moves could pay off handsomely if Son’s predictions come true.

T-Mobile Deal Highlights Importance of Sprint Merger

While US regulators initially balked at the T-Mobile/Sprint merger over competition concerns, the deal is now paying off for SoftBank. The Japanese firm’s persistence in pursuing the merger exemplifies its long-term approach, as the benefits are now apparent.

The combined T-Mobile/Sprint is now a much stronger competitor versus Verizon and AT&T, going from the 4th largest US wireless carrier to 2nd largest. T-Mobile has aggressively expanded its 5G network and subscriber base since completion of the merger in 2020.

SoftBank also benefited by negotiating the share acquisition as part of the original merger agreement, allowing it to substantially increase its T-Mobile stake down the road at minimal additional cost.

Final Thoughts

The T-Mobile share acquisition highlights a reversal of fortunes for SoftBank after missteps like WeWork resulted in negative headlines and billions in losses. While the firm still trades at a discount to the value of its holdings, the T-Mobile windfall and Arm IPO help increase its listed assets versus debt.

Son’s long-term vision and willingness to make bold bets still drive SoftBank, even if investments like WeWork went sour. With the US telco mission accomplished by enabling the Sprint/T-Mobile merger, SoftBank now has both its legacy telecom investment and new T-Mobile shares paying off. Looking ahead, SoftBank is well-positioned in AI and next-gen chips to ride disruption waves far into the future if Son’s predictions on technology evolution prove prescient.

The ODP Corporation (ODP) – A Shareholder Letter

Friday, December 22, 2023

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Letter. This week, self described long-term ODP shareholder, AREX Capital Management issued an open letter to the Company’s Board of Directors seeking a relaunch of the Office Deport separation process and the sale of Varis to unlock significant shareholder value.

Value. In AREX’s belief, the market will have a dramatically more favorable view of the remaining ODP business (Business Solutions and Veyer) once the Company no longer operates a primarily brick-and-mortar retailer. In this scenario, using 2024 EBITDA AREX estimates ODP shares could be valued in the $75 range, or nearly 50% above current levels.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Aon Bets $13.4 Billion on Mid-Market Insurance Growth

Insurance brokerage and consulting powerhouse Aon (AON) unveiled a definitive agreement on December 20th to acquire middle-market peer NFP in an all-cash $13.4 billion deal. NFP focuses on property and casualty brokerage, benefits consulting, wealth management and retirement plan advisory specifically for mid-sized clients.

The landmark transaction allows Aon to aggressively expand into the lucrative mid-corporation segment amid an economic landscape stoking demand for recession-resistant insurance policies. With NFP expecting 2022 revenues nearing $2.2 billion and a roster of over 7,700 client organizations, the bolt-on acquisition provides Aon a launching pad towards deepening its presence among growth-oriented middle-market enterprises.

Tap Exploding Market for Mid-Sized Firms

Several tailwinds have powered extraordinary growth within insurance brokerages catering to mid-cap corporations. As middle-market companies strive for enhanced risk management oversight amid volatile conditions, they increasingly seek broker partners delivering customized guidance on property/casualty and employee benefits policies.

NFP’s singular mid-market focus perfectly aligns with this surging addressable market. The brokerage brings specialized consulting capabilities around financial, health, and retirement offerings that resonate powerfully among mid-sized organizations. After closing in mid-2024, NFP’s offerings significantly broaden and diversify Aon’s middle-market resources.

The opportunistic move also builds on Aon’s existing relationship with mid-market insurance access point Businessolver. By consolidating NSM Insurance and now NFP, Aon assembles an unrivaled mid-corporation product portfolio spanning risk management, human resources, payroll, and compliance functionality.

Betting on Consistent Insurance Demand

Aon’s bold acquisition reflects confidence that commercial insurance spending will continue rising despite recessionary warnings. Employer-sponsored health plans, property policies, casualty coverage, and other risk transfer solutions retain fundamental necessity for corporations of all sizes. With mid-sized companies facing substantial human capital and operational exposures, brokerages like NFP and Aon constitute trusted partners for navigating complex risk landscapes.

The sector’s recession resilience and anti-cyclical behaviors produce reliable revenues amid broader economic uncertainty. Aon has witnessed only one year of revenue declines over the past decade. The industry giant averaged yearly sales growth of 8.4% since 2013.

Strategic Growth Play

From a financial perspective, NFP dramatically strengthens Aon’s growth trajectory. Adding the brokerage’s high-single-digit annual revenue gains provides immediate scale. In an investor presentation, management projected total company sales expansion of 8% in 2024 and 14% in 2025 post-acquisition. Significant cross-selling opportunities and global expansion of NFP’s capabilities should spur ongoing upside.

Aon expects to realize $150 million in cost synergies by 2025. The combination presents chances to eliminate redundant corporate structures and leverage joint capabilities in technology, data analytics and digitization to drive efficiency gains. Ensuing margin expansion would magnify bottom-line profit growth produced by the increased revenues.

Although the transaction costs require $7 billion in new debt, NFP is projected to start contributing towards deleveraging by 2025. While 2024 margins may compress initially, management reinforced commitment towards long-term margin expansion. From 2013-2021, Aon’s margins grew from 16.4% to record 35.7% levels.

Risks and Costs

Despite projected profitability gains, Aon’s stock dropped nearly 8% on the announcement as shareholders weigh risks around significant integration costs and execution challenges. Management forecasts $400 million in one-time transaction and integration expenses associated with consolidating the sizable acquisitions.

There are additionally risks tied to client retention. As occurred with some Willis Towers Watson customers after Aon’s failed merger attempt in 2021, certain NFP accounts may reevaluate relationships depending on changes in account management or service model adjustments.

Overall, however, investor reception remains positive. The deal continues an active era defined by transformative combinations as large brokers fight for differentiation. Aon has now spent nearly $30 billion on M&A to distinguish its portfolio. Adding NFP crucially now arms the brokerage giant to increasingly capitalize on lucrative mid-market tailwinds in coming years.

Watch AON’s NobleCon19 presentation: Cybersecurity – Is Your C-Suite Ready for 2024?

Release – The GEO Group Amends Senior Revolving Credit Facility

Research News and Market Data on GEO

December 14, 2023

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Dec. 14, 2023– The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO” or the “Company”) announced today the closing of a Refinancing Revolving Credit Commitments Amendment (“Amendment”) to its Credit Agreement dated as of August 19, 2022, providing for the refinancing of all of GEO’s outstanding revolving credit facility commitments. The Amendment provides for approximately $265 million in refinancing revolving credit commitments maturing on March 23, 2027. Prior to the Amendment, a portion of the Company’s revolving credit commitments matured on May 17, 2024, and the balance of the Company’s revolving credit commitments matured on March 23, 2027. The Amendment further provides that interest will accrue on outstanding revolving credit loans at a rate determined with reference to the Company’s total leverage ratio. As of today, revolving credit loans accruing interest at a SOFR based rate would accrue interest at the term SOFR reference rate for the applicable interest period plus 3.00% per annum. All other terms governing the refinancing revolving credit commitments remain substantially consistent with those governing the revolving credit commitments being refinanced. GEO currently has no outstanding borrowings under its revolving credit facility, as amended.

George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of GEO, said, “We are pleased with this recent refinancing transaction and the support for our Company’s future capital needs. This is an important step to continue achieving our long-term strategy to reduce debt and refinance our credit arrangements.”

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Use of forward-looking statements

This news release may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and any such forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the cautionary statements and risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, its Form 10-Qs for the quarters ended March 31, 2023, June 30, 2023 and September 30, 2023, and its Form 8-K reports. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news release and are based on current expectations and involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. Readers are strongly encouraged to read the full cautionary statements and risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including those referenced above. GEO disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

Pablo E. Paez 1-866-301-4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

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Eagle Bulk Shipping to Merge with Rival to Create Dry Bulk Behemoth

Dry bulk shipping company Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) announced Sunday night that it has agreed to an all-stock merger with sector peer Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK). The deal will create one of the world’s premiere owners of dry bulk vessels with a combined fleet of 169 ships worth over $2 billion.

Under the terms of the agreement, Eagle shareholders will receive 2.6211 shares of Star Bulk for each Eagle share they currently hold. With Star Bulk shares closing at $19.95 on Monday, December 11, this values Eagle stock at $52.29 per share. Compared to Eagle’s actual close of $46.19 on Monday, this deal premium comes out to 13%.

Powerhouse in Making

The merger brings together two already sizable dry bulk fleets under one umbrella to better compete on costs and provide customers integrated solutions. For example, the combined entity can offer both Capesize vessels ideal for long haul bulk transport as well as Supramax ships designed for flexibility.

With over 150 million deadweight tonnage (DWT), the new entity will rank among the top five largest publicly-traded dry bulk owners globally. Management estimates at least $50 million per year in cost savings through operational synergies, consolidated corporate overhead, and improved purchasing leverage with suppliers.

And the company will maintain an industry-leading balance sheet with net debt of $1.4 billion equaling a reasonable 37% of its $2.1 billion capitalization. The merger therefore sets up the new Star Bulk as a dominant player in dry bulk shipping both in scale and efficiency. Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst Michael Heim states in his latest research report that “the combined market capitalization of $2.1 billion and fleet of 159 ships makes it one of the largest in the world.”

Modern, Eco-Friendly Fleet

Critically, Star Bulk inherits an even more modern and environmentally-friendly fleet from Eagle. The average vessel age will drop to 11 years versus 14 years currently. Eagle’s ships were built at top-tier Asian shipyards known for quality and efficiency.

Just as important, Eagle has been an early and enthusiastic adopter of exhaust gas scrubbers which reduce harmful emissions. In fact, 97% of the combined fleet will now have these scrubbers installed well positioning the company for impending environmental regulations.

Maintaining a modern, eco-friendly fleet is increasingly important to winning business from customers like commodities giants Glencore and Trafigura who value corporate responsibility. So the transaction gives Star Bulk key competitive advantages on this front.

Market Perform on Limited Remaining Upside

With significant strategic rationale behind the merger, the analyst still downgraded Eagle stock to a Market Perform with limited additional upside. Specifically, they dropped their price target to $52 simply reflecting the implicit deal price.

So while the merger appears to make industrial sense and places fair long-term value on Eagle, investors shouldn’t expect much added price appreciation from current levels. Of course, there is a small chance the merger fails to close as anticipated allowing shares to diverge back downward.

But assuming smooth sailing through the expected close in 1H 2024, Eagle shareholders can take comfort in the 13% premium and exciting combined company outlook. This sets up Eagle owners to become owners in the industry’s next dry bulk titan.

Take a moment to take a look at more research on Eagle Bulk Shipping by Noble Capital Markets Analyst Michael Heim.

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Fourth Quarter In-Line


Monday, December 11, 2023

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q Results. Revenue of $101.5 million was slightly above management’s revised guidance of $100 million, and up from $67.2 million in 4Q22. While the majority of the revenue increase was due to GRSi, which contributed $33.1 million, the Company did see organic growth. Due to the expected $7.7 million non-cash impairment charge, DLH reported a net loss of $2.6 million, or $0.18/sh compared to net income of $3.4 million, or EPS of $0.24/sh in 4Q22.

Non-GAAP. On a non-GAAP basis, DLH reported adjusted operating income of $7.8 million, adjusted EBITDA of $12.1 million, and adjusted net income of $2.3 million, or $0.16/sh in 4Q23, compared to $5.1 million, $7.0 million, and $3.7 million, or EPS of $0.26/sh, respectively, last year.


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Release – The GEO Group Announces Senior Management Changes

Research News and Market Data on GEO

November 30, 2023

PDF Version

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 30, 2023– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO” or the “Company”) announced today that following discussions between GEO and its Chief Executive Officer, Jose Gordo, the parties have agreed that Mr. Gordo will be departing as Chief Executive Officer and as a Board member on mutually agreeable terms and transitioning to the role of an advisor, effective December 31, 2023Under the agreed terms of his departure, Mr. Gordo will enter into a fixed, 18-month advisory services agreement upon payment terms agreed to by the parties, pursuant to which Mr. Gordo will advise the Company with respect to litigation, client relations, operational issues, growth opportunities, financial management, and debt restructuring. The Company is seeking to continue Mr. Gordo’s services in these specific areas to benefit from his many years of experience in the industry, the deep relationships he has forged inside the Company and with its industry partners, his global operating perspectives, and his specific expertise in a specialized industry.

Brian Evans, who has been with the Company for 23 years and has served as the Company’s Chief Financial Officer for 14 years, has been appointed Chief Executive Officer, effective January 1, 2024. Shayn March, Executive Vice President, Finance and Treasurer, has been appointed Acting Chief Financial Officer, effective January 1, 2024. The Company and its Board of Directors will work with an external search firm to identify a permanent Chief Financial Officer.

Also effective January 1, 2024, Wayne Calabrese has been appointed President and Chief Operating Officer. Mr. Calabrese joined the Company in 1989, retiring as its President and Chief Operating Officer at the end of 2010. Following his service as a Company advisor, Mr. Calabrese rejoined the Company on a full-time basis in 2021 as head of the Legal Department. In 2022, Mr. Calabrese was appointed to his current position as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer.

In addition, the Company confirmed that Dr. George Zoley, the Company’s Founder and Executive Chairman, will step down as Executive Chairman on June 30, 2026, at the end of his current employment term under his Executive Chairman Employment Agreement. Beginning on July 1, 2026, Dr. Zoley will continue his unparalleled 40-plus year industry leadership role as an Advisor to the Company while continuing to serve as the Company’s non-Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors, subject to shareholder approval.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Use of forward-looking statements

This news release may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and any such forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the cautionary statements and risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, its Form 10-Qs for the quarters ended March 31, 2023, June 30, 2023 and September 30, 2023, and its Form 8-K reports. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news release and are based on current expectations and involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. Readers are strongly encouraged to read the full cautionary statements and risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including those referenced above. GEO disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

Pablo E. Paez, (866) 301 4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.