Conduent (CNDT) – Transit Sale Closes; Deleveraging Story Advances


Wednesday, October 07, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Transit sale completed. Conduent completed the previously announced sale of its public transit and fare collection business to Modaxo on October 1. In our view, the closing represents another important step in the company’s efforts to simplify its portfolio, reduce financial leverage, and focus resources on its core Commercial and Government businesses.

$125 million earmarked for debt reduction. Conduent received $140 million in cash consideration at closing and expects to use $125 million of net proceeds to repay borrowings under its revolving credit facility. We view the debt reduction favorably and believe the improved balance sheet should enhance the company’s financial flexibility as management executes its ASCEND strategy.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Momentum Continues


Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A New Task Order. DLH has been awarded a task order to provide risk management framework and cybersecurity operations support services to the National Institutes of Health (“NIH”) Center for Information Technology (“CIT”). CIT provides the NIH community with a secure and reliable IT infrastructure in support of its mission-critical research activities. In our view, not only does the award expand DLH’s support for NIH, but the award aligns with management’s strategy to grow technology-powered solutions in core markets.

Details. Notably, the task order is new work for DLH. The award has a potential value of $19.1 million inclusive of all option periods. The base period and multiple options aggregate to a three-year period of performance. This new business comes hot on the heels of recent awards for DLH, supporting our thesis that the multi-year lull in awards has broken. We anticipate DLH to continue to win its fair share of business going forward.


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The AI Jobs Debate Is More Complicated Than It Looks

The early success of Meta’s Muse AI agent has reignited a question that has been building all year: if AI tools can perform tasks inside a company quickly and cheaply, how much longer do companies keep paying humans to do the same work? Apollo Global Management’s chief economist addressed that tension directly in a recent interview, suggesting the labor market impact of tools like Muse is still a waiting game, one where the full effect simply hasn’t shown up in the data yet.

The case for concern is real and growing. Block, the payments company led by Jack Dorsey, cut 40% of its staff this year. Layoffs have swept through Amazon, Dell, Oracle, Coinbase, Cloudflare, and Meta itself, several of which we’ve tracked closely as part of the broader corporate efficiency wave reshaping how companies think about headcount in the AI era. Uber recently announced it would cut 10% of its workforce to capture what it described as significant efficiencies. These are not struggling companies making defensive cuts, they are profitable, growing businesses choosing to operate with fewer people even as they invest heavily in AI capability, a pattern that has now repeated across enough companies to look structural rather than coincidental.

Staffing and workforce advisory firms sit closest to this shift and are worth watching as a real-time indicator of how it plays out. Companies like Kelly Services and Resources Connection, both providers of staffing and flexible workforce solutions, along with Information Services Group, which advises corporations on technology sourcing and digital transformation decisions, are positioned to see these dynamics well before they show up in national jobs data. If companies are genuinely substituting AI for headcount at scale, these firms would likely see it first in shifting client demand for permanent placements versus flexible or project-based talent.

But the labor market data complicates the doom-and-gloom narrative considerably. Through August, the US economy added roughly 640,000 net nonfarm payroll jobs, averaging about 80,000 new positions per month, numbers that don’t reflect a labor market in collapse. Apollo’s economist made a useful distinction on this point, noting that while tools like Muse will genuinely eliminate some jobs, the new products and business activity AI enables will also create employment elsewhere, meaning this isn’t simply a displacement story, it’s a broader story about how AI reshapes business dynamics and, ultimately, aggregate employment in ways that cut in both directions simultaneously.

There’s an added wrinkle worth watching closely. A recent Gartner survey projects that by 2029, roughly 30% of employees laid off due to AI will need to be rehired, at meaningfully higher cost than their original positions carried. That’s a notable admission that some of this year’s efficiency-driven cuts may prove to be overcorrections, companies discovering that certain roles genuinely required human judgment or oversight AI couldn’t fully replace, and having to pay a premium to bring that expertise back.

For investors, this debate is no longer background noise, it’s showing up directly in the data that moves markets. Monthly jobs reports, which we’ve covered closely as they’ve swung between blowout beats and unexpected losses this year, are taking on greater weight precisely because AI-driven labor market shifts are becoming a genuine wildcard in how those numbers get interpreted. For companies in the small and microcap space, this dynamic cuts two ways worth watching. Smaller companies with leaner existing headcount may be structurally better positioned to adopt AI efficiently without the large-scale layoffs playing out at bigger firms, while companies specifically building AI tools, agents, and workflow automation software for business customers sit squarely in the path of demand created by this exact shift. Whether AI ultimately proves to be a net job destroyer or a net job reshuffler remains genuinely unresolved, and that uncertainty itself is becoming a market-moving variable heading into the final months of the year.

Xerox Holdings Corporation (XRX) – A Clearer Path Through the Turnaround


Monday, September 21, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Xerox Roadshow. On September 16th, Louis Pastor, CEO, Chuck Butler, CFO, and Greg Stein, SVP & Head of IR, presented to investors at a non-deal roadshow in St. Louis. The presentation highlighted the company’s turnaround strategy, focusing on its efforts to stabilize revenue, expand margins, and reduce debt.

Broadening the revenue base. Earlier this month, the company announced a strategic partnership with Flint Group Digital Xeikon to utilize its digital press technology in Xerox-branded products. The partnership bolsters Xerox’s position in the production print market by providing access to digital packaging, labels, and commercial print without the cost of developing the technology internally.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

GDEV (GDEV) – Profitability Outpaces Growth As Bookings Soften


Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 Results. GDEV reported Q2 revenue of $93.6 million, down 22%, and adj. EBITDA of $20.1 million, only down 7% year over year. Notably, the year-over-year revenue decrease was primarily driven by a decline in bookings. As illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results, both revenue and adj. EBITDA missed our estimates of $115 million and $26 million, respectively, though adj. EBITDA proved far more resilient than revenue.

Marketing discipline held margins. That resilience was largely due to lower selling and marketing expenses, which fell 38% to $32.7 million from $52.5 million, lifting the adj. EBITDA margin to roughly 21% from 18% even as revenue declined. The reduction stems from the company’s more disciplined strategy for user acquisition, which focuses on higher-value cohorts rather than volume.


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Xerox Holdings Corporation (XRX) – Reinvention Creates a Path to Sustainable Earnings Growth


Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating coverage with an Outperform rating and a $5 price target. Our constructive view reflects the company’s multiyear transformation through the Lexmark acquisition, expansion of IT Solutions and Digital Services, and continued focus on operating efficiency. We believe these initiatives can moderate revenue declines, improve profitability and cash generation, and ultimately support a multiyear earnings recovery and valuation re-rating.

Lexmark Integration Positioned to Drive Significant Profit Growth. The acquisition of Lexmark expands Xerox’s global scale and is expected to generate at least $350 million in gross cost synergies by the end of 2027. In our view, it provides a clear path toward ameaningful improvement in operating leverage and competitive positioning.


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ACCO Brands (ACCO) – Further Expansion into Accessories


Monday, August 17, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Trust Acquisition. On Friday, ACCO announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Trust, a European provider of computer and gaming accessories. The transaction is valued at approximately $57 million. The transaction will be financed through borrowings under ACCO’s revolving credit facility, with limited impact on pro forma leverage. The transaction is expected to close in late third quarter or early fourth quarter.

Who is Trust? Founded in 1983 and headquartered in the Netherlands, Trust is a well-recognized consumer electronics brand with more than 40 years of presence in PC accessories, gaming, smart home, and mobile accessories. The company offers a comprehensive product portfolio spanning keyboards, mice, headsets, speakers, webcams, chargers, and gaming peripherals, sold through a broad network of leading retailers, e-commerce platforms, and B2B channels. Trust operates an asset-light model with outsourced manufacturing and scalable sourcing and serves customers in Europe and Latin America.


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Conduent (CNDT) – Positioned for a Stronger Second Half


Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 results reflect ongoing transformation. Continuing operations revenue declined 11.9% to $531 million, while adjusted EBITDA was $16 million, or a 3.0% margin. Commercial remained pressured by contract losses and lower volumes, while Government results reflected the timing of Medicaid implementation activity.

Guidance supports a stronger second half. Management established 2026 continuing operations guidance of $2.15-$2.25 billion of revenue and $140-$170 million of adjusted EBITDA, implying a roughly 7% EBITDA margin at the midpoint. Our estimates of $2.21 billion and $157 million, respectively, are modestly above the midpoint of guidance.


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Conduent (CNDT) – Execution Takes Center Stage


Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Execution continues to improve. Management reiterated that second quarter results were in line with expectations while highlighting meaningful progress across its five strategic priorities, including cost reduction, financial discipline, portfolio optimization, and pipeline conversion. Six months into the transformation, management believes the company is beginning to see tangible operational improvements.

Transportation exit strengthens the financial profile. The announced sales of the Transit and Tolling businesses are expected to generate approximately $234 million of gross proceeds, reduce off-balance-sheet obligations by roughly 80%, lower capital requirements, and provide significant flexibility to reduce debt while sharpening management’s focus on its core businesses.


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Kelly Services (KELYA) – Improving Momentum


Monday, August 10, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. In the second quarter of 2026, Kelly exceeded guidance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin, driven by growing momentum from the Company’s growth and efficiency initiatives as well as constructive demand trends in parts of the portfolio. Notably, Kelly delivered sequential improvements in each of the business segments.

2Q26 Results. Revenue was $1.04 billion, down approximately 5.8% y-o-y, but significantly better than the expected 7-9% revenue decline.  We were at $1.01 billion. Adjusted EBITDA for 2Q26 was $16.1 million, a 3.0% margin, above management’s 2.5% projection. We were at $25 million and 2.5%. Adjusted EPS was $0.37 versus $0.54 in 2Q25. We had estimated $0.30.


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Information Services Group (III) – Post Call Commentary


Friday, August 07, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Quarter. ISG had a strong second quarter with both revenue and adjusted EBITDA above expectations. The second quarter marks the seventh quarter in a row that adjusted EBITDA has grown by double digits. Expanding margins reflect the continued evolution of ISG’s business toward higher-value advisory work, growth in recurring revenues, and increasing leverage from AI-enabled delivery, in our view.

AI Opportunity. AI is a tailwind for ISG. ISG is taking advantage of the need for AI, reshaping the business as an AI-centered technology research and advisory firm to drive stronger client demand and improve how services are delivered. Nearly half of ISG’s clients generated AI-related revenue during the quarter. Growth was broad-based across industries, led by consumer, health sciences, and manufacturing.


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Release – Kelly Reports Second-Quarter 2026 Earnings

Research News and Market Data on OCGN

August 6, 2026

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TROY, Mich., Aug. 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB), a leading specialty talent solutions provider, today announced results for the second quarter of 2026.

  • Q2 revenue of $1.0 billion, with year-over-year decline improving approximately 500 basis points (“bps”) versus the prior quarter; underlying revenue decline excluding previously disclosed discrete items improved 270 bps versus the prior quarter
  • Underlying revenue year-over-year performance reflects strength in the ETM and SET segments with each improved at least 300 bps versus the prior quarter, along with a 40 bps improvement for the Education segment
  • Q2 operating earnings of $16.1 million; $19.3 million of operating earnings on an adjusted basis
  • Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $31.1 million and adjusted EBITDA margin of 3.0%, improved 110 bps on a year-over-year basis versus the prior quarter resulting from stable year-over-year gross profit rate and continued SG&A discipline
  • Company increases its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook, now expecting a low-to-mid-single digit decline, and affirms its adjusted EBITDA margin expectation of modest year-over-year growth driven by accelerating underlying revenue growth and operating efficiencies

Chris Layden, chief executive officer, said, “In the second quarter, we measurably exceeded our guidance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin driven by growing momentum from our growth and efficiency initiatives as well as constructive demand trends in parts of our portfolio. We delivered sequential improvements in each of our businesses as we continued to capitalize on organic growth drivers. Notably, Kelly’s adjusted EBITDA margin returned to 3.0% in the quarter, demonstrating our ability to generate operating leverage in pursuit of growth. Our progress strengthens our conviction in our strategy and reinforces our confidence in our expectation of further measurable improvement in our year-over-year performance as we progress through the second half of the year.”

Financial Results for the thirteen-week period ended June 28, 2026:

Revenue of $1.0 billion, a 5.8% decrease compared to the corresponding quarter of 2025. Discrete impacts associated with the previously disclosed reduced demand for U.S. federal government contractors in the SET segment and from three large commercial customers in the ETM segment totaled approximately 5.2%, resulting in an underlying revenue decline of approximately 0.6%. Underlying revenue performance includes overall growth from improved demand and new business in the ETM segment, including growth in staffing and each of the talent solutions specialties. Offsetting the growth was a measurably improved year-over-year decline within the SET segment which reflects continued year-over-year growth in the Telecom specialty and reduced declines in each of the SET specialties. SET revenue grew sequentially for the first time in over two years. Additionally, the Education segment showed an improved year-over-year decline which continues to be driven by delayed prior year contract decisions and declines in student enrollment in key markets.

Operating earnings of $16.1 million, compared to earnings of $22.2 million reported in the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted earnings1 were $19.3 million in the second quarter of 2026 and $24.6 million in the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA1 of $31.1 million, a decrease of 15.9% versus the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 3.0%, a decrease of 40 bps but improved 110 bps versus the prior quarter, reflects 10 bps lower gross margin partially offset by volume-related and structural expense management actions including benefits from our acquisition integration and technology modernization efforts. ETM showed year-over-year stability in its adjusted EBITDA margin while Education and SET both declined. Both ETM and SET improved their adjusted EBITDA margins measurably versus the prior quarter.

Income tax expense of $3.0 million, compared to income tax expense of $0.9 million reported in the second quarter of 2025. On an adjusted basis1, income tax expense of $3.8 million, compared to income tax expense of $2.5 million in the second quarter of 2025.

Earnings per share was $0.31 compared to earnings per share of $0.52 in the second quarter of 2025. On an adjusted basis1, earnings per share was $0.37 in the second quarter of 2026 compared to $0.54 per share in the corresponding quarter of 2025.

Financial Results for the 26-week period ended June 28, 2026:

Revenue of $2.1 billion, an 8.3% decrease compared to the corresponding period in 2025. Discrete impacts associated with the reduced demand for U.S. federal government contractors in the SET segment and from three large commercial customers in the ETM segment totaled approximately 6.3%, resulting in an underlying revenue decline of approximately 2.0%. Underlying revenue performance includes overall growth from improved demand in the ETM segment, including growth in each of the talent solutions specialties, along with growth in the Telecom specialty and improved performance in the Science and Engineering specialties within the SET segment. Offsetting this growth was continued lower demand in the other specialties within the SET segment, largely the Technology specialty, along with a decline in the Education segment driven by delayed prior year contract decisions and declines in student enrollment in key markets.

Operating earnings of $11.0 million, compared to earnings of $33.0 million reported over the same period in 2025. Adjusted earnings1 were $23.4 million in the first six months of 2026 and $46.7 million in the corresponding period of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA1 of $46.9 million, a decrease of 34.8% versus the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.3%, a decrease of 90 bps, reflects near-term margin pressure in ETM, Education, and SET driven by lower gross margins and timing of revenue trends, partially offset by volume-related and structural expense management actions including benefits from our acquisition integration and technology modernization efforts.

Income tax expense of $2.2 million, compared to income tax expense of $2.7 million reported over the same period in 2025. On an adjusted basis1, income tax expense of $5.3 million, compared to income tax expense of $7.2 million in the corresponding period of 2025.

Earnings per share was $0.15, compared to earnings per share of $0.67 in the same period of 2025. On an adjusted basis1, earnings per share were $0.40 for the first six months of 2026 compared to $0.93 per share in the corresponding period of 2025.

1 Adjusted measures represent non-GAAP financial measures. Refer to our reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most closely related GAAP measure included in this document.

Financial Outlook For Fiscal 2026:

The Company’s 2026 financial outlook has improved for revenue and remains unchanged for Adjusted EBITDA margin relative to the initial view previously disclosed, assumes no material change in the macroeconomic environment in the coming quarters, and is as follows:

  • Third Quarter of 2026 – Expect year-over-year improvement relative to second quarter, with overall underlying revenue growth of 1% to 2%, and total revenue to be flat to a decline of 2% versus the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margin in the low 2% range, representing 40 to 50 bps of year-over-year improvement relative to the prior year.
    • Outlook includes the seasonality impact of the Education business due to schools being out of session for the majority of the quarter which results in sequential revenue and profitability declines versus the second quarter.
  • Fourth Quarter of 2026 – Expect substantial improvement in year-over-year performance versus third quarter for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin resulting in mid-to-upper single digits revenue growth and approximately 200 bps of year-over-year adjusted EBITDA margin expansion resulting in adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 4%.
    • Outlook includes the impact of an extra fiscal week in the fourth quarter, which benefits revenue growth by approximately 4 points in the quarter, but negatively impacts adjusted EBITDA.
  • Full Year 2026 – On a full year basis, expect low-to-mid single digit total revenue decline and a 10 to 20 bps year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin.

Quarterly Cash Dividend:

Kelly also reported that on August 4, 2026, its board of directors declared a dividend of $0.075 per share. The dividend is payable on September 2, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on August 19, 2026.

In conjunction with its earnings release, Kelly has published a financial presentation and will host a live webcast of a conference call at 9 a.m. ET on August 6 to review the financial and operation results from the quarter. The presentation and a link to the live webcast will be accessible through the Company’s public website on the Investor Relations page under Events & Presentations. The webcast will be recorded, and a replay will be available within one hour of completion of the event through the same link as the live webcast.

Forward-Looking Statements:

This release contains statements that are forward looking in nature and, accordingly, are subject to risks and uncertainties. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about Kelly’s financial expectations, are forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in this release include, but are not limited to, (i) changing market and economic conditions, (ii) disruption in the labor market and weakened demand for human capital resulting from technological advances, competitive pressures and pricing, loss of large corporate customers and government contractor requirements, (iii) the impact of laws and regulations (including federal, state and international tax laws), (iv) unexpected changes in claim trends on workers’ compensation, unemployment, disability and medical benefit plans, (v) litigation and other legal liabilities (including tax liabilities) in excess of our estimates, (vi) our ability to achieve our business’s anticipated growth strategies, (vii) our future business development, results of operations and financial condition, (viii) damage to our brands, (ix) dependence on third parties for the execution of critical functions, (x) conducting business in foreign countries, including foreign currency fluctuations, (xi) availability of temporary workers with appropriate skills required by customers, (xii) cyberattacks or other breaches of network or information technology security, and (xiii) other risks, uncertainties and factors discussed in this release and in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by words or phrases such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “target,” “aim,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “potential,” “continue,” “is/are likely to” or other similar expressions. All information provided in this press release is as of the date of this press release and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required by law.

About Kelly®

Kelly Services, Inc. (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) helps companies recruit and manage skilled workers and helps job seekers find great work. Since inventing the staffing industry in 1946, we have become experts in the many industries and local and global markets we serve. With a network of suppliers and partners around the world, we connect approximately 375,000 people with work every year. Our suite of outsourcing and consulting services and solutions ensures companies have the people they need, when and where they are needed most. Headquartered in Troy, Michigan, we empower businesses and individuals to access limitless opportunities in industries such as science, engineering, technology, education, manufacturing, retail, finance, and energy. Revenue in 2025 was $4.3 billion. Learn more at kellyservices.com.

KLYA-FIN

ANALYST & MEDIA CONTACT:
Scott Thomas
(248) 251-7264
[email protected]

View full release here.

Information Services Group (III) – First Look 2Q26 Operating Results


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. Information Services Group had a very strong second quarter, generating the highest quarterly revenue since 2023. Growth in the quarter was led by Europe, up 10%, and the Americas, up 7%, while recurring revenues reached a new quarterly high of $30 million, driven by the Company’s AI-centered research and governance services.

2Q26 Results. Reported revenues for the second quarter were $65.5 million, up 6.4% from $61.6 million in the prior year, and above our $63 million projection. Second-quarter adjusted EBITDA was $9.4 million, up 13% y-o-y.  Adjusted EBITDA margin was 14.3%, compared with 13.5% in the prior year’s second quarter. We were at $8.45 million and 13.4%, respectively. ISG reported adjusted net income for 2Q26 of $5.0 million, or $0.10 per share, compared with adjusted net income of $4.1 million, or $0.08 per share, in 2Q25. We had projected $4.4 million and $0.09/sh.


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