slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com, Author at Channelchek

ONE Group Hospitality (STKS) – Activist Investor Sees $10+ Stock in 12-18 Months

Posted on September 30, 2025September 30, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Activist Investor. Randian Capital, part of the “retail activist” group behind the sharp rise in Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) stock from less than a $1 mid-summer to around $8.20 today, released on social media platform X a turnaround proposal for The ONE Group. In a nutshell, the plan consists of Refocus the Portfolio, Revitalize the Brand, Strengthen Operations, and Capital Discipline & Growth. Radian sees a path to a $10+ stock over the next 12-18 months. STKS shares rose over 26% yesterday on the news.

Refocus & Revitalize. Randian calls for ONE Group to refocus solely on its Benihana concept, selling off all other concepts. The activist investor believes the STK concept alone could be worth more than the current market cap. Randian suggests rebranding as Benihana Group and changing the stock symbol. Revitalization by elevating the dining experience and engaging with cultural icons, among other changes.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Letter Contracts to Contract Awards

Posted on September 30, 2025September 30, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Tuesday, September 30, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Contract Awards. As anticipated, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) awarded CoreCivic two new contracts, which, once fully activated, would generate total annual revenue of approximately $200 million. The two facilities, California City and Midwest Regional, had been operating under Letter Contracts with ICE, which enable CoreCivic to begin operations at a facility while negotiating a longer-term contract. Both facilities were idle at the beginning of the year.

California City. CoreCivic has been preparing to accept detainees at the 2,560-bed California City facility since April 1, 2025. The Company began receiving detainees at the facility on August 27, 2025. Management currently expects the activation to be complete in 1Q26, achieving a normalized run-rate in 2Q26. Total annual revenue, once the activation is complete, is expected to be approximately $130 million. The new contract expires in August 2027.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) – U.S. Coal as a Strategic and Competitive Advantage

Posted on September 30, 2025September 30, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Tuesday, September 30, 2025

ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Investments to reinvigorate the U.S. coal industry. The U.S. Department of Energy announced a $625 million program to expand and reinvigorate the U.S. coal industry. This includes $350 million to recommission or modernize coal power units, $175 million for coal power projects directly benefiting rural communities, $50 million to support advanced wastewater management systems to enable coal plants to extend their service life and reduce operational costs, $25 million for dual-firing retrofits, and $25 million for development and testing of natural gas cofiring systems.

Expanded coal leasing on federal lands. Moreover, the U.S. Department of the Interior announced it is making up to 13.1 million acres of federal land available for coal leasing and streamlining approvals for projects. The Department is accelerating efforts to fast-track projects that can recover strategic minerals from mine waste and abandoned sites. The One Big Beautiful Bill, passed on July 4, established lower coal leasing royalty rates of not more than 7% for both surface and underground mines for the period July 4, 2025, to September 30, 2034.

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Gold Hits Record High Above $3,800 as Dollar Weakens and US Shutdown Looms

Posted on September 30, 2025September 30, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Gold extended its powerful rally on Monday, breaking above $3,800 an ounce for the first time as a weaker dollar and growing political uncertainty in Washington sent investors rushing toward safe-haven assets. The move underscores gold’s role as one of the top-performing investments of 2025, with prices already soaring more than 45% year-to-date.

Spot gold climbed as much as 2% to $3,833.59 an ounce, eclipsing last week’s record and securing a seventh consecutive weekly advance. The broader precious metals complex followed suit, with silver, platinum, and palladium also notching sizable gains. Silver jumped to $46.87, its highest level since 2011, while platinum briefly traded above $1,600 for the first time in more than a decade.

The surge comes as investors brace for the possibility of a US government shutdown. Without a short-term spending deal, federal funding will lapse this week, stalling critical government services and delaying key economic data releases, including September’s jobs report. Such an outcome could inject fresh volatility into financial markets, intensifying demand for gold as a defensive asset.

At the same time, the dollar slipped against major peers, further fueling gold’s rise. A softer greenback typically makes precious metals more affordable for international buyers, expanding global demand. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2% on Monday, extending recent weakness as traders weighed the implications of fiscal gridlock in Washington.

Beyond near-term political risks, gold continues to benefit from shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Weaker job growth or signs of cooling inflation could strengthen the case for another rate cut when the Fed meets in October. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making the metal more attractive to both institutional and retail investors.

Despite ongoing debate among Fed officials about the pace of easing, markets are increasingly betting on additional support. That prospect, coupled with concerns about the central bank’s independence amid political pressures, has encouraged investors to seek hedges in tangible assets such as gold.

This year’s rally has been reinforced by sustained demand from both central banks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Gold-backed ETFs now hold their largest reserves since 2022, reflecting consistent inflows as investors look to diversify portfolios and guard against macroeconomic risks. Meanwhile, central banks across Asia and the Middle East have continued adding to their bullion reserves, contributing to persistent tightness in the physical market.

Silver, platinum, and palladium markets are also showing signs of strain. Analysts note that lease rates — the cost of borrowing metal — for these commodities have surged well above normal levels, signaling limited availability. Additional volatility may emerge as the US reviews potential tariffs on platinum-group metals, a move that could further squeeze supply.

With gold repeatedly setting new highs, questions are mounting about whether the rally is overextended. Yet many analysts argue bullion remains reasonably priced relative to the dollar and Treasury markets. As long as political risks remain elevated, the dollar stays under pressure, and the Fed leans toward easing, gold may continue to climb into uncharted territory.

For investors, the latest breakout reinforces gold’s dual role as both a crisis hedge and a long-term portfolio stabilizer. If Washington fails to reach a spending compromise, the metal’s safe-haven status could push prices toward fresh records before year-end.

Genmab to Acquire Merus in $8 Billion Deal, Strengthening Oncology Pipeline

Posted on September 29, 2025September 29, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Danish biotechnology company Genmab (Nasdaq: GMAB) has agreed to acquire Dutch oncology firm Merus (Nasdaq: MRUS) in an all-cash transaction valued at roughly $8 billion, a move that significantly expands Genmab’s late-stage pipeline and accelerates its push toward a fully owned operating model.

Under the terms of the deal, Genmab will pay $97.00 per share for all outstanding common shares of Merus, representing a premium of more than 40% over Merus’ most recent closing price. The boards of both companies have unanimously approved the transaction, which is expected to close by the first quarter of 2026 pending regulatory and shareholder approvals.

The acquisition brings Merus’ lead asset, petosemtamab, into Genmab’s pipeline. The bispecific antibody therapy, currently in Phase 3 clinical trials, has received two Breakthrough Therapy Designations from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for treatment of head and neck cancers. Recent Phase 2 data presented at the 2025 ASCO meeting indicated promising efficacy, with outcomes surpassing standard of care benchmarks.

The addition of petosemtamab is expected to bolster Genmab’s transition to a fully owned model, reducing reliance on partnerships and collaborations. By 2027, Genmab anticipates four proprietary programs reaching the commercial stage, positioning the company for multiple new product launches within oncology.

Petosemtamab’s potential launch as early as 2027 could deliver significant commercial impact, with projections suggesting annual sales of $1 billion by 2029 and the possibility of multi-billion-dollar revenues in the longer term. Genmab expects the acquisition to become accretive to EBITDA before the end of the decade.

The $8 billion consideration will be financed through a combination of cash on hand and approximately $5.5 billion in debt, backed by commitments from Morgan Stanley Senior Funding. Genmab stated it remains committed to deleveraging, with a target of reducing gross leverage below three times within two years of closing.

A tender offer for Merus shares will launch in the coming weeks. If successful, the transaction will result in Merus becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Genmab. Shareholders who do not tender their shares are expected to receive equivalent value through statutory buy-out proceedings in the Netherlands.

The deal highlights the intense competition among biotech companies to secure late-stage oncology assets with strong regulatory momentum. By integrating Merus’ multispecific antibody expertise, Genmab gains not only a promising drug candidate but also a platform that complements its own antibody development technologies.

For Merus, the acquisition provides the scale and resources of a global biotechnology leader to advance petosemtamab through late-stage development, regulatory review, and potential commercialization.

With a strong balance sheet, an expanded pipeline, and an emphasis on proprietary innovation, Genmab is positioning itself to compete more directly with larger global oncology players in the second half of the decade.

Steelcase (SCS) – A Better Than Expected 2Q26

Posted on September 26, 2025September 26, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Friday, September 26, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q26. In what is likely the Company’s final quarterly report as a public company, Steelcase reported better than expected results. Results benefitted from continued strengthening of demand from large corporate customers and International growth driven by India, China, and the United Kingdom. Improved International volume drove a $5 million reduction in y-o-y adjusted operating loss in the International segment. These were Steelcase’s highest quarterly results over the past five years.

Financials. Revenue of $897.1 million rose 4.8% y-o-y and exceeded the $890 million high end of management’s guidance. We were at $875 million. Gross margin of 34.4% was flat y-o-y and exceeded the 33.5% high end of guidance. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $99.6 million, or 11.1% of revenue, up from $89.5 million and 10.5% in 2Q25. Adjusted EPS was $0.45, versus $0.39 last year and above management’s $0.40 high end guide. We were at $0.36.

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AZZ (AZZ) – Revising Estimates; Growth Outlook Remains Favorable

Posted on September 26, 2025September 26, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Friday, September 26, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updating estimates. We are lowering our second-quarter revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS estimates to $428.3 million, $93.4 million, and $1.54, respectively, from $433.5 million, $101.1 million, and $1.59. While we have increased our revenue estimate for the Metal Coatings segment, we lowered expectations for Precoat Metals due to anticipated weakness in building construction. Our FY 2026 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS estimates are $1.660 billion, $374.9 million, and $6.00, respectively, compared to our prior estimates of $1.680 billion, $388.3 million, and $6.00. Our revised estimates reflect lower interest expense, along with modestly lower depreciation and amortization expense.

Organic and acquired growth. AZZ’s three-year goals include generating sales of two billion dollars or more in fiscal year 2028, compared to its trailing twelve-month sales of $1.6 billion. Organic growth is expected to exceed GDP growth, and AZZ is targeting acquisitions that strengthen both of its business segments. While we do not forecast sales of $2.0 billion until 2031, our model does not reflect acquisitions until they are announced.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Heightened Risk in Ecuador

Posted on September 26, 2025September 26, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Friday, September 26, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. As an exploration company, Aurania does not generate revenue and has expenses to advance its projects. During the second quarter of 2025, the company generated a net loss of C$1,610,843 or C$0.01 per share. We had projected a loss of C$1,432,419 or C$0.01 per share. The variance to our estimate was mostly due to higher exploration expenditures, along with higher stock-based compensation. We project a full-year 2025 net loss of C$11.1 million, or C$(0.10) per share, compared to our prior loss estimate of C$10.5 million, or C$(0.09) per share.

Mining service fee. Ecuador recently implemented a new mining service fee on the resource sector (refer to our note dated July 29, 2025). The Ecuadorian Control and Regulation Agency (ARCOM) requested payment from Aurania of US$2,012,618 by July 31, 2025, representing one month of the total annual fee of US$24,151,420. While the penalty for non-payment is unclear, we think Aurania is withholding payment until it becomes clear whether TASA will stand in its current form due to multiple constitutional challenges.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

U.S. Consumer Spending Surges in August, Inflation Pressures Mount

Posted on September 26, 2025September 26, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

U.S. consumer spending rose more than expected in August, reinforcing the strength of the economy even as inflation continued to edge higher. The Commerce Department reported that household expenditures advanced 0.6% last month, surpassing forecasts of a 0.5% gain and extending July’s 0.5% increase. The results suggest that the economy maintained much of its momentum from the second quarter, when growth hit its fastest pace in nearly two years.

Households increased spending across both services and goods. Travel and leisure categories saw notable gains, with more Americans booking airline tickets, staying in hotels, and dining out. Spending at restaurants and bars remained elevated, while recreational services also benefited from strong demand.

Goods purchases rose 0.8% in August, driven by sales of recreational equipment, clothing, and gasoline. Services spending, which accounts for the bulk of household consumption, advanced 0.5%, in line with the previous month.

This broad-based spending has been supported by wealth gains among higher-income households. Rising stock prices and elevated home values have bolstered balance sheets, allowing affluent consumers to maintain strong levels of discretionary spending. By contrast, lower-income families continue to face challenges from higher food and energy costs, as well as upcoming reductions in federal nutrition assistance programs.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, climbed 0.3% in August following a 0.2% gain in July. On a year-over-year basis, prices rose 2.7%, the largest annual increase since February. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy categories, remained elevated at 2.9%.

The acceleration in prices reflects the lingering impact of tariffs and supply constraints. Many businesses have so far absorbed part of the higher costs rather than pass them directly to consumers, but economists caution that this trend is unlikely to continue indefinitely. As inventories accumulated before tariffs are depleted, broader price pressures could emerge.

Personal income rose 0.4% in August, with a significant portion of the gain stemming from government transfer payments. Wage growth was comparatively modest at 0.3%, highlighting persistent weakness in the labor market. Job creation has slowed considerably in recent months due to policy uncertainty and tighter immigration rules, which have limited labor supply.

This divergence between resilient spending and softer hiring raises questions about the durability of consumption in the months ahead. While households are still fueling growth today, slower income gains could eventually restrain demand, especially if inflation remains elevated.

The Atlanta Fed currently projects third-quarter GDP growth of 3.3%, down slightly from the 3.8% expansion recorded in the second quarter. Analysts expect consumer spending to cool toward the end of the year as higher prices weigh on purchasing power and government support programs wind down.

For now, household consumption remains the key driver of U.S. economic expansion. Whether this momentum can continue in the face of rising inflation and labor market challenges will be a central focus for policymakers and investors heading into the final quarter of 2025.

Trump Expands Tariff Regime With Up to 100% Duties on Drugs, Furniture and Trucks

Posted on September 26, 2025September 26, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

President Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping new round of tariffs on Thursday, targeting industries from pharmaceuticals to heavy trucks and furniture in what marks one of the most aggressive expansions of his trade agenda to date. The tariffs will range from 30% to 100%, with the heaviest duties falling on patented prescription drugs unless their producers establish manufacturing facilities within the United States.

The pharmaceutical sector sits at the center of the new policy. Under the plan, companies that are not actively building domestic plants face tariffs as high as 100% on patented drugs imported into the U.S. The administration has framed the move as a way to push drugmakers to “reshore” production after years of relying on overseas supply chains.

The measures add new layers to Trump’s already extensive tariff program, which has been rolled out in waves since 2018. While the pharmaceutical duties were previewed earlier this year, the inclusion of industries such as furniture and heavy trucks represents a new front in the administration’s trade efforts.

The White House is also signaling plans to reshape semiconductor supply chains. According to administration officials, chipmakers will be asked to manufacture in the U.S. at least as many chips as they sell domestically, with tariffs applied to firms that fail to meet a 1:1 production-to-import ratio. The move comes amid concerns about the nation’s reliance on foreign-made semiconductors, a vulnerability highlighted by recent supply disruptions.

Trump has suggested using tariff revenue to support U.S. farmers who may be squeezed by the new trade measures. He has argued that while agricultural producers could feel pain in the short term, tariff-driven policy shifts would ultimately benefit them. Still, it remains unclear how relief would be delivered. Any bailout plan could run into legal hurdles, with the Supreme Court preparing to weigh in on challenges to the tariff program. Lower courts have previously ruled against aspects of the administration’s trade authority, raising the possibility that billions in tariff collections could be subject to refund.

The tariff announcement arrives as the U.S. and China move toward broader trade negotiations. Reports indicate the two nations are finalizing a large aircraft purchase by Beijing, potentially involving Boeing, which could serve as a centerpiece of a wider agreement. Trump has described the discussions with Chinese President Xi Jinping as “productive,” noting that the two leaders have agreed to continue talks in the coming months.

The administration has also linked progress in trade talks with other economic and political issues. Earlier this month, the White House confirmed that Oracle would participate in a U.S.-based consortium to manage TikTok operations, part of a wider effort to reshape the economic relationship between the world’s two largest economies.

Investors remain divided on the long-term effects of the new tariffs. While supporters argue the measures will bring manufacturing jobs back to U.S. soil and strengthen domestic industries, critics warn that higher costs could be passed on to consumers and businesses, dampening growth. The pharmaceutical sector, in particular, could face significant disruption as companies weigh the high costs of reshoring production against the risk of steep import penalties.

With the 2024–2025 trade agenda expanding rapidly, the coming months will test whether the administration can balance its protectionist push with the need to maintain global supply chains and avoid further economic strain.

Crypto Market Sell-Off Deepens Ahead of $22 Billion Options Expiry

Posted on September 26, 2025September 26, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Cryptocurrency markets extended losses on Thursday as Bitcoin, Ether, and other digital assets tumbled in a week marked by heavy liquidations, ETF outflows, and growing caution across risk assets. The slide comes just a day before a massive $22 billion in options tied to the two largest tokens is set to expire, amplifying volatility across trading desks.

Bitcoin fell below $110,000 for the first time in four weeks, shedding more than 3% by late afternoon in New York. Ether fared worse, dropping as much as 8% intraday to below $4,000 before trimming losses. The sell-off spread quickly to smaller tokens, with Solana, Dogecoin, and Cronos posting declines of 6% to 10%.

The rout has erased more than $140 billion in market value this week, according to CoinMarketCap data. Analysts note that the pressure has been fueled by forced unwinds of leveraged positions on offshore exchanges, where opaque reporting and differing index rules can magnify price swings. More than $1.6 billion in long positions was liquidated earlier in the week, with an additional $500 million cleared in the past 24 hours alone.

Ether has faced particular selling pressure, with U.S.-listed exchange-traded funds seeing nearly $300 million in net outflows since Monday. That shift in flows has coincided with technical breakdowns, raising the risk of further liquidations if the token slips decisively below $3,800. A deeper slide could drag on listed companies that hold large amounts of Ether and Bitcoin on their balance sheets, since these so-called digital-asset treasury stocks trade as leveraged proxies for underlying coin prices.

The sell-off also weighed on publicly traded crypto-related firms. Robinhood and Coinbase both lost more than 3% on Thursday, while mining and digital asset infrastructure companies posted similar declines. Investor sentiment toward the “treasury model,” where firms hold cryptocurrencies as part of their capital strategy, has weakened as premiums over net asset value narrow and new issuance dilutes holders.

Beyond crypto-specific factors, the broader macro environment has added pressure. U.S. equities pulled back from recent record highs amid worries that enthusiasm around artificial intelligence may have overheated valuations. Uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path continues to ripple through risk assets. At the same time, the Treasury’s efforts to refill its General Account by issuing new debt has acted as a liquidity drain, redirecting capital away from speculative markets such as digital assets.

Despite the turbulence, Bitcoin and Ether remain among the year’s best-performing major assets, still up significantly from 2024 levels. Crypto advocates point out that historically, September has been one of the more volatile months for digital assets, with the final quarter often delivering stronger seasonal tailwinds.

Friday’s options expiry could prove pivotal. Roughly $17 billion in contracts tied to Bitcoin and $5.3 billion linked to Ether are due to roll off, a notional value large enough to trigger outsized price swings depending on how traders reposition. Market watchers suggest that whether Bitcoin can hold above $110,000 and Ether above $3,800 will help set the tone for the next leg of trading into year-end.

For now, caution is dominating sentiment, as investors weigh the possibility of further liquidations against the backdrop of one of the largest options expirations of the year.

Release – FAT Brands Inc. – Fatburger Returns to Japan with New Development Deal in Okinawa

Posted on September 25, 2025September 25, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

09/25/2025

Iconic All-American Burger Chain to Open Four Locations in Okinawa Over The Next Five Years

LOS ANGELES, Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc., parent company of Fatburger and 17 other restaurant concepts, announces a new partnership with Green Micro Factory Inc. to bring the beloved burger brand back to Japan. Four locations will open in Okinawa over the next five years, with the first unit slated to open before the end of the year.

“Okinawa presents a strategic opportunity for our return to Japan with its robust tourism and steady foot traffic generated by its military base presence,” said Taylor Wiederhorn, Chief Development Officer of FAT Brands. “We see our debut in Okinawa as the first step in our broader growth across the country as we look to win locals over with our custom-built burgers, Fat and Skinny Fries, hand-scooped milkshakes, and more.”

Ever since the first Fatburger opened in Los Angeles over 70 years ago, the chain has been known for its delicious, grilled-to-perfection and cooked-to-order burgers. Founder Lovie Yancey believed that a big burger with everything on it is a meal in itself; at Fatburger “everything” is not just the usual roster of toppings. Burgers can be customized with everything from bacon and eggs to chili and onion rings. In addition to its famous burgers, the Fatburger menu also includes Fat and Skinny Fries, sweet potato fries, scratch-made onion rings, Impossible^™ Burgers, turkeyburgers, hand-breaded crispy chicken sandwiches, and hand-scooped milkshakes made from 100 percent real ice cream.

For more information on Fatburger, visit www.fatburger.com.

###

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual and polished casual dining restaurant concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 18 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Smokey Bones, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

About Fatburger

An all-American, Hollywood favorite, Fatburger is a fast-casual restaurant serving big, juicy, tasty burgers, crafted specifically to each customer’s liking. With a legacy spanning over 70 years, Fatburger’s extraordinary quality and taste inspire fierce loyalty amongst its fan base, which includes a number of A-list celebrities and athletes. Featuring a contemporary design and ambiance, Fatburger offers an unparalleled dining experience, demonstrating the same dedication to serving gourmet, homemade, custom-built burgers as it has since 1952 – The Last Great Hamburger Stand^™.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the timing and performance of new store openings and area development agreements. Forward-looking statements reflect expectations of FAT Brands Inc. (“we” or “our”) concerning the future and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies. These factors are difficult to predict and beyond our control, and could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other factors. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

MEDIA CONTACT:
Erin Mandzik, FAT Brands
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Source: FAT Brands Inc.

Jobless Claims Fall to 218,000, Beating Expectations as Economic Data Shows Resilience

Posted on September 25, 2025September 25, 2025 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly declined last week, signaling continued resilience in the labor market even as hiring has slowed and the Federal Reserve keeps a close eye on economic momentum.

Initial claims for unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 218,000 for the week ending Sept. 20, according to the Labor Department. That was a drop of 14,000 from the prior week’s upwardly revised level and came in well below the consensus forecast of 235,000. Continuing claims, which measure those still receiving benefits, edged slightly lower to 1.926 million.

The latest claims figures arrive against a backdrop of uncertainty about the economy’s trajectory. Payroll growth has cooled, and job openings remain at multiyear lows. The Fed recently responded by cutting its benchmark borrowing rate by a quarter percentage point to a range of 4% to 4.25%, its first reduction of 2025. Policymakers cited rising risks to employment as one factor behind the decision.

Still, the claims data suggests companies remain hesitant to lay off workers despite a noticeable pullback in hiring. Volatility in weekly figures continues, with Texas accounting for a sizable portion of recent swings, but the broader picture points to a labor market that is holding firmer than many expected.

Beyond the employment data, Thursday also brought signs of strength in other corners of the economy. Gross domestic product for the second quarter was revised sharply higher to an annualized gain of 3.8%. That marked a half-point improvement from the prior estimate and reflected stronger consumer spending than initially reported. Personal consumption, which makes up about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose at a 2.5% pace, well above earlier estimates and the tepid 0.6% increase seen in the first quarter.

Durable goods orders added to the positive picture. Purchases of long-lasting items such as appliances, aircraft, and computers climbed 2.9% in August, defying forecasts for a decline and reversing a steep drop from July. Even excluding transportation equipment, orders grew 0.4% in the month and 1.9% when defense-related spending was excluded, underscoring broad-based demand.

The housing sector, which has been under pressure from higher borrowing costs, also showed signs of improvement. Sales of newly built homes jumped 20.5% in August, the largest monthly gain since early 2022. Existing home sales came in slightly ahead of expectations at an annualized rate of 4 million.

Taken together, the data paints a picture of an economy that continues to expand despite headwinds from tighter credit conditions, shifting trade policies, and global geopolitical challenges. Markets currently anticipate that the Fed will follow through with two more rate cuts before the end of the year, at its October and December meetings.

While policymakers acknowledge that growth is being restrained by elevated borrowing costs, they also see resilience across consumer spending, business investment, and labor markets. That combination has kept the outlook more balanced than some had feared heading into the final stretch of 2025.