Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

Unicycive Therapeutics (UNCY) – 1Q24 Reported With Pivotal OLC Data Coming In 2Q24

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pivotal Trial Data Expected During 2Q24. Unicycive reported an Operating Loss of $9.2 million, with a Net Loss of $21.2 million or $(0.61) per share. Importantly, the pivotal trial for OLC, its phosphate binder in development to treat hyperphosphatemia in kidney dialysis patients, is on schedule to report topline data in 2Q24. We anticipate an FDA filing for approval in 2H24. Cash on March 31, 2024, was $48.9 million.

OLC Data in 2Q24 With NDA Expected Later In 2024. The pivotal trial is an open-label single arm study. Its primary endpoint is tolerability, with secondary endpoints of safety and pharmacokinetics. Statistical analysis is not required. The trial has a target enrollment of 60 patients. Once the study is completed, a new drug application (NDA) is expected shortly afterward. We anticipate standard FDA review time, with approval in mid-2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Post Call Commentary and Updated Model

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Operating Environment.  The operating environment remains relatively unchanged in terms of the overall macro environment, the availability of top talent, labor force participation, quit rates, and some other key labor factors. We continue to believe Kelly is well positioned to capitalize on any improvement in the operating environment.

Adjusted EBITDA Margin. The sale of the lower margin European Staffing business combined with management’s focus on cost reduction is showing up in the financial results, with adjusted EBITDA margin up 120bp year-over-year. We expect a similar improvement in 2Q24 and the MRP acquisition likely will drive margins even higher.


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Cocrystal Pharma (COCP) – 1Q24 Reported With Clinical Data Milestones On Schedule

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics that target the replication process of influenza viruses, coronaviruses (including SARS-CoV-2), hepatitis C viruses and noroviruses. Cocrystal employs unique structure-based technologies and Nobel Prize-winning expertise to create first- and best-in-class antiviral drugs. For further information about Cocrystal, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Clinical Milestones Are On Schedule. Cocrystal reported 1Q loss of $4.0 million or $(0.39) per share. During the quarter,  the company made progress on its clinical trials and reiterated upcoming milestones for its Phase 1 trial testing CDI-988 in norovirus and COVID-19 and its Phase 2a trial testing CC-42344 in influenza. Cash on March 31, 2024, was $21.8 million.

Results Expected Shortly From The CC-42344 Influenza Virus Program. CC-42344 is an oral PB2 inhibitor in development against a broad spectrum of pandemic and seasonal influenza stains. Enrollment for the current Phase 2a human-challenge study was completed in May 2024. This trial is being conducted in the UK, with data expected to be reported in 2H24. The company has received FDA guidance on the IND filing requirements for Phase 2b trials. The IND filing is expected in 2H24.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Information Services Group (III) – Slower Decisions Mean Slower Revenue

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 13, 2024

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 700 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,300 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For additional information, visit www.ISG-One.com

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Continued Slow Environment. ISG’s performance continued to be impacted by slower client decision making. Clients are taking longer to commit to new investments and are developing their AI strategy. We believe that the decision making will continue to affect the Company over the fiscal year, however, the impact will lessen over the quarters as clients start to spend more.

Recurring Revenue. Management’s focus on increasing its recurring revenue continues to be showcased, as half the revenue during the quarter was recurring. The Company’s services on platforms such as GovernX and ProBenchmark continue to experience increased demand and the addition of Ventana Research is providing new relationships, potentially increasing opportunities for cross-selling, in our view. With AI looming, ISG is poised to strike with its AI services when businesses start to invest more in the technology.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FAT Brands (FAT) – Facing Civil and Criminal Charges

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 13, 2024

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Criminal Charges. On Friday, it was announced the U.S. Attorney’s Office, Central District of California indicted former CEO Andrew Wiederhorn, former CFO Rebecca Hershinger, and the Company’s former accountant. The indictment is for the scheme to conceal $47 million in distributions Mr. Wiederhorn received in the form of shareholder loans from the IRS, FAT’s minority shareholders, and the broader investing public.

Civil Charges. Simultaneously, the SEC filed a civil complaint accusing Mr. Wiederhorn of using FAT cash to fund his lifestyle, while falsely telling the Company’s auditors, Board of Directors, and investors that neither he nor his family members had any direct or indirect material interest in the FAT cash used by Mr. Wiederhorn for personal expenditures.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Best Revenue in 18 Quarters

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 13, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

ICE Pops. After topping out at over 39,000 in late February, ICE detainee population fell to about 36,900 by quarter’s end, finally bottoming out in late April in the low 34,000 level before rising once again over the past few weeks. CoreCivic ICE pops followed a similar pattern ending last week at 10,310.

Margins. With higher populations across federal, state, and local partners, higher occupancy rates, normalizing staffing cost and inflation, and per diem increases, operating margin improved once again in 1Q24. We anticipate additional improvement in 2024. Safety segment operating margin rose 210bp to 23.5%, while Community segment operating margin rose 1,120bp to 27.7%.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – Result hurt by production declines and low pricing but help may be coming

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 13, 2024

InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Production results were below expectations as extremely cold weather affected wells. InPlay was actively drilling in the first quarter. Several wells were completed at the end of the quarter and should help out next quarter’s production. The resumption of drilling in a prolific region this fall should lead to higher production in 2025.

Pricing remains an issue as the discount to WTI oil prices remains large, but the discount shows signs of improving. The discount between realized prices and WTI oil prices (as expressed in Canadian dollars) remains wide. New oil and gas pipelines in western Canada should lower the discount. Oil and gas futures already indicate as much.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Looking For A Strong Finish To The Year

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 13, 2024

The E.W. Scripps Company (NASDAQ: SSP) is a diversified media company focused on creating a better-informed world. As one of the nation’s largest local TV broadcasters, Scripps serves communities with quality, objective local journalism and operates a portfolio of 61 stations in 41 markets. The Scripps Networks reach nearly every American through the national news outlets Court TV and Newsy and popular entertainment brands ION, Bounce, Defy TV, Grit, ION Mystery, Laff and TrueReal. Scripps is the nation’s largest holder of broadcast spectrum. Scripps runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and is the longtime steward of the Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1878, Scripps has held for decades to the motto, “Give light and the people will find their own way.”

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q1 results. Q1 Revenue of $561.5 million was modestly below our estimate of $571.0 million by 1.7%. Adj. EBITDA  in the quarter of $91.8 million beat our estimate of $82.9 million by 10.7% . Notably, Q1 adj. EBITDA benefited from $15.2 million in high margin Political advertising, which was substantially higher than our estimate of $6.5 million, and from earlier cost reductions.

Raising political guide. Given the strong political advertising in Q1, management increased full year 2024 political advertising revenue guide from a range of $210 million to $250 million to a range of $240 million to $270 million. The very high margin (85% to 90%) Political advertising will allow the company to pare down debt.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Harte Hanks (HHS) – Revising Estimates Upward; Price Target Raised

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 13, 2024

Harte Hanks (NASDAQ: HHS) is a leading global customer experience company whose mission is to partner with clients to provide them with CX strategy, data-driven analytics and actionable insights combined with seamless program execution to better understand, attract, and engage their customers. Using its unparalleled resources and award-winning talent in the areas of Customer Care, Fulfillment and Logistics, and Marketing Services, Harte Hanks has a proven track record of driving results for some of the world’s premier brands including Bank of America, GlaxoSmithKline, Unilever, Pfizer, HBOMax, Volvo, Ford, FedEx, Midea, Sony, and IBM among others. Headquartered in Chelmsford, Massachusetts , Harte Hanks has over 2,500 employees in offices across the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific .

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Revenues trending better than expected. The first quarter revenue “beat” indicates favorable revenue trends at the company, which appears likely to swing toward positive revenue growth in the next few quarters. Revenues are moderating at a fast clip, from down 12.6% in Q3 2023, to down 9.6% in Q4 2023 to down a modest 3.5% in Q1 (which beat our down 4.5% estimate). Q2 revenues are expected to decline a modest 0.5%.

Margins expected to improve. As the company reimagines its business, we expect that cost cutting actions should substantially improve margins in coming quarters. We expect adj. EBITDA margins to increase to the low double digits. As such, we are raising our Q3 and Q4 adj. EBITDA estimates by 32% and 26%, respectively. 


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Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Digital Gains Traction

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, May 10, 2024

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q1 results. The company reported revenue of $99.6 million, modestly beating our estimate of $98.4 million by 1.3%. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $17.5 million, beating our estimate of $16.4 million by 6.8%. The quarter benefited from a swing toward growth in digital advertising (up 1.3%) and better than expected core broadcast advertising. Notably, Digital now accounts for 53% of total company revenues and cash flow, at least double that of its peers.

Interactive subs increase in March. The company added net subscribers in March, which continued in April, indicating that this business is on track to return toward revenue growth, likely in Q1 2025. Furthermore, Revenue Per Unit (RPU) for new sales appear to be increasing. We believe that new features such as Customer Relationship Management (CRM), Text and Email marketing, and integration into QuickBooks, all contribute to an enhanced revenue outlook.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The ODP Corporation (ODP) – Post Call Commentary and Updated Model

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, May 10, 2024

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Varis. The big news for the quarter was the decision to put the Varis unit up for sale. While we believe the long-term business opportunity for Varis is attractive, the business was just taking too long to ramp up for the amount of investment ODP was pumping into the unit. We will see what type of return the sale brings, but in any case, the reduction of costs will be favorable.

Project Core. This cost optimization program is delivering significant benefits to ODP’s overall operating results and with the program upsized to $100 million from $50 million, Project Core should provide solid opportunity to reduce cost, in our view. It will be a key driver for improved bottom line results.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

SelectQuote (SLQT) – Fiscal Q3 Beat; Strategic Initiatives Paying Off

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, May 10, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Impressive results. The company reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $376.4 million, beating our estimate of $341.8 million. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $46.6 million, also beating our estimate, which was $40.3 million. The robust 26% revenue growth was driven primarily by Pharmacy revenue, which grew 80% over the prior year period.

Strong OEP. Revenue from the Senior segment was 20% better than our estimate, indicating a favorable Medicare Advantage Open Enrollment Period for the company. Notably, Senior segment adj. EBITDA margins were 30% in the quarter.   


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Saga Communications (SGA) – A Little More Revenue Could Fix It

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, May 10, 2024

Saga Communications, Inc. is a broadcast company whose business is primarily devoted to acquiring, developing and operating radio stations. Saga currently owns or operates broadcast properties in 27 markets, including 79 FM and 33 AM radio stations. Saga’s strategy is to operate top billing radio stations in mid sized markets, defined as markets ranked (by market revenues) from 20 to 200. Saga’s radio stations employ a myriad of programming formats, including Active Rock, Adult Album Alternative, Adult Contemporary, Country, Classic Country, Classic Hits, Classic Rock, Contemporary Hits Radio, News/Talk, Oldies and Urban Contemporary. In operating its stations, Saga concentrates on the development of strong decentralized local management, which is responsible for the day-to-day operations of the stations in their market area and is compensated based on their financial performance as well as other performance factors that are deemed to effect the long-term ability of the stations to achieve financial objectives. Saga began operations in 1986 and became a publicly traded company in December 1992. The stock trades on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol “SGA”.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 results. The company reported Q1 revenue of $24.7 million, marginally beating our estimate of $24.3 million. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $0.2 million, which missed our estimate of $1.7 million. The “miss” was due to extra ordinary expenses including streaming costs, healthcare, wages, and bad debt. Some of these costs are not expected to continue into subsequent quarters.

2024 outlook. We view 2024 as a year of transition for the company, given its increased focus and investment in growing digital and national revenue. Notably, management highlighted that its online news service is expected to have 18 different websites operational by the end of June, and its acquisition of five radio stations located in Lafayette, Indiana is expected to close by June 1. 


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.