AdTheorent (ADTH) – Highlights From Noblecon19: A Swing Towards Growth


Tuesday, December 19, 2023

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noblecon19. On December 4th, management presented at Noblecon19 at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) in Boca Raton, Florida, to the investment community. The presentation conducted by Patrick Elliott highlighted the company’s award winning machine learning technology and sizeable opportunities for company growth. A replay of the presentation can be viewed at: https://www.channelchek.com/videos/adtheorent-noblecon19-replay

Favorable growth trends. The company is experiencing a number of favorable growth trends. Notably, the company’s self-service platform was its fastest growing product offering in 2023 and is expected to be a significant driver of growth in 2024. Additionally, the company is well positioned to benefit from the growing usage of Connected TV (CTV) and has sizeable room for growth in its healthcare vertical.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bluebird Bio Announces $150 Million Public Offering to Fund Approved Gene Therapies

Cambridge-based gene therapy developer Bluebird Bio announced a public offering of $150 million in common stock to raise capital supporting its three approved treatments and provide working capital.

The pioneer in gene therapies will offer shares on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol BLUE, with underwriters granted a 30-day option to purchase an additional $22.5 million in stock. Bluebird stated the final size and terms remain subject to market conditions.

Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan are serving as joint book runners on the deal, with Raymond James as co-manager on the offering. All shares sold will come directly from Bluebird Bio.

Proceeds from the public stock sale will specifically further commercialization, manufacturing, and launch efforts behind the company’s newly approved gene therapies – Zynteglo for beta thalassemia, Skysona for cerebral adrenoleukodystrophy, and Lyfgenia for sickle cell disease.

The capital raise also provides balance sheet support as Bluebird continues its transition into a fully-integrated commercial biotech selling proprietary therapies targeting rare diseases.

Analysts see the offering as a move to seize current investor enthusiasm and strengthen Bluebird’s financial position after a turbulent few years adjusting to regulatory setbacks.

With three potent gene therapies now approved since August 2022, Bluebird looks to ride accelerating momentum as its treatments reach more patients globally. But the specialized nature of gene therapy production and administration constrains rapid scaling despite massive market opportunities.

Hefty expenses can also accrue during the early stages of drug launches pending insurance coverage and reimbursement decisions country by country.

Tuesday’s proposed $150 million offering suggests management sees room to accelerate growth in 2024 while demand runs hot for novel gene therapies.

Gene Therapies Target Root Causes of Diseases by Manipulating Genes

The permanent gene corrections from one-time gene therapy represent potential cures promising to revolutionize treatment for blood disorders, cancers, inherited disorders and degenerative diseases.

After gene therapy showed immense promise in the 2010s, developmental and safety hurdles caused temporary setbacks for the emerging category.

But breakthrough approvals over the past 18 months from Bluebird and others have reinvigorated investor appetite to fund the next generation of radical genetic medicines now reaching patients in need.

While small in patient size, the market chances to generate multi-billion sales treating high unmet needs in rare diseases with no other solutions for the underlying condition.

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan’s involvement arranging Bluebird’s latest stock sale reflects rising investor intrigue and renewed confidence in realizing gene therapy’s paradigm-changing potential after past stumbles.

Still Long Road Ahead as Gene Therapies Slowly Build Adoption

However, analysts caution the road remains long translating hype into real revenues as gene therapy faces entrenched barriers preventing mass adoption anytime soon.

Priced at over $2 million per treatment, gene therapies today dispense more hope than profit for developers. Reimbursement pushback from insurers and intense medical limitations temper growth projections.

Bluebird’s approved drugs currently treat tiny populations measured in the single digit thousands globally. But success establishing coverage helps pave the way for expanding into wider therapeutic indications in time.

With fresh financing now on tap, Bluebird Bio stock offers a investment into a maturing gene therapy leader well-positioned to ride coming decades of medical advancements illuminating genetics’ role beating back disease.

Yet expectations likely stay muted near-term for all gene therapy plays absent key inflection events bringing more treatments past global regulatory gates.

Release – Hemisphere Energy Announces Management Appointment and Grants Incentive Stock Options

Research News and Market Data on HMENF

Vancouver, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – December 18, 2023) – Hemisphere Energy Corporation (TSXV: HME) (OTCQX: HMENF) (“Hemisphere” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce the appointment of Ashley Ramsden-Wood as Chief Development Officer.

Ms. Ramsden-Wood has served as Vice President of Engineering at Hemisphere since 2014 and has been instrumental in the successful growth and development of the Company. Along with her technical engineering strengths, Ms. Ramsden-Wood provides invaluable contributions to corporate affairs, capital planning, business development, strategic growth initiatives, and financial performance analysis.

Additionally, in accordance with the Company’s stock option plan, the Company has granted incentive stock options to purchase up to 1.37 million common shares to directors, officers, and investor relations personnel at an exercise price of $1.27 per share until December 15, 2028.

About Hemisphere Energy Corporation

Hemisphere is a dividend-paying Canadian oil company focused on maximizing value per share growth with the sustainable development of its high netback, low decline conventional heavy oil assets through polymer flood enhanced recovery methods. Hemisphere trades on the TSX Venture Exchange as a Tier 1 issuer under the symbol “HME” and on the OTCQX Venture Marketplace under the symbol “HMENF”.

For further information, please visit the Company’s website at www.hemisphereenergy.ca to view its corporate presentation or contact:

Don Simmons, President & Chief Executive Officer
Telephone: (604) 685-9255
Email: info@hemisphereenergy.ca

Website: www.hemisphereenergy.ca

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

Meta Stock Skyrockets in Monumental Rebound From Brutal 2022

After a nightmarish 2022 saw Meta’s stock plunge over 60%, the company orchestrated a jaw-dropping turnaround in 2023 – with shares skyrocketing 178% year-to-date. This staggering rally cements 2023 as the best year ever for Meta’s stock, capping a remarkable validation of CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s intense push around “efficiency” and coast cuts.

The share price resurgence was fueled by Meta leanly rebuilding itself as an advertising titan laser-focused on what drives revenue today. Zuckerberg notably changed his tone in early 2023 – listening to shareholders, communicating more transparently, and realigning his priorities around the core ad business over capital intensive metaverse bets.

It represented a dramatic pivot from the seeming indifference to shareholder concerns that defined much of 2022 as Meta’s stock spiraled. After three straight quarters of declining sales, Zuckerberg admitted economic troubles and stiff competition had severely impacted projections.

2023 became Meta’s “year of efficiency” with sweeping layoffs and disciplined spending helping right the ship. Growth returned as digital advertising rebounded and Meta seized market share back from rivals Snap and Alphabet.

Crucially, Meta rapidly adapted its ad targeting to Apple’s 2021 privacy policy changes which had previously hammered revenue. Investments in artificial intelligence and machine learning helped Meta overcome the loss of certain user data – finding new ways to optimize ads despite disruptive forces.

The company also benefited enormously from booming advertising spend out of China looking to target Meta’s billions of users globally. This diversified another previous over-reliance on western advertisers.

Wall Street firmly rewarded Zuckerberg’s renewed focus and urgency regarding costs and care for the core business. But work remains heading into 2024 amidst lingering industry skepticism.

Meta still predicts an uncertain advertising landscape tied to geopolitical instability and the possibility of global recession. Its family of social apps also face intensifying governmental scrutiny and lawsuits related to mental health and data privacy concerns.

Plus the multi-billion dollar metaverse division continues bleeding substantial losses quarter after quarter – leading some analysts to demand bolder restructuring of that arm. Zuckerberg has trodden delicately here so far though, reluctant to fully abandon his vision.

And peril lies ahead in 2024 as digital behemoth Google plans to join Apple in phasing out certain ad tracking cookies from its dominant mobile ecosystems. This threatens a repeat of the mammoth revenue hit Meta only just recovered from and adapted to regarding Apple’s changes.

The regulatory ground also keeps shifting under the entire social media sector with legislative action repeatedly proposed on issues ranging from antitrust regulation to outright platform bans tied to national security concerns.

Upstart rival TikTok particularly remains an imposing threat having pioneered the culture-dominating short video format now ubiquitous across all social apps. Its popularity with younger demographics continues outpacing Meta’s offerings, forcing more ad dollars out of Meta’s reach as marketing follows shifting generational engagement.

Despite still monumental scale, Meta therefore heads towards 2024 with nervous investors recalling how quickly its business model faltered against the collision of multiple storm fronts in 2022. Its salvation came by sweating assets through job cuts and engineering revenue growth however possible in a battered online ad market.

But Meta likely needs more innovative long-term vision to guarantee sustained dominance as new technological and economic realities reshape its competitive landscape in dynamic ways year after year.

For now, as 2023 wraps historically, Mark Zuckerberg has earned a victory lap after boldly steering his tech empire back from the brink. Though clouds remain on the horizon, Meta proved it still has sharp reflexes and can reinvent itself when forced. The coming decade may demand that agility over and over as digital ways of life advance apace.

Japanese Steel Giant Nippon to Acquire U.S. Steel in $14.9 Billion Mega-Deal

In a tectonic deal poised to reshape the global steel industry, Japan’s largest steel producer, Nippon Steel, has announced a definitive agreement to acquire iconic American steelmaker United States Steel Corp. in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $14.9 billion.

The blockbuster acquisition represents a 142% premium over U.S. Steel’s share price since August 11th when the struggling American steel icon first announced a strategic review process to explore “all options” for the company. Nippon has already lined up the required financing to fund the transaction, which is predicted to face few antitrust or other regulatory hurdles.

Industry analysts see the merger as hugely beneficial for Nippon as it aggressively pushes towards its goal of 100 million metric tons in global crude steel capacity. Adding U.S. Steel’s substantial production footprint across the resurging American steel market and other regions drastically accelerates Nippon’s global growth trajectory.

The deal also provides Nippon strategic access to growing U.S. steel demand from automakers ramping up manufacturing after resolving recent strikes, as well as the booming renewable energy industry needing steel under incentives in the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act. With U.S. Steel struggling financially in recent quarters despite rosy market dynamics, it became an attractive takeover target this summer.

Nippon leadership emphasized the company’s decades of experience in the U.S. steel market through its existing Standard Steel business gives them confidence of seamlessly integrating American staff and existing unions. Nippon has committed to uphold all of U.S. Steel’s current obligations to employees, unions and collective bargaining agreements.

The brazen takeover reveals the rapid ongoing consolidation within steel markets across the world, as titans like Nippon and ArcelorMittal aggressively expand through mergers and acquisitions. For U.S. Steel, it represents the end of over a century operating as an independent industrial behemoth synonymous with American steel since its 1901 founding by magnates like J.P. Morgan and Andrew Carnegie.

While U.S. Steel searches for a new foreign owner, America’s two next largest steel producers by capacity—Nucor and Cleveland Cliffs—remain fiercely independent. Yet market watchers speculate they may also soon be targeted by hungry international steel conglomerates racing to build market share globally.

Ultimately, the Nippon deal provides a clear path forward for struggling U.S. Steel. But it also continues the trend of foreign takeovers changing the face of American steel with more production capacity and profits accruing abroad. The Biden administration must now scrutinize whether the deal sufficiently safeguards America’s economic and national security interests.

With Nippon expecting the acquisition to close sometime between Q2 and Q3 2024, it launches a new era for the changing U.S. steel industry now overshadowed by growing international forces. Only time will tell whether domestic steelmakers can thrive under new foreign management, or if America’s independent steel era has come to a close.

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) – Addressing Unmet Anticoagulation Needs In Orphan Populations


Monday, December 18, 2023

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating Coverage Of CVKD.  Cadrenal Therapeutics is developing tecarfarin, an oral anticoagulant for prevention of systemic thromboembolism (blood clots) in rare medical conditions where patients cannot take the commonly prescribed oral anticoagulants. The only available therapy is warfarin, a drug with wide variations in bloodstream levels that requires frequent monitoring to prevent side effects including excessive bleeding risk.

Phase 3 Trial Is Expected In 2024. The lead orphan indication for tecarfarin is in patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) with atrial fibrillation (AFib, irregular heartbeat). The ACTOR-AF Phase 3 trial has been designed as a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study testing tecarfarin against placebo. The amended protocol is expected to be submitted in 1H24 to allow patient treatment to begin in 2H24.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Extension of Credit Facility


Monday, December 18, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Amendment to Facility. Last week, GEO announced the Company closed on a Refinancing Revolving Credit Commitments Amendment to its Credit Agreement dated August 19, 2022. The amendment provides the refinancing of all of GEO’s outstanding revolving credit facility commitments.

Terms of the Amendment. The amendment provides for approximately $265 million in refinancing revolving credit commitments maturing on March 23, 2027. Prior to the amendment, a portion of the Company’s revolving credit commitments matured on May 17, 2024. The interest rate on outstanding revolving credit loans are determined with reference to the Company’s total leverage ratio. As of the release, the rate is a SOFR based rate (or roughly 5.31% as of December 15, 2023) plus 3.00% per annum. The Company currently has no outstanding borrowings under its revolving credit facility, as amended.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) – Changing Preferred Terms to Enhance Flexibility


Monday, December 18, 2023

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of products, systems, and services for advanced communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Telecommunications Transmission, Mobile Data Communications, and RF Microwave Amplifiers. The Telecommunications Transmission segment provides satellite earth station equipment and systems, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and forward error correction technology, which are used in various commercial and government applications, including backhaul of wireless and cellular traffic, broadcasting (including HDTV), IP-based communications traffic, long distance telephony, and secure defense applications. The Mobile Data Communications segment provides mobile satellite transceivers, and computers and satellite earth station network gateways and associated installation, training, and maintenance services; supplies and operates satellite packet data networks, including arranging and providing satellite capacity; and offers microsatellites and related components. The RF Microwave Amplifiers segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets satellite earth station traveling wave tube amplifiers (TWTA) and broadband amplifiers. Its amplifiers are used in broadcast and broadband satellite communication; defense applications, such as telecommunications systems and electronic warfare systems; and commercial applications comprising oncology treatment systems, as well as to amplify signals carrying voice, video, or data for air-to-satellite-to-ground communications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, broadcasters, defense contractors, military, governments, and oil companies. Comtech markets its products through independent representatives and value-added resellers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Enhancing Flexibility. Last week, Comtech filed a form 8-K revealing changes in the terms of its Series A Convertible Preferred Stock to enhance the Company’s financial flexibility. Essentially, Comtech is exchanging on a one-for-one basis the existing Series A Convertible Preferred shares for a new class of Series A-1 Convertible Preferred. With Comtech deep in negotiations to refinance its credit facility, any additional flexibility is a positive, in our view.

Ability to Raise $50 Million. For Comtech, the key change is the ability to issue up to $50 million of shares of common stock without the consent of the preferred holders, anytime through October 31, 2024. We would anticipate any funds raised through the issuance of new equity to be used to de-lever the Company.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Biotech Dealmaking Heats Up as Private Capital Charges Back In

A wave of multibillion dollar buyouts has swept the beaten-down biotech sector in recent months, marking a potential turning point for an industry hammered throughout 2022 – 2023.

With valuations of public companies still depressed, flush private investors have stepped up acquisitions of promising drug developers to bolster pipelines for the long-term. And in a bullish sign for the strategic direction of the space, therapeutics targeting high unmet needs and novel modalities remain key areas of focus amid dealmaking.

As macro gloom recedes, the renewed embrace of biotech M&A highlights a pivot back toward the innovation-driven spending required to sustain growth post-pandemic.

BMS Kicks Off Buying Spree With $13.2B Turning Point Deal

Bristol Myers Squibb fired the starting gun on big-ticket biopharma deals in October, announcing a $5.8 billion purchase of Mirati Therapeutics (MRTX). The buyout delivered a 122% premium in order to land Mirati’s promising portfolio of precision cancer medicines.

Market observers viewed the unsolicited, $58 per share bid as a credible benchmark of intrinsic value vigilantly researched by a strategic acquirer. Immediately in the deal aftermath, similar development-stage oncology names rallied sharply as traders priced in new takeout probabilities.

In fact, suitors moved swiftly to capitalize on improved biotech sentiment, with Horizon Therapeutics agreeing to a $26.4 billion around the same time. The transaction marked 2023’s largest healthcare buyout, further reinforcing peak valuations remain attainable for commercial-stage rare disease names.

Scaling Up to Compete in Gene Therapy

Gene therapy remains one especially alluring area for dealmaking despite lofty price tags. These ultra-rare disease medicines come with cure potential that commands premium sales and reimbursement pricing power.

Recognizing the imperative to bulk up gene therapy capabilities, Pfizer ponied up $5.4 billion to reinforce its genetic medicines pipeline through the acquisition of French outfit Vivet Therapeutics. The move added Vivet’s promising gene therapy for Wilson disease, along with manufacturing strengths across multiple delivery mechanisms.

And gene editing pioneer Sangamo Therapeutics is selling off its cell therapy assets to Sanofi for $700 million as it refocuses efforts around in vivo gene insertion. The deal hands Sanofi disruptive cell therapy technology utilizing precisely engineered zinc fingers to correct disease-causing mutations.

Analysts say more buyouts centered on next-gen platforms are likely on the horizon as drug developers vie for leadership in areas forecast to reshape therapeutic spaces.

Take a look at more biotechnology companies by looking at Noble Capital Markets’ Senior Research Analyst Robert LeBoyer’s coverage universe.

Private Capital Eagerly Steps in to Back Innovation

Beyond M&A from strategic acquirers, private equity firms have swooped in to capitalize on depressed biotech valuations. The robust dry powder levels built up during the boom years leave private investors eager to allocate while achieving advantageous cost bases.

Among notable deals, Angel Pond Capital teamed up with life science investor OrbiMed to take gene therapy biotech Generate Biomedicines private for $478 million. The transaction represented a 130% premium to ensure locking up Generate’s base editing technologies believed to be capable of correcting over 75% of known point mutations.

In cybersecurity and enterprise software, sponsor-led take privates had utterly dominated deal flow in 2022. But order books are now once again filling up with biotech buyouts from special purpose acquisition vehicles, highlighting a normalization in deal dynamics after last year’s freeze-out from rate-sensitive private market valuations.

Market Recovery Taking Shape

The fresh upswing in biotech M&A follows a wave of dip buying from some the world’s largest asset managers in shares of industry leaders like Vertex Pharmaceuticals and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has been particularly aggressive stepping in to purchase stakes in key biopharma bluechips.

Meanwhile, the fund-raising backdrop continues improving for earlier stage biotechs as well after deal activity all but shuttered for much of 2023. Multiple debt offerings and venture rounds have successfully priced in recent months, ensuring the all-important continuity of innovation cycling.

With fundamentals stabilizing and access to capital normalizing, the environment for biopharma dealmaking has markedly improved. Expect the momentum to carry through 2024 as drug developers position through M&A for the next, post-pandemic leg higher while private capital readily supports compelling technologies at discounted prices. The long-term health of the biotech ecosystem depends on transactions advancing today’s high-potential assets, and the industry appears to have emerged from its lull ready to strike the necessary deals.

Is a Market Recovery in Sight?

The stock market roared back to life on Thursday after the Federal Reserve laid out an ideal scenario for investors – falling inflation, rate cuts on the horizon, and an economy heading for a soft landing.

The Dow jumped nearly 500 points to top 37,000 for the first time ever, while the S&P 500 closed in on its record high from early 2022. And the interest rate-sensitive Russell 2000 small cap index outperformed larger benchmarks by over 50% as investors pivoted towards beaten-down areas of the market.

According to Noble Capital Markets’ CEO Nico Pronk, “this may be a market recovery happening in front of our eyes. We are seeing all the signs here.” Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated comments on Wednesday took the lid off the market’s concerns over surging rates upending the economy. The central bank’s updated forecasts now call for no more rate hikes in 2023, along with three 0.25% cuts in 2024.

That’s welcomed news for rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and regional banks that have been hammered for most of 2022 on fears of sustained higher borrowing costs. Regional banks popped nearly 5% on Thursday, extending a rally that has seen the group gain over 20% in the past month alone as the path towards rate cuts grows clearer.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq also continues to rebound, now up over 10% since mid-October, while the small cap Russell 2000 has exploded more than 20% over the same stretch. The index had given up all its pandemic-era gains earlier in 2022 amid rate hike jitters, but with a soft landing now in sight, it’s leading the way higher once again.

Pronk believes markets are moving towards a positive direction and showing strong signs of recovery.

Economic Experts Forecasted Markets Breakout

During an economic outlook panel at NobleCon19, experts agreed on a possible resurgence of the markets, particularly in the small-cap space. The consensus was that small-cap investments tend to outperform larger companies during economic recoveries due to their greater potential for growth. The panel expressed optimism for how the Russell 2000 index may surprise investors moving into 2024.

With inflation and rates now clearly on downward trajectories per the Fed, the stars have aligned for financials to break out as risks meaningfully recede. Traders and investors are taking notice, investing money back into the space to play long-awaited catchup to index gains.

Russell 2000 Small Caps Lead the Charge

Another standout area has been small caps, with the domestically-focused Russell 2000 now charging ahead of larger benchmarks since the October lows.

The Fed’s resolute commitment to tamping down inflation has brought U.S. rate hike expectations back in sync with global peers. That’s helped dissipate a major headwind for small caps tied closely to domestic growth.

Add in falling recession odds, and the stage is set for investors to once again embrace the higher growth, higher beta segment of the U.S. market to drive gains from here. The Russell 2000 now trades just 6% away from retaking all-time highs emblematic of the pre-rate hiking frenzy.

Its outsized advance against the more moderate S&P and Dow gains points to conviction building around more speculative areas poised to benefit most from easing financial conditions. Traders now see the elusive soft landing materializing in 2023, with markets firing ahead on hopes a still-resilient economy can avoid buckling under the Fed’s inflation fight.

After a Fed-dominated year where good news was largely shunned amid policy uncertainty, bulls once again have reasons for optimism. The light at the end of the rate hiking tunnel has markets gearing up for a potentially substantial move higher to round out 2023.

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Highlights From Noblecon19; Compelling Total Return Vehicle


Friday, December 15, 2023

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noblecon19 highlights. On December 5th, management presented at Noblecon19 at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) in Boca Raton, Florida, to the investment community. The presentation conducted by Stuart Rosenstein, CFO, and Claire Yenicay, VP Business Development, highlighted the company’s strong cash flow generating ability of its hyper-local digital and legacy broadcast radio businesses. Notably, the company stands to benefit from high margin political revenue and prospective improved advertising environment in 2024.

Digital growth engine. The company is focused on growing its digital businesses, which have been a catalyst for revenue and cash flow growth for the past several years. In Q3 digital revenues accounted for 52% of total company revenue, and are anticipated to account for a greater percentage in the future. Notably, the company’s fastest growing business segment, programmatic advertising, is benefitting from the rising popularity of CTV.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

QuantaSing Group Limited (QSG) – A Surprisingly Low Stock Valuation


Friday, December 15, 2023

QuantaSing is a leading online service provider in China dedicated to improving people’s quality of life and well-being by providing lifelong personal learning and development opportunities. The Company is the largest service provider in China’s online adult learning market and China’s adult personal interest learning market in terms of revenue, according to a report by Frost & Sullivan based on data from 2022. By leveraging its proprietary tools and technology, QuantaSing offers easy-to-understand, affordable, and accessible online courses to adult learners under a variety of brands, including QiNiu, JiangZhen and QianChi, empowering users to pursue personal development. Leveraging its extensive experience in individual online learning services, the Company has also expanded its services to corporate clients including, among others, marketing services and enterprise talent management services.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fiscal Q1 revenue growth. The company reported fiscal 2024 Q1 revenue of RMB869.1 million, 11% better than our estimate and a 32% increase over the prior year period. Adj. EBITDA of RMB71.5 million was below our estimate of RMB90.5 million.

Other Personal Interest Courses at forefront. The impressive revenue growth was driven by the Other Personal Interest Courses category, which was up RMB292.5 million over the prior year period. Importantly, we expect the Other Personal Interest category to be the main revenue growth driver for the company over the short term.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

El Salvador’s Cryptocurrency Renaissance: Unveiling the Historic Bitcoin Bonds and the Rise of Bitcoin City

In a revolutionary move, El Salvador has solidified its place as a trailblazer in the world of cryptocurrency by announcing the regulatory approval and issuance of Bitcoin bonds, colloquially known as “Volcano Bonds.” Set to launch in the first quarter of 2024, these bonds represent a groundbreaking step towards financing the construction of “Bitcoin City,” a visionary project fueled by thermal energy from a volcano. As El Salvador continues to make waves in the crypto space, this article explores the intricacies of the Volcano Bonds and the broader implications for investors and the country’s economic landscape.

A Visionary Leap into Cryptocurrency

Led by President Nayib Bukele, El Salvador made history in 2021 by declaring Bitcoin as legal currency alongside the US dollar. The objective was to streamline remittances and enhance financial services accessibility for the 70 percent of Salvadorans lacking a traditional bank account. Despite this bold move, a May 2021 poll by the Central American University revealed that 71 percent of respondents believed Bitcoin had not positively impacted their family’s economic situation.

However, undeterred by public sentiment, El Salvador pressed on, guided by a vision that extended beyond mere adoption to the creation of a transformative “Bitcoin City” in the country’s eastern region. This city, powered by thermal energy harnessed from a volcano, aimed to be a beacon of innovation and sustainability.

The Volcano Bonds: Financing the Future

The Volcano Bonds, set to launch in early 2024, are instrumental in turning President Bukele’s vision into reality. Approved by the Digital Assets Commission (CNAD), these bonds represent a financial instrument designed to address sovereign debt obligations while providing the capital needed to construct Bitcoin City. With an allocation of at least $1 billion from the Volcano Bonds earmarked for the project, El Salvador is poised to create a technological marvel that showcases the synergy between cryptocurrency and sustainable development.

Building Bitcoin City: A Green Technological Marvel

Bitcoin City is more than just a construction project; it symbolizes El Salvador’s commitment to sustainable and innovative urban development. The use of thermal energy from a volcano not only underscores the country’s unique geographical advantages but also signals a departure from traditional energy sources, aligning with the global push for green initiatives.

As investors look toward the horizon, the construction of Bitcoin City becomes an intriguing prospect. The success of this project could potentially inspire similar endeavors worldwide, with governments and private entities exploring the integration of cryptocurrency in urban planning and development.

El Salvador’s Growing Bitcoin Holdings

To solidify its commitment to cryptocurrency, the Salvadoran government has steadily increased its Bitcoin holdings. Currently holding 2,381 bitcoins, the government’s latest purchase of 80 bitcoins in July 2022 reflects a strategic approach to accumulating this digital asset. President Bukele further announced a plan to acquire one bitcoin daily starting from November 17, 2022, although the government has not disclosed whether this target has been met.

This concerted effort to amass Bitcoin underscores El Salvador’s belief in the long-term value and potential of cryptocurrency. For investors, it signals a country actively diversifying its portfolio, adding a digital asset to its reserves in a strategic move that aligns with the evolving landscape of global finance.

Take a moment to take a look at Bit Digital (BTBT), a large-scale bitcoin mining business and a sustainability focused generator of digital assets.

Trading on the Bitfinex Securities Platform

The issuance of the Volcano Bonds is set to take place on the Bitfinex Securities Platform, a registered trading site for blockchain-based equities and bonds in El Salvador. This move not only streamlines the trading process but also marks a bridge between traditional financial systems and the burgeoning cryptocurrency landscape. It invites investors to participate in a novel financial instrument backed by the transformative power of blockchain technology.

Beyond Volcano Bonds: El Salvador’s Cryptocurrency Ventures

El Salvador’s foray into cryptocurrency extends beyond the Volcano Bonds. In a recent development, the country launched a $1 billion Bitcoin mining project in collaboration with Luxor Technology and Tether. Dubbed “Volcano Energy,” this initiative aims to establish a 241 MW generation park named in honor of the project, where Bitcoin mining will take center stage.

As El Salvador actively explores the potential of cryptocurrency in diverse sectors, investors keen on embracing the future of finance should keep a close eye on the country’s progressive initiatives. The Volcano Energy project, in particular, demonstrates the integration of Bitcoin mining with traditional energy infrastructure, offering a unique investment avenue for those looking to diversify within the cryptocurrency space.

Conclusion: Investing in El Salvador’s Cryptocurrency Odyssey

El Salvador’s journey into the world of Bitcoin bonds, Bitcoin City, and innovative cryptocurrency projects is not only historic but presents a unique investment landscape. As the Volcano Bonds come to fruition in the first quarter of 2024, investors have an opportunity to be part of a transformative chapter in the country’s economic history.

The success of Bitcoin City and other cryptocurrency initiatives in El Salvador could potentially pave the way for similar endeavors globally. Investors, whether seasoned cryptocurrency enthusiasts or those exploring the space for the first time, should closely monitor the developments in El Salvador. The “Bitcoin City” powered by a volcano is not just a symbol of technological advancement but a beacon for those seeking investment opportunities in the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency. El Salvador’s cryptocurrency renaissance is unfolding, and investors have a front-row seat to witness the fusion of tradition and innovation in the heart of Central America.