The GEO Group (GEO) – Reported Third Quarter Results


Wednesday, November 08, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $602.8 million, compared to $616.7 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $118.7 million, EPS was $0.16, and adjusted EPS $0.19. In the year ago period, GEO reported $136.2 million, $0.26, and $0.33, respectively. We had forecast $595 million, $125.6 million, $0.21, and $0.21, respectively.

Overcoming ISAP. Population declines under the ISAP program continue to be a headwind, with segment revenue $42.6 million y-o-y. Secure Services revenue was off modestly, while Reentry Services, Managed Only, and Non-residential Services all saw nice increases in revenue.


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Release – The GEO Group Reports Third Quarter 2023 Results

Research News and Market Data on GEO

 

November 7, 2023

PDF Version

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 7, 2023– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO”), a leading provider of support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry centers, as well as enhanced in-custody rehabilitation, post-release support, and electronic monitoring programs, reported today its financial results for the third quarter and first nine months of 2023.

Third Quarter 2023 Highlights

  • Total revenues of $602.8 million
  • Net Income of $24.5 million
  • Net Income Attributable to GEO of $0.16 per diluted share
  • Adjusted Net Income of $0.19 per diluted share
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $118.7 million
  • Reduced Total Net Debt by $109 million to approximately $1.8 billion

For the third quarter 2023, we reported net income of $24.5 million, compared to net income of $38.3 million for the third quarter 2022. We reported total revenues for the third quarter 2023 of $602.8 million compared to $616.7 million for the third quarter 2022. Third quarter 2023 results reflect a year-over-year increase of $13.0 million in net interest expense as a result of the completed transactions to address the substantial majority of our outstanding debt, which closed on August 19, 2022, as well as the impact of higher interest rates. We reported third quarter 2023 Adjusted EBITDA of $118.7 million, compared to $136.2 million for the third quarter 2022.

George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of GEO, said, “Our diversified business units continued to deliver steady operational and financial performance. We have also made further progress towards our objective of reducing our net debt, which remains a strategic priority for our company. During the third quarter of 2023, we reduced our total net debt by $109 million, ending the period with approximately $1.8 billion in total net debt. We believe that our ongoing efforts to reduce debt and deleverage our balance sheet will enhance value for our shareholders over time.”

First Nine Months 2023 Highlights

  • Total revenues of $1.80 billion
  • Net Income of $82.0 million
  • Net Income Attributable to GEO of $0.55 per diluted share
  • Adjusted Net Income of $0.66 per diluted share
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $378.6 million

For the first nine months of 2023, we reported net income of $82.0 million, compared to net income of $130.2 million for the first nine months of 2022. We reported total revenues for the first nine months of 2023 of $1.80 billion compared to $1.76 billion for the first nine months of 2022.

Results for the first nine months of 2023 reflect a year-over-year increase of $66.2 million in net interest expense as a result of the completed transactions to address the substantial majority of our outstanding debt, which closed on August 19, 2022, as well as the impact of higher interest rates. For the first nine months of 2023, we reported Adjusted EBITDA of $378.6 million, compared to $393.7 million for the first nine months of 2022.

2023 Financial Guidance

Today, we updated our guidance for the full-year and fourth quarter of 2023 to reflect our updated expectations regarding the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s Intensive Supervision and Appearance Program (“ISAP”).

Our previous guidance for the fourth quarter of 2023 assumed a moderate increase in ISAP participants during the quarter. While the ISAP participant count has remained relatively stable over the last three months, we have not experienced the moderate increase that was contemplated in our previous guidance. We believe that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) continues to face budgetary pressures, and the timing of the passage of federal appropriations bills for the fiscal year 2024 remains uncertain. As a result of these factors, we have updated our guidance assumptions and now assume for budget purposes that the ISAP participant count will be flat to slightly down for the balance of the year.

For the fourth quarter 2023, we expect GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $19 million to $24 million and quarterly revenues to be in a range of $590 million to $600 million. We expect fourth quarter 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $117 million to $122 million.

For the full-year 2023, we expect GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $100 million to $105 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion. We expect our full-year 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to be between $495 million and $500 million dollars. We expect our effective tax rate for the full-year 2023 to be approximately 29 percent, exclusive of any discrete items.

Our guidance does not include the potential reactivation of any of our remaining idle Secure Services facilities, which total approximately 9,000 beds.

Conference Call Information

We have scheduled a conference call and webcast for today at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) to discuss our third quarter 2023 financial results as well as our outlook. The call-in number for the U.S. is 1-877-250-1553 and the international call-in number is 1-412-542-4145. In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Webcasts section under the News, Events and Reports tab of GEO’s investor relations webpage at investors.geogroup.com. A replay of the webcast will be available on the website for one year. A telephonic replay of the conference call will be available through November 14, 2023, at 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The participant passcode for the telephonic replay is 4528594.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Information

GEO has made available Supplemental Information which contains reconciliation tables of Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income, and Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA, along with supplemental financial and operational information on GEO’s business and other important operating metrics. The reconciliation tables are also presented herein. Please see the section below titled “Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure – Important Information on GEO’s Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for information on how GEO defines these supplemental Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciles them to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. GEO’s Reconciliation Tables can be found herein and in GEO’s Supplemental Information available on GEO’s investor webpage at investors.geogroup.com.

Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure –
Important Information on GEO’s Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted Net Income, EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures that are presented as supplemental disclosures. GEO has presented herein certain forward-looking statements about GEO’s future financial performance that include non-GAAP financial measures, including Net Debt, Net Leverage, and Adjusted EBITDA. The determination of the amounts that are included or excluded from these non-GAAP financial measures is a matter of management judgment and depends upon, among other factors, the nature of the underlying expense or income amounts recognized in a given period.

While we have provided a high level reconciliation for the guidance ranges for full year 2023, we are unable to present a more detailed quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because management cannot reliably predict all of the necessary components of such GAAP measures. The quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures will be provided for completed annual and quarterly periods, as applicable, calculated in a consistent manner with the quantitative reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures previously reported for completed annual and quarterly periods.

Net Debt is defined as gross principal debt less cash from restricted subsidiaries. Net Leverage is defined as Net Debt divided by Adjusted EBITDA.

EBITDA is defined as net income adjusted by adding provisions for income tax, interest expense, net of interest income, and depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA adjusted for (gain)/loss on asset divestitures, pre-tax, net loss attributable to non-controlling interests, stock-based compensation expenses, pre-tax, transaction related expenses, pre-tax, other non-cash revenue and expenses, pre-tax, and certain other adjustments as defined from time to time.

Given the nature of our business as a real estate owner and operator, we believe that EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are helpful to investors as measures of our operational performance because they provide an indication of our ability to incur and service debt, to satisfy general operating expenses, to make capital expenditures, and to fund other cash needs or reinvest cash into our business.

We believe that by removing the impact of our asset base (primarily depreciation and amortization) and excluding certain non-cash charges, amounts spent on interest and taxes, and certain other charges that are highly variable from year to year, EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide our investors with performance measures that reflect the impact to operations from trends in occupancy rates, per diem rates and operating costs, providing a perspective not immediately apparent from net income.

The adjustments we make to derive the non-GAAP measures of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA exclude items which may cause short-term fluctuations in income from continuing operations and which we do not consider to be the fundamental attributes or primary drivers of our business plan and they do not affect our overall long-term operating performance.

EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide disclosure on the same basis as that used by our management and provide consistency in our financial reporting, facilitate internal and external comparisons of our historical operating performance and our business units and provide continuity to investors for comparability purposes.

Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income attributable to GEO adjusted for certain items which by their nature are not comparable from period to period or that tend to obscure GEO’s actual operating performance, including for the periods presented (gain)/loss on asset divestitures, pre-tax, (gain)/loss on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, transaction related expenses, pre-tax, and tax effect of adjustments to net income attributable to GEO.

Safe-Harbor Statement

This press release contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future performance of GEO that involve risks and uncertainties that could materially and adversely affect actual results, including statements regarding GEO’s financial guidance for the full-year and fourth quarter of 2023, statements regarding GEO’s efforts to market its current idle facilities, GEO’s focus on reducing net debt, and GEO’s assumptions regarding the number of ISAP participants during the fourth quarter of 2023. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “seek,” “estimate,” or “continue” or the negative of such words and similar expressions. Risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to: (1) GEO’s ability to meet its financial guidance for 2023 given the various risks to which its business is exposed; (2) GEO’s ability to deleverage and repay, refinance or otherwise address its debt maturities in an amount and on terms commercially acceptable to GEO, and on the timeline it expects or at all; (3) GEO’s ability to identify and successfully complete any potential sales of company-owned assets and businesses on commercially advantageous terms on a timely basis, or at all; (4) changes in federal and state government policy, orders, directives, legislation and regulations that affect public-private partnerships with respect to secure, correctional and detention facilities, processing centers and reentry centers, including the timing and scope of implementation of President Biden’s Executive Order directing the U.S. Attorney General not to renew the U.S. Department of Justice contracts with privately operated criminal detention facilities; (5) changes in federal immigration policy; (6) public and political opposition to the use of public-private partnerships with respect to secure correctional and detention facilities, processing centers and reentry centers; (7) the magnitude, severity, and duration of the COVID-19 global pandemic, its impact on GEO, GEO’s ability to mitigate the risks associated with COVID-19, and the efficacy and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines; (8) GEO’s ability to sustain or improve company-wide occupancy rates at its facilities in light of the COVID-19 global pandemic and policy and contract announcements impacting GEO’s federal facilities in the United States; (9) fluctuations in GEO’s operating results, including as a result of contract terminations, contract renegotiations, changes in occupancy levels and increases in GEO’s operating costs; (10) general economic and market conditions, including changes to governmental budgets and its impact on new contract terms, contract renewals, renegotiations, per diem rates, fixed payment provisions, and occupancy levels; (11) GEO’s ability to address inflationary pressures related to labor related expenses and other operating costs; (12) GEO’s ability to timely open facilities as planned, profitably manage such facilities and successfully integrate such facilities into GEO’s operations without substantial costs; (13) GEO’s ability to win management contracts for which it has submitted proposals and to retain existing management contracts; (14) risks associated with GEO’s ability to control operating costs associated with contract start-ups; (15) GEO’s ability to successfully pursue growth and continue to create shareholder value; (16) GEO’s ability to obtain financing or access the capital markets in the future on acceptable terms or at all; and (17) other factors contained in GEO’s Securities and Exchange Commission periodic filings, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports, many of which are difficult to predict and outside of GEO’s control.

Third quarter and first nine months of 2023 financial tables to follow:

  
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets* (Unaudited)
  
As of As of
September 30, 2023 December 31, 2022
(unaudited) (unaudited)
ASSETS 
  
Cash and cash equivalents$141,020 $95,073
Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts356,501 416,399
Prepaid expenses and other current assets41,138 43,536
Total current assets$538,659 $555,008
  
Restricted Cash and Investments130,729 111,691
Property and Equipment, Net1,951,524 2,002,021
Operating Lease Right-of-Use Assets, Net106,552 90,950
Assets Held for Sale5,130 480
Deferred Income Tax Assets8,005 8,005
Intangible Assets, Net (including goodwill)893,449 902,887
Other Non-Current Assets90,335 89,341
  
Total Assets$3,724,383 $3,760,383
  
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY 
  
Accounts payable$66,758 $79,312
Accrued payroll and related taxes78,568 53,225
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities200,187 237,369
Operating lease liabilities, current portion24,506 22,584
Current portion of finance lease obligations, and long-term debt63,307 44,722
Total current liabilities$433,326 $437,212
  
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities75,849 75,849
Other Non-Current Liabilities79,797 74,008
Operating Lease Liabilities86,849 73,801
Finance Lease Liabilities740 1,280
Long-Term Debt1,789,273 1,933,145
Total Shareholders’ Equity1,258,549 1,165,088
  
Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity$3,724,383 $3,760,383
  
* all figures in ‘000s 
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations* (Unaudited)
 
Q3 2023Q3 2022YTD 2023YTD 2022
(unaudited)(unaudited)(unaudited)(unaudited)
 
Revenues$602,785 $616,683 $1,804,885 $1,756,045 
Operating expenses440,667 436,210 1,302,287 1,233,162 
Depreciation and amortization31,173 32,330 94,787 100,284 
General and administrative expenses47,356 50,022 139,182 147,878 
 
 
Operating income83,589 98,121 268,629 274,721 
 
Interest income1,320 5,111 3,785 16,301 
Interest expense(55,777)(46,537)(165,081)(111,383)
Loss on extinguishment of debt(91)(37,487)(1,845)(37,487)
Gain on asset divestitures1,274 29,279 3,449 32,332 
 
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliates30,315 48,487 108,937 174,484 
 
Provision for income taxes6,521 11,246 30,036 48,106 
Equity in earnings of affiliates, net of income tax provision709 1,071 3,121 3,786 
Net income24,503 38,312 82,022 130,164 
 
Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests16 25 71 119 
 
Net income attributable to The GEO Group, Inc.$24,519 $38,337 $82,093 $130,283 
 
 
Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding:
Basic122,066 121,154 121,850 120,998 
Diluted123,433 122,426 123,479 121,907 
 
Net income per Common Share Attributable to The GEO Group, Inc.** :
 
Basic:
Net income per share — basic$0.17 $0.26 $0.56 $0.89 
 
Diluted:
Net income per share — diluted$0.16 $0.26 $0.55 $0.89 
 
* All figures in ‘000s, except per share data
** In accordance with U.S. GAAP, diluted earnings per share attributable to GEO available to common stockholders is calculated under the if-converted method or the two-class method, whichever calculation results in the lowest diluted earnings per share amount, which may be lower than Adjusted Net Income Per Diluted Share.
    
Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA, and Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income* (Unaudited)
    
Q3 2023 Q3 2022 YTD 2023 YTD 2022
(unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited)
Net Income$24,503  $38,312  $82,022  $130,164 
    
Add:   
Income tax provision **6,588  11,435  30,617  48,570 
Interest expense, net of interest income ***54,548  78,913  163,141  132,569 
Depreciation and amortization31,173  32,330  94,787  100,284 
EBITDA$116,812  $160,990  $370,567  $411,587 
    
Add (Subtract):   
Gain on asset divestitures, pre-tax(1,274) (29,279) (3,449) (32,332)
Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests16  25  71  119 
Stock based compensation expenses, pre-tax3,116  3,141  12,052  13,010 
Transaction related expenses, pre-tax  1,322    1,322 
Other non-cash revenue & expenses, pre-tax    (687)  
Adjusted EBITDA$118,670  $136,199  $378,554  $393,706 
    
    
    
    
Net Income attributable to GEO$24,519  $38,337  $82,093  $130,283 
    
Add (Subtract):   
Gain on asset divestitures, pre-tax(1,274) (29,279) (3,449) (32,958)
Loss on extinguishment of debt, pre-tax91  37,487  1,845  37,487 
Transaction related expenses, pre-tax  1,322    1,322 
Tax effect of adjustment to net income attributable to GEO (1)297  (7,697) 403  (6,772)
    
Adjusted Net Income$23,633  $40,170  $80,892  $129,362 
    
Weighted average common shares outstanding – Diluted123,433  122,426  123,479  121,907 
    
Adjusted Net Income per Diluted share0.19  0.33  0.66  1.06 
    
* all figures in ‘000s, except per share data
** including income tax provision on equity in earnings of affiliates
*** includes loss on extinguishment of debt
(1) Tax adjustment related to gain on asset divestitures and loss on extinguishment of debt.
    
 
2023 Outlook/Reconciliation (1) (In thousands, except per share data) (Unaudited)
 
FY 2023
Net Income$100,000 to$105,000 
Net Interest Expense 217,000  217,000 
Income Taxes (including income tax provision on equity in earnings of affiliates) 40,000  40,000 
Depreciation and Amortization 127,000  127,000 
Non-Cash Stock Based Compensation 15,700  15,700 
Other Non-Cash (4,700) (4,700)
Adjusted EBITDA$495,000 to$500,000 
 
Net Income Attributable to GEO Per Diluted Share$0.80 to$0.85 
Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding-Diluted 123,500 to 123,500 
 
 
 
CAPEX
Growth 9,000 to 10,000 
Technology 16,000 to 20,000 
Facility Maintenance 45,000 to 50,000 
Capital Expenditures 70,000 to 80,000 
 
Total Debt, Net$1,820,000 $1,780,000 
Total Leverage, Net 3.66  3.58 
 
(1) Total Net Leverage is calculated using the midpoint of Adjusted EBITDA guidance range.

Pablo E. Paez (866) 301 4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The G

 

November 7, 2023

PDF Version

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 7, 2023– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO”), a leading provider of support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry centers, as well as enhanced in-custody rehabilitation, post-release support, and electronic monitoring programs, reported today its financial results for the third quarter and first nine months of 2023.

Third Quarter 2023 Highlights

  • Total revenues of $602.8 million
  • Net Income of $24.5 million
  • Net Income Attributable to GEO of $0.16 per diluted share
  • Adjusted Net Income of $0.19 per diluted share
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $118.7 million
  • Reduced Total Net Debt by $109 million to approximately $1.8 billion

For the third quarter 2023, we reported net income of $24.5 million, compared to net income of $38.3 million for the third quarter 2022. We reported total revenues for the third quarter 2023 of $602.8 million compared to $616.7 million for the third quarter 2022. Third quarter 2023 results reflect a year-over-year increase of $13.0 million in net interest expense as a result of the completed transactions to address the substantial majority of our outstanding debt, which closed on August 19, 2022, as well as the impact of higher interest rates. We reported third quarter 2023 Adjusted EBITDA of $118.7 million, compared to $136.2 million for the third quarter 2022.

George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of GEO, said, “Our diversified business units continued to deliver steady operational and financial performance. We have also made further progress towards our objective of reducing our net debt, which remains a strategic priority for our company. During the third quarter of 2023, we reduced our total net debt by $109 million, ending the period with approximately $1.8 billion in total net debt. We believe that our ongoing efforts to reduce debt and deleverage our balance sheet will enhance value for our shareholders over time.”

First Nine Months 2023 Highlights

  • Total revenues of $1.80 billion
  • Net Income of $82.0 million
  • Net Income Attributable to GEO of $0.55 per diluted share
  • Adjusted Net Income of $0.66 per diluted share
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $378.6 million

For the first nine months of 2023, we reported net income of $82.0 million, compared to net income of $130.2 million for the first nine months of 2022. We reported total revenues for the first nine months of 2023 of $1.80 billion compared to $1.76 billion for the first nine months of 2022.

Results for the first nine months of 2023 reflect a year-over-year increase of $66.2 million in net interest expense as a result of the completed transactions to address the substantial majority of our outstanding debt, which closed on August 19, 2022, as well as the impact of higher interest rates. For the first nine months of 2023, we reported Adjusted EBITDA of $378.6 million, compared to $393.7 million for the first nine months of 2022.

2023 Financial Guidance

Today, we updated our guidance for the full-year and fourth quarter of 2023 to reflect our updated expectations regarding the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s Intensive Supervision and Appearance Program (“ISAP”).

Our previous guidance for the fourth quarter of 2023 assumed a moderate increase in ISAP participants during the quarter. While the ISAP participant count has remained relatively stable over the last three months, we have not experienced the moderate increase that was contemplated in our previous guidance. We believe that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) continues to face budgetary pressures, and the timing of the passage of federal appropriations bills for the fiscal year 2024 remains uncertain. As a result of these factors, we have updated our guidance assumptions and now assume for budget purposes that the ISAP participant count will be flat to slightly down for the balance of the year.

For the fourth quarter 2023, we expect GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $19 million to $24 million and quarterly revenues to be in a range of $590 million to $600 million. We expect fourth quarter 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $117 million to $122 million.

For the full-year 2023, we expect GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $100 million to $105 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion. We expect our full-year 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to be between $495 million and $500 million dollars. We expect our effective tax rate for the full-year 2023 to be approximately 29 percent, exclusive of any discrete items.

Our guidance does not include the potential reactivation of any of our remaining idle Secure Services facilities, which total approximately 9,000 beds.

Conference Call Information

We have scheduled a conference call and webcast for today at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) to discuss our third quarter 2023 financial results as well as our outlook. The call-in number for the U.S. is 1-877-250-1553 and the international call-in number is 1-412-542-4145. In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Webcasts section under the News, Events and Reports tab of GEO’s investor relations webpage at investors.geogroup.com. A replay of the webcast will be available on the website for one year. A telephonic replay of the conference call will be available through November 14, 2023, at 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The participant passcode for the telephonic replay is 4528594.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Information

GEO has made available Supplemental Information which contains reconciliation tables of Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income, and Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA, along with supplemental financial and operational information on GEO’s business and other important operating metrics. The reconciliation tables are also presented herein. Please see the section below titled “Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure – Important Information on GEO’s Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for information on how GEO defines these supplemental Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciles them to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. GEO’s Reconciliation Tables can be found herein and in GEO’s Supplemental Information available on GEO’s investor webpage at investors.geogroup.com.

Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure –
Important Information on GEO’s Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted Net Income, EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures that are presented as supplemental disclosures. GEO has presented herein certain forward-looking statements about GEO’s future financial performance that include non-GAAP financial measures, including Net Debt, Net Leverage, and Adjusted EBITDA. The determination of the amounts that are included or excluded from these non-GAAP financial measures is a matter of management judgment and depends upon, among other factors, the nature of the underlying expense or income amounts recognized in a given period.

While we have provided a high level reconciliation for the guidance ranges for full year 2023, we are unable to present a more detailed quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because management cannot reliably predict all of the necessary components of such GAAP measures. The quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures will be provided for completed annual and quarterly periods, as applicable, calculated in a consistent manner with the quantitative reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures previously reported for completed annual and quarterly periods.

Net Debt is defined as gross principal debt less cash from restricted subsidiaries. Net Leverage is defined as Net Debt divided by Adjusted EBITDA.

EBITDA is defined as net income adjusted by adding provisions for income tax, interest expense, net of interest income, and depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA adjusted for (gain)/loss on asset divestitures, pre-tax, net loss attributable to non-controlling interests, stock-based compensation expenses, pre-tax, transaction related expenses, pre-tax, other non-cash revenue and expenses, pre-tax, and certain other adjustments as defined from time to time.

Given the nature of our business as a real estate owner and operator, we believe that EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are helpful to investors as measures of our operational performance because they provide an indication of our ability to incur and service debt, to satisfy general operating expenses, to make capital expenditures, and to fund other cash needs or reinvest cash into our business.

We believe that by removing the impact of our asset base (primarily depreciation and amortization) and excluding certain non-cash charges, amounts spent on interest and taxes, and certain other charges that are highly variable from year to year, EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide our investors with performance measures that reflect the impact to operations from trends in occupancy rates, per diem rates and operating costs, providing a perspective not immediately apparent from net income.

The adjustments we make to derive the non-GAAP measures of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA exclude items which may cause short-term fluctuations in income from continuing operations and which we do not consider to be the fundamental attributes or primary drivers of our business plan and they do not affect our overall long-term operating performance.

EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide disclosure on the same basis as that used by our management and provide consistency in our financial reporting, facilitate internal and external comparisons of our historical operating performance and our business units and provide continuity to investors for comparability purposes.

Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income attributable to GEO adjusted for certain items which by their nature are not comparable from period to period or that tend to obscure GEO’s actual operating performance, including for the periods presented (gain)/loss on asset divestitures, pre-tax, (gain)/loss on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, transaction related expenses, pre-tax, and tax effect of adjustments to net income attributable to GEO.

Safe-Harbor Statement

This press release contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future performance of GEO that involve risks and uncertainties that could materially and adversely affect actual results, including statements regarding GEO’s financial guidance for the full-year and fourth quarter of 2023, statements regarding GEO’s efforts to market its current idle facilities, GEO’s focus on reducing net debt, and GEO’s assumptions regarding the number of ISAP participants during the fourth quarter of 2023. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “seek,” “estimate,” or “continue” or the negative of such words and similar expressions. Risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to: (1) GEO’s ability to meet its financial guidance for 2023 given the various risks to which its business is exposed; (2) GEO’s ability to deleverage and repay, refinance or otherwise address its debt maturities in an amount and on terms commercially acceptable to GEO, and on the timeline it expects or at all; (3) GEO’s ability to identify and successfully complete any potential sales of company-owned assets and businesses on commercially advantageous terms on a timely basis, or at all; (4) changes in federal and state government policy, orders, directives, legislation and regulations that affect public-private partnerships with respect to secure, correctional and detention facilities, processing centers and reentry centers, including the timing and scope of implementation of President Biden’s Executive Order directing the U.S. Attorney General not to renew the U.S. Department of Justice contracts with privately operated criminal detention facilities; (5) changes in federal immigration policy; (6) public and political opposition to the use of public-private partnerships with respect to secure correctional and detention facilities, processing centers and reentry centers; (7) the magnitude, severity, and duration of the COVID-19 global pandemic, its impact on GEO, GEO’s ability to mitigate the risks associated with COVID-19, and the efficacy and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines; (8) GEO’s ability to sustain or improve company-wide occupancy rates at its facilities in light of the COVID-19 global pandemic and policy and contract announcements impacting GEO’s federal facilities in the United States; (9) fluctuations in GEO’s operating results, including as a result of contract terminations, contract renegotiations, changes in occupancy levels and increases in GEO’s operating costs; (10) general economic and market conditions, including changes to governmental budgets and its impact on new contract terms, contract renewals, renegotiations, per diem rates, fixed payment provisions, and occupancy levels; (11) GEO’s ability to address inflationary pressures related to labor related expenses and other operating costs; (12) GEO’s ability to timely open facilities as planned, profitably manage such facilities and successfully integrate such facilities into GEO’s operations without substantial costs; (13) GEO’s ability to win management contracts for which it has submitted proposals and to retain existing management contracts; (14) risks associated with GEO’s ability to control operating costs associated with contract start-ups; (15) GEO’s ability to successfully pursue growth and continue to create shareholder value; (16) GEO’s ability to obtain financing or access the capital markets in the future on acceptable terms or at all; and (17) other factors contained in GEO’s Securities and Exchange Commission periodic filings, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports, many of which are difficult to predict and outside of GEO’s control.

Third quarter and first nine months of 2023 financial tables to follow:

  
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets* (Unaudited)
  
As of As of
September 30, 2023 December 31, 2022
(unaudited) (unaudited)
ASSETS 
  
Cash and cash equivalents$141,020 $95,073
Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts356,501 416,399
Prepaid expenses and other current assets41,138 43,536
Total current assets$538,659 $555,008
  
Restricted Cash and Investments130,729 111,691
Property and Equipment, Net1,951,524 2,002,021
Operating Lease Right-of-Use Assets, Net106,552 90,950
Assets Held for Sale5,130 480
Deferred Income Tax Assets8,005 8,005
Intangible Assets, Net (including goodwill)893,449 902,887
Other Non-Current Assets90,335 89,341
  
Total Assets$3,724,383 $3,760,383
  
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY 
  
Accounts payable$66,758 $79,312
Accrued payroll and related taxes78,568 53,225
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities200,187 237,369
Operating lease liabilities, current portion24,506 22,584
Current portion of finance lease obligations, and long-term debt63,307 44,722
Total current liabilities$433,326 $437,212
  
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities75,849 75,849
Other Non-Current Liabilities79,797 74,008
Operating Lease Liabilities86,849 73,801
Finance Lease Liabilities740 1,280
Long-Term Debt1,789,273 1,933,145
Total Shareholders’ Equity1,258,549 1,165,088
  
Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity$3,724,383 $3,760,383
  
* all figures in ‘000s 
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations* (Unaudited)
 
Q3 2023Q3 2022YTD 2023YTD 2022
(unaudited)(unaudited)(unaudited)(unaudited)
 
Revenues$602,785 $616,683 $1,804,885 $1,756,045 
Operating expenses440,667 436,210 1,302,287 1,233,162 
Depreciation and amortization31,173 32,330 94,787 100,284 
General and administrative expenses47,356 50,022 139,182 147,878 
 
 
Operating income83,589 98,121 268,629 274,721 
 
Interest income1,320 5,111 3,785 16,301 
Interest expense(55,777)(46,537)(165,081)(111,383)
Loss on extinguishment of debt(91)(37,487)(1,845)(37,487)
Gain on asset divestitures1,274 29,279 3,449 32,332 
 
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliates30,315 48,487 108,937 174,484 
 
Provision for income taxes6,521 11,246 30,036 48,106 
Equity in earnings of affiliates, net of income tax provision709 1,071 3,121 3,786 
Net income24,503 38,312 82,022 130,164 
 
Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests16 25 71 119 
 
Net income attributable to The GEO Group, Inc.$24,519 $38,337 $82,093 $130,283 
 
 
Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding:
Basic122,066 121,154 121,850 120,998 
Diluted123,433 122,426 123,479 121,907 
 
Net income per Common Share Attributable to The GEO Group, Inc.** :
 
Basic:
Net income per share — basic$0.17 $0.26 $0.56 $0.89 
 
Diluted:
Net income per share — diluted$0.16 $0.26 $0.55 $0.89 
 
* All figures in ‘000s, except per share data
** In accordance with U.S. GAAP, diluted earnings per share attributable to GEO available to common stockholders is calculated under the if-converted method or the two-class method, whichever calculation results in the lowest diluted earnings per share amount, which may be lower than Adjusted Net Income Per Diluted Share.
    
Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA, and Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income* (Unaudited)
    
Q3 2023 Q3 2022 YTD 2023 YTD 2022
(unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited)
Net Income$24,503  $38,312  $82,022  $130,164 
    
Add:   
Income tax provision **6,588  11,435  30,617  48,570 
Interest expense, net of interest income ***54,548  78,913  163,141  132,569 
Depreciation and amortization31,173  32,330  94,787  100,284 
EBITDA$116,812  $160,990  $370,567  $411,587 
    
Add (Subtract):   
Gain on asset divestitures, pre-tax(1,274) (29,279) (3,449) (32,332)
Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests16  25  71  119 
Stock based compensation expenses, pre-tax3,116  3,141  12,052  13,010 
Transaction related expenses, pre-tax  1,322    1,322 
Other non-cash revenue & expenses, pre-tax    (687)  
Adjusted EBITDA$118,670  $136,199  $378,554  $393,706 
    
    
    
    
Net Income attributable to GEO$24,519  $38,337  $82,093  $130,283 
    
Add (Subtract):   
Gain on asset divestitures, pre-tax(1,274) (29,279) (3,449) (32,958)
Loss on extinguishment of debt, pre-tax91  37,487  1,845  37,487 
Transaction related expenses, pre-tax  1,322    1,322 
Tax effect of adjustment to net income attributable to GEO (1)297  (7,697) 403  (6,772)
    
Adjusted Net Income$23,633  $40,170  $80,892  $129,362 
    
Weighted average common shares outstanding – Diluted123,433  122,426  123,479  121,907 
    
Adjusted Net Income per Diluted share0.19  0.33  0.66  1.06 
    
* all figures in ‘000s, except per share data
** including income tax provision on equity in earnings of affiliates
*** includes loss on extinguishment of debt
(1) Tax adjustment related to gain on asset divestitures and loss on extinguishment of debt.
    
 
2023 Outlook/Reconciliation (1) (In thousands, except per share data) (Unaudited)
 
FY 2023
Net Income$100,000 to$105,000 
Net Interest Expense 217,000  217,000 
Income Taxes (including income tax provision on equity in earnings of affiliates) 40,000  40,000 
Depreciation and Amortization 127,000  127,000 
Non-Cash Stock Based Compensation 15,700  15,700 
Other Non-Cash (4,700) (4,700)
Adjusted EBITDA$495,000 to$500,000 
 
Net Income Attributable to GEO Per Diluted Share$0.80 to$0.85 
Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding-Diluted 123,500 to 123,500 
 
 
 
CAPEX
Growth 9,000 to 10,000 
Technology 16,000 to 20,000 
Facility Maintenance 45,000 to 50,000 
Capital Expenditures 70,000 to 80,000 
 
Total Debt, Net$1,820,000 $1,780,000 
Total Leverage, Net 3.66  3.58 
 
(1) Total Net Leverage is calculated using the midpoint of Adjusted EBITDA guidance range.

Pablo E. Paez (866) 301 4436
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

EO Group, Inc.

Release – The GEO Group Announces Date for Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Release and Conference Call

Research News and Market Data on GEO

October 17, 2023

PDF Version

  • Earnings Release Scheduled for Tuesday, November 7, 2023 Before the Market Opens
  • Conference Call Scheduled for Tuesday, November 7, 2023 at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time)

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Oct. 17, 2023– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) (“GEO”) will release its third quarter 2023 financial results on Tuesday, November 7, 2023 before the market opens. GEO has scheduled a conference call and simultaneous webcast for 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) on Tuesday, November 7, 2023.

Hosting the call for GEO will be George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of the Board, Jose Gordo, Chief Executive Officer, Brian R. Evans, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Wayne Calabrese, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, and James Black, President, GEO Secure Services.

To participate in the teleconference, please contact one of the following numbers 5 minutes prior to the scheduled start time:

1-877-250-1553 (U.S.)
1-412-542-4145 (International)

In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Webcasts section of GEO’s investor relations home page at investors.geogroup.com. A webcast replay will remain available on the website for one year.

A telephonic replay will also be available through November 14, 2023. The replay numbers are 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The passcode for the telephonic replay is 4528594. If you have any questions, please contact GEO at 1-866-301-4436.

View source version on businesswire.comhttps://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231017118836/en/

Pablo E. Paez
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations
1-866-301-4436

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

Release – The GEO Group Publishes Fifth Annual Human Rights and ESG Report

Research News and Market Data on GEO

September 28, 2023

PDF Version

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Sep. 28, 2023– The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO” or the “Company”) published today the Company’s fifth annual Human Rights and Environmental, Social & Governance (ESG) report. The report includes enhanced disclosures related to our Board oversight of human rights and ESG matters, employee diversity and training programs, corporate governance, and environmental sustainability, including updated metrics and statistics for the calendar year 2022, in accordance with the Universal Standards of the Global Reporting Initiative.

The report also highlights GEO’s continued commitment to providing enhanced rehabilitation and post-release support services through our award-winning GEO Continuum of Care® (CoC) program. During 2022, our CoC facilities delivered approximately 3.5 million hours of enhanced rehabilitation programming. The CoC program integrates enhanced offender rehabilitation, including cognitive behavioral treatment, with post-release support services to address basic community needs of released individuals, including housing, transportation, food, clothing, and job placement assistance.

GEO’s Executive Chairman, George C. Zoley, said: “The publication of our fifth annual Human Rights and ESG report highlights our long-standing commitment to respecting the human rights and improving the lives of those entrusted to our care. To reinforce this important commitment, we have restructured our Board to include three new committees: a standing committee to oversee Criminal Justice and Rehabilitation, a standing committee to oversee Human Rights, and a standing committee to oversee Cyber Security and Environmental matters. In 2022, we also undertook a Human Rights Due Diligence Assessment, which included engagement with multiple internal and external stakeholder groups. Moving forward, we expect to evaluate additional human rights initiatives, including a future review of our Global Human Rights Policy and its implementation.”

GEO’s fifth annual Human Rights and ESG Report can be found at www.geogroup.com/esg and www.wearegeo.com/esg.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 102 facilities totaling approximately 82,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Use of forward-looking statements

This news release may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding the Company’s continued commitment and future initiatives relating to human rights and the GEO Continuum of Care® program. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and any such forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the cautionary statements and risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, its Form 10-Qs for the quarters ended March 31, 2023 and June 30, 2023 and its Form 8-K reports. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news release and are based on current expectations and involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. Readers are strongly encouraged to read the full cautionary statements and risk factors contained in GEO’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including those referenced above. GEO disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

Pablo E. Paez
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations
1-866-301-4436

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group (GEO) – Second Quarter Results Released


Thursday, August 10, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $593.9 million, up from $588.2 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $129.0 million, EPS was $0.20, and adjusted EPS $0.24. In the year ago period, GEO reported $132.3 million, $0.37, and $0.42, respectively. We had forecast $587 million, $124.1 million, $0.20, and $0.20, respectively.

ISAP? A key factor in 2H23 performance will be the number of participants under the ISAP program. Numbers have fallen for longer than management had originally expected but recent policy initiatives should result in participant stabilization, if not increases in 2H23. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Meetings With Management


Wednesday, May 31, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NDRS. We hosted GEO CEO Jose Gordo, CFO Brian Evans, and EVP Pablo Paez for two days of well attended investor meetings in Florida last week. In addition to the normal overview of the business, management provided some commentary on the early days of post Title 42.

Perspective. While news headlines made much noise about daily border crossings being below the pre-May 11th 10,000 daily level, the roughly 5,000 daily level would be a record level sans the pre-May 11th 10,000 number. And the 5,000/day level still translates into over 1.8 million people annually.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Solid First Quarter Results


Wednesday, April 26, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $608.2 million, up from $551.2 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $130.9 million, EPS was $0.19, and adjusted EPS $0.22. In the year ago period, GEO reported $125.2 million, $0.26, and $0.31, respectively. We had forecast $607 million, $128 million, $0.21, and $0.21, respectively.

ISAP the Sequential Delta. Electronic monitoring revenue declined to $132.6 million in 1Q23 down from $149.8 million in 4Q22, with the remaining businesses up $4.3 million sequentially. Notably, populations under the program have been relatively stable since the beginning of March. 


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – NYC NDRS


Friday, March 17, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NYC NDRS. On Tuesday, we hosted GEO CEO Jose Gordo and CFO Brian Evans for a series of investor meetings in New York City. Questions at the well attended meetings focused on the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program (ISAP) and the core ICE detention numbers.

ISAP. Yes, overall numbers for the program are down from the December highs but GEO’s guidance takes the trends into account and even at the low end of guidance, the Company will generate the second best ever annual adjusted EBITDA number. While the number of enrollees in the SmartLink program has declined 12.5% from the year-end program highs, as a percentage of the overall ISAP enrollees, the SmartLink program now represents 88.4%, up from 78.7% at year-end.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Tracking Gets Easier


Thursday, March 09, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Tracking Device. Yesterday, a new five-year contract was awarded by Santa Clara County, CA to GEO’s subsidiary BI Inc. regarding the Company’s wrist-worn GPS tracking device, VeriWatch. It represents the first ever community corrections contract for the device. No financial details were given for the contract. We believe the contract presents a new opportunity for GEO, and we expect more attention towards the device as the year progresses. 

ATD Program. As we have noted, populations under the ATD program dropped in January to 324,554 at the end of the month from 376,031 at the start of the year. Uncertainty surrounding ATD populations drove the wide range of 2023 operating guidance from GEO’s management. Over the course of February, the decline slowed noticeably with populations at 293,167 as of February 25th, the latest data available.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Better Than Expected 4Q22 But What About 2023?


Friday, February 17, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q22 Results. The run of exceeding expectations continued in the fourth quarter. Revenue for the quarter came in at $620.7 million, up from $557.5 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $145.5 million, AFFO was $0.58 per diluted share, EPS was $0.28, and adjusted net income $0.34 per share. In the year ago period, GEO reported $124.1 million, $0.66, $(0.41), and $0.38, respectively. We had forecast $603 million, $133.5 million, $0.54, $0.25, and $0.23, respectively. GEO’s results highlight the resiliency of the business model, in our opinion.

Electronic Monitoring Driving 4Q Results. GEO’s electronic monitoring segment saw revenue jump 89.3% to $149.8 million in the quarter, with segment operating income rising 89.6% to $85.7 million. While electronic monitoring populations have declined since the turn of the year, we believe electronic monitoring will remain a key arrow in government’s quiver to manage undocumented populations given the success of these programs.  


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Expanding Health Services in Australia


Wednesday, January 11, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Contract. The GEO Group was awarded a contract from the Department of Justice and Community Safety in the State of Victoria for the delivery of primary health services across 13 public prisons. The contract will commence on July 1, 2023 and is expected to generate approximately $33 million in incremental annualized revenue for GEO. We view the new contract as a nice compliment to the existing operations.

A New (Old) Business. This is a return of GEO to a business previously conducted by the Company. The Company held this contract before being forced to spin off the unit once becoming a REIT. GEO already provides these services in the facilities it manages and the new contract is just an expansion to other non-managed facilities. There should not be any “learning curve,” in our view.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Stacking Up Another Solid Quarter


Friday, October 28, 2022

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q22 Results. GEO once again posted solid operating results for 3Q22. Revenue for the quarter came in at $616.7 million, up from $557.3 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $136.2 million, AFFO was $0.60 per diluted share, EPS was $0.26, and adjusted net income $0.33 per share. In the year ago period, GEO reported $116.0 million, $0.65, $0.24, and $0.35, respectively. We had forecast $605 million, $132 million, $0.55, $0.35, and $0.35, respectively. GEO’s results highlight the resiliency of the business model, in our opinion.

BI Continues to Impress. GEO BI electronic monitoring subsidiary continues to show impressive growth. Segment 3Q22 revenue increased to $137 million up from $121.5 million in 2Q22. Through the first nine months of 2022, electronic monitoring and supervision revenue increased to $346.4 million, up from $278.9 million in all of 2021.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Asset Sale Funds Additional Debt Repayment


Thursday, September 22, 2022

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Asset Sale. The GEO Group has sold its minority equity interest in the government-owned Ravenhall Correctional Centre in Australia for approximately $84.4 million in gross proceeds, or about $75 million after-tax. GEO, as part of a consortium, originally began developing the Ravenhall facility in late 2014, with the facility opened in late 2017.

Use of Proceeds. GEO will use the proceeds, along with available cash on hand, to repay all of the remaining $146.9 million outstanding principal of its Term Loan B and its Tranche 3 Term Loan, both due March 23, 2024. Along with the repayment of the 5.125% senior notes due 2023, GEI has now reduced outstanding debt maturing prior to 2026 to approximately $23 million, a significant accomplishment, in our view.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.