Tag: Security & Protection Services

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Some More New Contracts

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 20, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Business. Last week, CoreCivic announced two additional management contracts, continuing the momentum exhibited since September. Significantly, the new business is with states and counties, two areas of focus for CoreCivic for growth. We believe the recent contract wins demonstrate both strong contracting progress and the high levels of interest in the Company’s services from governmental partners. Notably, utilizing existing bed inventory will help drive margin improvement at CoreCivic.

Wyoming. CoreCivic entered into a new management contract with the state of Wyoming for the housing of up to 240 male inmates at the Company’s 2,672-bed Tallahatchie County Correctional Facility in Tutwiler, Mississippi. The Company previously housed inmates for Wyoming under a management contract that had not been utilized since 2019. The term of the new contract runs through June 30, 2026.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Post Call Commentary – Improving Environment

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, November 09, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

ICE Pops Still Increasing. ICE detainee population grew to 36,845 at the end of the Federal government fiscal year, up from 35,289 in the prior week and press reports indicate the current population is closer to 40,000. CoreCivic ICE pops grew from 8,200 at the end of July, to 8,900 at the end of August, to 10,300 at the end of September and were up to 11,800 on Monday.

Positive Impact. The increasing ICE populations, if maintained, will benefit operating results to a greater extent in 4Q than they did in 3Q as many of CoreCivic’s ICE facilities reached the minimum guarantee level by the end of the third quarter. This should result in greater revenue and margin dollar growth for the Safety segment in 4Q23.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Reported Third Quarter Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 08, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $602.8 million, compared to $616.7 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $118.7 million, EPS was $0.16, and adjusted EPS $0.19. In the year ago period, GEO reported $136.2 million, $0.26, and $0.33, respectively. We had forecast $595 million, $125.6 million, $0.21, and $0.21, respectively.

Overcoming ISAP. Population declines under the ISAP program continue to be a headwind, with segment revenue $42.6 million y-o-y. Secure Services revenue was off modestly, while Reentry Services, Managed Only, and Non-residential Services all saw nice increases in revenue.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – First Look at 3Q23 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 07, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q Results. Revenue totaled $483.7 million, up 4.2% year-over-year and up 4.3% sequentially, driven by higher populations and increased per diems. Net income was $13.9 million, or $0.12/sh versus $68.3 million, or $0.58 per share last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.14 for 3Q23 versus $0.08 for 3Q22. Adjusted EBITDA was $75.2 million, up from $68.4 million last year.

ICE Populations. Since the ending of Title 42 on May 11th, overall ICE populations are up 66% through the end of September. CoreCivic ICE populations are up by 4,729, or 84% over the same time frame. We believe this has been driven by management’s foresight in adding staff in anticipation of higher population levels. Reportedly, ICE populations have continued to rise.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – New Contracts; Rising Populations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, September 27, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Contract. CoreCivic signed a new management contract with Hinds County, Mississippi for up to 250 adult male pre-trial detainees at the Company’s 2,672-bed Tallahatchie County Correctional Facility. The initial contract term is for two years. CoreCivic remains in discussions with additional federal, state, and local government agencies to utilize capacity in numerous CoreCivic facilities.

Other Business. CoreCivic recently accepted approximately 160 additional residents from the state of Idaho under an existing contract at the Saguaro Correctional Facility in Arizona. The Company also recently signed contract extensions with the state of Vermont at the Tallahatchie facility, with ICE at the Elizabeth Detention Center in New Jersey, with the Texas Department of Criminal Justice for five residential reentry centers in Texas, and with the state of Montana at the Crossroads Correctional Center in Montana.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Second Quarter Results Released

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 10, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $593.9 million, up from $588.2 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $129.0 million, EPS was $0.20, and adjusted EPS $0.24. In the year ago period, GEO reported $132.3 million, $0.37, and $0.42, respectively. We had forecast $587 million, $124.1 million, $0.20, and $0.20, respectively.

ISAP? A key factor in 2H23 performance will be the number of participants under the ISAP program. Numbers have fallen for longer than management had originally expected but recent policy initiatives should result in participant stabilization, if not increases in 2H23. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Post Call Commentary and Updated Models

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, August 09, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More ICE Funding? CoreCivic had a 45% increase in ICE populations from the ending of Title 42 through July 31, 2023. Further increases in populations will partly depend on funding. Already, DHS has reprogrammed existing funds and, reportedly, will seek $2 billion in supplemental funds to address shortfalls related to border security. The additional funds, if approved, are expected to fund detention spaces, alternative-to-detention tracking programs, and transportation work. Such an increase should benefit CoreCivic, in our view.

And More For Fiscal 2024? In late July, the Homeland Security bill for fiscal 2024 was approved by the full committee in the House. The bill provides $3.55 billion for custody operations, which is more than ever previously appropriated, to fund an average daily ICE detainee population of 41,500, a significant increase from the 34,000 level. While much negotiations remain to be had, such a funding increase would be a strong positive.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – 2Q23 In Line With Our Expectations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, August 08, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q23 Results. Total revenue of $463.7 million, better than our $463.1 million estimate, and up from $456.7 million last year. Adjusted EBITDA of $72.1 million compared to $78.8 million last year and our $73.2 million projection. Net income of $14.8 million, or EPS of $0.13, compared to $10.6 million, or EPS of $0.09, last year. We had forecast net income of $14.4 million, or $0.13 per share.

ICE, ICE Baby. The expiration of COVID related regulations in May has resulted in a 45% increase in ICE populations at CoreCivic facilities through July 31st. We would anticipate ICE populations to increase further as the border situations remains volatile, although politics make predictions challenging.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Two Sides of a Coin

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, June 15, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Renewal. CoreCivic entered into a lease agreement with the Oklahoma Department of Corrections (ODOC) for the company-owned, 1,670-bed Davis Correctional Facility (DCF), which the Company currently operates under a management contract with ODOC that is currently scheduled to expire on June 30, 2023. The new lease agreement includes a base term commencing October 1, 2023, with a scheduled expiration date of June 30, 2029, and unlimited two-year renewal options.

But. While CoreCivic retained a client, it went from a management contract to a lease. Previously, under the May 2021 management contract terms, we estimate the facility was generating north of $30 million in annual revenue (assuming full occupancy), while the under the lease agreement this declines to $7.5 million. However, gross margins on Properties segment agreements run in the high 70% range, compared to gross margins in the low 20% range for Safety segment managed locations.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Meetings With Management

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, May 31, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NDRS. We hosted GEO CEO Jose Gordo, CFO Brian Evans, and EVP Pablo Paez for two days of well attended investor meetings in Florida last week. In addition to the normal overview of the business, management provided some commentary on the early days of post Title 42.

Perspective. While news headlines made much noise about daily border crossings being below the pre-May 11th 10,000 daily level, the roughly 5,000 daily level would be a record level sans the pre-May 11th 10,000 number. And the 5,000/day level still translates into over 1.8 million people annually.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – 1Q23 Post Call Commentary

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 08, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

May 11th. With Title 42 expected to end May 11th, CoreCivic is well positioned to capitalize on any increase in ICE detainee populations. The key unanswered question is if the Biden Administration will enforce existing immigration laws. Recent comments by Secretary of State Blinken and Secretary of Homeland Security Mayorkas suggests the federal government will, but it remains to be seen.

Well Positioned. CoreCivic is well positioned to assist the government with any additional demand for beds and services. The Company has “thousands” of beds at existing facilities that could be used and seven idle facilities that could be restarted. The Company has hired staff in anticipation of rising populations.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – First Look at 1Q23 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, May 04, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q23 Results Below Expectations. Revenue totaled $458 million, up from $453 million a year ago, but below our $469 million projection. Consensus was $471 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $73.7 million, down from $80.8 million in 1Q22. We were at $76.4 million. CXW reported net income of $12.4 million, or $0.11/sh, compared to $19 million, or $0.16/sh last year and our $16.3 million, or $0.14/sh estimate. 

Labor, Arizona Remain Challenges. CoreCivic substantially completed the transition of inmate populations at the La Palma facility by the end of 2022, but continued to incur elevated operating expenses during the first quarter of 2023. This is due to ongoing efforts to attract and retain local staff at the facility, as well as other facilities to position the Company for the increased number of residents anticipated at facilities once the remaining occupancy restrictions attributable to COVID-19 are removed.


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The GEO Group (GEO) – Solid First Quarter Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, April 26, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $608.2 million, up from $551.2 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $130.9 million, EPS was $0.19, and adjusted EPS $0.22. In the year ago period, GEO reported $125.2 million, $0.26, and $0.31, respectively. We had forecast $607 million, $128 million, $0.21, and $0.21, respectively.

ISAP the Sequential Delta. Electronic monitoring revenue declined to $132.6 million in 1Q23 down from $149.8 million in 4Q22, with the remaining businesses up $4.3 million sequentially. Notably, populations under the program have been relatively stable since the beginning of March. 


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.