Tag: Marine Shipping

EuroDry (EDRY) – EuroDry doubles down on shipping recovery

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, September 13, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry announced the acquisition of three ships for $65 million. The three Ultramax ships are smaller than the fleet average but newer having been built in 2014-15. The ships are expected to be delivered in Oct-Nov and are yet to be commissioned. We have assumed the ships will be commissioned at a TCE rate of $12,000/day beginning in the 2024-1Q. This assumes an improvement in drybulk shipping rates in the next three months. Our models estimate that the three ships will add $4 million to EBITDA in 2024 implying a cost of 16 times EBITDA.

Of course this is not just about 2024 results. Chairman and CEO Aristides Pittas used the opportunity of the acquisition to reiterate his belief that market fundamentals will improve in the next two to three years due to a low orderbook. We agree with Mr. Pittas’s assessment but note that the prolonged war in Ukraine (lower grain trade) and a slower-than-expected economic rebound in China (steel and ore trade) could mean improvements are not seen in 2024.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Favorable charter book protecting company against shipping rate declines

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 10, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter results were above expectations. Euroseas took possession of a newbuild vessel during the quarter and was able to put it in charter at favorable rates. The vessel addition, combined with the lack of ships in drydock, meant an increase in available operating days. This helped offset a decrease in average TCE rates relative to the same quarter last year and meant that revenues, net were similar to last year.

Operating costs running in line with expectations. Like most shipping companies, operating costs are rising with inflation. The same is true for Euroseas, which reported expenses modestly higher. Issues associated with the housing and transportation of crews following the conflict in Ukraine are now behind the company. Drydocking epenses were down as none of Euroseas’s vessels were drydocked during the quarter. 


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – Shipping rates fall, a vessel is detained, operating costs rise

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, August 09, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results continue to slide in response to falling shipping rates and a ship detention. Average TCE rates, which showed signs of improving in April, fell in May and June to an average quarterly rate of $12,179/day versus $23,490/day. Eurodry reported that one of its ships was detained for 35 days (out of service 48 days) due to alleged pollution violations resulting in the cancellation of a high-priced charter.

Operating costs rose. Total operating costs ($12.7m versus $10.2m) rose sharply. Higher voyage expenses are related to the ship detention. Management described the rise in vessel operating expenses relative to last year as due to “inflationary increases” although that explanation does not adequately explain the quarter-over-quarter increase ($12.7m versus $11.8m) in costs.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Eagle reports results slightly below expectations, goes all in on shipping improvement

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, August 07, 2023

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Eagle reported 2023-2Q results that were slightly below expectations. Top-line results were slightly above expectations on higher-than-expected TCE rates (increased premium to index prices), but higher TCE reveues were offset by higher than expected operating costs. Adjusted net income/EPS ($16.7m/$1.13) was above our estimate of $7.7m/$0.47, but that was due to an $11.6m gain on the sale of ships. Absent that gain, earnings would have been $5.2m or $0.32 per share.

Management is betting on the shipping market. During the quarter, the company upgraded its fleet by acquiring two scrubber-fitted ships and selling two non-scrubber ships. It also repurchased 3.8m shares (28% of outstanding) at a cost of $221 million and increased its borrowing capacity by $175m.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Euroseas extends two shipping contracts at favorable pricing

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Euroseas terminated the charter of the Rena P and replaced it with a longer, fixed contract. The original contract earned a rate of $20,500/day until April 2024 and then shifted to indexed pricing with a $13,000 floor and a $21,000 ceiling through February 2025. Our  modeling had assumed rates drop to $15,000 in 2024. The new contract begins in August 2023 and extends 20-24 months (charter’s option) essentially adding 2-6 months to the contract and fixes the rate at $21,000. The new contract adds modestly to our 2024 earnings and cash flow.

Euroseas also replaced the Emmanual P contract with a longer, higher-priced contract. The new contract increases the rate to $21,000/day from $19,000 and extends the contract 1-5 months (charter’s option). The new contract also adds modestly to 2024 earnings and cash flow.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Euroseas largely booked out, but is still a play on rising rates because of newbuilds

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First-quarter results largely as expected. Financial results continue to suffer the effects of a sharp decline in TCE rates over the last twelve months. While Euroseas has locked in 91% of remaining shipping days in 2023, those rates eventually roll off and get replaced with lower rates. The Aegean Express ended a contract at $41,000/day, which was replaced by a rate of $13,000/day. Four other ships with rates in the high $20,000’s/day will roll off in the second half of the year.

Shipping rates are improving and could go higher. Shipping rates appear to have bottomed out in February. Current rates for 1,700 TEU and 2,500 TEU ships have risen to $16,800/day and $18,750/day, respectively, returning to a point above the ten-year trailing average and Euroseas’ breakeven cash operating point. We believe rates will move even higher should global economic concerns abate and the war in Ukraine comes to an end. 


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – Shipping rates bottoming out and that’s good news for EuroDry

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, May 16, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry reported weak 2023-1Q results due to lower shipping rates, largely as expected. The EuroDry fleet ran near full capacity but did so at much lower rates. The average TCE rate for the quarter was $10,674 down 57% versus last year and below our expectations. EuroDry typically only books out less than half of the days beyond the upcoming quarter making it more sensitive to spot shipping rates than most shipping companies. 

Operating costs were generally in line except for voyage expenses. Operating costs for the quarter rose relative to the same period last year and the previous quarter. The increase can largely be attributed to a rise in voyage expenses. Management indicated the increase was due to “expenses incurred by one of our vessels while employed under a voyage charter.” This is in contrast to the previous year when the company recognized “a gain on bunkers” of $1.0 million. The company has traditionally booked a gain in the voyage expense line.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – First-Quarter Results In Line With Recently Revised Estimates

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 08, 2023

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Sensitivity to shipping rates leads to declines, as expected. Eagle Bulk Shipping reported a 43% decrease in net revenues versus last year despite additional operating days. The decline was due to a 53% decline in average TCE rates. Eagle’s financial results are highly leveraged to changes in shipping rates with a coverage position of only 65% of available days for the upcoming second quarter. 

The trend of rising operating costs seems to be abating. Cash operating costs have been rising in recent quarters but the growth appears to be slowing. Most notably was the decline in charter expenses (which we typically do do not model in). The decline was due to a reduction in chartered-in days (944 versus 960 last year) and an overall decline in charter hire rates related to the decline in drybulk market.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Earnings Preview – The Upward Trend Begins

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, May 03, 2023

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We expect the first quarter to be a down quarter due to low shipping rates. Shipping rates have showed signs of  improving recently but should provide low comparisons in the first quarter. We look for net revenues to be down 45% year over year and diluted earnings per share to be down 93%. The sharp decline reflects Eagle’s sensitivity to shipping rates.

Things should improve after the first quarter. Rates are expected to rise beginning in the second quarter. In addition, the company will add two new ships in the third quarter. We anticipate a 20% quarter over quarter jump in revenues in the second quarter followed by lesser increases in the third and fourth quarters. EPS will rebound at an even higher rate given Eagles financial leverage.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Financial Results Weighed Down By Low Shipping Rates

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 06, 2023

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Revenues decline despite the addition of ships as shipping rates decline. Eagle reported an 18% quarterly decline in revenues. A ship addition in September increased Eagle’s operating days. Average TCE rate declined 25% quarterly. The decline in revenues would have been much sharper had it not been for an $11 million realized gain from derivatives.

Operating costs continue to rise. Operating costs have risen steadily in recent quarters. Management again cited increased costs associated with transporting and housing Ukrainian employees. Management believes operating costs per ship will decline in upcoming quarters. Cash breakeven per ship days reached a level above $12,000 in the most recent quarter, close to Eagle’s fixed TCE rate in the upcoming quarter.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Estimates and Price Target Adjusted for 10-1 Reverse Split and Continued Shipping Rate Weakness

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, February 21, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Seanergy completes a 10-1 reverse stock split effective February 16, 2023.  With the reverse split, the number of outstanding shares is reduced to 18,191,647 from 181,918,471 and then adjusted for the cancellation of fractional shares. We are raising our earnings per share estimates to reflect the change, essentially raising our numbers by ten fold with some adjustment for recent shipping rate weakness.

Our price target increases slightly less than ten fold. We are adjusting our price target to $10 from $1.50 to reflect the reverse stock split. Our PO was increased less than ten times as we have adjusted our models to reflect weaker current shipping rates. In addition, we have changed our valuation methodology from a multiple of next year’s ebitda to a discounted cash flow model. Our new methodology projects out cash flow generation for five years so that long-term valuations will be based on mid-cycle shipping rates (in this case $20,000/day) instead of basing stock valuation on peak or valley shipping rates.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Full Book Protecting Against Shipping Rate Declines

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, February 21, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Euroseas, LTD reported 2022-4Q results that were generally in line with expectations. Reported EBITDA and Net Income were slightly better than expected due to lower operating costs. However, adjusted EBITDA and Net Income were slightly below expectations due primarily to a $3.9 million reduction associated with the amortization of fair value of below market time charters acquired. The 12.1% increase in net revenues was the result of an increase in the number of vessels (18 versus 15). Average TCE rates of $29,399 per day were slightly above our $28,900 forecast and slightly below year ago rates of $30,068. Steady rates reflect ESEA’s full charter position.

The future continues to look bright for Euroseas.  80% of its ships are fixed for 2023 and 54% for 2024 representing $425 million in contracted revenues. The full order book has become especially important given a sharp decline in shipping rates in the second half of 2022. Unfortunately, a company has repudiated its charter with Euroseas. The company is growing with the order of nine newbuilds — the first of which is to be delivered next month and has a three-year charter at $48,000 per day. The addition of ships at a favorable rate should help offset a decline in rates as ships come off charter and prices are reset to current shipping rates.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – Sensitivity to shipping rates is hurting results & could get worse

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, February 14, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lower shipping rates hurting results. Eurodry reported 2022-4Q revenues, net, of $15.1 million versus $22.3 million and below our projection of $19.9 million. Average TCE rates for the quarter were $16,689 versus $29,157 and our $18,982 estimate. Lower shipping rates led to a a 54% decline in adj. ebitda and a 78% decrease in adjusted net income. The sharp declines demonstrate Eurodry’s extreme sensitivity to shipping rates.

Shipping rate sensitivity will only increase in upcoming months. Fleet rate coverage drops off dramatically after the 2023-1Q. In fact, all 11 ships will be exposed to spot or indexed prices. This, combined with a further drop in shipping rates in February, could result in a difficult upcoming quarter for the company. Management estimates it would need rates above $12,700 to be cash flow breakeven while noting current prices in the $6,000-$7,000 range.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.