Marine Shipping Archives - Page 4 of 4

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Estimates and Price Target Adjusted for 10-1 Reverse Split and Continued Shipping Rate Weakness

Posted on February 21, 2023February 21, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, February 21, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Seanergy completes a 10-1 reverse stock split effective February 16, 2023. With the reverse split, the number of outstanding shares is reduced to 18,191,647 from 181,918,471 and then adjusted for the cancellation of fractional shares. We are raising our earnings per share estimates to reflect the change, essentially raising our numbers by ten fold with some adjustment for recent shipping rate weakness.

Our price target increases slightly less than ten fold. We are adjusting our price target to $10 from $1.50 to reflect the reverse stock split. Our PO was increased less than ten times as we have adjusted our models to reflect weaker current shipping rates. In addition, we have changed our valuation methodology from a multiple of next year’s ebitda to a discounted cash flow model. Our new methodology projects out cash flow generation for five years so that long-term valuations will be based on mid-cycle shipping rates (in this case $20,000/day) instead of basing stock valuation on peak or valley shipping rates.

Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

Euroseas (ESEA) – Full Book Protecting Against Shipping Rate Declines

Posted on February 21, 2023February 21, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, February 21, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Euroseas, LTD reported 2022-4Q results that were generally in line with expectations. Reported EBITDA and Net Income were slightly better than expected due to lower operating costs. However, adjusted EBITDA and Net Income were slightly below expectations due primarily to a $3.9 million reduction associated with the amortization of fair value of below market time charters acquired. The 12.1% increase in net revenues was the result of an increase in the number of vessels (18 versus 15). Average TCE rates of $29,399 per day were slightly above our $28,900 forecast and slightly below year ago rates of $30,068. Steady rates reflect ESEA’s full charter position.

The future continues to look bright for Euroseas. 80% of its ships are fixed for 2023 and 54% for 2024 representing $425 million in contracted revenues. The full order book has become especially important given a sharp decline in shipping rates in the second half of 2022. Unfortunately, a company has repudiated its charter with Euroseas. The company is growing with the order of nine newbuilds — the first of which is to be delivered next month and has a three-year charter at $48,000 per day. The addition of ships at a favorable rate should help offset a decline in rates as ships come off charter and prices are reset to current shipping rates.

Get the Full Report

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

EuroDry (EDRY) – Sensitivity to shipping rates is hurting results & could get worse

Posted on February 14, 2023February 14, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, February 14, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lower shipping rates hurting results. Eurodry reported 2022-4Q revenues, net, of $15.1 million versus $22.3 million and below our projection of $19.9 million. Average TCE rates for the quarter were $16,689 versus $29,157 and our $18,982 estimate. Lower shipping rates led to a a 54% decline in adj. ebitda and a 78% decrease in adjusted net income. The sharp declines demonstrate Eurodry’s extreme sensitivity to shipping rates.

Shipping rate sensitivity will only increase in upcoming months. Fleet rate coverage drops off dramatically after the 2023-1Q. In fact, all 11 ships will be exposed to spot or indexed prices. This, combined with a further drop in shipping rates in February, could result in a difficult upcoming quarter for the company. Management estimates it would need rates above $12,700 to be cash flow breakeven while noting current prices in the $6,000-$7,000 range.

Get the Full Report

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Results reflect weakening prices, as expected

Posted on December 2, 2022December 2, 2022 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, December 02, 2022

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter results reflect a drop in shipping pricing, as expected. Shipping rates have fallen sharply in the last few quarters. Although management took some steps to lock in pricing this summer, it should be pointed out that the bulk of its fleet is on spot or indexed rates. We lowered our estimates in October to reflect weakening industry fundamentals, so weaker results were largely anticipated.

Slightly better-than-expected results reflect increased operating days. Seanergy brought several vessels into dry dock for repairs and upgrades in previous quarters. As a result, it was able to keep its ships active in the most recent quarter. The result was an increase in operating days above our expectations leading to higher-than-expected revenues.

Get the Full Report

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Pyxis Tankers (PXS) – Use of short-term & spot prices paying off as tanker rates rise

Posted on November 15, 2022November 15, 2022 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, November 15, 2022

We currently own a modern fleet of five tankers engaged in seaborne transportation of refined petroleum products and other bulk liquids. We are focused on growing our fleet of medium range product tankers, which provide operational flexibility and enhanced earnings potential due to their “eco” features and modifications. We are positioned to opportunistically expand and maximize our fleet due to competitive cost structure, strong customer relationships and an experienced management team whose interests are aligned with those of its shareholders. For more information, visit: http://www.pyxistankers.com.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pyxis Tankers reported another quarter of impressive results due to higher tanker shipping rates. Pyxis reported net revenues of $17.0 million for the 2022-2Q, up from $7.0 million for the same period last year and in line with expectations. Higher revenues reflect a TCE rate of 29,062 versus 7,326. Higher revenues more than offset increased vessel operating costs, which were $5.0 million versus $3.6 million. The result was a boost to adjusted EBITDA to $8.0 million versus $(1.3) million. Net income available to common was $5.1 million ($0.42 per diluted share) versus a loss of $3.7 million ($0.39 per diluted share).

The near-term outlook remains favorable. The displacement of traditional shipping routes caused by the conflict in Ukraine has led to longer voyages at higher prices. This will most likely continue and may even accelerate as European countries replace Russian natural gas with oil and diesel. In addition, the Chinese government has now authorized the export of refined oil, which may lead to additional demand for tankers. Pyxis has committed three of its five vessels to short-term charters at rates above 30,000 while leaving the remaining two vessels to receive spot prices. Traditional, tanker shipping prices are strong in the winter heating season.

Get the Full Report

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Euroseas (ESEA) – The tide has turned but Euroseas is well protected

Posted on November 15, 2022November 15, 2022 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results rise on higher shipping rates and additional ships. Euroseas reported net revenues of $46 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 versus $23 million for the same period last year. Higher revenues reflect an increase in the TCE rate to $30,893 from $19,482 and the deployment of 18 vessels versus 14 last year. Results were a few million below our forecast as was adjusted net income of $20.9 million. The company continues to buck industry trends by holding the line on vessel costs per shipping day.

Euroseas is well protected from the recent sharp decline in shipping rates. Euroseas has locked in 99% of its shipping days for the rest of the year, 78% of 2023 shipping days, and 54% of 2024 shipping days. In fact it has even chartered three new builds to be delivered in 2023. Management indicated it is unlikely to lock in rates any time in the near future for the four ships to be delivered in 2024. While realized TCE rates will undoubtedly slip below $30,000 in upcoming quarters, the company will not face the sharp declines most other shippers will face.

Get the Full Report

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

EuroDry (EDRY) – Lower results reflect declining shipping rates, Price Target lowered.

Posted on November 14, 2022November 14, 2022 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Monday, November 14, 2022

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry reported 2022-3Q revenues, EBITDA and net income below comparable periods and our estimates. Net revenues of $15.8 million were below that of the same period last year ($19.5 million), the 2022-2Q ($21.0 million) and our estimate ($19.5 million). Results reflect a decline in TCE rates to $20,637 and a reduction in voyage days due to 92 scheduled off days. Adjusted ebitda was $9.5 million as the $4-5 million revenue shortfall versus previous periods and our estimate carried down to the ebitda line. Adjusted net income was $5.7 million, or $1.93 per share, well below our $9.5 million or $3.27 per share estimate.

The company’s sensitivity to shipping rates is apparent as it locks in rates at lower prices. EuroDry has locked in 53% of 2022-4Q shipping days but virtually no days beyond 2022. Shipping contracts agreed in recent months have largely been below $15,000 reflecting a 35-50% drop in pricing since the second quarter. Management remains confident shipping rates will eventually improve as global economic conditions improve but near-term comps will be tough. As such, this quarter’s decision to schedule off days for repairs and ship improvements while rates are low seems logical.

Get the Full Report

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Genco Shipping (GNK) – Another solid quarter in the books

Posted on November 11, 2022November 11, 2022 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, November 11, 2022

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Locking in shipping rates when prices were high is paying off. Genco reported revenues of $136 million for the 2022-3Q. While revenues were below 2021-3Q levels of $155 million, they were close to 2022-2Q levels and our expectations. TCE rates were $23,624 down slightly from the previous quarter due to lower spot rates, but reflective of management’s strategy of locking in rates for roughly 75% of shipping days. With spot rates now having fallen below $15,000, such a strategy is proving to have paid off.

Costs are rising but shipping rates are still well above Genco’s break-even point. Genco, like most of the industry, is facing higher costs as labor, steel, and fuel costs rise. That said, shipping rates (even lower spot rates) are well above Genco’s break-even point of roughly $9,000/shipping day. The company continues to generate large significant free cash flow which it has used to reduce debt ($261 million since 2021) and pay a dividend ($2.74 per share in the last four quarters). Free cash flow will most likely decline in future quarters, but should be ample enough to continue to reduce debt and pay a dividend.

Get the Full Report

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Top line results surpass recently-lowered expectations but so do costs

Posted on November 7, 2022November 7, 2022 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Monday, November 07, 2022

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Eagle reported 2002-3Q Net Revenues of $185.3 million on TCE rates of $28,099. We had recently lowered our net revenue estimate to $158.9 million based on an assumed TCE rate to $25,000. Higher-than-expected revenues reflect a high level of charter-in days (1000 versus our 600 assumption) and an impressive utilization rate of 99.7%. The company has 70% of fourth-quarter available days covered at $25,040 which compares favorably with our models.

But costs were higher. Eagle reported 2002-3Q voyage expenses of $40.8 million versus $30.3 million last year and our estimate of $25.6 million. Voyage operating expenses were $33.1 million versus $28.1 million and our $27.5 million estimate. G&A expenses were $9.7 million versus $7.9 million and our $8.4 million estimate. Higher costs reflect industry trends but bear watching going forward.

Get the Full Report

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).