Health Archives - Page 14 of 30

PDS Biotechnology Corp. (PDSB) – Triple Therapy Data Shows Benefits That Far Exceed Published Studies

Posted on November 10, 2023November 10, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, November 10, 2023

PDS Biotech is a clinical-stage immunotherapy company developing a growing pipeline of molecularly targeted cancer and infectious disease immunotherapies based on the Company’s proprietary Versamune® and Infectimune™ T-cell activating technology platforms. Our Versamune®-based products have demonstrated the potential to overcome the limitations of current immunotherapy by inducing in vivo, large quantities of high-quality, highly potent polyfunctional tumor specific CD4+ helper and CD8+ killer T-cells. PDS Biotech has developed multiple therapies, based on combinations of Versamune® and disease-specific antigens, designed to train the immune system to better recognize diseased cells and effectively attack and destroy them. The Company’s pipeline products address various cancers including HPV16-associated cancers (anal, cervical, head and neck, penile, vaginal, vulvar) and breast, colon, lung, prostate and ovarian cancers.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Triple Therapy Trial Results Show Much Longer Survival In HPV-Positive Cancer. PDS announced data from the Triple Therapy Combination conducted by the NCI (National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health). This trial tested the combination of PDS0101, the tumor-targeted IL-12 derivative PDS0301, and a checkpoint inhibitor to give three mechanisms of action against HPV-positive cancers. While the patient sample is small, these results far exceed survival seen in published studies.

Results Shows Significant Improvements Over Expectations. Final survival data from the patients that had no previous therapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI naïve patients) showed 6 out of 8 (75%) of the patients alive at 36 months, compared with published studies with about 30% to 50% alive at 12 months and less than 30% alive at 24 months. Median overall survival for the ICI naïve patients has not been reached.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

Ocugen (OCGN) – 3Q23 Reported With Several Products On Schedule To Reach Clinical Milestones In 2024

Posted on November 10, 2023November 10, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, November 10, 2023

Ocugen, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing novel gene therapies, biologicals, and vaccines. The lead product in its gene therapy program, OCU400, is in Phase 1/2 clinical trials for retinitis pigmentosa.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pipeline Is Set For 2024. Ocugen reported 3Q23 loss of $14.2 million or $(0.06) per share, compared with our estimated loss of $18.2 million or $(0.07) per share. Cash balance at the end of the quarter was $53.5 million. During 3Q23, data was presented for OCU400, INDs were approved for OCU410 and OCU410ST, and OCU500 was selected by the NIAID-NIH (National Allergy and Infectious Disease Institute of the National Institutes of Health) to begin clinical testing. NeoCart is also expected to begin a Phase 3 trial in 2H24. We see these pipeline events as important milestones for the company.

OCU400 is on schedule to finalize the Phase 3 trial design. The Phase 1/2 trial has completed dosing of the RP patients and three LCA patients. The treatment protocols for the Phase 3 trial are expected to be finalized by year-end. Following FDA acceptance, the Phase 3 trial is expected to begin in early 2024 as expected. The final LCA patient data could allow FDA approval to include LCA patients in 2H24.

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Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN) – 3Q23 Reported With Review Of Clinical Progress

Posted on November 10, 2023November 10, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, November 10, 2023

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Loss Was Less Than Projected. Eledon reported 3Q23 loss of $10.3 million or ($0.35) per share, compared with our estimate of a loss of $14.5 million or $(0.57) per share. The difference was mostly due to R&D expense of $7.9 million compared with our estimate of $11.9 million. Cash and equivalents at the end of the quarter were $59.6 million.

Phase 1b Data Shows Protection and Strong Function. As discussed in our Research Note on November 3, data from the Phase 1b trial testing tegoprubart in prevention of renal transplant rejection was presented at the American Society of Nephrology Kidney Week. The data from 11 patients showed tegoprubart was safe, well-tolerated, and had no rejection. Importantly, all of the patients that were evaluated at least 90 days after transplantation had eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate) above 70 ml/min/1.72 m2. This is above 50th percentile of 50 ml/min/1.72 m2 average in published studies, and is a strong predicator of graft survival. One patient who completed the 1-year treatment period had a eGFR of 91 ml/min/1.72 m2 and went into the open-label extension study.

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GeoVax Labs, Inc. (GOVX) – 3Q23 Quarterly Report Includes 2024 Milestones

Posted on November 9, 2023November 9, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, November 09, 2023

GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

GeoVax Announces 2024 Milestones and 3Q23 Financial Results. GeoVax reported a 3Q23 loss of $8.4 million or $(0.32) per share. The company reviewed the progress made during the quarter, including completion of enrollment for the Phase 2 trial testing CM04S1 as a booster in healthy patients, presentation of data from the Phase 1/2 data for Gedeptin showing safety and tumor reduction, and addition of 3 new clinical sites for the Phase 2 trial for CM04S1 in immunocompromised patients.

CM04S1 Has Made Progress In Three Trials. Enrollment has been completed in the Phase 2 trial testing CM04S1 as a booster for healthy patients that had received the Pfizer or Moderna mRNA vaccines. An announcement of the top-line data is expected shortly. As discussed in our Research Note on September 25, a publication of data from the Phase 2 trial in immuno-compromised patients showed both humoral and cellular immune responses in patients that have difficulty responding to vaccination. Three new clinical sites were also added to the trial. An Investigator Initiated Trial (IIT) in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is expected to announce interim data in the coming months.

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Apollo Medical Scales Medicaid Presence with Purchase of CFC

Posted on November 9, 2023November 9, 2023 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Healthcare investor favorite Apollo Medical Holdings (NASDAQ: AMEH) is expanding its presence in value-based care arrangements through the acquisition of Community Family Care (CFC), a large independent physician association based in Los Angeles. The all-cash deal worth up to $202 million reflects ApolloMed’s strategy of targeting risk-bearing providers as a high-growth segment of the health biotech sector.

CFC manages care for over 200,000 members via its network of more than 350 primary care physicians and 500 specialists. The group has a strong presence in Medicaid, with a Restricted Knox Keene (RKK) license enabling it to take on full risk for this population in California. CFC also serves Medicare and commercial members under value-based contracts that incentivize providers to control costs and improve health outcomes.

For ApolloMed, acquiring CFC significantly boosts its portfolio of managed lives, particularly under global capitation arrangements that cover total cost of care. Additionally, CFC’s long track record of profitability in Medicaid provides ApolloMed with demonstrated capabilities to take on risk successfully in a population that is often challenging for providers.

The deal exemplifies a unique competitive edge for ApolloMed – its end-to-end platform spanning technology, management services, and risk contracting. CFC has utilized ApolloMed’s care enablement tools since 2020, allowing it to perform well under value-based care. Now, full acquisition enables tight integration and aligned incentives as CFC transitions to an ApolloMed care partner responsible for total cost and outcomes.

For 2023, CFC is expected to generate $190 million in revenue with $25 million in adjusted EBITDA, an impressive 13% margin for a risk-bearing provider group. ApolloMed has agreed to an acquisition price of up to $202 million, including $152 million in cash, $20 million in ApolloMed stock, and $30 million in potential milestone payments. The deal is anticipated to close in Q1 2024 after clearing regulatory reviews.

Rapid Growth in Value-Based Care

The acquisition comes at a time of rapid expansion in value-based care, where providers take on financial accountability for cost and quality of healthcare for a population of patients. Government and commercial payers are pushing providers into these arrangements to incentivize focus on preventative care and eliminating wasteful spending.

Analysts size the global market for value-based care at $3.1 billion by 2030, reflecting a blistering compound annual growth rate of 21.7% from 2022. In the United States, value-based care penetration is expected to reach 65% of healthcare payments by 2025.

ApolloMed is positioned at the forefront of this transformation with its integrated platform and focus on enabling providers, such as CFC, to take on risk successfully. The CFC deal adds a sizable value-based care presence to ApolloMed’s portfolio, demonstrating the appetite to aggressively scale its model with like-minded partners.

Targeting High-Growth Segments

The CFC acquisition also highlights ApolloMed’s focus on areas of healthcare with strong secular tailwinds: government programs and risk-based arrangements.

Medicaid represents a massive $650 billion total addressable market, and ApolloMed is specifically targeting expansion in California, which has among the most progressive Medicaid programs in supporting coordinated care models. CFC’s strong capabilities in the Medicaid population will be a key strategic asset.

Likewise, ApolloMed’s thesis of investing behind risk-bearing providers is underscored by CFC’s demonstrated ability to generate double-digit margins while managing patients under capitated contracts. As fee-for-service reimbursement models decline, providers capable of taking on risk will be increasingly valuable.

Wall Street’s View

ApolloMed has been a darling of growth investors, with shares up 270% over the past five years. Revenue and EBITDA have compounded annually at 50% and 90%, respectively, as the company scales its platform.

The market continues to reward this rapid expansion, with ApolloMed trading at a premium valuation of 50x P/E. Bulls believe the company’s strategy and competitive moats position it for continued acceleration as value-based care proliferates.

Meanwhile, bears argue that ApolloMed’s nosebleed valuation leaves little room for error. There are also concerns around rising fragmentation in California’s Medicaid market challenging operators.

However, with impressive unit economics and strong execution thus far, ApolloMed has many convinced it can maintain momentum. The CFC deal offers further validation of the company’s model and market opportunity. Investors will be watching closely for successful integration and financial accretion.

If ApolloMed can effectively leverage CFC to penetrate Medicaid and value-based arrangements more deeply, the deal may be looked back upon as an inflection point in the company’s growth story. At minimum, it provides another data point for ApolloMed’s ability to execute on acquisitions rapidly expanding its national footprint – a core piece of the bull thesis.

MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF) – Receiving More Approval

Posted on November 8, 2023November 8, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, November 08, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Approval. Yesterday, MustGrow announced the Company received Health Canada’s Pest Management Regulatory Agency (PMRA) approval to commence large-scale field trials via NexusBioAg’s 2024 BioAdvantage Trials Program (BAT Program). The program will focus on the Company’s TerraMG mustard-derived soil biopesticide technology for use in Canadian canola and pulse crop markets.

NexusBioAg BAT Program. The BAT Program is an industry leading field trialing program with an established process to gather data from large field scale trials across Canada. NexusBioAg, a partner of MustGrow and the operator of the program, validates product efficacy and establishes the product value and opportunity. Through the BAT Program, NexusBioAg farm customers will have access to MustGrow’s mustard plant-based product.

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Cargo Therapeutics Positions for One of 2023’s Largest Biotech IPOs

Posted on November 6, 2023November 6, 2023 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Cargo Therapeutics is gearing up for an initial public offering (IPO) that could be one of the biggest biotech listings in 2023. The cancer-focused gene therapy startup aims to raise around $300 million through the sale of 18.75 million shares priced between $15 to $17.

If successful, it would be a rare bright spot in an otherwise dreary IPO market for life science companies this year. Cargo’s offering comes at a time when biotech IPOs have slowed to a trickle amid volatile market conditions.

The company is developing CRG-022, an experimental CD22 CAR-T therapy for certain blood cancers. Cargo’s candidate takes a patient’s own T-cells and engineers them to target and kill cancerous B-cells expressing the CD22 antigen.

Cargo hopes CRG-022 can benefit patients with large B-cell lymphoma who have failed previous CD19 CAR-T treatment. It initiated a potentially pivotal Phase 2 trial for this population in September. Data from the study could support regulatory approval in 2025.

Beyond blood cancers, Cargo intends to study CRG-022 in solid tumors expressing CD22. This includes some forms of breast, lung, colorectal and liver cancers. The company believes its therapy may demonstrate activity in a wider range of advanced cancers than existing CAR-Ts.

Proceeds from the IPO will help fund Cargo’s clinical programs and earlier R&D. According to its SEC filing, the company had $42.4 million in cash at the end of June 2022 but accumulated losses exceeding $77 million. The capital infusion will provide runway through the expected interim Phase 2 data readout.

Take a moment to take a look at more emerging biotech companies by looking at Noble Capital Markets’ Senior Research Analyst Robert LeBoyer’s coverage universe.

Cargo’s offering will be a key test of investor appetite for preclinical biotech IPOs. These platform companies developing multiple experimental drugs based on a core technology have fallen out of favor recently.

However, Cargo could attract more interest with CRG-022 already in mid-stage testing and potential for near-term commercialization. The FDA has approved several CAR-T cell therapies over the past five years, providing a regulatory pathway for followers like Cargo.

But biotech IPOs in general face challenges in the current environment. Volatility, rising interest rates, and recession fears have rocked stock markets in 2022. Biotech has been among the hardest hit sectors, with the Nasdaq Biotech Index down over 30% year-to-date.

Companies pursuing IPOs have been forced to scale back valuations and offering sizes. Those that do list are often trading below issue price. So far in 2022, only around 15 biotechs have braved public markets compared to 60+ in recent years.

Yet some experts believe companies with innovative therapies and strong data can still obtain IPO financing. Cargo will provide a barometer of latent investor demand for biotech offerings amid the downturn.

A successful IPO could potentially reinvigorate biotech’s depressed financing environment. It may encourage other firms contemplating IPOs to move forward with planned deals.

Conversely, a lackluster response would signal biotech IPOs remain out-of-favor for now. This could lead companies to instead pursue private financing to advance programs and extend runways.

In any case, Cargo’s listing will generate insight into the health of biotech capital markets. The deal’s performance could significantly influence investment decisions and sentiment around the battered sector heading into 2023.

All eyes will be on whether one of biotech’s most promising young companies can buck the prevailing IPO trends. Cargo’s offering will help determine if the window for issuance might finally be opening back up.

Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN) – Phase 1b Data Shows Safety With An Important Improvement In Kidney Function

Posted on November 3, 2023November 3, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, November 03, 2023

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Update From Phase 1b Trial Presented. Eledon presented updated data from its Phase 1b open-label trial testing tegoprubart for prevention of kidney transplant rejection. The data showed tegoprubart was comparable or better than tacrolimus in safety and tolerability, its primary endpoint. One of the secondary endpoints measuring kidney function showed a substantial improvement over tacrolimus. We see this data as a strong positive for tegoprubart.

Tegoprubart Is In Development To Replace Tacrolimus. The calcineurin inhibitor tacrolimus is the current standard of care for preventing transplant rejection. It has a success rate of over 90% first year graft survival, but its side effects include toxicity to the kidney and pancreas. These toxicities cause new onset diabetes and graft failure. The open-label trial tested a regimen with tegoprubart instead of tacrolimus along with the other standard-of-care drugs.

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MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF) – TerraSante Receives USDA Organic Approval

Posted on November 1, 2023November 1, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, November 01, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Receiving Approval. MustGrow announced yesterday that the Company has been awarded an organic compliance certification from the USDA National Organic Program for its TerraSante crop fertilizer and soil amendment technology. The product is now OMRI Listed in the following Generic Material Listings: NOP: Plant Extracts, Class: Crop Fertilizers and Soil Amendments.

A Potential Boon to US Farmers. The Organic Materials Review Institute’s (OMRI) organic certification can potentially provide an opportunity for farmers to reduce synthetic chemical and fertilizer use while meeting growing market demand for organic biological products. It involves a strict review of product ingredient composition and observance of manufacturing compliance standards required in organic production in which, upon final registration of product approval from U.S. state agencies, TerraSante will be marketed with “OMRI listed for organic use”.

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Cocrystal Pharma (COCP) – Phase 2a Influenza Trial Receives Authorization To Begin

Posted on November 1, 2023November 1, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, November 01, 2023

Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics that target the replication process of influenza viruses, coronaviruses (including SARS-CoV-2), hepatitis C viruses and noroviruses. Cocrystal employs unique structure-based technologies and Nobel Prize-winning expertise to create first- and best-in-class antiviral drugs. For further information about Cocrystal, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Phase 2a Trial Expected To Begin In The UK Before Year-End. Cocrystal announced that it has received authorization from the United Kingdom’s Medicines Health and Regulatory Agency to begin its Phase 2a clinical trial. This Phase 2a trial will be conducted in the UK and test CC42344 in seasonal and pandemic influenza. The trial is expected to begin before the end of 2023 with results expected around mid-2024.

Study Was Designed To Test Hunan Volunteers In A Controlled Setting. The study will be a single-center, placebo-controlled study designed to challenge healthy human volunteers with influenza A. Subjects will receive pharmaceutically-produced influenza A virus on the first day. This will be followed 24 hours later by either CC-42344 or placebo once daily for 5 days. Endpoints in the trial are changes in viral load, symptoms, and biomarkers, as well as safety and tolerability.

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ZyVersa Data Boosts Promise of Inflammasome Inhibitor for MS Treatment

Posted on November 1, 2023November 1, 2023 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Clinical stage biopharmaceutical company ZyVersa Therapeutics (NASDAQ: ZVSA) announced compelling new research this week supporting the potential of its drug candidate IC 100 to treat multiple sclerosis (MS). Publication of the preclinical data on IC 100’s neuroprotective effects provided an upbeat development for ZyVersa’s stock and boosted confidence in its inflammasome inhibition technology.

ZyVersa is developing first-in-class therapies for inflammatory and kidney diseases. The company’s pipeline is led by IC 100, an antibody designed to inhibit inflammasome overactivation and reduce pathogenic inflammation. The recent research published in Molecular Neurobiology demonstrated that IC 100 reduced neuronal damage, microglial activation, and demyelination in a mouse model of MS.

MS is an inflammatory disease where the immune system attacks the central nervous system, degrading myelin and eventually causing nerve damage and disability. An estimated 2.8 million people globally suffer from MS, representing a major unmet medical need. Current MS drugs only slow progression of the disease.

ZyVersa believes IC 100’s unique mechanism inhibiting the ASC component of multiple inflammasome types can provide neuroprotection and block inflammation underlying development and progression of MS. The new data provides critical validation of this thesis, according to experts in the field.

ZyVersa’s stock jumped 12% on the news, reflecting increased investor enthusiasm for the company’s inflammasome targeting technology. The data comes right before ZyVersa anticipated beginning Phase 2 testing of IC 100 in MS patients during the first half of 2024.

The MS preclinical results support the potential of ZyVersa’s approach and represent an important step forward. However, some industry observers caution it remains to be seen whether the neuroprotective effects fully translate from animals to humans. But these are viewed as very promising early stage findings.

Beyond MS, ZyVersa believes IC 100 may help treat a range of other neuroinflammatory conditions characterized by overactive inflammasomes such as Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s disease. The new research helps derisk the company’s pipeline and technology platform.

In the wake of the positive data, ZyVersa appears well positioned to ride the wave of growing interest in leveraging inflammation research to develop better therapies for neurological diseases. While still an early stage company, ZyVersa stock offers an intriguing investment opportunity based on the promise of its science and immunotherapy pipeline. Expectations will be high for the biotech to execute on its MS program and fully tap into the potential of its ASC inhibition technology.

GeoVax Labs, Inc. (GOVX) – Clinical Trial Expansion Continues With A Stream Of Milestones

Posted on October 31, 2023October 31, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Site Expansion Should Increase Rate Of Enrollment. GeoVax announced the additional of new clinical sites in the Phase 2 trial for CM04S1, its COVID-19 vaccine to protect patients who are immunocompromised due to treatment for hematological malignancies. Patients who receive treatments including allogenic/autologous stem cell transplant or CAR-T therapy have difficulty responding to the available COVID-19 vaccines, leaving them vulnerable.

Site Expansion Should Increase Speed of Enrollment. The trial is designed to compare the safety and immunogenicity of CM04S1 directly against the mRNA vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna. The trial began at the City of Hope Medical center in California and will begin treating patients at Wake Forest Baptist Medical Center (North Carolina), University of Massachusetts Medical Center, and Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research (Washington). Patient enrollment at these sites should increase the enrollment rate and number of patients in the study, providing greater statistical significance with shortened time to results.

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Weight Loss Drugs Shake Up Pharma Stocks, But Wider Impact Remains Unclear

Posted on October 31, 2023October 31, 2023 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

A new class of potent weight loss drugs has been shaking up the pharmaceutical sector, sending stocks of some major drug makers soaring. But the wider impact on other industries like food, retail, and medical devices remains uncertain amidst changing consumer behaviors.

Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly have been riding high thanks to their injectable diabetes medications Ozempic and Mounjaro. Though only approved for diabetes, both drugs have shown dramatic weight loss potential in clinical trials.

Ozempic and Mounjaro belong to a drug class called GLP-1 agonists. They mimic a hormone that regulates appetite and food intake. Patients using the new drugs at high doses can lose up to a quarter of their body weight.

Predictions have emerged that these drugs could reshape industries from restaurants to airlines. But so far, the actual impact beyond pharma has been muted.

In the stock market, Novo Nordisk shares are up over 50% in the last year thanks to Ozempic. The drug’s sales hit $5.2 billion in the first 9 months of 2022. Mounjaro brought in $187 million for Lilly within just 2 months of its launch.

“The physiological benefits these treatments offer patients help address significant unmet needs,” said Josh Schimmer, senior analyst at Evercore ISI.

The market potential also has investors excited. If just 2% of obese Americans eventually use weight loss medications, it could swell into a $58 billion market according to Evercore forecasts.

Among other drug stocks involved, Amgen owns a portion of Mounjaro’s revenue due to a licensing deal with Lilly. Meanwhile, companies like Entera Bio and Novo Nordisk have oral pills in late stage testing that could expand the weight loss drug market substantially.

However, analysts caution growth depends on how insurers cover the drugs which can cost nearly $1,500 a month without insurance. Usage also remains low currently at around just 1% of the US population.

Beyond pharma, the impact is hazier. The consumer staples sector has been the worst performing segment of the S&P 500 this year as investors brace for potential fallout.

But so far, food and beverage leaders seem unfazed. PepsiCo, Hershey, and Constellation Brands recently reported strong quarters without seeing signs of slowing demand.

Retailers and restaurants have opportunities to adapt their offerings to court health-focused consumers. “Maybe the GLP-1 consumer looks very different three or five years from now,” said Goldman Sachs analyst Jason English.

Surprisingly, medical device makers also haven’t seen slowed growth yet either. In fact, continuous glucose monitoring usage grew right alongside Ozempic prescriptions, suggesting weight loss isn’t eliminating diabetes demand.

However, bariatric surgery has been slightly impacted according to comments from Johnson & Johnson’s CEO. Other discretionary categories like apparel and travel could eventually be impacted if behaviors change long term.

For now, the uncertainty leaves analysts split on whether these drugs are a fad or the beginning of a healthcare revolution. But Wall Street is clearly enamored with the weight loss leaders.

As more data emerges on usage and impact, it will determine whether stock declines are overdone for consumer staples beyond pharma. If wide adoption materializes, Novo and Lilly appear poised to dominate a blockbuster new drug market.