Gold Archives - Page 4 of 7

Higher Metals Prices May Escalate Mining M&A Activity

Posted on April 17, 2023April 24, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

Is This The Start Of A New Golden Age Of Gold Mining Deals?

We may be about to enter a new golden age of gold mining deals as explorers and producers seek to capitalize on higher metal prices and gain exposure to other key minerals, including copper, at a time when consolidation in the gold industry vastly trails that of other metals.

Last week, major U.S. gold producer Newmont raised its bid for Australian rival Newcrest Mining to $19.5 billion after its earlier bid of $17 billion was rejected. Due diligence is expected to take around four weeks, and if Newcrest’s board and shareholders accept the offer, the acquisition would represent one of the top 10 biggest metal deals ever and the single biggest gold mining takeover, nearly twice the value of last year’s merger between Kirkland Lake and Agnico Eagle.

(A note about the chart above: Just today, Teck Resources rejected Glencore’s $23 billion takeover bid, calling it “opportunistic and unrealistic.” Vancouver-based Teck says it will proceed with plans to spin off its steelmaking coal business, creating two new companies: Teck Metals and Elk Valley Resources. This separation “creates a significantly greater spectrum of opportunities to maximize value for Teck shareholders” compared to an acquisition by Glencore, says Teck’s Board of Directors Chair Sheila Murray.)

This article was republished with permission from Frank Talk, a CEO Blog by Frank Holmes

of U.S. Global Investors (GROW).

Time will tell if Newcrest approves of Newmont’s offer, but I believe this could be the start of a much-needed consolidation cycle in the gold industry, one that could potentially benefit shareholders.

Gold Is One Of The Most Fragmented Gold Mining Industries

Back in 2019, many analysts and market participants—myself included—heralded Newmont and Goldcorp’s $9.3 billion merger as the beginning of a new era of gold consolidation, and I believe the Newmont-Newcrest deal could serve as a (delayed) continuation of the trend.

The truth is that, compared to other important metals, gold is sorely in need of consolidation. The chart below, courtesy of metals and mining consultancy firm CRU Group, shows the global share of output from each metal’s top 10 producers. Gold is at the bottom, with its top 10 producers responsible for only 28% of global output. By comparison, the top 10 iron ore producers generate nearly 70% of the world’s supply.

Higher gold prices in recent years have not resulted in significantly increased exploration spending. In lieu of that, companies can expand and create shareholder value through mergers and acquisitions (M&A), which allow miners to “increase their production share, replenish depleting gold reserves and… lower production costs through relatively less risk,” writes CRU analysts.

Copper To Face Ongoing Supply Deficits

M&A can also result in metal diversification—one of Newmont’s stated goals in acquiring Newcrest. Copper currently accounts for roughly 25% of Newcrest’s total net revenue, and the company hopes to increase it to 50% of revenue by the end of the decade. As one of the key minerals in the global transition to renewable energy, copper is poised to surge in price in the coming years as demand far outpaces supply.

In fact, copper mining deals exceeded gold mining deals in total value last year, according to a new report by S&P Global. M&A work among copper companies in 2022 totaled more than $14 billion in value, a 103% jump over the previous year, while the combined value of gold deals stood at $9.8 billion, a 48% decrease from 2021.

US Global Investors Disclaimer

The NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index is a modified market capitalization weighted index comprised of publicly traded companies involved primarily in the mining for gold and silver. The S&P 500 Stock Index is a widely recognized capitalization-weighted index of 500 common stock prices in U.S. companies. Free cash flow (FCF) represents the cash a company generates after accounting for cash outflows to support operations and maintain its capital assets. Frank Holmes has been appointed non-executive chairman of the Board of Directors of HIVE Blockchain Technologies. Both Mr. Holmes and U.S. Global Investors own shares of HIVE. Effective 8/31/2018, Frank Holmes serves as the interim executive chairman of HIVE.

Holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. The following securities mentioned in the article were held by one or more accounts managed by U.S. Global Investors as of (09/30/2021): Torex Gold Resources Inc., Centerra Gold Inc., Gran Colombia Gold Corp., Dundee Precious Metals Inc., Pretium Resources Inc., Endeavour Mining PLC, Barrick Gold Corp., Eldorado Gold Corp., SSR Mining Inc., Silver Lake Resources Ltd., Karora Resources Inc.

All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every investor. By clicking the link(s) above, you will be directed to a third-party website(s). U.S. Global Investors does not endorse all information supplied by this/these website(s) and is not responsible for its/their content.

Coeur Mining (CDE) – Lowering 2023 Expectations

Posted on April 12, 2023April 12, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, April 12, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Vice President – Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Expectations for 2023. In February, Coeur provided 2023 gold and silver production guidance of 320.0 to 370.0 thousand ounces and 10.0 to 12.0 million ounces, respectively. Production is weighted toward the second half of the year due to the impact of the Rochester expansion and higher gold production at Wharf. Operationally, we expect the third quarter to be the company’s strongest based on the Rochester mine’s production profile.

Updating estimates. We have lowered our 2023 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $132.7 million and $(0.23) from $158.1 million and $0.00. We have refined our quarterly production estimates and also raised our cost estimates. We note that the company’s guidance on taxes could result in variances to our EPS estimates. While the company expects first quarter cash taxes in the range of $14 to $18 million, we note that cash taxes paid and recorded income tax expense may differ. We have also adjusted our EBITDA estimate to reflect certain items such as inventory adjustments.

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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

Maple Gold Mines (MGMLF) – Looking Ahead to the Next Phase of Drilling at Eagle

Posted on April 10, 2023April 10, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Monday, April 10, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Telbel drilling results are pending. The goal of exploration and drilling along the past-producing Eagle-Telbel mine trend is to define high-grade zones of gold mineralization and additional mineral resources to complement the established resource at Douay. Maple Gold has completed more than 21,500 meters of drilling across the four-kilometer Eagle-Telbel Mine trend, with 14,720 meters at Maple’s 100%-owned Eagle mine property and more than 7,000 meters of joint venture drilling at the Telbel Mine area of the Joutel Project, which is held by a 50/50 joint venture between Maple and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited. Assay results associated with the drilling at Telbel are pending.

Last of the 2022 Eagle results released. Maple recently released remaining assay results from ~20% of the 14,720 meters of drilling at Eagle. To date, the company’s drilling at Eagle has confirmed that gold mineralization is not limited to the Eagle-Telbel Mine Horizon, a narrow stratigraphic interval, but instead covers a significantly broader stratigraphic interval of over 100 meters straddling the Harricana Deformation Zone. Drill core observations support Maple Gold’s concept of a significant structural component to gold mineralization in the form of an orogenic gold overprint.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Release – Labrador Gold Announces Results of Annual General Meeting of Shareholders

Posted on April 4, 2023April 4, 2023 by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on NKOSF

TORONTO, April 04, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Labrador Gold Corp. (TSX.V:LAB | OTCQX:NKOSF | FNR: 2N6) (“LabGold” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce results of its annual general meeting of shareholders held in Toronto on April 3, 2023.

At the meeting shareholders re-elected five current directors, being Roger Moss, James Borland, Trevor Boyd, Leonidas Karabelas and Kai Hoffmann and approved the re-appointment of DeVisser Gray LLP, of Vancouver, British Columbia, as auditors of the Corporation. Shareholders also ratified the 2021 Stock Option Plan and approved the Corporation’s new 2023 Stock Option Plan which supercedes and replaces the 2021 Stock Option Plan.

Following the shareholder meeting the Board of Directors reconstituted its Audit Committee and also reappointed officers for the ensuing year as follows:

President and CEO: Roger Moss

Chief Financial Officer: Eric Myung

Corporate Secretary: William Johnstone

The Company also announces that in accordance with its Stock Option Plan, it has granted officers, directors, consultants and employees an aggregate of 3,100,000 incentive stock options exercisable until April 3, 2028 at $0.23 per share. The options will vest according to the following schedule, 20% on August 3, 2023, 20% on October 3, 2023, 20% on April 3, 2024, 20% on October 3, 2024 and 20% on April 3,2025.

About Labrador Gold
Labrador Gold is a Canadian based mineral exploration company focused on the acquisition and exploration of prospective gold projects in Eastern Canada.

Labrador Gold’s flagship property is the 100% owned Kingsway project in the Gander area of Newfoundland. The three licenses comprising the Kingsway project cover approximately 12km of the Appleton Fault Zone which is associated with gold occurrences in the region, including those of New Found Gold immediately to the south of Kingsway. Infrastructure in the area is excellent located just 18km from the town of Gander with road access to the project, nearby electricity and abundant local water. LabGold is drilling a projected 100,000 metres targeting high-grade epizonal gold mineralization along the Appleton Fault Zone with encouraging results to date. The Company has approximately $16 million in working capital and is well funded to carry out the planned program.

The Hopedale property covers much of the Florence Lake greenstone belt that stretches over 60 km. The belt is typical of greenstone belts around the world but has been underexplored by comparison. Work to date by Labrador Gold show gold anomalies in rocks, soils and lake sediments over a 3 kilometre section of the northern portion of the Florence Lake greenstone belt in the vicinity of the known Thurber Dog gold showing where grab samples assayed up to 7.8g/t gold. In addition, anomalous gold in soil and lake sediment samples occur over approximately 40 km along the southern section of the greenstone belt (see news release dated January 25 ^th2018 for more details). Labrador Gold now controls approximately 40km strike length of the Florence Lake Greenstone Belt.

The Company has 170,009,979 common shares issued and outstanding and trades on the TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol LAB.

For more information please contact:

Roger Moss, President and CEO Tel: 416-704-8291

Or visit our website at: www.labradorgold.com

Twitter @LabGoldCorp

Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release .

Forward-Looking Statements: This news release contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from the statements made. When used in this document, the words “may”, “would”, “could”, “will”, “intend”, “plan”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “expect” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Such statements reflect our current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from the statements made, including those factors discussed in filings made by us with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities. Should one or more of these risks and uncertainties, such as actual results of current exploration programs, the general risks associated with the mining industry, the price of gold and other metals, currency and interest rate fluctuations, increased competition and general economic and market factors, occur or should assumptions underlying the forward looking statements prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described herein as intended, planned, anticipated, or expected. We do not intend and do not assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements, except as required by law. Shareholders are cautioned not to put undue reliance on such forward-looking statements .

Can the Factors Pushing Gold Higher Continue?

Posted on April 4, 2023April 4, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

Image Credit: Michael Steinberg (Pexels)

Are Safe Haven Investments Just Beginning Their Rise?

Gold is continuing to move up. Fueled by global tensions, rising prices, a weakening dollar, and new wariness of the banking system, gold seems to have regained its place as a safe haven portfolio allocation. Over the past five calendar days, the precious metal has gained $84 per ounce or 4.3%. In recent days price movement has been helped by lower yields on U.S. Treasuries and OPEC+ oil production cuts which can be expected to increase inflationary pressures as the cost of transportation and production rises for the majority of new goods.

Physical gold, priced in $USD, as seen on the chart below, is up 10.62% on the year. But that does little to tell the recent story. The investments in the yellow metal had gone negative on the year until two days before the Silicon Valley Bank’s problems became widely known in early March. This means much of the current increase on the year has occurred in under a month’s time. And the mindset that is driving the rise seems to be lingering.

Technicians point out that the $2020 level was an area of resistance that traders easily pushed through on Tuesday. Are there also fundamental reasons for it to continue its upward climb?

Global Tensions

Global tensions and geopolitical events can have a significant impact on the price of gold. Uncertainty surrounding the war in Europe, U.S. enemies forming closer alliances with each other, and a former U.S. President being indicted are providing heightened tensions. Gold has remained a safe-haven asset historically because investors turn to in times of political or economic uncertainty – it is perceived to be a store of value that is less vulnerable to fluctuations in currency values and stock markets.

We are in times of political and economic certainty now, this can continue to increase the demand for gold and drive up its price.

Inflation

Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation, so as inflation rises, the price of gold tends to increase. Recent reports in the U.S. have shown inflation, especially core inflation (net of food and energy price changes), has resumed an upward move. The spike in oil stemming from recently announced production cuts should increase both core and overall inflationary pressures.

When inflation is running high, the value of the U.S. dollar erodes. Investors gravitate to alternative stores of wealth that can maintain their purchasing power. Gold is seen as a safe-haven asset that can protect against inflation and currency devaluation. As a result, investors tend to buy more gold, driving up its price.

Watch the replay of the Channelchek Takeaway of the PDAC mining convention

Weaker Dollar

As mentioned above, a weakening U.S. dollar can have a significant impact on the price of gold expressed in U.S. dollars. Precious metals are typically priced in terms of U.S. dollars globally. When inflation runs higher than safe-haven U.S. Treasury yields than assets move toward alternatives like gold, real estate, or cryptocurrencies.

As a result, when the U.S. dollar weakens, the demand for gold may increase, driving up its price.

Systemic Risk

The risk of bank failures can impact gold prices in several ways. In times of perceived financial instability and/or economic uncertainty, investors’ confidence in banks and other financial institutions weakens. This often leads to a shift to safe-haven assets like gold.

In addition, if there is a continued risk of bank failures. If it happens, central banks could take steps to stabilize the financial system by injecting liquidity into the markets and lowering interest rates. These actions weaken currency which increases inflation. Inflation expectations, as mentioned earlier, support higher gold prices.

Gaining Exposure

The chart shows the correlation between gold, and mining stocks since the beginning of the year. As a reference, the performance of the VanEck gold mining ETF (GDX), and the junior gold mining ETF (GDXJ) are charted against the S&P 500 (SPY), and an S&P mining index (XME). The XME is designed to track changes across a broad market-cap spectrum of metals and mining segments in the U.S.

The mining stocks have been moving in the same direction and pivoting at the same time as gold (XAUUSD). The difference is the moves have been more pronounced (up and down) for the mining stocks.

Investors expecting gold to continue to increase and considering increasing their exposure to safe-haven precious metals, ought to do their due diligence and determine if gold mining stocks are a better fit for what they are trying to accomplish.

In his Metals & Mining First Quarter 2023 Review and Outlook (April 3, 2023) Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, at Noble Capital Markets provides various potential scenarios to his outlook for gold and other metals. The report (available at this link) is a good place to start to weigh this industry expert’s considerations with your own.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.channelchek.com/news-channel/metals-mining-first-quarter-2023-review-and-outlook

https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/gold-price-forecast-gold-markets-continue-to-pressure-the-upside-2-1328755

https://www.kitco.com/news/2023-04-03/OPEC-oil-cuts-won-t-drive-inflation-high-enough-to-stop-gold-s-run-above-2-000.html

https://www.channelchek.com/videos/noble-analyst-takeaways-channelchek-takeaway-series-pdac-convention-2

Gold in the Face of a Multipolar World Order

Posted on March 30, 2023March 30, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

Petrodollar Dusk, Petroyuan Dawn: What Investors Need To Know

While most investors were trying to gauge the Federal Reserve’s next moves in light of recent bank failures last week, something interesting happened in Moscow.

During a three-day state visit, Chinese President Xi Jinping held friendly talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin in a show of unity, as both countries increasingly seek to position themselves as leaders of what they call a “multipolar world order,” one that challenges U.S.-centric alliances and agreements.

Among those agreements is the petrodollar, which has been in place for over 50 years.

In case you’re wondering, “petrodollars” are not a real currency. They’re simply dollars being used to trade oil. Early in the 1970s, the U.S. government provided economic aid to Saudi Arabia, its chief oil-producing rival, in exchange for assurances that Riyadh would price its crude exports exclusively in the U.S. dollar. In 1975, other members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) followed suit, and the petrodollar was born.

This had the immediate effect of strengthening the U.S. dollar. Since countries around the world had to have dollars on hand in order to buy oil (and other key commodities such as gold, also priced in dollars), the greenback became the world’s reserve currency, a status formerly enjoyed by the British pound, French franc and Dutch guilder.

All things must come to an end, however. We may be witnessing the end of the petrodollar as more and more countries, including China and Russia, are agreeing to make settlements in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. This could have wide-ranging implications on not just a macro scale but also investment portfolios.

This article was republished with permission from Frank Talk, a CEO Blog by Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors (GROW). Find more of Frank’s articles here – Originally published March 27, 2023

Dawn For The Petroyuan?

Putin couldn’t have been more explicit. During Xi’s state visit, he named the Chinese yuan as his favored currency to conduct trade in. Ever since Western sanctions were levied on the Eastern European country for its invasion of Ukraine early last year, Russia has increasingly depended on its southern neighbor to buy the oil other countries won’t touch.

In just the first two months of 2023, China’s imports from Russia totaled $9.3 billion, exceeding full-year 2022 imports in dollar terms. In February alone, China imported over 2 million barrels of Russian crude, a new record high.

Except that now, the yuan is presumably being used to make these settlements.

As Zoltar Pozsar, New York-based economist and investment research director at Credit Suisse, put it recently: “That’s dusk for the petrodollar… and dawn for the petroyuan.”

U.S. Dollar Still The World’s Reserve Currency, But Its Dominance Is Slipping

Before you dismiss Pozsar’s comment as an exaggeration, consider that other major OPEC nations and BRICS members (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are either accepting yuan already or strongly considering it. Russia, Iran and Venezuela account for about 40% of the world’s proven oilfields, and the three sell their oil in exchange for yuan. Turkey, Argentina, Indonesia and heavyweight oil producer Saudi Arabia have all applied for admittance into BRICS, while Egypt became a new member this week.

What this suggests is that the yuan’s role as a reserve currency will continue to strengthen, signifying a broader shift in the global power balance and potentially giving China a bigger hand with which to shape economic policies that affect us all.

To be clear, the U.S. dollar remains the world’s top reserve currency for now, though its share of global central banks’ official holdings has slipped in the past 20 years, from 72% in 2001 to just under 60% today. By contrast, the yuan’s share of official holdings has more than doubled since 2016. The Chinese currency accounted for about 2.8% of reserves as of September 2022.

Russia Diversifying Away From The Dollar By Loading Up On Gold

It’s not all about the yuan, of course. Gold has also increased as a foreign reserve, especially among emerging economies that seek to diversify away from the dollar.

Last week, Russia announced that its bullion holdings jumped by approximately 1 million ounces over the past 12 months as its central bank loaded up on gold in the face of Western sanctions. The bank reported having nearly 75 million ounces at the end of February 2023, up from about 74 million a year earlier.

Long-Term Implications For Investors

The implications of the dollar potentially losing its status as the global reserve are numerous. Obviously, there may be currency risks, and a decrease in demand for U.S. Treasury bonds could result in rising interest rates. I would expect to see massive swings in commodity prices, especially oil prices, which could be an opportunity if you can stomach the volatility.

Gold would look exceptionally attractive, I think. A significant decrease in the relative value of the dollar would be supportive of the gold price, and I would be surprised not to see new highs. It’s for reasons like these that I always recommend a 10% weighting in gold, with 5% in physical bullion and the other 5% in high-quality gold mining equities. Be sure to rebalance at least on an annual basis.

Five Reasons to Get Excited About Mining Stocks

Posted on March 28, 2023April 3, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

M&A Trends Could Drive Mining Stocks Much Higher?

The building wave of M&A deals in at least two of the mining sectors, is difficult to ignore. This week, lithium miner Albemarle (ALB) disclosed it had submitted a proposal to acquire Liontown Resources (LTR.Australia). Last month Newmont Mining’s proposed acquisition of Newcrest Mining, highlighted the rising interest in M&A in the gold sector. To date, both proposals have been shunned, but as companies look to increase production, inflation increases producers capital outlays, plus long permitting processes, a case could be made that growth by acquisition, friendly or not, is becoming more appealing in the sector.

Typically growing demand to buy smaller companies in a sector puts upward pressure on valuations.

The gold and lithium sectors have mostly lead over the past six months in terms of deal-making. For gold, the largest driver is these miners remain undervalued by historical levels. The trend for lithium producers in the years ahead, as battery production ramps up to meet surging demand for electric storage and green technology, is expected to continue to accelerate.

The Price of lithium, key to batteries found in most EVs, over the years has risen. This created a situation where car manufacturers themselves have realized that the best way to ensure a key ingredient to their product is to own all or part of a large enough producer. Lithium producers are looking for ways to increase yield and own more production facilities. These factors could unfold into a situation where the stock prices of companies producing either of these two metals, and even other mined minerals with growing demand, could outperform other sectors.

Five Reasons to Explore Small Mining Companies

While the real heat is on producers of minerals used to make batteries and gold miners, the below supply/demand concepts may apply to an increased need for other miners to involve themselves in M&A as well.

New List of Acquirers – The big car companies, energy companies, and other additional industrial consumers are in need of reliable supply.
Cheaper to Buy than Find – M&A is a solution to the increased costs of growing organically. It also helps circumvent what could be permitting delays and supply chain problems that prevent headway.
Scale – Gold companies normally try to extract synergies when seeking to size up, while lithium producers seek pure scale.
Big Picture Economics – The economic environment favors miners if inflation remains elevated; the companies’ production is more likely to sell for more. The cost of money, on an opportunity cost basis, especially net of inflation (real interest) favors mining.
Finding Value – Informed stock selection is key to discover and invest in companies best positioned to benefit from swelling M&A in the sector.

The fifth on this list is less of a reason to explore mining companies and more a common sense reminder. Last week the Channelchek Take Away Series brought to viewers a live in-depth presentation of 12 mining companies that were just coming off the huge PDAC mining conference in Canada. These presentations are being replayed and may be just the place to begin to hear from company executives, and a highly respected senior natural resources analyst. Audience questions and answers follow.

The information on these on-demand replay videos is current, and as you’ll see by clicking here, the list of video presentations includes a diversified mix of producers and explorers.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-to-handle-an-uncertain-market-buy-weakness-sell-strength-f145c306

Labrador Gold Corp. (NKOSF) – High Expectations for 2023

Posted on February 24, 2023February 24, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, February 24, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Significant progress at Kingsway. Exploration and drilling at the company’s 100%-owned Kingsway gold project is targeting the Appleton Fault over a 12-kilometer strike length. With approximately $17 million in cash, Labrador Gold has ample financial resources to fund the remaining 34,000 meters of drilling of the company’s planned 100,000-meter drill program.

2023 drilling program. Drilling will continue this year at the Big Vein target and further drilling will be undertaken at the Midway and Pristine targets. Labrador Gold currently has two drill rigs deployed at the Big Vein target. The company expects to add a third rig to drill northeast of the Pristine target which could later move to the Midway target, and a fourth rig to drill in an area (“The Gap”) between Big Vein and Pristine.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Coeur Mining (CDE) – No Big Surprises

Posted on February 24, 2023February 24, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, February 24, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results. Coeur reported adjusted fourth quarter and full year 2022 losses per share of $(0.06) and $(0.32), respectively, and in line with our estimates. Fourth quarter and full year adjusted EBITDA were $35.9 million and $139.0 million. Full year gold and silver ounces produced were 330.3 thousand and 9.8 million, respectively, while ounces sold were 330.0 thousand and 9.8 million. Free cash flow during the fourth quarter and full year 2022 amounted to $(84.5) million and $(326.7) million due in part to heavy capital expenditures of $113.1 million and $352.4 million, respectively. On balance, financial results were in line with our expectations.

Completion of the Rochester expansion is expected by mid-2023. As of December 31, 2022, approximately $605 million of the $650 million to $670 million project cost has been committed, while $494 million had been incurred.

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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

The One -Two Punch that Caught Gold Off-Guard

Posted on February 16, 2023February 17, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

Image Credit: RaymondClarkeImages (Flickr)

Gold Softens as Yields Rise on US Treasuries From Inflation Stickiness

As the month of February began, the talk was for gold to hit $2,000 an ounce in the first quarter. But, as is often the case with investment markets, once certainty creeps into the mindset, something unexpected often comes along and undermines it. Gold may very well reach the $2,000 price in early 2023, but it has, for now, taken a small hit caused by a resurgence of expectations related to inflation’s pervasiveness. The inflation itself isn’t necessarily a problem, it is the chain reaction of events that then follows.

The One Two-Punch Catches Gold Off-Guard

Gold futures reached 10-month highs near $1,975 just before the release of January U.S. non-farm payrolls were reported on February 3rd. The Friday release showed large gains in the employment condition which stoked old inflation worries.

Concerns about inflation had been settling down before the jobs number. One indication of that is US bond yields had been priced, by most measures, for an eventual easing of rates, not tightening of conditions. The employment report itself began to unwind gold’s strength. The price sank to below $1,830 before recovering to around $1,875. The reason is that higher inflation, begets higher expectations of bond yields, which then begets capital flows into dollars to take advantage of the higher rates available. Gold becomes relatively weaker and less desirable under these conditions.

On February 14^th, as some AU investors were falling out of love with gold, an inflation report (CPI) for January showed a tick-up in January prices over December’s numbers. This exacerbated U.S. inflation fears and helped to bring gold back under $1,850.

New Expectations

The shift in expectations over a two week period are not likely to unwind without new information which undermines the new employment and inflation reports. That doesn’t seem likely in the coming days as a just released wholesale price report (PPI) now indicates inflation is more than a services sector concern.

Gold long positions are now caught in the crosshairs of the Fed’s resolve to fight inflation. Every treasury yield spike has led to a dollar spike and been used as an opportunity to reduce demand for gold or reduce it’s relative value against US dollars.

Historically, gold prices had risen with inflation as investors bought the currency alternative as a hedge against paper currency. Currency typically loses value when prices go up. What happened then is more typical and is what is still taught in textbooks – good economic news was good for risk assets.

More recently, good economic news, worries investors because it has the potential to make inflation hotter, prompting the Fed to dial up rates and hurt everything from stocks to gold and oil. The positive correlation is on hiatus, probably until the Fed’s finger comes off the rates trigger.

Take Away

The markets had begun looking past the tightening phase after 450 bp worth of Fed Funds increases. The numbers reported in February have many investors, including those that trade currencies, precious metals, stocks, bonds, and other commodities less certain about the Fed calling for a cease fire in its inflation battle.

Of course, this new trend is young, it can conceivably be unwound in an instant in a changing world with many concerns outside and away from price increases.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources:

https://app.koyfin.com/charts/

https://www.bls.gov/

Why Global Gold Demand Could Stay High

Posted on February 10, 2023February 10, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

Central Banks Gobbled Up More Gold Last Year Than In Any Year Since 1967

The price of gold stopped just short of hitting $1,960 an ounce last Thursday, its highest level since April 2022, before plunging below $1,900 on Friday following a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report, indicating that the current rate hike cycle may be far from over.

I don’t believe that this takes away from the fact that gold posted its best start to the year since 2015. The yellow metal rose 5.72% in January, compared to 8.39% in the same month eight years ago.

This article was republished with permission from Frank Talk, a CEO Blog by Frank Holmes
of U.S. Global Investors (GROW).
Find more of Frank’s articles here – Originally published February 8, 2023.

I also maintain my bullishness for gold and gold mining stocks in 2023. Gold was one of the very few bright spots in a dismal 2022, ending the year essentially flat, and I expect its performance to remain strong in the year ahead.

Record Retail Demand In 2022

The big headline in the World Gold Council’s (WGC) 2022 review is that total global demand expanded 18% year-over-year, reaching its highest level since 2011.

Central banks were responsible for much of the growth, adding a massive 1,136 metric tons, the largest annual amount since 1967. China began accumulating again in 2022 for the first time in three years, continuing its goal of diversifying away from the dollar.

Meanwhile, retail demand for bars and coins in the U.S. and Europe hit a new annual record last year in response to stubbornly high inflation and the war in Ukraine. Western investors gobbled up 427 tons (approximately 15 million ounces), the most since 2011.

Investors To Shift From Physical Bullion To Gold-Backed ETFs In 2023?

Where I see the opportunity is with gold-backed ETFs and gold mining stocks, both of which didn’t see the same level of demand as the bullion market last year. Investors withdrew some 110 tons from physical gold ETFs, the second straight year of declines, though at a slower pace compared to 2021. Even when the gold price began to climb in November, investors didn’t seem to respond as they have in past rallies.

The WGC suggests that demand for ETFs that hold physical gold will “take the baton” from bars and coins this year. That remains to be seen, but I always recommend that investors diversify, with 5% of their portfolio in bullion, gold jewelry and gold-backed ETFs.

Another 5% can be allocated to high-quality gold mining stocks, mutual funds and ETFs. We prefer companies that have demonstrated strong momentum in revenue, free cash flow and high-growth margins on a per-share basis.

$1 Trillion Investment In The Energy Transition, On Par With Fossil Fuels

If I had to select another metal to watch this year (and beyond), it would be copper. The red metal, we believe, will be one of the greatest beneficiaries of the global low-carbon energy transition that’s taking place. As we seek to electrify everything, from power generation to transportation, copper is the one material that’s used every step of the way.

What’s more, investment in the transition is accelerating. Last year, more than $1 trillion was plowed into new technologies such as renewable energy, energy storage, carbon capture and storage, electrified transport and more.

Not only is this a new annual record amount, but, for the first time ever, it matches what we invested in fossil fuels, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance (NEF).

China was the top investor, responsible for $546 billion, or nearly half of the total amount. The U.S. was a distant second at $141 billion, though the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), signed into law in August 2022, has yet to be fully deployed.

Copper’s Supply-Demand Imbalance

At the same time that copper demand is growing due to the energy transition, the global supply pipeline is thinning due to shrinking exploration budgets and a dramatic slowdown in the number of new deposits.

Take a look at the chart above, courtesy of S&P Global. Copper exploration budgets have not managed to generate a meaningful increase in major new discoveries. According to S&P Global, most of the copper that’s produced every year comes from assets that were discovered in the 1990s.

It may be a good time to consider getting exposure with a high-quality copper miner such as Ivanhoe Mines or a broad-based commodities fund that gives you access to copper exploration and production.

Release – Maple Gold Appoints Paul Harbidge to Its Technical Committee and Provides Deep Drilling Update

Posted on February 8, 2023February 8, 2023 by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on MGMLF

Vancouver, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – February 7, 2023) – Maple Gold Mines Ltd. (TSXV: MGM) (OTCQB: MGMLF) (FSE: M3G) (“Maple Gold” or the “Company“) is pleased to announce the appointment of Paul Harbidge to its technical committee (the “Technical Committee”), which helps guide exploration, drilling and project management at the Company’s projects located in Québec, Canada, and to provide an update on the ongoing deep drilling programs at the Douay Gold Project (“Douay”) and the Joutel Gold Project (“Joutel”), which are held by a 50/50 joint venture (“JV”) between the Company and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited.

Mr. Harbidge is an accomplished geologist with more than 25 years of experience and a track record of discovering world-class gold deposits. He is currently President, Chief Executive Officer and a Director of Faraday Copper Corp., an emerging U.S. copper developer. Mr. Harbidge was previously President and Chief Executive Officer of GT Gold Corp. and led the company to a C$456 million acquisition by Newmont Mining Corp. in May 2021. Prior to that, Mr. Harbidge was Senior Vice President of Exploration for Goldcorp Inc. from 2016 until its acquisition by Newmont Mining Corp. in April 2019. He also led the exploration team at Randgold Resources Limited that was credited with five major gold discoveries. Mr. Harbidge holds a First-Class Honours Degree in Geology from Kingston University, London (UK) and a Master of Science in Mineral Exploration and Mining Geology from Leicester University (UK).

“We are thrilled to have Paul Harbidge join our Technical Committee, as his experience successfully leading teams to multiple world-class gold discoveries further strengthens our technical group during this critical phase of growth for the Company,” stated Matthew Hornor, CEO of Maple Gold. “2023 is shaping up to be an exciting year for the JV as we approach completion of the first phase (~6,000 m) of deep drilling at Joutel and with the planned deep drilling campaign (~10,000 m) at Douay testing beneath the known 6 x 2 km resource footprint already well underway.”

A total of six (6) drill holes and drillhole extensions are planned at Douay, several of which are expected to be drilled to 2,000 metres (“m”) downhole or more. Deep drilling will test beneath the current mineral resource (SLR 2022) and across the favorable Casa Berardi North Fault corridor, where modeled wireframes demonstrate the potential for higher-grade (>2 grams per tonne (“g/t”) gold (“Au”)) mineralization at greater depths.

Deep drilling at Douay commenced in early January 2023 with drill hole DO-23-331, which is collared approximately 400 m southwest of the conceptual pit limits at the 531 Zone (see Figure 1). Previous drilling at the 531 Zone has returned some of the highest-grade and largest gold accumulations (grade x thickness) to-date at Douay, including 8.8 g/t Au over 28.5 m at a depth of 295.0 m in drill hole DO-21-310 (see news from September 9, 2021). While the primary target for this hole is located approximately 1,900 m downhole, where it is expected to intersect the projection of the defined mineralized zone at the 531 Zone significantly down-plunge, DO-23-331 will also serve to test the full width of the mineralized corridor in this area (see Figure 2). DO-23-331 is currently approaching 1,100 m downhole and is proving to be more mineralized than anticipated in the hanging wall rocks (see drill core images with preliminary observations in Plate 1).

Two (2) additional drill rigs were recently mobilized to Douay and as previously reported the Company expects five (5) rigs to be turning concurrently throughout Q1/2023.

“We are encouraged and cautiously optimistic after observing significant pyrite mineralization in the upper portion of the first deep drill hole in an area well south of the 531 Zone with very limited drilling,” stated Fred Speidel, VP Exploration of Maple Gold. “These initial observations point to the potential for these deep drill holes to intersect new mineralized horizons enroute to the targeted depths.”

Figure 1: Plan view showing locations of DO-23-331 and DO-23-332 (both in progress) with line of section for DO-23-331.

To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/3077/153909_b0ba8207d42d99db_001full.jpg

Figure 2: Cross section (300 m total width) looking WNW showing DO-23-331 drill hole trace with position of Casa Berardi North Fault (CBNF) and primary target corridor at depth.

To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/3077/153909_b0ba8207d42d99db_002full.jpg

Plate 1: DO-23-331 drill core with fenitized (biotite-calcite-altered) and pyritized basalt at 324 m downhole.

To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/3077/153909_b0ba8207d42d99db_003full.jpg

Assays for the entire deep drilling program (Douay and Joutel) are pending and results will be released on a periodic basis over the coming months once they are received and interpreted.

Option Issuance

The Company has approved the grant to certain consultants of stock options (“Options”) to purchase an aggregate of 200,000 common shares of the Company at an exercise price of $0.26 per common share. The Options have a 5-year term and vest 1/3 immediately, 1/3 in 12 months and 1/3 in 24 months from the date of grant until fully vested.

Qualified Person

The scientific and technical data contained in this press release was reviewed and prepared under the supervision of Fred Speidel, M. Sc., P. Geo., Vice-President Exploration of Maple Gold. Mr. Speidel is a Qualified Person under National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects. Mr. Speidel has verified the data related to the exploration information disclosed in this press release through his direct participation in the work.

About Maple Gold

Maple Gold Mines Ltd. is a Canadian advanced exploration company in a 50/50 joint venture with Agnico Eagle Mines Limited to jointly advance the district-scale Douay and Joutel gold projects located in Québec’s prolific Abitibi Greenstone Gold Belt. The projects benefit from exceptional infrastructure access and boast ~400 km² of highly prospective ground including an established gold resource at Douay (SLR 2022) that holds significant expansion potential as well as the past-producing Eagle, Telbel and Eagle West mines at Joutel. In addition, the Company holds an exclusive option to acquire 100% of the Eagle Mine Property.

The district-scale property package also hosts a significant number of regional exploration targets along a 55 km strike length of the Casa Berardi Deformation Zone that have yet to be tested through drilling, making the project ripe for new gold and polymetallic discoveries. The Company is well capitalized and is currently focused on carrying out exploration and drill programs to grow resources and make new discoveries to establish an exciting new gold district in the heart of the Abitibi. For more information, please visit www.maplegoldmines.com.

ON BEHALF OF MAPLE GOLD MINES LTD.

“Matthew Hornor”

B. Matthew Hornor, President & CEO

For Further Information Please Contact:

Mr. Joness Lang
Executive Vice-President
Cell: 778.686.6836
Email: jlang@maplegoldmines.com

NEITHER THE TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE NOR ITS REGULATION SERVICES PROVIDER (AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED IN THE POLICIES OF THE TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE) ACCEPTS RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THIS PRESS RELEASE.

Forward Looking Statements:

This press release contains “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” (collectively referred to as “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation in Canada, including statements about exploration work and results from current and future work programs. Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, uncertainties and management’s best estimate of future events. Actual events or results could differ materially from the Company’s expectations and projections. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. For a more detailed discussion of such risks and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, refer to Maple Gold Mines Ltd.’s filings with Canadian securities regulators available on www.sedar.com or the Company’s website at www.maplegoldmines.com. The Company does not intend, and expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/153909

Maple Gold Mines (MGMLF) – Will 2023 Be the Year that Maple Gold Goes Viral?

Posted on February 8, 2023February 8, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, February 08, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Deep drilling program at Douay. A 10,000-meter drill program is underway at the Douay project, a joint venture with Agnico Eagle. Two additional drill rigs were mobilized at Douay and the company expects progress to accelerate with five rigs turning throughout the first quarter of 2023. A total of six drill holes are planned, several of which are expected to be drilled to at least 2,000 meters downhole. Mines in the Abitibi gold belt are known for vertical continuity and higher grades at depth. Deep drilling will test beneath the current mineral resource and across the Casa Berardi North Fault corridor.

Nearing the target. In January, deep drilling at Douay commenced with Hole DO-23-331, collared approximately 400 meters southwest of the conceptual pit limits at the 531 Zone, currently approaching 1,100 meters downhole. Previous drilling at the 531 Zone returned some of the highest-grade and largest accumulations of gold at Douay based on grade and thickness. The primary target is roughly 1,900 meters downhole where it is expected to intersect the projection of the defined mineralized zone at the 531 Zone significantly down plunge. Hole DO-23-331 will also test the width of the mineralized corridor in this area.

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