Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – September-quarter results in line with expectations


Wednesday, November 15, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Seanergy 2023-3Q results were generally in line with expectations. Shipping rates declined as expected but were offset by better-than-expected available shipping days. Operating costs and bottom-line results were also near expectations.

The company has fixed additional rates for the upcoming quarter and realized rates should rise. The company has locked in 60% of expected shipping days at an average rate that is roughly 25% above the average realized rate for the most recent quarter. Available days will go up with a new charter-in.


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Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Third Quarter Preview


Friday, November 03, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lower shipping rates will push revenues down modestly. We have lowered our 2023-3Q revenue projections modestly to reflect a drop in shipping rates in the later half of the quarter. After a sharp decline in pricing in 2022, the dry bulk shipping market has shown signs of improving several times only to have pricing slip back down. Such was the case in the third quarter which began the period on a high note only to see pricing fall. Issues in China, the war in Ukraine, and general economic malaise are the causes cited most often for pricing weakness.

Lowering non-contracted shipping rates reduces our revenue projections, earnings projections largely unchanged. We have lowered our assumed shipping rate for non-contracted shipping days in the quarter to $16,500 from $17,000. In response, we have lowered our revenue estimate to $24.4 million from $24.8 million. Lower revenues, combined with an increase in stock-based compensation due to a higher SHIP stock price, were offset by the elimination of losses on the extinguishment of debt. The result is only a modest change to our EPS estimate which now calls for an adjusted EPS loss of $0.15 versus our previous estimate of $0.16 per share. We expect the company to report results on November 14th.


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EuroDry (EDRY) – EuroDry doubles down on shipping recovery


Wednesday, September 13, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry announced the acquisition of three ships for $65 million. The three Ultramax ships are smaller than the fleet average but newer having been built in 2014-15. The ships are expected to be delivered in Oct-Nov and are yet to be commissioned. We have assumed the ships will be commissioned at a TCE rate of $12,000/day beginning in the 2024-1Q. This assumes an improvement in drybulk shipping rates in the next three months. Our models estimate that the three ships will add $4 million to EBITDA in 2024 implying a cost of 16 times EBITDA.

Of course this is not just about 2024 results. Chairman and CEO Aristides Pittas used the opportunity of the acquisition to reiterate his belief that market fundamentals will improve in the next two to three years due to a low orderbook. We agree with Mr. Pittas’s assessment but note that the prolonged war in Ukraine (lower grain trade) and a slower-than-expected economic rebound in China (steel and ore trade) could mean improvements are not seen in 2024.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Results better than expected and should improve in upcoming quarters


Thursday, August 03, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Seanergy reported 2023-2Q results slightly above our expectations. Seanergy reported net revenues of $28.3 million on an average TCE rate of $18,708/day versus our estimate of $26.4 million and $18,000/day, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA and EPS were $12.7 million and $0.18 versus our estimate of $10.6 million and $0.12. Higher-than-expected results reflect strong utilization rates, high interest income, and the positive effect of debt restructuring. 

The company is setting up for a strong 4Q and 2024. The company has locked in 53% of 2023-3Q shipping days at a rate of $16,710/day, slightly below 3Q rates. However, it has locked in 21% of 2023-2H days at rates above $20,000/day, implying that locked in rates will be improving in 4Q. In addition, Seanergy will take possession of a new ship in 4Q (with option to buy in a year) which management estimates will receive a 20% premium to Baltic Capesize Index prices. 


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Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Seanergy repurchases shares and acquires a new vessel amid recent shipping rate weakness


Friday, July 07, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Seanergy repurchased approximately 2% of its shares outstanding at an average price of $4.35 per share. The shares were repurchased at an 11.2% discount to its July 5th stock price. The shares fell approximately 5% on July 6th, a reflection of weakness in the overall market more than the share repurchase announcement. SHIP reported a cash position of $20 million at the end of the first quarter, adequate capital to finance the $1.6 million share repurchase.

Seanergy also announced an agreement to acquire a vessel through a bareboat-in charter. A bareboat-in charter allows the acquirer to take possession of a boat for which no crew or provisions are included as part of the agreement. Seanergy will pay $7 million and $9,000/day for the 12-month charter and has an option to purchase the vessel for $20.2 million. Despite Capesize Drybulk shipping rates declining in recent weeks, they agreement should provide a modest boost to near-term cash flow generation. We would expect the company to execute its option to purchase the vessel and become the 18th ship in Seanergy’s fleet.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Results generally in line once one-time gain removed


Friday, May 26, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Revenues fell on lower shipping rates in line with expectations. Seanergy reported 2023-1Q revenues of $18.03m versus $29.7m last year but above our $17.4m projection. The average TCE rate for the quarter was $11,005/d versus $19,357/d causing the decline. Seanergy continues to receive above-market pricing due to its modern fleet and use of scrubbers. Management noted that TCE rates have risen above $18,000 allowing it to lock-in or extend ship rates. Seanergy has fixed approximately 75% of 2023-2Q available shipping days and estimates an average TCE of $18,870 based on forward rates.

Bottom line results reflect lower revenues. Seanergy reported 2023-1Q adjusted EBITDA of $3.9m versus $16.7m. Results were above our projection of $0.0m. Better-than-expected results reflect slightly higher revenues combined with slightly lower depreciation and financing costs. Seanergy reported 2023-1Q adjusted net income of ($0.3m) or ($0.02) per share. However, the company did not exclude an $8.1m gain on sale. Excluding the gain, adjusted net income would have been ($8.4m) or ($0.47) per share versus our ($12.4m) or ($0.69) per share estimate.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

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EuroDry (EDRY) – Shipping rates bottoming out and that’s good news for EuroDry


Tuesday, May 16, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry reported weak 2023-1Q results due to lower shipping rates, largely as expected. The EuroDry fleet ran near full capacity but did so at much lower rates. The average TCE rate for the quarter was $10,674 down 57% versus last year and below our expectations. EuroDry typically only books out less than half of the days beyond the upcoming quarter making it more sensitive to spot shipping rates than most shipping companies. 

Operating costs were generally in line except for voyage expenses. Operating costs for the quarter rose relative to the same period last year and the previous quarter. The increase can largely be attributed to a rise in voyage expenses. Management indicated the increase was due to “expenses incurred by one of our vessels while employed under a voyage charter.” This is in contrast to the previous year when the company recognized “a gain on bunkers” of $1.0 million. The company has traditionally booked a gain in the voyage expense line.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Results fall on lower shipping rates but Seanergy is finding ways to offset the decline


Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth-quarter revenues fell sharply once again. Shipping rates continued to decline. The average TCE rate fell 53% year over year and 15% quarter over quarter. Seanergy was able to partially offset the impact of lower rates because of the net addition of ships in 2022 and thus a higher number of operating days. The company was also able to generate new revenues by providing management services to United Maritimes Corporation, which was spun off in July.

Lower revenues partially offset by cost reductions and share repurchases. Daily vessel operating costs were $6,651 during the quarter, down from $7,184 last year and $7,593 in the third quarter. Financing costs were below expectations despite the investment in new ships. Management has been active refinancing debt when possible. Of particular note was the decrease in diluted share count due to the repurchase of convertible notes. 


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

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EuroDry (EDRY) – Sensitivity to shipping rates is hurting results & could get worse


Tuesday, February 14, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lower shipping rates hurting results. Eurodry reported 2022-4Q revenues, net, of $15.1 million versus $22.3 million and below our projection of $19.9 million. Average TCE rates for the quarter were $16,689 versus $29,157 and our $18,982 estimate. Lower shipping rates led to a a 54% decline in adj. ebitda and a 78% decrease in adjusted net income. The sharp declines demonstrate Eurodry’s extreme sensitivity to shipping rates.

Shipping rate sensitivity will only increase in upcoming months. Fleet rate coverage drops off dramatically after the 2023-1Q. In fact, all 11 ships will be exposed to spot or indexed prices. This, combined with a further drop in shipping rates in February, could result in a difficult upcoming quarter for the company. Management estimates it would need rates above $12,700 to be cash flow breakeven while noting current prices in the $6,000-$7,000 range.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

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EuroDry (EDRY) – Lower results reflect declining shipping rates, Price Target lowered.


Monday, November 14, 2022

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry reported 2022-3Q revenues, EBITDA and net income below comparable periods and our estimates. Net revenues of $15.8 million were below that of the same period last year ($19.5 million), the 2022-2Q ($21.0 million) and our estimate ($19.5 million). Results reflect a decline in TCE rates to $20,637 and a reduction in voyage days due to 92 scheduled off days. Adjusted ebitda was $9.5 million as the $4-5 million revenue shortfall versus previous periods and our estimate carried down to the ebitda line. Adjusted net income was $5.7 million, or $1.93 per share, well below our $9.5 million or $3.27 per share estimate.

The company’s sensitivity to shipping rates is apparent as it locks in rates at lower prices. EuroDry has locked in 53% of 2022-4Q shipping days but virtually no days beyond 2022. Shipping contracts agreed in recent months have largely been below $15,000 reflecting a 35-50% drop in pricing since the second quarter. Management remains confident shipping rates will eventually improve as global economic conditions improve but near-term comps will be tough. As such, this quarter’s decision to schedule off days for repairs and ship improvements while rates are low seems logical.


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EuroDry (EDRY) – Model Fine Tuned To Reflect Lower Shipping Rates


Friday, October 21, 2022

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We are lowering our assumed TCE shipping rate for non-fixed vessels. We are lowering third-quarter TCE rates to $20,000/day from $23,000/day to reflect weaker shipping rates in the quarter. The impact on EuroDry cash flow and earnings is somewhat muted relative to other shipping companies given fixed rates for the bulk of its fleet. Nevertheless, we are adjusting downward our estimates to reflect the impact on ships tied to market prices.

Revenues, EBITDA and EPS estimate all come down slightly. Our new third quarter and 2022 revenues estimates are $25.4 million and $96.3 million, down from $26.1 million and $98.4 million. Our new third quarter and 2022 EBITDA estimates are $13.1 million and $55.5 million, down from $13.7 million and $57.1 million. Our new third quarter and 2022 EPS estimates are $3.27 and $14.88, down from $3.48 and $15.44.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.