Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Closing out a productive year. Century Lithium had a productive year in 2024 with the two most significant achievements being completion of the feasibility study on the Angel Island lithium project and producing battery-grade lithium carbonate at its pilot plant. The feasibility study was released in April and while the economics were compelling, the company continues to focus on process optimization to improve potential returns by reducing the project’s estimated capital and operating costs. The use of a Chlor-alkali plant is unique and offers technical and environmental advantages by producing reagents for use onsite and producing surplus sodium hydroxide which can be sold to offset cash operating costs.
Environmental and regulatory permitting. On the environmental and permitting front, most of the required baseline studies have been completed and the company is editing a draft Plan of Operations and preparing key state permits for pollution and water quality compliance. Once the Plan of Operations is completed, the company may initiate the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) permitting process.
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Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Lithium carbonate production at the pilot plant. Century Lithium has successfully produced battery-quality lithium carbonate at its Angel Island lithium project pilot plant and demonstrated it has an end-to-end process to produce lithium carbonate. The pilot plant utilizes the Company’s patent-pending process for chloride leaching combined with direct lithium extraction (DLE). Management is now focused on process optimization to reduce the project’s estimated capital and operating costs, along with advancing environmental studies, permitting, and project funding.
Progress on the environmental and permitting front. Century Lithium has completed a draft hydrological model and a draft Plan of Operations Additionally, Century has identified potential alternative locations for water supply closer to the project within its water rights permit to optimize resource usage.
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October 24, 2024 – Vancouver, Canada – Century Lithium Corp. (TSXV: LCE) (OTCQX: CYDVF) (Frankfurt: C1Z) (“Century Lithium” or the “Company”) is pleased to report on progress at its wholly owned Angel Island lithium project (“Project”) located in Esmeralda County, Nevada, USA. Since the completion of a Feasibility Study on Angel Island in April 2024, the Company continues to focus on critical steps for the Project’s development. Primary attention is on process optimization to drive reductions in the Project’s estimated capital and operating costs, environmental studies and permitting, and Project funding. Among these actions, testing has continued at the Company’s Lithium Extraction Facility (“Pilot Plant”) in Amargosa Valley, Nevada, with emphasis on producing lithium carbonate samples for evaluation by domestic end-users and interested parties.
“Century Lithium is focused on delivering results that will position the Company as one of the most advanced opportunities for a new domestic supply of this important and strategic commodity for the EV and battery storage industry” said Bill Willoughby, President, and CEO of Century Lithium. “The State of Nevada has expressed the desire to play a critical role in the clean energy transition, specifically through Nevada’s Lithium Loop initiative focusing on local resources to products to recycling. We are working with Century’s resources and technology to position us at the forefront of this effort.”
Pilot Plant Testing and Engineering
Review of the Feasibility Study with emphasis on pursuing several avenues to reduce the estimated capital and operating costs and achieve significant improvement of the Project’s economics
Achieved onsite production of battery quality lithium carbonate samples for evaluation and to demonstrate Angel Island’s capability as an end-to-end process for taking lithium claystone to a battery-quality product
Conducted initial tests with third parties on alternate reagents and media for the Pilot Plant
Currently installing equipment at the Pilot Plant based on results from the above
Initiated materials testing program to optimize and potentially reduce the estimated costs of the tailings storage facility
Environmental Studies and Permitting
Completed draft hydrologic model and addressing comments from federal regulators
Completed a draft plan of operations
Modeled alternate locations for water supply to potentially source process water closer to the Project within the scope of the Company’s water rights permit
Engaged consultants to prepare key state permits with emphasis on water pollution control and air quality
Angel Island Funding
Communicating with potential strategic partners and end-users of lithium carbonate for testing of our product samples
Pursuing parties interested in marketing or obtaining a future supply of sodium hydroxide; Century Lithium’s process will produce a surplus of sodium hydroxide, the sales of which are estimated to result in a low net production cost for lithium carbonate
Compiling Project information to support applications for government funding opportunities available through the U.S. Department of Energy and U.S. Department of Defense
ABOUT CENTURY LITHIUM CORP.
Century Lithium Corp. is an advanced stage lithium company, focused on developing its wholly owned Angel Island project in Esmeralda County, Nevada, which hosts one of the largest sedimentary lithium deposits in the United States. The Company has utilized its patent-pending process for chloride leaching combined with Direct Lithium Extraction to make battery quality lithium carbonate samples from Angel Island lithium-bearing claystone on-site at its Lithium Extraction Facility in Amargosa Valley, Nevada.
Angel Island is one of the few advanced lithium projects in development in the United States to provide an end-to-end process to produce battery grade lithium carbonate for the growing electric vehicle and battery storage market. Angel Island is currently in the permitting stage for a three-phase feasibility-level production plan expected to yield an average of 34,000 tonnes per year of battery grade lithium carbonate over a 40-year mine-life.
Century Lithium trades on both the TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol “LCE” and the OTCQX under the symbol “CYDVF”; and on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange under the symbol “C1Z”. To learn more, please visit centurylithium.com.
ON BEHALF OF CENTURY LITHIUM CORP. WILLIAM WILLOUGHBY, PhD., PE President & Chief Executive Officer
NEITHER THE TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE NOR ITS REGULATION SERVICES PROVIDER ACCEPTS RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THE CONTENT OF THIS NEWS RELEASE.
This release contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. In certain cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not anticipate”, or “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved” and similar expressions suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook.
Forward-looking statements relate to any matters that are not historical facts and statements of our beliefs, intentions and expectations about developments, results and events which will or may occur in the future, without limitation, statements with respect to the potential development and value of the Project and benefits associated therewith, statements with respect to the expected project economics for the Project, such as estimates of life of mine, lithium prices, production and recoveries, capital and operating costs, IRR, NPV and cash flows, any projections outlined in the Feasibility Study in respect of the Project, the permitting status of the Project and the Company’s future development plans.
These and other forward-looking statements and information are subject to various known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the ability of the Company to control or predict, that may cause their actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied thereby, and are developed based on assumptions about such risks, uncertainties and other factors set out herein.These risks include those described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recent annual information form and its other public filings, copies of which can be under the Company’s profile at www.sedarplus.com. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation to update-forward-looking information except as required by applicable law. No forward-looking statement can be guaranteed and actual future results may vary materially. Accordingly, readers are advised not to place reliance on forward-looking statements or information. Furthermore, Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Lithium carbonate production at the pilot plant. Century Lithium recently added a lithium carbonate stage at the company’s lithium extraction facility which is part of the company’s Angel Island Mine project. Previously, concentrated lithium solutions from the pilot plant were treated by Saltworks Inc. at their facility in Richmond, British Columbia to produce samples of battery grade lithium carbonate. Century Lithium is now able to do this at the pilot plant and demonstrate it has an end-to-end process to produce lithium carbonate. The pilot plant utilizes the Company’s patent-pending process for chloride leaching combined with direct lithium extraction (DLE).
Assay results. Century Lithium recently released assay results from the first lithium carbonate produced at the lithium carbonate stage at the company’s lithium extraction facility. Assays received for the initial five individual lots of lithium carbonate produced indicated purity of the lithium carbonate ranging from 98.2% to 99.2%. After addressing a mechanical issue, two additional 40-liter lots of concentrated lithium solution were treated and achieved a battery grade lithium carbonate purity level of 99.5% due to an expected reduction of impurities.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Lithium carbonate production at the pilot plant. Century Lithium successfully added a lithium carbonate stage at the company’s lithium extraction facility which is part of the company’s Angel Island Mine project. Previously, concentrated lithium solutions from the pilot plant were treated by Saltworks Inc. at their facility in Richmond, British Columbia to produce samples of battery grade lithium carbonate. Century Lithium is now able to do this at the pilot plant and demonstrate it has an end-to-end process to produce lithium carbonate.
Assay results. Century Lithium released assay results from the first lithium carbonate produced at the newly commissioned lithium carbonate stage at the company’s lithium extraction facility. Assays received for the initial five individual lots of lithium carbonate produced indicated purity of the lithium carbonate ranging from 98.2% to 99.2%. While lithium carbonate greater than 99.5% purity is typically considered battery grade, the company has identified steps to improve the purity level.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Lithium carbonate production at the pilot plant. Century Lithium successfully added a lithium carbonate stage at the company’s lithium extraction facility which is part of the company’s Angel Island Mine project. Recall that Century recently changed the name of its Clayton Valley Lithium project to Angel Island Mine to distinguish it from other projects. Previously, concentrated lithium solutions from the pilot plant were treated by Saltworks Inc. at their facility in Richmond, British Columbia to produce samples of battery grade lithium carbonate.
Following through on the feasibility study. Adding the lithium carbonate stage at the pilot plant satisfies one of the recommendations contained in the recently published feasibility study. Being able to produce battery grade lithium on site further demonstrates the commercial viability of the project and will also help the company to better optimize the process from the direct lithium extraction (DLE) phase through to production of the final product. Century successfully treated 200 liters of concentrated lithium solution and produced 20 kilograms of high-grade lithium carbonate on site.
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June 13, 2024 – Vancouver, Canada – Century Lithium Corp. (TSXV:LCE) (OTCQX: CYDVF) (Frankfurt: C1Z) (Century Lithium or the Company) is pleased to announce the filing of the report “NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Feasibility Study of the Clayton Valley Lithium Project, Esmeralda County, Nevada, USA”, with effective date April 29, 2024 (Feasibility Study or Report), to support the disclosure in the Company’s news release dated April 29, 2024 (see news release). The Report was prepared in accordance with National Instrument 43-101 (NI 43-101) by Wood Canada Limited (Wood), Global Resource Engineering, Ltd. (GRE) and WSP USA Environment and Infrastructure, Inc. (WSP). All currency amounts in this news release are presented in US dollars.
“Century Lithium is pleased to file the report on the Feasibility Study of our Clayton Valley Lithium Project,” said Bill Willoughby, President, and CEO. “The Report is the culmination of the dedicated work of our team of employees and consultants and highlights the economic benefits of the Project made possible by Century’s unique use of chlor-alkali and direct lithium extraction processing. The filing of the report now marks another major milestone for the Company.”
During the preparation of the Report, minor changes were made to the parameters used to determine the Mineral Resource and Reserve Estimates. The resulting economic analysis is effectively unchanged. Using a base case price of $24,000/tonne of lithium carbonate, the Project after-tax cash flow has a 17.2% Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and a $3.16 billion Net Present Value (NPV) at an 8% discount rate.
RESOURCE AND RESERVES
The Mineral Resource and Reserve Estimates for the Project were updated for the Report and built using geologic data and 1,318 lithium assays from 45 core holes drilled between 2017 and 2022 and have an effective date of April 29, 2024. The constrained Measured and Indicated Resource Estimate is 1,138.59 million tonnes (Mt) with an average grade of 966 parts per million (ppm) lithium and contains 1.099 Mt of lithium or 5.852 Mt of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE). The Proven and Probable Mineral Reserve Estimate was derived from the constrained Mineral Resources and contains 287.65 Mt with an average grade of 1,149 ppm lithium and contains 0.330 Mt of lithium or 1.759 Mt of LCE.
Mineral Resource Estimate
Domain
Tonnes Above Cut-off (millions)
Li Grade (ppm)
Li Contained (million t)
LCE (million t)
Measured
858.26
990
0.850
4.523
Indicated
280.33
891
0.250
1.329
Measured & Indicated
1,138.59
966
1.099
5.582
Inferred
187.28
820
0.154
0.817
1.The effective date of the Mineral Resource Estimate is April 29, 2024. The QP for the estimate is Ms. Terre Lane, MMSA, an employee of GRE and independent of Century. 2.The Mineral Resources are constrained by a pit shell with a 200 ppm Li cut-off and density of 1.505 g/cm3. The cut-off grade considers an operating cost of$20/t mill feed, process recovery of 78% and a long-term lithium carbonate price of $24,000/t. 3.The Mineral Resource estimate was prepared in accordance with 2014 CIM Definition Standards and the 2019 CIM Best Practice Guidelines. 4.Mineral Resource figures have been rounded. 5.One tonne of lithium = 5.323 tonnes lithium carbonate. 6.Mineral Resources are inclusive of Mineral Reserves.
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Mineral Reserve Estimate
Domain
Tonnes Above Cut-off (millions)
Li Grade (ppm)
Li Contained (million t)
LCE (million t)
Proven
266.39
1,147
0.306
1.626
Probable
21.26
1,174
0.025
0.133
Proven & Probable
287.65
1,149
0.330
1.759
1.The effective date of the Mineral Reserve Estimate is April 29, 2024. The QP for the estimate is Ms. Terre Lane, MMSA, an employee of GRE and independent of Century. 2.The Mineral Reserve estimate was prepared in accordance with 2014 CIM Definition Standards and 2019 CIM Best Practice Guidelines. 3.Mineral Reserves are reported within the final pit design at a mining cut-off of 900 ppm. The mine operating cost is $5.44/t milled, processing cost of $40.9/t milled, G&A cost of $2.68/t milled and a credit for the NaOH sales of $28.95/t milled. The NaOH sales credit is proportionally applied to all the operating costs to get appropriate costs for the cut-off grade calculation. The cut-off grade considers a mine operating cost of $2.22/t, a process operating cost of $16.69/t milled, a G&A cost of $1.09/t milled, process recovery of 78% and a long-term lithium carbonate price of $24,000/t. 4.The cut-off of 900 ppm is an elevated cut-off selected for the mine production schedule as the elevated cut-off is 4.5 times higher than the break-even cut-off grade. 5. Mineral Reserve figures have been rounded. 6.One tonne of lithium=5.323 tonnes lithium carbonate
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PROJECT SUMMARY
Century’s Project centers on the mining and processing of a large, flat-lying lithium claystone deposit. Mineral Reserves are sufficient to support a mine life of approximately 40 years.
Mining is by mechanized surface excavation of claystone at production rates of 7,500 to 22,500 tonnes/day of mill feed, and 13,000 to 39,000 tonnes/year of lithium carbonate. Lithium recovery is through Century’s patent-pending process that combines chloride leaching with direct lithium extraction to produce a marketable battery-quality product at the Project site.
The Report is available on SEDAR+ and on the Company’s website.
QUALIFIED PERSON
Terre Lane, RM SME, MMSA, Principal Mining Engineer, GRE, is an independent qualified person as defined by National Instrument 43-101 and has approved the technical information in this release.
ABOUT CENTURY LITHIUM CORP.
Century Lithium Corp. is an advanced stage lithium company, focused on developing its 100%-owned Clayton Valley Lithium Project in west-central Nevada, USA. Century Lithium recently completed a Feasibility Study on its Clayton Valley Lithium Project and is currently in the permitting stage, with the goal of becoming a domestic producer of lithium for the growing electric vehicle and battery storage market.
ON BEHALF OF CENTURY LITHIUM CORP. WILLIAM WILLOUGHBY, PhD., PE President & Chief Executive Officer
NEITHER THE TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE NOR ITS REGULATION SERVICES PROVIDER ACCEPTS RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THE CONTENT OF THIS NEWS RELEASE.
This release contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. In certain cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not anticipate”, or “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved” and similar expressions suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook.
Forward-looking statements relate to any matters that are not historical facts and statements of our beliefs, intentions and expectations about developments, results and events which will or may occur in the future, without limitation, statements with respect to the potential development and value of the Project and benefits associated therewith, statements with respect to the expected project economics for the Project, such as estimates of life of mine, lithium prices, production and recoveries, capital and operating costs, IRR, NPV and cash flows, any projections outlined in the Feasibility Study in respect of the Project, the permitting status of the Project and the Company’s future development plans.
These and other forward-looking statements and information are subject to various known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the ability of the Company to control or predict, that may cause their actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied thereby, and are developed based on assumptions about such risks, uncertainties and other factors set out herein. These risks include those described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recent annual information form and its other public filings, copies of which can be under the Company’s profile at www.sedarplus.com. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation to update-forward-looking information except as required by applicable law. No forward-looking statement can be guaranteed, and actual future results may vary materially. Accordingly, readers are advised not to place reliance on forward-looking statements or information. Furthermore, Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Results of the Clayton Valley feasibility study. Century released the results of a feasibility study (FS) for its Clayton Valley lithium project in Nevada. A phased approach was adopted. Phase I and II mining rates of 7,500 tonnes per day and 15,000 tonnes per day, respectively, are maintained over five years each, while the Phase III mining rate of 22,500 tonnes per day is maintained for 30 years. The production plan reflects a life-of-mine average of 34,000 tonnes per year of battery grade lithium carbonate or 13,000 tonnes and 27,000 tonnes per year during Phase I and II, respectively, and 41,000 tonnes per year during Phase III.
Updating our financial model. We have assumed the mine begins commercial production in 2029. Our mining model is for the years 2029 through 2069. While our financial assumptions are detailed in the body of this report, our valuation is based on the present value of free cash flows, and we have used a discount rate of 8.0%. Our price target for the equity is C$3.25 per share or US$2.35 per share. In our view, the project’s low operating cost after sales of surplus sodium hydroxide is a key differentiator relative to other lithium projects.
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Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Results of the Clayton Valley feasibility study. Century released the results of a feasibility study (FS) for its Clayton Valley lithium project in Nevada. A phased approach was adopted. Phase I and II mining rates of 7,500 tonnes per day and 15,000 tonnes per day, respectively, are maintained over five years each, while the Phase III mining rate of 22,500 tonnes per day is maintained for 30 years. The production plan reflects a life-of-mine average of 34,000 tonnes per year of battery-grade lithium carbonate or 13,000 tonnes and 27,000 tonnes per year during Phases I and II, respectively, and 41,000 tonnes per year during Phase III.
Key assumptions and net present value. Key assumptions include: 1) initial capital expenditures of $1.5 billion, $651 million for Phase II, and $1.3 billion for Phase III, 2) a lithium carbonate price of $24,000 per tonne, 3) average operating cost of $8,223 per tonne of lithium carbonate produced, or $2,766 per tonne after sales of surplus sodium hydroxide, 4) a lithium recovery rate of 78%, and 5) sustaining capital of $315 million over the life of the project. Based on an 8% discount rate, the project is expected to generate an after-tax net present value of $3.01 billion and 17.1% internal rate of return.
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Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Feasibility study expected shortly. Century’sClayton Valley lithium project is among the most advanced pre-permitted lithium projects in North America. In2023, the company focused on pilot plant operations with the results of a project feasibility study (FS) expected to be released within the next couple of weeks. The full report will be available approximately 45 days later. While production is expected to be consistent with the earlier preliminary feasibility study (PFS), we expect a phased approach to full scale production.
Feasibility study expectations. While weexpect the feasibility study to reflect higher capital and operating costs, the economics may improve relative to the PFS due to several factors. These include: 1) a higher base case pricing assumption for lithium carbonate equivalent that could be in the range of US$22,000 to US$30,000 per tonne compared to US$9,500 per tonne used in the PFS, 2) a potential economic benefit from the by-product sales of sodium hydroxide, 3) the leaching process will be based on using hydrochloric acid instead of sulfuric acid, and 4) the project will likely incorporate lower cost renewable power.
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Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Feasibility study expected in the first quarter of 2024. Century’sClayton Valley lithium project is among the most advanced pre-permitted lithium projects in North America with the third largest deposit in the United States. In2023, the company focused on pilot plant operations with the project feasibility study (FS) expected to be complete in the first quarter of 2024. Production will be consistent with the earlier preliminary feasibility study (PFS) although the company is examining the benefits of a phased approach to full scale production.
Feasibility study expectations. While weexpect the feasibility study to reflect higher capital and operating costs, the economics may improve relative to the PFS due to several factors. These include: 1) a higher base case pricing assumption for lithium carbonate equivalent that could be in the range of US$22,000 to US$25,000 per tonne compared to US$9,500 per tonne used in the PFS, 2) a potential economic benefit from the by-product sales of sodium hydroxide, 3) the leaching process will be based on using hydrochloric acid instead of sulfuric acid, and 4) the project will likely incorporate lower cost renewable solar or geothermal power. Based on improvements to the process flowsheet since the publication of the PFS, we expect a compelling feasibility study.
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Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Feasibility study expected by year-end. During the third quarter, Century Lithium focused on pilot plant operations and completing the Clayton Valley Lithium Project feasibility study which is expected by year-end. Estimates for the feasibility study have been updated based on optimization and evaluation of economic scenarios, including the start-up schedule and potential by-products, including sodium hydroxide. Most of the work remaining is focused on completion of the economic model, sensitivity analysis, and finalizing capital and operating costs.
Collaboration with Koch. Century’s collaboration with Koch Technology Solutions on the direct lithium extraction (DLE) section of the pilot plant continues with results to date meeting expectations. The company has achieved an average lithium recovery rate of 85% and average DLE recovery greater than 99.5% with continued success in producing battery grade lithium carbonate from pilot plant solutions treated at Saltworks Technologies Inc.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Near-term weakness presents an opportunity. Lithium stocks have been weighed down by a decline in lithium spot prices this year driven mainly by factors in China. The recent price of battery grade lithium carbonate was ~US$23,300 per tonne. We think it presents an opportunity for longer-term investors based on favorable intermediate and long-term lithium fundamentals supported by growth in the North American electric vehicle market. While commodity spot prices tend to be volatile, long-term supply contracts will likely account for market volume growth as electric vehicle industry participants seek to secure their own lithium sources.
North American lithium projects have gained traction. With critical minerals supplies subject to geopolitical risk, lithium projects in North America benefit from a variety of funding options as battery manufacturers and car makers seek to secure supplies to de-risk their own long-term objectives. General Motors’ investment and offtake agreement with Lithium Americas to advance the Thacker Pass lithium project in Nevada validates the commercial potential of similar projects. Another example is the U.S. Dept. of Energy’s commitment to lend up to US$700 million to develop Ioneer’s Rhyolite Ridge project in Nevada coupled with US$490 million of conditional financing from Sibanye-Stillwater and binding offtake agreements with Ford, Toyota/Panasonic, and EcoPro.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
