Tuesday, August 19, 2025
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Second quarter financial results. Hemisphere reported oil and gas revenue of C$24.4 million in the second quarter, down 15.7% from the prior year period but ahead of our estimate of C$20.9 million. Net income was C$7.1 million, or C$0.07 per share, compared to C$10.4 million, or C$0.10 per share, last year, and above our forecast of C$5.8 million, or C$0.06 per share. Average daily production rose to 3,826 boe/d, up from 3,628 in Q2 2024 and modestly ahead of our estimate of 3,800 boe/d. The company realized an average sales price of C$70.06/boe, compared to C$87.65/boe in the prior year quarter. Adjusted funds flow totaled C$10.3 million, or C$0.10 per diluted share, versus C$13.6 million, or C$0.14 per diluted share, a year ago. This result exceeded our estimate of C$8.9 million, or C$0.09 per diluted share.
Updating estimates. Given the stronger-than-expected second quarter, we are raising our 2025 revenue forecast to C$97.7 million from C$95.0 million. Our operating expense assumption has been modestly increased to C$38.8 million from C$38.4 million. We now project net income of C$29.6 million, or C$0.30 per share, up from our prior forecast of C$28.7 million, or C$0.28 per share. Adjusted funds flow is expected to reach C$43.3 million, compared to our earlier estimate of C$42.2 million. For 2026, we forecast revenue of C$93.7 million, net income of C$27.5 million, or C$0.28 per share, and AFF of C$39.6 million, reflecting our expectation of a softer commodity price environment relative to 2025.
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