Thursday, September 26, 2024
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Operational update. Hemisphere has drilled six horizontal wells into its southeast Alberta Atlee Buffalo F and G pools over the past two months, with two wells left to drill as part of its summer program. Drilling operations are expected to be completed early in the fourth quarter with wells put into production as they are tied-in through the remainder of the year. Hemisphere has also commenced polymer injection at its new pilot enhanced oil recovery project in Marsden, Saskatchewan. Management anticipates that it could take until mid-2025 to increase reservoir pressure and to evaluate the production response at the three producers.
Updating estimates. Crude oil prices have weakened since our last update. We have lowered our 2024 adjusted funds flow (AFF) and earnings per share (EPS) estimates to C$43.8 million and C$0.31, respectively, from C$45.4 million and C$0.35. Our third and fourth quarter EPS estimates were lowered by C$0.02 each to C$0.08 and C$0.06, respectively, based on average per barrel WTI crude oil prices of $75.69 and $71.20. While futures prices suggest 2025 WTI pricing in the $68 to $70 per barrel range, we are leaving our 2025 estimates unchanged for now based on a WTI crude oil price of $74.95 per barrel.
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