EuroDry (EDRY) – Expecting Weak Third Quarter Financial Results but a Strong Finish to the Year


Wednesday, October 23, 2024

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updating estimates. We lowered our 2024 net loss and loss per share estimates to $(2.3) million and $(0.85), respectively, from $(1.8) million and $(0.65). Our revisions were driven by an increase in dry-docking expenses during the third quarter and modestly lower average shipping rates. While we are forecasting a third quarter loss, we expect a relatively strong fourth quarter. We forecast 2025 EBITDA and EPS of $37.3 million and $5.65, respectively.

Market fundamentals. The outlook for the remainder of 2024 remains positive, particularly in the Capesize market which is expected to benefit from Atlantic iron ore and bauxite exports. Rates for Panamax and smaller vessels are expected to remain stable at current rates. Disruptions in the Red Sea have caused re-routing of vessels around Africa which have increased ton-miles. In 2025, bulker earnings may be impacted by outcomes of the Red Sea situation and global economic growth and infrastructure spending, particularly with respect to China.


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