Wednesday, July 10, 2024
CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Model Updates. We updated our model to reflect the upcoming loss of the South Texas contract in mid-August. While a significant loss, we believe the ongoing increase in ICE detainees elsewhere could help soften the South Texas blow and we remain hopeful additional state and local contracts could be signed.
Details. As a reminder, South Texas generates approximately $40 million in quarterly revenue and generates approximately $0.10 per share in quarterly EPS. We assumed half of a quarter impact for 3Q24 and a full quarter impact in 4Q24. We kept the majority of the rest of the model consistent, although there may be some cost savings initiatives CoreCivic is able to put in place. We held our 2Q24 estimates the same.
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