Friday, February 02, 2024
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Feasibility study expected in the first quarter of 2024. Century’s Clayton Valley lithium project is among the most advanced pre-permitted lithium projects in North America with the third largest deposit in the United States. In 2023, the company focused on pilot plant operations with the project feasibility study (FS) expected to be complete in the first quarter of 2024. Production will be consistent with the earlier preliminary feasibility study (PFS) although the company is examining the benefits of a phased approach to full scale production.
Feasibility study expectations. While we expect the feasibility study to reflect higher capital and operating costs, the economics may improve relative to the PFS due to several factors. These include: 1) a higher base case pricing assumption for lithium carbonate equivalent that could be in the range of US$22,000 to US$25,000 per tonne compared to US$9,500 per tonne used in the PFS, 2) a potential economic benefit from the by-product sales of sodium hydroxide, 3) the leaching process will be based on using hydrochloric acid instead of sulfuric acid, and 4) the project will likely incorporate lower cost renewable solar or geothermal power. Based on improvements to the process flowsheet since the publication of the PFS, we expect a compelling feasibility study.
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