Wednesday, May 15, 2024
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Results of the Clayton Valley feasibility study. Century released the results of a feasibility study (FS) for its Clayton Valley lithium project in Nevada. A phased approach was adopted. Phase I and II mining rates of 7,500 tonnes per day and 15,000 tonnes per day, respectively, are maintained over five years each, while the Phase III mining rate of 22,500 tonnes per day is maintained for 30 years. The production plan reflects a life-of-mine average of 34,000 tonnes per year of battery grade lithium carbonate or 13,000 tonnes and 27,000 tonnes per year during Phase I and II, respectively, and 41,000 tonnes per year during Phase III.
Updating our financial model. We have assumed the mine begins commercial production in 2029. Our mining model is for the years 2029 through 2069. While our financial assumptions are detailed in the body of this report, our valuation is based on the present value of free cash flows, and we have used a discount rate of 8.0%. Our price target for the equity is C$3.25 per share or US$2.35 per share. In our view, the project’s low operating cost after sales of surplus sodium hydroxide is a key differentiator relative to other lithium projects.
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