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Beasley Broadcast Group (BBGI) – Highlights From Noblecon19

Posted on December 13, 2023December 13, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, December 13, 2023

Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. owns and operates 61 stations (47 FM and 14 AM) in 15 large- and mid-size markets in the United States. Approximately 20 million consumers listen to the Company’s radio stations weekly over-the-air, online and on smartphones and tablets, and millions regularly engage with the Company’s brands and personalities through digital platforms such as Facebook, Twitter, text messaging, digital and web applications and email. The Overwatch League’s Houston Outlaws esports team is a wholly owned subsidiary. The Company also owns BeasleyXP, a national esports content hub, and AXLR-R8, a Rocket League Championship Series team, in its esports portfolio. For more information, please visit www.bbgi.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noblecon19. On December 4th, management presented at Noblecon19 at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) in Boca Raton, Florida, to the investment community. The presentation conducted by Caroline Beasley, CEO, Tina Murley, CRO, and Marie Tedesco, CFO, focused on growing digital revenues, improving digital margins and reducing debt.

Digital growth. From Q3 2019 to Q3 2023, the company’s digital revenues have grown at a 23% CAGR, and comprised nearly 19% of total revenues in Q3 2023. Notably, the company has a monthly average digital audience of 13.6 million and its owned and operated assets are viewed as a catalyst for improving digital margins.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

AstraZeneca’s $1.1B Investment in Next-Gen Vaccine Innovation via Icosavax

Posted on December 12, 2023December 13, 2023 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Pharma giant AstraZeneca (AZN) announced Monday that it will purchase clinical-stage biotech Icosavax (ICVX) for up to $1.1 billion to augment its pipeline of vaccines targeting respiratory illnesses. Specifically, AstraZeneca aims to leverage Icosavax’s innovative virus-like particle (VLP) platform to develop a first-in-class combination vaccine against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and human metapneumovirus (hMPV).

Icosavax’s novel VLP technology promises stronger efficacy, fewer side effects, and more durable protection than traditional vaccines – a potential game changer. And the biotech’s lead asset IVX-A12 delivered stellar phase 2 results earlier this year, prompting AstraZeneca to make this big bet on the future of infectious disease prevention.

Transformational Vaccine Approach

At the heart of this deal lies Icosavax’s VLP platform that engineers tiny proteins to mimic the structure of viruses and trigger a robust immune response. Think of VLPs as a sneaky way to train the body to fight off viruses without exposing it to any actual viral particles.

And the data so far indicates VLPs induce broader, more durable protection against infection than conventional vaccines. For example, the VLP approach is behind the extremely efficacious human papillomavirus and hepatitis B virus vaccines on the market today.

Icosavax builds on this proven concept with computationally designed VLPs targeting the unique antigens of RSV and hMPV. So AstraZeneca clearly coveted access to this next-generation technology that could change the way we immunize populations against common illness.

Expedited Path for Lead Asset

Central to the deal is Icosavax’s IVX-A12, a combo VLP vaccine to prevent RSV and hMPV, which both cause severe respiratory infection in the elderly and immunocompromised. IVX-A12 demonstrated outstanding immunogenicity – triggering enduring antibody responses – along with a clean safety profile in trials so far.

In fact, the vaccine’s phase 2 results were strong enough for the FDA to award IVX-A12 Fast Track designation. This promises an expedited path to approval given the high unmet need: there are no approved vaccines for older adults against these widespread, often dangerous pathogens.

So AstraZeneca leapfrogs development by 3-4 years via this acquisition rather than advancing an early-stage candidate itself. As part of a big pharma, IVX-A12 now has the resources for rapid phase 3 trials and submission for emergency use authorization potentially next year.

Aligns with Growth Strategy

Importantly, this deal fits squarely with AstraZeneca’s strategy of strengthening its portfolio in areas of high unmet need. As Executive VP Iskra Reic highlighted, adding IVX-A12 distinguishes AstraZeneca’s late-stage pipeline in preventative infectious disease treatments.

While the company already markets FluMist for influenza, a next-gen offering like IVX-A12 that could supplant outdated RSV vaccines or ineffective hMPV options would be a true differentiator. It also complements AstraZeneca’s leading COVID-19 antibody cocktail for immunocompromised patients unable to mount their own response.

Beyond the tech and pipeline boost, Icosavax also brings its experienced team and manufacturing capabilities to scale up production in anticipation of launch.

Investor Implications

Turning to the transaction itself, AstraZeneca’s upfront $15 per share offer in cash reflects a 43% premium to Icosavax’s December 9 close before rumors leaked. Including the $5 per share milestone payment, the total value exceeds $1 billion for a 91% premium.

Of course the back half requires IVX-A12 to gain approval and hit $750 million in sales, so some risk is baked in. But given peak revenue estimates exceeding $2 billion, this seems doable over 5-10 years post-launch.

Investors should watch for completion of the tender offer expected in Q1 2024. Passing majority shareholder approval should be straightforward with such a compelling premium. Then it becomes about execution – advancing IVX-A12 rapidly through late-stage trials.

Ultimately though, AstraZeneca makes a well-timed bet on revolutionary vaccine science that could elevate its infectious disease segment to new heights. And Icosavax investors get to participate in this next chapter via an up to 91% buyout windfall. Once again, merger mania in biopharma looks set to pay off handsomely.

Eagle Bulk Shipping to Merge with Rival to Create Dry Bulk Behemoth

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Dry bulk shipping company Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) announced Sunday night that it has agreed to an all-stock merger with sector peer Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK). The deal will create one of the world’s premiere owners of dry bulk vessels with a combined fleet of 169 ships worth over $2 billion.

Under the terms of the agreement, Eagle shareholders will receive 2.6211 shares of Star Bulk for each Eagle share they currently hold. With Star Bulk shares closing at $19.95 on Monday, December 11, this values Eagle stock at $52.29 per share. Compared to Eagle’s actual close of $46.19 on Monday, this deal premium comes out to 13%.

Powerhouse in Making

The merger brings together two already sizable dry bulk fleets under one umbrella to better compete on costs and provide customers integrated solutions. For example, the combined entity can offer both Capesize vessels ideal for long haul bulk transport as well as Supramax ships designed for flexibility.

With over 150 million deadweight tonnage (DWT), the new entity will rank among the top five largest publicly-traded dry bulk owners globally. Management estimates at least $50 million per year in cost savings through operational synergies, consolidated corporate overhead, and improved purchasing leverage with suppliers.

And the company will maintain an industry-leading balance sheet with net debt of $1.4 billion equaling a reasonable 37% of its $2.1 billion capitalization. The merger therefore sets up the new Star Bulk as a dominant player in dry bulk shipping both in scale and efficiency. Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst Michael Heim states in his latest research report that “the combined market capitalization of $2.1 billion and fleet of 159 ships makes it one of the largest in the world.”

Modern, Eco-Friendly Fleet

Critically, Star Bulk inherits an even more modern and environmentally-friendly fleet from Eagle. The average vessel age will drop to 11 years versus 14 years currently. Eagle’s ships were built at top-tier Asian shipyards known for quality and efficiency.

Just as important, Eagle has been an early and enthusiastic adopter of exhaust gas scrubbers which reduce harmful emissions. In fact, 97% of the combined fleet will now have these scrubbers installed well positioning the company for impending environmental regulations.

Maintaining a modern, eco-friendly fleet is increasingly important to winning business from customers like commodities giants Glencore and Trafigura who value corporate responsibility. So the transaction gives Star Bulk key competitive advantages on this front.

Market Perform on Limited Remaining Upside

With significant strategic rationale behind the merger, the analyst still downgraded Eagle stock to a Market Perform with limited additional upside. Specifically, they dropped their price target to $52 simply reflecting the implicit deal price.

So while the merger appears to make industrial sense and places fair long-term value on Eagle, investors shouldn’t expect much added price appreciation from current levels. Of course, there is a small chance the merger fails to close as anticipated allowing shares to diverge back downward.

But assuming smooth sailing through the expected close in 1H 2024, Eagle shareholders can take comfort in the 13% premium and exciting combined company outlook. This sets up Eagle owners to become owners in the industry’s next dry bulk titan.

Take a moment to take a look at more research on Eagle Bulk Shipping by Noble Capital Markets Analyst Michael Heim.

Release – Onconova Therapeutics’ Narazaciclib Ash Poster Highlights Activity In Treatment Resistant Mantle Cell Lymphoma

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ONTX

Dec 12, 2023

Preclinical data show that narazaciclib treatment led to significant tumor growth inhibition, demonstrating synergy with standard-of-care ibrutinib, in ibrutinib-sensitive and -resistant settings

Early Phase 1/2 studies suggest potential for an improved profile and daily dosing

Dose escalation is underway in lead indication of Low Grade Endometrioid Endometrial Carcinoma (LGEEC), with plans to define the Recommended Phase 2 Dose (RP2D) and prepare for registrational studies, with a planned update in H1 2024

NEWTOWN, Pa., Dec. 12, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Onconova Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: ONTX), (“Onconova” or “the Company”), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing novel products for patients with cancer, today announced preclinical data, highlighting narazaciclib’s preclinical activity in Bruton’s kinase inhibitor (BTKi)-resistant mantle cell lymphoma (MCL), in a poster presented on December 11, 2023 at the 65^th Annual Meeting of the American Society for Hematology (ASH 2023) in San Diego.

“We are pleased to have shared data at ASH 2023 from preclinical studies with narazaciclib in MCL models. These results, which are consistent with data presented this year at the international MCL conferences, demonstrate that treatment with narazaciclib led to significant tumor growth inhibition when used as a single agent and that combination with ibrutinib demonstrated synergy, in both ibrutinib-sensitive and -resistant in vitro and in vivo settings,” said Steve Fruchtman, M.D., President and Chief Executive Officer. “These data are important because they provide further evidence for the potential use of narazaciclib in cancers with cyclin over-expression and elaborate our understanding of narazaciclib’s mechanism of action, including its ability to promote G1 cell cycle blockade.”

Dr. Fruchtman continued, “We believe that these data, along with the preclinical data presented on Friday, December 8^th at the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium (SABCS), further underscore the impressive and differentiated profile of narazaciclib. The data presented at SABCS highlight narazaciclib’s multi-kinase activity, its ability to target resistance pathways missed by other CDK4/6 inhibitors, and its differentiated anti-tumor and immunomodulatory activity. The data presented at ASH 2023 show that narazaciclib, in combination with BTKi’s such as ibrutinib, also trigger metabolic reprogramming alongside DNA damage.”

“The totality of these data is helping us to shape the clinical program for narazaciclib, including the lead indication of LGEEC, with further potential to expand into additional investigator-sponsored studies in breast, ovarian, and other cancers. We are pleased with the early Phase 1/2 data for narazaciclib monotherapy and in combination with letrozole, showing lower levels of neutropenia and diarrhea, and the potential for once daily dosing. Both of these attributes could position narazaciclib as a differentiated and improved CDK4/6i. Looking ahead, we are enthusiastic to advance the clinical program for narazaciclib in 2024 and to update our stakeholders regarding our progress, including the planned completion of dose escalation studies, definition of an RP2D, and development of our registrational trial plans for LGEEC. The data presented at ASH suggest narazaciclib is a drug with the potential to target a variety of cancer indications with an unmet medical need, including MCL,” concluded Dr. Fruchtman.

Poster Highlights

Title: Narazaciclib, a differentiated CDK4/6 antagonist, prolongs cell cycle arrest and metabolomic reprogramming, enabling restoration of ibrutinib sensitivity in BTKi-resistant mantle cell lymphoma

Objectives: To evaluate the activity and mechanism of action of narazaciclib as a single agent and in combination with ibrutinib, in comparison to the standard-of-care ibrutinib, in preclinical models of MCL that are sensitive and resistant to ibrutinib treatment.

Snapshot of the Results and Conclusions:

Tumor Growth Inhibition: Narazaciclib showed safety and efficacy as a single agent in preclinical MCL models, including ibrutinib-resistant settings, with significant reductions in cell viability.
Combination Synergy: The narazaciclib plus ibrutinib combination showed synergy in vitro and in vivo, especially in ibrutinib-resistant models, with overall greater synergy, measured by lower “Combination Index” values, versus ibrutinib-sensitive cells.
Cell Cycle Blockade: The combination of narazaciclib plus ibrutinib induces a superior G1 cell cycle blockade in both ibrutinib-sensitive and ibrutinib-resistant MCL cells.
Metabolic programming: In ibrutinib-resistant cases, the synergy between narazaciclib and ibrutinib triggers metabolic reprogramming alongside DNA damage, mediated by the USP24 and P53 axis, as evidenced by several assays to assess mitochondrial metabolism.

Together, these preclinical data suggest that narazaciclib has important single agent activity and the potential to restore ibrutinib sensitivity in BTKi-resistant models, successfully meeting the primary objective of the study.

A copy of the poster is available on the “Scientific Presentations” section of the Onconova website.

About Onconova Therapeutics, Inc.

Onconova Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing novel products for patients with cancer. The Company’s product candidates, narazaciclib and rigosertib, are proprietary targeted anti-cancer agents designed to disrupt specific cellular pathways that are important for cancer cell proliferation.

Narazaciclib, Onconova’s novel, multi-kinase inhibitor (formerly ON 123300), is being evaluated in a Phase 1/2 combination trial with the estrogen blocker letrozole in advanced endometrial cancer (NCT05705505). Based on preclinical and clinical studies of CDK 4/6 inhibitors, Onconova believes narazaciclib has broad potential and is also evaluating opportunities for combination studies with narazaciclib and letrozole in additional indications, including breast cancer, ovarian cancer, multiple myeloma, and mantle cell lymphoma.

Rigosertib is being studied in an investigator-sponsored trial strategy to evaluate the product candidate in multiple indications, including a dose-escalation and expansion Phase 1/2a study of oral rigosertib in combination with nivolumab in patients with KRAS+ non-small cell lung cancer (NCT04263090), a Phase 2 program evaluating oral or IV rigosertib monotherapy in advanced squamous cell carcinoma complicating recessive dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (RDEB-associated SCC) (NCT03786237, NCT04177498), and a Phase 2 trial evaluating rigosertib in combination with pembrolizumab in patients with metastatic melanoma (NCT05764395).

For more information, please visit www.onconova.com.

Forward Looking Statements

Some of the statements in this release are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and involve risks and uncertainties. These statements relate to Onconova’s expectations regarding its clinical development and trials, its product candidates, its business and financial position. Onconova has attempted to identify forward-looking statements by terminology including “believes,” “estimates,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “plans,” “intends,” “may,” “could,” “might,” “will,” “should,” “preliminary,” “encouraging,” “approximately” or other words that convey uncertainty of future events or outcomes. Although Onconova believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date made, expectations may prove to have been materially different from the results expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. These statements are only predictions and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors, including the success and timing of Onconova’s clinical trials, investigator-initiated trials and regulatory agency and institutional review board approvals of protocols, Onconova’s collaborations, market conditions and those discussed under the heading “Risk Factors” in Onconova’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Any forward-looking statements contained in this release speak only as of its date. Onconova undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in this release to reflect events or circumstances occurring after its date or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

Company Contact:
Mark Guerin
Onconova Therapeutics, Inc.
267-759-3680
ir@onconova.us
https://www.onconova.com/contact/

Investor Contact:
Bruce Mackle
LifeSci Advisors, LLC
646-889-1200
bmackle@lifesciadvisors.com

Bit Digital (BTBT) – NobleCon19 Presentation Notes

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by cpatches

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NobleCon19. Bit Digital CEO Sam Tabar presented at NobleCon19. Highlights included the discussion of diversification efforts and additional detail on the Bit Digital AI business. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/bit-digital-noblecon19-replay.

Diversification. The new Bit Digital AI business provides a non-correlated revenue source for the Company, significantly diversifying Bit Digital’s business. as we have mentioned in prior reports, Bit Digital AI provides specialized infrastructure to support generative artificial intelligence (“AI”) workstreams.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Building on a Solid Foundation

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by cpatches

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Feasibility study expected in the first quarter of 2024. Throughout 2023, Century Lithium has focused on pilot plant operations and completing the Clayton Valley Lithium Project feasibility study which is expected in the first quarter of 2024. Target production for the study will be consistent with the earlier preliminary feasibility study although the company is currently examining the benefits of a phased approach to full scale production.

By-product sales of sodium hydroxide. Clayton Valley uses locally sourced sodium chloride brine which is treated by electrolysis in a chlor-alkali plant to produce the leaching and neutralization reagents needed for the process on-site. In the chlor-alkali plant, sodium hydroxide is produced as a by-product. Pilot plant testing has generated a significant surplus of sodium hydroxide which may be sold as a by-product. The western United States is largely dependent on imports of sodium hydroxide for water treatment and other industrial uses. A market study, to be incorporated in the feasibility study, will reflect the potential for revenue from sodium hydroxide sales.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) – NobleCon19 Presentation Notes

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by cpatches

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NobleCon19. Commercial Vehicle Group CFO Andy Cheung presented at NobleCon19. Highlights included are the expansion of its Electrical Systems segment, optimizing costs, and the outlook for truck builds. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/commercial-vehicle-group-noblecon19-replay.

Electrical Systems. Management highlighted the focus on growth for its higher margin Electrical Systems segment through new business wins, volume growth, and market diversification. The Company expects the segment to become its biggest in a few years. Today, the segment is about 25% of total revenue. It is also strategically adding new plant locations, with two new plants in Morocco and Mexico.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) – Appoints New CEO

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by cpatches

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New CEO. After an extensive search, Commercial Vehicle Group appointed James Ray as the Company’s next President and Chief Executive Officer. On December 20, 2023, he will replace Interim CEO Robert Griffin, who will continue in his role as Chairman of the Board of Directors for CVG.

Strong Background. Mr. Ray brings extensive global and broad-based experience in many of CVG’s key end markets, including electrical systems. Prior to joining CVG’s Board, Mr. Ray served as President, Engineered Fastening at Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. where he held various global industrial P&L and operational leadership roles from 2013 through 2020. Prior to Stanley Black & Decker, he spent more than 25 years in global P&L and engineering leadership roles at TE Connectivity, Delphi, and General Motors.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Highlights From Noblecon19; Raising Price Target

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by cpatches

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noblecon19. On December 5th, management presented at Noblecon19 at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) in Boca Raton, Florida, to the investment community. The presentation conducted by Mr. Mark Walker, CEO, and Diana Diaz, CFO, highlighted the company’s favorable growth trends and dynamic value proposition. In our view, the company is well positioned to execute its favorable growth initiatives.

Favorable growth trends. The company grew Q3 revenue by an impressive 125.5%, from the prior year period. The strong performance was attributed to the firm’s sell-side programmatic advertising business. Notably, the number of sell-side customers stayed relatively stable, and ad spend per customer increased significantly.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Eagle to combine with Star Bulk Carriers Corp.

Posted on December 12, 2023December 15, 2023 by cpatches

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Eagle will get a 13% premium. Eagle shareholders will receive 2.6211 shares of Star Bulk for each share owned worth $52.29 per share based on Star Bulks Monday night close of $19.95. The implied price represents a 13% premium based on Monday night’s close and a 17% premium based on Friday’s close. The combined company will retain the Star Bulk name. Star Bulk management will take over most management positions including Chairman and CEO with certain Eagle management joining the team. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2024.

The combined company will be a leading dry bulk shipper. The combined market capitalization of $2.1 billion and fleet of 169 ships makes it one of the largest in the world. The fleet includes both small and large ships with 97% equipped with scrubbers and an average age of 11 years. The company is a low-cost operator, a position that should improve with an estimated $50 million in cost savings. Combined net debt of $1.4 billion represents a reasonable 37% of capitalization.

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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

FAT Brands (FAT) – NobleCon19 Presentation Notes

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by cpatches

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NobleCon19. FAT Brands Chairman Andy Wiederhorn presented at NobleCon19. Highlights included a review of organic growth, the potential monetization of Twin Peaks, and the manufacturing facility. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/fat-brands-noblecon19-replay.

Organic Growth. With 96 restaurants opened through the end of 3Q, FAT Brands remains on track to open between 130-150 new locations in 2023. The organic pipeline exceeds some 1,100 locations, with 145 already lined up for opening in 2024. Organic growth alone could generate an additional $50 million of annual adjusted EBITDA by 2025.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF) – New Commercial Agreement with Bayer

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by cpatches

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Agreement. MustGrow announced yesterday that the Company signed a collaboration agreement with Bayer AG covering soil applications of MustGrow’s mustard-based biocontrol technologies in Europe, Middle East, and Africa, excluding home and garden, turf, and ornamental applications. Bayer also has been granted a right-of-first-negotiation for a license to use MustGrow’s technologies for use in bananas in particular applications.

Details on the Agreement. Under the terms, MustGrow will be receiving an initial upfront payment as well as additional payments linked to the achievement of certain business milestones. Once the commencement of commercial sales has begun, MustGrow also will be entitled to fees from royalties and manufacturing sales. Bayer will be responsible for regulatory and market development work to commercialize MustGrow’s mustard-based biocontrol technologies.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Endeavor Energy Partners Exploring Potential $30 Billion Sale

Posted on December 12, 2023December 12, 2023 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Endeavor Energy Partners, the top privately-held oil and gas producer in the prolific Permian Basin of west Texas and New Mexico, is considering a sale that could value the company at an astonishing $25-30 billion, according to a recent Reuters exclusive.

The news comes fresh off the heels of some absolutely massive M&A action among public oil independents, with the $60 billion tie-up between ExxonMobil and Pioneer Natural Resources followed by Chevron announcing the $50+ billion purchase of Hess Corp. Now the private players are looking to capitalize on the consolidation wave by monetizing their substantial acreage as well.

Driving the potential multi-billion dollar valuation is Endeavor’s premier 350,000 net acre position in the coveted Midland sub-basin, the sweet spot of the larger Permian. With oil prices still hovering near $80 per barrel despite recession fears, there remain plenty of companies willing to pay up for high-quality acreage that can drive efficient growth for years to come. And Endeavor’s assets definitely check those boxes.

The Visionary Behind Endeavor’s Rise

Endeavor traces its roots back 45 years when Texas oilman Autry Stephens founded the small independent. The 85-year old Stephens grew the company through shrewd acreage acquisitions and by managing costs tightly with vertically integrated services businesses.

Now with retirement on the horizon, Stephens has apparently decided that the time is right to capitalize on the current market enthusiasm and secure his life’s work’s future by selling Endeavor to one of the large public independents like an Exxon or Chevron. Certainly Stephens’ estate and early investors would realize a tremendous windfall from such a deal.

While Endeavor has reportedly considered offers before, this time the process seems to be progressing firmly with investment bankers at JP Morgan already preparing marketing materials for potential buyers. So while there’s no guarantee that Endeavor finds a buyer or completes a sale, things have moved beyond the tire-kicking stage.

Ripe for the Picking by “Big oil”

As mentioned previously, Endeavor’s footprint in the core of the Permian Basin makes the company a logical target for any number of deep-pocketed suitors from major integrateds to large E&Ps looking to expand their presence.

And most of the likeliest buyers like Exxon, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips have all recently pulled off huge, multi-billion dollar deals to consolidate acreage while still leaving their balance sheets relatively unscathed. Using their equity and maintaining strong investment grade credit ratings remains paramount for the majors.

For example, Chevron structured its takeover of Hess Corp such that the $50 billion price tag amounted to less than half of its current cash position. So the company would have no issues stepping up to buy another large, complementary Permian pure-play.

Of course Exxon is in the same boat having expertly engineered the Pioneer acquisition to be immediately accretive to earnings and cash flow. So whileAbsorbing all of Endeavor’s 350k acres might be a bridge too far for XOM, the supermajor could easily swallow a chunk of the company or join a consortium.

Not to be outdone, ConocoPhillips recently closed its buyout of existing partner Lime Rock’s 50% stake in the Canadian Surmont oil sands project proving its appetite for sizable deals remains healthy. CEO Ryan Lance has also been vocal about wanting to bulk up the company’s Permianpresence over the long term giving it both the strategic rationale and financial means to pursue Endeavor.

Each of these independent E&Ps seem well suited to provide a soft landing for founder Autry Stephens’ life work. Endeavor has quietly built up a world class asset base that now looks poised to fetch an exceptional valuation and secure a new, well-heeled owner. So investors will be following the sales process closely as a potential deal would recalibrate the consolidation environment. Of course, we will have to wait and see what 2024 ultimately has in store for one of the Permian’s great growth stories.