Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Results reflect weakening prices, as expected


Friday, December 02, 2022

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter results reflect a drop in shipping pricing, as expected. Shipping rates have fallen sharply in the last few quarters. Although management took some steps to lock in pricing this summer, it should be pointed out that the bulk of its fleet is on spot or indexed rates. We lowered our estimates in October to reflect weakening industry fundamentals, so weaker results were largely anticipated.

Slightly better-than-expected results reflect increased operating days. Seanergy brought several vessels into dry dock for repairs and upgrades in previous quarters. As a result, it was able to keep its ships active in the most recent quarter. The result was an increase in operating days above our expectations leading to higher-than-expected revenues.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Rail Worker Impasse Likely –  What’s Around the Next Turn?

Railroad Unions and Their Employers at an Impasse: Freight-Halting Strikes are Rare, and this Would be the First in 3 Decades

The prospect of a potentially devastating rail workers strike is looming again.

Fears of a strike in September 2022 prompted the Biden administration to pull out all the stops to get a deal between railroads and the largest unions representing their employees.

That deal hinged on ratification by a majority of members at all 12 of those unions. So far, eight have voted in favor, but four have rejected the terms. If even one continues to reject the deal after further negotiations, it could mean a full-scale freight strike will start as soon as midnight on Dec. 5, 2022. Any work stoppage by conductors and engineers would surely interfere with the delivery of gifts and other items Americans will want to receive in time for the holiday season, along with coal, lumber and other key commodities.

Strikes that obstruct transportation rarely occur in the United States, and the last one involving rail workers happened three decades ago. But when these workers do walk off the job, it can thrash the economy, inconveniencing millions of people and creating a large-scale crisis.

This article was republished with permission from The Conversation, a news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It represents the research-based findings and thoughts of Erik Loomis, Professor of History, University of Rhode Island.

I’m a labor historian who has studied the history of American strikes. I believe that with the U.S. teetering toward at least a mild recession and some of the supply chain disruptions that arose at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic still wreaking havoc, I don’t think the administration would accept a rail strike for long.

19th Century Rail Strikes

Few, if any, workers have more power over the economy than transportation workers. Their ability to shut down the entire economy has often led to heavy retaliation from the government when they have tried to exercise that power.

In 1877, a small strike against a West Virginia railroad that had cut wages spread. It grew into what became known as the Great Railroad Strike, a general rebellion against railroads that brought thousands of unemployed workers into the streets.

Seventeen years later, in 1894, the American Railway Union went on strike in solidarity with the Pullman Sleeping Car company workers who had gone on strike due to their boss lowering wages while maintaining rents on their company housing.

In both cases, the threat of a railroad strike led the federal government to call out the military to crush the labor actions. Dozens of workers died.

Once those dramatic clashes ended, for more than a century rail unions have played a generally quiet role, preferring to focus on the needs of their members and avoiding most broader social and political questions. Fearful of more rail strikes, the government passed the Railway Labor Act of 1926, which gives Congress the power to intervene before a rail strike starts.

Breaking the Air Traffic Controllers Union

With travel by road and air growing in importance in the 20th century, other transportation workers also engaged in actions that could shut down the economy.

The Professional Air Traffic Controllers Association walked off the job in 1981 after a decade of increased militancy over the stress and conditions of their job. The union had engaged in a series of slowdowns through the 1970s, delaying airplanes and frustrating passengers.

When it went on strike in 1981, the union broke the law, as federal workers do not have the right to strike. That’s when President Ronald Reagan became the first modern U.S. leader to retaliate against striking transportation workers. Two days after warning the striking workers that they would lose their jobs unless they returned to work, Reagan fired more than 11,000 of them. He also banned them from ever being rehired.

In the aftermath of Reagan’s actions, the number of strikes by U.S. workers plummeted. Rail unions engaged in brief strikes in both 1991 and 1992, but Congress used the Railway Labor Act to halt them, ordering workers back on the job and imposing a contract upon the workers.

In 1992, Congress passed another measure that forced a system of arbitration upon railroad workers before a strike – that took power away from workers to strike.

New Era of Labor Militancy

Following decades of decline in the late 20th century, U.S. labor organizing has surged in recent years.

Most notably, unionization attempts at Starbucks and Amazon have led to surprising successes against some of the biggest corporations in the country. Teachers’ unions around the nation have also held a series of successful strikes everywhere from Los Angeles to West Virginia.

United Parcel Service workers, who held the nation’s last major transportation strike, in 1997, may head back to the picket lines after their contract expires in June 2023. UPS workers, members of the Teamsters union, are angry over a two-tiered system that pays newer workers lower wages, and they are also demanding greater overtime protections.

But rail workers, angered by their employers’ refusal to offer sick leave and other concerns, may go on strike first.

Rail companies have greatly reduced the number of people they employ on freight trains as part of their efforts to maximize profits and take advantage of technological progress. They generally keep the size of crews limited to only two per train.

Many companies want to pare back their workforce further, saying that it can be safe to have crews consisting of a single crew member on freight trains. The unions reject this arrangement, saying that lacking a second set of eyes would be a recipe for mistakes, accidents and disasters.

The deal the Biden administration brokered in September would raise annual pay by 24% over several years, raising the average pay for rail workers to $110,000 by 2024. But strikes are often about much more than wages. The companies have also long refused to provide paid sick leave or to stop demanding that their workers have inflexible and unpredictable schedules.

The Biden administration had to cajole the rail companies into offering a single personal day, while workers demanded 15 days of sick leave. Companies had offered zero. The agreement did remove penalties from workers who took unpaid sick or family leave, but this would still leave a group of well-paid workers whose daily lives are filled with stress and fear.

What Lies Ahead

Seeing highly paid workers threaten to take action that would surely compound strains on supply chains at a time when inflation is at a four-decade high may not win rail unions much public support.

A coalition representing hundreds of business groups has called for government intervention to make sure freight trains keep moving, and it’s highly likely that Congress will again impose a decision on workers under the Railway Labor Act. The Biden administration, which has shown significant sympathy to unions, has resisted supporting such a step so far.

No one should expect the military to intervene like it did in the 19th century. But labor law remains tilted toward companies, and I believe that if the government were to compel striking rail workers back on the job, the move might find a receptive audience.

Pyxis Tankers (PXS) – Use of short-term & spot prices paying off as tanker rates rise


Tuesday, November 15, 2022

We currently own a modern fleet of five tankers engaged in seaborne transportation of refined petroleum products and other bulk liquids. We are focused on growing our fleet of medium range product tankers, which provide operational flexibility and enhanced earnings potential due to their “eco” features and modifications. We are positioned to opportunistically expand and maximize our fleet due to competitive cost structure, strong customer relationships and an experienced management team whose interests are aligned with those of its shareholders. For more information, visit: http://www.pyxistankers.com.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pyxis Tankers reported another quarter of impressive results due to higher tanker shipping rates. Pyxis reported net revenues of $17.0 million for the 2022-2Q, up from $7.0 million for the same period last year and in line with expectations. Higher revenues reflect a TCE rate of 29,062 versus 7,326.  Higher revenues more than offset increased vessel operating costs, which were $5.0 million versus $3.6 million. The result was a boost to adjusted EBITDA to $8.0 million versus $(1.3) million. Net income available to common was $5.1 million ($0.42 per diluted share) versus a loss of $3.7 million ($0.39 per diluted share).

The near-term outlook remains favorable. The displacement of traditional shipping routes caused by the conflict in Ukraine has led to longer voyages at higher prices. This will most likely continue and may even accelerate as European countries replace Russian natural gas with oil and diesel. In addition, the Chinese government has now authorized the export of refined oil, which may lead to additional demand for tankers. Pyxis has committed three of its five vessels to short-term charters at rates above 30,000 while leaving the remaining two vessels to receive spot prices. Traditional, tanker shipping prices are strong in the winter heating season.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – The tide has turned but Euroseas is well protected


Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results rise on higher shipping rates and additional ships. Euroseas reported net revenues of $46 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 versus $23 million for the same period last year. Higher revenues reflect an increase in the TCE rate to $30,893 from $19,482 and the deployment of 18 vessels versus 14 last year. Results were a few million below our forecast as was adjusted net income of $20.9 million. The company continues to buck industry trends by holding the line on vessel costs per shipping day.

Euroseas is well protected from the recent sharp decline in shipping rates. Euroseas has locked in 99% of its shipping days for the rest of the year, 78% of 2023 shipping days, and 54% of 2024 shipping days. In fact it has even chartered three new builds to be delivered in 2023. Management indicated it is unlikely to lock in rates any time in the near future for the four ships to be delivered in 2024. While realized TCE rates will undoubtedly slip below $30,000 in upcoming quarters, the company will not face the sharp declines most other shippers will face.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – Lower results reflect declining shipping rates, Price Target lowered.


Monday, November 14, 2022

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry reported 2022-3Q revenues, EBITDA and net income below comparable periods and our estimates. Net revenues of $15.8 million were below that of the same period last year ($19.5 million), the 2022-2Q ($21.0 million) and our estimate ($19.5 million). Results reflect a decline in TCE rates to $20,637 and a reduction in voyage days due to 92 scheduled off days. Adjusted ebitda was $9.5 million as the $4-5 million revenue shortfall versus previous periods and our estimate carried down to the ebitda line. Adjusted net income was $5.7 million, or $1.93 per share, well below our $9.5 million or $3.27 per share estimate.

The company’s sensitivity to shipping rates is apparent as it locks in rates at lower prices. EuroDry has locked in 53% of 2022-4Q shipping days but virtually no days beyond 2022. Shipping contracts agreed in recent months have largely been below $15,000 reflecting a 35-50% drop in pricing since the second quarter. Management remains confident shipping rates will eventually improve as global economic conditions improve but near-term comps will be tough. As such, this quarter’s decision to schedule off days for repairs and ship improvements while rates are low seems logical.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Genco Shipping (GNK) – Another solid quarter in the books


Friday, November 11, 2022

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Locking in shipping rates when prices were high is paying off. Genco reported revenues of $136 million for the 2022-3Q. While revenues were below 2021-3Q levels of $155 million, they were close to 2022-2Q levels and our expectations. TCE rates were $23,624 down slightly from the previous quarter due to lower spot rates, but reflective of management’s strategy of locking in rates for roughly 75% of shipping days. With spot rates now having fallen below $15,000, such a strategy is proving to have paid off.

Costs are rising but shipping rates are still well above Genco’s break-even point. Genco, like most of the industry, is facing higher costs as labor, steel, and fuel costs rise. That said, shipping rates (even lower spot rates) are well above Genco’s break-even point of roughly $9,000/shipping day. The company continues to generate large significant free cash flow which it has used to reduce debt ($261 million since 2021) and pay a dividend ($2.74 per share in the last four quarters). Free cash flow will most likely decline in future quarters, but should be ample enough to continue to reduce debt and pay a dividend. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Oil Market Drivers Attract Historic Bullish Positions

Image Credit: Kurayba (Flickr)

Factors Still Point to Higher Oil Prices and Sizeable Bets on Crude

There are many factors impacting why traditional energy prices and producers may have a hurricane-force tailwind heading into the holidays and next year.

A boost in demand for oil is expected as China just announced that it is lowering its quarantine requirements for visitors from outside the country. But Chinese Covid policies aren’t the only impetus pushing up oil demand – around the globe, there are supply challenges that are playing out. Oil hasn’t risen above $100 a barrel since early Summer, some traders are speculating it will rise above $200 in the coming months. Here’s why.

China

In addition to the announcement that the CPR was cutting the required quarantine period for the country (to five days from seven, with three days of home isolation), the required PCR test hurdle is being lowered as well. And airlines no longer run the risk of being suspended if the travelers they bring in that test positive is five or more.

Europe

The European Union has agreed to stop all oil imports from Russia on Dec. 5. The plan is to cap the prices at which EU nations would buy oil from Russia, that price is expected to be near $60 per barrel. Russia has reacted by increasing exports to Asia, but the price cap is expected to reduce its exports and lower total supply by up to one million barrels per day.

United States

Back in May, the U.S. took the drastic step of increasing available supply by selling oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve at a rate of nearly one million barrels per day starting in May. The increased supply has kept oil prices down. But the sales are unsustainable and expected to be reduced. Congress has allowed another sale of 26 million barrels that are expected to carry through to October 2023. This is a much slower pace of oil releases from the reserves. Plus, the reserves will need to be replenished.

After the Congressionally approved release, the reserve will be down to 348 million barrels, this is half the quantity compared to January of this year —the lowest since 1983. Congress has said that the reserve must stay above 252.4 million barrels, and the incoming Congress is expected to be more conservative when it comes to using these strategic assets to control prices.

Production growth overall in the U.S. has stalled after having increased through most of the year. Government data show that U.S. production dropped to 11.9 million barrels per day last week, this is tied for the lowest level in several months. Supplies of products such as diesel and heating oil in the U.S. are at multiyear lows. So there is not abundant supply should a weather-related or some other fuel-demanding crisis surface.

Source: Koyfin

Prices

Oil is now trading between $92 and $93 a barrel. It had reached a high above $130 in March, shortly after the war began, and hasn’t seen the $100 a barrel level since late June.

Trading this week showed significant flows into an options contract that speculates that $200 per barrel may be in store. The most actively traded Brent crude options contract on Thursday was an option to buy Brent at $200 in March 2023. This was the most active oil contract of the day.

How significant is this bullish activity surrounding oil prices? The ratio of bullish to bearish bets in the options market is wider than at any time in recorded history, according to Bloomberg. Oil options traders are positioned more aggressively than ever before.

Take Away

Oil demand could rise soon in China as travel restrictions are lessened. Elsewhere in the world, oil demand is expected to increase as supplies remain the same or decrease. Demand remained elevated globally despite slower economies.

With supply likely to drop and demand ramping up, $200 by the third week in March is one price expectation for a record number of trades transacted at recently. More than doubling in a few months sounds unthinkable, but the massive trades were transacted by experienced institutional traders.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Release – Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Announces Contract Awards Totaling $128 Million

Research, News, and Market Data on ORN

Nov 09, 2022

HOUSTON, Nov. 09, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: ORN) (the “Company”), a leading specialty construction company, today announced a contract award for its Concrete segment valued at over $40 million.

Under this contract, the Company will construct a 40-story multi-family residential building in the Houston area, beginning in Q1 2023 with expected completion in Q3 2024. The team will perform construction of the mat foundation, an interior stair and elevator core, forming and placing concrete of the elevated structure, along with placement of rebar. The building includes a nine-story parking structure, 30 stories of living space, and an amenity level with an outdoor terrace. One of the company’s tower cranes will be supporting the construction of the project.

This contract along with other contract awards in Q3 totaling $128M, comprised of $53M in Concrete and $75M in Marine, will be completed throughout 2023 and 2024.

“Our recent success winning work across all segments will help set us up for a stronger 2023 and beyond,” said Travis Boone, Orion’s President and Chief Executive Officer. “We are continuing to expand our client base and focus on our key markets in both Marine and Concrete.”

About Orion Group Holdings
Orion Group Holdings, Inc., a leading specialty construction company serving the infrastructure, industrial and building sectors, provides services both on and off the water in the continental United States, Alaska, Canada and the Caribbean Basin through its marine segment and its concrete segment. The Company’s marine segment provides construction and dredging services relating to marine transportation facility construction, marine pipeline construction, marine environmental structures, dredging of waterways, channels and ports, environmental dredging, design, and specialty services. Its concrete segment provides turnkey concrete construction services including pour and finish, dirt work, layout, forming, rebar, and mesh across the light commercial, structural and other associated business areas. The Company is headquartered in Houston, Texas with regional offices throughout its operating areas.

Forward-Looking Statements
The matters discussed in this press release may constitute or include projections or other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the provisions of which the Company is availing itself. Certain forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, such as ‘believes’, ‘expects’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘could’, ‘should’, ‘seeks’, ‘approximately’, ‘intends’, ‘plans’, ‘estimates’, or ‘anticipates’, or the negative thereof or other comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives, intentions, estimates, forecasts, outlook, assumptions, or goals. In particular, statements regarding future operations or results, including those set forth in this press release and any other statement, express or implied, concerning future operating results or the future generation of or ability to generate revenues, income, net income, profit, EBITDA, EBITDA margin, or cash flow, including to service debt, and including any estimates, forecasts or assumptions regarding future revenues or revenue growth, are forward-looking statements. Forward looking statements also include estimated project start date, anticipated revenues, and contract options which may or may not be awarded in the future. Forward looking statements involve risks, including those associated with the Company’s fixed price contracts that impacts profits, unforeseen productivity delays that may alter the final profitability of the contract, cancellation of the contract by the customer for unforeseen reasons, delays or decreases in funding by the customer, levels and predictability of government funding or other governmental budgetary constraints and any potential contract options which may or may not be awarded in the future, and are the sole discretion of award by the customer. Past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future results. In light of these and other uncertainties, the inclusion of forward-looking statements in this press release should not be regarded as a representation by the Company that the Company’s plans, estimates, forecasts, goals, intentions, or objectives will be achieved or realized. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. The Company assumes no obligation to update information contained in this press release whether as a result of new developments or otherwise.

Please refer to the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed on March 7, 2022, which is available on its website at www.oriongroupholdingsinc.com or at the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov, for additional and more detailed discussion of risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations, estimates or forecasts.

CONTACT:
Orion Group Holdings Inc.
Francis Okoniewski, VP Investor Relations
(346) 616-4138
FOkoniewski@orn.net
www.oriongroupholdingsinc.com

Source: Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

Source: Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Overcoming Near-term Challenges


Tuesday, November 08, 2022

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q22 Results. Revenue of $228.6 million, up 14% y-o-y, and in upper end of the $220-$230 million guidance. Revenue from acquisitions offset supply chain issues and staffing challenges. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $20 million, at the top end of guidance, versus $23.8 million a year ago. GAAP EPS loss was $0.06 and adjusted EPS net income was $0.08, compared to a net loss of $0.01 from continuing operations and adjusted EPS net income of $0.09, respectively, a year ago.

Where Have All the Workers Gone? An ongoing inability to hire the required planned direct labor base, both internally and by the Company’s subcontractors, is impacting the business and causing Kratos to take excess charges. Management believes the worst is behind the Company, but it remains to be seen.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Top line results surpass recently-lowered expectations but so do costs


Monday, November 07, 2022

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Eagle reported 2002-3Q Net Revenues of $185.3 million on TCE rates of $28,099. We had recently lowered our net revenue estimate to $158.9 million based on an assumed TCE rate to $25,000. Higher-than-expected revenues reflect a high level of charter-in days (1000 versus our 600 assumption) and an impressive utilization rate of 99.7%. The company has 70% of fourth-quarter available days covered at $25,040 which compares favorably with our models.

But costs were higher. Eagle reported 2002-3Q voyage expenses of $40.8 million versus $30.3 million last year and our estimate of $25.6 million. Voyage operating expenses were $33.1 million versus $28.1 million and our $27.5 million estimate. G&A expenses were $9.7 million versus $7.9 million and our $8.4 million estimate.  Higher costs reflect industry trends but bear watching going forward.


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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Implications of a Miss


Wednesday, November 02, 2022

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q22 Operating Results Disappoint. Revenue totaled $158.3 million down from $168.6 million last year and below management’s guidance of $160-$170 million. Gross margin was a shocking 2.4%, down from 21.5% in the year ago period, and management’s lower teens guidance. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $1.3 million versus $32.2 million last year and our $21.8 million estimate. The Company reported a loss of $9.9 million, or a loss of $0.15 per share, for the quarter, compared to our estimate of net income of $5.4 million, or $0.08 per share, and last year’s net income of $13.8 million, or $0.21 per share.

What Happened? Lack of “book and burn” business resulted in much lower utilization, pull forward spending on maintenance expenditures taking advantage of the idle vessels, skyrocketing diesel prices impacting the 20% of diesel costs not hedged, and site conditions that remained worse than anticipated.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Post Call Commentary


Monday, October 31, 2022

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Why ORN? We believe the new management team, with its relevant industry experience, sees the robust end markets and opportunities to build the business, both organically and inorganically. We believe Orion is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the extraordinary market potential, both in the Marine sector and the Concrete business.

Near-term: Picking Low Hanging Fruit.  While the new management team sets a course for the business, they are taking advantage of low hanging fruit to improve near-term operational results, such as continued improvement in contracts and reducing overhead burden.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – 3Q22 First Look


Thursday, October 27, 2022

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q22 Revenue. Revenue totaled $182.6 million, up 30.5% from $139.9 million in the third quarter of 2021. The increase was primarily driven by the start of large jobs awarded in the fourth quarter of 2021 in the marine segment, higher volume in the concrete segment, and the impact from claims and unapproved change orders recognized related to work primarily incurred in previous periods.

Gross Profit. Gross profit was  $13.4 million, as compared to  $6.6 million last year. Gross profit margin was 7.4%, as compared to 4.7%. The increase in gross profit dollars and margin was primarily driven by the impact from claims and unapproved change orders recognized related to work primarily incurred in previous periods, the release of discretionary project bonuses, and increased dredging activity as compared to the prior year period.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.