Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF)(ALV:CA) – Coverage Initiated

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF)(ALV:CA)
Coverage Initiated With Outperform Rating and a $10 Target

Alvopetro Energy Ltd is a Canada based resource company engaged in the exploration, acquisition, development, and production of hydrocarbons in Brazil. The company holds interests in the Cabure and Gomo natural gas assets, two oil fields (Bom Lugar and Mae-da-lua) and seven other exploration assets in the Reconcavo basin onshore Brazil.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Alvopetro is well positioned to take advantage of the recent rise in energy prices. The price Alvopetro receives is set semi-annually based on oil and gas index pricing, heat content and the Brazilian-U.S. exchange rate. In February 2022, prices rose to approximately $11.28/mcf, a 59% increase over the realized price in the last quarter. With operating costs expected to remain at historical levels, the company should begin to see very large operating netbacks and free cash flow.

    Management is in a very enviable position of choosing between expanding or returning proceeds to shareholders.  Most likely, it will do both. An initial dividend set in September has already been raised once to an indicated annual rate of $0.24 per share (yield of 7.0%). At the same time, the company has begun an active drilling program and indicated plans to expand midstream operations. Production …


This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – InPlay Oil Corp. Announces Record Setting 2021 Financial Operating and Reserves Results



InPlay Oil Corp. Announces Record Setting 2021 Financial, Operating and Reserves Results

News and Market Data on InPlay Oil Corp

 

CALGARY, Alberta, March 16, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) (“InPlay” or the “Company”) announces its record setting financial and operating results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2021, and the results of its independent oil and gas reserves evaluation effective December 31, 2021 (the “Reserve Report”) prepared by Sproule Associates Limited (“Sproule”). InPlay’s audited annual financial statements and notes, as well as Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) for the year ended December 31, 2021 will be available at “www.sedar.com” and our website at “www.inplayoil.com”.

2021 Highlights:

  • Completed the acquisition of Prairie Storm Resources Corp. on November 30, 2022 at attractive transaction metrics which enhances InPlay’s position as a sizable producer and acreage holder with a deep and highly economic drilling inventory in the light oil window of Central Alberta’s Cardium fairway.
  • Achieved record average annual production of 5,768 boe/d(1) (65% light crude oil and NGLs), an increase of 45% from 2020 at 3,985 boe/d(1) (68% light crude oil and NGLs) and an increase of 15% compared to pre-COVID levels of 5,000 boe/d(1) (66% light crude oil and NGLs) in 2019. Annual average production per weighted average basic share increased 31% compared to 2020.
  • Generated record annual adjusted funds flow (“AFF”)(2) of $47.0 million ($0.67 per weighted average basic share(3)), an increase of 532% compared to $7.4 million ($0.11 per weighted average basic share) in 2020 and an increase of 45% compared to $32.5 million ($0.48 per weighted average basic share) in 2019, our prior record year. Excluding the impact of realized hedging losses, AFF for 2021 would have been $59.9 million.
  • Increased operating netbacks(4) by 203% to $34.63/boe from $11.45/boe in 2020 and 52% from $22.75/boe in 2019.
  • Realized annual record operating income(4) and operating income profit margin(4) of $72.9 million and 64% respectively compared to $16.7 million and 40% in 2020; $41.5 million and 55% in 2019.
  • Reduced operating expenses to an annual record $12.83/boe compared to $14.43/boe in 2020 and $14.36/boe in 2019, despite rising costs of services in the industry.
  • Generated annual free adjusted funds flow (“FAFF”)(4) of $13.6 million.
  • Lowered annual net debt(2) to earnings before interest, taxes and depletion (“EBITDA”)(4) ratio to 1.5, compared to 6.7 in 2020 and 1.6 in 2019. Fourth quarter 2021 annualized net debt to EBITDA ratio was 1.1 compared to 4.0 in 2020 and 1.6 in 2019 achieving the lowest leverage ratios in our corporate history.
  • Achieved significant growth in reserves and reserves per weighted average basic share:
    • Proved developed producing (“PDP”) reserves increased 64% (61% per weighted average basic share) to 15,890 mboe (58% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
    • Total proved (“TP”) reserves increased 112% (106% per weighted average basic share) to 45,891 mboe (62% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
    • Total proved plus probable (“TPP”) reserves increased 85% (81% per weighted average basic share) to 60,640 mboe (63% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
  • Achieved record NPV BT10 reserve and net asset values (“NAV”)(6):
    • NPV BT10: $206 million (PDP), $471 million (TP) and $686 million (TPP)
    • NAV: $1.85 per weighted average basic share (PDP), $4.92 per weighted average basic share (TP) and $7.41 per weighted average basic share (TPP)
    • West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) prices used in the Reserve Report to value the Company’s reserves are approximately 22% and 15% less than current strip pricing for 2022 (US $72.83 vs. approximately US $89.00) and 2023 (US $68.78 vs. approximately US $79.00) respectively.
  • Finding, Development and Acquisition (“FD&A”)(5) costs, associated recycle ratios and capital efficiencies which are top tier amongst light oil weighted peers.
    • FD&A(5) costs of $8.47/boe (PDP), $12.03/boe (TP) and $9.56/boe (TPP), consistent with three year averages of $9.67/boe (PDP), $10.98/boe (TP) and $9.23 (TPP).
    • Recycle ratios(5) of 4.1 (PDP), 2.9 (TP) and 3.6 (TPP) compared to 1.2 (PDP), 2.0 (TP) and 1.4 (TPP) in 2020.
    • InPlay added new light oil weighted production at a capital efficiency(5) of $12,583 per boe/d.
  • Materially increased the reserve life index of our assets which in turn improves the long term sustainability of the Company:
    • PDP reserve life index(5) of 7.5 years compared to 6.6 years in 2020
    • TP reserve life index of 21.8 years compared to 14.8 years in 2020
    • TPP reserve life index of 28.8 years compared to 22.5 years in 2020
  • Successful development and A&D activity resulting in top-tier reserve replacement(5):
    • PDP replacement of 395% (2020 – 166%)
    • TP replacement of 1,253% (2020 – 309%)
    • TPP replacement of 1,422% (2020 – 479%)
  • Increased liquidity through an increased capacity within our Senior Credit Facility from $65.0 million to $85.0 million and total debt capacity of $111 million.
  • Abandonment and Reclamation Obligations spending of $2.3 million, reducing our liability by 3% through the successful abandonment of 75 wellbores and the reclamation of 22 well sites.
  • Achieved a 20% reduction to the Company’s emissions (Scope 1 and 2) on a per boe basis compared to 2020.

Notes:

  1. See “Reader Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
  2. Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
  3. Supplementary financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
  4. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
  5. “FD&A”, “recycle ratio”, “reserve replacement”, “reserve life index” and “capital efficiency” do not have standardized meanings and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented for other entities. Refer to section “Performance Measures” for the determination and calculation of these measures.
  6. See “Corporate Reserves Information” and “Net Asset Value” for detailed information from the Reserve Report and associated calculations.

Message to Shareholders:

The Company exited 2021 in its best operational and financial position to date. The disciplined and measured steps taken during 2020 and 2021, allowed us to implement a strategy focused on measured growth combined with generating strong free adjusted funds flow once oil prices began to recover in mid-2021. InPlay initially directed its free adjusted funds flow to debt reduction ensuring a strong and sustainable balance sheet from which to grow the Company. The strategy led to record annual AFF of $47.0 million and record annual FAFF of $13.6 million for the year while also reducing net debt, resulting in InPlay’s lowest historic leverage ratios. As the Company solidified its financial position, the strategy evolved to the point where InPlay was able to evaluate and execute upon accretive acquisition opportunities. Following up on a small but highly successful tuck-in acquisition during Q4 2020 (where InPlay grew production from 300 boe/d to 2,900 boe/d(2) in Q4 2021), InPlay closed the highly accretive corporate acquisition of Prairie Storm Resources Corp. on November 30, 2022. This acquisition enhanced the Company’s sustainability by adding low decline production, sizeable economic drilling inventory that complements InPlay’s own high internal rate of return, quick payout inventory, and increased reserve life while also adding material scale to the Company. All of these attributes enhance InPlay’s ability to grow and to continue to generate sustained long term FAFF per share(1). Immediately post closing, InPlay started drilling two wells on the Prairie Storm lands with results exceeding our expectations, confirming our technical evaluation of the assets. InPlay management is proud to be able to consistently deliver top tier reserve, production and AFF per share growth while also generating significant FAFF per share growth.

The Company’s sustainability has improved significantly with a very strong weighting of PDP reserves relative to TP and TPP reserves which now represent approximately 35% and 26% of the Company’s TP and TPP reserves respectively, with long-life reserves providing RLI’s of 7.5 years (PDP), 21.8 years (TP) and 28.8 years (TPP). InPlay’s long life reserves combined with the expected 2022 PDP base production decline rate of 23.2% (compared to 25.9% in 2021) puts the Company in a solid position to sustainably deliver long term per share growth and shareholder returns.

InPlay continued to deliver on our track record of drilling efficiency, operational expertise and accretive strategic acquisition activity, driving attractive light oil reserve addition metrics. FD&A costs per boe were $8.47, $12.03 and $9.56 in PDP, TP and TPP reserve categories respectively. These costs were consistent with InPlay’s three year FD&A averages of $9.67/boe (PDP), $10.98/boe (TP) and $9.23 (TPP). The Prairie Storm acquisition provided highly accretive and economic reserve additions that are expected to generate strong production and FAFF growth. The 2021 capital program continued to convert the Company’s high quality drilling inventory into reliable cash flow capital efficiencies of $12,583 per boe/d, representing a new record for the Company.

Notes:

  1. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
  2. See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” at the end of this press release.

2022 Outlook Update

InPlay’s focus has been concentrated on reducing debt and improving leverage ratios. Execution of this focus is significantly ahead of schedule with the increased commodity prices. With our sound financial footing and projected liquidity capacity, InPlay is expected to be able to deliver measured production per share growth and strong free adjusted funds flow which positions the Company to execute on strategic accretive opportunities with the ultimate goal of maximizing returns to shareholders.

 

InPlay is forecasting 2022 to be another record year for the Company, and reiterates its previously announced January 12, 2022 average production guidance of 8,900 to 9,400 boe/d(1). With the recent sustained increase in commodity prices, we are updating our price forecast using USD $90/bbl WTI, $4.30/mcf AECO and a CAD/USD exchange rate of 0.80. Based on this revised commodity price forecast, InPlay is now expected to generate 2022 AFF of $141 to $150 million and 2022 FAFF of $83 to $92 million which would result in InPlay being in a positive working capital position, in excess of debt, by year end. 

The table below outlines InPlay’s financial results of the board approved capital budget based on several WTI pricing scenarios for the remainder of 2022 (assuming an average Q1/22 WTI price of US$91.50/bbl):

2022 US$70
WTI
US$80
WTI
US$90
WTI
US$100
WTI
US$110
WTI
Production (boe/d)(1)(2) 9,150 9,150 9,150 9,150 9,150
Debt adjusted prod. per share growth (%)(3) 67% 79% 90% 102% 109%
AFF ($ millions)(4) $121 $134 $146 $156 $162
FAFF ($ millions)(3) $63 $76 $88 $98 $104
FAFF Yield (%)(3)(6) 24% 29% 33% 37% 40%
Year-end Working Capital / (Net Debt) ($ millions)(4) ($19) ($6) $6 $16 $22
Annual Net Debt / EBITDA(3) 0.2 0.0 0.0 (0.1) (0.1)
EV / DAAFF(3)(6) 2.2 1.9
1.7
1.5
1.4

Notes:

  1. See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” at the end of this press release.
  2. This reflects the mid-point of the Company’s 2022 production guidance range of 8,900 to 9,400 boe/d.
  3. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
  4. Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release. .
  5. See “Reader Advisories – Forward Looking Information and Statements” for key budget and underlying assumptions related to our 2022 capital program and associated guidance.
  6. Assumes a share price of $3.06.

Operations Update

InPlay’s capital program for the first quarter of 2022 was initiated in mid December 2021 due to the availability of services and the desire to take advantage of strong commodity prices, including winter natural gas prices. The two (1.6 net) wells that were drilled in December 2021 on the Prairie Storm lands were brought on production in the second half of January and are currently exceeding forecasts. The average initial production (“IP”) rates from these wells are as follows:

  IP 30
(% light crude oil and NGLs)
Current
(% light crude oil and NGLs)
1.5 mile well 593 boe/d (80%) 368 boe/d (77%)
1.0 mile well 203 boe/d (83%) 165 boe/d (78%)


An additional three (3.0 net) Extended Reach Horizontal (“ERH”) wells were drilled in Pembina during January and February and were brought on production ahead of schedule in late February. These wells are in the early clean up stage and are also currently producing above forecasts. The average combined IP rates from these wells are as follows:

IP 15
(% light crude oil and NGLs)
Current
(% light crude oil and NGLs)
1,022 boe/d (79%) 1,354 boe/d (71%)


Current corporate production is approximately 9,050 boe/d(1) (62% light crude oil and NGLs), based on field estimates.

Plans for the remainder of the first quarter of 2022 consist of completing two (1.7 net) wells that were drilled on our recently acquired Prairie Storm lands. These wells are expected to be on production before the end of the first quarter. In addition, InPlay will bring on production one (0.2 net) non-operated Cardium ERH well.

Looking forward, the Company has started capital preparations for the second quarter of 2022. Due to strong commodity prices and access to our preferred service providers, the Company expects to start the second quarter drilling program early, with certain operations including lease construction already completed. It is expected that drilling operations will commence approximately six weeks ahead of schedule.

Notes:

  1. See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” at the end of this press release.
  2. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.

Financial and Operating Results:

(CDN) ($000’s) Three months ended
December 31
Year ended
December 31
  2021   2020   2021   2020  
Financial        
Oil and natural gas sales 37,255   12,829   113,854   41,934  
Adjusted funds flow(1) 17,149   3,291   47,028   7,436  
Per share – basic(2) 0.23   0.05   0.67   0.11  
Per share – diluted(2) 0.22   0.05   0.66   0.11  
Per boe(2) 27.87   8.40   22.34   5.10  
Comprehensive income (loss) 55,191   (3,227 ) 115,071   (112,629 )
Per share – basic 0.74   (0.05 ) 1.65   (1.65 )
Per share –diluted 0.71   (0.05 ) 1.61   (1.65 )
Capital expenditures – PP&E and E&E 6,024   10,633   33,434   23,134  
Property acquisitions (dispositions)   1,875   (84 ) 1,610  
Net Corporate acquisitions(3)(4) 38,287     38,287    
Net debt(1) (80,196 ) (73,681 ) (80,196 ) (73,681 )
Shares outstanding 86,214,751   68,256,616   86,214,751   68,256,616  
Basic weighted-average shares 74,338,118   68,256,616   69,798,836   68,256,616  
Diluted weighted-average shares 77,669,551   68,256,616   71,681,264   68,256,616  
         
Operational        
Daily production volumes        
Light and medium crude oil (bbls/d) 3,156   2,194   2,981   2,031  
Natural gas liquids (boe/d) 932   708   782   668  
Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d) 15,589   8,141   12,030   7,715  
Total (boe/d) 6,687   4,259   5,768   3,985  
Realized prices(2)        
Light and medium crude oil & NGLs ($/bbls) 79.83   40.41   70.08   35.90  
Conventional natural gas ($/Mcf) 5.04   2.72   4.01   2.29  
Total ($/boe) 60.56   32.74   54.08   28.75  
Operating netbacks ($/boe)(4)        
Oil and natural gas sales 60.56   32.74   54.08   28.75  
Royalties (7.53 ) (1.78 ) (5.51 ) (2.00 )
Transportation expense (1.09 ) (0.80 ) (1.11 ) (0.87 )
Operating costs (12.51 ) (14.35 ) (12.83 ) (14.43 )
Operating netback(4) 39.43   15.81   34.63   11.45  
Realized (loss) on derivative contracts (5.67 ) (0.38 ) (6.20 ) (0.82 )
Operating netback (including realized derivative contracts)(4) 33.76   15.43   28.43   10.63  


(1)   Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
(2)   Supplementary financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
(3)   This amount consists of total gross consideration of $49.9, net of $11.6 million in working capital balances assumed on closing of the Prairie Storm acquisition.
(4)   Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”

2021 Financial & Operations Overview:

Production averaged 5,768 boe/d (65% light crude oil & NGLs) (1) in 2021, a 45% increase compared to 3,985 boe/d (68% light crude oil & NGLs)(1) in 2020 and a 15% increase compared to 5,000 boe/d (66% light crude oil & NGLs)(1) in 2019. The four quarter sales volumes were slightly affected due to the following factors; operational downtime caused by extreme cold, third party processing facility shut downs and a larger build in period ending oil inventories of approximately 9,000 barrels.

InPlay’s 2021 capital program consisted of $33.4 million of development capital. The Company drilled eight (8.0 net) ERH wells in Pembina, and two (1.6) Willesden Green ERH wells on our newly acquired Prairie Storm assets during the year, for a total of 12 (10.0 net) wells drilled during the year. The Company also participated in one (0.2 net) Nisku ERH well and one (0.2 net) Willesden Green ERH well in 2021. This activity amounted to the drilling of an equivalent of 20.5 gross horizontal miles (15.4 net horizontal miles). This capital spending also included the construction of a multi-well battery in Pembina, which is anticipated to accommodate future development in the area over the next three years. InPlay also accelerated the start of its 2022 capital program at the end of 2021, initiating construction operations and the start of drilling activities on a three well pad in Pembina due to optimal timing and availability of services.        

Efficient field operations resulted in the Company achieving record low operating costs of $12.83/boe. This result was achieved despite rising power costs throughout the year and in services in the second half of the year. The resulting operating income(2) and operating income profit margin(2) for 2021 were also annual records for the Company at $72.9 million and 64% respectively.

Note:

  1. See “Reader Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
  2. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.

2021 Reserves Overview:

As a result of the Company’s efficient execution of development capital in 2021, strategic A&D activity and the quality of our asset base, significant reserve growth was generated in all reserve categories compared to 2020. PDP reserves increased by 64% in 2021 to 15,890 mboe, TP reserves increased by 112% to 45,891 mboe and TPP reserves increased by 85% to 60,640 mboe. This reserve based growth easily replaced our 2021 production, with 395% of production being replaced on a PDP basis, 1,253% on a TP basis and 1,422% on a TPP basis.

This significant reserve growth and improvements to commodity prices resulted in strong 2021 year-end reserve net present values of future net revenues before tax (“NPV BT”) and net asset values per basic share (“NAVPS”). This resulted in reserve values of NPV BT10 of $206 million (PDP), $471 million (TP) and $686 million (TPP) using a three independent reserve evaluators average pricing forecast and foreign exchange rates as at December 31, 2021 as used in the Reserve Report. This equates to Net Asset Values of $160 million and $1.85 NAVPS (PDP), $424 million and $4.92 NAVPS (TP) and $639 million and $7.41 NAVPS (TPP)(1), representing 81% (PDP), 154% (TP) and 112% (TPP) growth for each category respectively on a per weighted average basic share basis over 2020.

Note:

  1. See “Net Asset Value” for detailed calculations.

Corporate Reserves Information:

The following summarizes certain information contained in the Reserve Report. The Reserve Report was prepared in accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the COGE Handbook and National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”). Additional reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in the Company’s Annual Information Form (“AIF”) which will be filed on SEDAR by the end of March 2022.

December 31, 2021

Light and
Medium
  Conventional Oil BTAX
NPV
Future
Development
Net
Undeveloped
Reserves Category(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)

Crude Oil NGLs Natural Gas Equivalent 10% Capital Wells
Mbbl Mbbl MMcf MBOE ($000’s) ($000’s) Booked
               
Proved developed producing 6,224.8 2,972.1 40,156 15,889.6 206,481 287
Proved developed non-producing 595.9 254.1 3,191 1,381.9 19,464 3,617
Proved undeveloped 14,151.6 4,028.9 62,633 28,619.3 245,156 412,786 179.2
Total proved 20,972.4 7,255.2 105,979 45,890.7 471,100 416,690 179.2
Probable developed producing 1,467.2 713.3 9,611 3,782.3 39,024 8
Probable developed non-producing 153.9 74.1 867 372.6 4,298
Probable undeveloped 6,159.6 1,260.0 19,048 10,594.3 171,090 57,533 25.8
Total probable 7,780.6 2,047.5 29,526 14,749.2 214,412 57,541 25.8
Total proved plus probable(6) 28,753.0 9,302.6 135,505 60,639.9 685,513 474,232 205.0

Notes:

  1. Reserves have been presented on a gross basis which are the Company’s total working interest (operating and non-operating) share before the deduction of any royalties and without including any royalty interests of the Company.
  2. Based on an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator’s (Sproule Associates Limited, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at December 31, 2021, as outlined in the table herein entitled “Pricing Assumptions”.
  3. It should not be assumed that the NPV amounts presented in the tables above represents the fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast prices and costs assumptions will be attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserves estimates of InPlay’s light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual light and medium crude oil, conventional natural gas and natural gas liquids reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.
  4. All future net revenues are stated prior to provision for interest, general and administrative expenses and after deduction of royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. Future net revenues have been presented on a before tax basis.
  5. The Company has included abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs for all active and inactive assets including non-producing and suspended wells, facilities and pipelines. December 31, 2021 reserve NPV values are also inclusive of currently enacted carbon taxes.
  6. Totals may not add due to rounding.

Net Asset Value:

         
December 31, 2021 BTAX NPV 5% BTAX NPV 10%
  ($000’s) $/share(6) ($000’s) $/share(6)
PDP NPV(1)(2) 226,629   2.63   206,481   2.39  
Undeveloped acreage(3) 33,474   0.39   33,474   0.39  
Net debt(4)(5) (80,196 ) (0.93 ) (80,196 ) (0.93 )
Net Asset Value (basic) 179,907   2.09   159,759   1.85  


         
December 31, 2021 BTAX NPV 5% BTAX NPV 10%
  ($000’s) $/share(6) ($000’s) $/share(6)
TP NPV(1)(2) 608,756   7.06   471,100   5.46  
Undeveloped acreage(3) 33,474   0.39   33,474   0.39  
Net debt(4)(5) (80,196 ) (0.93 ) (80,196 ) (0.93 )
Net Asset Value (basic) 562,034   6.52   424,378   4.92  


         
December 31, 2021 BTAX NPV 5% BTAX NPV 10%
  ($000’s) $/share(6) ($000’s) $/share(6)
TPP NPV(1)(2) 904,526   10.49   685,513   7.95  
Undeveloped acreage(3) 33,474   0.39   33,474   0.39  
Net debt(4)(5) (80,196 ) (0.93 ) (80,196 ) (0.93 )
Net Asset Value (basic) 857,804   9.95   638,791   7.41  

Notes:

  1. Evaluated by Sproule as at December 31, 2021. The estimated NPV does not represent fair market value of the reserves.
  2. Based on an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator’s (Sproule Associates Limited, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at December 31, 2021.
  3. Duvernay land holdings attributed a value of $19.9 million ($847/acre) for 23,440 net acres based on internal valuations. The remaining undeveloped acreage is based on an internal valuation totaling $13.6 million ($256/acre) for 53,159 net acres. These internal valuations are based on land sale results in the area.
  4. Net debt as at December 31, 2021.
  5. Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
  6. Based upon 86,214,751 common shares outstanding as at December 31, 2021.


Future Development Costs (“FDCs”):

FDCs increased by $246.9 million on a Total Proved basis and $215.7 million on a Total Proved plus Probable basis.

Future Development Capital Costs (amounts in $million)
  Total Proved Total Proved + Probable
2022 58.9 66.6
2023 99.2 111.7
2024 100.5 114.0
2025 95.3 110.5
Remainder 62.7 71.4
Total undiscounted FDC 416.7 474.2
Total discounted FDC at 10% per year 332.4 377.8

Note: FDC as per Reserve Report based on forecast pricing as outlined in the table herein entitled “Pricing Assumptions”

Performance Measures:

  2019 2020 2021 3 Year Avg
Average WTI crude oil price (US$/bbl) 57.02 39.40 67.91 54.78
Capital expenditures – PP&E and E&E ($000’s)(1) 30,689 22,213 33,434
Production boe/d – FY(3) 5,000 3,985 5,768 4,918
Production boe/d – Q4(3) 4,998 4,259 6,687 5,315
Operating netback $/boe – FY(2) 22.75 11.45 34.63 24.32
Proved Developed Producing        
Total Reserves mboe 8,718 9,677 15,890 11,428
Reserves additions mboe 2,195 2,418 8,318 12,930
FD&A (including FDCs)  $/boe(1) 13.98 9.85 8.47 9.67
FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1) 13.98 9.85 8.47 9.67
Recycle Ratio(4) 1.6 1.2 4.1 2.5
Reserves Replacement(5) 120% 166% 395% 240%
RLI (years)(6) 4.8 6.6 7.5 6.4
Total Proved        
Total Reserves mboe 18,573 21,624 45,891 28,696
Reserves additions mboe 1,540 4,509 26,372 32,421
FD&A (including FDCs) $/boe(1) 7.92 5.86 12.03 10.98
FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1) 19.93 5.28 2.67 3.86
Recycle Ratio(4) 2.9 2.0 2.9 2.2
Reserves Replacement(5) 84% 309% 1,253% 602%
RLI (years)(6) 10.2 14.8 21.8 16.0
Proved Plus Probable        
Total Reserves mboe 27,295 32,816 60,640 40,250
Reserves additions mboe 2,057 6,980 29,929 38,965
FD&A (including FDCs) $/boe(1) 7.82 8.21 9.56 9.23
FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1) 14.92 3.41 2.36 3.21
Recycle Ratio(4) 2.9 1.4 3.6 2.6
Reserves Replacement(5) 113% 479% 1,422% 723%
RLI (years)(6) 15.0 22.5 28.8 22.4

In 2021, InPlay’s successful exploration, development and acquisition/disposition capital program achieved a capital efficiency of $12,583 per boe/d and a three year average of $15,354 per boe/d.(7)

Notes:

  1. Finding, Development & Acquisition (“FD&A”) costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency. The calculation includes the period’s capital expenditures, including Exploration and Development (“E&D”) and Acquisition and Disposition (“A&D”) expended in the year, less capitalized G&A expenses and undeveloped land expenditures acquired with no reserves. This total of capital expenditures, including the change in the FDC over the period, is then divided by the change in reserves, other than from production, for the period incorporating additions/reductions from extensions, infill drilling, technical revisions, acquisitions/dispositions and economic factors. For example: 2021 TPP = ($33.4 million E&D – $1.2 million capitalized G&A – $nil million of land acquisitions + $38.2 million net acquisition/disposition capital + $215.8 million FDC) / (60,640 mboe – 32,816 mboe + 2,105 mboe) = $9.56 per boe. Finding and Development Costs (“F&D”) are calculated the same as FD&A costs, however adjusted to exclude the capital expenditures and reserve additions/reductions from acquisition/disposition activity. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
  2. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”
  3. See “Reader Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
  4. Recycle Ratio is calculated by dividing the year’s operating netback per boe by the FD&A costs for that period. For example: 2021 TPP = ($34.63/$9.56) = 3.6. The recycle ratio compares netback from existing reserves to the cost of finding new reserves and may not accurately indicate the investment success unless the replacement reserves are of equivalent quality as the produced reserves. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
  5. The reserves replacement ratio is calculated by dividing the yearly change in reserves before production by the actual annual production for that year. For example: 2021 TPP = (60,640 mboe – 32,816 mboe + 2,105 mboe) / 2,105 mboe = 1422%, which reflects the extent to which the Company was able to replace production and add reserves throughout the year.   See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
  6. RLI is calculated by dividing the reserves in each category by the 2021 average annual production. For example 2021 TPP = (60,640 mboe) / (5,768 boe/day) = 28.8 years. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
  7. Capital Efficiency is calculated as the total annual exploration & development and acquisition and disposition capital expended in the year, less capitalized G&A and land acquisition costs divided by production additions comparing the fourth quarter of the previous year using a decline rate of 29% over the course of the year, calculated as follows: ($33.4 million E&D – $1.2 million capitalized G&A – $nil million of land acquisitions – $0.1 million net acquisition/disposition capital + $9.2 million of 2020 capital adding reserves in 2021 – $3.0 million of capital not adding reserves in 2021) / (Q4/2021 production of 6,687 boe/d – Q4/2020 production of 4,259 boe/d + 2021 declined production at 29% of 1,218 boe/d – Q4/2021 Prairie Storm production of 600 boe/d). See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.

Pricing Assumptions:

The following tables set forth the benchmark reference prices, as at December 31, 2021, reflected in the Reserve Report. These price assumptions were an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator’s (Sproule, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at the effective date of the Reserve Report.

SUMMARY OF PRICING AND INFLATION RATE ASSUMPTIONS (1)
as of December 31, 2021
FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS

Year WTI
Cushing
Oklahoma
($US/Bbl)
Canadian
Light Sweet
40API
($Cdn/Bbl)
Cromer
LSB 35o
 API
($Cdn/Bbl)
Natural Gas AECO-C Spot
($Cdn/
MMBtu)
NGLs
Edmonton Propane
($Cdn/Bbl)
NGLs Edmonton Butanes
($Cdn/Bbl)
Edmonton
Pentanes
Plus
($Cdn/Bbl)
Operating Cost Inflation Rates
%/Year
Capital Cost Inflation Rates
%/Year
Exchange Rate (2)
($Cdn/$US)
Forecast(3)                    
2022 72.83 86.82 87.30 3.56 43.38 57.49 91.85 0.0% 0.0% 0.80
2023 68.78 80.73 82.30 3.21 35.92 50.17 85.53 2.3% 2.3% 0.80
2024 66.76 78.01 79.69 3.05 34.62 48.53 82.98 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2025 68.09 79.57 81.29 3.11 35.31 49.50 84.63 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2026 69.45 81.16 82.92 3.17 36.02 50.49 86.33 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2027 70.84 82.78 84.50 3.23 36.74 51.50 88.05 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2028 72.26 84.44 86.27 3.30 37.47 52.53 89.82 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2029 73.70 86.13 87.99 3.36 38.22 53.58 91.61 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2030 75.18 87.85 89.75 3.43 38.99 54.65 93.44 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2031 76.68 89.61 91.55 3.50 39.77 55.74 95.32 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2032 78.21 91.40 93.38 3.57 40.56 56.86 97.22 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
  Thereafter              Escalation rate of 2.0%            

 

Notes:

  1. This summary table identifies benchmark reference pricing schedules that might apply to a reporting issuer.
  2. The exchange rate used to generate the benchmark reference prices in this table.
  3. As at December 31, 2021.

Environmental, Social and Governance (“ESG”) Update

InPlay’s commitment to ESG is evident through its operational track record, corporate culture and strong governance. The Company is pleased to announce that it expects to release its inaugural sustainability report this summer. InPlay looks forward to sharing the Company’s strategy and governance related to ESG and reporting ESG related metrics with shareholders.

The Company completed an active abandonment and reclamation program throughout 2021, spending $2.3 million on the abandonment of 75 wellbores and the reclamation of 22 well sites. This resulted in a reduction to our Abandonment and Reclamation obligation of 3% during 2021. Efficient field operations resulted in a 20% reduction to the Company’s emissions (Scope 1 and 2) on a per boe basis compared to 2020.

Included in our 2022 forecast is a commitment to materially reducing the Company’s abandonment and reclamation obligations. Approximately 30 abandonment operations and 20 reclamations are currently planned for 2022, which is estimated to result in a $3 million or 3% reduction to our ARO and a projected improvement in our Liability Management Rating (“LMR”) to 2.85.

We look forward to continuing to deliver returns to our shareholders and thank all of those that have supported InPlay since the Company’s inception. The future for InPlay and the industry are very promising and we will continue to operate the Company in a prudent, sustainable and responsible manner.

For further information please contact:

Doug Bartole   Darren Dittmer
President and Chief Executive Officer   Chief Financial Officer
InPlay Oil Corp.   InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632    Telephone: (587) 955-0634

 

Reader Advisories

Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures

Throughout this press release and other materials disclosed by the Company, InPlay uses certain measures to analyze financial performance, financial position and cash flow. These non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. The non-GAAP and other financial measures should not be considered alternatives to, or more meaningful than, financial measures that are determined in accordance with GAAP as indicators of the Company performance. Management believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP and other financial measures provides useful information to shareholders and investors in understanding and evaluating the Company’s ongoing operating performance, and the measures provide increased transparency and the ability to better analyze InPlay’s business performance against prior periods on a comparable basis.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios

Included in this document are references to the terms “free adjusted funds flow”, “free adjusted funds flow per share”, “FAFF Yield”, “operating income”, “operating netback per boe”, “operating income profit margin”, “Net Debt to EBITDA”, “Net corporate acquisitions”, “Debt adjusted production per share” and “EV / DAAFF”. Management believes these measures are helpful supplementary measures of financial and operating performance and provide users with similar, but potentially not comparable, information that is commonly used by other oil and natural gas companies. These terms do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than “profit (loss) before taxes”, “profit (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)”, “adjusted funds flow”, “capital expenditures”, “corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired”, “net debt”, “weighted average number of common shares (basic)” or assets and liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure of the Company’s performance and financial position.

Free Adjusted Funds Flow / FAFF per share

Management considers free adjusted funds flow and free adjusted funds flow per share important measures to identify the Company’s ability to improve its financial condition through debt repayment, which has become more important recently with the introduction of second lien lenders, on an absolute and weighted average per share basis. Free adjusted funds flow should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than adjusted funds flow as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow less exploration and development capital expenditures and property dispositions (acquisitions) and is a measure of the cashflow remaining after capital expenditures before corporate acquisitions that can be used for additional capital activity, corporate acquisitions, repayment of debt or decommissioning expenditures. Free adjusted funds flow per share is calculated by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by weighted average outstanding shares. Refer below for a calculation of free adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow per share and a reconciliation of free adjusted funds flow to the nearest GAAP measure, adjusted funds flow.

(thousands of dollars) Three Months Ended
   December 31
Year Ended
  December 31
  2021   2020   2021   2020  
Adjusted funds flow 17,149   3,291   47,028   7,436  
Exploration and dev. capital expenditures (6,024 ) (10,633 ) (33,434 ) (23,134 )
Property dispositions (acquisitions)   (1,875 ) 84   (1,610 )
Free adjusted funds flow 11,125   (9,217 ) 13,678   (17,308 )
Weighted average outstanding shares 74.3   68.3   69.8   68.3  
FAFF per share 0.15   (0.14 ) 0.20   (0.25 )

Free Adjusted Funds Flow Yield

InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow yield” as a key performance indicator. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by the market capitalization of the Company. Management considers FAFF yield to be an important performance indicator as it demonstrates a Company’s ability to generate cash to pay down debt and provide funds for potential distributions to shareholders. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast 2022 free adjusted funds flow yield.

Operating Income/Operating Netback per boe/Operating Income Profit Margin

InPlay uses “operating income”, “operating netback per boe” and “operating income profit margin” as key performance indicators. Operating income is calculated by the Company as oil and natural gas sales less royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses and is a measure of the profitability of operations before administrative, share-based compensation, financing and other non-cash items. Management considers operating income an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field level profitability. Operating income should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than net income as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Operating netback per boe is calculated by the Company as operating income divided by average production for the respective period. Management considers operating netback per boe an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field level profitability per unit of production. Operating income profit margin is calculated by the Company as operating income as a percentage of oil and natural gas sales. Management considers operating income profit margin an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates how efficiently the Company generates field level profits from its sales revenue. Refer below for a calculation of operating income, operating netback per boe and operating income profit margin.

(thousands of dollars) Three Months Ended
December 31
Year Ended
December 31
  2021   2020   2021   2020  
Revenue 37,255   12,829   113,854   41,934  
Royalties (4,632 ) (697 ) (11,595 ) (2,924 )
Operating expenses (7,695 ) (5,622 ) (27,009 ) (21,043 )
Transportation expenses (673 ) (314 ) (2,346 ) (1,271 )
Operating income 24,255   6,196   72,904   16,696  
                 
Sales volume (Mboe) 615.2   391.8   2,105.1   1,458.5  
Per boe                
Revenue 60.56   32.74   54.08   28.75  
Royalties (7.53 ) (1.78 ) (5.51 ) (2.00 )
Operating expenses (12.51 ) (14.35 ) (12.83 ) (14.43 )
Transportation expenses (1.09 ) (0.80 ) (1.11 ) (0.87 )
Operating netback per boe 39.43   15.81   34.63   11.45  
Operating income profit margin 65 % 48 % 64 % 40 %

Net Debt to EBITDA
Management considers Net Debt to EBITDA an important measure as it is a key metric to identify the Company’s ability to fund financing expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations. EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow before interest expense. This measure is consistent with the EBITDA formula prescribed under the Company’s Senior Credit Facility. Net Debt to EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Refer below for a calculation of Net Debt / EBITDA.

(thousands of dollars) Year Ended
December 31
  2021 2020
Net debt 80,196 73,681
Adjusted funds flow 47,028 7,436
Interest expense (Credit Facility and other) 5,594 3,523
Interest expense (Lease liabilities) 20 47
Earnings before interest, taxes and depletion (“EBITDA”) 52,642 11,006
Net Debt to EBITDA 1.5 6.7


Net Corporate Acquisitions
Management considers Net corporate acquisitions an important measure as it is a key metric to evaluate the corporate acquisition in comparison to other transactions using the negotiated consideration value and ignoring changes to the fair value of the share consideration between the signing of the definitive agreement and the closing of the transaction. Net corporate acquisitions should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than “Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired” as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Net corporate acquisitions is calculated as total consideration with share consideration adjusted to the value negotiated with the counterparty, less working capital balances assumed on the corporate acquisition. Refer below for a calculation of Net corporate acquisitions and reconciliation to the nearest GAAP measure, “Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired”.

(thousands of dollars) Three Months Ended
December 31
Year Ended
December 31 
  2021   2020 2021   2020
Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired 29,277   29,277  
Share consideration(1) 9,985   9,985  
Non-cash working capital acquired (1,156 ) (1,156 )
Derivative contracts 181   181  
Net Corporate acquisitions 38,287   38,287  


(1)   For purposes of the corporate acquisition, the share consideration had a negotiated value of $1.20 per share. For accounting purposes in accordance with IFRS 3, the shares issued as consideration have been valued at $2.07 per share, based on the closing price of InPlay shares on November 29, 2021.
(2)   Net working capital acquired equals the fair value of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable and accrued liabilities, prepaid expenses and deposits, inventory, accounts payable and accrued liabilities and derivative contracts acquired as disclosed in note 5 of the Company’s consolidated financial statements.

Production per Debt Adjusted Share

InPlay uses “Production per debt adjusted share” as a key performance indicator. Debt adjusted shares should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than common shares as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Debt adjusted shares is a non-GAAP measure used in the calculation of Production per debt adjusted share and is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the Company’s current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Debt adjusted shares should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than weighted average number of common shares (basic) as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Management considers Debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of capital structure in relation to the Company’s peers. Production per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted shares. Management considers Production per debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of changes in annual production in relation to the Company’s capital structure. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast Production per debt adjusted share.

EV / DAAFF
InPlay uses “enterprise value to debt adjusted AFF” or “EV/DAAFF” as a key performance indicator. EV/DAAFF is calculated by the Company as enterprise value divided by debt adjusted AFF for the relevant period. Debt adjusted AFF (“DAAFF”) is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow plus financing costs. Enterprise value is a capital management measures that is used in the calculation of EV/DAAFF. Enterprise value is calculated as the Company’s market capitalization plus net debt. Enterprise value is calculated as market capitalization plus net debt. Management considers enterprise value a key performance indicator as it identifies the total capital structure of the Company. Management considers EV/DAAFF a key performance indicator as it is a key metric used to evaluate the sustainability of the Company relative to other companies while incorporating the impact of differing capital structures. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast 2022 EV/DAAFF.

Capital Management Measures

Adjusted Funds Flow

Management considers adjusted funds flow to be an important measure of InPlay’s ability to generate the funds necessary to finance capital expenditures. Adjusted funds flow is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the Company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2021. All references to adjusted funds flow throughout this document are calculated as funds flow adjusting for decommissioning expenditures and transaction and integration costs. This item is adjusted from funds flow as decommissioning expenditures are incurred on a discretionary and irregular basis and are primarily incurred on previous operating assets and transaction costs are non-recurring costs for the purposes of an acquisition, making the exclusion of these items relevant in Management’s view to the reader in the evaluation of InPlay’s operating performance. The Company also presents adjusted funds flow per share whereby per share amounts are calculated using weighted average shares outstanding consistent with the calculation of profit (loss) per common share.

Net Debt

Net debt is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the Company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2021. The Company closely monitors its capital structure with a goal of maintaining a strong balance sheet to fund the future growth of the Company. The Company monitors net debt as part of its capital structure. The Company uses net debt (bank debt plus accounts payable and accrued liabilities less accounts receivables and accrued receivables, prepaid expenses and deposits and inventory) as an alternative measure of outstanding debt. Management considers net debt an important measure to assist in assessing the liquidity of the Company.

Supplementary Measures

“Average realized crude oil price” is comprised of crude oil commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s crude oil production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

“Average realized NGL price” is comprised of NGL commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s NGL production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

“Average realized natural gas price” is comprised of natural gas commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s natural gas production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

“Average realized commodity price” is comprised of commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

“Adjusted funds flow per weighted average basic share” is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the basic weighted average common shares.

“Adjusted funds flow per weighted average diluted share” is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the diluted weighted average common shares.

“Adjusted funds flow per boe” is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by total production.

Forward-Looking Information and Statements This news release contains certain forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “expect”, “anticipate”, “continue”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “should”, “believe”, “plans”, “intends”, “forecast” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking information and statements pertaining to the following: the recognition of significant additional reserves under the heading “Corporate Reserves Information”, the future net value of InPlay’s reserves, the future development capital and costs, the life of InPlay’s reserves and the net asset values disclosed under the heading “Net Asset Value” including the internal value ascribed to undeveloped acreage; the Company’s planned 2022 capital program including wells to be drilled and completed and the timing of the same; 2022 guidance based on the planned capital program including forecasts of 2022 annual average production levels, debt adjusted production levels, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, Net Debt/EBITDA ratio, operating income profit margin, and Management’s belief that the Company can grow some or all of these attributes and specified measures; light crude oil and NGLs weighting estimates; expectations regarding future commodity prices; future oil and natural gas prices; future liquidity and financial capacity; future results from operations and operating metrics; future costs, expenses and royalty rates; future interest costs; the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn; future development, exploration, acquisition, development and infrastructure activities and related capital expenditures, including our planned 2022 capital program; the amount and timing of capital projects; forecasted spending on decommissioning; the expectation that the reserve additions from the Prairie Storm acquisition will generate strong production and FAFF growth; the expectation that InPlay will be in a positive net cash position in the fourth quarter of 2022 using a pricing scenario of US $90 WTI and positive working capital position by 2022 year end; that 2022 will be another record year for the Company; the expectation that the Company will experience inflationary cost pressures in the second half of 2022; the expectation that costs will begin to normalize later in 2022; the Company’s planned 2022 abandonment and reclamation program, including the abandonments and reclamations to be completed, forecasted spending on these activities, reduction to our ARO and forecasted LMR rating; the expectation that the Company will start the second quarter capital program early; the planned release of InPlay’s inaugural sustainability report prior to June 30, 2022 and methods of funding our capital program.

Forward-looking statements or information are based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions of InPlay which have been used to develop such statements and information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the ability of InPlay to obtain financing on acceptable terms; field production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition, development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline, storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices; that various conditions to a shareholder return strategy can be satisfied; expectations regarding the potential impact of COVID-19; currency, exchange and interest rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which InPlay operates; and the ability of InPlay to successfully market its oil and natural gas products.

The forward-looking information and statements included herein are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements including, without limitation: the continuing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; changes in our planned 2022 capital program; changes in commodity prices and other assumptions outlined herein; the potential for variation in the quality of the reservoirs in which we operate; changes in the demand for or supply of our products; unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters; changes in development plans or strategies of InPlay or by third party operators of our properties; increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate estimation of our light crude oil and natural gas reserve and resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other risks detailed from time-to-time in InPlay’s continuous disclosure documents filed on SEDAR including our Annual Information Form.

The internal projections, expectations or beliefs underlying the Company’s 2022 capital budget, associated guidance and corporate outlook for 2022 and beyond are subject to change in light of ongoing results, prevailing economic circumstances, commodity prices and industry conditions and regulations. InPlay’s outlook for 2022 and beyond provides shareholders with relevant information on management’s expectations for results of operations, excluding any potential acquisitions, dispositions or strategic transactions that may be completed in 2022 and beyond including, without limitation, the potential impact of any shareholder return strategy that may be implemented in the future. Accordingly, readers are cautioned that events or circumstances could cause results to differ materially from those predicted and InPlay’s 2022 guidance and outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes.

This press release contains future-oriented financial information and financial outlook information (collectively, “FOFI”) about InPlay’s prospective capital expenditures, all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts set forth in this press release and such variation may be material. InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management’s best estimates and judgments. However, because this information is subjective and subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose of providing further information about InPlay’s anticipated future business operations. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in this press release should not be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein.

The forward-looking information and statements contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof and InPlay does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the included forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws.

InPlay’s 2021 annual guidance and a comparison to 2021 actual results are outlined below.

      2021 Guidance(1) 2021 Actual Variance Variance (%)
Production(6) Boe/d   5,750 – 6,000 5,768
Adjusted Funds Flow(7) $ millions   $51.0 – $54.0 $47.0 ($5)(3) (7%)
Capital Expenditures $ millions   $32.5(2) $33.4 $1(4) 3%
Free Adjusted Funds Flow(8) $ millions   $17.5 – $20.5 $13.6 ($4)(3)(4) (20%)
Net Debt(6) $ millions   $76.5 – $79.5 $80.2 $1(3)(4)(5) 1%


Notes:

  1. As previously released September 28, 2021.
  2. As previously released November 30, 2021 (previously $32.5 – $34.5 million on September 28, 2021).
  3. This variance is due to the following:
    • Lower fourth quarter sales volumes due to operational downtime caused by extreme cold, third party processing facility mechanical shut downs, a larger build in period ending oil inventories of approximately 9,000 barrels, and the later than initially expected drilling of the two well pad drilled in the fourth quarter of 2021. In addition, new production from the 2021 drilling program had a slightly higher gas weighting and lower NGL yield than forecasted.
    • The effect of shorter royalty incentive periods for recently drilled wells in the improved pricing environment and higher trucking costs on new wells.
    • Significant improvements in the Company’s share price in the later portion of 2021, resulting in additional expenses incurred from the vesting and revaluation of deferred share units, and the accelerated vesting of certain DSUs.
    • Increased hedging losses as a result of higher annual average WTI prices of US $1.06/bbl.
  4. This variance is due to the acceleration of the start of the 2022 capital program at the end of 2021 through the initiation of lease construction and starting drilling activities on a three well pad in Pembina due to optimal conditions and availability of services.
  5. This net debt variance is due to the higher positive net debt assumed on the Prairie Storm acquisition in addition to additional proceeds from the over-allotment option being exercised on the bought deal financing which both contributed to an additional $3 million positive net debt impact, net of the $4 million reduction to free adjusted funds flow.
  6. See “Reader Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
  7. Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
  8. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”

The key budget and underlying material assumptions used by the Company in the development of its 2022 guidance including forecasted production, operating income, capital expenditures, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, FAFF yield, Net Debt, Net Debt/EBITDA, EV/DAAFF, production per debt adjusted share growth are as follows:

    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022(1)
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
WTI US$/bbl $67.91 $72.50 $90.00
NGL Price $/boe $37.79 $42.75 $52.35
AECO $/GJ $3.44 $3.30 $4.30
Foreign Exchange Rate CDN$/US$ 0.80 0.78 0.80
MSW Differential US$/bbl $3.88 $3.50 $3.00
Production Boe/d 5,768 8,900 – 9,400 8,900 – 9,400
Royalties $/boe 5.51 5.25 – 5.75 9.80 – 10.60
Operating Expenses $/boe 12.83 10.00 – 13.00 10.00 – 13.00
Transportation $/boe 1.11 0.85 – 1.10 0.85 – 1.10
Interest $/boe 2.67 0.85 – 1.25 0.75 – 1.15
General and Administrative $/boe 2.83 2.00 – 2.60 2.00 – 2.60
Hedging loss $/boe 6.20 0.00 – 0.20 0.35 – 0.65
Decommissioning Expenditures $ millions $1.4 $2.0 – $2.5 $2.0 – $2.5
Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $47.0 $111.0 – $117.0 $141 – $150
Weighted average outstanding shares # millions 69.8 86.2 86.2
Adjusted Funds Flow per share $/share 0.67 1.28 – 1.36 1.64 – 1.75


    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $47.0   $111.0 – $117.0 $141 – $150
Capital Expenditures $ millions $33.3 $58.0 $58.0
Free Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $13.6 $53.5 – $59.5   $83 – $92
Share outstanding, end of year # millions 86.2   86.2
Assumed Share price $ 2.18(3)   3.06
Market capitalization $ millions $188   $264
FAFF Yield % 7% N/A(5) 31% – $35%


    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022(1)
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $47.0 $111.0 – $117.0 $141 – $150
Interest $/boe 2.67 0.85 – 1.25 0.75 – 1.15
EBITDA $ millions $52.6 $115.0 – $120.0 $144 – $153
Net Debt/(Positive working capital, in excess of debt) $ millions $80.2 $22.0 – $28.0 ($1) – ($10)
Net Debt/EBITDA   1.5 0.2 – 0.3 0.0 – 0.1


    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022(1)
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
Production Boe/d 5,768 8,900 – 9,400 8,900 – 9,400
Opening Net Debt $ millions $73.7 $76.5 – $79.5 $80.2
Ending Net Debt/(Pos. working capital, in excess of debt) $ millions $80.2 $22.0 – $28.0 ($1) – ($10)
Weighted average outstanding shares # millions 69.8 86.2 86.2
Assumed Share price $ 1.16(4) 2.18 3.06
Production per debt adjusted share growth(2)   31% 76% – 86% 85% – 95%


    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
Share outstanding, end of year # millions 86.2   86.2
Assumed Share price $ 2.18(3)   3.06
Market capitalization $ millions $188   $264
Net Debt/(Positive working capital, in excess of debt) $ millions $80.2   ($1) – ($10)
Enterprise value $millions $268.2   $253 – $261
Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $44.1   $141 – $150
Interest $/boe 2.67   0.75 – 1.15
Debt Adjusted AFF $ millions $49.7   $144 – $153
EV/DAAFF   5.4 N/A(5) 1.6 – 1.8


(1)   As previously released January 12, 2022.
(2)   Production per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the Company’s current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Share price at December 31, 2022 is assumed to be consistent with the share price at December 31, 2021.
(3)   Ending share price at December 31, 2021.
(4)   Weighted average share price throughout 2021.
(5)   Guidance had not been previously released for this measure.
  • See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” below
  • Quality and pipeline transmission adjustments may impact realized oil prices in addition to the MSW Differential provided above
  • Changes in working capital are not assumed to have a material impact between Dec 31, 2021 and Dec 31, 2022.

Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information
Our oil and gas reserves statement for the year ended December 31, 2021, which will include complete disclosure of our oil and gas reserves and other oil and gas information in accordance with NI 51-101, will be contained within our Annual Information Form which will be available on our SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com on or before March 31, 2022. The recovery and reserve estimates contained herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. In relation to the disclosure of estimates for individual properties, such estimates may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. The Company’s belief that it will establish additional reserves over time with conversion of probable undeveloped reserves into proved reserves is a forward-looking statement and is based on certain assumptions and is subject to certain risks, as discussed above under the heading “Forward-Looking Information and Statements”.

This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry, such as “finding, development and acquisition costs”, “finding and development costs”, “operating netbacks”, “recycle ratios”, “reserve replacement” and “reserve life index” or “RLI”. Each of these terms are calculated by InPlay as described in the section “Performance Measures” in this press release. These terms do not have standardized meanings or standardized methods of calculation and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to make such comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional information to evaluate the Company’s performance, however such metrics should not be unduly relied upon.

Finding, development and acquisition (“FD&A”) and finding and development (“F&D”) costs take into account reserves revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The aggregate of the costs incurred in the financial year and changes during that year in estimated future development costs may not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves additions for that year. Finding, development and acquisition costs have been presented in this press release because acquisitions and dispositions can have a significant impact on our ongoing reserves replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result in an inaccurate portrayal of our cost structure. Exploration & development capital means the aggregate exploration and development costs incurred in the financial year on exploration and on reserves that are categorized as development. Exploration & development capital excludes capitalized administration costs. Acquisition capital amounts to the total amount of cash and share consideration net of any working capital balances assumed with an acquisition on closing.

Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures to compare InPlay’s operations over time, however such measures are not reliable indicators of InPlay’s future performance and future performance may not be comparable to the performance in prior periods. Readers are cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented in this press release, should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes, however such measures are not reliable indicators on InPlay’s future performance and future performance may not be comparable to the performance in prior periods.

References to light crude oil, NGLs or natural gas production in this press release refer to the light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“Nl 51-101“).

Test Results and Initial Production Rates
Test results and initial production rates disclosed herein, particularly those short in duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided herein should be considered to be preliminary until such analysis or interpretation has been completed.

Production Breakdown by Product Type
Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in this press release consists of the constituent product types as defined in NI 51-101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the table below:

  Light and Medium
Crude oil
(bbls/d)
NGLS
(boe/d)
Conventional Natural gas
(Mcf/d)
Total
(boe/d)
Q4 2019 Average Production 2,466 869 9,978 4,998
2019 Average Production 2,626 697 10,058 5,000
Q4 2020 Average Production 2,194 708 8,141 4,259
2020 Average Production 2,031 668 7,715 3,985
Q4 2021 Average Production 3,156 933 15,590 6,687
2021 Average Production 2,981 782 12,030 5,768
2022 Annual Guidance  4,332 1,312 21,035 9,150(1)
Tuck-in Acquisition Q4 2021 Avg. Prod 1,452 302
6,815
2,900
Current Corporate Average Production 4,019
1,455
21,464
9,050

Note:

  1. This reflects the mid-point of the Company’s 2022 production guidance range of 8,900 to 9,400 boe/d.
  2. With respect to forward-looking production guidance, product type breakdown is based upon management’s expectations based on reasonable assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well results.

References to crude oil, NGLs or natural gas production in this press release refer to the light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“Nl 51-101”).

BOE equivalent
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication of value.

Release – Energy Fuels Announces 2021 Results

 


 


Energy Fuels Announces 2021 Results, Including Net Profits, Strong Cash Position, and Market-Leading U.S. Uranium, Rare Earth and Vanadium Position

Research, News, and Market Data on Energy Fuels

 

LAKEWOOD, Colo.March 15, 2022 /CNW/ – Energy Fuels Inc. (NYSE American: UUUU) (TSX: EFR) (“Energy Fuels” or the “Company”) today reported its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2021. The Company’s annual report on Form 10-K has been filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC“) and may be viewed on the Electronic Document Gathering and Retrieval System (“EDGAR“) at www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml, on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (“SEDAR“) at www.sedar.com, and on the Company’s website at www.energyfuels.com. Unless noted otherwise, all dollar amounts are in U.S. dollars.

Highlights:

  • Energy Fuels reported a net income of $1.5 million for 2021.
  • At December 31, 2021, the Company had a robust balance sheet with $143.2 million of working capital, including $113.0 million of cash and marketable securities, $30.8 million of inventory, and no short term (or long term) debt. At current commodity prices, the Company’s December 31, 2021 product inventory would have a value of approximately $60.6 million.
  • During 2021, prices for all the commodities Energy Fuels produces, or has the ability to produce, rose significantly. Uranium oxide (“U3O8“) prices increased approximately 38%, neodymium-praseodymium oxide (“NdPr“) prices increased approximately 112%, and vanadium oxide (“V2O5“) prices increased approximately 62%. Prices for each of these commodities have continued to show significant strength to date in 2022. The Company continues to closely follow developments related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as Russia is a major supplier of uranium and nuclear fuel to U.S. and European customers. Prices of uranium have risen sharply in recent days.
  • While the Company chose to not sell any uranium during 2021, it is now actively engaged in pursuing selective long-term uranium sales contracts.
  • The Company produced approximately 270 metric tonnes of mixed rare earth element (“REE“) carbonate (“RE Carbonate“), containing 120 metric tonnes of total rare earth oxides (“TREO“) during 2021, as it commenced ramping up its REE recovery infrastructure. Energy Fuels’ RE Carbonate is the most advanced REE material being produced in the U.S. today.
  • The Company is currently in active discussions with several sources of natural monazite sands around the world to significantly increase the supply of feed for its growing REE initiative.
  • During Q1-2022, the Company began commercially separating Lanthanum (La) and Cerium (Ce) on a small scale from its RE Carbonate, using an existing solvent extraction circuit at the Mill. This represents the first commercial level REE separation to occur in the U.S. in many years.
  • The Company is planning to install a full separation circuit at its White Mesa Mill (the “Mill“) to produce both “light” and “heavy” separated REE oxides in the coming years, subject to successful licensing, financing, and commissioning, and continued strong market conditions. The Company has hired Carester SAS (“Carester“), a global leader in producing separated REE oxides, to support these REE separation initiatives.
  • On December 15, 2021, the Company announced a strategic venture with Nanoscale Powders LLC (“NSP“) for the development of a novel technology that would potentially produce REE metals. The technology has the potential to reduce the costs of production, energy consumption, and greenhouse gas emissions versus existing technologies.
  • In 2021, the Company sold small quantities of its existing V2O5 inventory to capitalize on recent market strength. The Company expects to continue to sell vanadium as prices increase and is evaluating the potential to resume vanadium recovery at the Mill, where its tailings pond solutions contain an estimated additional 1.0 to 3.0 million recoverable pounds of V2O5.
  • In July 2021, the Company announced the execution of a Strategic Alliance Agreement with RadTran, LLC to evaluate the potential recovery of thorium and radium from the Company’s existing RE Carbonate and uranium process streams for use in the production of medical isotopes for emerging targeted alpha therapy (“TAT“) cancer therapeutics. This initiative complements the Company’s existing uranium and RE Carbonate businesses, as it investigates the potential recovery of isotopes in existing process streams at the Mill for medical purposes.
  • In September 2021, the Company announced its establishment of the San Juan County Clean Energy Foundation (the “Foundation“), a fund specifically designed to contribute to the communities surrounding the Mill in southeastern Utah by providing funding to support local economic development and local priorities.
  • In October 2021, the Company completed the sale of certain, permitted non-core conventional uranium assets to Consolidated Uranium Inc. (“CUR”), including the Daneros mine, the Tony M mine, and the Rim mine. The Company reported a gain on the value of this transaction of $35.7 million, resulting in a significant improvement in the Company’s results of operations and net income for 2021.
  • On January 25, 2022, the Board appointed Dr. Ivy Estabrooke as a Director of Energy Fuels, bringing to the Company experience in commercial-stage biotech, research and development program leadership, and technology solutions for national security and public health challenges.

Mark S. Chalmers, Energy Fuels’ President and CEO, stated:

“In 2021, we believe Energy Fuels further strengthened its position as America’s leading multi-commodity, critical mineral company, as we made excellent progress on our uranium, REEs, vanadium and medical isotope initiatives. We are deploying our ‘one-of-a-kind’ licenses, facilities, and expertise to responsibly recover the critical elements needed for carbon-free nuclear energy, electric vehicle powertrains, wind generation, advanced electronics, grid-scale batteries, other clean energy and advanced technologies, and potentially cancer therapeutics.

“We are particularly proud of our accomplishments in REEs. We announced our entry into the REE business less than two years ago, and today we are ramping up our production of commercial quantities of RE Carbonate, which is a more advanced REE material than any other U.S. company is producing, as we are chemically recovering the REEs in a high-purity material that is ready for REE separation. We are also moving toward licensing and installing the infrastructure needed to produce separated REE oxides on a full commercial scale in the coming years. The proven processing technology for producing separated REE oxides is solvent extraction, or ‘SX,’ and our White Mesa Mill has over 40 years of experience producing uranium and vanadium using SX. With the support of Carester, a leading global consultant in the production of separated REE products, we believe it is a logical ‘next step’ for Energy Fuels to produce separated REE oxides on a full commercial scale at the Mill. We have already successfully performed La, Ce, and NdPr separations at pilot scale in the Mill’s lab over the past several months, and we recently began ramping up our commercial separation of La and Ce from our RE Carbonate on a small scale using an existing SX circuit at the Mill. Our primary REE focuses in 2022 will be building our supply of monazite ore, designing and licensing a new full commercial scale REE separation circuit at the Mill, and advancing our innovative REE metal initiative with NSP.

“With the recent events in Ukraine, security of supply in the U.S. for uranium is crucial. Energy Fuels continues to be the leading low-cost U.S. uranium producer with more production facilities and capacity than any other U.S. company, and we stand ready to be a reliable, large-scale supplier to U.S. nuclear utilities. We are seeing an increase in utility interest for long-term contracts. We are pursuing uranium sales contracts with pricing and terms that return acceptable project margins and maintain exposure to further uranium market upside.

“Vanadium prices are rising, as well. In 2019, we built a significant inventory of vanadium to sell into the abrupt upside price volatility that vanadium markets often experience, most recently in late 2018. The next upward cycle may have begun, as prices have risen sharply in the first months of 2022, and we are selling some of our inventory. As we sell, we will evaluate the potential to resume production from the Mill’s pond solutions or our conventional deposits to replace our sold inventory. We estimate our pond solutions alone contain another 1.0 to 3.0 million pounds of recoverable V2O5 and would be first and lowest cost to market.

“A few words on our medical isotope initiative. This is another area where we are able to deploy our unique facilities, licenses, and expertise to potentially help create a domestic supply chain for emerging cancer therapies. Recovering radioisotopes for use in cancer treatments from our existing process streams, thereby recycling valuable material that would otherwise be lost to direct disposal, would, if successful, be a great way to maximally use all of our feeds. And we would be accomplishing this in a way that is environmentally beneficial and highly congruent with Energy Fuels’ recycling and sustainability goals.

“We are also very pleased to announce that, on January 25, 2022 Dr. Ivy Estabrooke was appointed to the Board of Energy Fuels. Dr. Estabrooke brings to the Company an impressive background that is highly pertinent, not only to our new REE and TAT cancer therapeutics initiatives, but also to our core uranium business, which is of the utmost importance to national security at this time.”

Webcast at 1:00 pm EDT on March 17, 2022:

Energy Fuels will be hosting a video webcast on March 17, 2022 at 1:00 pm EDT (11:00 am MDT) to discuss its FY-2021 financial results, the outlook for 2022, uranium, rare earths, vanadium, and medical isotopes. To join the webcast and access the presentation and viewer-controlled webcast slides, please click on the link below:

Webcast Link

If you would like to participate in the webcast and ask questions, please dial in to 1-888-664-6392 (toll free in the U.S. and Canada).

A link to a recorded version of the proceedings will be available on the Company’s website shortly after the webcast by calling 1-888-390-0541 (toll free in the U.S. and Canada) and by entering the code 179864#. The recording will be available until March 31, 2022.

Selected Summary Financial Information:





$000’s, except per share data

Year ended
December 31, 2021

Year ended
December 31, 2020

Year ended
December 31, 2019

Total revenues

$

3,184

$

1,658

$

5,865

Gross profit (loss)

1,370

14

(12,433)

Operating profit (loss)

(35,425)

(24,627)

(40,581)

Net income (loss) attributable to the company

1,541

(27,776)

(37,978)

Basic and diluted net income (loss) per common share

0.01

(0.23)

(0.40)

 




$000’s

As at December 31,
2021

As at December 31,
2020

Financial Position:



Working capital

$

143,190

$

40,158

Property, plant and equipment, net

21,983

23,621

Mineral properties, net

83,539

83,539

Total assets

315,446

183,236

Total long-term liabilities

13,805

13,376

Financial Discussion:

At December 31, 2021, the Company had $143.2 million of working capital, including $113.0 million of cash and marketable securities and $30.8 million of inventory, including approximately 691,000 pounds of uranium and 1,650,000 pounds of vanadium, both in the form of immediately marketable product. The spot price of U3O8 at March 11, 2022 was $58.50 per pound, according to TradeTech (up from $42.00 per pound at December 31, 2021. The current mid-point spot price of V2O5 at March 11, 2022 was $12.25 per pound after remaining relatively flat near the 2021 year-end, according to FastMarkets. Based on today’s spot prices, the Company’s December 31, 2021 uranium and vanadium inventories would have a current market value of $40.4 million and $20.2 million, respectively, totaling approximately $60.6 million. On October 27, 2021, the Company completed the sale of certain non-core conventional assets to CUR. In addition to receiving $2 million cash at closing, the Company now holds 19.1% of the outstanding shares of CUR as of December 31, 2021, for a total value to the Company of $32.2 million as at December 31, 2021.

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company realized net income of $1.5 million, compared to a net loss of $27.9 for the year ended December 31, 2020. The net income in 2021 was primarily due to the sale of non-core conventional uranium assets to CUR. The Company spent $10.75 million for development of the Company’s properties, primarily due to the development and ramping up of the RE Carbonate production program at the Mill. The Company also incurred underutilized capacity production costs applicable to rare earth concentrates during the year of $0.53 million. The underutilized capacity production costs are due to low throughput rates as the Mill ramps-up to commercial-scale production at full capacity. To date, the Mill has focused on producing commercially salable RE Carbonate at low throughput rates and has been very pleased with the resulting product it is shipping for separation. The Mill expects to increase its throughput rates as its supplies of monazite sands increase. The Company is in advanced discussions with several additional sources of monazite sands that, if successfully secured, we expect to result in sufficient throughput to reduce underutilized capacity production costs and allow the Company to realize its expected margins on a continuous basis.

Rare Earth Achievements in 2021 and To Date in 2022:

On March 1, 2021, the Company and Neo Performance Materials Limited (“Neo“) announced a new rare earth production initiative spanning European and North American critical material supply chains. Under an agreement in principle signed on March 1, 2021 and finalized into a definitive agreement in July 2022, Energy Fuels will process natural monazite sands, currently being mined in the state of Georgia by The Chemours Company, into an RE Carbonate at the Mill and ship a portion of the produced RE Carbonate to Neo’s rare earth separations facility in Sillamäe, Estonia (“Silmet“). Silmet will then process the RE Carbonate into separated rare earth materials for use in rare earth permanent magnets and other rare earth-based advanced materials.

On July 7, 2021, the Company announced that the first container (approximately 20 tonnes of product) of an expected 15 containers of mixed RE Carbonate had been successfully produced by Energy Fuels at the Mill and was en route to Silmet. This commercial-scale production of RE Carbonate by Energy Fuels from a U.S. mined rare earth resource positions Energy Fuels as the only company in North America that currently produces a monazite-derived, enhanced rare earth material. The physical delivery of this product also represents the launch of a new, environmentally responsible rare earth supply chain that allows for source validation and tracking from mining through to final end-use applications for manufacturers in North AmericaEuropeJapan, and other nations.

The Company also announced on March 1, 2021 that, in addition to supplying RE Carbonate to Neo, Energy Fuels is evaluating the potential to develop U.S. separation capabilities at the Mill, or nearby, as it works to increase its monazite sand supplies, thereby fully integrating a U.S. rare earth supply chain in the coming years, in addition to supplying RE Carbonate to European markets. On April 27, 2021, the Company announced it had engaged Carester to prepare a scoping study for the development of a solvent extraction REE separation circuit at the Mill utilizing the Mill’s existing equipment and infrastructure to the extent applicable, to create a continuous, integrated and optimized rare earth production sequence. Based in Lyon, France, Carester is one of the world’s leading global consultants on rare earth supply chains, with expertise in designing, constructing, operating and optimizing REE production facilities globally. Carester’s scoping work included an evaluation of the Mill’s current monazite leaching process, preparation of an REE separation flow sheet, capital and operating expense estimates, incorporation of new technologies where applicable, and recommendations on equipment vendors. The Company is planning to install a full separation circuit at its White Mesa Mill to produce both “light” and “heavy” separated REE oxides in the coming years, subject to successful licensing, financing, and commissioning, and continued strong market conditions. The Company has hired Carester to perform a second scoping study to support these REE separation initiatives.

During Q1-2022, the Company began commercially separating La and Ce from its RE Carbonate on a small scale using an existing solvent extraction circuit at the Mill. This represents the first commercial level REE separation to occur in the U.S. in many years. The Company has been performing laboratory-scale REE separations for the last several months on a 24/7 basis, successfully executing the La, Ce, and NdPr separations at high-purities and with excellent recoveries.

On December 15, 2021, the Company announced the execution of an MOU with NSP for the development of a novel technology for the potential production of REE metals, subject to the finalization of definitive agreements. We believe this technology, which was initially developed by NSP, and will be advanced by the Company and NSP working together, has the potential to revolutionize the rare earth metal making industry by reducing costs of production, reducing energy consumption, and significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Producing REE metals and alloys is a key step in a fully integrated REE supply chain, after production of separated REE oxides and before the manufacture of neodymium iron boron (“NdFeB“) magnets used in electric vehicles, wind generation and other clean energy and advanced technologies.

In addition, during 2022, the Company announced the execution of a non-binding memorandum of understanding (“MOU“) for the supply of natural monazite sands from IperionX Limited’s (“IperionX’s“, formerly known as Hyperion Metals Limited) Titan Project in Tennessee, if and when the project is developed and mined. IperionX’s Titan Project covers a large area of heavy mineral sands properties in Tennessee prospective for titanium, zircon, monazite and other valuable minerals such as high-grade silica sand and other refractory minerals.

In 2021, the Company also announced that the U.S. Department of Energy (“DOE“) Office of Fossil Energy and National Energy Technology Laboratory had exercised its option to award Energy Fuels, working with a team from Penn State University, an additional $1.75 million to complete a feasibility study on the production of REE products from natural coal-based resources, as well as from other materials such as REE-containing ores like the natural monazite sands the Company is currently processing at the Mill. This award follows the DOE providing Energy Fuels a $150,000 contract in 2020 for the successful completion of a conceptual design for the same initiative, resulting in a total award to Energy Fuels of $1.9 million.

Update on Medical Isotope Initiative:

On July 28, 2021, the Company announced the execution of a Strategic Alliance Agreement with RadTran, LLC, a technology development company focused on closing critical gaps in the procurement of medical isotopes for emerging TAT cancer therapeutics and other applications. Under this strategic alliance, the Company is evaluating the feasibility of recovering Th-232, and Ra-226 from its existing RE Carbonate and uranium process streams at the Mill and, together with RadTran, is evaluating the feasibility of recovering Ra-228 from the Th-232, Th-228 from the Ra-228 and concentrating Ra-226 at the Mill using RadTran technologies. Recovered Ra-228, Th-228 and Ra-226 would then be sold to pharmaceutical companies and others to produce Pb-212, Ac-225, Bi-213, Ra-224 and Ra-223, which are the leading medically attractive TAT isotopes for the treatment of cancer. Existing supplies of these isotopes for TAT applications are in short supply, and methods of production are costly and currently cannot be scaled to meet the demand created as new drugs are developed and approved. This is a major roadblock in the research and development of new TAT drugs as pharmaceutical companies wait for scalable and affordable production technologies to become available. Under this initiative, the Company has the potential to recover valuable isotopes from its existing process streams, therefore recycling back into the market material that would otherwise be lost to disposal for use in treating cancer.

Establishment of San Juan County Clean Energy Foundation:

On September 16, 2021, the Company announced its establishment of the San Juan County Clean Energy Foundation, a fund specifically designed to contribute to the communities surrounding the Mill in Southeastern, Utah. The Company made an initial deposit of $1 million into the Foundation and anticipates providing ongoing annual funding equal to 1% of the Mill’s future revenues, providing funding to support local economic development and local priorities. The Foundation will focus on supporting education, the environment, health/wellness, and local economic development in the City of BlandingSan Juan County, the White Mesa Ute Community, the Navajo Nation and other area communities.

Sale of Non-Core Assets to Consolidated Uranium Inc.:

On October 27, 2021, CUR and the Company jointly announced the closing of a transaction whereby CUR acquired a portfolio of Energy Fuels’ non-core conventional uranium projects located in Utah and Colorado, including the Daneros mine, the Tony M mine (formerly a part of the Henry Mountains Project), the Rim mine, the Sage Plain project, and several DOE leases located in Colorado, in consideration for a 19.9% share ownership interest in CUR (as of the 2021 year-end, 19.1%) and other consideration. The Company reported a gain on the value of this transaction of $35.7 million, resulting in a significant improvement in the Company’s results of operations and net income for 2021.

Proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve:

On December 27, 2020, Congress passed the COVID-Relief and Omnibus Spending Bill, which includes $75 million for the proposed establishment of a strategic U.S. Uranium Reserve (the “U.S. Uranium Reserve“) and was signed into law by the president then serving. This key funding opens the door for the U.S. government to purchase domestically produced uranium to guard against potential commercial and national security risks presented by the country’s near-total reliance on foreign imports of uranium. Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine has raised concerns about the United States’ reliance on imports of Russian uranium and enrichment services, which could provide further impetus for the U.S. government to bring this program into effect.

The Company stands ready to benefit from this program through future production from its mines and facilities and potentially sales out of its existing uranium inventories. However, because the U.S. Uranium Reserve has yet to be established at this time, the details of implementation of activities pursuant to the new law have not yet been defined. As a result, there can be no certainty as to the outcome of the U.S. Uranium Reserve, including the process for and details of its development, and any resulting support for the Company’s ongoing and planned activities or for any further evaluations of the Working Group.

Appointment of New Director:

On January 25, 2022, the Board appointed Dr. Ivy Estabrooke as a Director of Energy Fuels, bringing to the Company experience in commercial-stage biotech, research and development program leadership, and technology solutions for national security and public health challenges. Dr. Estabrooke is currently the Vice President of Operations and Corporate Affairs at IDbyDNA Inc., a venture backed commercial stage biotech company. She has led innovative research and development programs in both the public and private sectors delivering technology solutions for national security and public health challenges. Prior roles include as a technical program manager for the U.S. Department of the Navy, the executive director of the State of Utah’s technology-based economic development agency, and science advisor to the Governor of Utah. She earned her doctorate in neuroscience at Georgetown University in 2005, received a master’s degree in national resource strategy from the National Defense University in 2013, and a bachelor’s degree in biological sciences from Smith College in 1998. Dr. Estabrooke is also an engaged member in her local community, serving on the board of the Girl Scouts of Utah and as a member of the Utah District Export Council.

Operations Update and Outlook for 2022:

Overview

The Company continues to believe that uranium supply and demand fundamentals point to higher sustained uranium prices in the future. In addition, Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine and the recent entry into the uranium market by financial entities purchasing uranium on the spot market to hold for the long-term has the potential to result in higher sustained spot and term prices and, perhaps, induce utilities to enter into more long-term contracts with non-Russian producers like Energy Fuels to ensure security of supply and more certain pricing. However, the Company has not yet entered into sufficient long-term supply agreements to justify commencing uranium production at the Company’s mines and in-situ recovery (“ISR“) facilities. As a result, the Company expects to maintain uranium recovery at reduced levels until such time when sustained increased market strength is observed, additional suitable term sales contracts can be procured, or the U.S. government buys uranium from the Company following the establishment of the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve. The Company also holds significant uranium inventories and is evaluating selling all or a portion of these inventories on the spot market in response to future upside price volatility or for delivery into contracts.

The Company will also continue to seek new sources of revenue, including through its emerging REE business, as well as new sources of other uranium-bearing materials not derived from conventional material and sourced by third parties (“Alternate Feed Materials“) and new fee processing opportunities at the White Mesa Mill that can be processed under existing market conditions (i.e., without reliance on current uranium sales prices). The Company is also seeking new sources of natural monazite sands for its emerging REE business, is evaluating the potential to recover radioisotopes for use in the development of TAT medical isotopes for the treatment of cancer, and continues its support of U.S. governmental activities to assist the U.S. uranium mining industry, including the proposed establishment of the U.S. Uranium Reserve.

Extraction and Recovery Activities Overview

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company did not package any significant quantities of its final uranium product, U3O8, at any of its facilitiesAt the Mill, the Company focused on ramping up its mixed RE Carbonate production and produced approximately 120 tonnes of mixed RE Carbonate during 2021. The Company recovered small quantities of uranium at the Mill during 2021, but such uranium was retained in-circuit and was not packaged in 2021. The Company also continued to maintain its Nichols Ranch and Alta Mesa ISR facilities on standby.

During 2022, the Company plans to recover 100,000 to 120,000 pounds of uranium at the Mill. The Company does not plan to extract and/or recover any amounts of uranium of any significance from its Nichols Ranch Project in 2022, which was placed on standby in the second quarter of 2020 due to the depletion of its seven constructed wellfields. In addition, the Company expects to keep the Alta Mesa Project and its conventional mining properties on standby during 2022.

During 2022, the Company expects to recover approximately 650 to 1,000 tonnes of mixed RE Carbonate containing approximately 300 to 450 tonnes of TREO at the Mill, subject to the receipt of sufficient quantities of natural monazite ore. No vanadium production is currently planned during 2022, though the Company is currently evaluating potential vanadium production in light of recent market improvements in vanadium pricing.

ISR Activities

The Company expects to produce insignificant quantities of U3O8 in the year ending December 31, 2022 from Nichols Ranch. Until such time when market conditions improve sufficiently, suitable term sales contracts can be procured, or the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve is established, the Company expects to maintain the Nichols Ranch Project on standby and defer development of further wellfields and header houses. The Company expects to continue to keep the Alta Mesa Project on standby until such time that market conditions improve sufficiently, suitable term sales contracts can be procured, or the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve is established.

Conventional Activities

Conventional Extraction and Recovery Activities

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Mill did not package any material quantities of U3O8, focusing instead on developing its REE recovery business. During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Mill produced approximately 270 tonnes of RE Carbonate, containing approximately 120 tonnes of TREO. The Mill recovered small quantities of uranium in 2021, which were retained in circuit. During 2022, the Company expects to recover 100,000 to 120,000 pounds of uranium at the Mill. The Company expects to recover approximately 650 to 1,000 tonnes of mixed RE Carbonate containing approximately 300 to 450 tonnes of TREO at the Mill, subject to the receipt of sufficient quantities of natural monazite ore. The Company is in advanced discussions with several sources of natural monazite sands, including the Company’s existing supplier, to secure additional supplies of monazite sands, which if successful, would be expected to allow the Company to increase RE Carbonate production. In addition to its 691,000 pounds of finished uranium inventories currently located at a North American conversion facility and at the Mill, the Company has approximately 355,000 pounds of U3O8 contained in stockpiled Alternate Feed Material and mineralized material inventory at the Mill that can be recovered relatively quickly in the future, as general market conditions may warrant (totaling about 1,046,000 pounds of U3O8 of total uranium inventory).

In addition, there remains an estimated 1.0 to 3.0 million pounds of solubilized recoverable V2O5 inventory remaining in tailings solutions awaiting future recovery, as market conditions may warrant.

Conventional Standby, Permitting and Evaluation Activities

During the year ended December 31, 2021, standby and environmental compliance activities continued at the Company’s fully permitted and substantially developed Pinyon Plain Project.

The Company is selectively advancing certain permits at its other major conventional uranium projects, such as the Roca Honda Project, which is a large, high-grade conventional project in New Mexico. The Company is also continuing to maintain required permits at its conventional projects, including the Sheep Mountain Project, La Sal Complex and Whirlwind Project. In addition, the Company will continue to evaluate the Bullfrog Project. All of these projects serve as important pipeline assets for the Company’s future conventional production capabilities, as market conditions may warrant.

Uranium Sales

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company elected not to complete any sales of uranium; however, the Company is now actively engaged in pursuing selective long-term uranium sales contracts with suitable quantities, pricing, and other terms.

Vanadium Sales

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company sold 5,000 pounds of ferrovanadium (“FeV“) for an average, weighted price of $14.74 per pound. The Company expects to sell the remaining finished vanadium product when justified into the metallurgical industry, as well as other markets that demand a higher purity product, including the aerospace, chemical, and potentially the vanadium battery industries.

Rare Earth Sales

The Company commenced its ramp-up to commercial production of a mixed RE Carbonate in March 2021 and has shipped all of its RE Carbonate produced to-date to Silmet, where it is currently being fed into their separation process. All RE Carbonate produced at the Mill in 2022 is expected to be sold to Neo for separation at Silmet. Until such time as the Company expects to permit and construct its own separation circuits at the Mill, production in future years is expected to be sold to Neo for separation at Silmet and, potentially, to other REE separation facilities outside the U.S. To the extent not sold, the Company expects to stockpile mixed RE Carbonate at the Mill for future separation and other downstream REE processing at the Mill or elsewhere.

As the Company continues to ramp up its mixed RE Carbonate production and additional funds are spent on process enhancements, improving recoveries, product quality and other optimization, profits from this initiative are expected to be minimal until such time when monazite throughput rates are increased and optimized. However, even at the current throughput rates, the Company is recovering most of its direct costs of this growing initiative, with the other costs associated with ramping up production, process enhancements and evaluating future separation capabilities at the Mill being expensed as development expenditures. Throughout this process, the Company is gaining important knowledge, experience and technical information, all of which will be valuable for current and future mixed RE Carbonate production and expected future production of separated REE oxides and other advanced REE materials at the Mill.

About Energy Fuels: Energy Fuels is a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying U3O8 to major nuclear utilities. The Company also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and is ramping up to full commercial-scale production of RE Carbonate. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado near Denver, and all its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Project in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Project in Texas. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the U.S. today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year, and has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant, as well as RE Carbonate from various uranium-bearing ores. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is currently on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Alta Mesa ISR Project is also currently on standby. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest S-K 1300 and NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the U.S. and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements: This news release contains certain “Forward Looking Information” and “Forward Looking Statements” within the meaning of applicable United States and Canadian securities legislation, which may include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: production and sales forecasts; costs of production; any expectation that the Company will continue to be ready to supply uranium into the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve once it is established; scalability, and the Company’s ability and readiness to re-start, expand or deploy any of its existing projects or capacity to respond to any improvements in uranium market conditions or in response to the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve; any expectation regarding any remaining dissolved vanadium in the Mill’s tailings facility solutions or the ability of the Company to recover any such vanadium at acceptable costs or at all; the ability of the Company to secure any new sources of Alternate Feed Materials or other processing opportunities at the Mill; expected timelines for the permitting and development of projects; the Company’s expectations as to longer term fundamentals in the market and price projections; any expectation that the Company will maintain its position as a leading uranium company in the United States; any expectation that the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve will be implemented and if implemented the manner in which it will be implemented and the timing of implementation; any expectation with respect to timelines to production; any expectation that the Mill will be successful in producing RE Carbonate on a full-scale commercial basis; any expectation that Neo will be successful in separating the Mill’s RE Carbonate on a commercial basis; any expectation that Energy Fuels will be successful in developing U.S. separation, or other value-added U.S. REE production capabilities at the Mill, or otherwise; any expectation that the Company and Neo will be successful in jointly developing a fully integrated U.S.-European REE supply chain; any expectation that the Company will be successful in building a low-cost, fully integrated U.S. rare earth supply chain; any expectation with respect to the future demand for REEs; any expectation with respect to the quantities of monazite sands to be acquired by Energy Fuels, the quantities of RE Carbonate to be produced by the Mill or the quantities of contained TREO in the Mill’s RE Carbonate; any expectation that additional supplies of monazite sands will result in sufficient throughput at the Mill to reduce underutilized capacity production costs and allow the Company to realize its expected margins on a continuous basis; any expectation that the Company’s strategic venture with NSP to develop technology for the production of REE metals will be successful or that the technology has the potential to reduce the costs of production, energy consumption, or greenhouse gas emissions versus existing technologies; any expectation that IperionX’s Titan Project in Tennessee will be developed and mined, or that the Company will receive any monazite sands from the project; any expectation that the Company’s evaluation of thorium and radium recovery at the Mill will be successful; any expectation that the potential recovery of medical isotopes from any thorium and radium recovered at the Mill will be feasible; any expectation that any thorium, radium and other isotopes can be recovered at the Mill and sold on a commercial basis; any expectation as to the value to the Company of its ownership interest in CUR resulting from its sale of certain non-core assets in 2021; any expectation that the Company will be successful in completing one or more contracts for the sale of uranium to U.S. utilities; and any expectation that the Company will generate net income in future periods. Generally, these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans,” “expects,” “does not expect,” “is expected,” “is likely,” “budgets,” “scheduled,” “estimates,” “forecasts,” “intends,” “anticipates,” “does not anticipate,” or “believes,” or variations of such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results “may,” “could,” “would,” “might” or “will be taken,” “occur,” “be achieved” or “have the potential to.” All statements, other than statements of historical fact, herein are considered to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements express or implied by the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements include risks associated with: commodity prices and price fluctuations; processing and mining difficulties, upsets and delays; permitting and licensing requirements and delays; changes to regulatory requirements; legal challenges; the availability of sources of Alternate Feed Materials and other feed sources for the Mill; competition from other producers; public opinion; government and political actions; the appropriations for the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve not being allocated to that program and the U.S. Uranium Reserve not being implemented; the manner in which the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve, if established, will be implemented; the Company not being successful in selling any uranium into the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve at acceptable quantities or prices, or at all; available supplies of monazite sands; the ability of the Mill to produce RE Carbonate to meet commercial specifications on a commercial scale at acceptable costs; the ability of Neo to separate the RE Carbonate produced by the Mill to meet commercial specifications on a commercial scale at acceptable costs; market factors, including future demand for REEs; the ability of the Mill to be able to separate thorium and radium at reasonable costs or at all; the ability of the Company and RadTran to be able to recover other isotopes from thorium and radium recovered at the Mill at reasonable costs or at all; market prices and demand for medical isotopes; and the other factors described under the caption “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K, which is available for review on EDGAR at www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml, on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, and on the Company’s website at www.energyfuels.com. Forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date of this news release, and the Company disclaims, other than as required by law, any obligation to update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, results, future events, circumstances, or if management’s estimates or opinions should change, or otherwise. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, the reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The Company assumes no obligation to update the information in this communication, except as otherwise required by law.

SOURCE Energy Fuels Inc.

Energy Fuels Announces 2021 Results, Including Net Profits, Strong Cash Position, and Market-Leading U.S. Uranium, Rare Earth and Vanadium Position

 


 


Energy Fuels Announces 2021 Results, Including Net Profits, Strong Cash Position, and Market-Leading U.S. Uranium, Rare Earth and Vanadium Position

Research, News, and Market Data on Energy Fuels

 

LAKEWOOD, Colo.March 15, 2022 /CNW/ – Energy Fuels Inc. (NYSE American: UUUU) (TSX: EFR) (“Energy Fuels” or the “Company”) today reported its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2021. The Company’s annual report on Form 10-K has been filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC“) and may be viewed on the Electronic Document Gathering and Retrieval System (“EDGAR“) at www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml, on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (“SEDAR“) at www.sedar.com, and on the Company’s website at www.energyfuels.com. Unless noted otherwise, all dollar amounts are in U.S. dollars.

Highlights:

  • Energy Fuels reported a net income of $1.5 million for 2021.
  • At December 31, 2021, the Company had a robust balance sheet with $143.2 million of working capital, including $113.0 million of cash and marketable securities, $30.8 million of inventory, and no short term (or long term) debt. At current commodity prices, the Company’s December 31, 2021 product inventory would have a value of approximately $60.6 million.
  • During 2021, prices for all the commodities Energy Fuels produces, or has the ability to produce, rose significantly. Uranium oxide (“U3O8“) prices increased approximately 38%, neodymium-praseodymium oxide (“NdPr“) prices increased approximately 112%, and vanadium oxide (“V2O5“) prices increased approximately 62%. Prices for each of these commodities have continued to show significant strength to date in 2022. The Company continues to closely follow developments related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as Russia is a major supplier of uranium and nuclear fuel to U.S. and European customers. Prices of uranium have risen sharply in recent days.
  • While the Company chose to not sell any uranium during 2021, it is now actively engaged in pursuing selective long-term uranium sales contracts.
  • The Company produced approximately 270 metric tonnes of mixed rare earth element (“REE“) carbonate (“RE Carbonate“), containing 120 metric tonnes of total rare earth oxides (“TREO“) during 2021, as it commenced ramping up its REE recovery infrastructure. Energy Fuels’ RE Carbonate is the most advanced REE material being produced in the U.S. today.
  • The Company is currently in active discussions with several sources of natural monazite sands around the world to significantly increase the supply of feed for its growing REE initiative.
  • During Q1-2022, the Company began commercially separating Lanthanum (La) and Cerium (Ce) on a small scale from its RE Carbonate, using an existing solvent extraction circuit at the Mill. This represents the first commercial level REE separation to occur in the U.S. in many years.
  • The Company is planning to install a full separation circuit at its White Mesa Mill (the “Mill“) to produce both “light” and “heavy” separated REE oxides in the coming years, subject to successful licensing, financing, and commissioning, and continued strong market conditions. The Company has hired Carester SAS (“Carester“), a global leader in producing separated REE oxides, to support these REE separation initiatives.
  • On December 15, 2021, the Company announced a strategic venture with Nanoscale Powders LLC (“NSP“) for the development of a novel technology that would potentially produce REE metals. The technology has the potential to reduce the costs of production, energy consumption, and greenhouse gas emissions versus existing technologies.
  • In 2021, the Company sold small quantities of its existing V2O5 inventory to capitalize on recent market strength. The Company expects to continue to sell vanadium as prices increase and is evaluating the potential to resume vanadium recovery at the Mill, where its tailings pond solutions contain an estimated additional 1.0 to 3.0 million recoverable pounds of V2O5.
  • In July 2021, the Company announced the execution of a Strategic Alliance Agreement with RadTran, LLC to evaluate the potential recovery of thorium and radium from the Company’s existing RE Carbonate and uranium process streams for use in the production of medical isotopes for emerging targeted alpha therapy (“TAT“) cancer therapeutics. This initiative complements the Company’s existing uranium and RE Carbonate businesses, as it investigates the potential recovery of isotopes in existing process streams at the Mill for medical purposes.
  • In September 2021, the Company announced its establishment of the San Juan County Clean Energy Foundation (the “Foundation“), a fund specifically designed to contribute to the communities surrounding the Mill in southeastern Utah by providing funding to support local economic development and local priorities.
  • In October 2021, the Company completed the sale of certain, permitted non-core conventional uranium assets to Consolidated Uranium Inc. (“CUR”), including the Daneros mine, the Tony M mine, and the Rim mine. The Company reported a gain on the value of this transaction of $35.7 million, resulting in a significant improvement in the Company’s results of operations and net income for 2021.
  • On January 25, 2022, the Board appointed Dr. Ivy Estabrooke as a Director of Energy Fuels, bringing to the Company experience in commercial-stage biotech, research and development program leadership, and technology solutions for national security and public health challenges.

Mark S. Chalmers, Energy Fuels’ President and CEO, stated:

“In 2021, we believe Energy Fuels further strengthened its position as America’s leading multi-commodity, critical mineral company, as we made excellent progress on our uranium, REEs, vanadium and medical isotope initiatives. We are deploying our ‘one-of-a-kind’ licenses, facilities, and expertise to responsibly recover the critical elements needed for carbon-free nuclear energy, electric vehicle powertrains, wind generation, advanced electronics, grid-scale batteries, other clean energy and advanced technologies, and potentially cancer therapeutics.

“We are particularly proud of our accomplishments in REEs. We announced our entry into the REE business less than two years ago, and today we are ramping up our production of commercial quantities of RE Carbonate, which is a more advanced REE material than any other U.S. company is producing, as we are chemically recovering the REEs in a high-purity material that is ready for REE separation. We are also moving toward licensing and installing the infrastructure needed to produce separated REE oxides on a full commercial scale in the coming years. The proven processing technology for producing separated REE oxides is solvent extraction, or ‘SX,’ and our White Mesa Mill has over 40 years of experience producing uranium and vanadium using SX. With the support of Carester, a leading global consultant in the production of separated REE products, we believe it is a logical ‘next step’ for Energy Fuels to produce separated REE oxides on a full commercial scale at the Mill. We have already successfully performed La, Ce, and NdPr separations at pilot scale in the Mill’s lab over the past several months, and we recently began ramping up our commercial separation of La and Ce from our RE Carbonate on a small scale using an existing SX circuit at the Mill. Our primary REE focuses in 2022 will be building our supply of monazite ore, designing and licensing a new full commercial scale REE separation circuit at the Mill, and advancing our innovative REE metal initiative with NSP.

“With the recent events in Ukraine, security of supply in the U.S. for uranium is crucial. Energy Fuels continues to be the leading low-cost U.S. uranium producer with more production facilities and capacity than any other U.S. company, and we stand ready to be a reliable, large-scale supplier to U.S. nuclear utilities. We are seeing an increase in utility interest for long-term contracts. We are pursuing uranium sales contracts with pricing and terms that return acceptable project margins and maintain exposure to further uranium market upside.

“Vanadium prices are rising, as well. In 2019, we built a significant inventory of vanadium to sell into the abrupt upside price volatility that vanadium markets often experience, most recently in late 2018. The next upward cycle may have begun, as prices have risen sharply in the first months of 2022, and we are selling some of our inventory. As we sell, we will evaluate the potential to resume production from the Mill’s pond solutions or our conventional deposits to replace our sold inventory. We estimate our pond solutions alone contain another 1.0 to 3.0 million pounds of recoverable V2O5 and would be first and lowest cost to market.

“A few words on our medical isotope initiative. This is another area where we are able to deploy our unique facilities, licenses, and expertise to potentially help create a domestic supply chain for emerging cancer therapies. Recovering radioisotopes for use in cancer treatments from our existing process streams, thereby recycling valuable material that would otherwise be lost to direct disposal, would, if successful, be a great way to maximally use all of our feeds. And we would be accomplishing this in a way that is environmentally beneficial and highly congruent with Energy Fuels’ recycling and sustainability goals.

“We are also very pleased to announce that, on January 25, 2022 Dr. Ivy Estabrooke was appointed to the Board of Energy Fuels. Dr. Estabrooke brings to the Company an impressive background that is highly pertinent, not only to our new REE and TAT cancer therapeutics initiatives, but also to our core uranium business, which is of the utmost importance to national security at this time.”

Webcast at 1:00 pm EDT on March 17, 2022:

Energy Fuels will be hosting a video webcast on March 17, 2022 at 1:00 pm EDT (11:00 am MDT) to discuss its FY-2021 financial results, the outlook for 2022, uranium, rare earths, vanadium, and medical isotopes. To join the webcast and access the presentation and viewer-controlled webcast slides, please click on the link below:

Webcast Link

If you would like to participate in the webcast and ask questions, please dial in to 1-888-664-6392 (toll free in the U.S. and Canada).

A link to a recorded version of the proceedings will be available on the Company’s website shortly after the webcast by calling 1-888-390-0541 (toll free in the U.S. and Canada) and by entering the code 179864#. The recording will be available until March 31, 2022.

Selected Summary Financial Information:





$000’s, except per share data

Year ended
December 31, 2021

Year ended
December 31, 2020

Year ended
December 31, 2019

Total revenues

$

3,184

$

1,658

$

5,865

Gross profit (loss)

1,370

14

(12,433)

Operating profit (loss)

(35,425)

(24,627)

(40,581)

Net income (loss) attributable to the company

1,541

(27,776)

(37,978)

Basic and diluted net income (loss) per common share

0.01

(0.23)

(0.40)

 




$000’s

As at December 31,
2021

As at December 31,
2020

Financial Position:



Working capital

$

143,190

$

40,158

Property, plant and equipment, net

21,983

23,621

Mineral properties, net

83,539

83,539

Total assets

315,446

183,236

Total long-term liabilities

13,805

13,376

Financial Discussion:

At December 31, 2021, the Company had $143.2 million of working capital, including $113.0 million of cash and marketable securities and $30.8 million of inventory, including approximately 691,000 pounds of uranium and 1,650,000 pounds of vanadium, both in the form of immediately marketable product. The spot price of U3O8 at March 11, 2022 was $58.50 per pound, according to TradeTech (up from $42.00 per pound at December 31, 2021. The current mid-point spot price of V2O5 at March 11, 2022 was $12.25 per pound after remaining relatively flat near the 2021 year-end, according to FastMarkets. Based on today’s spot prices, the Company’s December 31, 2021 uranium and vanadium inventories would have a current market value of $40.4 million and $20.2 million, respectively, totaling approximately $60.6 million. On October 27, 2021, the Company completed the sale of certain non-core conventional assets to CUR. In addition to receiving $2 million cash at closing, the Company now holds 19.1% of the outstanding shares of CUR as of December 31, 2021, for a total value to the Company of $32.2 million as at December 31, 2021.

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company realized net income of $1.5 million, compared to a net loss of $27.9 for the year ended December 31, 2020. The net income in 2021 was primarily due to the sale of non-core conventional uranium assets to CUR. The Company spent $10.75 million for development of the Company’s properties, primarily due to the development and ramping up of the RE Carbonate production program at the Mill. The Company also incurred underutilized capacity production costs applicable to rare earth concentrates during the year of $0.53 million. The underutilized capacity production costs are due to low throughput rates as the Mill ramps-up to commercial-scale production at full capacity. To date, the Mill has focused on producing commercially salable RE Carbonate at low throughput rates and has been very pleased with the resulting product it is shipping for separation. The Mill expects to increase its throughput rates as its supplies of monazite sands increase. The Company is in advanced discussions with several additional sources of monazite sands that, if successfully secured, we expect to result in sufficient throughput to reduce underutilized capacity production costs and allow the Company to realize its expected margins on a continuous basis.

Rare Earth Achievements in 2021 and To Date in 2022:

On March 1, 2021, the Company and Neo Performance Materials Limited (“Neo“) announced a new rare earth production initiative spanning European and North American critical material supply chains. Under an agreement in principle signed on March 1, 2021 and finalized into a definitive agreement in July 2022, Energy Fuels will process natural monazite sands, currently being mined in the state of Georgia by The Chemours Company, into an RE Carbonate at the Mill and ship a portion of the produced RE Carbonate to Neo’s rare earth separations facility in Sillamäe, Estonia (“Silmet“). Silmet will then process the RE Carbonate into separated rare earth materials for use in rare earth permanent magnets and other rare earth-based advanced materials.

On July 7, 2021, the Company announced that the first container (approximately 20 tonnes of product) of an expected 15 containers of mixed RE Carbonate had been successfully produced by Energy Fuels at the Mill and was en route to Silmet. This commercial-scale production of RE Carbonate by Energy Fuels from a U.S. mined rare earth resource positions Energy Fuels as the only company in North America that currently produces a monazite-derived, enhanced rare earth material. The physical delivery of this product also represents the launch of a new, environmentally responsible rare earth supply chain that allows for source validation and tracking from mining through to final end-use applications for manufacturers in North AmericaEuropeJapan, and other nations.

The Company also announced on March 1, 2021 that, in addition to supplying RE Carbonate to Neo, Energy Fuels is evaluating the potential to develop U.S. separation capabilities at the Mill, or nearby, as it works to increase its monazite sand supplies, thereby fully integrating a U.S. rare earth supply chain in the coming years, in addition to supplying RE Carbonate to European markets. On April 27, 2021, the Company announced it had engaged Carester to prepare a scoping study for the development of a solvent extraction REE separation circuit at the Mill utilizing the Mill’s existing equipment and infrastructure to the extent applicable, to create a continuous, integrated and optimized rare earth production sequence. Based in Lyon, France, Carester is one of the world’s leading global consultants on rare earth supply chains, with expertise in designing, constructing, operating and optimizing REE production facilities globally. Carester’s scoping work included an evaluation of the Mill’s current monazite leaching process, preparation of an REE separation flow sheet, capital and operating expense estimates, incorporation of new technologies where applicable, and recommendations on equipment vendors. The Company is planning to install a full separation circuit at its White Mesa Mill to produce both “light” and “heavy” separated REE oxides in the coming years, subject to successful licensing, financing, and commissioning, and continued strong market conditions. The Company has hired Carester to perform a second scoping study to support these REE separation initiatives.

During Q1-2022, the Company began commercially separating La and Ce from its RE Carbonate on a small scale using an existing solvent extraction circuit at the Mill. This represents the first commercial level REE separation to occur in the U.S. in many years. The Company has been performing laboratory-scale REE separations for the last several months on a 24/7 basis, successfully executing the La, Ce, and NdPr separations at high-purities and with excellent recoveries.

On December 15, 2021, the Company announced the execution of an MOU with NSP for the development of a novel technology for the potential production of REE metals, subject to the finalization of definitive agreements. We believe this technology, which was initially developed by NSP, and will be advanced by the Company and NSP working together, has the potential to revolutionize the rare earth metal making industry by reducing costs of production, reducing energy consumption, and significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Producing REE metals and alloys is a key step in a fully integrated REE supply chain, after production of separated REE oxides and before the manufacture of neodymium iron boron (“NdFeB“) magnets used in electric vehicles, wind generation and other clean energy and advanced technologies.

In addition, during 2022, the Company announced the execution of a non-binding memorandum of understanding (“MOU“) for the supply of natural monazite sands from IperionX Limited’s (“IperionX’s“, formerly known as Hyperion Metals Limited) Titan Project in Tennessee, if and when the project is developed and mined. IperionX’s Titan Project covers a large area of heavy mineral sands properties in Tennessee prospective for titanium, zircon, monazite and other valuable minerals such as high-grade silica sand and other refractory minerals.

In 2021, the Company also announced that the U.S. Department of Energy (“DOE“) Office of Fossil Energy and National Energy Technology Laboratory had exercised its option to award Energy Fuels, working with a team from Penn State University, an additional $1.75 million to complete a feasibility study on the production of REE products from natural coal-based resources, as well as from other materials such as REE-containing ores like the natural monazite sands the Company is currently processing at the Mill. This award follows the DOE providing Energy Fuels a $150,000 contract in 2020 for the successful completion of a conceptual design for the same initiative, resulting in a total award to Energy Fuels of $1.9 million.

Update on Medical Isotope Initiative:

On July 28, 2021, the Company announced the execution of a Strategic Alliance Agreement with RadTran, LLC, a technology development company focused on closing critical gaps in the procurement of medical isotopes for emerging TAT cancer therapeutics and other applications. Under this strategic alliance, the Company is evaluating the feasibility of recovering Th-232, and Ra-226 from its existing RE Carbonate and uranium process streams at the Mill and, together with RadTran, is evaluating the feasibility of recovering Ra-228 from the Th-232, Th-228 from the Ra-228 and concentrating Ra-226 at the Mill using RadTran technologies. Recovered Ra-228, Th-228 and Ra-226 would then be sold to pharmaceutical companies and others to produce Pb-212, Ac-225, Bi-213, Ra-224 and Ra-223, which are the leading medically attractive TAT isotopes for the treatment of cancer. Existing supplies of these isotopes for TAT applications are in short supply, and methods of production are costly and currently cannot be scaled to meet the demand created as new drugs are developed and approved. This is a major roadblock in the research and development of new TAT drugs as pharmaceutical companies wait for scalable and affordable production technologies to become available. Under this initiative, the Company has the potential to recover valuable isotopes from its existing process streams, therefore recycling back into the market material that would otherwise be lost to disposal for use in treating cancer.

Establishment of San Juan County Clean Energy Foundation:

On September 16, 2021, the Company announced its establishment of the San Juan County Clean Energy Foundation, a fund specifically designed to contribute to the communities surrounding the Mill in Southeastern, Utah. The Company made an initial deposit of $1 million into the Foundation and anticipates providing ongoing annual funding equal to 1% of the Mill’s future revenues, providing funding to support local economic development and local priorities. The Foundation will focus on supporting education, the environment, health/wellness, and local economic development in the City of BlandingSan Juan County, the White Mesa Ute Community, the Navajo Nation and other area communities.

Sale of Non-Core Assets to Consolidated Uranium Inc.:

On October 27, 2021, CUR and the Company jointly announced the closing of a transaction whereby CUR acquired a portfolio of Energy Fuels’ non-core conventional uranium projects located in Utah and Colorado, including the Daneros mine, the Tony M mine (formerly a part of the Henry Mountains Project), the Rim mine, the Sage Plain project, and several DOE leases located in Colorado, in consideration for a 19.9% share ownership interest in CUR (as of the 2021 year-end, 19.1%) and other consideration. The Company reported a gain on the value of this transaction of $35.7 million, resulting in a significant improvement in the Company’s results of operations and net income for 2021.

Proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve:

On December 27, 2020, Congress passed the COVID-Relief and Omnibus Spending Bill, which includes $75 million for the proposed establishment of a strategic U.S. Uranium Reserve (the “U.S. Uranium Reserve“) and was signed into law by the president then serving. This key funding opens the door for the U.S. government to purchase domestically produced uranium to guard against potential commercial and national security risks presented by the country’s near-total reliance on foreign imports of uranium. Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine has raised concerns about the United States’ reliance on imports of Russian uranium and enrichment services, which could provide further impetus for the U.S. government to bring this program into effect.

The Company stands ready to benefit from this program through future production from its mines and facilities and potentially sales out of its existing uranium inventories. However, because the U.S. Uranium Reserve has yet to be established at this time, the details of implementation of activities pursuant to the new law have not yet been defined. As a result, there can be no certainty as to the outcome of the U.S. Uranium Reserve, including the process for and details of its development, and any resulting support for the Company’s ongoing and planned activities or for any further evaluations of the Working Group.

Appointment of New Director:

On January 25, 2022, the Board appointed Dr. Ivy Estabrooke as a Director of Energy Fuels, bringing to the Company experience in commercial-stage biotech, research and development program leadership, and technology solutions for national security and public health challenges. Dr. Estabrooke is currently the Vice President of Operations and Corporate Affairs at IDbyDNA Inc., a venture backed commercial stage biotech company. She has led innovative research and development programs in both the public and private sectors delivering technology solutions for national security and public health challenges. Prior roles include as a technical program manager for the U.S. Department of the Navy, the executive director of the State of Utah’s technology-based economic development agency, and science advisor to the Governor of Utah. She earned her doctorate in neuroscience at Georgetown University in 2005, received a master’s degree in national resource strategy from the National Defense University in 2013, and a bachelor’s degree in biological sciences from Smith College in 1998. Dr. Estabrooke is also an engaged member in her local community, serving on the board of the Girl Scouts of Utah and as a member of the Utah District Export Council.

Operations Update and Outlook for 2022:

Overview

The Company continues to believe that uranium supply and demand fundamentals point to higher sustained uranium prices in the future. In addition, Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine and the recent entry into the uranium market by financial entities purchasing uranium on the spot market to hold for the long-term has the potential to result in higher sustained spot and term prices and, perhaps, induce utilities to enter into more long-term contracts with non-Russian producers like Energy Fuels to ensure security of supply and more certain pricing. However, the Company has not yet entered into sufficient long-term supply agreements to justify commencing uranium production at the Company’s mines and in-situ recovery (“ISR“) facilities. As a result, the Company expects to maintain uranium recovery at reduced levels until such time when sustained increased market strength is observed, additional suitable term sales contracts can be procured, or the U.S. government buys uranium from the Company following the establishment of the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve. The Company also holds significant uranium inventories and is evaluating selling all or a portion of these inventories on the spot market in response to future upside price volatility or for delivery into contracts.

The Company will also continue to seek new sources of revenue, including through its emerging REE business, as well as new sources of other uranium-bearing materials not derived from conventional material and sourced by third parties (“Alternate Feed Materials“) and new fee processing opportunities at the White Mesa Mill that can be processed under existing market conditions (i.e., without reliance on current uranium sales prices). The Company is also seeking new sources of natural monazite sands for its emerging REE business, is evaluating the potential to recover radioisotopes for use in the development of TAT medical isotopes for the treatment of cancer, and continues its support of U.S. governmental activities to assist the U.S. uranium mining industry, including the proposed establishment of the U.S. Uranium Reserve.

Extraction and Recovery Activities Overview

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company did not package any significant quantities of its final uranium product, U3O8, at any of its facilitiesAt the Mill, the Company focused on ramping up its mixed RE Carbonate production and produced approximately 120 tonnes of mixed RE Carbonate during 2021. The Company recovered small quantities of uranium at the Mill during 2021, but such uranium was retained in-circuit and was not packaged in 2021. The Company also continued to maintain its Nichols Ranch and Alta Mesa ISR facilities on standby.

During 2022, the Company plans to recover 100,000 to 120,000 pounds of uranium at the Mill. The Company does not plan to extract and/or recover any amounts of uranium of any significance from its Nichols Ranch Project in 2022, which was placed on standby in the second quarter of 2020 due to the depletion of its seven constructed wellfields. In addition, the Company expects to keep the Alta Mesa Project and its conventional mining properties on standby during 2022.

During 2022, the Company expects to recover approximately 650 to 1,000 tonnes of mixed RE Carbonate containing approximately 300 to 450 tonnes of TREO at the Mill, subject to the receipt of sufficient quantities of natural monazite ore. No vanadium production is currently planned during 2022, though the Company is currently evaluating potential vanadium production in light of recent market improvements in vanadium pricing.

ISR Activities

The Company expects to produce insignificant quantities of U3O8 in the year ending December 31, 2022 from Nichols Ranch. Until such time when market conditions improve sufficiently, suitable term sales contracts can be procured, or the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve is established, the Company expects to maintain the Nichols Ranch Project on standby and defer development of further wellfields and header houses. The Company expects to continue to keep the Alta Mesa Project on standby until such time that market conditions improve sufficiently, suitable term sales contracts can be procured, or the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve is established.

Conventional Activities

Conventional Extraction and Recovery Activities

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Mill did not package any material quantities of U3O8, focusing instead on developing its REE recovery business. During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Mill produced approximately 270 tonnes of RE Carbonate, containing approximately 120 tonnes of TREO. The Mill recovered small quantities of uranium in 2021, which were retained in circuit. During 2022, the Company expects to recover 100,000 to 120,000 pounds of uranium at the Mill. The Company expects to recover approximately 650 to 1,000 tonnes of mixed RE Carbonate containing approximately 300 to 450 tonnes of TREO at the Mill, subject to the receipt of sufficient quantities of natural monazite ore. The Company is in advanced discussions with several sources of natural monazite sands, including the Company’s existing supplier, to secure additional supplies of monazite sands, which if successful, would be expected to allow the Company to increase RE Carbonate production. In addition to its 691,000 pounds of finished uranium inventories currently located at a North American conversion facility and at the Mill, the Company has approximately 355,000 pounds of U3O8 contained in stockpiled Alternate Feed Material and mineralized material inventory at the Mill that can be recovered relatively quickly in the future, as general market conditions may warrant (totaling about 1,046,000 pounds of U3O8 of total uranium inventory).

In addition, there remains an estimated 1.0 to 3.0 million pounds of solubilized recoverable V2O5 inventory remaining in tailings solutions awaiting future recovery, as market conditions may warrant.

Conventional Standby, Permitting and Evaluation Activities

During the year ended December 31, 2021, standby and environmental compliance activities continued at the Company’s fully permitted and substantially developed Pinyon Plain Project.

The Company is selectively advancing certain permits at its other major conventional uranium projects, such as the Roca Honda Project, which is a large, high-grade conventional project in New Mexico. The Company is also continuing to maintain required permits at its conventional projects, including the Sheep Mountain Project, La Sal Complex and Whirlwind Project. In addition, the Company will continue to evaluate the Bullfrog Project. All of these projects serve as important pipeline assets for the Company’s future conventional production capabilities, as market conditions may warrant.

Uranium Sales

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company elected not to complete any sales of uranium; however, the Company is now actively engaged in pursuing selective long-term uranium sales contracts with suitable quantities, pricing, and other terms.

Vanadium Sales

During the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company sold 5,000 pounds of ferrovanadium (“FeV“) for an average, weighted price of $14.74 per pound. The Company expects to sell the remaining finished vanadium product when justified into the metallurgical industry, as well as other markets that demand a higher purity product, including the aerospace, chemical, and potentially the vanadium battery industries.

Rare Earth Sales

The Company commenced its ramp-up to commercial production of a mixed RE Carbonate in March 2021 and has shipped all of its RE Carbonate produced to-date to Silmet, where it is currently being fed into their separation process. All RE Carbonate produced at the Mill in 2022 is expected to be sold to Neo for separation at Silmet. Until such time as the Company expects to permit and construct its own separation circuits at the Mill, production in future years is expected to be sold to Neo for separation at Silmet and, potentially, to other REE separation facilities outside the U.S. To the extent not sold, the Company expects to stockpile mixed RE Carbonate at the Mill for future separation and other downstream REE processing at the Mill or elsewhere.

As the Company continues to ramp up its mixed RE Carbonate production and additional funds are spent on process enhancements, improving recoveries, product quality and other optimization, profits from this initiative are expected to be minimal until such time when monazite throughput rates are increased and optimized. However, even at the current throughput rates, the Company is recovering most of its direct costs of this growing initiative, with the other costs associated with ramping up production, process enhancements and evaluating future separation capabilities at the Mill being expensed as development expenditures. Throughout this process, the Company is gaining important knowledge, experience and technical information, all of which will be valuable for current and future mixed RE Carbonate production and expected future production of separated REE oxides and other advanced REE materials at the Mill.

About Energy Fuels: Energy Fuels is a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying U3O8 to major nuclear utilities. The Company also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and is ramping up to full commercial-scale production of RE Carbonate. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado near Denver, and all its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Project in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Project in Texas. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the U.S. today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year, and has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant, as well as RE Carbonate from various uranium-bearing ores. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is currently on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Alta Mesa ISR Project is also currently on standby. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest S-K 1300 and NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the U.S. and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements: This news release contains certain “Forward Looking Information” and “Forward Looking Statements” within the meaning of applicable United States and Canadian securities legislation, which may include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: production and sales forecasts; costs of production; any expectation that the Company will continue to be ready to supply uranium into the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve once it is established; scalability, and the Company’s ability and readiness to re-start, expand or deploy any of its existing projects or capacity to respond to any improvements in uranium market conditions or in response to the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve; any expectation regarding any remaining dissolved vanadium in the Mill’s tailings facility solutions or the ability of the Company to recover any such vanadium at acceptable costs or at all; the ability of the Company to secure any new sources of Alternate Feed Materials or other processing opportunities at the Mill; expected timelines for the permitting and development of projects; the Company’s expectations as to longer term fundamentals in the market and price projections; any expectation that the Company will maintain its position as a leading uranium company in the United States; any expectation that the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve will be implemented and if implemented the manner in which it will be implemented and the timing of implementation; any expectation with respect to timelines to production; any expectation that the Mill will be successful in producing RE Carbonate on a full-scale commercial basis; any expectation that Neo will be successful in separating the Mill’s RE Carbonate on a commercial basis; any expectation that Energy Fuels will be successful in developing U.S. separation, or other value-added U.S. REE production capabilities at the Mill, or otherwise; any expectation that the Company and Neo will be successful in jointly developing a fully integrated U.S.-European REE supply chain; any expectation that the Company will be successful in building a low-cost, fully integrated U.S. rare earth supply chain; any expectation with respect to the future demand for REEs; any expectation with respect to the quantities of monazite sands to be acquired by Energy Fuels, the quantities of RE Carbonate to be produced by the Mill or the quantities of contained TREO in the Mill’s RE Carbonate; any expectation that additional supplies of monazite sands will result in sufficient throughput at the Mill to reduce underutilized capacity production costs and allow the Company to realize its expected margins on a continuous basis; any expectation that the Company’s strategic venture with NSP to develop technology for the production of REE metals will be successful or that the technology has the potential to reduce the costs of production, energy consumption, or greenhouse gas emissions versus existing technologies; any expectation that IperionX’s Titan Project in Tennessee will be developed and mined, or that the Company will receive any monazite sands from the project; any expectation that the Company’s evaluation of thorium and radium recovery at the Mill will be successful; any expectation that the potential recovery of medical isotopes from any thorium and radium recovered at the Mill will be feasible; any expectation that any thorium, radium and other isotopes can be recovered at the Mill and sold on a commercial basis; any expectation as to the value to the Company of its ownership interest in CUR resulting from its sale of certain non-core assets in 2021; any expectation that the Company will be successful in completing one or more contracts for the sale of uranium to U.S. utilities; and any expectation that the Company will generate net income in future periods. Generally, these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans,” “expects,” “does not expect,” “is expected,” “is likely,” “budgets,” “scheduled,” “estimates,” “forecasts,” “intends,” “anticipates,” “does not anticipate,” or “believes,” or variations of such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results “may,” “could,” “would,” “might” or “will be taken,” “occur,” “be achieved” or “have the potential to.” All statements, other than statements of historical fact, herein are considered to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements express or implied by the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements include risks associated with: commodity prices and price fluctuations; processing and mining difficulties, upsets and delays; permitting and licensing requirements and delays; changes to regulatory requirements; legal challenges; the availability of sources of Alternate Feed Materials and other feed sources for the Mill; competition from other producers; public opinion; government and political actions; the appropriations for the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve not being allocated to that program and the U.S. Uranium Reserve not being implemented; the manner in which the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve, if established, will be implemented; the Company not being successful in selling any uranium into the proposed U.S. Uranium Reserve at acceptable quantities or prices, or at all; available supplies of monazite sands; the ability of the Mill to produce RE Carbonate to meet commercial specifications on a commercial scale at acceptable costs; the ability of Neo to separate the RE Carbonate produced by the Mill to meet commercial specifications on a commercial scale at acceptable costs; market factors, including future demand for REEs; the ability of the Mill to be able to separate thorium and radium at reasonable costs or at all; the ability of the Company and RadTran to be able to recover other isotopes from thorium and radium recovered at the Mill at reasonable costs or at all; market prices and demand for medical isotopes; and the other factors described under the caption “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K, which is available for review on EDGAR at www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml, on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, and on the Company’s website at www.energyfuels.com. Forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date of this news release, and the Company disclaims, other than as required by law, any obligation to update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, results, future events, circumstances, or if management’s estimates or opinions should change, or otherwise. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, the reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The Company assumes no obligation to update the information in this communication, except as otherwise required by law.

SOURCE Energy Fuels Inc.

InPlay Oil Corp. Announces Record Setting 2021 Financial, Operating and Reserves Results



InPlay Oil Corp. Announces Record Setting 2021 Financial, Operating and Reserves Results

News and Market Data on InPlay Oil Corp

 

CALGARY, Alberta, March 16, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) (“InPlay” or the “Company”) announces its record setting financial and operating results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2021, and the results of its independent oil and gas reserves evaluation effective December 31, 2021 (the “Reserve Report”) prepared by Sproule Associates Limited (“Sproule”). InPlay’s audited annual financial statements and notes, as well as Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) for the year ended December 31, 2021 will be available at “www.sedar.com” and our website at “www.inplayoil.com”.

2021 Highlights:

  • Completed the acquisition of Prairie Storm Resources Corp. on November 30, 2022 at attractive transaction metrics which enhances InPlay’s position as a sizable producer and acreage holder with a deep and highly economic drilling inventory in the light oil window of Central Alberta’s Cardium fairway.
  • Achieved record average annual production of 5,768 boe/d(1) (65% light crude oil and NGLs), an increase of 45% from 2020 at 3,985 boe/d(1) (68% light crude oil and NGLs) and an increase of 15% compared to pre-COVID levels of 5,000 boe/d(1) (66% light crude oil and NGLs) in 2019. Annual average production per weighted average basic share increased 31% compared to 2020.
  • Generated record annual adjusted funds flow (“AFF”)(2) of $47.0 million ($0.67 per weighted average basic share(3)), an increase of 532% compared to $7.4 million ($0.11 per weighted average basic share) in 2020 and an increase of 45% compared to $32.5 million ($0.48 per weighted average basic share) in 2019, our prior record year. Excluding the impact of realized hedging losses, AFF for 2021 would have been $59.9 million.
  • Increased operating netbacks(4) by 203% to $34.63/boe from $11.45/boe in 2020 and 52% from $22.75/boe in 2019.
  • Realized annual record operating income(4) and operating income profit margin(4) of $72.9 million and 64% respectively compared to $16.7 million and 40% in 2020; $41.5 million and 55% in 2019.
  • Reduced operating expenses to an annual record $12.83/boe compared to $14.43/boe in 2020 and $14.36/boe in 2019, despite rising costs of services in the industry.
  • Generated annual free adjusted funds flow (“FAFF”)(4) of $13.6 million.
  • Lowered annual net debt(2) to earnings before interest, taxes and depletion (“EBITDA”)(4) ratio to 1.5, compared to 6.7 in 2020 and 1.6 in 2019. Fourth quarter 2021 annualized net debt to EBITDA ratio was 1.1 compared to 4.0 in 2020 and 1.6 in 2019 achieving the lowest leverage ratios in our corporate history.
  • Achieved significant growth in reserves and reserves per weighted average basic share:
    • Proved developed producing (“PDP”) reserves increased 64% (61% per weighted average basic share) to 15,890 mboe (58% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
    • Total proved (“TP”) reserves increased 112% (106% per weighted average basic share) to 45,891 mboe (62% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
    • Total proved plus probable (“TPP”) reserves increased 85% (81% per weighted average basic share) to 60,640 mboe (63% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
  • Achieved record NPV BT10 reserve and net asset values (“NAV”)(6):
    • NPV BT10: $206 million (PDP), $471 million (TP) and $686 million (TPP)
    • NAV: $1.85 per weighted average basic share (PDP), $4.92 per weighted average basic share (TP) and $7.41 per weighted average basic share (TPP)
    • West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) prices used in the Reserve Report to value the Company’s reserves are approximately 22% and 15% less than current strip pricing for 2022 (US $72.83 vs. approximately US $89.00) and 2023 (US $68.78 vs. approximately US $79.00) respectively.
  • Finding, Development and Acquisition (“FD&A”)(5) costs, associated recycle ratios and capital efficiencies which are top tier amongst light oil weighted peers.
    • FD&A(5) costs of $8.47/boe (PDP), $12.03/boe (TP) and $9.56/boe (TPP), consistent with three year averages of $9.67/boe (PDP), $10.98/boe (TP) and $9.23 (TPP).
    • Recycle ratios(5) of 4.1 (PDP), 2.9 (TP) and 3.6 (TPP) compared to 1.2 (PDP), 2.0 (TP) and 1.4 (TPP) in 2020.
    • InPlay added new light oil weighted production at a capital efficiency(5) of $12,583 per boe/d.
  • Materially increased the reserve life index of our assets which in turn improves the long term sustainability of the Company:
    • PDP reserve life index(5) of 7.5 years compared to 6.6 years in 2020
    • TP reserve life index of 21.8 years compared to 14.8 years in 2020
    • TPP reserve life index of 28.8 years compared to 22.5 years in 2020
  • Successful development and A&D activity resulting in top-tier reserve replacement(5):
    • PDP replacement of 395% (2020 – 166%)
    • TP replacement of 1,253% (2020 – 309%)
    • TPP replacement of 1,422% (2020 – 479%)
  • Increased liquidity through an increased capacity within our Senior Credit Facility from $65.0 million to $85.0 million and total debt capacity of $111 million.
  • Abandonment and Reclamation Obligations spending of $2.3 million, reducing our liability by 3% through the successful abandonment of 75 wellbores and the reclamation of 22 well sites.
  • Achieved a 20% reduction to the Company’s emissions (Scope 1 and 2) on a per boe basis compared to 2020.

Notes:

  1. See “Reader Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
  2. Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
  3. Supplementary financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
  4. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
  5. “FD&A”, “recycle ratio”, “reserve replacement”, “reserve life index” and “capital efficiency” do not have standardized meanings and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented for other entities. Refer to section “Performance Measures” for the determination and calculation of these measures.
  6. See “Corporate Reserves Information” and “Net Asset Value” for detailed information from the Reserve Report and associated calculations.

Message to Shareholders:

The Company exited 2021 in its best operational and financial position to date. The disciplined and measured steps taken during 2020 and 2021, allowed us to implement a strategy focused on measured growth combined with generating strong free adjusted funds flow once oil prices began to recover in mid-2021. InPlay initially directed its free adjusted funds flow to debt reduction ensuring a strong and sustainable balance sheet from which to grow the Company. The strategy led to record annual AFF of $47.0 million and record annual FAFF of $13.6 million for the year while also reducing net debt, resulting in InPlay’s lowest historic leverage ratios. As the Company solidified its financial position, the strategy evolved to the point where InPlay was able to evaluate and execute upon accretive acquisition opportunities. Following up on a small but highly successful tuck-in acquisition during Q4 2020 (where InPlay grew production from 300 boe/d to 2,900 boe/d(2) in Q4 2021), InPlay closed the highly accretive corporate acquisition of Prairie Storm Resources Corp. on November 30, 2022. This acquisition enhanced the Company’s sustainability by adding low decline production, sizeable economic drilling inventory that complements InPlay’s own high internal rate of return, quick payout inventory, and increased reserve life while also adding material scale to the Company. All of these attributes enhance InPlay’s ability to grow and to continue to generate sustained long term FAFF per share(1). Immediately post closing, InPlay started drilling two wells on the Prairie Storm lands with results exceeding our expectations, confirming our technical evaluation of the assets. InPlay management is proud to be able to consistently deliver top tier reserve, production and AFF per share growth while also generating significant FAFF per share growth.

The Company’s sustainability has improved significantly with a very strong weighting of PDP reserves relative to TP and TPP reserves which now represent approximately 35% and 26% of the Company’s TP and TPP reserves respectively, with long-life reserves providing RLI’s of 7.5 years (PDP), 21.8 years (TP) and 28.8 years (TPP). InPlay’s long life reserves combined with the expected 2022 PDP base production decline rate of 23.2% (compared to 25.9% in 2021) puts the Company in a solid position to sustainably deliver long term per share growth and shareholder returns.

InPlay continued to deliver on our track record of drilling efficiency, operational expertise and accretive strategic acquisition activity, driving attractive light oil reserve addition metrics. FD&A costs per boe were $8.47, $12.03 and $9.56 in PDP, TP and TPP reserve categories respectively. These costs were consistent with InPlay’s three year FD&A averages of $9.67/boe (PDP), $10.98/boe (TP) and $9.23 (TPP). The Prairie Storm acquisition provided highly accretive and economic reserve additions that are expected to generate strong production and FAFF growth. The 2021 capital program continued to convert the Company’s high quality drilling inventory into reliable cash flow capital efficiencies of $12,583 per boe/d, representing a new record for the Company.

Notes:

  1. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
  2. See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” at the end of this press release.

2022 Outlook Update

InPlay’s focus has been concentrated on reducing debt and improving leverage ratios. Execution of this focus is significantly ahead of schedule with the increased commodity prices. With our sound financial footing and projected liquidity capacity, InPlay is expected to be able to deliver measured production per share growth and strong free adjusted funds flow which positions the Company to execute on strategic accretive opportunities with the ultimate goal of maximizing returns to shareholders.

 

InPlay is forecasting 2022 to be another record year for the Company, and reiterates its previously announced January 12, 2022 average production guidance of 8,900 to 9,400 boe/d(1). With the recent sustained increase in commodity prices, we are updating our price forecast using USD $90/bbl WTI, $4.30/mcf AECO and a CAD/USD exchange rate of 0.80. Based on this revised commodity price forecast, InPlay is now expected to generate 2022 AFF of $141 to $150 million and 2022 FAFF of $83 to $92 million which would result in InPlay being in a positive working capital position, in excess of debt, by year end. 

The table below outlines InPlay’s financial results of the board approved capital budget based on several WTI pricing scenarios for the remainder of 2022 (assuming an average Q1/22 WTI price of US$91.50/bbl):

2022 US$70
WTI
US$80
WTI
US$90
WTI
US$100
WTI
US$110
WTI
Production (boe/d)(1)(2) 9,150 9,150 9,150 9,150 9,150
Debt adjusted prod. per share growth (%)(3) 67% 79% 90% 102% 109%
AFF ($ millions)(4) $121 $134 $146 $156 $162
FAFF ($ millions)(3) $63 $76 $88 $98 $104
FAFF Yield (%)(3)(6) 24% 29% 33% 37% 40%
Year-end Working Capital / (Net Debt) ($ millions)(4) ($19) ($6) $6 $16 $22
Annual Net Debt / EBITDA(3) 0.2 0.0 0.0 (0.1) (0.1)
EV / DAAFF(3)(6) 2.2 1.9
1.7
1.5
1.4

Notes:

  1. See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” at the end of this press release.
  2. This reflects the mid-point of the Company’s 2022 production guidance range of 8,900 to 9,400 boe/d.
  3. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
  4. Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release. .
  5. See “Reader Advisories – Forward Looking Information and Statements” for key budget and underlying assumptions related to our 2022 capital program and associated guidance.
  6. Assumes a share price of $3.06.

Operations Update

InPlay’s capital program for the first quarter of 2022 was initiated in mid December 2021 due to the availability of services and the desire to take advantage of strong commodity prices, including winter natural gas prices. The two (1.6 net) wells that were drilled in December 2021 on the Prairie Storm lands were brought on production in the second half of January and are currently exceeding forecasts. The average initial production (“IP”) rates from these wells are as follows:

  IP 30
(% light crude oil and NGLs)
Current
(% light crude oil and NGLs)
1.5 mile well 593 boe/d (80%) 368 boe/d (77%)
1.0 mile well 203 boe/d (83%) 165 boe/d (78%)


An additional three (3.0 net) Extended Reach Horizontal (“ERH”) wells were drilled in Pembina during January and February and were brought on production ahead of schedule in late February. These wells are in the early clean up stage and are also currently producing above forecasts. The average combined IP rates from these wells are as follows:

IP 15
(% light crude oil and NGLs)
Current
(% light crude oil and NGLs)
1,022 boe/d (79%) 1,354 boe/d (71%)


Current corporate production is approximately 9,050 boe/d(1) (62% light crude oil and NGLs), based on field estimates.

Plans for the remainder of the first quarter of 2022 consist of completing two (1.7 net) wells that were drilled on our recently acquired Prairie Storm lands. These wells are expected to be on production before the end of the first quarter. In addition, InPlay will bring on production one (0.2 net) non-operated Cardium ERH well.

Looking forward, the Company has started capital preparations for the second quarter of 2022. Due to strong commodity prices and access to our preferred service providers, the Company expects to start the second quarter drilling program early, with certain operations including lease construction already completed. It is expected that drilling operations will commence approximately six weeks ahead of schedule.

Notes:

  1. See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” at the end of this press release.
  2. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.

Financial and Operating Results:

(CDN) ($000’s) Three months ended
December 31
Year ended
December 31
  2021   2020   2021   2020  
Financial        
Oil and natural gas sales 37,255   12,829   113,854   41,934  
Adjusted funds flow(1) 17,149   3,291   47,028   7,436  
Per share – basic(2) 0.23   0.05   0.67   0.11  
Per share – diluted(2) 0.22   0.05   0.66   0.11  
Per boe(2) 27.87   8.40   22.34   5.10  
Comprehensive income (loss) 55,191   (3,227 ) 115,071   (112,629 )
Per share – basic 0.74   (0.05 ) 1.65   (1.65 )
Per share –diluted 0.71   (0.05 ) 1.61   (1.65 )
Capital expenditures – PP&E and E&E 6,024   10,633   33,434   23,134  
Property acquisitions (dispositions)   1,875   (84 ) 1,610  
Net Corporate acquisitions(3)(4) 38,287     38,287    
Net debt(1) (80,196 ) (73,681 ) (80,196 ) (73,681 )
Shares outstanding 86,214,751   68,256,616   86,214,751   68,256,616  
Basic weighted-average shares 74,338,118   68,256,616   69,798,836   68,256,616  
Diluted weighted-average shares 77,669,551   68,256,616   71,681,264   68,256,616  
         
Operational        
Daily production volumes        
Light and medium crude oil (bbls/d) 3,156   2,194   2,981   2,031  
Natural gas liquids (boe/d) 932   708   782   668  
Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d) 15,589   8,141   12,030   7,715  
Total (boe/d) 6,687   4,259   5,768   3,985  
Realized prices(2)        
Light and medium crude oil & NGLs ($/bbls) 79.83   40.41   70.08   35.90  
Conventional natural gas ($/Mcf) 5.04   2.72   4.01   2.29  
Total ($/boe) 60.56   32.74   54.08   28.75  
Operating netbacks ($/boe)(4)        
Oil and natural gas sales 60.56   32.74   54.08   28.75  
Royalties (7.53 ) (1.78 ) (5.51 ) (2.00 )
Transportation expense (1.09 ) (0.80 ) (1.11 ) (0.87 )
Operating costs (12.51 ) (14.35 ) (12.83 ) (14.43 )
Operating netback(4) 39.43   15.81   34.63   11.45  
Realized (loss) on derivative contracts (5.67 ) (0.38 ) (6.20 ) (0.82 )
Operating netback (including realized derivative contracts)(4) 33.76   15.43   28.43   10.63  


(1)   Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
(2)   Supplementary financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
(3)   This amount consists of total gross consideration of $49.9, net of $11.6 million in working capital balances assumed on closing of the Prairie Storm acquisition.
(4)   Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”

2021 Financial & Operations Overview:

Production averaged 5,768 boe/d (65% light crude oil & NGLs) (1) in 2021, a 45% increase compared to 3,985 boe/d (68% light crude oil & NGLs)(1) in 2020 and a 15% increase compared to 5,000 boe/d (66% light crude oil & NGLs)(1) in 2019. The four quarter sales volumes were slightly affected due to the following factors; operational downtime caused by extreme cold, third party processing facility shut downs and a larger build in period ending oil inventories of approximately 9,000 barrels.

InPlay’s 2021 capital program consisted of $33.4 million of development capital. The Company drilled eight (8.0 net) ERH wells in Pembina, and two (1.6) Willesden Green ERH wells on our newly acquired Prairie Storm assets during the year, for a total of 12 (10.0 net) wells drilled during the year. The Company also participated in one (0.2 net) Nisku ERH well and one (0.2 net) Willesden Green ERH well in 2021. This activity amounted to the drilling of an equivalent of 20.5 gross horizontal miles (15.4 net horizontal miles). This capital spending also included the construction of a multi-well battery in Pembina, which is anticipated to accommodate future development in the area over the next three years. InPlay also accelerated the start of its 2022 capital program at the end of 2021, initiating construction operations and the start of drilling activities on a three well pad in Pembina due to optimal timing and availability of services.        

Efficient field operations resulted in the Company achieving record low operating costs of $12.83/boe. This result was achieved despite rising power costs throughout the year and in services in the second half of the year. The resulting operating income(2) and operating income profit margin(2) for 2021 were also annual records for the Company at $72.9 million and 64% respectively.

Note:

  1. See “Reader Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
  2. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.

2021 Reserves Overview:

As a result of the Company’s efficient execution of development capital in 2021, strategic A&D activity and the quality of our asset base, significant reserve growth was generated in all reserve categories compared to 2020. PDP reserves increased by 64% in 2021 to 15,890 mboe, TP reserves increased by 112% to 45,891 mboe and TPP reserves increased by 85% to 60,640 mboe. This reserve based growth easily replaced our 2021 production, with 395% of production being replaced on a PDP basis, 1,253% on a TP basis and 1,422% on a TPP basis.

This significant reserve growth and improvements to commodity prices resulted in strong 2021 year-end reserve net present values of future net revenues before tax (“NPV BT”) and net asset values per basic share (“NAVPS”). This resulted in reserve values of NPV BT10 of $206 million (PDP), $471 million (TP) and $686 million (TPP) using a three independent reserve evaluators average pricing forecast and foreign exchange rates as at December 31, 2021 as used in the Reserve Report. This equates to Net Asset Values of $160 million and $1.85 NAVPS (PDP), $424 million and $4.92 NAVPS (TP) and $639 million and $7.41 NAVPS (TPP)(1), representing 81% (PDP), 154% (TP) and 112% (TPP) growth for each category respectively on a per weighted average basic share basis over 2020.

Note:

  1. See “Net Asset Value” for detailed calculations.

Corporate Reserves Information:

The following summarizes certain information contained in the Reserve Report. The Reserve Report was prepared in accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the COGE Handbook and National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”). Additional reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in the Company’s Annual Information Form (“AIF”) which will be filed on SEDAR by the end of March 2022.

December 31, 2021

Light and
Medium
  Conventional Oil BTAX
NPV
Future
Development
Net
Undeveloped
Reserves Category(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)

Crude Oil NGLs Natural Gas Equivalent 10% Capital Wells
Mbbl Mbbl MMcf MBOE ($000’s) ($000’s) Booked
               
Proved developed producing 6,224.8 2,972.1 40,156 15,889.6 206,481 287
Proved developed non-producing 595.9 254.1 3,191 1,381.9 19,464 3,617
Proved undeveloped 14,151.6 4,028.9 62,633 28,619.3 245,156 412,786 179.2
Total proved 20,972.4 7,255.2 105,979 45,890.7 471,100 416,690 179.2
Probable developed producing 1,467.2 713.3 9,611 3,782.3 39,024 8
Probable developed non-producing 153.9 74.1 867 372.6 4,298
Probable undeveloped 6,159.6 1,260.0 19,048 10,594.3 171,090 57,533 25.8
Total probable 7,780.6 2,047.5 29,526 14,749.2 214,412 57,541 25.8
Total proved plus probable(6) 28,753.0 9,302.6 135,505 60,639.9 685,513 474,232 205.0

Notes:

  1. Reserves have been presented on a gross basis which are the Company’s total working interest (operating and non-operating) share before the deduction of any royalties and without including any royalty interests of the Company.
  2. Based on an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator’s (Sproule Associates Limited, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at December 31, 2021, as outlined in the table herein entitled “Pricing Assumptions”.
  3. It should not be assumed that the NPV amounts presented in the tables above represents the fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast prices and costs assumptions will be attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserves estimates of InPlay’s light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual light and medium crude oil, conventional natural gas and natural gas liquids reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.
  4. All future net revenues are stated prior to provision for interest, general and administrative expenses and after deduction of royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. Future net revenues have been presented on a before tax basis.
  5. The Company has included abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs for all active and inactive assets including non-producing and suspended wells, facilities and pipelines. December 31, 2021 reserve NPV values are also inclusive of currently enacted carbon taxes.
  6. Totals may not add due to rounding.

Net Asset Value:

         
December 31, 2021 BTAX NPV 5% BTAX NPV 10%
  ($000’s) $/share(6) ($000’s) $/share(6)
PDP NPV(1)(2) 226,629   2.63   206,481   2.39  
Undeveloped acreage(3) 33,474   0.39   33,474   0.39  
Net debt(4)(5) (80,196 ) (0.93 ) (80,196 ) (0.93 )
Net Asset Value (basic) 179,907   2.09   159,759   1.85  


         
December 31, 2021 BTAX NPV 5% BTAX NPV 10%
  ($000’s) $/share(6) ($000’s) $/share(6)
TP NPV(1)(2) 608,756   7.06   471,100   5.46  
Undeveloped acreage(3) 33,474   0.39   33,474   0.39  
Net debt(4)(5) (80,196 ) (0.93 ) (80,196 ) (0.93 )
Net Asset Value (basic) 562,034   6.52   424,378   4.92  


         
December 31, 2021 BTAX NPV 5% BTAX NPV 10%
  ($000’s) $/share(6) ($000’s) $/share(6)
TPP NPV(1)(2) 904,526   10.49   685,513   7.95  
Undeveloped acreage(3) 33,474   0.39   33,474   0.39  
Net debt(4)(5) (80,196 ) (0.93 ) (80,196 ) (0.93 )
Net Asset Value (basic) 857,804   9.95   638,791   7.41  

Notes:

  1. Evaluated by Sproule as at December 31, 2021. The estimated NPV does not represent fair market value of the reserves.
  2. Based on an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator’s (Sproule Associates Limited, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at December 31, 2021.
  3. Duvernay land holdings attributed a value of $19.9 million ($847/acre) for 23,440 net acres based on internal valuations. The remaining undeveloped acreage is based on an internal valuation totaling $13.6 million ($256/acre) for 53,159 net acres. These internal valuations are based on land sale results in the area.
  4. Net debt as at December 31, 2021.
  5. Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
  6. Based upon 86,214,751 common shares outstanding as at December 31, 2021.


Future Development Costs (“FDCs”):

FDCs increased by $246.9 million on a Total Proved basis and $215.7 million on a Total Proved plus Probable basis.

Future Development Capital Costs (amounts in $million)
  Total Proved Total Proved + Probable
2022 58.9 66.6
2023 99.2 111.7
2024 100.5 114.0
2025 95.3 110.5
Remainder 62.7 71.4
Total undiscounted FDC 416.7 474.2
Total discounted FDC at 10% per year 332.4 377.8

Note: FDC as per Reserve Report based on forecast pricing as outlined in the table herein entitled “Pricing Assumptions”

Performance Measures:

  2019 2020 2021 3 Year Avg
Average WTI crude oil price (US$/bbl) 57.02 39.40 67.91 54.78
Capital expenditures – PP&E and E&E ($000’s)(1) 30,689 22,213 33,434
Production boe/d – FY(3) 5,000 3,985 5,768 4,918
Production boe/d – Q4(3) 4,998 4,259 6,687 5,315
Operating netback $/boe – FY(2) 22.75 11.45 34.63 24.32
Proved Developed Producing        
Total Reserves mboe 8,718 9,677 15,890 11,428
Reserves additions mboe 2,195 2,418 8,318 12,930
FD&A (including FDCs)  $/boe(1) 13.98 9.85 8.47 9.67
FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1) 13.98 9.85 8.47 9.67
Recycle Ratio(4) 1.6 1.2 4.1 2.5
Reserves Replacement(5) 120% 166% 395% 240%
RLI (years)(6) 4.8 6.6 7.5 6.4
Total Proved        
Total Reserves mboe 18,573 21,624 45,891 28,696
Reserves additions mboe 1,540 4,509 26,372 32,421
FD&A (including FDCs) $/boe(1) 7.92 5.86 12.03 10.98
FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1) 19.93 5.28 2.67 3.86
Recycle Ratio(4) 2.9 2.0 2.9 2.2
Reserves Replacement(5) 84% 309% 1,253% 602%
RLI (years)(6) 10.2 14.8 21.8 16.0
Proved Plus Probable        
Total Reserves mboe 27,295 32,816 60,640 40,250
Reserves additions mboe 2,057 6,980 29,929 38,965
FD&A (including FDCs) $/boe(1) 7.82 8.21 9.56 9.23
FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1) 14.92 3.41 2.36 3.21
Recycle Ratio(4) 2.9 1.4 3.6 2.6
Reserves Replacement(5) 113% 479% 1,422% 723%
RLI (years)(6) 15.0 22.5 28.8 22.4

In 2021, InPlay’s successful exploration, development and acquisition/disposition capital program achieved a capital efficiency of $12,583 per boe/d and a three year average of $15,354 per boe/d.(7)

Notes:

  1. Finding, Development & Acquisition (“FD&A”) costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency. The calculation includes the period’s capital expenditures, including Exploration and Development (“E&D”) and Acquisition and Disposition (“A&D”) expended in the year, less capitalized G&A expenses and undeveloped land expenditures acquired with no reserves. This total of capital expenditures, including the change in the FDC over the period, is then divided by the change in reserves, other than from production, for the period incorporating additions/reductions from extensions, infill drilling, technical revisions, acquisitions/dispositions and economic factors. For example: 2021 TPP = ($33.4 million E&D – $1.2 million capitalized G&A – $nil million of land acquisitions + $38.2 million net acquisition/disposition capital + $215.8 million FDC) / (60,640 mboe – 32,816 mboe + 2,105 mboe) = $9.56 per boe. Finding and Development Costs (“F&D”) are calculated the same as FD&A costs, however adjusted to exclude the capital expenditures and reserve additions/reductions from acquisition/disposition activity. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
  2. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”
  3. See “Reader Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
  4. Recycle Ratio is calculated by dividing the year’s operating netback per boe by the FD&A costs for that period. For example: 2021 TPP = ($34.63/$9.56) = 3.6. The recycle ratio compares netback from existing reserves to the cost of finding new reserves and may not accurately indicate the investment success unless the replacement reserves are of equivalent quality as the produced reserves. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
  5. The reserves replacement ratio is calculated by dividing the yearly change in reserves before production by the actual annual production for that year. For example: 2021 TPP = (60,640 mboe – 32,816 mboe + 2,105 mboe) / 2,105 mboe = 1422%, which reflects the extent to which the Company was able to replace production and add reserves throughout the year.   See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
  6. RLI is calculated by dividing the reserves in each category by the 2021 average annual production. For example 2021 TPP = (60,640 mboe) / (5,768 boe/day) = 28.8 years. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
  7. Capital Efficiency is calculated as the total annual exploration & development and acquisition and disposition capital expended in the year, less capitalized G&A and land acquisition costs divided by production additions comparing the fourth quarter of the previous year using a decline rate of 29% over the course of the year, calculated as follows: ($33.4 million E&D – $1.2 million capitalized G&A – $nil million of land acquisitions – $0.1 million net acquisition/disposition capital + $9.2 million of 2020 capital adding reserves in 2021 – $3.0 million of capital not adding reserves in 2021) / (Q4/2021 production of 6,687 boe/d – Q4/2020 production of 4,259 boe/d + 2021 declined production at 29% of 1,218 boe/d – Q4/2021 Prairie Storm production of 600 boe/d). See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.

Pricing Assumptions:

The following tables set forth the benchmark reference prices, as at December 31, 2021, reflected in the Reserve Report. These price assumptions were an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator’s (Sproule, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at the effective date of the Reserve Report.

SUMMARY OF PRICING AND INFLATION RATE ASSUMPTIONS (1)
as of December 31, 2021
FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS

Year WTI
Cushing
Oklahoma
($US/Bbl)
Canadian
Light Sweet
40API
($Cdn/Bbl)
Cromer
LSB 35o
 API
($Cdn/Bbl)
Natural Gas AECO-C Spot
($Cdn/
MMBtu)
NGLs
Edmonton Propane
($Cdn/Bbl)
NGLs Edmonton Butanes
($Cdn/Bbl)
Edmonton
Pentanes
Plus
($Cdn/Bbl)
Operating Cost Inflation Rates
%/Year
Capital Cost Inflation Rates
%/Year
Exchange Rate (2)
($Cdn/$US)
Forecast(3)                    
2022 72.83 86.82 87.30 3.56 43.38 57.49 91.85 0.0% 0.0% 0.80
2023 68.78 80.73 82.30 3.21 35.92 50.17 85.53 2.3% 2.3% 0.80
2024 66.76 78.01 79.69 3.05 34.62 48.53 82.98 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2025 68.09 79.57 81.29 3.11 35.31 49.50 84.63 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2026 69.45 81.16 82.92 3.17 36.02 50.49 86.33 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2027 70.84 82.78 84.50 3.23 36.74 51.50 88.05 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2028 72.26 84.44 86.27 3.30 37.47 52.53 89.82 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2029 73.70 86.13 87.99 3.36 38.22 53.58 91.61 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2030 75.18 87.85 89.75 3.43 38.99 54.65 93.44 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2031 76.68 89.61 91.55 3.50 39.77 55.74 95.32 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
2032 78.21 91.40 93.38 3.57 40.56 56.86 97.22 2.0% 2.0% 0.80
  Thereafter              Escalation rate of 2.0%            

 

Notes:

  1. This summary table identifies benchmark reference pricing schedules that might apply to a reporting issuer.
  2. The exchange rate used to generate the benchmark reference prices in this table.
  3. As at December 31, 2021.

Environmental, Social and Governance (“ESG”) Update

InPlay’s commitment to ESG is evident through its operational track record, corporate culture and strong governance. The Company is pleased to announce that it expects to release its inaugural sustainability report this summer. InPlay looks forward to sharing the Company’s strategy and governance related to ESG and reporting ESG related metrics with shareholders.

The Company completed an active abandonment and reclamation program throughout 2021, spending $2.3 million on the abandonment of 75 wellbores and the reclamation of 22 well sites. This resulted in a reduction to our Abandonment and Reclamation obligation of 3% during 2021. Efficient field operations resulted in a 20% reduction to the Company’s emissions (Scope 1 and 2) on a per boe basis compared to 2020.

Included in our 2022 forecast is a commitment to materially reducing the Company’s abandonment and reclamation obligations. Approximately 30 abandonment operations and 20 reclamations are currently planned for 2022, which is estimated to result in a $3 million or 3% reduction to our ARO and a projected improvement in our Liability Management Rating (“LMR”) to 2.85.

We look forward to continuing to deliver returns to our shareholders and thank all of those that have supported InPlay since the Company’s inception. The future for InPlay and the industry are very promising and we will continue to operate the Company in a prudent, sustainable and responsible manner.

For further information please contact:

Doug Bartole   Darren Dittmer
President and Chief Executive Officer   Chief Financial Officer
InPlay Oil Corp.   InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632    Telephone: (587) 955-0634

 

Reader Advisories

Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures

Throughout this press release and other materials disclosed by the Company, InPlay uses certain measures to analyze financial performance, financial position and cash flow. These non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. The non-GAAP and other financial measures should not be considered alternatives to, or more meaningful than, financial measures that are determined in accordance with GAAP as indicators of the Company performance. Management believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP and other financial measures provides useful information to shareholders and investors in understanding and evaluating the Company’s ongoing operating performance, and the measures provide increased transparency and the ability to better analyze InPlay’s business performance against prior periods on a comparable basis.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios

Included in this document are references to the terms “free adjusted funds flow”, “free adjusted funds flow per share”, “FAFF Yield”, “operating income”, “operating netback per boe”, “operating income profit margin”, “Net Debt to EBITDA”, “Net corporate acquisitions”, “Debt adjusted production per share” and “EV / DAAFF”. Management believes these measures are helpful supplementary measures of financial and operating performance and provide users with similar, but potentially not comparable, information that is commonly used by other oil and natural gas companies. These terms do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than “profit (loss) before taxes”, “profit (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)”, “adjusted funds flow”, “capital expenditures”, “corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired”, “net debt”, “weighted average number of common shares (basic)” or assets and liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure of the Company’s performance and financial position.

Free Adjusted Funds Flow / FAFF per share

Management considers free adjusted funds flow and free adjusted funds flow per share important measures to identify the Company’s ability to improve its financial condition through debt repayment, which has become more important recently with the introduction of second lien lenders, on an absolute and weighted average per share basis. Free adjusted funds flow should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than adjusted funds flow as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow less exploration and development capital expenditures and property dispositions (acquisitions) and is a measure of the cashflow remaining after capital expenditures before corporate acquisitions that can be used for additional capital activity, corporate acquisitions, repayment of debt or decommissioning expenditures. Free adjusted funds flow per share is calculated by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by weighted average outstanding shares. Refer below for a calculation of free adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow per share and a reconciliation of free adjusted funds flow to the nearest GAAP measure, adjusted funds flow.

(thousands of dollars) Three Months Ended
   December 31
Year Ended
  December 31
  2021   2020   2021   2020  
Adjusted funds flow 17,149   3,291   47,028   7,436  
Exploration and dev. capital expenditures (6,024 ) (10,633 ) (33,434 ) (23,134 )
Property dispositions (acquisitions)   (1,875 ) 84   (1,610 )
Free adjusted funds flow 11,125   (9,217 ) 13,678   (17,308 )
Weighted average outstanding shares 74.3   68.3   69.8   68.3  
FAFF per share 0.15   (0.14 ) 0.20   (0.25 )

Free Adjusted Funds Flow Yield

InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow yield” as a key performance indicator. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by the market capitalization of the Company. Management considers FAFF yield to be an important performance indicator as it demonstrates a Company’s ability to generate cash to pay down debt and provide funds for potential distributions to shareholders. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast 2022 free adjusted funds flow yield.

Operating Income/Operating Netback per boe/Operating Income Profit Margin

InPlay uses “operating income”, “operating netback per boe” and “operating income profit margin” as key performance indicators. Operating income is calculated by the Company as oil and natural gas sales less royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses and is a measure of the profitability of operations before administrative, share-based compensation, financing and other non-cash items. Management considers operating income an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field level profitability. Operating income should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than net income as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Operating netback per boe is calculated by the Company as operating income divided by average production for the respective period. Management considers operating netback per boe an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field level profitability per unit of production. Operating income profit margin is calculated by the Company as operating income as a percentage of oil and natural gas sales. Management considers operating income profit margin an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates how efficiently the Company generates field level profits from its sales revenue. Refer below for a calculation of operating income, operating netback per boe and operating income profit margin.

(thousands of dollars) Three Months Ended
December 31
Year Ended
December 31
  2021   2020   2021   2020  
Revenue 37,255   12,829   113,854   41,934  
Royalties (4,632 ) (697 ) (11,595 ) (2,924 )
Operating expenses (7,695 ) (5,622 ) (27,009 ) (21,043 )
Transportation expenses (673 ) (314 ) (2,346 ) (1,271 )
Operating income 24,255   6,196   72,904   16,696  
                 
Sales volume (Mboe) 615.2   391.8   2,105.1   1,458.5  
Per boe                
Revenue 60.56   32.74   54.08   28.75  
Royalties (7.53 ) (1.78 ) (5.51 ) (2.00 )
Operating expenses (12.51 ) (14.35 ) (12.83 ) (14.43 )
Transportation expenses (1.09 ) (0.80 ) (1.11 ) (0.87 )
Operating netback per boe 39.43   15.81   34.63   11.45  
Operating income profit margin 65 % 48 % 64 % 40 %

Net Debt to EBITDA
Management considers Net Debt to EBITDA an important measure as it is a key metric to identify the Company’s ability to fund financing expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations. EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow before interest expense. This measure is consistent with the EBITDA formula prescribed under the Company’s Senior Credit Facility. Net Debt to EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Refer below for a calculation of Net Debt / EBITDA.

(thousands of dollars) Year Ended
December 31
  2021 2020
Net debt 80,196 73,681
Adjusted funds flow 47,028 7,436
Interest expense (Credit Facility and other) 5,594 3,523
Interest expense (Lease liabilities) 20 47
Earnings before interest, taxes and depletion (“EBITDA”) 52,642 11,006
Net Debt to EBITDA 1.5 6.7


Net Corporate Acquisitions
Management considers Net corporate acquisitions an important measure as it is a key metric to evaluate the corporate acquisition in comparison to other transactions using the negotiated consideration value and ignoring changes to the fair value of the share consideration between the signing of the definitive agreement and the closing of the transaction. Net corporate acquisitions should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than “Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired” as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Net corporate acquisitions is calculated as total consideration with share consideration adjusted to the value negotiated with the counterparty, less working capital balances assumed on the corporate acquisition. Refer below for a calculation of Net corporate acquisitions and reconciliation to the nearest GAAP measure, “Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired”.

(thousands of dollars) Three Months Ended
December 31
Year Ended
December 31 
  2021   2020 2021   2020
Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired 29,277   29,277  
Share consideration(1) 9,985   9,985  
Non-cash working capital acquired (1,156 ) (1,156 )
Derivative contracts 181   181  
Net Corporate acquisitions 38,287   38,287  


(1)   For purposes of the corporate acquisition, the share consideration had a negotiated value of $1.20 per share. For accounting purposes in accordance with IFRS 3, the shares issued as consideration have been valued at $2.07 per share, based on the closing price of InPlay shares on November 29, 2021.
(2)   Net working capital acquired equals the fair value of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable and accrued liabilities, prepaid expenses and deposits, inventory, accounts payable and accrued liabilities and derivative contracts acquired as disclosed in note 5 of the Company’s consolidated financial statements.

Production per Debt Adjusted Share

InPlay uses “Production per debt adjusted share” as a key performance indicator. Debt adjusted shares should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than common shares as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Debt adjusted shares is a non-GAAP measure used in the calculation of Production per debt adjusted share and is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the Company’s current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Debt adjusted shares should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than weighted average number of common shares (basic) as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Management considers Debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of capital structure in relation to the Company’s peers. Production per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted shares. Management considers Production per debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of changes in annual production in relation to the Company’s capital structure. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast Production per debt adjusted share.

EV / DAAFF
InPlay uses “enterprise value to debt adjusted AFF” or “EV/DAAFF” as a key performance indicator. EV/DAAFF is calculated by the Company as enterprise value divided by debt adjusted AFF for the relevant period. Debt adjusted AFF (“DAAFF”) is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow plus financing costs. Enterprise value is a capital management measures that is used in the calculation of EV/DAAFF. Enterprise value is calculated as the Company’s market capitalization plus net debt. Enterprise value is calculated as market capitalization plus net debt. Management considers enterprise value a key performance indicator as it identifies the total capital structure of the Company. Management considers EV/DAAFF a key performance indicator as it is a key metric used to evaluate the sustainability of the Company relative to other companies while incorporating the impact of differing capital structures. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast 2022 EV/DAAFF.

Capital Management Measures

Adjusted Funds Flow

Management considers adjusted funds flow to be an important measure of InPlay’s ability to generate the funds necessary to finance capital expenditures. Adjusted funds flow is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the Company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2021. All references to adjusted funds flow throughout this document are calculated as funds flow adjusting for decommissioning expenditures and transaction and integration costs. This item is adjusted from funds flow as decommissioning expenditures are incurred on a discretionary and irregular basis and are primarily incurred on previous operating assets and transaction costs are non-recurring costs for the purposes of an acquisition, making the exclusion of these items relevant in Management’s view to the reader in the evaluation of InPlay’s operating performance. The Company also presents adjusted funds flow per share whereby per share amounts are calculated using weighted average shares outstanding consistent with the calculation of profit (loss) per common share.

Net Debt

Net debt is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the Company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2021. The Company closely monitors its capital structure with a goal of maintaining a strong balance sheet to fund the future growth of the Company. The Company monitors net debt as part of its capital structure. The Company uses net debt (bank debt plus accounts payable and accrued liabilities less accounts receivables and accrued receivables, prepaid expenses and deposits and inventory) as an alternative measure of outstanding debt. Management considers net debt an important measure to assist in assessing the liquidity of the Company.

Supplementary Measures

“Average realized crude oil price” is comprised of crude oil commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s crude oil production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

“Average realized NGL price” is comprised of NGL commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s NGL production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

“Average realized natural gas price” is comprised of natural gas commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s natural gas production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

“Average realized commodity price” is comprised of commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

“Adjusted funds flow per weighted average basic share” is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the basic weighted average common shares.

“Adjusted funds flow per weighted average diluted share” is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the diluted weighted average common shares.

“Adjusted funds flow per boe” is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by total production.

Forward-Looking Information and Statements This news release contains certain forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “expect”, “anticipate”, “continue”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “should”, “believe”, “plans”, “intends”, “forecast” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking information and statements pertaining to the following: the recognition of significant additional reserves under the heading “Corporate Reserves Information”, the future net value of InPlay’s reserves, the future development capital and costs, the life of InPlay’s reserves and the net asset values disclosed under the heading “Net Asset Value” including the internal value ascribed to undeveloped acreage; the Company’s planned 2022 capital program including wells to be drilled and completed and the timing of the same; 2022 guidance based on the planned capital program including forecasts of 2022 annual average production levels, debt adjusted production levels, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, Net Debt/EBITDA ratio, operating income profit margin, and Management’s belief that the Company can grow some or all of these attributes and specified measures; light crude oil and NGLs weighting estimates; expectations regarding future commodity prices; future oil and natural gas prices; future liquidity and financial capacity; future results from operations and operating metrics; future costs, expenses and royalty rates; future interest costs; the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn; future development, exploration, acquisition, development and infrastructure activities and related capital expenditures, including our planned 2022 capital program; the amount and timing of capital projects; forecasted spending on decommissioning; the expectation that the reserve additions from the Prairie Storm acquisition will generate strong production and FAFF growth; the expectation that InPlay will be in a positive net cash position in the fourth quarter of 2022 using a pricing scenario of US $90 WTI and positive working capital position by 2022 year end; that 2022 will be another record year for the Company; the expectation that the Company will experience inflationary cost pressures in the second half of 2022; the expectation that costs will begin to normalize later in 2022; the Company’s planned 2022 abandonment and reclamation program, including the abandonments and reclamations to be completed, forecasted spending on these activities, reduction to our ARO and forecasted LMR rating; the expectation that the Company will start the second quarter capital program early; the planned release of InPlay’s inaugural sustainability report prior to June 30, 2022 and methods of funding our capital program.

Forward-looking statements or information are based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions of InPlay which have been used to develop such statements and information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the ability of InPlay to obtain financing on acceptable terms; field production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition, development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline, storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices; that various conditions to a shareholder return strategy can be satisfied; expectations regarding the potential impact of COVID-19; currency, exchange and interest rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which InPlay operates; and the ability of InPlay to successfully market its oil and natural gas products.

The forward-looking information and statements included herein are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements including, without limitation: the continuing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; changes in our planned 2022 capital program; changes in commodity prices and other assumptions outlined herein; the potential for variation in the quality of the reservoirs in which we operate; changes in the demand for or supply of our products; unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters; changes in development plans or strategies of InPlay or by third party operators of our properties; increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate estimation of our light crude oil and natural gas reserve and resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other risks detailed from time-to-time in InPlay’s continuous disclosure documents filed on SEDAR including our Annual Information Form.

The internal projections, expectations or beliefs underlying the Company’s 2022 capital budget, associated guidance and corporate outlook for 2022 and beyond are subject to change in light of ongoing results, prevailing economic circumstances, commodity prices and industry conditions and regulations. InPlay’s outlook for 2022 and beyond provides shareholders with relevant information on management’s expectations for results of operations, excluding any potential acquisitions, dispositions or strategic transactions that may be completed in 2022 and beyond including, without limitation, the potential impact of any shareholder return strategy that may be implemented in the future. Accordingly, readers are cautioned that events or circumstances could cause results to differ materially from those predicted and InPlay’s 2022 guidance and outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes.

This press release contains future-oriented financial information and financial outlook information (collectively, “FOFI”) about InPlay’s prospective capital expenditures, all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts set forth in this press release and such variation may be material. InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management’s best estimates and judgments. However, because this information is subjective and subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose of providing further information about InPlay’s anticipated future business operations. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in this press release should not be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein.

The forward-looking information and statements contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof and InPlay does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the included forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws.

InPlay’s 2021 annual guidance and a comparison to 2021 actual results are outlined below.

      2021 Guidance(1) 2021 Actual Variance Variance (%)
Production(6) Boe/d   5,750 – 6,000 5,768
Adjusted Funds Flow(7) $ millions   $51.0 – $54.0 $47.0 ($5)(3) (7%)
Capital Expenditures $ millions   $32.5(2) $33.4 $1(4) 3%
Free Adjusted Funds Flow(8) $ millions   $17.5 – $20.5 $13.6 ($4)(3)(4) (20%)
Net Debt(6) $ millions   $76.5 – $79.5 $80.2 $1(3)(4)(5) 1%


Notes:

  1. As previously released September 28, 2021.
  2. As previously released November 30, 2021 (previously $32.5 – $34.5 million on September 28, 2021).
  3. This variance is due to the following:
    • Lower fourth quarter sales volumes due to operational downtime caused by extreme cold, third party processing facility mechanical shut downs, a larger build in period ending oil inventories of approximately 9,000 barrels, and the later than initially expected drilling of the two well pad drilled in the fourth quarter of 2021. In addition, new production from the 2021 drilling program had a slightly higher gas weighting and lower NGL yield than forecasted.
    • The effect of shorter royalty incentive periods for recently drilled wells in the improved pricing environment and higher trucking costs on new wells.
    • Significant improvements in the Company’s share price in the later portion of 2021, resulting in additional expenses incurred from the vesting and revaluation of deferred share units, and the accelerated vesting of certain DSUs.
    • Increased hedging losses as a result of higher annual average WTI prices of US $1.06/bbl.
  4. This variance is due to the acceleration of the start of the 2022 capital program at the end of 2021 through the initiation of lease construction and starting drilling activities on a three well pad in Pembina due to optimal conditions and availability of services.
  5. This net debt variance is due to the higher positive net debt assumed on the Prairie Storm acquisition in addition to additional proceeds from the over-allotment option being exercised on the bought deal financing which both contributed to an additional $3 million positive net debt impact, net of the $4 million reduction to free adjusted funds flow.
  6. See “Reader Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
  7. Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press release.
  8. Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”

The key budget and underlying material assumptions used by the Company in the development of its 2022 guidance including forecasted production, operating income, capital expenditures, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, FAFF yield, Net Debt, Net Debt/EBITDA, EV/DAAFF, production per debt adjusted share growth are as follows:

    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022(1)
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
WTI US$/bbl $67.91 $72.50 $90.00
NGL Price $/boe $37.79 $42.75 $52.35
AECO $/GJ $3.44 $3.30 $4.30
Foreign Exchange Rate CDN$/US$ 0.80 0.78 0.80
MSW Differential US$/bbl $3.88 $3.50 $3.00
Production Boe/d 5,768 8,900 – 9,400 8,900 – 9,400
Royalties $/boe 5.51 5.25 – 5.75 9.80 – 10.60
Operating Expenses $/boe 12.83 10.00 – 13.00 10.00 – 13.00
Transportation $/boe 1.11 0.85 – 1.10 0.85 – 1.10
Interest $/boe 2.67 0.85 – 1.25 0.75 – 1.15
General and Administrative $/boe 2.83 2.00 – 2.60 2.00 – 2.60
Hedging loss $/boe 6.20 0.00 – 0.20 0.35 – 0.65
Decommissioning Expenditures $ millions $1.4 $2.0 – $2.5 $2.0 – $2.5
Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $47.0 $111.0 – $117.0 $141 – $150
Weighted average outstanding shares # millions 69.8 86.2 86.2
Adjusted Funds Flow per share $/share 0.67 1.28 – 1.36 1.64 – 1.75


    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $47.0   $111.0 – $117.0 $141 – $150
Capital Expenditures $ millions $33.3 $58.0 $58.0
Free Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $13.6 $53.5 – $59.5   $83 – $92
Share outstanding, end of year # millions 86.2   86.2
Assumed Share price $ 2.18(3)   3.06
Market capitalization $ millions $188   $264
FAFF Yield % 7% N/A(5) 31% – $35%


    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022(1)
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $47.0 $111.0 – $117.0 $141 – $150
Interest $/boe 2.67 0.85 – 1.25 0.75 – 1.15
EBITDA $ millions $52.6 $115.0 – $120.0 $144 – $153
Net Debt/(Positive working capital, in excess of debt) $ millions $80.2 $22.0 – $28.0 ($1) – ($10)
Net Debt/EBITDA   1.5 0.2 – 0.3 0.0 – 0.1


    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022(1)
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
Production Boe/d 5,768 8,900 – 9,400 8,900 – 9,400
Opening Net Debt $ millions $73.7 $76.5 – $79.5 $80.2
Ending Net Debt/(Pos. working capital, in excess of debt) $ millions $80.2 $22.0 – $28.0 ($1) – ($10)
Weighted average outstanding shares # millions 69.8 86.2 86.2
Assumed Share price $ 1.16(4) 2.18 3.06
Production per debt adjusted share growth(2)   31% 76% – 86% 85% – 95%


    Actuals
FY 2021
Previous Guidance
FY 2022
Updated Guidance
FY 2022
Share outstanding, end of year # millions 86.2   86.2
Assumed Share price $ 2.18(3)   3.06
Market capitalization $ millions $188   $264
Net Debt/(Positive working capital, in excess of debt) $ millions $80.2   ($1) – ($10)
Enterprise value $millions $268.2   $253 – $261
Adjusted Funds Flow $ millions $44.1   $141 – $150
Interest $/boe 2.67   0.75 – 1.15
Debt Adjusted AFF $ millions $49.7   $144 – $153
EV/DAAFF   5.4 N/A(5) 1.6 – 1.8


(1)   As previously released January 12, 2022.
(2)   Production per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the Company’s current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Share price at December 31, 2022 is assumed to be consistent with the share price at December 31, 2021.
(3)   Ending share price at December 31, 2021.
(4)   Weighted average share price throughout 2021.
(5)   Guidance had not been previously released for this measure.
  • See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” below
  • Quality and pipeline transmission adjustments may impact realized oil prices in addition to the MSW Differential provided above
  • Changes in working capital are not assumed to have a material impact between Dec 31, 2021 and Dec 31, 2022.

Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information
Our oil and gas reserves statement for the year ended December 31, 2021, which will include complete disclosure of our oil and gas reserves and other oil and gas information in accordance with NI 51-101, will be contained within our Annual Information Form which will be available on our SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com on or before March 31, 2022. The recovery and reserve estimates contained herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. In relation to the disclosure of estimates for individual properties, such estimates may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. The Company’s belief that it will establish additional reserves over time with conversion of probable undeveloped reserves into proved reserves is a forward-looking statement and is based on certain assumptions and is subject to certain risks, as discussed above under the heading “Forward-Looking Information and Statements”.

This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry, such as “finding, development and acquisition costs”, “finding and development costs”, “operating netbacks”, “recycle ratios”, “reserve replacement” and “reserve life index” or “RLI”. Each of these terms are calculated by InPlay as described in the section “Performance Measures” in this press release. These terms do not have standardized meanings or standardized methods of calculation and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to make such comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional information to evaluate the Company’s performance, however such metrics should not be unduly relied upon.

Finding, development and acquisition (“FD&A”) and finding and development (“F&D”) costs take into account reserves revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The aggregate of the costs incurred in the financial year and changes during that year in estimated future development costs may not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves additions for that year. Finding, development and acquisition costs have been presented in this press release because acquisitions and dispositions can have a significant impact on our ongoing reserves replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result in an inaccurate portrayal of our cost structure. Exploration & development capital means the aggregate exploration and development costs incurred in the financial year on exploration and on reserves that are categorized as development. Exploration & development capital excludes capitalized administration costs. Acquisition capital amounts to the total amount of cash and share consideration net of any working capital balances assumed with an acquisition on closing.

Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures to compare InPlay’s operations over time, however such measures are not reliable indicators of InPlay’s future performance and future performance may not be comparable to the performance in prior periods. Readers are cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented in this press release, should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes, however such measures are not reliable indicators on InPlay’s future performance and future performance may not be comparable to the performance in prior periods.

References to light crude oil, NGLs or natural gas production in this press release refer to the light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“Nl 51-101“).

Test Results and Initial Production Rates
Test results and initial production rates disclosed herein, particularly those short in duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided herein should be considered to be preliminary until such analysis or interpretation has been completed.

Production Breakdown by Product Type
Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in this press release consists of the constituent product types as defined in NI 51-101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the table below:

  Light and Medium
Crude oil
(bbls/d)
NGLS
(boe/d)
Conventional Natural gas
(Mcf/d)
Total
(boe/d)
Q4 2019 Average Production 2,466 869 9,978 4,998
2019 Average Production 2,626 697 10,058 5,000
Q4 2020 Average Production 2,194 708 8,141 4,259
2020 Average Production 2,031 668 7,715 3,985
Q4 2021 Average Production 3,156 933 15,590 6,687
2021 Average Production 2,981 782 12,030 5,768
2022 Annual Guidance  4,332 1,312 21,035 9,150(1)
Tuck-in Acquisition Q4 2021 Avg. Prod 1,452 302
6,815
2,900
Current Corporate Average Production 4,019
1,455
21,464
9,050

Note:

  1. This reflects the mid-point of the Company’s 2022 production guidance range of 8,900 to 9,400 boe/d.
  2. With respect to forward-looking production guidance, product type breakdown is based upon management’s expectations based on reasonable assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well results.

References to crude oil, NGLs or natural gas production in this press release refer to the light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“Nl 51-101”).

BOE equivalent
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication of value.

Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF)(ALV:CA) – Coverage Initiated With Outperform Rating and a $10 Target

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF)(ALV:CA)
Coverage Initiated With Outperform Rating and a $10 Target

Alvopetro Energy Ltd is a Canada based resource company engaged in the exploration, acquisition, development, and production of hydrocarbons in Brazil. The company holds interests in the Cabure and Gomo natural gas assets, two oil fields (Bom Lugar and Mae-da-lua) and seven other exploration assets in the Reconcavo basin onshore Brazil.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Alvopetro is well positioned to take advantage of the recent rise in energy prices. The price Alvopetro receives is set semi-annually based on oil and gas index pricing, heat content and the Brazilian-U.S. exchange rate. In February 2022, prices rose to approximately $11.28/mcf, a 59% increase over the realized price in the last quarter. With operating costs expected to remain at historical levels, the company should begin to see very large operating netbacks and free cash flow.

    Management is in a very enviable position of choosing between expanding or returning proceeds to shareholders.  Most likely, it will do both. An initial dividend set in September has already been raised once to an indicated annual rate of $0.24 per share (yield of 7.0%). At the same time, the company has begun an active drilling program and indicated plans to expand midstream operations. Production …


This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Flotek Industries (FTK) – Estimates and Price Target Raised On Transaction Details

Friday, March 11, 2022

Flotek Industries (FTK)
Estimates and Price Target Raised On Transaction Details

Flotek Industries, Inc. creates solutions to reduce the environmental impact of energy on air, water, land and people. Flotek Industries, Inc. is a technology-driven, specialty chemistry and data company that helps customers across industrial, commercial and consumer markets improve their Environmental, Social and Governance performance. Flotek’s Chemistry Technologies segment develops, manufactures, packages, distributes, delivers, and markets high-quality cleaning, disinfecting and sanitizing products for commercial, governmental and personal consumer use. Additionally, Flotek empowers the energy industry to maximize the value of their hydrocarbon streams and improve return on invested capital through its real-time data platforms and green chemistry technologies. Flotek serves downstream, midstream and upstream customers, both domestic and international. Flotek is a publicly traded company headquartered in Houston, Texas, and its common shares are traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “FTK.” For additional information, please visit Flotek’s web site at www.flotekind.com.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Flotek expands its agreement with Profrac. Revenues now estimated to be $2 billion. Management held a call with analysts and investors to discuss an expansion of its agreement with Profrac. Management was very upbeat about the deal and provided additional details regarding its expectations for revenues ($200 million/year), timing details (in place by summer), and the company’s ability grow supply (plant at 50% capacity, little additional capital required). Management also indicated that it now expects Flotek to be cash flow positive by year end and throughout the life of the contract.

    The arrangement provides additional benefits.  In addition to the bottom line, the agreement provides other, less-quantifiable benefits. These include revenue stability, critical mass to expand its customer base and purchase supplies at better rates, and a partner to draw attention to its environmentally-friendly energy solutions. Both firms have an incentive to see the other’s operations grow and …


This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Li-Ion Batteries Promising New Process


Image: Brookhaven Nat’l Lab (Flickr)


Toward Batteries that Pack Twice as Much Energy Per Pound

 

David L. Chandler | MIT News Office

 

In the endless quest to pack more energy into batteries without increasing their weight or volume, one especially promising technology is the solid-state battery. In these batteries, the usual liquid electrolyte that carries charges back and forth between the electrodes is replaced with a solid electrolyte layer. Such batteries could potentially not only deliver twice as much energy for their size, they also could virtually eliminate the fire hazard associated with today’s lithium-ion batteries.

But one thing has held back solid-state batteries: Instabilities at the boundary between the solid electrolyte layer and the two electrodes on either side can dramatically shorten the lifetime of such batteries. Some studies have used special coatings to improve the bonding between the layers, but this adds the expense of extra coating steps in the fabrication process. Now, a team of researchers at MIT and Brookhaven National Laboratory have come up with a way of achieving results that equal or surpass the durability of the coated surfaces, but with no need for any coatings.

The new method simply requires eliminating any carbon dioxide present during a critical manufacturing step, called sintering, where the battery materials are heated to create bonding between the cathode and electrolyte layers, which are made of ceramic compounds. Even though the amount of carbon dioxide present is vanishingly small in air, measured in parts per million, its effects turn out to be dramatic and detrimental. Carrying out the sintering step in pure oxygen creates bonds that match the performance of the best coated surfaces, without that extra cost of the coating, the researchers say.

The findings are reported in the journal Advanced Energy Materials, in a paper by MIT doctoral student Younggyu Kim, professor of nuclear science and engineering and of materials science and engineering Bilge Yildiz, and Iradikanari Waluyo and Adrian Hunt at Brookhaven National Laboratory.

“Solid-state batteries have been desirable for different reasons for a long time,” Yildiz says. “The key motivating points for solid batteries are they are safer and have higher energy density,” but they have been held back from large scale commercialization by two factors, she says: the lower conductivity of the solid electrolyte, and the interface instability issues.

The conductivity issue has been effectively tackled, and reasonably high-conductivity materials have already been demonstrated, according to Yildiz. But overcoming the instabilities that arise at the interface has been far more challenging. These instabilities can occur during both the manufacturing and the electrochemical operation of such batteries, but for now the researchers have focused on the manufacturing, and specifically the sintering process.

 

These discs were used for testing the researchers’ processing
method for solid-electrolyte batteries. On the left, a sample of the solid
electrolyte itself, a material known as LLPO. At center, the same material
coated with the cathode material used in their tests. At right, the LLPO
material with a coating of gold, used to facilitate measuring its electrical
properties. Credit: Pjotrs Žguns

 

Sintering is needed because if the ceramic layers are simply pressed onto each other, the contact between them is far from ideal, there are far too many gaps, and the electrical resistance across the interface is high. Sintering, which is usually done at temperatures of 1,000 degrees Celsius or above for ceramic materials, causes atoms from each material to migrate into the other to form bonds. The team’s experiments showed that at temperatures anywhere above a few hundred degrees, detrimental reactions take place that increase the resistance at the interface — but only if carbon dioxide is present, even in tiny amounts. They demonstrated that avoiding carbon dioxide, and in particular maintaining a pure oxygen atmosphere during sintering, could create very good bonding at temperatures up to 700 degrees, with none of the detrimental compounds formed.

The performance of the cathode-electrolyte interface made using this method, Yildiz says, was “comparable to the best interface resistances we have seen in the literature,” but those were all achieved using the extra step of applying coatings. “We are finding that you can avoid that additional fabrication step, which is typically expensive.”

The potential gains in energy density that solid-state batteries provide comes from the fact that they enable the use of pure lithium metal as one of the electrodes, which is much lighter than the currently used electrodes made of lithium-infused graphite.

The team is now studying the next part of the performance of such batteries, which is how these bonds hold up over the long run during battery cycling. Meanwhile, the new findings could potentially be applied rapidly to battery production, she says. “What we are proposing is a relatively simple process in the fabrication of the cells. It doesn’t add much energy penalty to the fabrication. So, we believe that it can be adopted relatively easily into the fabrication process,” and the added costs, they have calculated, should be negligible.

Large companies such as Toyota are already at work commercializing early versions of solid-state lithium-ion batteries, and these new findings could quickly help such companies improve the economics and durability of the technology.

The research was supported by the U.S. Army Research Office through MIT’s Institute for Soldier Nanotechnologies. The team used facilities supported by the National Science Foundation and facilities at Brookhaven National Laboratory supported by the Department of Energy.

 

Suggested Reading



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EV Inflation Outpacing Traditional Cars



Is the Index Bubble Michael Burry Warned About Still Looming?

 

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Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO) – Rating lowered in response to meteoric rise in stock price

Tuesday, March 08, 2022

Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO)
Rating Lowered In Response To Meteoric Rise In Stock Price

Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on Indonesia. It holds two oil and gas assets through its subsidiaries in Indonesia: one producing block (the Kruh Block) and one exploration block (the Citarum Block). The Kruh Block is located to the northwest of Pendopo, Pali, South Sumatra. The Citarum Block is located to the south of Jakarta.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    The shares of INDO have risen from $2.90 at the beginning of the year to $62.46 (up 2054%) briefly trading above $86 at one point. Most of the rise has come in the last five trading days with the stock beginning last week at $13.30. The impetus for the rise was a jump in oil prices (up from $101 to $120 last five trading days). However, the jump in the shares of INDO far surpasses that justified by the rise in oil prices. We would remind investors that there is little to report recently from an operational point of view regarding the company.

    The stock price has soared past our price target of $15, which was raised just last Tuesday.  We warned at the time of our price target increase that the shares of INDO are thinly traded and can be volatile. We also said that the increase in our price target was using up our gun powder and that future target increases would be difficult. Now that the stock has risen to a level more than five times …


This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Alvopetro Announces 2021 Year End Reserves With a 52 Increase In 2P NPV Before Tax



Alvopetro Announces 2021 Year End Reserves With a 52% Increase In 2P NPV Before Tax

News, and Market Data on Alvopetro Energy

 

CALGARY, ABMarch 8, 2022 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV:ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces our reserves as at December 31, 2021 with total proved plus probable (“2P”) reserves of 8.7 mmboe and a before tax net present value discounted at 10% of $297.0 million.  The before tax net present value of our 2P reserves (discounted at 10%) increased by 52% from December 31, 2020, primarily due to increases in forecasted natural gas prices. 2P reserve volumes decreased by 9% due to 2021 production. In addition, Alvopetro announces the December 31, 2021 assessment of the Company’s Murucututu natural gas resource (previously referred to as the Gomo natural gas resource) with risked best estimate contingent resource of 3.5 mmboe and risked best estimate prospective resource of 12.1 mmboe, both of which are virtually unchanged from December 31, 2020.  The Murucututu natural gas contingent and prospective resource values (risked best estimate net present value before tax, discounted at 10%) increased by 61% to $60.7 million and by 44% to $208.7 million, respectively.  The reserves and resources data set forth herein is based on an independent reserves and resources assessment and evaluation prepared by GLJ Ltd. (“GLJ”) dated March 7, 2022 with an effective date of December 31, 2021 (the “GLJ Reserves and Resources Report”).  

All references herein to $ refer to United States dollars, unless otherwise stated.

December 31, 2021 GLJ Reserves and Resource Report Highlights

  • 2P net present value before tax discounted at 10% increased 52% to $297.0 million primarily due to higher forecasted commodity prices.
  • Proved reserves (“1P”) and 2P reserves decreased to 4.4 mmboe (-13%) and 8.7 mmboe (-9%) respectively, due to 2021 production volumes.
  • This represents a 2P Net Asset Value of CAD$11.20/share ($8.77/share).
  • Risked best estimate contingent and risked best estimate prospective resource of 3.5 mmboe and 12.1 mmboe, respectively were consistent with prior year with an increase of 61% and 44% respectively on risked best estimate before tax net present value discounted at 10%, due primarily to higher forecasted commodity prices.

Corey Ruttan, President and Chief Executive Officer, commented:

“Our 2021 year-end reserves and resource evaluations highlight the strong profitability from our Caburé natural gas field and the long-term potential of our Murucututu project. The increase in forecasted cash flows reflects the impact of global commodity prices on our forecasted natural gas prices under our long-term gas sales agreement and our most recent price increase effective February 1, 2022. Our 2022 capital program is focused on natural gas exploration and development aimed at expanding our production and reserve base and maximizing the utilization of our strategic midstream infrastructure that is concurrently being expanded to a capacity of at least 500,000 m3/d (17.7 mmcfpd).”

SUMMARY

December 31, 2021 Gross Reserve and Gross Resource Volumes: (1)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(14)

December 31, 2021 Reserves (Gross)

Total Proved(1P)

Total Proved plus Probable(2P)

Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible (3P)

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

Caburé Property

3,224

5,141

6,796

Murucututu Property

1,024

3,286

5,974

Other Properties

173

310

606

Total Company Reserves

4,421

8,737

13,376

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

December 31, 2021 Murucututu Resources (Gross)

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

 High Estimate

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

Risked Contingent Resource

Risked Prospective Resource

2,715

6,555

3,465

12,127

5,697

17,937

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Net present value before tax discounted at 10%:(2)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)

Reserves

1P

2P

3P

(MUS)

(MUS)

(MUS)

Caburé Property

150,414

216,859

265,483

Murucututu Property

20,239

72,307

135,821

Other Properties

3,107

7,833

15,418

Total Company

173,759

297,000

416,723

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Murucututu Resource

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

 High Estimate

(MUS)

(MUS)

(MUS)

Risked Contingent Resource

Risked Prospective Resource

48,505

100,348

60,669

208,677

108,043

312,055

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

NET ASSET VALUE

Following the December 31, 2021 reserves evaluation, based on the before tax net present value of Alvopetro’s 2P reserves (discounted at 10%), our total net asset value is $297.3 millionCAD$11.20 per common share outstanding.  Our 2P net asset value of $297.3 million is before including the before tax net present value (discounted at 10%) of our risked best estimate risked contingent resource of $60.7 million and our risked prospective resource of $208.7 million from the Murucututu natural gas field.

Net Asset Value (in MUS, other than per share amounts)

1P

2P

3P

Before Tax Net Present Value, discounted at 10% (MUS)

173,759

297,000

416,723

Working capital net of debt – as at September 30, 2021(a)(b)

294

294

294

Total Net Asset Value(b),(c)(d)

174,053

297,294

417,017

CAD per basic share(e)

6.56

11.20

15.71

a)

Working capital net of debt is computed as the Company’s net working capital the carrying amount of the Company’s Credit Facility, decreased by net working capital surplus, as of September 30, 2021.

b)

Non-GAAP measure. See ‘Non-GAAP Measures‘ in this news release.

c)

Alvopetro has reflected the contractual obligations pursuant to our September 2018 Gas Treatment Agreement with Enerflex, including the equipment rental component of the agreement which is treated as a right of use asset and reflected as a capital lease obligation on our financial statements. As the future capital lease payments reduce the forecasted future net revenue in all reserves categories, the capital lease obligation as reflected on the Company’s financial statements has not been included in the table above.

d)

The net asset value reflected above includes the present value of before tax cash flows from the Company’s reserves only. No amounts have been included with respect to contingent or prospective resource volumes.

e)

Converted to Canadian dollars (“CAD”) based on the exchange rate on March 7, 2022. The per share calculation is computed based on 33.9 million common shares outstanding as of March 7, 2022.

PRICING ASSUMPTIONS – FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS 

GLJ employed the following pricing and inflation rate assumptions as of January 1, 2022 in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report in estimating reserves and resources data using forecast prices and costs.

Year

Brent Blend Crude Oil FOB North Sea ($/Bbl) 

National Balancing Point (UK)($/mmbtu)

NYMEX Henry Hub Near Month Contract($/mmbtu)

Alvopetro-Bahiagas Gas Contract$/mmbtu(Current Year)

Alvopetro-Bahiagas Gas Contract$/mmbtu(Previous Year)

Change from prior year

2022

76.00

20.75

3.80

9.51

6.40

49%

2023

72.51

12.00

3.50

10.09

6.65

52%

2024

71.24

8.50

3.15

9.86

6.89

43%

2025

72.66

8.67

3.21

9.00

7.14

26%

2026

74.12

8.84

3.28

8.89

7.31

22%

2027

75.59

9.02

3.34

8.99

7.45

21%

2028

77.11

9.20

3.41

9.15

7.59

21%

2029

78.66

9.39

3.48

9.33

7.74

21%

2030

80.22

9.57

3.55

9.52

7.90

21%

2031*

81.83

9.76

3.62

9.71

8.06

20%

*Escalated at 2% per year thereafter

As of February 1, 2022, Alvopetro’s contracted natural gas price under the terms of our long-term gas sales agreement is based on the ceiling price within the contract and is forecasted to remain at the ceiling price until 2024. The forecasted prices in the GLJ Reserves and Resource Report do not reflect the most recent increase in global commodity prices which further extends the period under which Alvopetro’s contracted price will be at the ceiling in the contract.  The ceiling price incorporates assumed US inflation of 5% in 2022, 3% in 2023 and 2% thereafter.

GLJ RESERVES AND RESOURCES REPORT 

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report has been prepared in accordance with the standards contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”) that are consistent with the standards of National Instrument 51-101 (“NI 51-101”). GLJ is a qualified reserves evaluator as defined in NI 51-101. The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report was an evaluation of all reserves of Alvopetro including our Caburé and Caburé Leste natural gas fields (collectively referred to as our Caburé natural gas field), our Murucututu natural gas project (previously referred to as Gomo), as well as our Bom Lugar and Mãe-da-lua oil fields. The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report also includes an evaluation of the gas resources of our Murucututu natural gas.  In addition to the reserves assigned to our two existing Murucututu wells (197-1 and 183-1) and two additional development locations, contingent resource was assigned to the area in proximity to our existing Murucututu reserves, deemed to be discovered.  The area mapped by 3D seismic west and north of the area defined as contingent was assigned prospective resource. Additional reserves and resources information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in the Company’s Annual Information Form for the 2021 fiscal year which will be filed on SEDAR by April 30, 2022.

December 31, 2021 Reserves Information:

Summary of Reserves (1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(8)

Light & Medium Oil

Residue Gas

Natural Gas Liquids

Oil Equivalent

Company Gross

Company Net

Company Gross

Company Net

Company Gross

CompanyNet

Company Gross

Company Net

(Mbbl)

(Mbbl)

(MMcf)

(MMcf)

(Mbbl)

(Mbbl)

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

Proved

Producing

0

0

18,267

17,287

180

171

3,224

3,052

Developed Non-Producing

26

23

2,095

1,953

52

48

427

397

Undeveloped

147

138

3,254

3,012

80

74

770

714

Total Proved

173

161

23,616

22,252

312

294

4,421

4,163

      Probable

137

128

22,731

21,331

390

365

4,316

4,048

Total Proved plus Probable

310

289

46,347

43,583

702

659

8,737

8,212

      Possible

296

277

23,401

21,866

443

413

4,639

4,334

Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible

606

565

69,748

65,448

1,146

1,072

13,376

12,545

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Summary of Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue – MUS (2)(5)(7)(8)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Proved

Producing

175,800

162,812

150,414

139,568

130,152

Developed Non-Producing

13,952

10,341

7,977

6,411

5,327

Undeveloped

35,028

22,103

15,369

11,298

8,559

Total Proved

224,780

195,256

173,759

157,277

144,037

       Probable

267,646

168,096

123,240

96,623

78,449

Total Proved plus Probable

492,425

363,352

297,000

253,900

222,486

       Possible

316,880

175,731

119,723

89,422

70,217

Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible

809,305

539,083

416,723

343,322

292,703

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Summary of After Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue – MUS (2)(5)(7)(8)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Proved

Producing

158,208

146,984

136,050

126,439

118,078

Developed Non-Producing

11,493

8,683

6,730

5,402

4,469

Undeveloped

26,984

17,474

12,283

9,039

6,802

Total Proved

196,686

173,141

155,064

140,880

129,349

       Probable

207,798

135,466

100,859

79,563

64,708

Total Proved plus Probable

404,484

308,607

255,923

220,443

194,057

       Possible

241,128

139,526

97,153

73,331

57,863

Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible

645,612

448,133

353,076

293,774

251,919

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Future Development Costs (2)(5)(7)(8)(12)(13)

The table below sets out the total development costs deducted in the estimation in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report of future net revenue attributable to proved reserves, proved plus probable reserves and proved plus probable plus possible reserves (using forecast prices and costs), by field. Total development costs include capital costs for drilling and facility and pipeline expenditures but excludes abandonment and reclamation costs.

Under each reserve category, Alvopetro has elected to reflect 100% of the contractual obligations pursuant to our Gas Treatment Agreement with Enerflex, including all operating, capital, and related financing costs for the full duration of the agreement. These costs are mainly attributable to the Caburé field and also represent the majority of the future development costs for the Caburé field in the table below. The future costs associated with equipment rental are also reflected as a capital lease obligation on our financial statements other than future anticipated equipment rental costs associated with the facility expansion, which will be reflected once completed.

The future development costs for the Murucututu field in the proved category are for the remaining costs anticipated in 2022 for the pipeline and field facility development to tie-in the 183(1) well to Alvopetro’s midstream assets, as well as a development location. In the probable and possible categories, there are future development costs for an additional development location and the stimulation and tie-in of the 197(1) well. Also included in the Murucututu future development costs for all reserve categories are a portion of the anticipated contractual obligations associated with the expansion of the gas treatment facility. The future development costs for Bom Lugar in the proved category include costs for a directional wellbore and facilities upgrade. A second directional well is included in the future development costs for the possible category for Bom Lugar. Future development costs at the Mãe-da-lua field relate to a stimulation of the existing producing well.

MUS, Undiscounted

2022

2024

2024

2025

2026

Remaining

Total

Proved

Caburé Natural Gas Field 

3,000

1,730

1,730

1,730

5,096

13,286

Murucututu Gas Field

10,550

433

441

11,424

Bom Lugar Oil Field

333

2,771

3,104

Mãe-da-lua Oil Field

439

439

Total Proved

13,883

5,373

2,171

1,730

5,096

28,253

Proved Plus Probable

Caburé Natural Gas Field

3,000

1,730

1,730

1,730

1,730

4,237

14,157

Murucututu Gas Field

16,350

1,463

441

450

459

468

19,631

Bom Lugar Oil Field

333

3,517

3,850

Mãe-da-lua Oil Field

0

439

439

Total Proved Plus Probable

19,638

7,149

2,171

2,180

2,189

4,705

38,078

Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible

Caburé Natural Gas Field

3,000

1,730

1,730

1,730

1,730

5,786

15,706

Murucututu Gas Field

16,350

1,463

441

450

459

946

20,109

Bom Lugar Oil Field

333

7,514

7,847

Mãe-da-lua Oil Field

0

439

439

Total Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible

19,683

11,146

2,171

2,180

2,189

6,732

44,101

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Reconciliation of Alvopetro’s Gross Reserves (Before Royalty) (1)(5)(7)(8)(13)

 

 

Proved(Mboe)

 

 

Probable(Mboe)

 

Proved Plus Probable(Mboe)

 

 

Possible(Mboe)

Proved plus Probable plus Possible

(Mboe)

December 31, 2020

 

5,108

4,485

9,593

4,615

14,209

Extensions

176

(176)

Technical Revisions

(12)

11

(1)

24

23

Economic Factors

9

(4)

5

5

Production

(861)

(861)

(861)

December 31, 2021

4,421

4,316

8,737

4,639

13,376

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

December 31, 2021 Murucututu Contingent Resources Information:

Summary of Unrisked Company Gross Contingent Resources (1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(10)(11)

Development Pending Economic Contingent Resources

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

 High Estimate

Residue gas (MMcf)

15,719

20,061

32,984

Natural gas liquids (Mbbl)

389

496

815

Oil equivalent (Mboe)

3,008

3,839

6,313

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Summary of Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue of Unrisked Contingent Resources- MUS (2)(5)(10)(11)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Low Estimate

158,700

84,965

53,745

37,370

27,487

Best Estimate

222,759

109,139

67,223

46,563

34,432

High Estimate

415,317

193,940

119,715

84,746

64,509

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

The GLJ Contingent Resource Report for Murucututu assumes capital deployment during 2023 for the drilling of wells and expansion of facilities, with total project costs of $23.9 million and first commercial production in 2023. There can be no certainty that the project will developed on the timelines discussed herein. Development of the project is dependent on several contingencies as further described in this news release.  The information presented herein is based on company net project development costs.

Summary of Development Pending Risked Company Gross Contingent Resources(1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(10)(11)

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report estimates the Chance of Development as the product of two main contingencies associated with the project development, which are: 1) the probability of corporate sanctioning, which GLJ estimates at 95%; 2) the probability finalization of a development plan, which GLJ estimates at 95%. The product of these two contingencies is 90%.   As there is no risk related to discovery, the Chance of Commerciality for the contingent resource is therefore 90% which is the risk factor that has been applied to the Development Risked company gross contingent resources and the net present value figures reported below.

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

 High Estimate

Residue gas (MMcf)

14,187

18,105

29,768

Natural Gas Liquids (Mbbl)

351

448

736

Oil equivalent (Mboe)

2,715

3,465

5,697

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Summary of Development Pending Risked Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue of Contingent Resources- MUS(2)(5)(10)(11)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Low Estimate

143,226

76,681

48,505

33,726

24,807

Best Estimate

201,040

98,498

60,669

42,023

31,074

High Estimate

374,824

175,031

108,043

76,483

58,219

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

December 31, 2021 Murucututu Prospective Resources Information:

Summary of Unrisked Company Gross Prospective Resources (1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(9)(11)

Prospective Resources

Low

Best

High

Residue gas (MMcf)

42,228

78,126

115,553

Natural gas liquids (Mbbl)

1,044

1,931

2,856

Oil equivalent (Mboe)

8,082

14,952

22,115

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Summary of Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue of Unrisked Prospective Resources- MUS (2)(5)(9)(11)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Low Estimate

474,489

220,405

123,722

77,245

51,350

Best Estimate

1,005,490

449,220

257,284

167,675

117,555

High Estimate

1,584,857

678,025

384,741

252,103

178,690

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

The GLJ Prospective Resource Report for Murucututu assumes capital deployment starting 2024 for the drilling of wells, expansion of field facilities, and additional pipeline capacity, with total project costs of $66.1 million and first commercial production in 2024. There can be no certainty that the project will developed on the timelines discussed herein. Development of the project is dependent on several contingencies as further described in this news release.  The information presented herein is based on company project development costs.

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report estimates the Chance of Commerciality as the product between the Chance of Discovery and the Chance of Development. The Chance of Discovery of the prospective resources has been assessed at 90%, while the Chance of Development has been assessed as the same as for the Contingent Resources described above at 90%. The resulting Chance of Commerciality is 81%, which has been applied to the company gross unrisked prospective resources and the net present value figures reported below.   

Summary of Development Risked Company Gross Prospective Resources(1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(9)(11)

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report estimates the Chance of Commerciality as the product between the Chance of Discovery and the Chance of Development. The Chance of Discovery of the prospective resources has been assessed at 90%, while the Chance of Development has been assessed as the same as for the Contingent Resources described above at 90%. The resulting Chance of Commerciality is 81%, which has been applied to the company gross unrisked prospective resources and the net present value figures reported below.   

Low

Best

High

Residue gas (MMcf)

34,250

63,366

93,723

Natural gas liquids (Mboe)

847

1,566

2,317

Oil equivalent (Mboe)

6,555

12,127

17,937

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Summary of Development Risked Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue of Prospective Resources- MUS(2)(5)(9)(11)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Low Estimate

384,847

178,765

100,348

62,652

41,649

Best Estimate

815,529

364,352

208,677

135,997

95,346

High Estimate

1,285,440

549,930

312,055

204,475

144,931

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Upcoming 2021 Results and Live Webcast

Alvopetro anticipates announcing its 2021 fourth quarter and year-end results on March 17, 2022 after markets close and will host a live webcast to discuss the results at 8:00 am Mountain time, on the March 18, 2022. Details for joining the event are as follows:

DATE: March 18, 2022TIME: 8:00 AM Mountain/10:00 AM EasternLINK: https://zoom.us/j/99386897923  DIAL-IN NUMBERS: https://zoom.us/u/aixrWbAbO  WEBINAR ID: 993 8689 7923

The webcast will include a question and answer period. Online participants will be able to ask questions through the Zoom portal. Dial-in participants can email questions directly to socialmedia@alvopetro.com.

Corporate Presentation

Alvopetro’s updated corporate presentation is available on our website at:

http://www.alvopetro.com/corporate-presentation

FOOTNOTES

(1)

Mboe = thousands of barrels of oil equivalent.

(2)

MUS = 000’s of U.S. dollars.

(3)

Mbbl = thousands of barrels.

(4)

MMcf = Million cubic feet.

(5)

References to Company Gross reserves or Company Gross Resources means the total working interest share of remaining recoverable reserves or resources owned by Alvopetro before deductions of royalties payable to others and without including any royalty interests owned by Alvopetro. 

(6)

References to “Other Properties” refers to the Company’s Bom Lugar and Mae-da-lua oil fields.

(7)

The tables above are a summary of the reserves of Alvopetro and the net present value of future net revenue attributable to such reserves as evaluated in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report based on forecast price and cost assumptions. The tables summarize the data contained in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report and as a result may contain slightly different numbers than such report due to rounding. Also due to rounding, certain columns may not add exactly.

(8)

Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves.  There is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

(9)

Prospective Resources – Prospective Resources are defined in the COGE Handbook as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects.  Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of development.  There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered and even if discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion. Prospective Resources are further subdivided in accordance with the level of certainty associated with recoverable estimates assuming their discovery as described in footnote 11.

(10)

Contingent Resources are defined in the COGE Handbook as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as contingent resources the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage.  Contingent Resources are further classified in accordance with the level of certainty associated with the estimates as described in footnote 11 and may be subclassified based on project maturity and/or characterized by their economic status. The Contingent Resources estimated in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report are classified as “economic contingent resources”, which are those contingent resources that are currently economically recoverable.  All such resources are further sub-classified with a project status of “development pending”, meaning that resolution of the final conditions for development are being actively pursued. The recovery estimates of the Company’s contingent resources provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated resources will be recovered. There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. Actual recovered resource may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.

(11)

Low Estimate: This is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 90 percent probability (P90) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the low estimate.

Best Estimate: This is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50 percent probability (P50) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate.

High Estimate: This is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the high estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10 percent probability (P10) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the high estimate.

(12)

The net present value of future net revenue attributable to Alvopetro’s reserves and resources are stated without provision for interest costs and general and administrative costs, but after providing for estimated royalties, production costs, development costs, other income, future capital expenditures, well abandonment and reclamation costs for only those wells assigned reserves and material dedicated gathering systems and facilities. The net present values of future net revenue attributable to the Alvopetro’s reserves and resources estimated by GLJ do not represent the fair market value of those reserves. Other assumptions and qualifications relating to costs, prices for future production and other matters are summarized herein. The recovery and reserve and resource estimates of the Company’s reserves and resources provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves and resources will be recovered. Actual reserves and resources may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.

(13)

GLJ’s January 1, 2022 escalated price forecast is used in the determination of future gas sales prices under Alvopetro’s long-term gas sales agreement and for all forecasted oil sales and natural gas liquids sales. See https://www.gljpc.com/sites/default/files/pricing/jan22.pdf  for GLJ’s price forecast.

(14)

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report was an evaluation of the Company’s contingent and prospective resource of the Company’s Murucututu natural gas project and excluded an evaluation of the 183-B1 and 182-C1 exploration prospects which were evaluated by GLJ in an independent resource assessment dated September 4, 2020 with an effective date of July 31, 2020. For further details, see our September 8, 2020 press release and the annual information for the year-ended December 31, 2020 which has been filed on SEDAR.

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

All amounts contained in this news release are in United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.

Oil and Natural Gas Reserves. The disclosure in this news release summarizes certain information contained in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report but represents only a portion of the disclosure required under NI 51-101. Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s reserves as at December 31, 2021 will be contained in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2021 which will be filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) on or before April 30, 2022. All net present values in this press release are based on estimates of future operating and capital costs and GLJ’s forecast prices as of December 31, 2021. The reserves definitions used in this evaluation are the standards defined by COGEH reserve definitions and are consistent with NI 51-101 and used by GLJ. The net present values of future net revenue attributable to the Alvopetro’s reserves estimated by GLJ do not represent the fair market value of those reserves. Other assumptions and qualifications relating to costs, prices for future production and other matters are summarized herein. The recovery and reserve estimates of the Company’s reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

Contingent Resources. This news release discloses estimates of Alvopetro’s contingent resources and the net present value associated with net revenues associated with the production of such contingent resources as included in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of such contingent resources and the estimated future net revenues do not necessarily represent the fair market value of such contingent resources. Estimates of contingent resources involve additional risks over estimates of reserves. Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s contingent resources as at December 31, 2021 will be contained in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2021 which will be filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) on or before April 30, 2022.

Prospective Resources – This news release discloses estimates of Alvopetro’s prospective resources included in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report. There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered and even if discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portionEstimates of prospective resources involve additional risks over estimates of reserves. The accuracy of any resources estimate is a function of the quality and quantity of available data and of engineering interpretation and judgment. While resources presented herein are considered reasonable, the estimates should be accepted with the understanding that reservoir performance subsequent to the date of the estimate may justify revision, either upward or downward. Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s prospective resources as at December 31, 2021 will be contained in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2021 which will be filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) on or before April 30, 2022.

Abbreviations:

1P

=

proved reserves

2P

=

proved plus probable reserves

3P

=

proved plus probable plus possible reserves

CAD$

=

Canadian dollars

F&D

=

finding and development costs

FDC

=

future development costs;

Mboe

=

thousand barrels of oil equivalent

MMbtu

=

million British Thermal Units

MMcf

=

million cubic feet

MMcf/d

=

million cubic feet per day

MMboe

=

million barrels of oil equivalent

MMUS

=

millions of U.S. dollars

MUS

=

thousands of U.S. dollars

 

BOE Disclosure. The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.

Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward–looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning the plans relating to the Company’s operational activities and the expected natural gas price, gas sales and gas deliveries under Alvopetro’s long-term gas sales agreement. The forward–looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors.  Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.

Non-GAAP Measures. This news release contains financial terms that are not considered measures under International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”), such as working capital net of debt and net asset value. Working capital net of debt is computed as current assets less the sum of current liabilities and the carrying amount of the Company’s credit facility. Net asset value is computed based on the before-tax net present value of the Company’s proved plus probable reserves, discounted at 10%, increased by the Company’s working capital net of debt.  The non-GAAP measures do not have standardized meanings under IFRS and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. While these measures may be common in the oil and gas industry, the Company’s use of these terms may not be comparable to similarly defined measures presented by other companies. The non-GAAP measures referred to in this report should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than measures prescribed by IFRS and they are not meant to enhance the Company’s reported financial performance or position.  For more information with respect to financial measures which have not been defined by GAAP, including reconciliations to the closest comparable GAAP measure, see the “Non-GAAP Measures” section of the Company’s most recent MD&A which may be accessed through the SEDAR website at www.sedar.com.

SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.

Can Icahn and Buffett Both be Right on Occidental Petroleum



Carl Icahn Selling into Warren Buffet’s Buying, Can they Both be Right?

 

“We started buying on Monday, and we bought all we could,” Warren Buffett told CNBC. The Berkshire Hathaway CEO was discussing a new 91.2 million share stake his company took in Occidental Petroleum (OXY). At the same time, Carl Icahn, another renowned investor, has been selling shares of OXY. Can they both be right?

 

Warren Buffet on OXY

Buffett pulled the trigger on $4.5 billion of Occidental, an energy exploration and production company, last week.  This gives Berkshire close to a 10% stake in the company. This is an increase in exposure for Berkshire as it also has positions worth $10 billion of preferred shares, along with warrants to buy 83.9 million common shares exercisable at $59.62.

Berkshires 2021 annual report showed they held $144 billion in cash and equivalents.

Carl Icahn on OXY

Billionaire investor Carl Icahn, sold his remaining lot of OXY last week. According to The Wall Street Journal, Icahn made about $1 billion on Occidental stock and still holds about 15 million in warrants (OXY WS). The warrants, which trade at around $34, have an exercise price of $22 a share (current level $57-$58).

Icahn still continues to have exposure to the energy sector through a roughly 6.4% stake worth $2 billion in Cheniere Energy (LNG), a liquefied natural gas producer, and a controlling interest worth $1 billion in CVR Energy (CVI), a petroleum refiner.

The activist investor became involved with Occidental in 2019 around the same time as Buffett. He urged the company to not pursue the debt-financed deal for Anadarko, which Buffett was for and helped enable with loans. Berkshire’s warrants and preferred shares were part of financing the arrangement.

 

Buffett vs Icahn

When you find two legendary investors taking opposite sides of the same trade at the same time, in a sector that is moving quickly, it’s worth stopping to try to understand why. Berkshire Hathaway’s Buffet, who is 91, was a heavy buyer of OXY while Carl Icahn, 86, was selling a huge position put on in 2019.

Description:
Since March 2019 OXY has consistently performed below the energy sector and S&P 500

 

There have been other times when one of these two was buying into the other’s selling. In 2016, Icahn exited a position in Apple (AAPL) he had held for about three years. Also, in 2016 Buffett began scaling into Apple. Icahn made a reported $2 billion profit on 180 million shares of Apple. It is unclear if the redeployment of the proceeds of this sale outpaced the earnings that would have occurred if he held Apple, which has grown 500% since.

Apple has been Buffett’s biggest public market win in the past decade. Berkshire holds about 900 million shares worth $145 billion, more than four times its cost.

Investment Styles

As an activist investor, Icahn’s primary methodology is to own a significant enough amount of a company to influence how the company is run. If a profit presents itself, he is likely to take it. Such was the case with the doubling of OXY in two months’ time this year.

Berkshire’s portfolio is mostly non-public companies it owns outright. As for publicly traded stocks, Buffett’s style is to be patient waiting for value in terms of price and potential.  Buffett has described his favorite holding period as “forever.”

Berkshire is also cash-heavy and should like to deploy $80 billion, but has been priced out of stocks and acquisitions for several years now. With recent market weakness, there may be some big purchases on the horizon.

Take-Away

Investors have different time frames and risk tolerance. More active traders like Icahn may sell if they see other opportunities where they believe the capital could produce a better return, whereas Berkshire’s longer-term view and huge cash position, could make their transactions based on a totally different set of factors. For Berkshire, this purchase may be as easy to understand as asking “do we expect OXY to perform better than cash.”

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading



Using Warren Buffett’s SEC Filing as an Oracle



Cathie Wood Says Benchmark Funds are Where the Risk Is





Michael Burry vs Cathie Wood is Not an Even Competition



Warren Buffett vs Elon Musk, Who’s Right

 

Sources

https://www.channelchek.com/news-channel/Pros_and_Cons_of_a_Company_Like_Berkshire_Hathaway_in_your_Portfolio

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/05/berkshire-hathaway-reveals-5-billion-stake-in-oil-giant-occidental-petroleum.html

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/315090/000089924322009579/xslF345X03/doc4.xml

https://www.barrons.com/articles/warren-buffett-was-buying-occidental-carl-icahn-was-selling-who-will-be-right-51646672487?mod=hp_columnists


 

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Can Icahn and Buffett Both be Right on Occidental Petroleum?



Carl Icahn Selling into Warren Buffet’s Buying, Can they Both be Right?

 

“We started buying on Monday, and we bought all we could,” Warren Buffett told CNBC. The Berkshire Hathaway CEO was discussing a new 91.2 million share stake his company took in Occidental Petroleum (OXY). At the same time, Carl Icahn, another renowned investor, has been selling shares of OXY. Can they both be right?

 

Warren Buffet on OXY

Buffett pulled the trigger on $4.5 billion of Occidental, an energy exploration and production company, last week.  This gives Berkshire close to a 10% stake in the company. This is an increase in exposure for Berkshire as it also has positions worth $10 billion of preferred shares, along with warrants to buy 83.9 million common shares exercisable at $59.62.

Berkshires 2021 annual report showed they held $144 billion in cash and equivalents.

Carl Icahn on OXY

Billionaire investor Carl Icahn, sold his remaining lot of OXY last week. According to The Wall Street Journal, Icahn made about $1 billion on Occidental stock and still holds about 15 million in warrants (OXY WS). The warrants, which trade at around $34, have an exercise price of $22 a share (current level $57-$58).

Icahn still continues to have exposure to the energy sector through a roughly 6.4% stake worth $2 billion in Cheniere Energy (LNG), a liquefied natural gas producer, and a controlling interest worth $1 billion in CVR Energy (CVI), a petroleum refiner.

The activist investor became involved with Occidental in 2019 around the same time as Buffett. He urged the company to not pursue the debt-financed deal for Anadarko, which Buffett was for and helped enable with loans. Berkshire’s warrants and preferred shares were part of financing the arrangement.

 

Buffett vs Icahn

When you find two legendary investors taking opposite sides of the same trade at the same time, in a sector that is moving quickly, it’s worth stopping to try to understand why. Berkshire Hathaway’s Buffet, who is 91, was a heavy buyer of OXY while Carl Icahn, 86, was selling a huge position put on in 2019.

Description:
Since March 2019 OXY has consistently performed below the energy sector and S&P 500

 

There have been other times when one of these two was buying into the other’s selling. In 2016, Icahn exited a position in Apple (AAPL) he had held for about three years. Also, in 2016 Buffett began scaling into Apple. Icahn made a reported $2 billion profit on 180 million shares of Apple. It is unclear if the redeployment of the proceeds of this sale outpaced the earnings that would have occurred if he held Apple, which has grown 500% since.

Apple has been Buffett’s biggest public market win in the past decade. Berkshire holds about 900 million shares worth $145 billion, more than four times its cost.

Investment Styles

As an activist investor, Icahn’s primary methodology is to own a significant enough amount of a company to influence how the company is run. If a profit presents itself, he is likely to take it. Such was the case with the doubling of OXY in two months’ time this year.

Berkshire’s portfolio is mostly non-public companies it owns outright. As for publicly traded stocks, Buffett’s style is to be patient waiting for value in terms of price and potential.  Buffett has described his favorite holding period as “forever.”

Berkshire is also cash-heavy and should like to deploy $80 billion, but has been priced out of stocks and acquisitions for several years now. With recent market weakness, there may be some big purchases on the horizon.

Take-Away

Investors have different time frames and risk tolerance. More active traders like Icahn may sell if they see other opportunities where they believe the capital could produce a better return, whereas Berkshire’s longer-term view and huge cash position, could make their transactions based on a totally different set of factors. For Berkshire, this purchase may be as easy to understand as asking “do we expect OXY to perform better than cash.”

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading



Using Warren Buffett’s SEC Filing as an Oracle



Cathie Wood Says Benchmark Funds are Where the Risk Is





Michael Burry vs Cathie Wood is Not an Even Competition



Warren Buffett vs Elon Musk, Who’s Right

 

Sources

https://channelchek.vercel.app/news-channel/Pros_and_Cons_of_a_Company_Like_Berkshire_Hathaway_in_your_Portfolio

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/05/berkshire-hathaway-reveals-5-billion-stake-in-oil-giant-occidental-petroleum.html

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/315090/000089924322009579/xslF345X03/doc4.xml

https://www.barrons.com/articles/warren-buffett-was-buying-occidental-carl-icahn-was-selling-who-will-be-right-51646672487?mod=hp_columnists


 

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Alvopetro Announces 2021 Year End Reserves With a 52% Increase In 2P NPV Before Tax



Alvopetro Announces 2021 Year End Reserves With a 52% Increase In 2P NPV Before Tax

News, and Market Data on Alvopetro Energy

 

CALGARY, ABMarch 8, 2022 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV:ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces our reserves as at December 31, 2021 with total proved plus probable (“2P”) reserves of 8.7 mmboe and a before tax net present value discounted at 10% of $297.0 million.  The before tax net present value of our 2P reserves (discounted at 10%) increased by 52% from December 31, 2020, primarily due to increases in forecasted natural gas prices. 2P reserve volumes decreased by 9% due to 2021 production. In addition, Alvopetro announces the December 31, 2021 assessment of the Company’s Murucututu natural gas resource (previously referred to as the Gomo natural gas resource) with risked best estimate contingent resource of 3.5 mmboe and risked best estimate prospective resource of 12.1 mmboe, both of which are virtually unchanged from December 31, 2020.  The Murucututu natural gas contingent and prospective resource values (risked best estimate net present value before tax, discounted at 10%) increased by 61% to $60.7 million and by 44% to $208.7 million, respectively.  The reserves and resources data set forth herein is based on an independent reserves and resources assessment and evaluation prepared by GLJ Ltd. (“GLJ”) dated March 7, 2022 with an effective date of December 31, 2021 (the “GLJ Reserves and Resources Report”).  

All references herein to $ refer to United States dollars, unless otherwise stated.

December 31, 2021 GLJ Reserves and Resource Report Highlights

  • 2P net present value before tax discounted at 10% increased 52% to $297.0 million primarily due to higher forecasted commodity prices.
  • Proved reserves (“1P”) and 2P reserves decreased to 4.4 mmboe (-13%) and 8.7 mmboe (-9%) respectively, due to 2021 production volumes.
  • This represents a 2P Net Asset Value of CAD$11.20/share ($8.77/share).
  • Risked best estimate contingent and risked best estimate prospective resource of 3.5 mmboe and 12.1 mmboe, respectively were consistent with prior year with an increase of 61% and 44% respectively on risked best estimate before tax net present value discounted at 10%, due primarily to higher forecasted commodity prices.

Corey Ruttan, President and Chief Executive Officer, commented:

“Our 2021 year-end reserves and resource evaluations highlight the strong profitability from our Caburé natural gas field and the long-term potential of our Murucututu project. The increase in forecasted cash flows reflects the impact of global commodity prices on our forecasted natural gas prices under our long-term gas sales agreement and our most recent price increase effective February 1, 2022. Our 2022 capital program is focused on natural gas exploration and development aimed at expanding our production and reserve base and maximizing the utilization of our strategic midstream infrastructure that is concurrently being expanded to a capacity of at least 500,000 m3/d (17.7 mmcfpd).”

SUMMARY

December 31, 2021 Gross Reserve and Gross Resource Volumes: (1)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(14)

December 31, 2021 Reserves (Gross)

Total Proved(1P)

Total Proved plus Probable(2P)

Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible (3P)

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

Caburé Property

3,224

5,141

6,796

Murucututu Property

1,024

3,286

5,974

Other Properties

173

310

606

Total Company Reserves

4,421

8,737

13,376

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

December 31, 2021 Murucututu Resources (Gross)

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

 High Estimate

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

Risked Contingent Resource

Risked Prospective Resource

2,715

6,555

3,465

12,127

5,697

17,937

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Net present value before tax discounted at 10%:(2)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)

Reserves

1P

2P

3P

(MUS)

(MUS)

(MUS)

Caburé Property

150,414

216,859

265,483

Murucututu Property

20,239

72,307

135,821

Other Properties

3,107

7,833

15,418

Total Company

173,759

297,000

416,723

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Murucututu Resource

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

 High Estimate

(MUS)

(MUS)

(MUS)

Risked Contingent Resource

Risked Prospective Resource

48,505

100,348

60,669

208,677

108,043

312,055

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

NET ASSET VALUE

Following the December 31, 2021 reserves evaluation, based on the before tax net present value of Alvopetro’s 2P reserves (discounted at 10%), our total net asset value is $297.3 millionCAD$11.20 per common share outstanding.  Our 2P net asset value of $297.3 million is before including the before tax net present value (discounted at 10%) of our risked best estimate risked contingent resource of $60.7 million and our risked prospective resource of $208.7 million from the Murucututu natural gas field.

Net Asset Value (in MUS, other than per share amounts)

1P

2P

3P

Before Tax Net Present Value, discounted at 10% (MUS)

173,759

297,000

416,723

Working capital net of debt – as at September 30, 2021(a)(b)

294

294

294

Total Net Asset Value(b),(c)(d)

174,053

297,294

417,017

CAD per basic share(e)

6.56

11.20

15.71

a)

Working capital net of debt is computed as the Company’s net working capital the carrying amount of the Company’s Credit Facility, decreased by net working capital surplus, as of September 30, 2021.

b)

Non-GAAP measure. See ‘Non-GAAP Measures‘ in this news release.

c)

Alvopetro has reflected the contractual obligations pursuant to our September 2018 Gas Treatment Agreement with Enerflex, including the equipment rental component of the agreement which is treated as a right of use asset and reflected as a capital lease obligation on our financial statements. As the future capital lease payments reduce the forecasted future net revenue in all reserves categories, the capital lease obligation as reflected on the Company’s financial statements has not been included in the table above.

d)

The net asset value reflected above includes the present value of before tax cash flows from the Company’s reserves only. No amounts have been included with respect to contingent or prospective resource volumes.

e)

Converted to Canadian dollars (“CAD”) based on the exchange rate on March 7, 2022. The per share calculation is computed based on 33.9 million common shares outstanding as of March 7, 2022.

PRICING ASSUMPTIONS – FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS 

GLJ employed the following pricing and inflation rate assumptions as of January 1, 2022 in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report in estimating reserves and resources data using forecast prices and costs.

Year

Brent Blend Crude Oil FOB North Sea ($/Bbl) 

National Balancing Point (UK)($/mmbtu)

NYMEX Henry Hub Near Month Contract($/mmbtu)

Alvopetro-Bahiagas Gas Contract$/mmbtu(Current Year)

Alvopetro-Bahiagas Gas Contract$/mmbtu(Previous Year)

Change from prior year

2022

76.00

20.75

3.80

9.51

6.40

49%

2023

72.51

12.00

3.50

10.09

6.65

52%

2024

71.24

8.50

3.15

9.86

6.89

43%

2025

72.66

8.67

3.21

9.00

7.14

26%

2026

74.12

8.84

3.28

8.89

7.31

22%

2027

75.59

9.02

3.34

8.99

7.45

21%

2028

77.11

9.20

3.41

9.15

7.59

21%

2029

78.66

9.39

3.48

9.33

7.74

21%

2030

80.22

9.57

3.55

9.52

7.90

21%

2031*

81.83

9.76

3.62

9.71

8.06

20%

*Escalated at 2% per year thereafter

As of February 1, 2022, Alvopetro’s contracted natural gas price under the terms of our long-term gas sales agreement is based on the ceiling price within the contract and is forecasted to remain at the ceiling price until 2024. The forecasted prices in the GLJ Reserves and Resource Report do not reflect the most recent increase in global commodity prices which further extends the period under which Alvopetro’s contracted price will be at the ceiling in the contract.  The ceiling price incorporates assumed US inflation of 5% in 2022, 3% in 2023 and 2% thereafter.

GLJ RESERVES AND RESOURCES REPORT 

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report has been prepared in accordance with the standards contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”) that are consistent with the standards of National Instrument 51-101 (“NI 51-101”). GLJ is a qualified reserves evaluator as defined in NI 51-101. The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report was an evaluation of all reserves of Alvopetro including our Caburé and Caburé Leste natural gas fields (collectively referred to as our Caburé natural gas field), our Murucututu natural gas project (previously referred to as Gomo), as well as our Bom Lugar and Mãe-da-lua oil fields. The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report also includes an evaluation of the gas resources of our Murucututu natural gas.  In addition to the reserves assigned to our two existing Murucututu wells (197-1 and 183-1) and two additional development locations, contingent resource was assigned to the area in proximity to our existing Murucututu reserves, deemed to be discovered.  The area mapped by 3D seismic west and north of the area defined as contingent was assigned prospective resource. Additional reserves and resources information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in the Company’s Annual Information Form for the 2021 fiscal year which will be filed on SEDAR by April 30, 2022.

December 31, 2021 Reserves Information:

Summary of Reserves (1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(8)

Light & Medium Oil

Residue Gas

Natural Gas Liquids

Oil Equivalent

Company Gross

Company Net

Company Gross

Company Net

Company Gross

CompanyNet

Company Gross

Company Net

(Mbbl)

(Mbbl)

(MMcf)

(MMcf)

(Mbbl)

(Mbbl)

(Mboe)

(Mboe)

Proved

Producing

0

0

18,267

17,287

180

171

3,224

3,052

Developed Non-Producing

26

23

2,095

1,953

52

48

427

397

Undeveloped

147

138

3,254

3,012

80

74

770

714

Total Proved

173

161

23,616

22,252

312

294

4,421

4,163

      Probable

137

128

22,731

21,331

390

365

4,316

4,048

Total Proved plus Probable

310

289

46,347

43,583

702

659

8,737

8,212

      Possible

296

277

23,401

21,866

443

413

4,639

4,334

Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible

606

565

69,748

65,448

1,146

1,072

13,376

12,545

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Summary of Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue – MUS (2)(5)(7)(8)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Proved

Producing

175,800

162,812

150,414

139,568

130,152

Developed Non-Producing

13,952

10,341

7,977

6,411

5,327

Undeveloped

35,028

22,103

15,369

11,298

8,559

Total Proved

224,780

195,256

173,759

157,277

144,037

       Probable

267,646

168,096

123,240

96,623

78,449

Total Proved plus Probable

492,425

363,352

297,000

253,900

222,486

       Possible

316,880

175,731

119,723

89,422

70,217

Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible

809,305

539,083

416,723

343,322

292,703

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Summary of After Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue – MUS (2)(5)(7)(8)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Proved

Producing

158,208

146,984

136,050

126,439

118,078

Developed Non-Producing

11,493

8,683

6,730

5,402

4,469

Undeveloped

26,984

17,474

12,283

9,039

6,802

Total Proved

196,686

173,141

155,064

140,880

129,349

       Probable

207,798

135,466

100,859

79,563

64,708

Total Proved plus Probable

404,484

308,607

255,923

220,443

194,057

       Possible

241,128

139,526

97,153

73,331

57,863

Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible

645,612

448,133

353,076

293,774

251,919

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Future Development Costs (2)(5)(7)(8)(12)(13)

The table below sets out the total development costs deducted in the estimation in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report of future net revenue attributable to proved reserves, proved plus probable reserves and proved plus probable plus possible reserves (using forecast prices and costs), by field. Total development costs include capital costs for drilling and facility and pipeline expenditures but excludes abandonment and reclamation costs.

Under each reserve category, Alvopetro has elected to reflect 100% of the contractual obligations pursuant to our Gas Treatment Agreement with Enerflex, including all operating, capital, and related financing costs for the full duration of the agreement. These costs are mainly attributable to the Caburé field and also represent the majority of the future development costs for the Caburé field in the table below. The future costs associated with equipment rental are also reflected as a capital lease obligation on our financial statements other than future anticipated equipment rental costs associated with the facility expansion, which will be reflected once completed.

The future development costs for the Murucututu field in the proved category are for the remaining costs anticipated in 2022 for the pipeline and field facility development to tie-in the 183(1) well to Alvopetro’s midstream assets, as well as a development location. In the probable and possible categories, there are future development costs for an additional development location and the stimulation and tie-in of the 197(1) well. Also included in the Murucututu future development costs for all reserve categories are a portion of the anticipated contractual obligations associated with the expansion of the gas treatment facility. The future development costs for Bom Lugar in the proved category include costs for a directional wellbore and facilities upgrade. A second directional well is included in the future development costs for the possible category for Bom Lugar. Future development costs at the Mãe-da-lua field relate to a stimulation of the existing producing well.

MUS, Undiscounted

2022

2024

2024

2025

2026

Remaining

Total

Proved

Caburé Natural Gas Field 

3,000

1,730

1,730

1,730

5,096

13,286

Murucututu Gas Field

10,550

433

441

11,424

Bom Lugar Oil Field

333

2,771

3,104

Mãe-da-lua Oil Field

439

439

Total Proved

13,883

5,373

2,171

1,730

5,096

28,253

Proved Plus Probable

Caburé Natural Gas Field

3,000

1,730

1,730

1,730

1,730

4,237

14,157

Murucututu Gas Field

16,350

1,463

441

450

459

468

19,631

Bom Lugar Oil Field

333

3,517

3,850

Mãe-da-lua Oil Field

0

439

439

Total Proved Plus Probable

19,638

7,149

2,171

2,180

2,189

4,705

38,078

Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible

Caburé Natural Gas Field

3,000

1,730

1,730

1,730

1,730

5,786

15,706

Murucututu Gas Field

16,350

1,463

441

450

459

946

20,109

Bom Lugar Oil Field

333

7,514

7,847

Mãe-da-lua Oil Field

0

439

439

Total Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible

19,683

11,146

2,171

2,180

2,189

6,732

44,101

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

Reconciliation of Alvopetro’s Gross Reserves (Before Royalty) (1)(5)(7)(8)(13)

 

 

Proved(Mboe)

 

 

Probable(Mboe)

 

Proved Plus Probable(Mboe)

 

 

Possible(Mboe)

Proved plus Probable plus Possible

(Mboe)

December 31, 2020

 

5,108

4,485

9,593

4,615

14,209

Extensions

176

(176)

Technical Revisions

(12)

11

(1)

24

23

Economic Factors

9

(4)

5

5

Production

(861)

(861)

(861)

December 31, 2021

4,421

4,316

8,737

4,639

13,376

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release

December 31, 2021 Murucututu Contingent Resources Information:

Summary of Unrisked Company Gross Contingent Resources (1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(10)(11)

Development Pending Economic Contingent Resources

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

 High Estimate

Residue gas (MMcf)

15,719

20,061

32,984

Natural gas liquids (Mbbl)

389

496

815

Oil equivalent (Mboe)

3,008

3,839

6,313

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Summary of Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue of Unrisked Contingent Resources- MUS (2)(5)(10)(11)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Low Estimate

158,700

84,965

53,745

37,370

27,487

Best Estimate

222,759

109,139

67,223

46,563

34,432

High Estimate

415,317

193,940

119,715

84,746

64,509

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

The GLJ Contingent Resource Report for Murucututu assumes capital deployment during 2023 for the drilling of wells and expansion of facilities, with total project costs of $23.9 million and first commercial production in 2023. There can be no certainty that the project will developed on the timelines discussed herein. Development of the project is dependent on several contingencies as further described in this news release.  The information presented herein is based on company net project development costs.

Summary of Development Pending Risked Company Gross Contingent Resources(1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(10)(11)

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report estimates the Chance of Development as the product of two main contingencies associated with the project development, which are: 1) the probability of corporate sanctioning, which GLJ estimates at 95%; 2) the probability finalization of a development plan, which GLJ estimates at 95%. The product of these two contingencies is 90%.   As there is no risk related to discovery, the Chance of Commerciality for the contingent resource is therefore 90% which is the risk factor that has been applied to the Development Risked company gross contingent resources and the net present value figures reported below.

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

 High Estimate

Residue gas (MMcf)

14,187

18,105

29,768

Natural Gas Liquids (Mbbl)

351

448

736

Oil equivalent (Mboe)

2,715

3,465

5,697

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Summary of Development Pending Risked Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue of Contingent Resources- MUS(2)(5)(10)(11)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Low Estimate

143,226

76,681

48,505

33,726

24,807

Best Estimate

201,040

98,498

60,669

42,023

31,074

High Estimate

374,824

175,031

108,043

76,483

58,219

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

December 31, 2021 Murucututu Prospective Resources Information:

Summary of Unrisked Company Gross Prospective Resources (1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(9)(11)

Prospective Resources

Low

Best

High

Residue gas (MMcf)

42,228

78,126

115,553

Natural gas liquids (Mbbl)

1,044

1,931

2,856

Oil equivalent (Mboe)

8,082

14,952

22,115

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Summary of Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue of Unrisked Prospective Resources- MUS (2)(5)(9)(11)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Low Estimate

474,489

220,405

123,722

77,245

51,350

Best Estimate

1,005,490

449,220

257,284

167,675

117,555

High Estimate

1,584,857

678,025

384,741

252,103

178,690

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

The GLJ Prospective Resource Report for Murucututu assumes capital deployment starting 2024 for the drilling of wells, expansion of field facilities, and additional pipeline capacity, with total project costs of $66.1 million and first commercial production in 2024. There can be no certainty that the project will developed on the timelines discussed herein. Development of the project is dependent on several contingencies as further described in this news release.  The information presented herein is based on company project development costs.

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report estimates the Chance of Commerciality as the product between the Chance of Discovery and the Chance of Development. The Chance of Discovery of the prospective resources has been assessed at 90%, while the Chance of Development has been assessed as the same as for the Contingent Resources described above at 90%. The resulting Chance of Commerciality is 81%, which has been applied to the company gross unrisked prospective resources and the net present value figures reported below.   

Summary of Development Risked Company Gross Prospective Resources(1)(3)(4)(5)(7)(9)(11)

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report estimates the Chance of Commerciality as the product between the Chance of Discovery and the Chance of Development. The Chance of Discovery of the prospective resources has been assessed at 90%, while the Chance of Development has been assessed as the same as for the Contingent Resources described above at 90%. The resulting Chance of Commerciality is 81%, which has been applied to the company gross unrisked prospective resources and the net present value figures reported below.   

Low

Best

High

Residue gas (MMcf)

34,250

63,366

93,723

Natural gas liquids (Mboe)

847

1,566

2,317

Oil equivalent (Mboe)

6,555

12,127

17,937

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Summary of Development Risked Before Tax Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue of Prospective Resources- MUS(2)(5)(9)(11)(12)(13)

Undiscounted

5%

10%

15%

20%

Low Estimate

384,847

178,765

100,348

62,652

41,649

Best Estimate

815,529

364,352

208,677

135,997

95,346

High Estimate

1,285,440

549,930

312,055

204,475

144,931

See ‘Footnotes’ section at the end of this news release.

Upcoming 2021 Results and Live Webcast

Alvopetro anticipates announcing its 2021 fourth quarter and year-end results on March 17, 2022 after markets close and will host a live webcast to discuss the results at 8:00 am Mountain time, on the March 18, 2022. Details for joining the event are as follows:

DATE: March 18, 2022TIME: 8:00 AM Mountain/10:00 AM EasternLINK: https://zoom.us/j/99386897923  DIAL-IN NUMBERS: https://zoom.us/u/aixrWbAbO  WEBINAR ID: 993 8689 7923

The webcast will include a question and answer period. Online participants will be able to ask questions through the Zoom portal. Dial-in participants can email questions directly to socialmedia@alvopetro.com.

Corporate Presentation

Alvopetro’s updated corporate presentation is available on our website at:

http://www.alvopetro.com/corporate-presentation

FOOTNOTES

(1)

Mboe = thousands of barrels of oil equivalent.

(2)

MUS = 000’s of U.S. dollars.

(3)

Mbbl = thousands of barrels.

(4)

MMcf = Million cubic feet.

(5)

References to Company Gross reserves or Company Gross Resources means the total working interest share of remaining recoverable reserves or resources owned by Alvopetro before deductions of royalties payable to others and without including any royalty interests owned by Alvopetro. 

(6)

References to “Other Properties” refers to the Company’s Bom Lugar and Mae-da-lua oil fields.

(7)

The tables above are a summary of the reserves of Alvopetro and the net present value of future net revenue attributable to such reserves as evaluated in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report based on forecast price and cost assumptions. The tables summarize the data contained in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report and as a result may contain slightly different numbers than such report due to rounding. Also due to rounding, certain columns may not add exactly.

(8)

Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves.  There is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

(9)

Prospective Resources – Prospective Resources are defined in the COGE Handbook as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects.  Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of development.  There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered and even if discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion. Prospective Resources are further subdivided in accordance with the level of certainty associated with recoverable estimates assuming their discovery as described in footnote 11.

(10)

Contingent Resources are defined in the COGE Handbook as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as contingent resources the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage.  Contingent Resources are further classified in accordance with the level of certainty associated with the estimates as described in footnote 11 and may be subclassified based on project maturity and/or characterized by their economic status. The Contingent Resources estimated in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report are classified as “economic contingent resources”, which are those contingent resources that are currently economically recoverable.  All such resources are further sub-classified with a project status of “development pending”, meaning that resolution of the final conditions for development are being actively pursued. The recovery estimates of the Company’s contingent resources provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated resources will be recovered. There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. Actual recovered resource may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.

(11)

Low Estimate: This is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 90 percent probability (P90) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the low estimate.

Best Estimate: This is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50 percent probability (P50) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate.

High Estimate: This is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the high estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10 percent probability (P10) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the high estimate.

(12)

The net present value of future net revenue attributable to Alvopetro’s reserves and resources are stated without provision for interest costs and general and administrative costs, but after providing for estimated royalties, production costs, development costs, other income, future capital expenditures, well abandonment and reclamation costs for only those wells assigned reserves and material dedicated gathering systems and facilities. The net present values of future net revenue attributable to the Alvopetro’s reserves and resources estimated by GLJ do not represent the fair market value of those reserves. Other assumptions and qualifications relating to costs, prices for future production and other matters are summarized herein. The recovery and reserve and resource estimates of the Company’s reserves and resources provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves and resources will be recovered. Actual reserves and resources may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.

(13)

GLJ’s January 1, 2022 escalated price forecast is used in the determination of future gas sales prices under Alvopetro’s long-term gas sales agreement and for all forecasted oil sales and natural gas liquids sales. See https://www.gljpc.com/sites/default/files/pricing/jan22.pdf  for GLJ’s price forecast.

(14)

The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report was an evaluation of the Company’s contingent and prospective resource of the Company’s Murucututu natural gas project and excluded an evaluation of the 183-B1 and 182-C1 exploration prospects which were evaluated by GLJ in an independent resource assessment dated September 4, 2020 with an effective date of July 31, 2020. For further details, see our September 8, 2020 press release and the annual information for the year-ended December 31, 2020 which has been filed on SEDAR.

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

All amounts contained in this news release are in United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.

Oil and Natural Gas Reserves. The disclosure in this news release summarizes certain information contained in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report but represents only a portion of the disclosure required under NI 51-101. Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s reserves as at December 31, 2021 will be contained in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2021 which will be filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) on or before April 30, 2022. All net present values in this press release are based on estimates of future operating and capital costs and GLJ’s forecast prices as of December 31, 2021. The reserves definitions used in this evaluation are the standards defined by COGEH reserve definitions and are consistent with NI 51-101 and used by GLJ. The net present values of future net revenue attributable to the Alvopetro’s reserves estimated by GLJ do not represent the fair market value of those reserves. Other assumptions and qualifications relating to costs, prices for future production and other matters are summarized herein. The recovery and reserve estimates of the Company’s reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

Contingent Resources. This news release discloses estimates of Alvopetro’s contingent resources and the net present value associated with net revenues associated with the production of such contingent resources as included in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of such contingent resources and the estimated future net revenues do not necessarily represent the fair market value of such contingent resources. Estimates of contingent resources involve additional risks over estimates of reserves. Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s contingent resources as at December 31, 2021 will be contained in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2021 which will be filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) on or before April 30, 2022.

Prospective Resources – This news release discloses estimates of Alvopetro’s prospective resources included in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report. There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered and even if discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portionEstimates of prospective resources involve additional risks over estimates of reserves. The accuracy of any resources estimate is a function of the quality and quantity of available data and of engineering interpretation and judgment. While resources presented herein are considered reasonable, the estimates should be accepted with the understanding that reservoir performance subsequent to the date of the estimate may justify revision, either upward or downward. Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s prospective resources as at December 31, 2021 will be contained in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2021 which will be filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) on or before April 30, 2022.

Abbreviations:

1P

=

proved reserves

2P

=

proved plus probable reserves

3P

=

proved plus probable plus possible reserves

CAD$

=

Canadian dollars

F&D

=

finding and development costs

FDC

=

future development costs;

Mboe

=

thousand barrels of oil equivalent

MMbtu

=

million British Thermal Units

MMcf

=

million cubic feet

MMcf/d

=

million cubic feet per day

MMboe

=

million barrels of oil equivalent

MMUS

=

millions of U.S. dollars

MUS

=

thousands of U.S. dollars

 

BOE Disclosure. The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.

Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward–looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning the plans relating to the Company’s operational activities and the expected natural gas price, gas sales and gas deliveries under Alvopetro’s long-term gas sales agreement. The forward–looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors.  Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.

Non-GAAP Measures. This news release contains financial terms that are not considered measures under International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”), such as working capital net of debt and net asset value. Working capital net of debt is computed as current assets less the sum of current liabilities and the carrying amount of the Company’s credit facility. Net asset value is computed based on the before-tax net present value of the Company’s proved plus probable reserves, discounted at 10%, increased by the Company’s working capital net of debt.  The non-GAAP measures do not have standardized meanings under IFRS and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. While these measures may be common in the oil and gas industry, the Company’s use of these terms may not be comparable to similarly defined measures presented by other companies. The non-GAAP measures referred to in this report should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than measures prescribed by IFRS and they are not meant to enhance the Company’s reported financial performance or position.  For more information with respect to financial measures which have not been defined by GAAP, including reconciliations to the closest comparable GAAP measure, see the “Non-GAAP Measures” section of the Company’s most recent MD&A which may be accessed through the SEDAR website at www.sedar.com.

SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.