Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) – Some Encouraging News

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 25, 2024

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of products, systems, and services for advanced communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Telecommunications Transmission, Mobile Data Communications, and RF Microwave Amplifiers. The Telecommunications Transmission segment provides satellite earth station equipment and systems, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and forward error correction technology, which are used in various commercial and government applications, including backhaul of wireless and cellular traffic, broadcasting (including HDTV), IP-based communications traffic, long distance telephony, and secure defense applications. The Mobile Data Communications segment provides mobile satellite transceivers, and computers and satellite earth station network gateways and associated installation, training, and maintenance services; supplies and operates satellite packet data networks, including arranging and providing satellite capacity; and offers microsatellites and related components. The RF Microwave Amplifiers segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets satellite earth station traveling wave tube amplifiers (TWTA) and broadband amplifiers. Its amplifiers are used in broadcast and broadband satellite communication; defense applications, such as telecommunications systems and electronic warfare systems; and commercial applications comprising oncology treatment systems, as well as to amplify signals carrying voice, video, or data for air-to-satellite-to-ground communications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, broadcasters, defense contractors, military, governments, and oil companies. Comtech markets its products through independent representatives and value-added resellers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New T&W President. Thursday after the market close, Comtech announced the hiring of Jeff Robertson as the Company’s new President of the Terrestrial and Wireless Networks business segment. Prior to joining Comtech, Mr. Robertson served as President and CEO of Intrado Life Safety, a firm specializing in first responder technology in North America.

Significant News. We view the hiring of Mr. Robertson positively on a couple of fronts. First, Intrado is a direct competitor to Comtech and we expect Mr. Robertson to be familiar with Comtech’s T&W capabilities. Mr. Robertson’s choice of joining Comtech speaks positively about Comtech’s T&W business, in our view. Secondly, his hire indicates that top level executives still view Comtech as an attractive option to work, even given the recent challenges.


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Snail (SNAL) – Media Strategy Potentially Reaches New Audiences

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 22, 2024

Snail is a leading, global independent developer and publisher of interactive digital entertainment for consumers around the world, with a premier portfolio of premium games designed for use on a variety of platforms, including consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Delivers animated series.  The company’s highly anticipated series, ARK: The Animated Series, which stars Academy Award winning actors Michelle Yeoh and Russell Crowe, is now available on Paramount+. We believe the series can leverage Paramount’s 67.5 million subscribers to reach new audiences and potentially convert new viewers to ARK players. We view the release of ARK: The Animated Series as a significant step in the company’s crossover media strategy. 

Animated series DLC. In unison with the release of ARK: The Animated Series, the company is releasing a new DLC package that includes four new character skins from the series. The DLC release aims to drive user engagement across platforms and offer content to existing players who are fans of the show and new players alike. 


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Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN) – First Transplant Of A Pig Kidney Uses Tegoprubart To Prevent Immune Rejection

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 22, 2024

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First Transplant Of A Genetically Modified Kidney To A Human. Eledon announced that tegoprubart, its drug in development to prevent organ transplant rejection, was used in the first transplant of an engineered pig kidney into a human patient. The kidney was genetically engineered by eGenesis, Inc, a company that has been collaborating with Eledon. Tegoprubart is currently in a Phase 2 clinical trial testing it against tacrolimus in prevention of kidney transplant rejection.

Eledon Has A Research Collaborated With eGenesis. The pig kidney was engineered by eGenesis, Inc, a company that formed a research collaboration with Eledon in January 2023. eGenesis has proprietary technology for engineering genetic changes to animal organs to make them compatible for transplantation into humans. As described in our Research Note on October 16, these genetic changes reduce the cross-species immunological barriers. The agreement allows eGenesis to use tegoprubart in its xenotransplantation research.


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1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Very Near Term View A Little Less Rosy

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 22, 2024

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Highlights from New York NDR. This report features a recent Non-Deal Roadshow in New York with Bill Shea, Chief Financial Officer, and Andy Milevoy, Sr. Vice President, Investor Relations. In our view, the fireside chat discussion highlighted the dynamic revenue and cash flow growth opportunities, both organically and through acquisitions, and its solid financial position, all against the backdrop of favorable, long term secular trends toward e-commerce.  

Very near term challenges. While most commodities have moderated, the company is still adversely affected by stubbornly high cocoa and sugar prices. Cocoa prices are not likely to moderate until 2025, a factor of drought conditions in Africa. In addition, while ocean freight prices are likely to be constrained as new ships come on line, domestic shipping costs are expected to increase. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Stock due for a pause after recent strength, rating lowered

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 22, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We are lowering our rating on the shares of AZZ to Market Perform with the stock solidly above our price target. The shares of AZZ have risen sharply in recent months and now trade above our $75 price target. At current prices, the shares trade at 16 times our recently raised fiscal 2025 earnings estimate, a multiple similar to its peers. Our investment premise for the shares of AZZ had been that its multiples would expand as the company’s balance sheet improved. This has largely come true.

A Market Perform rating does not mean we think the stock wont continue to rise. The company continues to report favorable results and lay the foundation for future growth. Construction of a new factory is nearing completion and financing costs are decreasing. A recent debt refinancing is expected to reduce financing costs by $5 million allowing us to raise our fiscal 2025 earnings estimate. With sales growing at a 3-5% rate and margins rising with a shift towards AZZ’s Metal Coating business, we expect solid earnings growth over the next few years.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Capping a Year of Growth in Sales and Margins

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, March 21, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth Quarter Results. The fourth quarter was another quarter of y-o-y revenue growth, making it the 17th consecutive quarter. The quarter also represented the highest ever quarterly net sales. Net sales were $42.1 million compared to $35.8 million last year and above our $40 million estimate. Gross margin was 28.0% versus 22.1% last year. Net income totaled $4.0 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, compared to $0.7 million or $0.05 last year. We estimated net income of $3.2 million or EPS of $0.21.

Fiscal Year Results. Net sales for the year were $160.1 million, a record-high annual top line result, an increase from $141.6 million in the prior year due to higher volumes of Lifeway’s drinkable kefir. Net income for the year was $11.4 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, compared to $0.9 million or $0.06.


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Defense Metals Corp. (DFMTF) – On a Roll

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Defense Metals Corp. is a mineral exploration and development company focused on the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral deposits containing metals and elements commonly used in the electric power market, defense industry, national security sector and in the production of green energy technologies, such as, rare earths magnets used in wind turbines and in permanent magnet motors for electric vehicles. Defense Metals owns 100% of the Wicheeda Rare Earth Element Property located near Prince George, British Columbia, Canada. Defense Metals Corp. trades in Canada under the symbol “DEFN” on the TSX Venture Exchange, in the United States, under “DFMTF” on the OTCQB and in Germany on the Frankfurt Exchange under “35D”.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Appointment of corporate financial adviser. Defense Metals appointed HCF International Advisers Ltd., a London-based corporate financial advisory firm, to conduct a strategic funding review for the company’s Wicheeda Rare Earth Elements Project. The review will help Defense Metals analyze and evaluate potential funding and strategic partnership options associated with the development of the Wicheeda Project post completion of its preliminary feasibility study (PFS). HCF’s experience in financing globally recognized mining projects include its role as financial adviser to Arafura Rare Earths Limited (ASX: ARU) in the financing of the Nolan Project in Australia.

Upcoming preliminary feasibility study. Defense Metals expects to complete a PFS in the second calendar quarter of 2024 for which metallurgical test work has been completed. Bench-scale and hydrometallurgical pilot plant test work indicates the planned acid bake process will deliver approximately 90% total rare earth oxide (TREO) extraction from the mineral concentrate to a mixed rare earth carbonate product.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bit Digital (BTBT) – Being More Diversified

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Diversification Heading into 2024. The Company’s fiscal year 2023 saw the company expand its bitcoin miners and change from ETH mining to native and liquid staking. Most importantly, during the fall of 2023, management announced a new segment, Bit Digital AI, to provide digital infrastructure services, including GPU rental services. With the AI business line, Bit Digital has recurring revenue that gives the Company stability in times of volatility with BTC and ETH prices, in our view.

BTC Mining and ETH Staking. For the year, the Company earned 1,507.3 bitcoins, a 21% increase from last year driven by a higher active hash rate partially offset by an increase in network difficulty. The average fleet efficiency for the active fleet was approximately 28.8 J/TH as of December 31, 2023. The Company earned 287.0 ETH in native staking and 81.9 ETH in liquid staking for the year.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) – Mixed Quarterly Results, Many Questions Remain

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, March 19, 2024

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of products, systems, and services for advanced communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Telecommunications Transmission, Mobile Data Communications, and RF Microwave Amplifiers. The Telecommunications Transmission segment provides satellite earth station equipment and systems, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and forward error correction technology, which are used in various commercial and government applications, including backhaul of wireless and cellular traffic, broadcasting (including HDTV), IP-based communications traffic, long distance telephony, and secure defense applications. The Mobile Data Communications segment provides mobile satellite transceivers, and computers and satellite earth station network gateways and associated installation, training, and maintenance services; supplies and operates satellite packet data networks, including arranging and providing satellite capacity; and offers microsatellites and related components. The RF Microwave Amplifiers segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets satellite earth station traveling wave tube amplifiers (TWTA) and broadband amplifiers. Its amplifiers are used in broadcast and broadband satellite communication; defense applications, such as telecommunications systems and electronic warfare systems; and commercial applications comprising oncology treatment systems, as well as to amplify signals carrying voice, video, or data for air-to-satellite-to-ground communications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, broadcasters, defense contractors, military, governments, and oil companies. Comtech markets its products through independent representatives and value-added resellers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Refi Overhang. The uncertainty created by the refinancing is impacting business results. For the first time in six quarters, sequential revenue declined with quarterly revenue barely exceeding year ago levels. Lower Space and Satellite segment revenue reflects order delays and supply chain constraints largely stemming from the refi overhang. Lower R&D expenses and One Comtech savings, along with a one-time gain, resulted in positive operating income for the third consecutive quarter.

2Q24 Results. Revenue was $134.2 million, flat y-o-y and below guidance of up 1% – 3% sequentially. We were at $154 million. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $15.1 million, versus $11.3 million in 2Q23. We were at $18.9 million. Comtech reported a net loss of $30.5 million, or a loss of $1.07/s, compared to a net loss of $6.5 million, or $0.23/s last year. Adjusted loss was $0.15/sh versus EPS of $0.09. We had forecast a net loss of $950,000, or a loss of $0.03 per share, and adjusted EPS of $0.28.


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Bit Digital (BTBT) – First Look at Fourth Quarter Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, March 19, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q Results. Fourth quarter revenue was $16.1 million, above last year’s revenue of $7.8 million and above our estimate of $13 million. The Company realized a gain of $8.6 million on its digital assets during the quarter. Net loss for the quarter was $2.0 million, or about $0.02 per share, versus last year’s net loss of $68.7 million, or $0.87 per share. The large improvement was due to a $50 million asset impairment the Company incurred last year that did not repeat. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $11.9 million compared to a negative $8.0 million in the prior year.

Fiscal Year Results. Revenue for 2023 was $44.9 million, an increase of 39% from the previous year’s $32.3 million. Net loss for the year was $13.9 million, or $0.16 per share, an improvement of $91.4 million from the prior year’s loss of $105.3 million, or $1.34 per share. Adjusted EBITDA for the year was $12.4 million compared to a negative $26.9 million last year.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Improving Fundamental Outlook; Boosts Dividend

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 18, 2024

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 Results. The company reported Q4 revenue of $114.8 million and adj. EBITDA of $24.8 million, in line with expectations. Revenue for full year 2023 declined a modest 0.9%, excluding political revenue, and adj. EBITDA decreased 9.1% when political is excluded. Digital Advertising was a bright spot for the company in 2023, increasing a solid 7.1% from the prior year. Notably, revenue and adj. EBITDA met the company’s previously issued full year guidance. 

Digital at its trough. Digital revenue in Q4 was down 6.4% from the prior year period. The decrease was attributed to softness in Digital Marketing Solutions, which declined $3.2 million or 14.5% in the quarter. Management provided a sanguine view that this business may have troughed and is positioned for growth by year end. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Strong results allow us to raise our estimates and price target

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 18, 2024

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Shipping rates were even higher than our recently-raised rates. Shipping rates spiked in December. We raised our estimates in February to reflect favorable conditions, but rates surpassed our raised projections. Seanergy was able to extend/reprice six vessels at favorable terms due to higher rates.

Seanergy has fixed 93% of 2024-1Q and 58% of 2024-2Q operating days at attractive prices. We believe cash flow and earnings will be fairly stable due to fixed prices. Seanergy’s exposure to shipping rates increases as the year progresses as charters expire and the company adds vessels to its fleet.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Harte Hanks (HHS) – On A Path Toward Revenue Growth

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 15, 2024

Harte Hanks (NASDAQ: HHS) is a leading global customer experience company whose mission is to partner with clients to provide them with CX strategy, data-driven analytics and actionable insights combined with seamless program execution to better understand, attract, and engage their customers. Using its unparalleled resources and award-winning talent in the areas of Customer Care, Fulfillment and Logistics, and Marketing Services, Harte Hanks has a proven track record of driving results for some of the world’s premier brands including Bank of America, GlaxoSmithKline, Unilever, Pfizer, HBOMax, Volvo, Ford, FedEx, Midea, Sony, and IBM among others. Headquartered in Chelmsford, Massachusetts , Harte Hanks has over 2,500 employees in offices across the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific .

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 Results. The company reported Q4 revenue of $49.5 million, 4.6% higher than our estimate of $47.3 million. The positive revenue surprise is attributed to higher than expected Customer Care revenue. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $5.2 million, which beat our estimate of $3.3 million by a strong 60.3%. The favorable operating results were driven by stronger than expected Customer Care revenue, which carries a higher margins than its other revenue streams.

2024 Outlook.  In our view, the company stands to benefit from several positive developments in 2024. Notably, management highlighted its plans to reduce expenditures, with roughly $6.0 million of savings expected in 2024 and approximately $16.0 million of cost reductions planned over the next two years. Additionally, the company is developing a partnership network it plans to utilize in the coming year.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.