Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

Gyre Therapeutics, Inc. (GYRE) – 4Q24 Reported With Hydronidone (F351) Data Coming In 2Q25

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Net Income Was Within Expectations. Gyre Therapeutics reported 4Q24 Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders of $(0.1) million or $(0.00) per share and FY2024 Net Income of $12.1 million, or $0.14 per basic share and $0.05 per fully diluted share. Revenues were $105.8 million in FY2024 with gross margins of 96.3%, consistent with our revenue estimates of $101.4 million and 96.2% gross margins. As of December 31, 2024, cash on hand was $51.2 million. Separately, results of the Phase 3 clinical trial for Hydronidone will be announced in 2Q25.

Hydronidone Data Announcement Pushed To 2Q25. In its quarterly press release, the company stated that data from the Phase 3 clinical trial for Hydronidone will be announced in 2Q25, although we had expected the data in 1Q25. We do not see this as a significant delay, as it extends the timeframe by 2 to 14 weeks. We believe this can still allow for regulatory filing in China during FY2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Conduent Business Services (CNDT) – Building Operational Momentum for a Strong 2026

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2025 preview. We anticipate that the company’s revenue momentum will build throughout the year as new business signings take effect. Moreover, with the prospect of additional efficiencies from initiatives such as corporate-level cost reductions, and a reduction in real estate footprint, we expect adj. EBITDA margins to expand as the year progresses.

Quarterly outlook. In Q1, we expect $767 million in revenue and $14 million in adj. EBITDA, a modest 1.8% margin. However, based on growing revenue and increasing efficiency, we expect adj. EBITDA margins to improve in each subsequent quarter, culminating in margins of nearly 8% in Q4. Given our Q4 revenue estimate of $830 million, we believe the company will exit 2025 with revenue and adj. EBITDA run rates in line with its stated target ($3.2B-$3.3B in annual revenue and 8% adj. EBITDA margins).


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Attractive Digital Momentum Continues

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 results. The company reported Q4 revenue of $117.8 million, up 2.6% year over year, and adj. EBITDA of $31.2 million, up 25.8%, both of which were modestly better than our estimates of $115.0 million and $30.4 million, respectively. Notably, the company’s digital businesses were a key revenue growth driver, up a strong 11%.  Digital revenue comprised 52% of total company revenue. Notably, revenue momentum appears favorable into the second quarter. 

Digital leads the way. Total digital revenue growth of 11% was comprised of digital advertising growth of 15% and a swing toward revenue growth in its subscription digital marketing solutions (DMS) of 1.9%. DMS returned to revenue growth for the first time since Q4 of 2022. Second quarter digital revenue continues to be strong, expected to increase a solid 7.3% in Q2. 


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InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – 2024 Financial Results and 2025 Outlook

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, March 18, 2025

InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Full-year 2024 financial results. InPlay Oil reported full-year net income and earnings per share of C$9.5 million and C$0.10, respectively, below our estimates of approximately C$11.4 million and C$0.12. The variance was primarily due to lower-than-expected natural gas revenue driven by weaker AECO pricing. Production for the year averaged 8,712 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) compared to 9,025 boe/d in 2023. Consequently, revenue decreased to C$153.7 million compared to C$179.4 million in 2023. Adjusted funds flow in 2024 was C$68.5 million, down from C$91.8 million in 2023.

Updated 2025 estimates. Please note that our revised estimates assume the closing of the pending Pembina acquisition on April 15th, 2025. For 2025, our oil and gas revenue estimate is C$333.5 million compared to our prior estimate of C$159.4 million. We have raised our 2025 AFF and EPS estimates to C$161.6 million and C$0.27, respectively, from C$71.7 million and C$0.14. We forecast net income of C$40.9 million, up from our previous estimate of C$13.2 million. Our 2025 estimates are based on an average annual production of 15,879 boe/d compared to our prior forecast of 8,901 boe/d.


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Bit Digital (BTBT) – Building on its Pipeline

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q Results. Total revenue for the quarter was $26.1 million, as the HPC business added $14.4 million from last year. We estimated revenue of $29.6 million. Higher G&A and D&A costs partially offset a $43.4 million digital asset gain, resulting in an operating income of $28.8 million. Net income was $29.0 million from $17,700 a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA was $40.1 million from $14.0 million last year.

Pipeline Building Up. Management noted that demand has surged for the B200 GPUs, and with the introduction of DeepSeek, customers are also in demand of the H100 and H200 GPUs. Furthermore, the Company’s data center pipeline has expanded to 510MW from 288MW last quarter. With the increase in demand and management in active discussions with potential customers, we expect more agreements to be announced sooner rather than later.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).Bit Digital (BTBT) – Building on its Pipeline

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Heightened M&A Environment and Debt Reduction Should Drive Stock Valuation

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 17, 2025

The E.W. Scripps Company (NASDAQ: SSP) is a diversified media company focused on creating a better-informed world. As one of the nation’s largest local TV broadcasters, Scripps serves communities with quality, objective local journalism and operates a portfolio of 61 stations in 41 markets. The Scripps Networks reach nearly every American through the national news outlets Court TV and Newsy and popular entertainment brands ION, Bounce, Defy TV, Grit, ION Mystery, Laff and TrueReal. Scripps is the nation’s largest holder of broadcast spectrum. Scripps runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and is the longtime steward of the Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1878, Scripps has held for decades to the motto, “Give light and the people will find their own way.”

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 Results. Revenue increased a strong 18.3% to $728.4 million, beating our $716.1 million estimate. The results benefited from better core advertising ($147.4 million vs our $143.0 million est.) and higher Political revenue ($174.4 million vs our $172.0 million est.). Adj. EBITDA was $229.6 million, better than our $226.1 million estimate.

Cost efficiency focused. The company highlighted that it is on track to deliver improved margins in its Scripps Networks division by 400 to 600 basis points in 2025. Furthermore, we anticipate the cost reductions will largely be driven by reduced headcount, followed by more modest reductions in program license costs and other expenses.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Announces $50 Million Share Buyback

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 17, 2025

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Buyback Program. On Friday, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation announced that its Board of Directors has authorized a share repurchase program pursuant to which the Company may repurchase up to $50 million of its common stock. At the current price, the $50 million equates to 5.78 million GLDD shares or approximately 8.6% of the outstanding common. The share repurchase program expires on March 14, 2026.

Rationale. According to management, “Our business is strong, as we delivered in 2024 the second best results in our Company’s history. The outlook for 2025 and 2026 is also strong, with $1.2 billion in backlog as of December 31, 2024. Our new build program is also expected to be substantially completed in 2025. We believe the Company’s current share price does not reflect the strength of our business and that a share repurchase program will be accretive to our shareholders.” 


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FreightCar America (RAIL) – Thoughts on RAIL’s Recent Shelf Registration

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 17, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Shelf registration. FreightCar recently filed a universal shelf registration statement pertaining to the offer and sale from time to time of up to $200 million in aggregate of the company’s common stock, preferred stock, debt securities, new warrants, rights or units, and the resale by a selling stockholder, affiliates of PIMCO, of up to 17,038,583 shares of common stock. PIMCO has now registered the shares associated with its warrants which enables them to sell shares over time following the exercise of the warrants. The warrants are already reflected in RAIL’s fully diluted share count and in our financial model.

Cleaner financial reporting. The change in the fair market value of the warrant liability fluctuates each quarter in line with the change in RAIL’s stock price during the period. The valuation adjustment reflects accounting for the warrant holder’s investment. For the full year 2024, the company recognized a $99.5 million non-cash adjustment due to the change in the fair market value of the warrant liability. All shares underlying the warrants have been reflected as part of the weighted shares outstanding since their issuance in prior years. Eliminating the warrant liability and need to report on the change in its fair market value could narrow the difference between GAAP and adjusted earnings.


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Zomedica Corp. (ZOM) – Sales Growth Continued In FY2024; Stock Price Discussed

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 14, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Product Sales Drove Revenue Growth. Zomedica reported 4Q24 revenues of $7.9 million and FY2024 revenues $27.3 million, in line with our estimates of $8.0 million and $27.5 million. Gross Margins were 70.0% as expected, with a loss for FY2024 of $46.9 million or $(0.05) per share. Cash and equivalents on December 31 was $71.4 million.

CEO Addressed Recent Stock Delisting. At the beginning of the quarterly conference call, CEO Larry Heaton spoke about the events leading to the delisting from the New York American Exchange earlier this month. As discussed in our Research Note on March 11, the recent market weakness brought the stock below the threshold for continued listing. This weakness led to a move to the OTCQB Venture Market, causing further weakness.


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Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) – FY2024 Report Reviews A Pivotal Year For Tecarfarin

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 14, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

FY2024 Was A Productive Year. Cadrenal reported a 4Q24 loss of $4.2 million or $(2.55) per share and FY2024 loss of $10.7 million or $(8.73) per share. An important development discussed in our Research Note on March 5 was Cadrenal’s announcement of a collaborative agreement with Abbott (ABT, Not Rated) for support of its pivotal trial testing tecarfarin in patients with left ventricular assist (LVAD) devices. Cash and equivalents on December 31 were $10.0 million.

Tecarfarin Is In Development For Several Patient Populations With Coagulation Needs. Many patients that are at risk for cardiovascular events (stroke, embolism, deep vein thrombosis) take anticoagulants in the direct oral anticoagulant class (DOACs, such as Eliquis or Xarelto). However, there are several patient populations that must take warfarin, an older drug, due to lack of efficacy or high bleeding risk. Tecarfarin is being developed to replace warfarin in these populations. Cadrenal has Orphan Drug designation from the FDA for implanted mechanical devices (LVADs) and prevention of systemic thromboembolism in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and atrial fibrillation (AFib).


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FreightCar America (RAIL) – Solid 2024 Financial and Operating Performance; Updating Estimates

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 14, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Full year 2024 financial results. FreightCar America generated 2024 adjusted net income to common stockholders of $4.4 million or $0.15 per share compared to a loss of $11.0 million or $(0.39) per share in 2023 and our estimate of $5.5 million or $0.17 per share. Gross margin as a percentage of revenue increased to 12.0% compared to 11.7% in FY 2023. Revenue and rail car deliveries increased to $559.4 million and 4,362 compared to $358.1 million and 3,022 in 2023. We had forecast revenue of $577.4 million and deliveries of 4,550. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $43.0 million compared to $20.1 million in 2023 and our estimate of $38.3 million. Full year adjusted free cash flow amounted to $21.7 million versus $(17.6) million in 2023.

Full Year 2025 corporate guidance. Management issued full year 2025 guidance. Railcar deliveries are expected to be in the range of 4,500 to 4,900, revenue is expected to be in the range of $530 million to $595 million, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $43 to $49 million. Compared to 2024, railcar deliveries, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA are expected to increase 7.7%, 0.6%, and 7.0%, respectively, at the midpoints of guidance.


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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) – Making Progress

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 14, 2025

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of products, systems, and services for advanced communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Telecommunications Transmission, Mobile Data Communications, and RF Microwave Amplifiers. The Telecommunications Transmission segment provides satellite earth station equipment and systems, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and forward error correction technology, which are used in various commercial and government applications, including backhaul of wireless and cellular traffic, broadcasting (including HDTV), IP-based communications traffic, long distance telephony, and secure defense applications. The Mobile Data Communications segment provides mobile satellite transceivers, and computers and satellite earth station network gateways and associated installation, training, and maintenance services; supplies and operates satellite packet data networks, including arranging and providing satellite capacity; and offers microsatellites and related components. The RF Microwave Amplifiers segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets satellite earth station traveling wave tube amplifiers (TWTA) and broadband amplifiers. Its amplifiers are used in broadcast and broadband satellite communication; defense applications, such as telecommunications systems and electronic warfare systems; and commercial applications comprising oncology treatment systems, as well as to amplify signals carrying voice, video, or data for air-to-satellite-to-ground communications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, broadcasters, defense contractors, military, governments, and oil companies. Comtech markets its products through independent representatives and value-added resellers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Making Progress. Comtech made some progress in its business transformation during the fiscal second quarter, although business conditions remain challenging. The most significant change came post quarter-end with the amendment to its senior secured credit agreement that cures the covenant breaches as of January 31, 2025.

2Q25 Results. Revenue totaled $126.6 million, down 5.7% from the year ago period, but up 9.3% sequentially. Gross margin of 26.7% fell y-o-y, but improved sequentially from 12.5% in 1Q25. Comtech reported a net loss of $48.7 million, before preferred stock adjustments, compared to a net loss of $10.6 million in 2Q24. Adjusted net loss was $0.35/sh compared to a net loss of $0.15/sh last year.


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Saga Communications (SGA) – Digital Growth Strategy Appears To Be Gaining Traction

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Saga Communications, Inc. is a broadcast company whose business is primarily devoted to acquiring, developing and operating radio stations. Saga currently owns or operates broadcast properties in 27 markets, including 79 FM and 33 AM radio stations. Saga’s strategy is to operate top billing radio stations in mid sized markets, defined as markets ranked (by market revenues) from 20 to 200. Saga’s radio stations employ a myriad of programming formats, including Active Rock, Adult Album Alternative, Adult Contemporary, Country, Classic Country, Classic Hits, Classic Rock, Contemporary Hits Radio, News/Talk, Oldies and Urban Contemporary. In operating its stations, Saga concentrates on the development of strong decentralized local management, which is responsible for the day-to-day operations of the stations in their market area and is compensated based on their financial performance as well as other performance factors that are deemed to effect the long-term ability of the stations to achieve financial objectives. Saga began operations in 1986 and became a publicly traded company in December 1992. The stock trades on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol “SGA”.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

An in-line quarter. The company reported Q4 revenue of $28.8 million and adj. EBITDA of $3.1 million, both of which declined over the prior year period, but were modestly better than our estimates of $27.7 million and $2.3 million, respectively. Notably, the company is focused on its blended digital growth strategy and reducing costs and improving profitability. We believe the company’s strategic actions are a step in the right direction for returning toward revenue and adj. EBITDA growth.

Cost-effective digital growth strategy. A key focus of the company is reducing costs that have no impact on revenue and continuing to emphasize the roll out of its blended digital advertising strategy. Notably, the blended strategy combines radio and digital advertising to provide a consistent message to customers on both mediums and to drive radio listeners to digital platforms. We view the company’s emphasis on the unique strategy favorably.


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