Selling at a Loss Near Year-End Could be Financially Worthwhile
Calling someone “paper hands” is common in online trading communities such as r/wallstreetbets. It borders on a bullying tactic to encourage others on the platform to remain in stocks that have weakened. The main reason is that many in the community own and have taken a “diamond hands” position. Investors should consider that the tax code may reward those investors that are looking out for themselves first and the chat board community second.
The first three-quarters of overall market performance in 2022 can only be described as ugly. Each portfolio is likely to have its share of losses. Many investors can make a little lemonade out of the abundance of lemons that may be in their portfolios. But first, they need to take steps to harvest these lemons.
Tax Loss Harvesting
While there are many reasons that taking a loss is uncomfortable, the reason one invests in the first place is for financial gain. Playing the cards you’re handed at all times is considered prudent investing. Taking and using them to help reduce one’s tax bill can make financial sense. The tax consequence decision to sell below-cost investments and use the losses to offset gains from other investments or ordinary income is referred to as tax loss harvesting.
An example of how tax loss harvesting could help an investor financially is this. An investor will sell one or more of their negative on-the-year investments and recognize a loss. The investor then uses these capital losses to offset capital gains and/or W2 or 1099 income. If losses exceed gains by $3,000 or the losses taken up to $3,000, can be used to offset ordinary income in the current year. Amounts above $3,000 can be carried forward and used in future tax years.
There is one more step, investing in something else. The investor can either maintain their sector allocation or invest in something completely different. Buying back the same issuer name is an IRS no-no. The investors’ exposure to the overall market remains intact, but there is a $3,000 reduction in earned income or capital gains.
Wash Sale Rule
There is a link below this article to the IRS website; before executing a tax strategy, it is recommended you visit the site, and if not clear, consult your tax advisor.
One way investors have gotten themselves in trouble with the IRS is by selling a security at a loss and then reacquiring the same or substantially similar investment. If you sell a security and claim a tax loss on that sale, the Internal Revenue Service’s guidelines, commonly referred to as the “wash sale,” rule will require you don’t reinvest in the same issuer.
The wash sale rule outlines that investors cannot buy a “substantially identical” security 30 days before or after the sale of the funds chosen when conducting tax loss harvesting. This doesn’t mean the investor has to buy an investment in a completely different industry. For example, if an investor sold a silver mining company stock to harvest a tax loss — but still wants mining exposure — they could potentially buy a new or different stock within the industry.
Take Away
Taking an investment loss means a hard dollar recognition of the loss and recognition that you judged wrong. But, investing is always about maximizing financial gain. Investors that are correct 25% of the time often beat those that are correct 60% of the time. So needing to be correct could actually hurt performance. Understanding the other financial moves investors can make to maximize their overall finances can incrementally benefit their personal balance sheet.
While belonging to a consortium of investors that are stronger when sticking together is comforting, one must recognize that when it comes to investing, most will do what is best for themselves first. There is no guilt in protecting or maximizing your own finances legally.
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Tonix is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, licensing, acquiring and developing therapeutics and diagnostics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix’s portfolio is composed of immunology, rare disease, infectious disease, and central nervous system (CNS) product candidates. Tonix’s immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-15001 which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand being developed for the prevention of allograft and xenograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-1500 is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2022. Tonix’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-29002 for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. TNX-2900 has been granted Orphan-Drug Designation by the FDA. Tonix’s infectious disease pipeline includes a vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and monkeypox called TNX-8013, next-generation vaccines to prevent COVID-19, and an antiviral to treat COVID-19. Tonix’s lead vaccine candidates for COVID-19 are TNX-1840 and TNX-18504, which are live virus vaccines based on Tonix’s recombinant pox vaccine (RPV) platform. TNX-35005 (sangivamycin, i.v. solution) is a small molecule antiviral drug to treat acute COVID-19 and is in the pre-IND stage of development. TNX-102 SL6, (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablets), is a small molecule drug being developed to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Tonix expects to initiate a Phase 2 study in Long COVID in the second quarter of 2022. The Company’s CNS portfolio includes both small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric and addiction conditions. Tonix’s lead CNS candidate, TNX-102 SL, is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia with a new Phase 3 study launched in the second quarter of 2022. Finally, TNX-13007 is a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication that is expected to start a Phase 2 trial in the second quarter of 2022. TNX-1300 has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA.
Robert LeBoyer, Vice President, Research Analyst, Life Sciences , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Study Supports Use of TNX102-SL in Long COVID Symptoms. Tonix presented a large, retrospective study to determine the incidence of symptoms in patients with Long COVID (PASC, or Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19). The findings showed a significant overlap between symptoms of Long COVID and fibromyalgia, including multi-site pain, fatigue, and insomnia. It also found significantly higher opioid use in patients that have multi-site pain. Since TNX-102 SL has been shown to relieve symptoms of fibromyalgia, we believe the study supports the Phase 2 PREVAIL trial of TXN-102 SL in Long COVID.
Retrospective Analysis of Patient Database Identifies Long COVID Symptoms. Tonix analyzed a large patient database using published criteria to identify Long COVID patients in a network of health care providers. In the sample of 260,082 COVID patients, 20.1% (n=52,322) had Long COVID symptoms. Of these 41.5% (n=21,694) had multi-site pain.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Meeting. We had the opportunity to sit down with new CEO Travis Boone and new CFO Scott Thanisch to discuss their early impression of Orion, the near-term game plan, and the longer-term potential of the Company. We came away impressed with management’s level of optimism about Orion’s potential.
Impressions. Both CEO Boone and CFO Thanisch noted a great opportunity at Orion, saying, in their belief, Orion can be a lot more sophisticated, bigger, and more efficient. CEO Boone noted the potential to use his deep contact base to expand Orion’s market presence, while becoming more disciplined on the bidding approach to improve the margin profile.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Garibaldi Resources Corp. is an active Canadian-based junior exploration company focused on creating shareholder value through discoveries and strategic development of its assets in some of the most prolific mining regions in British Columbia and Mexico.
Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
2022 diamond drill program. The 2022 diamond drill program at the company’s E&L nickel-copper-cobalt project is testing targets from the 2021 Geotech deep penetrating Z-Axis Tipper Electromagnetic (ZTEM) survey. These include several large-scale low resistivity ZTEM anomalies that are within a plane that contains massive and disseminated sulphide zones.
Off to a promising start. The first deep hole completed at Nickel Mountain in 2022, EL-22-97b, intersected two intervals of E&L gabbro more than 200 meters down plunge from previous drilling and intersected nickel-bearing disseminated and semi-massive sulphide mineralization. The mineralization is hosted by gabbro and peridotite 205 meters down-trend of the previous deepest mineralized intercept at E&L on Nickel Mountain. The drill hole targeted the down plunge extension of the eastern zone of the E&L Intrusion, coincident with a large-scale low resistivity/elevated conductivity ZTEM anomaly.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Defense Metals Corp. is a mineral exploration and development company focused on the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral deposits containing metals and elements commonly used in the electric power market, defense industry, national security sector and in the production of green energy technologies, such as, rare earths magnets used in wind turbines and in permanent magnet motors for electric vehicles. Defense Metals owns 100% of the Wicheeda Rare Earth Element Property located near Prince George, British Columbia, Canada. Defense Metals Corp. trades in Canada under the symbol “DEFN” on the TSX Venture Exchange, in the United States, under “DFMTF” on the OTCQB and in Germany on the Frankfurt Exchange under “35D”.
Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Drilling nearing completion. Defense Metals released results for the first two drill holes, representing 720 meters of drilling, associated with the company’s ongoing 2022 diamond drill program. To date, 15 drill holes, representing 4,800 meters of drilling, have been completed. In aggregate, the company expects to complete 5,000 meters of drilling in 18 holes to upgrade existing resource categories. The company is completing remaining pit slope geotechnical and hydrogeological holes. The initial results were favorable and demonstrate continuity of mineralization over significant widths. Investors should expect a steady flow of assay results from the company in the weeks and months ahead.
Encouraging drill results. Hole WI22-64 returned a broad mineralized intercept of high-grade dolomite carbonate in the upper portions of the hole, and mixed mineralized xenolithic dolomite carbonate and syenite at depth averaging 1.78% total rare earth oxide (TREO) over 192 meters, including 3.13% TREO over 73 meters. The partial assays reported for WI22-64, one of the deepest holes drilled to date, are from surface to a depth of 284 meters. Results for the remaining 101 meters to the end of hole at 384.5 meters are expected shortly. Hole WI22-62 collared 120 meters to the north of WI22-64, intersected a 109-meter interval of mineralized dolomite carbonatite returning 1.39% TREO over 167 meters, including 2.29% TREO over 48 meters.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Owning a Balanced Diversified Investment Portfolio Has Been Like Watching a Train Wreck
From the time that most realized the Fed would aggressively deal with inflation, watching the classic 60/40 balanced portfolio has been like watching a slow train wreck.
Diversification, balance, a 60/40 allocation have been the marching orders from those “in the know.” But what do you do when you’re terribly sure that the 40% in bonds will be worth less tomorrow, and the 60% in a standard stock index is more likely to be down than up? This is the question investors, wealth managers, and retirees have been faced with since early in 2022. The Chair of the Federal Reserve promised to raise rates, so the 40% allocation in bonds has been almost guaranteed by a Federal agency to perform worse than cash in your pillow case, and when interest rates rise, the economy does worse, which at first weighs down stock indexes.
Advisors want their customers to sleep better at night, so they tell them not to worry, no one can call the market, you don’t want to miss the up days. Every time, the markets have bailed them out, and there is no reason not to think that there won’t continue to be eventual increases on one side or the other of the investment pie chart. Meanwhile, missing predictable down periods are just as important to exceptional long-term results as being invested when values rise.
60/40 101
The classic portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds touted in articles by wealth managers and certified by textbooks on investing may no longer provide the same level of returns that it delivered previously. Or it may be going through a period where the direction of stocks and bonds is highly correlated – and it will at some point turn the corner to balanced performance.
From the 1980s until recently, a portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds did well for investors and for good reason. The mix consistently provided investors with attractive risk-adjusted returns, with total returns often equal to or better than those of the S&P 500 Index and with lower volatility. In a more natural market, rates come down (bond bull market) when the economy is weak, which brings stock prices down (stock bear market) and visa versa. The investor always has positions in a bull market to partially offset losses from the other side of the portfolio.
Recent History of Balanced Portfolios
But this strategy hasn’t really worked for decades. Many haven’t noticed because its not working has benefitted investors. Debt and equity prices have moved in the same direction. Both stocks and bonds have reached new highs through last year. Investors aren’t critical when they’re making money, but both markets joined hands long ago and have been mostly moving in the same direction. Here’s your evidence; in 1982, a 30 year-treasury bond was issued, paying over 14%. Today the 30-year is paying 3.65%. So the bond market, with slight ups and downs, has been strong for most of the last 40 years. The S&P 500 in 1982 closed at 120. Today, the same index is at 3,675. Both markets, although not always trading hand in hand, more often than not rise and fall together.
Image: 60:40 Blackrock portfolio performance since 2011 (Koyfin
60/40 in 2022
The protection of hiding behind a broad, diversified index of stocks and conservative (supposedly uncorrelated) bonds is certainly showing its weakness this year. Persistent structural inflation adding to interest rates and negative GDP growth have battered both markets. It exposes that 60/40 is not perfect and that set-it and forget-it could cause many to have large drawdowns that will require huge percentage increases in the future.
What to Do
When the most powerful mover of assets transparently says they are going to do something that will impact the markets, believe that the odds are that they will. In other words, don’t fight the Fed. This could mean a slight to a total reduction in bonds, why watch your bond portfolio become a train wreck. And if you are in bond funds, a move to individual bonds offers the solace of at least knowing they mature at par.
The stock portfolio is trickier. The equities market will turn around when there are signs that the economy has bottomed out. Currently, there are some signs of weakness, but mostly expectations of great weakness as we know the Fed is resolved to tame inflation. Investors will race to be first in on the most recent dip. Selectively picking stocks that have a good reason to outperform now and be strong later when bullishness returns is likely smarter than holding a broad-based index. The broad-based economy is headed lower, so it stands to reason the broad-based indexes have further to fall.
Don’t be a stranger to analysts’ reports on individual companies. Expert, unbiased analysis of sectors and individual stocks can help you uncover those that are unlinked to negative world events or are taking advantage of global changes.
Cash was trash when rates were near zero. Currently, a three-month T-Bill yields around 3.75%. Other short and safe securities are closer to 4%. When there is a recognizable turnaround, you’ll want ammunition. Keep some dry powder to be able to pounce; today’s short interest rates provide returns above those expected in the major indexes. Check with your broker to find out how to invest in short-term agencies, T-Bills, or broker CDs so you are ready for when the Fed says they are in a wait-and-see mode, for when GDP shows we are clearly not in a recession, for when corporate earnings are on the rise, and for when interest rates on bonds are closer to a level that produces low inflation numbers.
Take Away
Stocks and bonds have mostly been moving in the same direction for a very long time. Both were moving up, so no one noticed.
Cash is also an option in any portfolio, and you’re now getting paid more. If the Fed continues to suggest rates are rising, it practically ensures lower bond prices. Move to cash or carefully selected equities. Look for quality analysis of sectors and stocks before jumping into a stock. News stories, statistics, and often research and analysis on small-cap opportunities are available for those signed-up for Channelchek emails, along with many other no-cost perks.
Decision To Switch Ethereum To Proof-Of-Stake May Have Been Based On Misleading Energy FUD
After countless delays, the Ethereum “Merge” finally took place last week, switching the blockchain protocol from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS).
What this means, in brief, is that Ethereum’s native coin, Ether (ETH)—the world’s second largest digital asset following Bitcoin (BTC)—can no longer be mined using a graphics processing unit (GPU). Instead, participants can choose to “stake” their ETH on the network. The Ethereum network then selects which of these participants, known as “validators,” gets to validate transactions, and if such validations are found to be accurate and legitimate, participants are rewarded with new ETH blocks.
This article was republished with permission from Frank Talk, a CEO Blog by Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors (GROW). Find more of Frank’s articles here – Originally published September 21, 2022
So what’s the catch? Well, there are a couple of big ones:
1) To become a validator, participants must stake at least 32 ETH, the equivalent of $43,000 at today’s prices, and
2) They must stake them for years.
You can see, then, how the Merge has transformed ETH from a decentralized asset, available to any young gamer with access to a decent GPU, to more of a centralized, oligarchic asset, controlled by a relatively few participants who already own tens of thousands of dollars’ worth of ETH.
In fact, as CoinDesk reported last week, two large validators were responsible for over 40% of the new ETH blocks that were added in the hours post-Merge. Those validators are crypto exchange platform Coinbase and crypto staking service Lido Finance.
PoS Puts Ether in Regulators’ Crosshairs
But wait, there’s more. By converting to PoS, Ether risks being seen by U.S. regulators as a proof-of-security asset. Last Friday, the White House published its first-ever crypto regulatory framework, just a day after the merge was completed.
Gary Gensler, head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), has said on numerous occasions that PoW assets such as BTC are commodities, not securities, and should therefore not be regulated as securities.
That’s not the case with PoS, according to Gensler. Last week, the SEC chief commented that digital assets that allow investors to stake their holdings in exchange for new coins may qualify them as securities. The implication, of course, is that oversight of these coins may end up being just as rigorous as that of stocks, bonds, ETFs and other highly regulated assets. Besides ETH, other popular PoS cryptocurrencies include Cardano, Polkadot and Avalanche.
The May crash of Terra’s Luna coin, which triggered the collapse of overleveraged crypto lenders such as Celsius, Voyager and Three Arrows Capital, was a major driver of this year’s crypto winter. Lenders’ promises of high returns on investment have landed them in financial and legal hot water. It’s very important that the Ethereum Foundation not make the same mistakes and invite the same level of scrutiny.
As we like to say at U.S. Global Investors, government policy is a precursor to change. But the change, in this case, may not turn out to be favorable. Regulatory pronouncements could add to volatility within the nascent cryptocurrency industry.
In the table below, you can see that ETH was one of the most volatile assets for the one-day and 10-day trading periods as of August 31—more volatile, in fact, than BTC and shares of Tesla. I can’t help believing that’s due to investors’ apprehension of the merge and the regulatory uncertainty that surrounds it.
The DNA of Volatility
Standard Deviation For One-Year, As of August 30, 2022
ONE-DAY
TEN-DAY
Gold Bullion
±1%
±3%
S&P 500
±1%
±4%
Bitcoin
±4%
±11%
Tesla
±4%
±13%
Ethereum
±5%
±15%
MicroStrategy
±6%
±19%
Energy FUD Contributed to Decision to Transition to PoS
If everything I’ve said up until this point is the case, why did Ethereum decision-makers choose to switch to PoS in the first place? Simply put, they folded under pressure from misleading charges that crypto mining, particularly BTC mining, consumes too much energy and is bad for the environment.
This is FUD, or fear, uncertainty and doubt. Yes, BTC mining requires electricity, but compared to nearly every other major industry—including finance and insurance, household appliances and gold mining—energy consumption is incredibly negligible, according to the Bitcoin Mining Council (BMC). What’s more, the BMC found that global BTC miners collectively use a higher sustainable energy mix than every major economy on the planet.
Supporters of the ETH Merge say that the move to PoS could cut the network’s energy usage by as much as 99.5%. None other than the World Economic Forum (WEF) praised the success of the merge last week, writing that crypto “has been waiting for a recalibration towards sustainability… for Web3 climate innovators, the new generation of environmental advocates, as well as U.S. climate efforts more broadly.”
But as many PoW proponents have rightfully pointed out, the GPUs that were previously used to mine ETH will likely now be used for other purposes post-merge, including mining other coins, high-performance computing and gaming. In reality, little to no energy will have been offset.
The question is: Who is funding the FUD about PoW and energy usage? It’s a complicated question.
Last week, a group of environmental activists, including Greenpeace and the Environment Working Group (EWG), announced that it plans to spend $1 million on a new campaign to encourage Bitcoin to follow ETH’s lead and move to PoS. The campaign, titled “Change the Code, Not the Climate,” falsely claims that BTC “fuels” the climate crisis.
This is the same covert tactic used by Russian president Vladimir Putin, who over the years has funded environmental groups and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) in the West in an effort to discredit and undermine the U.S. fracking industry.
Surprise! Gold Is Still One of the Best Performing Assets of 2022
Switching gears, I want to say a few words on gold. BTC’s analogue cousin hit its lowest price since 2020 last week even as inflation remains near 40-year highs and recession fears persist. As I write this, the yellow metal is trading at around $1,666 an ounce, approximately 19% off its peak in March this year.
Some investors may read this and jump to the conclusion that gold is no longer a valuable asset during times of economic and financial uncertainty, but they would be mistaken. Although gold is down for the year, it’s nevertheless outperforming most major asset classes including Treasury bonds, U.S. corporate bonds, the S&P 500 and tech stocks. The precious metal has therefore helped investors mitigate losses in other areas of their portfolio.
The latest report by the World Gold Council (WGC) also makes the case that gold could be a powerful investment in the face of a potential economic recession. The London-based group compared the performance of a number of asset classes during the past seven U.S. recessions going back to 1971, and it found that gold performed the best on average aside from government and corporate bonds.
That said, I still recommend a 10% weighting in gold, with 5% in bullion (bars, coins, jewelry) and 5% in high-quality gold mining stocks and funds. Remember to rebalance on a regular basis.
US Global Investors Disclaimer
The Bloomberg US Treasury Index measures US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate, nominal debt issued by the US Treasury. Treasury bills are excluded by the maturity constraint but are part of a separate Short Treasury Index. The Bloomberg US Corporate Bond Index measures the investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. It includes USD denominated securities publicly issued by US and non-US industrial, utility and financial issuers. The NASDAQ-100 Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of the 100 largest and most active non-financial domestic and international issues listed on the NASDAQ. The MSCI Japan Index is a free-float weighted equity JPY index. It was developed with a base value of 100 as of December 31, 1969. The MSCI Europe Index in EUR is a free-float weighted equity index measuring the performance of Europe Developed Markets. It was developed with a base value of 100 as of December 31, 1998. The MSCI USA Index is a free-float weighted equity index. It was developed with a base value of 100 as of December 31, 1969. Bloomberg Commodity Index is calculated on an excess return basis and reflects commodity futures price movements. The index rebalances annually weighted 2/3 by trading volume and 1/3 by world production and weight-caps are applied at the commodity, sector and group level for diversification. The S&P 500 is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.
Standard deviation is a quantity calculated to indicate the extent of deviation r a group as a whole.
Holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. The following securities mentioned in the article were held by one or more accounts managed by U.S. Global Investors as of (06/30/22): Tesla Inc.
Allegiant owns 100% of 10 highly-prospective gold projects in the United States, seven of which are located in the mining-friendly jurisdiction of Nevada. Three of Allegiant’s projects are farmed-out, providing for cost reductions and cash-flow. Allegiant’s flagship, district-scale Eastside project hosts a large and expanding gold resource and is located in an area of excellent infrastructure. Preliminary metallurgical testing indicates that both oxide and sulphide gold mineralization at Eastside is amenable to heap leaching.
Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Reverse Circulation (RC) drilling program. Allegiant completed a 32-hole RC drill program focusing on two areas outside the Original Pit Zone, including the East Pediment and Western Anomaly. Twenty-one holes were drilled on the East Pediment at an average depth of 203 meters and 11 holes were drilled on the Western Anomaly at an average depth of 223 meters. The company will conduct a follow-up RC drill program consisting of approximately 20 holes for a total of 5,000 additional meters of drilling. The rig is expected to arrive on site around October 20.
East Pediment discovery. Drilling on the East Pediment encountered mineralized rhyolite with assays returning values above 0.1 gram of gold per tonne over 51.5 meters of the 242-meter length of Hole ES-258. Intercepts include 86.4 to 93.9 meters averaging 1.3 grams of gold per tonne, including 86.4 to 87.9 meters averaging 4.4 grams of gold per tonne, along with 197 to 229 meters averaging 0.28 grams of gold per tonne. Allegiant intends to drill a grid pattern of offset holes in all directions around Hole ES-258 in late October 2022. The best intercepts associated with the West Anomaly were 34.8 to 45.4 meters averaging 0.93 grams of gold per tonne in Hole ES-268 and 76.7 to 83.8 meters averaging 1.4 grams of gold in Hole ES-264.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.
Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Asset Sale. The GEO Group has sold its minority equity interest in the government-owned Ravenhall Correctional Centre in Australia for approximately $84.4 million in gross proceeds, or about $75 million after-tax. GEO, as part of a consortium, originally began developing the Ravenhall facility in late 2014, with the facility opened in late 2017.
Use of Proceeds. GEO will use the proceeds, along with available cash on hand, to repay all of the remaining $146.9 million outstanding principal of its Term Loan B and its Tranche 3 Term Loan, both due March 23, 2024. Along with the repayment of the 5.125% senior notes due 2023, GEI has now reduced outstanding debt maturing prior to 2026 to approximately $23 million, a significant accomplishment, in our view.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Gary Gensler Backs off on Payment-For-Order-Flow, But Promises Something More Comprehensive
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) chairman has softened his harsh talk against the brokerage practice of payment-for-order-flow (PFOF). While securities brokers and investors in the industry breathed a sigh of relief with the news that the practice won’t be banned, firms like Robinhood (HOOD), Etrade (ETFC), and Charles Schwab (SCHW) may have something else to worry about.
About PFOF
There are harsh critics of the practice of PFOF, and there are strong advocates. Proponents of the model say it provides investors more liquidity, while those that oppose the practice question if retail traders are getting the best price.
In a nutshell, what this compensation system does is when investors place trades for stocks, ETFs, and options, the broker uses market makers to execute the order. To compete for price and execution, market makers in the securities offer rebates back to retail brokers. The rebates add to the broker’s profit, which is in part what allows for “free trades.” Additionally, the net cost per share to the investor is often still below most other methods readily available to them.
PFOF provides a significant revenue stream for retail brokers that offer zero-commission trading. Stocks of these brokerage firms have been under downward pressure with the uncertainty of whether the practice that is banned in other countries would be banned in the U.S. The news that it won’t be banned is seen as positive by those in the online broker industry.
New Direction for PFOF
After harping on the idea of banning PFOF, SEC officials (as reported by Bloomberg) have indicated that a ban is no longer being considered. That has been followed by their promise that other changes to the execution mechanism are on the way.
While the final SEC plans for payment-for-order-flow are not known, it is expected that they will allow these brokers to conduct business, and it is not expected to be more profitable for the brokers – most expect it to make it more difficult to maintain current earnings. The Commission is, if nothing else, expected to propose changes that could affect the complicated system of the rebates designed to increase market makers’ trading volume. Additionally, the regulator is weighing a plan to force brokers to disclose more about how much trading with them costs compared with benchmarks, a metric known as price improvement. The metric would allow customers to be able to compare one firm to another.
The SEC may also better clarify requirements for brokerages on what is “best execution” of stock transactions. The scope of the overhaul by the SEC remains to be seen.
The SEC is expected to introduce its plan in the coming months, according to Bloomberg. The plan is likely to make the system more transparent and more competitive and to include regulations lowering access fees that exchanges charge the brokers to execute trades.
Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Getting a New Officer. Yesterday, Vera Bradley announced the appointment of Jacqueline Ardrey as President and CEO effective November 1, 2022, replacing retiring CEO Robert Wallstrom. Wallstrom will be assisting Ardrey through December 2022 to provide a smooth transition, and Ardrey will be joining the Board of Directors on November 1, 2022 as well.
The Past. Robert Wallstrom had been President and CEO of Vera Bradley since 2013, in which he oversaw the Company’s portfolio expansion in 2019 with the Pura Vida acquisition. Under his leadership, Vera Bradley was named America’s #1 Best Midsize Employer and #11 Best Employer for Diversity by Forbes and Statista.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Baudax Bio is a pharmaceutical company focused on innovative products for acute care settings. ANJESO is the first and only 24-hour, intravenous (IV) COX-2 preferential non-steroidal anti-inflammatory (NSAID) for the management of moderate to severe pain. In addition to ANJESO, Baudax Bio has a pipeline of other innovative pharmaceutical assets including two novel neuromuscular blocking agents (NMBs) and a proprietary chemical reversal agent specific to these NMBs. For more information, please visit www.baudaxbio.com.
Gregory Aurand, Senior Research Analyst, Healthcare Services & Medical Devices, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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Issuing Series B Preferred Stock. In an 8-K filing dated September 19, 2022, Baudax Bio declared a dividend of one one-thousandth (1/1,000th) of a share of Series B Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per whole share, for each share of the Company’s Common Stock to shareholders of record at 5pm ET September 29, 2022.
Voting Rights to Cure the Deficiency. Each share of Series B Preferred Stock will entitle the holder to 1,000,000 votes per whole share (or 1,000 votes for each 1/1,000th share). Outstanding shares of Series B Preferred will vote together with the outstanding shares of Common Stock as a single class to exclusively vote on matters related to reclassify shares of Common Stock via a reverse stock split. The Company is intending to cure its Nasdaq minimum closing price deficiency. The preferred shares will not be entitled to vote on any other matter, nor are they convertible or exchangeable for another class of shares.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
ESG Fund Sponsors are Reacting to Increased Scrutiny
Cautious exchange-traded fund (ETF) sponsors are creating a smokescreen to avoid trouble for themselves.
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing works best with openness and transparency. Until now, ETF and mutual fund managers have shown themselves eager to share their ESG guidelines and how the underlying investments fit. After all, achieving and maintaining a designation that allows your fund to grab a chunk of the $2.5 trillion category is good business. Pending regulations which could impact the underlying investments and fund’s ESG status’ have caused fund managers to exercise more caution than they have in the past when sharing information.
ESG Fund Survey
Sage Advisory is a $16.5 billion financial advisor serving clients that choose ESG as a theme for their investments. In each of the past four years, Sage has surveyed fund managers to produce their Stewardsip Report. The 2002 report was released today.
ETF providers that responded to the survey offered much less manager disclosure and transparency about their environmental, social, and governance activities compared with the previous year’s responses. According to the report, there was also a distinct change in tone. The advisory group wrote in its report, this is likely because of pending regulation in Europe and from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission that would more clearly define ESG investments. If something the fund manager is doing changes its category, the fund manager would prefer to know and take action before investors find out through a third party.
“There was a noticeable difference in terms of reading the responses, and seeing the restrained language, almost kind of a legalese language to the responses that had not been there in the past,” said Emma Harper, senior research analyst for ESG risk management at Sage Advisory who compiled the survey.
About the Survey
The ESG survey has 69 questions and covers seven areas of stewardship, including proxy voting, climate, and governance. Sage sent surveys to 34 ETF providers and received responses from 23 issuers, including seven of the ten largest ETFs in the U.S. by AUM. Including non-ESG assets, the respondents combined AUM is about $37.5 trillion.
Ms. Harper said, “It was almost by-the-book in the way they are explaining things, rather than all the flourishing details and pretty pictures of the things they can do.”
Harper said it was harder to get responses regarding proxy voting, specifically the number of times they voted against management. Large ETF providers have always tended to vote with company management and against shareholder proposals.
“Across the board this year, we had a number of providers saying ‘that’s confidential,’ or ‘here’s our voting record in general; go find that percentage for yourself.’ It wasn’t an easy straight answer for a number of them,” Harper said.
Regulators
Some asset management firms are thought by government watchdogs to be overstating ESG credentials. This suspected “greenwashing” could cause huge outflows if proven. Worse yet, regulators have been acting on concerns. German officials raided Deutsche Bank’s DWS unit over greenwashing claims, and the SEC fined BNY Mellon $1.5 million over misstatements about ESG for some mutual funds.
With one in three dollars in U.S. fund investments said to follow ESG industry rankings, the SEC’s fraud radar has been turned up, and they are investigating. The Commission is also proposing stronger disclosures and reporting, and wants to assure that a funds label accurately reflects its management style.
Currently, there are no standards that define ESG, just as there are no standards that define styles such as growth or value.
Take Away
In its report, Sage said it believes the proposed regulations and fines “has both positive and negative consequences.” Without a clear definition, investors will become frustrated and may find the sector less attractive. As greenwashing becomes more difficult and investors are better able to judge the fund’s purpose, investors can better understand the underlying assets.
ESG funds and ESG investing became a big thing during the pandemic era investment craze. It was a sector that had high returns that fed on themselves as more investors chased its snowballing momentum. It now constitutes one out of every three dollars in a fund. As the sector ages and regulators require better definitions, the growth of funds may be hampered by a lack of available investments. Alternatively, the appetite for these funds may decline as other investment “fads” take its place.
