Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF) – Second quarter results above expectations, price target raised


Friday, August 11, 2023

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Alvopetro reported financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2023 that were above our expectations. Results reflect a decline in production volume which had been preannounced through monthly production releases and thus expected. Realized gas prices were above expectations. Favorable results also reflect a decline in royalty rates. Royalty rates for natural gas production are based on Henry Hub natural gas prices, not realized gas sales prices. Henry Hub prices have been weak relative to realized gas prices resulting in a lower rate per boe produced.

Alvopetro is taking steps to replace production. The decline in production began in April and reflect higher nominations claimed by Alvopetro’s partner in the Cabure Field. Higher partner nominations will mean Alvopetro will own more of future production when prices are expected to be higher. Meanwhile, Alvopetro has accelerated drilling in fields in which it has a 100% ownership. We believe production from these wells will replace the production decline and even has the potential to double production levels in the next four years using internally generated cash.


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