Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – A Debt Acceleration; Moving to Market Perform


Monday, December 01, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Debt Acceleration. In separate 8-K filings, parent company FAT Brands and Twin Hospitality disclosed on November 17, 2025, the firms received notices of acceleration from UMB with respect to Securitization Notes issued by four of the Securitization Issuers, with Twin Hospitality I, LLC specific to the Company. The Acceleration Notice basically states that all amounts outstanding under the Notes are immediately due and payable. Neither FAT Brands nor Twin Hospitality has the capital to repay the Twin Note.

Balance Sheet. We view the issue to be capital structure related, not operating performance. Twin is showing improvement in operating metrics, especially when factoring in the negative impact of closing Smokey Bones locations for conversion. In 3Q25, the Company expanded Twin Peaks’ profit margins by 72 basis points to 17%. While comparable sales declined, Twin was able to maintain steady system-wide weekly sales averaging $11.3 million over the past 12 weeks.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF) – Reports 3Q25 Results


Monday, December 01, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q25 Results. Revenue came in at $789,178, compared to $279,182 in 3Q24, but below our $2.5 million estimate as all revenue came from NexusBio. There was no TerraSante revenue. Gross margin improved to 22.9% from 20.9% in 2Q25, driven by product mix. MustGrow reported a net loss of $2.4 million, or $0.04/sh, compared to a $1.7 million net loss, or $0.03/sh, in 3Q24.

TerraSante. As noted in the 2Q25 call, MustGrow ran out of TerraSante product, which negatively impacted 3Q25 revenue by $1.0-$1.5 million. The Company’s manufacturers are producing TerraSante, and we are hopeful there will be sufficient product to meet increasing demand during 4Q25 and 1Q26.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

First Phosphate Corp. (FRSPF) – Building North America’s LFP Supply Chain


Monday, December 01, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating Coverage with a price target of US$1.55 (C$2.15). First Phosphate Corp. (CSE: PHOS; OTCQX: FRSPF) is a Québec-based mineral development and cleantech company advancing an onshore, vertically integrated, mine-to-market Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP) battery materials supply chain for North America. The company intends to supply purified phosphoric acid (PPA) and iron-phosphate material for use in LFP batteries. Target markets include grid storage, data centers, robotics, mobility, and national security applications. 

Flagship Asset. Bégin-Lamarche anchors the company’s growth strategy and represents one of the most advanced high-purity igneous phosphate deposits in North America. The most recent Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) outlines a 23-year open-pit operation producing ~900,000 tonnes per year of 40% phosphate concentrate, with throughput ramping from 10,300 tonnes per day (tpd) initially to 20,800 tpd by Year 5. Located roughly 70–85 kilometers (km) from the deep-water Port of Saguenay and about 50 km from rail facilities, Bégin-Lamarche sits at the core of a compact logistics corridor.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Associated Bank Expands Midwest Footprint With $604 Million Acquisition of American National Bank

Associated Bank is accelerating its Midwest expansion strategy with a major acquisition that will reshape its competitive position across the central U.S. The Green Bay, Wisconsin–based lender announced Monday that it will acquire Omaha, Nebraska–based American National Bank in an all-stock deal valued at $604 million, marking one of the most significant regional banking transactions of the year.

The acquisition will bring Associated Bank an additional 33 branches across Nebraska, Minnesota, and Iowa and add $5.3 billion in assets, $3.8 billion in loans, and $4.7 billion in deposits to its balance sheet. When the deal closes—expected in the second quarter of 2026—Associated will instantly become the No. 2 bank in the Omaha metro area and the No. 10 bank in Minneapolis–St. Paul based on deposit market share.

A Strategic Entry Into a High-Growth Market

Some industry analysts described the bank’s entry into Omaha as unexpected, but Associated Bank CEO Andy Harmening pushed back against that view. Omaha, he said, fits seamlessly into the bank’s geographically connected strategy and represents “a great banking market” with strong population gains, accelerating economic growth, and a business community deeply embedded in the region.

Harmening also emphasized the importance of acquiring an institution with strong local roots. American National Bank, founded in 1856, has long served as a leading financial partner for middle-market and family-owned businesses—a customer base that aligns well with Associated’s own commercial banking focus. The CEO noted that local connectivity was essential: “If you’re going to buy a bank in Omaha … you better have connectivity to the community, and we do.”

How the Partnership Strengthens Both Banks

For American National, the acquisition brings a valuable expansion of capabilities. It will gain access to Associated Bank’s broader product set, including capital markets services, equipment finance solutions, and more robust consumer banking tools. These additions are expected to enhance the bank’s ability to compete in its core commercial markets while offering customers a more comprehensive suite of financial services.

Associated Bank, meanwhile, will benefit from American National’s deep customer relationships and its portfolio of roughly 79,000 deposit accounts. The acquisition solidifies Associated’s presence in key markets where it has long sought additional scale and strengthens its position as a leading Midwest regional bank.

Under the terms of the transaction, American National shareholders will receive 36.250 shares of Associated stock for each of their own shares, giving them a 12% stake in the combined company, while Associated shareholders will hold the remaining 88%.

Financial Impact and Leadership Structure

From a financial standpoint, the deal is projected to be 1.2% dilutive to tangible book value per share at closing, with an expected 2.25-year earnback period. However, by 2027, it is anticipated to be 2% accretive to earnings per share, adding meaningful long-term value for shareholders.

As part of the agreement, American National co-chairperson and co-CEO Wende Kotouc will join Associated’s board, ensuring continued representation from the Omaha market. Meanwhile, fellow co-CEO John Kotouc will remain involved in a consultancy role as the banks integrate and expand their regional collaboration. The institutions also plan to establish an Omaha advisory board to support community-focused decision-making.

Growing Consolidation Across the Midwest Banking Landscape

This acquisition comes amid a surge in regional bank consolidation across the Midwest. Just weeks earlier, another Green Bay-based institution, Nicolet Bankshares, announced its $864 million purchase of MidWestOne Financial Group. Industry analysts say rising technology expenses, succession issues, and the increasing importance of scale are pressuring smaller banks to merge with larger regional players.

While Harmening stressed that Associated Bank does not intend to become a frequent acquirer, he acknowledged that opportunities fitting the bank’s long-term strategy will continue to be evaluated. The American National deal, he said, represents “the right partner, the right time, and the right markets,” reinforcing Associated’s commitment to serving the communities and businesses that define the Midwest.