Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – A Debt Acceleration; Moving to Market Perform


Monday, December 01, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Debt Acceleration. In separate 8-K filings, parent company FAT Brands and Twin Hospitality disclosed on November 17, 2025, the firms received notices of acceleration from UMB with respect to Securitization Notes issued by four of the Securitization Issuers, with Twin Hospitality I, LLC specific to the Company. The Acceleration Notice basically states that all amounts outstanding under the Notes are immediately due and payable. Neither FAT Brands nor Twin Hospitality has the capital to repay the Twin Note.

Balance Sheet. We view the issue to be capital structure related, not operating performance. Twin is showing improvement in operating metrics, especially when factoring in the negative impact of closing Smokey Bones locations for conversion. In 3Q25, the Company expanded Twin Peaks’ profit margins by 72 basis points to 17%. While comparable sales declined, Twin was able to maintain steady system-wide weekly sales averaging $11.3 million over the past 12 weeks.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – Acquiring 8 Top Performing Franchised Twin Peaks Locations


Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Acquisition. Twin Hospitality has entered into a letter of intent to acquire eight Twin Peaks franchised restaurants in Florida from DMD Ventures, LLC for approximately $47 million in cash. We view this strategic transaction as an opportunistic investment in a key growth market, even as the Company’s long-term focus remains on franchise driven expansion.

Details. The acquisition will bring the following Florida locations to Company ownership: Davie, Fort Myers, West Palm Beach, Pembroke Pines, Hollywood, Cypress Creek, Doral and Naples. Upon completion, the transaction is expected to contribute approximately $76-$77 million in annual revenue and $9-$10 million in additional annual EBITDA, representing an EV/Sales multiple of 0.6x and an EV/EBITDA multiple of approximately 5x, a discount to TWNP’s current trading multiples.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Twin Hospitality Group to Acquire Eight Twin Peaks Franchise Locations in Florida 

November 17, 2025

Strategic Acquisition Expected to Strengthen Balance Sheet Through Enhanced EBITDA Generation

DALLAS, Texas, Nov. 17, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (“Twin Hospitality”) (Nasdaq: TWNP), the parent company of Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones, today announced it has entered into a letter of intent to acquire eight Twin Peaks franchised restaurants in Florida from DMD Ventures, LLC for approximately $47 million in cash. The strategic transaction represents an opportunistic investment in a key growth market even as the Company’s long-term focus remains on franchise driven expansion.

The acquisition will bring the following Florida locations to company ownership: Davie, Fort Myers, West Palm Beach, Pembroke Pines, Hollywood, Cypress Creek, Doral and Naples. Upon completion, the transaction is expected to contribute approximately $76-$77 million in annual revenue and $9-$10 million in additional annual EBITDA. The incremental EBITDA contribution is expected to help reduce leverage, further strengthening the Company’s balance sheet and financial flexibility.

“We are delighted to bring proven, high-performing franchise locations into our corporate portfolio,” said Kim Boerema, CEO of Twin Hospitality Group. “These are some of our top performing restaurants, and Florida has consistently demonstrated strong performance as a key market for Twin Peaks.”

“The enhanced cash flow and increased EBITDA from these locations is expected to strengthen our balance sheet through deleveraging while enabling us to capitalize on incremental revenue and margin growth,” added Andy Wiederhorn, Chairman of Twin Hospitality Group.

The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, and is subject to completion of a definitive purchase agreement, financing and customary closing conditions.

For more information on Twin Hospitality Group, visit https://ir.twinpeaksrestaurant.com/.

About Twin Hospitality Group Inc.

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (NASDAQ: TWNP) is a restaurant company that strategically develops and operates and franchises specialty casual dining restaurant concepts with a goal to redefine the casual dining category with its experiential driven brands, Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones. Twin Peaks, known as the ultimate sports lodge, is an award-winning restaurant and sports bar brand with 114 locations across 26 states and Mexico and is known for its made-from-scratch food, 29-degree draft beer, innovative cocktail program and sports on wall-to-wall televisions. Smokey Bones is a full-service, meat-centric restaurant brand and concept with 45 locations, across 15 states specializing in ribs and a variety of other slow-smoked, fire-grilled and seared meats, along with a full bar. For more information, please visit www.twinpeaksrestaurant.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the timing of and expected revenue and EBITDA contribution from the proposed acquisition of restaurants Forward-looking statements generally use words such as “expect,” “foresee,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “project,” “should,” “estimate,” “will,” “plans,” “forecast,” and similar expressions, and reflect our expectations concerning the future. Forward-looking statements are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are difficult to predict and beyond our control, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our current expectations and from the forward-looking statements contained in this press release. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

Media Relations:
Erin Mandzik
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Release – Noble Capital Markets Initiates Equity Research Coverage on Twin Hospitality Group Inc.

Research News and Market Data on TWNP

October 22, 2025

PDF Version

DALLAS, Oct. 22, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (“Twin Hospitality”) (Nasdaq: TWNP), the parent company of Twin Peaks Restaurant and Smokey Bones, is pleased to announce that Noble Capital Markets has initiated company-sponsored equity research coverage on the Company. The full report by Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst, Joe Gomes, as well as news and advanced market data on Twin Hospitality, is available on Channelchek.

FAT Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: FAT) served as the parent company that executed the strategic spin-out of Twin Hospitality Group earlier this year, separating its Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones restaurant brands into Twin Hospitality Group Inc. 

About Twin Hospitality Group Inc.:

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (NASDAQ: TWNP) is a restaurant company that strategically develops, operates, and franchises specialty casual dining restaurant concepts with a goal of redefining the casual dining category with its experiential-driven brands, Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones. Twin Peaks, known as the ultimate sports lodge, is an award-winning restaurant and sports bar brand with 114 locations across 27 states and Mexico and is known for its made-from-scratch food, 29-degree draft beer, innovative cocktail program and sports on wall-to-wall televisions. Smokey Bones is a full-service, meat-centric restaurant brand and concept with 45 locations, across 15 states specializing in ribs and a variety of other slow-smoked, fire-grilled and seared meats, along with a full bar. For more information, please visit www.twinpeaksrestaurant.com.

About Noble Capital Markets:

Established in 1984, Noble Capital Markets is an SEC / FINRA registered full-service investment bank and advisory firm with an award-winning research team and proprietary investor distribution platform. We deliver middle market expertise to entrepreneurs, corporations, financial sponsors, and investors. Over the past 40 years, Noble has raised billions of dollars for companies and published more than 45,000 equity research reports.

About Channelchek:

Noble launched www.channelchek.com in 2018 – an investor community dedicated exclusively to public emerging growth and their industries. Channelchek is the first service to offer institutional-quality research to the public, for FREE at every level without a subscription. More than 7,000 public emerging growth companies are listed on the site, and content including equity research, webcasts, and industry articles.

Investor Relations:
ICR
Michelle Michalski
ir@twinpeaksrestaurant.com

Media Relations:
Erin Mandzik
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – A High-Growth, Asset Light Restaurant Franchisor


Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiation. We are initiating equity research coverage on Twin Hospitality Group with an Outperform rating and $10 price target. Twin Hospitality is a franchisor and operator of two specialty casual dining restaurant concepts: Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones. The Company is a high-growth, asset light restaurant franchisor with a compelling franchisee value proposition, in our view. On January 29, 2025, parent company FAT Brands distributed approximately 5% of Twin Hospitality Class A shares to FAT Brands shareholders, bringing Twin Hospitality public.

A Premium Sports Bar Leader. Twin Hospitality currently operates approximately 115 Twin Peaks locations, consisting of 35 Company-owned and 80 franchised units. Twin Peaks offers a differentiated sports bar experience, from the lodge experience, to its signature 28-degree draft beer, a made-from-scratch menu, always-on wall-to-wall TVs, to the Twin Peaks Ambassadors, every customer receives an experience differentiated from the competition.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.