Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Post Quarterly Call Estimate Refining


Tuesday, May 16, 2023

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Revising revenue forecast. We are refining our 2023 and 2024 revenue forecasts. The bulk of the changes relate to our Digital subscription and Digital advertising revenue outlooks. Note: our full year total revenue and adj. EBITDA forecasts are largely unchanged. Figure #1 Forecast Revisions illustrates our updated forecast.

Lowering TSI forecast. Economic weakness has put pressure on many of the SMBs that make up TSI’s client base. Typically, the company offers temporary discounts to assist SMBs. We believe this is will have an impact on revenue in 2023, particularly the first half. Our 2023 TSI revenue forecast is lowered from $91.7 million to $85.9 million, which equates to a 6% YoY decline. We are forecasting flat revenue growth in 2024, which offers potential upside should economic conditions improve.


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Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Another Industry Leading Performance


Thursday, May 11, 2023

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Beats Q1 estimates. The company reported another industry leading performance in the first quarter with revenues up 2.9% to $103.1 million, beating our $100.9 million estimate. We estimate that industry revenues likely will be down in the range of 3% to 5%. First quarter adj. EBITDA was $19.4 million, which beat our $17.9 million estimate.  

Digital surpasses 50% of revenue. Digital revenue grew 8% in the quarter, accounting for 54% of total revenue. Impressively, Digital contributed 63% of total operating profit. The Digital revenue growth was fueled by the company’s Digital Advertising solutions business, which was up 15%, making up for the slight decline in Townsquare Interactive revenue. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Takes A Big Step To Return Capital To Shareholders


Friday, March 10, 2023

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Q4 results. The company reported Q4 revenue of $120.3 million, an increase of 8.8% from the prior year period, beating our estimate of $118.1 million by 1.8%. Adj. EBITDA of $28.4 million grew by 11% from the same period last year and beat our estimate of $28 million by 1.4%. Digital advertising grew $5.2 million to $36.8 million, up 16.3% from the prior year period.

Soft start to the year. Management guided Q1 revenue to be flat to modestly higher from the year earlier in the range of $100 million to $102 million. Adj. EBITDA to be down yoy in the range of $17.5 million to $18.5 million. National advertising is pacing down 30% in Q1, a decline of $3 million from prior year quarter, with sports accounting for 66%. Its Interactive business has softened and is pacing flat revenues in Q1, while digital advertising is pacing up 12% to 14%.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Well Positioned To Further Outperform Industry Peers


Thursday, November 10, 2022

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

In line Q3 results. The company reported quarterly revenue of $120.6 million, up 8.4% year over year and in line with our estimate of  $121.2 million. The revenue variance was due to softer Political advertising. Adj. EBITDA of $30.9 million was marginally higher than our estimate of $30.7 million. The company’s quarterly results demonstrated continued growth despite a difficult macroeconomic environment.

Strong financials. As of September 30th, the company had $27 million in cash and $524 million in long-term debt, and a net leverage ratio of 4.5 times. Management plans to reduce net leverage to 4 times by the end of year, and sits in a favorable position for opportunistic bond buy backs in a rising interest rate environment.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.