Sports Gambling Archives

Codere Online (CDRO) – Q3 Preview: Expecting a Strong Quarter

Posted on November 21, 2024November 21, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Codere Online refers, collectively, to Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. and its subsidiaries. Codere Online launched in 2014 as part of the renowned casino operator Codere Group. Codere Online offers online sports betting and online casino through its state-of-the art website and mobile application. Codere currently operates in its core markets of Spain, Italy, Mexico, Colombia, Panama and the City of Buenos Aires (Argentina). Codere Online’s online business is complemented by Codere Group’s physical presence throughout Latin America, forming the foundation of the leading omnichannel gaming and casino presence in the region.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Positive upside. The company is expected to report Q3 results within the next 2 weeks. We are re-iterating our Q3 estimates of $50.0 million in revenue and $0.4 million in adj. EBITDA. Moreover, we believe there could be upside to our revenue estimate, which may be conservative.

Peso headwind. We expect solid results in Spain, bolstered by the rollback in marketing restrictions in the country. As for the company’s other core market, Mexico, trends appear to be strong. Weakness in the Peso, however, has presented a headwind for the company, which reports in Euros. Nonetheless, we expect a strong quarter, currency exchange concerns notwithstanding.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

Codere Online (CDRO) – Casino Games A Key Driver

Posted on August 1, 2024August 1, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, August 01, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Adj. EBITDA positive. Q2 overachieved expectations with revenue growth a strong 39% to €54.4 million (vs our €47.6 million estimate) and with positive adj. EBITDA of €1.3 million (vs. our flat estimate). The results benefited from a favorable sports calendar, as well as strong customer growth for its casino games. Casino revenue accounted for 59% of total company revenue, up from 56% in Q1.

Spain and Mexico deliver strong revenue performance. The company exhibited favorable operating momentum in its latest Q2 quarter. Net gaming revenue increased a solid 39% to €54.4 million, nicely above our estimate of €47.6 million. The quarterly revenue represented a sequential quarterly revenue improvement from the first quarter at €53.0 million and an acceleration in revenue growth from 34% in Q1.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Codere Online (CDRO) – Full Year Profitability on the Horizon: Raising Price Target

Posted on May 21, 2024May 21, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, May 21, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q1 results. The company reported Q1 revenue of €53.0 million, beating our estimate of €45.0 million by 17.8%. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was positive €1.7 million, which beat our estimate of a loss of €1.0 million. Notably, the company grew revenue by 34% from the comparable prior year quarter.

Momentum in Mexico and Spain. Strong revenue growth in Mexico (+51%) and Spain (+21%) fueled the revenue outperformance. Some significant developments; the company grew its total active customer base by 25% in both markets and it obtained regulatory approval for operations in the province of Mendoza, Argentina. In our view, the company is poised to carry strong revenue momentum through 2024 and should swing toward positive cash flow on a full-year basis.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Codere Online (CDRO) – Q1 Beats: Delivering on Its Strategy

Posted on May 16, 2024May 16, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, May 16, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 results. The company reported Q1 revenue of €53.0 million, beating our estimate of €45.0 million by 17.8%. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was positive €1.7 million, which beat our estimate of a loss of €1.0 million, illustrated in Figure #1 Results. Notably, the company grew revenue by 34% from the prior year period.

Favorable outlook. The company benefitted from strong revenue growth in Mexico and Spain, which were up 51% and 21%, respectively. Additionally, the company grew its total active customer base by 25% in both markets, and obtained regulatory approval in the province of Mendoza, Argentina. In our view, the company is poised to carry strong momentum through 2024 as it swings toward positive cash flow on a full-year basis.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Codere Online (CDRO) – Significant Upside Potential From These Elevated Levels

Posted on March 4, 2024March 4, 2024 by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Monday, March 04, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 results. The company reported Q4 revenue of €50.1 million, handily beating our estimate of €39.0 million by 28.5%. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was a loss of €4.1 million, better than our estimate of a loss of €6.2 million.

Growth in key markets. The company’s solid Q4 performance was driven by year over year revenue growth of 56% in Mexico and 17% in Spain. In both countries, the number of users and spend per customer increased compared with Q3. Notably, the company displayed year-over-year growth, in spite of tough comps in Q4 against such big events as the World Cup.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Codere Online (CDRO) – Poised for Profitability

Posted on March 1, 2024March 1, 2024 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, March 01, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 results. The company reported Q4 revenue of €50.1 million, handily beating our estimate of €39.0 million by 28.5%. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was a loss of $4.1 million, better than our estimate of a loss of €6.2 million, illustrated in Figure #1 Q4 Results. The better than expected Q4 results were driven by strong revenue growth in Mexico and Spain.

Market performances. The company’s solid Q4 performance was driven by year over year revenue growth of 56% in Mexico and 17% in Spain. In both Mexico and Spain, the number of users and spend per customer increased compared with Q3. Notably, the company displayed strong year-over-year growth, in spite of tough comps in Q4 against such big events as the World Cup.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Investors in Sports Betting May Prove to be the Real Superbowl Winners

Posted on February 13, 2023February 13, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

The Lucky Stars Seem to Have Aligned for Online Gambling Companies

Public companies involved in sports betting may find their shareholders are the real winners. Between the increased number of states that have legalized sports betting over recent years, the enhanced betting opportunities, and the nature of the Superbowl win, luck seems to have weighed heavily on the side of these businesses. It will take time for the actual numbers to be reported. Just last year FanDuel became the first sportsbook to be profitable, it will report again in March. DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, have yet to turn a profit in sports betting.

Superbowl Win Favors Companies

Close to 60% of bets were for the Philadelphia Eagles to be the outright winner of the game, according to FanDuel. FanDuel is the largest online sportsbook operator in the U.S. The less-expected 38-35 win for the Kansas City Chiefs over the Philadelphia Eagles at the Super Bowl will mean less wagered money will have to be distributed to customers. The team that was considered the underdog, having come out ahead, should add revenue to the bottom line of gambling companies.

The reason, of course, is companies like DraftKings and FanDuel will not have to pay out on many of the most popular bets, including widespread predictions for a 37-34 victory for the Eagles after online speculation over a ‘leaked script’ for the game.

Other Popular Bets

Before Sunday’s kick-off, Twitter and other social media conversations referred to the “leaked script.” An image was being shared that showed the Eagles winning 37-34. The image had millions of impressions on Twitter across all the shares.

Various Twitter Posts Highlighted this Image Pre-Game

Bettors could also wager on who may come out as the most valuable player. The Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce was the most selected based on bets for this honor, according to FanDuel. Instead, the MVP award was won by Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

During a heavy betting period, there was an issue with Caesars Entertainment subsidiary William Hill US. This issue was affecting users in Nevada by preventing them from logging in on Sunday. Frustrated users took to social media outlets to complain of their difficulties during the game. The company tweeted that it was still in the process of settling all Super Bowl wagers after the game on Sunday.

Take Away

Online sports gambling is experiencing dramatic growth. Each year more states allow the practice within their borders. At the same time, technology allows betting on slices of the game, even on in-play situations never before available. With both FanDuel and DraftKings advertising to the large Superbowl audience, the practice of gambling online on sports is becoming more and more understood and common place. The 2023 Superbowl may have helped the bottom line of these companies. That will be seen when the numbers for this quarter are released. Investors are paying attention as it would seem that there is plenty of room for further growth.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek