The ODP Corporation (ODP) – 1Q24 First Look


Thursday, May 09, 2024

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q24 Results. Net sales were $1.87 billion, down from $2.11 billion in 1Q23 and slightly below our $1.95 billion estimate. A challenging overall economic environment and 56 fewer Office Depot stores, y-o-y, drove the revenue contraction. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $82 million, down from $131 million and below our $123 million estimate. Net income declined to $15 million, or $0.40/sh, from $72 million, or $1.71/sh. We had forecasted $64 million, or $1.72/sh.

A Decision on Varis. Put out the “For Sale” sign. Responding to shareholder suggestions, among other things, management and the Board came to the decision to sell the Varis unit, which just has not begun to generate revenue as originally anticipated. While waiting for the sale to occur, the operating costs of Varis have been reduced by approximately one-third.


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1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Further Margin Improvement Appears Possible


Friday, May 03, 2024

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q3 results. For Q3, the company reported revenue of $379.4 million, in-line with our estimate of $379.4 million. While revenues were down nearly $40 million year over year, the seasonal adj. EBITDA loss of $5.7 million was modestly better year over year. Notably, Q3 gross profit margins increased 300 basis points. The improved gross profit margin was driven by lower freight and commodity costs.

Improving revenue trends. While revenue trends are not recovering as fast as we originally hoped, there is substantial sequential quarterlyimprovement in ecommerce revenue, which was down 12% in Q1, down 6.6% in Q2 and a more moderate decrease of 4.9% in Q3. We expect that revenues will further moderate in fiscal Q4.


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1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Very Near Term View A Little Less Rosy


Friday, March 22, 2024

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Highlights from New York NDR. This report features a recent Non-Deal Roadshow in New York with Bill Shea, Chief Financial Officer, and Andy Milevoy, Sr. Vice President, Investor Relations. In our view, the fireside chat discussion highlighted the dynamic revenue and cash flow growth opportunities, both organically and through acquisitions, and its solid financial position, all against the backdrop of favorable, long term secular trends toward e-commerce.  

Very near term challenges. While most commodities have moderated, the company is still adversely affected by stubbornly high cocoa and sugar prices. Cocoa prices are not likely to moderate until 2025, a factor of drought conditions in Africa. In addition, while ocean freight prices are likely to be constrained as new ships come on line, domestic shipping costs are expected to increase. 


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The ODP Corporation (ODP) – Efficiency is the Key


Thursday, February 29, 2024

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q Results. Total sales were $1.8 billion, down 14% from last year or 9% excluding the 53rd week in 2022 that wasn’t repeated in 2023, driven by store closures, and a continued challenging economic environment. We had revenue of $1.85 billion. Adjusted net income was $35 million, or $0.92 per diluted share, compared to $40 million, or $0.85 per diluted share, in the fourth quarter of 2022. Adjusted EBITDA was $73 million compared to $89 million in the prior year.

Cost Savings Initiative. Project Core is the new plan to create more efficiencies in ODP’s low cost model, in which management expects the plan to realize annualized savings of $50-$60 million when fully implemented. Management expects the plan to take effect in Q2 of 2024. We are optimistic that management can fully implement the strategy into its model, with cost savings already being an important factor in management’s operating philosophy.


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1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Benefitting From Moderating Inflation


Friday, February 02, 2024

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Adj. EBITDA exceeds expectations. The company had a solid Q2, even though revenue of $822.1 million was below our estimate of $830.1 million. Adj. EBITDA of $130.1 beat our estimate of $127.9 million, by 1.7%. Notably, the company’s cost reduction efforts and easing commodity costs have driven year-over-year gross margin improvement for 5 consecutive quarters. 

Favorable margin outlook. The company reported strong gross margins of 43% in Q2, an improvement of 230 basis points from the prior year period. The favorable gross margin improvement was driven by lower in-bound shipping, labor and commodity costs. Notably, the company has made significant progress in returning gross margins to pre-pandemic levels in the low 40% range. Management indicated that there is still opportunities for moderating commodity prices.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The ODP Corporation (ODP) – NobleCon19 Presentation Notes


Thursday, December 14, 2023

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NobleCon19. The ODP Corporation CFO Anthony Scaglione presented at NobleCon19. Highlights included are the optimization of Office Depot, growth drivers in Varis and Veyer, and returning value to shareholders. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/the-odp-corporation-noblecon19-replay.

Office Depot. The Company discussed the optimization of its store footprint from a current store count of roughly 930 stores to 800-900 stores by 2025. These stores, which the optimization should reduce costs, in our view, mixed with the eCommerce website, provide ODP with strong free cash flow generation to be deployed in its faster growing segments, Varis and Veyer.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The ODP Corporation (ODP) – Third Quarter 2023 – Solid Operating Results


Friday, November 10, 2023

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue came in at $2.009 billion, down from $2.172 billion in 3Q22, driven by store closures, lower comparable sales, and a challenging economic environment. Adjusted net income was flat at $73 million, while adjusted EPS rose to $1.88 from $1.48 as a result of the reduction in outstanding shares. Adjusted EBITDA was $125 million, compared to $131 million last year.

Strategy Is Working. ODP delivered solid operating results in spite of the challenging economic environment, with strong adjusted EPS and adjusted free cash flow. Adjusted FCF in the quarter was $89 million. The Company’s low cost operating model continues to deliver.


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1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Off To A Good Start


Friday, November 03, 2023

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fiscal Q1 results better than expected. Total company revenues of $269.1 million, which declined 11.4% from a year earlier, beat our estimate of $249.9 million, driven by better results in each of its operating segments. The revenue decrease represented a significant moderation from the 17.9% decline in its fiscal Q4. The seasonal adj. EBITDA loss of $22.0 million was better than our loss estimate of $27.8 million. 

Improving margin outlook still favorable. Gross margins in the latest quarter improved 450 basis points from 33.4% to 37.9% due to lower ocean freight costs, moderating commodity prices, and lower inventory write-offs. While ocean freight prices have returned to near pre-Covid levels, there is still significant margin expansion opportunities as commodity prices moderate. We anticipate that full fiscal year 2024 gross margins should improve from 37.5% in 2023 to 39.3% in 2024.


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The ODP Corporation (ODP) – CEO Takes a Medical Leave


Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Medical Leave. Yesterday, The ODP Corporation announced that Gerry P. Smith, the Chief Executive Officer of the Company, began a temporary medical leave of absence to undergo a medical procedure that requires several weeks of recovery. Effective immediately, the Board of Directors of the Company appointed Joseph S. Vassalluzzo, the Company’s non-executive Chair of the Board, to assume Mr. Smith’s authority and responsibilities until Mr. Smith returns from his medical leave.

Mr. Vassalluzzo Background. Mr. Vassalluzzo has served as the independent non-executive Chairman of the Board since February 2017 and has served as a member of the Board since August 2013. Mr. Vassalluzzo has extensive industry experience. He was employed by Staples, Inc. from 1989 until 2005 and his duties included worldwide responsibility for all of Staples’ real estate activities, including the development and management of all retail stores; distribution; office and warehouse centers; international operations; engineering, construction and design activities; facilities management; M&A activities; and the Legal Department function. Mr. Vassalluzzo also served as Staples’ vice chairman from 1999 to 2005.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Gross Margins Surprise On The Upside


Friday, September 01, 2023

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Exceeds EBITDA estimate. The company’s fiscal Q4 results were mixed with a “miss” in revenues, but nicely beating our adj. EBITDA estimate. Revenues declined 17.9% to $398.8 million, versus our estimate of $414.2 million. Gross margins substantially improved leading to a beat in adj. EBITDA of a seasonal loss of $6.6 million versus our loss estimate of $10.1 million. 

Favorable margin outlook. We believe that a combination of lower ocean freight costs, moderating commodity prices, lower inventory write-offs, and a shift toward higher priced, higher margin products, all should allow the company to move gross margins from 37.5% in 2023 to 39.3% in fiscal 2024 and then to 39.6% in 2025. Our gross margin assumptions are conservatively below the pre-pandemic levels of 42.1% in 2019 and offer positive upside surprise potential. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The ODP Corporation (ODP) – Initiation: Not Your Father’s Office Depot


Wednesday, August 23, 2023

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiation. We are initiating research coverage of The ODP Corporation with an Outperform rating and a $65 price target. Not your father’s Office Depot, ODP’s four business unit, low cost operating model will highlight each unit’s strength and value, in our view, while an aggressive share repurchase program returns excess capital to shareholders.

Two Established Cash Flowing Businesses. ODP Business Solutions, a leader in the B2B distribution business, and Office Depot, a leading omnichannel retailer of office supplies, form the foundation, with both businesses generating strong cash flows, with Business Solutions set up for long-term growth.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Why Margins Can Continue To Improve


Friday, February 03, 2023

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Beats expectations. The company reported fiscal Q2 revenue of $897.9 million and adj. EBITDA of $131.4 million. Revenue was in line with our estimate of $897.1 million and adj. EBITDA beat our estimate of $112.2 million million by 17.1%. 

Better than expected EBITDA margins. The second quarter adj. EBITDA margin was 14.6%, which beat our estimate of 12.5%. The driver of improved EBITDA margins was the strong performance from the Gourmet Food & Gift Baskets segment. The segment beat our adj. EBITDA estimate and adj. EBITDA margin estimate by 18.8% and 15%, respectively. The stronger than expected adj. EBITDA figure was driven by cost cutting initiatives and declining input costs. Management anticipates that adj. EBITDA margins will further improve in the second half of fiscal 2023.


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1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Things Remembered; Shari’s Berries


Thursday, January 12, 2023

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

 A nice tuck-in acquisition. The company announced on January 10th that it purchased the brand, IP assets, customer list and some machinery of Things Remembered, an personalization engraver of gifts, for an undisclosed cash purchase price. We estimate that the purchase price was less than $10 million. The company is not acquiring any Things Remembered stores. 

Things Remembered could be the berries. The acquisition of Things Remembered is similar to the company’s successful acquisition of Shari’s Berries in 2019, although we believe that the purchase price is materially less than the $20 million paid for Shari’s Berries. Notably, with Things Remembered, the company gains a customer list of over 1 million.  


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.